September 12, 2025 • 19 mins
Today I look at how Terence Crawford can beat Canelo Alvarez, the strengths of Crawford, the weaknesses of Canelo and ultimately the biggest keys to the fight for Crawford that I see. Disagree? Let's talk!!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
All right, so we're back on the way concept presented
by the Ring magazine. I am here at the Fontaine.
I don't even know if it's French. I just say
it that way here in Las Vegas for Canelo versus
Crawford Fight Week. Folks, do not forget. I don't know
if I said this already in my last video, but
I am going to be live on this channel Thursday
and Friday for Canelo Crawford Radio Row. There's going to
(00:21):
be a ton of boxers, fighters, I heard WWE, wrestlers, celebrities,
and the who's who of people in Vegas, and we're
going live or we're gonna try to talk to the people.
We're gonna try to get predictions live on the show.
It's gonna be guests, it's gonna be interviews. It's gonna
be a blast, and I don't want you guys to
miss it, so make sure you're tuned in. I think
it's gonna be Thursday at nine thirty am PST, which
(00:44):
is twelve thirty pm EST. I think the same thing
on Friday, but stay locked in here on the channel.
It's gonna be fun. But today I want to talk
about a couple of things. Number one today was the
Grand Arrivals. We got to see Canelo Saoul, Canelo Alvarez,
we got to see Terrence Bud Crawford. Both guys look
in Both guys look to be in great shape. Terrence
Crawford dispelled the rumor, and again I might have contributed
(01:05):
to a bit of the misinformation year, So why I apologize.
But he's in shape, all right. He is cut up,
he is shredded, and he looks big for the weight class.
I will not lie. He looks like he's filling into
one hundred and sixty eight pounds very well. But again,
it's not just about the size difference. It's about the
difference in the size of the fight that Terrence Crawford
is taking on. Super Middleweight is not welterweight, is not
(01:26):
super welterweight. It is two, maybe three weight classes above
where he's comfortable fighting. We'll see how that affects him.
Canelo was Aura farming. I can't lie. He showed up
looking like the Pope. People were screaming, babies were flying
in the air, and he ascended up the escalator and
did like the Queen's wave to the people. It was insane.
I couldn't believe a fighter had that much or in boxing.
Canelo still runs this shit down. Today, I promised a
(01:49):
part two of the series that I started yesterday talking
about why one fighter wins this fight. Yesterday was Canelo,
today is Terrence Crawford. So why does Terrence Crawford Canelo?
How does Terrence Crawford beat Canelo? And can it actually
be done? Well? I think so, and here's why the breakdown.
Let's go so first and foremost, let's address the things
(02:14):
that I said in yesterday's video. If you haven't seen that,
make sure you watch the Canelo video then come back here.
But I said yesterday that there was gonna be some
things that Crawford had to do that may get him
into trouble. There was gonna be some weaknesses that Crawford had.
Number one, Yes, it's his brand new fight at one
hundred and sixty eight pounds. It is going to be
a bit of a mystery how he comes into this
(02:34):
weight class. There were some rumors of a shoulder injury.
I'm not putting any stock into that because I don't
think we can unless there's anything official really out there.
Point being, there's got a lot of question marks around
Terrence Crawford this video, we are going to suppose that
those question marks are answered in full force by Terrence
Crawford being an absolute monster at this weight class. It's
a lot of assuming, but it's kind of what we
(02:55):
have to do to see the best version of Terrence
Crawford in this fight. So let's just as the weight
doesn't bother him. Let's assume he is fully healthy, not injured.
Let's assume that Canello's power is not too much from
him coming up from one forty seven one fifty four
to one sixty eight. Let's assume all that's true. How
does Terrence Crawford win this fight? Number One? He has
to get Canelo's respect early. Terrence Crawford is not going
(03:18):
to fight this fight on his back foot, circling around
the ring like William Skull or Egar Berlanga, any of
these guys that got hit by Canelo and went ooh no,
I don't want any part of that. That can't happen.
And do not forget, by the way, that Charlo was
one hundred and fifty four undisputed champion coming up and
fighting Canelo in his own right, and Canelo made that
easy work, light work, and I know that Charlo is
(03:41):
not Terrence Crawford. My point is it's not easy to do.
So you have to get Canelo's respect. He is someone
that is going to try to walk you down until
you stop him. The guys that got his respect and
turned the tide of their fights with Triple G and
Dmitri Bivil and then for different reasons that we're going
to go over, Floyd Mayweather danced on Canelo. He was
able to manipulate Canelo's walking down forward press or flat
(04:02):
footed plotty kind of movement to walk him into space
and counter him circle out. I don't see Terrence Crawford
taking a Floyd Mayweather role here. For everybody saying Terrence
Crawford's a runner, he's gonna run from Canelo, I'm not
even sure people have watched Terrence Crawford fight. When is
he ever run from anyone? And you don't change what
got you to the dance. Regardless of the weight you're
fighting at. You may have to do some things differently,
(04:24):
you may not be able to engage on every single exchange,
but he's not just going to become a back foot, defensive,
slick shoulder role fighter that doesn't throw punches and tries
to just navigate with his jab and circle. That's not
him and that's not who he's going to be in
this fight. And honestly, yesterday I talked about there being
risk in him fighting in the pocket with Canelo, but
I believe he needs to take that risk. I think
(04:44):
coming out and establishing himself early in this fight is
the risk necessary for him to win, because what Canelo
is is a very flat footed, plotting, power punching manipulator
of space. At his best, he is a great counterpuncher
that uses sl lick ubber body movement to make you miss,
and then he makes you pay with big time punishment.
