Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Folks, I have not covered this as much as I
feel like I probably should have to this point. But
Jake Paul and Juliosaser Chavez Junior are fighting in the
Honda Center on June the twenty eighth, right here in
my backyard Nana in California's fight has kind of gone
under the radar since it's been announced. They had one
press conference where Julio Caesar Chavez Senior was in one
hand giving Jake his respect and another completely disrespected him,
(00:22):
calling him a YouTuber. But this fight seems to make
a lot of sense. It checks a lot of the
boxes for what Jake either wants to do or is
trying to do, and that is become a world champion,
but also secure at Canelo Alvarez fight. Why do those
two things matter? Because one, Jake is fighting whether he's
in the same weight class or not, Juliosser Chavez Junior,
who is a former world champ. And two he's a
(00:44):
man that also fought Canelo Alvarez and Canelo couldn't stop him. Jake,
void of all context, is going to essentially say, if
I stop Julio Sayser Chavez Junior, I did something Canelo
couldn't do. And yes it would be a different weight class,
and yes it would be years after Chavez in his prime,
after addiction issues and all those things, but it would
still be a meaningful win. Even though Jake already beat
(01:05):
somebody that beat Chavez recently. I still have no problem
with the fight. In fact, I enjoy watching these kind
of fights because it shows me where Jake's level potentially
can be. I don't think he's gonna one punch knockout
Chavez in the first round. I think it's gonna be
a little more difficult. But we have some training footage chat,
so let's take a look and see where Jake's at,
where Chavez Junior is at, and before we get into
(01:26):
fight week two weeks from now, what we can gather
from at the breakdown. Let's go. So, here is Jake
Pauler sparring somewhere. I still haven't figured out where Jake's
camp is located right now. I don't know if he's
back in California, I don't really know. But here he's sparring.
I don't know if he's sparring our guy who's in Cason,
(01:47):
I don't know if that's him here, But Jake is
sparring what looks to be a light heavyweight or maybe
smaller cruiserweight, and I'll see what he's got. Nice little
body shot there, I look like Moos and though nice
a body shot, maybe a little low. I don't like
this right hand, but again, I can focus on the
(02:07):
stuff that I don't like, or to excuse me, the
stuff that I do like. I like that he hides
it with the jab. I don't like that he kind
of slaps it out there and then gets more square
good reactions for Moose and Casin though that's a good
that's a decent belt line shot. Yeah, right hand kind
of winged it, But again I throw right hands the
(02:29):
exact same way. But I'm also not to I'm not
about to fight a a former world champion, not that
Julio sayser Chibez is that level anymore. But counter upper
cut is there if you want to throw when he throws,
the right hand is there. Jake can take punches, but
a little sloppy. You know. It's a nice jab to
exit though. We like that. I like the jab to
set up the shot to the body right. I like
(02:52):
the jab on the exit. I like that that's good stuff.
Something I've worried about with Jake for a long time
now is that I feel like he is and I've
said this before. I don't know if it's video anywhere,
I feel like he has sacrificed a bit of technique
for a lot of power, right. I feel like there's
some of his technique has gone by the wayside in
favor of throwing big, heavy power in exchanges because he
is leaned into that power and he should. Jake is
(03:13):
a puncher. Evenn't like hearing that, but he is. He
drops damn near everybody he's in there with. But it
has looked a little more sloppyly, and I think that's
fair to say. Is that because of the weight gain?
Is it because of a conscious effort to get away
from being a little more technical and just sitting down
on punches In a fight like this, if Julio sayser
Chavez Junior comes in and is actually taking this seriously,
(03:33):
he's gonna have to be a bit more technical than
he was with Mike Perry and he was with Nate Diaz.
He's gonna have to be sharp, not because Chavez Junior
is a puncher, because he's not. He wasn't even a
puncher like that at one hundred and sixty pounds, and
that's crazy one hundred and sixty to two hundred. But
the countershots can be there, and you still don't want
to get hit with those, no matter if you're a
cruiserweight or wherever else at the fault of his technique
when you have a guy in Julio sayser Chibas Junior
(03:55):
who the public might not think as a chance, and
maybe he doesn't, maybe he's not taking it very seriously,
but the chances he does have is if he's able
to or ten rounds put together a boxing masterclock. Because
I don't think he's knocking Jake out and get hurt Jake.