(05:04):
But those punches come usually one at a time or
one and two at a time, unless he's setting things
up and moving forward offensively, where he'll double that jab
up and bang the right hand. If you get Canelo
in the pocket and fighting in the pocket, he's most
of the time he's going to try to make you
miss and encounter with one or two big ones. What
I think Terrence Crawford's best path to victory here is
(05:26):
is utilizing something like a triple G style of fighting
that was controlled with the jab and then heavy combinations
after the fact. Where he got Canelo to back up
was because when they both entered range, where they both
were in the pocket, Canelo would make Triple G miss
a couple of times, but then Triple G would keep firing,
or Canelo would make him miss and throw one or two,
and Triple G would try to make him miss or
(05:47):
take a punch and throw two, three, four. He was
outstriking Canelo in their first fight continuously, and he was
kind of beating Canelo at his own game and pushing
Canelo backward and making Canelo settle to being on the
ropes and call Triple G on I mean, like, you
can't hurt me. If Terrence Crawford has any semblance of
that and is able to outwork Canelo in the pocket
and is able to make those risks that he eventually
(06:10):
has to take right being in the pocket, looking to
make Canelo miss with those big power punches and then
capitalize on that check right hook and that left hand
down the pipe. If he can do those things, it's
gonna give Canelo real problems and it's gonna make Canelo
break his rhythm. And that's one of the bigger things
that Canelo thrives on is being a bit of a
rhythm fighter. Again, You're not gonna see a ton of
output from Canelo in this fight. You're not gonna see
(06:31):
him throw sixty to seventy punches around. That's not him.
He is going to try to make every single punch count.
But if you're Crawford, what have you thrived on your
entire career is making people that throw heavy punches pay
for their lack of output and their output of strength
at the same time by catching in between the punches
and being very snappy with your replies. I fully expect
(06:53):
Terrence Crawford to be a southpaw most of this fight,
just because I do think it gives him the advantage
of working his jab and staying away from the big
right hand of Canelo Alvarez. I don't think Terrence wants
to circle toward the powerhand of Canelo where he's trying
to jab his way into that overhand. We've seen my
last video, Terrence does sometimes get himself caught with overhands
by being in the pocket and looking to exchange. I
(07:15):
think him stays south paul and if he is going
to pivot out, pivoting away from that big power right hand. Yes,
Canelo has a dangerous left hook and that liver is
going to be there. From a southpaw fighter, Bud's probably
going to be for most of this fight. But I
think his best avenue and his best talent, honestly, is
him as a southpaw fighter. People talk about Budd being
a switch hitter, and maybe that can be useful in
(07:35):
the sense of switching in combination or using it as
a cover to gain range or get back into the
pocket or to exit out, but to fight for elongated
periods out of orthodox I don't think Bud should do
in this fight. I think that's a bad idea. So
that's number one. You got to get Canelo's respect. And
I said this in my video yesterday, which was me
breaking down how Canelo wins. But I'll say the same
thing here. I think Bud Crawford is going to win
(07:57):
two to three to four of the first six rounds.
I do believe that it will take Canelo a little
bit longer to get going, and I assume both guys
are gonna be a bit patient in the first couple
of rounds where the no one's gonna really, you know,
exceed and exude a ton of energy. But I expect
Crawford to be a little more busy, and I expect
him to be I don't want to call it a
pride thing, but I do think there is a bit
(08:18):
of a message, a tone that needs to be set
from Crawford that Canelo's just not gonna take over this
fight and it's not gonna be the Canelo show. Meaning
Crawford gets going early, and he gets going off, and
we're gonna find out what Crawford's power translates like to
one sixty eight. It was a big deal from him
at one thirty five. Seven at fifty four against Madramov,
He's still hitting Adromov with some big stuff and he
(08:39):
still left marks all over his face, but he didn't
hurt him with anything. I don't know if that was
the style of fighter, because Madromov is more of a
you know, a Soviet kind of Eastern European boxer or
what that was, because but there is gonna be a
point early in this fight where Canelo is going to
download how hard Crawford is hitting him. There's places for
Crawford to use some of his bait and switch tactics
here and What I mean is control Canelo. That jab
(09:00):
touch him a couple of different times with some soft jabs,
a big jab down the middle and snapped the head
back of Canelo. That would be something that interrupts the
Canelo pressure and the Canelo timing and his rhythm of fighting.
We talked about this earlier. I would say that's the
next point we need to go to Crawford trying to
break the rhythm of Canelo. Canelo's already, like I said,
(09:20):
a low output fire, meaning he's already not poised to
throw a ton of punches if you break his rhythm
while he's trying to get to range by continually snapping
that jab off and making sure the tone is set
when he walks forward he's eating that lead hand. That
was something. Again. I keep bringing Triple G back into
it because I think, again, out of the South past stands,
(09:41):
but I think there are things that Crawford can do
that Triple G really took advantage of. He broke a
lot of Canelo's rhythm with his jab. Same thing with
Dimitri Bevil. Bivold kept thinking super simple jab circle, jab circle,
combination circle. I don't again, I don't see Bud fighting
that way, it's not the way he fights. But the
jab was the most useful part of what bevol did.
And I thought one the biggest things that change the
(10:01):
fight and change the outlook of that first fight for
Triple G was the fact that he was just consistently
making Canelo reframe, and consistently making him restart, and consistently
getting him out of rhythm. If you just diminish Canelo
offensively and make him become a little bit more defensive
or frustrate him to where he's winging out shots from
way back, and Canelo already is got to reach disadvantage
(10:22):
here with Terrence Crawford. If he stays long with that jab,
gets Canelo to fire something, wing something off that's not
even close, sees the shots, gets underneath it, or slips
outside of it, and is able to then come back
with that second counter, that second wave of combinations. That's
where Terrence Crawford lives. That's where his bread is fucking buttered.
And that's what Bomack and those guys have been talking
about when they say we're gonna push him back, We're
(10:44):
not gonna get bullied in there. We're gonna see who
the bigger man is right. They're talking that talk because
they are confident one that Crawford can take Canelo's punches
if need be, but two that they're not going to
have to because they're gonna interrupt Canelo's rhythm. They're gonna
make sure they're the ones getting off, even if it
means they get off first. More even if it means
they go first and make Canelo counter, slip that counter,
(11:04):
and come back with their own playing the game within
the game. And I said it yesterday, Terrence is going
to play the game, have no doubt about it. He's
going to be there. The risk reward of standing in
front of Canelo Alvarez, He's going to do it. And
it's not just a pride thing, but it's kind of
the way he has to fight because that's how he fights.
You don't just change everything when you get to this level.
You have to be you, and that is who Terrence
(11:24):
Crawford is. I don't mean this disrespectfully. I mean it
in the most high regard. He is the most skilled
brawl style fighter you'll find it. I don't mean he's
just winging punches. I mean he's ready to throw down,
stand there in the middle not flat footed, but be
in the pocket looking to counter as soon as you throw.
Watch when Terrence Crawford's biggest shots when he hits someone
like Eryl Spence in between. It's when Spence is a
(11:47):
little hesitant, he's throwing one where he's throwing that backhand
and Crawford is triggering as soon as he sees a twitch,
he comes with the hook bang or the bank bang
over the top, or he goes body shot upstairs, upper cut.
There's a couple of different time in this camp that
I've seen Crawford work in that triple lead hook right,
not that he's gonna throw that a ton, but really
(12:09):
showing that lead hook to maybe get Canelo to either
then underneath it and roll it. And here comes that uppercut.
There's another shot of bomack, and I think Terrence Crawford
work in the midst and again everybody works on different combinations,
but a lead uppercut from Terrence Crawford, and I think
that is because Canelo is so upper body centric with
(12:29):
his defense. Canelo will stand in front of you, he
will plant his feet and he will look to move
his head to get in positions to throw his countershots.
But sometimes that means that head comes down, rolls underneath, down,
rolls underneath. And I kept seeing Terrence Crawford out of
the South past dance work those uppercuts like backhand lead bang, go,
set up, just boom go, and I have a feeling
(12:50):
that's to establish Canelo. You can't just stand in here
and move your head. If you do, if you try
to roll underneath something, if you go here, boom, that
uppercut's coming underneath it, they are gonna throw it with
some big time power. So those are the keys I
think for Terrence Croft. You gotta get respect and not
get pushed back against the ropes and playing Canelo's game
where he walks you down and you trying to Floyd
(13:10):
Mayweather the shit, go high guard, show the roll and
try to counteroffit. That's not Terrence Crawford. He has to
get respects, stand in the middle of that ring and
say I'm not going backward. He has to be early,
and he has to be often with his jab, and
I think with the counter Volney's stifle Canelo, do not
allow him to just dictate the pace of this fight
by slowing everything down. And now you're throwing one and
(13:31):
he's throwing one and you're throwing two, and he's throwing two.
Everything is you go, I go. He's not shutting Canelo's
offense down. Instead, he's letting him get off just to
find ways to try to counter behind it. He's got
to stifle Canelo a bit and frustrating. And here's the
last part of this, which it's not gonna sound very nice,
but it's the truest statement. You have to beat Canelo convincingly,
(13:52):
point blank period. You have to. Let's be honest, in boxing,
there is a such thing as an a side judging
or refer judging sometimes, and I'm not saying that's gonna
be the case tonight, but we've seen it even in
Canelo's pass. You go to the first Triple G fight,
you go to some other fights that you people even
say the second Triple G fight was pretty close. But
the point being, there have been times where Canelo has
(14:14):
gotten favorable scorecards when it was clear to most people
that he did not deserve that. How do you avoid it.