I don't see him knocking him out. Maybe if Jake
tires himself out, but he's gone ten rounds a couple
of times now. But I I want to see how
Jake does against a experienced, technically gifted boxer, because what
(04:20):
Julio sayser Chavez was he wasn't a hard worker, he
wasn't a big puncher, but he was technically gifted at
very natural talent for the sport. Whatever you want to
say about his work, ethic and what he ended up
being as a boxer. He was very, very gifted technical jeans,
it all made if he has any bit of that left,
I want to see a more technical Jake here. I don't.
I don't want to see him go away from the power,
(04:41):
but I worry that he has sometimes invested too much
into it and become a little more slot on fight night.
The version of Jake that you're going to see as
my best words yet, Okay, the case I match up
with Chavez, stylistically, I'm going to put on a boxing classic,
pick him apart, and people are going to be able
to see the skill set that I've been working on
(05:01):
in the gym that I haven't been able to showcase
in recent fights yet. I do feel like it's always
something Jake refers to when he talks about fights he's
about to have, is that I haven't been able to
showcase it. I haven't been able to showcase it. And
for certain fights, I agree. You know, he stops Andrea
Agus quickly, he stops Ryan Borland quickly, and those aren't
(05:22):
fights where you could really see if Jake had gotten
better since the Tommy lost. But you know, I wasn't
overly impressed with what Jake did and the Mike Tyson fight.
I think he knew he kind of had to be
more safe, even though people were saying, oh, he just
carried Mike. I think he was just like, let me
not make a mistake. Mike Perry fight. You know, it
got a little sloppy, you could say, Okay, Jake had
a short camp and was cutting weight for the first time,
like from two forty to two hundred or whatever he was, so,
(05:44):
you know, his gas tank maybe wasn't there. I don't know,
but I haven't been impressed technically with Jake since, you know.
I mean, I was impressed in the Tommy Fury fight
even though he lost. I was impressed in the Ads
fight with how he handled Nate. Thought he should have
done that tonight. But I want to see the stuff
he said when he's like, I haven't been able to
showcase it. I want to see what that is. Why
(06:04):
haven't you been able to showcase it? And why is
this fight gonna be the one that lets us see
it once again? Because at a certain point we got
to find the plateau, we got to find the peak
of where Jake's going to be. Is that going to
be world title. I don't think so, but that's just
one man's opinion. I want to see if he's continuing
to gain levels because he's been at this for a
while now. You know, Chavis Junior doesn't look super blown
(06:25):
up at this weight either, you know, he looks strong. Jake,
on the other hand, looks almost like squatty, you know,
almost almost like kick boy at even at cruiserweight. I
really think that that blow up to make the Mike
Tyson wait really messed with his body like composition. Because
they say this about fighters all the time. When you
start jumping around weight and then trying to go back down,
(06:47):
it's it's more difficult than it was before you gained
all that. I mean, that's clear, but you sometimes fighters
don't ever lose all of the weight. The body composition changes.
Roy Jones Junior is a perfect example of that. Jumping
around in waits. You know, I think, on top of
the fact that it was getting to be later in
his career, affected him so detrimentally that it ended up
costing him a lot some fight. So I just wonder,
(07:08):
can Jake ever get to a functioning cruiser weight that
looks like he is in that weight class and not
cutting to that weight class and still have the pop
and still have the footwork and still have the activity
needed to compete at a high level in that weight class.
Or is he gonna be a guy that's very plotty
with his feet, a bit more stationary and looking for
big time power punches instead of volume over time. Like
(07:30):
you saw in the Tire and Woodley one fight. Even
though there wasn't a ton of volume, he still out
through the Frozen one. The same things that got him
into trouble in Tommy Fury fight. Didn't throw enough, he
didn't have enough volume. I wonder if we're ever gonna
get back to a more volume heavy finding openings through
offense and not sitting encountering or looking for one or
two big shots. This is Julio Sayser Chavez Junior getting
(07:50):
ready for Jake. Let's see what he looks like, man,
because it'd be easy to just go okay, Jake's gonna
walk through Chavez and that may be what happens. But
things that you want to look at for a Jake
opone is how do you the blueprint is out there,
how do you beat Jake? You're overwhelm him with volume.