You have to clearly beat Canelo, and I don't even
need knocking him out because as many scenarios as I
come up with, I just don't see Terrence Crawford knocking
Canelo out, So to act like there's a way to
do it, I'm sure there is. Right if Canelo didn't
see a punch, he gets clipped by something, regardless of
(14:35):
you know Canelo's next strength, and he hasn't really ever
been hurt like that. You don't see something, you get clipped.
It's boxing. Everybody can go down. But Terrence Crawford, in
my opinion, has to clearly beat Canelo. I mean, get
up on those score cards and run away with this thing.
And again those points that I laid out earlier is
the way he does that. He has to continue to
keep pressure on Canelo. He has to continue to stifle Canelo,
(14:57):
and he has to clearly beat it. I just see
Terrence Croft. If he's going to win, he's gonna have
to win by three, four, five rounds, which means again,
you want to rack those first four out of six.
You want to be able to maintain it laid into
the fight. You're gonna have to play risky. You're gonna
have to do things that normally you wouldn't have to do.
You're gonna have to be in Canelo's face. There's a
(15:17):
lot of things that Terrence Crawford is not used to
that he's going to have to do this time around.
But out of the two of them, who is more
equipped to do that, that'd be Terrence Crawford. I do
think he's the more well rounded fighter in terms of
his offensive defense, his selection in punching, his accuracy while
punching going forward going backward. Yes, his ability to fight
in both stances, but more so his ability to counter
(15:40):
whilst not being out of the pocket, keeping exchanges being
in the pocket, being defensive in the pocket, but also
countering with feet, angle switch and making people pay for
winging power shots that aren't necessarily set up with much,
which is kind of what Canelo has been doing over
his last couple of fights. So if you have a
ploti fighter in Canelo who is, regardless of what you think,
(16:01):
over the last couple of years, definitely slowed down, has
not been the same Canelo that we even saw a
fight Caleb Plant. Terrence Crawford can take advantage of that
with the things that we've seen him do to fighters
that are plotty, to fighters that haven't been able to
keep up with his pace, and quite frankly, with the
last point, we'll end off on Terrence Crawford has an
inability to lose that Canelo just doesn't have right now.
(16:23):
And I'm not saying Canelo is a loser or anything
like that, but Terrence Crawford is never lost as a professional,
and that has to count for something. Right. Canelo has
seen defeat. There have been ways that you can say
that is how you beat Canelo because people have beaten
Canelo doing Floyd Mayweather, defensive prowess, making Canelo miss, making
him pay, being very slick on the back foot to
(16:43):
meet your bevil on the front foot, stifling Canelo's offense
with a jab, with a right hand, with movement, with
circling combination, circling stifle Triple G. In my opinion, the
first fight around be enabled to stifle Canelo whilst remaining
in the pocket with him throwing more punches, being more
volume heavy, being able to take power punches from Canelo
but fire back with even more sting. These are the
(17:05):
things you can say work against Canelo because you've seen
them work and you've seen people beat him. Terrence Crawford
has been hit by punches. Terrence Crawford has been losing
fights in some cases but he has never lost a fight.
And at the end of the day, if you're a
Terrence Crawford fan, you can take to the bank that
notion to say, Listen, Canelo might be one of the
greatest ever, he might be the greatest Mexican boxer that
(17:27):
has ever lived. He might be one of the greats
of all time. But my guy's never lost. So when
it comes down to it, when shit hits the fan,
I'm backing him because I just feel he's gonna pull
it out the fire. I just feel at any point
he doesn't know how to lose, and he will will
himself to victory. I know that sounds like a lot
of like motivational speech talk, but sometimes that's real when
(17:50):
you have convinced yourself that you're unbeatable, when you have
never tasted defeat, when you're a bit ignorant to what
quitting means, to what losing means, to what feeling that
switch of well, it's not my night tonight. If you
don't know what that feels like and you only know winning,
then sometimes that's a superpower in any sport. It makes
guys confident to a delusional level that somehow works to
(18:13):
make them even more invincible, or to make them more
resilient in some way to just go, oh no, this
is not happening to me. I don't lose, I win.
So that's a real part of this fight and one
that potentially could be a major factor. So with all
that said, Terrence Crawford having an inability to lose being
the man that just wins, Terrence Crawford being the more
I think well rounded of the two right now, seen
(18:36):
as Canelo has foregone a lot of the things that
he used to be in this new form of himself,
which is much more of a plotty power puncher. I
don't know which one's going to show up. Ayonoso is
saying the best Canelo in twenty years is going to
show up, so who knows. You Combine that with the
fact that if Terence Crawford can back Canelo up and
gain respect early, if he is able and willing to
risk it for the biscuit, capitalize with volume punching, if
(18:58):
he's able to establish his all those things get started early. That,
ladies and gentlemen, is how Terrence Crawford will beat Canelo Halfarez.
There it is, folks, comment below where you think I'm
wrong here and give me your prediction. You think Terrence
Crawford is going to win this fight because for only
a couple of days in the fight week, still so
much more to go over the press conference, the way
and stuff we're all gonna talk about here. And also, guys,
(19:20):
we're gonna be live Saturday. I don't know if we're
gonna be still in Vegas, not really sure what the
plan is. But if we're not here in Vegas, I
can catch a flight, be home in forty five minutes
and we could be live from the studio, have some guests,
have a fun time. But regardless, let me know what
you guys think, who wins Saturday and why? Because I
don't have those answers, but I guess we'll find out
All right, so we're back on the way concept presented
by the Ring magazine. I am here at the Fontaine.