You stifle his jab you stifle his punches, and you
fight him inside of pocket range. You don't fight him
at the distance where he likes to operate, which is
(08:12):
out of range to end. You fight him by jabbing
your way and sticking in range with him combination punch.
Excuse me, I don't look like an old man. No one,
(08:43):
hold on a second now, I'm not worried about the
sound of the punches. I'm not worried about the power
of the punches. I'm worried. I'm looking at the effortless
nature of these punches and the speed of his hands.
Not that he's trying to look fast here, but I'm
just I'm looking at the intensity behind the shots. A shot,
a twist, hide the chin again. A technical fighter at
(09:04):
one sixty, not a guy that would put your lights out.
He has gained weight and I know he's thirty nine.
Who But I'm gonna tell you something, mam. This is
a little surprising. I'm sorry. I'm not even trying to
do the no here goes way trying to hype up
a bad opponent. I first off, I don't do that. Secondly,
(09:27):
this is different then I've seen him and we have
seen him in a long time. I don't know if
Chavez Junior can can gain back the years of substance
abuse in time off from the sport. I don't know.
I don't know if if that outweighs the years prior
where he was somewhat committed to the sport, even if
it wasn't at the highest level, even if he took
short cuts. He may take a short cut in this fight.
He may find it more difficult than he imagined, which
(09:48):
is a lot of people do when they get in
there with Jake and look for a way out that
could easily happen. It's happened before with Chavez. You, but
no one has really ever said, when talking about Chavez
Junior when he gets to a fight, that he's a
massive quitter. He has done that before, but they've the
story has been he just hasn't really put any effort
into training. He hasn't really ever committed himself to training.
But in the fight he goes out and tried, but
(10:10):
it's a half assed, sloppy effort because the work wasn't
put in there in training. And listen, it's easy to
get fooled by this pad work when I watched him
fight your Ryah Hall orm about ten feet away, and
he didn't have anything. He did have a single thing
for your Riyah that night. He couldn't hurt him. I
don't know if he was even trying to. I don't
know what that was. But it was a sparring session
between him and your Ryah Hall. It wasn't fun to watch.
(10:31):
It wasn't a good fight. I thought your Rayah won
to be honest, But if we see some intensity like this,
we're gonna have a fight. Paul who literally Chavez's last shot.
By the way, if he has anything left at all
in the sport, it's got to start and really finish
(10:51):
with the Jake Paul far right. The real question is
to me, the mindset of Chavez when all these cameras
aren't around, when no one's there with their phone filming,
is he is motivated to come in and work. I
don't have any question that Chavezjunior can box. I want
to know what his mental toughness looks like. I want
(11:14):
to know how he prepared. Is he ready for ten rounds?
But yeah, he's got clean bag work man. That jab
is nasty son. I like the off speed timing of
it too, right in between bounce back who I just
don't like the circling to his left constantly, you know,
(11:38):
on his jack just walking into Jake's right hand, constantly
stepping off every time there we go. But that fading
to his left off the jab, you see that that's
just inviting that overhand. Jake gets underneath the jab and
here comes the overhand as you're sliding into it. It's
it's a great jab, he's got snapped to it. But
(11:59):
I just think that that again, you can get a
little casual if you don't think Jake is on the
level you are. You can get a little casual and
get a little uh loose with what you know you
probably shouldn't be doing. If you think Jake can't capitalize
on I'm just gonna sting him with this jab and
he's not gonna do anything about until he does. And
regardless of the fact that that Chavez lost to Anderson Silva,
I think we would be idiots if we didn't acknowledge
(12:19):
that this was the highest level technical boxer Jake has
ever faced. Regardless of who he lost to, he's a
better technical boxer than Anderson Silva is like all this looks,
this is fine, this is good stuff. He really wants
to to throw that power to the body too. Not
(12:41):
to say this is like a big tell for anything. Dude,
Chavez's eyes are crazy, Dude, He's literally got like crackhead eyes.