I don't even know if it's French. I just say
it that way here in Las Vegas for Canelo versus
Crawford Fight Week. Folks, do not forget. I don't know
if I said this already in my last video, but
I am going to be live on this channel Thursday
and Friday for Canelo Crawford Radio Row. There's going to
(00:21):
be a ton of boxers, fighters, I heard WWE, wrestlers, celebrities,
and the who's who of people in Vegas, and we're
going live or we're gonna try to talk to the people.
We're gonna try to get predictions live on the show.
It's gonna be guests, it's gonna be interviews. It's gonna
be a blast, and I don't want you guys to
miss it, so make sure you're tuned in. I think
it's gonna be Thursday at nine thirty am PST, which
(00:44):
is twelve thirty pm EST. I think the same thing
on Friday, but stay locked in here on the channel.
It's gonna be fun. But today I want to talk
about a couple of things. Number one today was the
Grand Arrivals. We got to see Canelo Saoul, Canelo Alvarez,
we got to see Terrence Bud Crawford. Both guys look
in Both guys look to be in great shape. Terrence
Crawford dispelled the rumor, and again I might have contributed
(01:05):
to a bit of the misinformation year, So why I apologize.
But he's in shape, all right. He is cut up,
he is shredded, and he looks big for the weight class.
I will not lie. He looks like he's filling into
one hundred and sixty eight pounds very well. But again,
it's not just about the size difference. It's about the
difference in the size of the fight that Terrence Crawford
is taking on. Super Middleweight is not welterweight, is not
(01:26):
super welterweight. It is two, maybe three weight classes above
where he's comfortable fighting. We'll see how that affects him.
Canelo was Aura farming. I can't lie. He showed up
looking like the Pope. People were screaming, babies were flying
in the air, and he ascended up the escalator and
did like the Queen's wave to the people. It was insane.
I couldn't believe a fighter had that much or in boxing.
Canelo still runs this shit down. Today, I promised a
(01:49):
part two of the series that I started yesterday talking
about why one fighter wins this fight. Yesterday was Canelo,
today is Terrence Crawford. So why does Terrence Crawford Canelo?
How does Terrence Crawford beat Canelo? And can it actually
be done? Well? I think so, and here's why the breakdown.
Let's go so first and foremost, let's address the things
(02:14):
that I said in yesterday's video. If you haven't seen that,
make sure you watch the Canelo video then come back here.
But I said yesterday that there was gonna be some
things that Crawford had to do that may get him
into trouble. There was gonna be some weaknesses that Crawford had.
Number one, Yes, it's his brand new fight at one
hundred and sixty eight pounds. It is going to be
a bit of a mystery how he comes into this
(02:34):
weight class. There were some rumors of a shoulder injury.
I'm not putting any stock into that because I don't
think we can unless there's anything official really out there.
Point being, there's got a lot of question marks around
Terrence Crawford this video, we are going to suppose that
those question marks are answered in full force by Terrence
Crawford being an absolute monster at this weight class. It's
a lot of assuming, but it's kind of what we
(02:55):
have to do to see the best version of Terrence
Crawford in this fight. So let's just as the weight
doesn't bother him. Let's assume he is fully healthy, not injured.
Let's assume that Canello's power is not too much from
him coming up from one forty seven one fifty four
to one sixty eight. Let's assume all that's true. How
does Terrence Crawford win this fight? Number One? He has
to get Canelo's respect early. Terrence Crawford is not going
(03:18):
to fight this fight on his back foot, circling around
the ring like William Skull or Egar Berlanga, any of
these guys that got hit by Canelo and went ooh no,
I don't want any part of that. That can't happen.
And do not forget, by the way, that Charlo was
one hundred and fifty four undisputed champion coming up and
fighting Canelo in his own right, and Canelo made that
easy work, light work, and I know that Charlo is
(03:41):
not Terrence Crawford. My point is it's not easy to do.
So you have to get Canelo's respect. He is someone
that is going to try to walk you down until
you stop him. The guys that got his respect and
turned the tide of their fights with Triple G and
Dmitri Bivil and then for different reasons that we're going
to go over, Floyd Mayweather danced on Canelo. He was
able to manipulate Canelo's walking down forward press or flat
(04:02):
footed plotty kind of movement to walk him into space
and counter him circle out. I don't see Terrence Crawford
taking a Floyd Mayweather role here. For everybody saying Terrence
Crawford's a runner, he's gonna run from Canelo, I'm not
even sure people have watched Terrence Crawford fight. When is
he ever run from anyone? And you don't change what
got you to the dance. Regardless of the weight you're
fighting at. You may have to do some things differently,
(04:24):
you may not be able to engage on every single exchange,
but he's not just going to become a back foot, defensive,
slick shoulder role fighter that doesn't throw punches and tries
to just navigate with his jab and circle. That's not
him and that's not who he's going to be in
this fight. And honestly, yesterday I talked about there being
risk in him fighting in the pocket with Canelo, but
I believe he needs to take that risk. I think
(04:44):
coming out and establishing himself early in this fight is
the risk necessary for him to win, because what Canelo
is is a very flat footed, plotting, power punching manipulator
of space. At his best, he is a great counterpuncher
that uses sl lick ubber body movement to make you miss,
and then he makes you pay with big time punishment.