All He's just like not that this is like their
like strategy or anything, even though I used to make
those titles like crazy, but Jivez Junior is clearly putting
an importance on the body work in every single MIT
session everything. Maybe that's just the way they like to
do mits, or it could be they see Jake as
(13:02):
a fat, out of shape cruiser weight that if they
get to his body, he will slow down and even
over those ten rounds, Jake can be overwhelmed. Interesting strategy,
one that people haven't really taken advantage of. No one's
really gone heavy to Jake's body, because when you go
to the body heavy, you open yourself up for big
time countershots over the top. A little bit of a
risky game plan, but be interesting to see because Jake
(13:23):
has gone ten a couple different times now. It's not
that he can't, but he will slow down in point
and no one's really gone to his body a ton
to reap the benefits later on upstairs in the fight,
I'll be surprised that we see a lot of body
work from Jabez Unior, at least attempted. See, I don't
even like I don't know. This right hand is a
little bit scary to me. He's pull right hands. He's
(13:45):
throwing with his lead hand kind of right by his waist.
I've seen too many guys throw pull right hands thinking
they're gonna pull off a jab and bring the right hand.
But the other guy throws a jab in the right
hand with it, and they might pull on the jab,
but the right hand coming behind it cracks some in
the jaw right like if he's pulling on her right
hand and coming over the top there, and again that
(14:08):
lead hand is down by his waist, that right hand
from Jake. If they both are throwing jab right hands,
or if you're throwing the pull right and Jake's throwing
the jab right hand, he's gonna kill you with the
right hand. Dude, Okay, you pulled on the jab, Now
come and eat this right hand behind it. Yeah, you're
throwing to the mitt here, but look where you end
up right back on the center line. As the right
hand potentially comes across every time. Yeah, I don't know, man,
(14:38):
you don't like that. I like the works to the body.
I'm not mad at that, but I don't know, like
the one weapon that Jake can change the fight with
every single fight is his overhand. That's his bread and butter.
And you either got to believe in your chin like
there's no tomorrow, or you gotta have combinations that you
(14:59):
throw starting with your jab and hiding your chin. Don't
put you back on center line for him to throw
that thing down the pipe or over the top. But anyway,
that is some of the training footage we see on
Chavez Junior. Again, I think that just from watching that,
if I were to pull like a secret weapon out
of this, it's that Chavez Junior wants to get to
Jake's body, right. I don't think this is just padwork
(15:19):
for padwork's sake. I think that they look at Jake
as a guy that's you know, he's been ten rounds,
but he does slow down maybe a little heavy for
Cruiser way to at least, you know, not as in
shape as he could be, and looking to work to
the body first to break him down into those later
rounds and try to come upstairs. I think that's something
that definitely could be a factor in the fight if
Jake isn't able to get off shots earlier, to land
(15:41):
big shots and maybe tires himself out a little bit.
You go to his body, the hands come down further,
the gas tank starts to slow, and then all of
a sudden, the guy that was already a better volume
puncher by far, a guy that already was someone that
had experienced going late into championship rounds in the prime
of his career, starts to take over the fight. That's
what they're looking to do. In my opinion, that's what
I see out of this video. But seeing Chavez Junior
(16:02):
do it on the mitt, seeing him do it on
the heavy bag is not seeing him do it in
the ring, and quite frankly, I have not seen him
do it in the ring in a very very long time,
even against the likes of Anderson Silva and you're Ryahull,
who should not hold a candle to him in the
boxing rooms, no matter how much I think he can
be technically better than Jake, no matter how much I
think he could be technically the best boxer Jake has
(16:22):
faced I still think Jake Paul wins this fight as
of right now. That's what I think. I don't know
if it's just about commitment or if it's about time
that's been gone for Chavez Junior. Time he can't get back,
time he wasted outside of the sport and his time
in the sport. But more so than that, I think
that the mental part of this fight at some point
will be too much for Chobez. It always has been
his achilles heel. I think it'll be again, combined with
(16:44):
the time off, combined with the weight, combined with his aid.
But that's just my thoughts. I do think there's an
interesting strategy here. I think Chives Junior's looking great compared
to what you would think at this point in his career.
Just don't think it will be enough. You guys let
me know in the comments down below, what do you think,
who wins and why. I guess we'll find out