(05:04):
But those punches come usually one at a time or
one and two at a time, unless he's setting things
up and moving forward offensively, where he'll double that jab
up and bang the right hand. If you get Canelo
in the pocket and fighting in the pocket, he's most
of the time he's going to try to make you
miss and encounter with one or two big ones. What
I think Terrence Crawford's best path to victory here is
(05:26):
is utilizing something like a triple G style of fighting
that was controlled with the jab and then heavy combinations
after the fact. Where he got Canelo to back up
was because when they both entered range, where they both
were in the pocket, Canelo would make Triple G miss
a couple of times, but then Triple G would keep firing,
or Canelo would make him miss and throw one or two,
and Triple G would try to make him miss or
(05:47):
take a punch and throw two, three, four. He was
outstriking Canelo in their first fight continuously, and he was
kind of beating Canelo at his own game and pushing
Canelo backward and making Canelo settle to being on the
ropes and call Triple G on I mean, like, you
can't hurt me. If Terrence Crawford has any semblance of
that and is able to outwork Canelo in the pocket
and is able to make those risks that he eventually
(06:10):
has to take right being in the pocket, looking to
make Canelo miss with those big power punches and then
capitalize on that check right hook and that left hand
down the pipe. If he can do those things, it's
gonna give Canelo real problems and it's gonna make Canelo
break his rhythm. And that's one of the bigger things
that Canelo thrives on is being a bit of a
rhythm fighter. Again, You're not gonna see a ton of
output from Canelo in this fight. You're not gonna see
(06:31):
him throw sixty to seventy punches around. That's not him.
He is going to try to make every single punch count.
But if you're Crawford, what have you thrived on your
entire career is making people that throw heavy punches pay
for their lack of output and their output of strength
at the same time by catching in between the punches
and being very snappy with your replies. I fully expect
(06:53):
Terrence Crawford to be a southpaw most of this fight,
just because I do think it gives him the advantage
of working his jab and staying away from the big
right hand of Canelo Alvarez. I don't think Terrence wants
to circle toward the powerhand of Canelo where he's trying
to jab his way into that overhand. We've seen my
last video, Terrence does sometimes get himself caught with overhands
by being in the pocket and looking to exchange. I
(07:15):
think him stays south paul and if he is going
to pivot out, pivoting away from that big power right hand. Yes,
Canelo has a dangerous left hook and that liver is
going to be there. From a southpaw fighter, Bud's probably
going to be for most of this fight. But I
think his best avenue and his best talent, honestly, is
him as a southpaw fighter. People talk about Budd being
a switch hitter, and maybe that can be useful in
(07:35):
the sense of switching in combination or using it as
a cover to gain range or get back into the
pocket or to exit out, but to fight for elongated
periods out of orthodox I don't think Bud should do
in this fight. I think that's a bad idea. So
that's number one. You got to get Canelo's respect. And
I said this in my video yesterday, which was me
breaking down how Canelo wins. But I'll say the same
thing here. I think Bud Crawford is going to win
(07:57):
two to three to four of the first six rounds.
I do believe that it will take Canelo a little
bit longer to get going, and I assume both guys
are gonna be a bit patient in the first couple
of rounds where the no one's gonna really, you know,
exceed and exude a ton of energy. But I expect
Crawford to be a little more busy, and I expect
him to be I don't want to call it a
pride thing, but I do think there is a bit
(08:18):
of a message, a tone that needs to be set
from Crawford that Canelo's just not gonna take over this
fight and it's not gonna be the Canelo show. Meaning
Crawford gets going early, and he gets going off, and
we're gonna find out what Crawford's power translates like to
one sixty eight. It was a big deal from him
at one thirty five. Seven at fifty four against Madramov,
He's still hitting Adromov with some big stuff and he
(08:39):
still left marks all over his face, but he didn't
hurt him with anything. I don't know if that was
the style of fighter, because Madromov is more of a
you know, a Soviet kind of Eastern European boxer or
what that was, because but there is gonna be a
point early in this fight where Canelo is going to
download how hard Crawford is hitting him. There's places for
Crawford to use some of his bait and switch tactics
here and What I mean is control Canelo. That jab
(09:00):
touch him a couple of different times with some soft jabs,
a big jab down the middle and snapped the head
back of Canelo. That would be something that interrupts the
Canelo pressure and the Canelo timing and his rhythm of fighting.
We talked about this earlier. I would say that's the
next point we need to go to Crawford trying to
break the rhythm of Canelo. Canelo's already, like I said,
(09:20):
a low output fire, meaning he's already not poised to
throw a ton of punches if you break his rhythm
while he's trying to get to range by continually snapping
that jab off and making sure the tone is set
when he walks forward he's eating that lead hand. That
was something. Again. I keep bringing Triple G back into
it because I think, again, out of the South past stands,
(09:41):
but I think there are things that Crawford can do
that Triple G really took advantage of. He broke a
lot of Canelo's rhythm with his jab. Same thing with
Dimitri Bevil. Bivold kept thinking super simple jab circle, jab circle,
combination circle. I don't again, I don't see Bud fighting
that way, it's not the way he fights. But the
jab was the most useful part of what bevol did.
And I thought one the biggest things that change the
(10:01):
fight and change the outlook of that first fight for
Triple G was the fact that he was just consistently
making Canelo reframe, and consistently making him restart, and consistently
getting him out of rhythm. If you just diminish Canelo
offensively and make him become a little bit more defensive
or frustrate him to where he's winging out shots from
way back, and Canelo already is got to reach disadvantage
(10:22):
here with Terrence Crawford. If he stays long with that jab,
gets Canelo to fire something, wing something off that's not
even close, sees the shots, gets underneath it, or slips
outside of it, and is able to then come back
with that second counter, that second wave of combinations. That's
where Terrence Crawford lives. That's where his bread is fucking buttered.
And that's what Bomack and those guys have been talking
about when they say we're gonna push him back, We're
(10:44):
not gonna get bullied in there. We're gonna see who
the bigger man is right. They're talking that talk because
they are confident one that Crawford can take Canelo's punches
if need be, but two that they're not going to
have to because they're gonna interrupt Canelo's rhythm. They're gonna
make sure they're the ones getting off, even if it
means they get off first. More even if it means
they go first and make Canelo counter, slip that counter,
(11:04):
and come back with their own playing the game within
the game. And I said it yesterday, Terrence is going
to play the game, have no doubt about it. He's
going to be there. The risk reward of standing in
front of Canelo Alvarez, He's going to do it. And
it's not just a pride thing, but it's kind of
the way he has to fight because that's how he fights.
You don't just change everything when you get to this level.
You have to be you, and that is who Terrence
(11:24):
Crawford is. I don't mean this disrespectfully. I mean it
in the most high regard. He is the most skilled
brawl style fighter you'll find it. I don't mean he's
just winging punches. I mean he's ready to throw down,
stand there in the middle not flat footed, but be
in the pocket looking to counter as soon as you throw.
Watch when Terrence Crawford's biggest shots when he hits someone
like Eryl Spence in between. It's when Spence is a
(11:47):
little hesitant, he's throwing one where he's throwing that backhand
and Crawford is triggering as soon as he sees a twitch,
he comes with the hook bang or the bank bang
over the top, or he goes body shot upstairs, upper cut.
There's a couple of different time in this camp that
I've seen Crawford work in that triple lead hook right,
not that he's gonna throw that a ton, but really
(12:09):
showing that lead hook to maybe get Canelo to either
then underneath it and roll it. And here comes that uppercut.
There's another shot of bomack, and I think Terrence Crawford
work in the midst and again everybody works on different combinations,
but a lead uppercut from Terrence Crawford, and I think
that is because Canelo is so upper body centric with
(12:29):
his defense. Canelo will stand in front of you, he
will plant his feet and he will look to move
his head to get in positions to throw his countershots.
But sometimes that means that head comes down, rolls underneath, down,
rolls underneath. And I kept seeing Terrence Crawford out of
the South past dance work those uppercuts like backhand lead bang, go,
set up, just boom go, and I have a feeling
(12:50):
that's to establish Canelo. You can't just stand in here
and move your head. If you do, if you try
to roll underneath something, if you go here, boom, that
uppercut's coming underneath it, they are gonna throw it with
some big time power. So those are the keys I
think for Terrence Croft. You gotta get respect and not
get pushed back against the ropes and playing Canelo's game
where he walks you down and you trying to Floyd
(13:10):
Mayweather the shit, go high guard, show the roll and
try to counteroffit. That's not Terrence Crawford. He has to
get respects, stand in the middle of that ring and
say I'm not going backward. He has to be early,
and he has to be often with his jab, and
I think with the counter Volney's stifle Canelo, do not
allow him to just dictate the pace of this fight
by slowing everything down. And now you're throwing one and
(13:31):
he's throwing one and you're throwing two, and he's throwing two.
Everything is you go, I go. He's not shutting Canelo's
offense down. Instead, he's letting him get off just to
find ways to try to counter behind it. He's got
to stifle Canelo a bit and frustrating. And here's the
last part of this, which it's not gonna sound very nice,
but it's the truest statement. You have to beat Canelo convincingly,
(13:52):
point blank period. You have to. Let's be honest, in boxing,
there is a such thing as an a side judging
or refer judging sometimes, and I'm not saying that's gonna
be the case tonight, but we've seen it even in
Canelo's pass. You go to the first Triple G fight,
you go to some other fights that you people even
say the second Triple G fight was pretty close. But
the point being, there have been times where Canelo has
(14:14):
gotten favorable scorecards when it was clear to most people
that he did not deserve that. How do you avoid it.
You have to clearly beat Canelo, and I don't even
need knocking him out because as many scenarios as I
come up with, I just don't see Terrence Crawford knocking
Canelo out, So to act like there's a way to
do it, I'm sure there is. Right if Canelo didn't
see a punch, he gets clipped by something, regardless of
(14:35):
you know Canelo's next strength, and he hasn't really ever
been hurt like that. You don't see something, you get clipped.
It's boxing. Everybody can go down. But Terrence Crawford, in
my opinion, has to clearly beat Canelo. I mean, get
up on those score cards and run away with this thing.
And again those points that I laid out earlier is
the way he does that. He has to continue to
keep pressure on Canelo. He has to continue to stifle Canelo,
(14:57):
and he has to clearly beat it. I just see
Terrence Croft. If he's going to win, he's gonna have
to win by three, four, five rounds, which means again,
you want to rack those first four out of six.
You want to be able to maintain it laid into
the fight. You're gonna have to play risky. You're gonna
have to do things that normally you wouldn't have to do.
You're gonna have to be in Canelo's face. There's a
(15:17):
lot of things that Terrence Crawford is not used to
that he's going to have to do this time around.
But out of the two of them, who is more
equipped to do that, that'd be Terrence Crawford. I do
think he's the more well rounded fighter in terms of
his offensive defense, his selection in punching, his accuracy while
punching going forward going backward. Yes, his ability to fight
in both stances, but more so his ability to counter
(15:40):
whilst not being out of the pocket, keeping exchanges being
in the pocket, being defensive in the pocket, but also
countering with feet, angle switch and making people pay for
winging power shots that aren't necessarily set up with much,
which is kind of what Canelo has been doing over
his last couple of fights. So if you have a
ploti fighter in Canelo who is, regardless of what you think,
(16:01):
over the last couple of years, definitely slowed down, has
not been the same Canelo that we even saw a
fight Caleb Plant. Terrence Crawford can take advantage of that
with the things that we've seen him do to fighters
that are plotty, to fighters that haven't been able to
keep up with his pace, and quite frankly, with the
last point, we'll end off on Terrence Crawford has an
inability to lose that Canelo just doesn't have right now.
(16:23):
And I'm not saying Canelo is a loser or anything
like that, but Terrence Crawford is never lost as a professional,
and that has to count for something. Right. Canelo has
seen defeat. There have been ways that you can say
that is how you beat Canelo because people have beaten
Canelo doing Floyd Mayweather, defensive prowess, making Canelo miss, making
him pay, being very slick on the back foot to
(16:43):
meet your bevil on the front foot, stifling Canelo's offense
with a jab, with a right hand, with movement, with
circling combination, circling stifle Triple G. In my opinion, the
first fight around be enabled to stifle Canelo whilst remaining
in the pocket with him throwing more punches, being more
volume heavy, being able to take power punches from Canelo
but fire back with even more sting. These are the
(17:05):
things you can say work against Canelo because you've seen
them work and you've seen people beat him. Terrence Crawford
has been hit by punches. Terrence Crawford has been losing
fights in some cases but he has never lost a fight.
And at the end of the day, if you're a
Terrence Crawford fan, you can take to the bank that
notion to say, Listen, Canelo might be one of the
greatest ever, he might be the greatest Mexican boxer that
(17:27):
has ever lived. He might be one of the greats
of all time. But my guy's never lost. So when
it comes down to it, when shit hits the fan,
I'm backing him because I just feel he's gonna pull
it out the fire. I just feel at any point
he doesn't know how to lose, and he will will
himself to victory. I know that sounds like a lot
of like motivational speech talk, but sometimes that's real when
(17:50):
you have convinced yourself that you're unbeatable, when you have
never tasted defeat, when you're a bit ignorant to what
quitting means, to what losing means, to what feeling that
switch of well, it's not my night tonight. If you
don't know what that feels like and you only know winning,
then sometimes that's a superpower in any sport. It makes
guys confident to a delusional level that somehow works to
(18:13):
make them even more invincible, or to make them more
resilient in some way to just go, oh no, this
is not happening to me. I don't lose, I win.
So that's a real part of this fight and one
that potentially could be a major factor. So with all
that said, Terrence Crawford having an inability to lose being
the man that just wins, Terrence Crawford being the more
I think well rounded of the two right now, seen
(18:36):
as Canelo has foregone a lot of the things that
he used to be in this new form of himself,
which is much more of a plotty power puncher. I
don't know which one's going to show up. Ayonoso is
saying the best Canelo in twenty years is going to
show up, so who knows. You Combine that with the
fact that if Terence Crawford can back Canelo up and
gain respect early, if he is able and willing to
risk it for the biscuit, capitalize with volume punching, if
(18:58):
he's able to establish his all those things get started early. That,
ladies and gentlemen, is how Terrence Crawford will beat Canelo Halfarez.
There it is, folks, comment below where you think I'm
wrong here and give me your prediction. You think Terrence
Crawford is going to win this fight because for only
a couple of days in the fight week, still so
much more to go over the press conference, the way
and stuff we're all gonna talk about here. And also, guys,
(19:20):
we're gonna be live Saturday. I don't know if we're
gonna be still in Vegas, not really sure what the
plan is. But if we're not here in Vegas, I
can catch a flight, be home in forty five minutes
and we could be live from the studio, have some guests,
have a fun time. But regardless, let me know what
you guys think, who wins Saturday and why? Because I
don't have those answers, but I guess we'll find out
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