11-04-24 YMS HR1

Is Iowa in play or is the NY Times trying to play you??

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hi, it's me Michael. Your morning show can be heard
live daily on great radio stations like News Radio six
fifty K E n I Anchorage, Alaska, Talk Radio eleven
ninety Dallas Fort Worth, and Freedom one O four seven
in Washington, d C. We'd love to have you listen
live every day and make us a part of your
morning routine. But better late than never. Enjoy the podcast
on two three.

Speaker 2 (00:22):
You're starting your morning off right. A new way of talk,
a new way of understanding, because we're in the studio.
This is your morning show with Michael Gill Truman. Take
a look at the view when you're parking. Take where
you are. Seriously, I bring you guys to the big time.
And I think you're hanging those sweaters on hangers something,

(00:45):
stretching them out. Sorry, our pregame talk's filled over and
down airon yeah all right, reads in an oversized sweater.
He's lurping his coffee. You're taking pictures of the skyline
over there, just down here, isn't it at night? You
know you guys can say thank you down then, I've

(01:05):
given you a great life. Something I say to my
children every now and then at the kitchen table. You
should say Michael a lot. No, we always have read
to one last slurp before we go on the air.
He is the loudest coffee slurper on earth. I can't believe.
And how long have you been married? Red? Thirty twenty five?
What is it? No, I can't believe she hasn't divorced you.

(01:27):
Now you can't talk? Look at it? Would I would
divorce him over the slurping? Can you imagine you're madly
in love. He's a good provider, he's a good man,
he loves my child. And then you hear this, Oh,
that would be it. I'd have to go horrible, rise
and shine. Welcome to the Monday before the Big election,

(01:50):
November fourth, eight minutes after the hour on the air
and streaming live on your iHeartRadio. This is your morning show.
I'm Michael. Jeffrey's got the controls, Red's got the slurping,
and the bulls have got our final Do you realize
the next time we do Sound of the Day in polls,
it'll be election day? This is it. By the way,
there's another significance today, Monday, November fourth, What is that?

(02:15):
This show started one year ago today? Oh, did a
happy anniversary, Happy end of Babe, just me and Scooter.
It was a quiet morning. You two weren't here yet.
I remember I thought I should probably get used to
this sleep schedule. Yeah. I went to about two o'clock
in the morning, got up in an hour and a half,
and there I was, what are you thinking, Oh, but

(02:36):
I'm used to the schedule. Now we will go over
the final polls of plenty. Red said something before one
on the Earth. That thing needs to be made clear
if if a poll has only moved within the margin
of error, that's not a shift, or let's just say
it this way from a polling standpoint, at a research standpoint,
we certainly couldn't confirm it's a shift. If a tree

(02:57):
balls in the woods. Yeah, you know so we used
to do this with I can talk about Arbitrome now
because they're not really doing ratings anymore. Right. And the
thing that would get people's mind is, you know, you
got to picture it like a pool full of marbles
and somebody's going to reach in and grab a handful. Well,
you know, there's got to be some variances, but the

(03:19):
marbles are all in there. I think if I had
to cut to the chase this morning and say anything
and know for the three hundred and sixty fourth day,
I will not put your mind at ease at who's
going to win. We'll all find out tomorrow or in
the days after one. I think I can confirm this
will be known as the early voting election. These numbers

(03:43):
are just I don't know about anybody else, but they're
jaw dropping to me. Forty eight percent of the electorate
has voted, and tomorrow's election day, that's virtually half. Now,
we all know what took place in twenty twenty. That
was a male in voting election after webinizing COVID. All right,

(04:05):
so that was known as the mail in COVID election.
This one, for sure is going to be known as
the early voting election. And I think what we don't
know yet until we get the result is it may
also be known as the podcast. You know we talked
about or I shouldn't say we e me I have
often talked about. Twenty sixteen really wasn't about as much

(04:28):
Donald Trump defeating Hillary Clinton as it was the blatant
for everyone to see death of journalism. I spent over
two and a half decades exposing media bias and then
on that election night, I watched the bias just point
and they didn't even care that you were seeing it,
even when the results came in and they were crying

(04:49):
on the air having temper tantrums, emotional breakdown. That was
the death of journalism, and they didn't care. Nothing was nuanced,
All the gloves were off throughout the campaign. It was
blatant bias. Do you remember speaking of SNL's in the
news because of throwing on Kamala Harris and even the

(05:11):
FCC said this is a tremendous violation. And now they're
scrambling at nbc'd off equal time, you know, dot I
do they oughd have Donald Trump do the nightly news
tonight there now we'll call it. But didn't they put
him on a NASCAR race? And did did I hear
that on the way in? Yeah? I mean it was
just you know, you can't the opening of Sarah and
I Live. You can't recreate that, not the Saturday before election.
I don't think anybody's watching either, but well more watching

(05:34):
Sarah I Live than their evening news. Sorry, Lester, he's
taking his vest off. He's ready to go fisticuffs with me.
But no, but it was the blatant bias of twenty
sixteen and then the weeping on air when the results
came out and everybody saw for the first time, Okay,
this isn't a theory that there's media bias. It was

(05:55):
something ridiculous like ninety two percent of all Barack Obama
store were positive for eight years of his presidency, and
then it was like ninety six percent of all Donald
Trump's stories in the twenty sixteen election were negative. And
of course he didn't help you one after him, but
I think that's the only way to do it was
to expose it. And he was doing it last night
with a controversial comment. By the way, you're gonna hear

(06:16):
a lot about this today. This was Donald Trump at
his rally. Could this be one of his sense of
humor has gone too far? Potentially? Does anybody really think
Donald Trump wants anybody in the media to be shot
and killed.

Speaker 3 (06:31):
I have a piece of glass over here, and I
don't have a piece of glass there, and I have
this piece of glass here, But all we have really
over here is the fake news. And to get me

(06:56):
somebody would have to shoot through the news.

Speaker 2 (07:02):
And I don't mind that so much. I mean, he's
clearly joking, but you know, should have said it, probably
not knowing how everybody's after. Is this gonna have any effect?

Speaker 3 (07:13):
No?

Speaker 2 (07:14):
Does Kamala Harris appearing on Sarah and Alive have any effect?

Speaker 4 (07:16):
No?

Speaker 2 (07:17):
All these latest polls that are trying to sell you
a shift, I mean, the Des Moines is a great one.
Donald Trump won to Iowa by nine in twenty sixteen,
and then rather consistently and convincingly again in twenty twenty
one by eight. Now we're supposed to assume, after four
miserable years under Biden and Harris, her destroying the border,

(07:40):
her being a miserable, filling candidate, that she's suddenly up
three now. No matter how you cut this, cheesecake, folks,
polsters are gonna have something to answer for. The biggest
problem is we live in a matrix right now, and

(08:03):
one side of the matrix distrusts the media, and for
good reason. ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, CNN, any newspaper, whether
it's the New York Times or the Des Moines Register
or the Atlantic Constitution, it doesn't matter. They mistrust them.

(08:24):
Universities tremendous mistrust. Plus, you're basically selling daily. Never mind
Donald Trump's little joke about the media that nobody took
as anything other than a joke. Nobody trusts universities, nobody

(08:45):
trusting networks. You tell everybody if you support Donald Trump,
you're a Nazi, you're the KKK, you're the scum of
the earth. By wants to slap you in the rear
end when he's not calling your garbage. I mean, it's
you know, and you'll wonder why they won't answer the
phone and tell you who they're going to vote for.

(09:08):
So they're scrambling because of technology and because of the
matrix technology, because we don't have home phones. I mean,
we still have mailboxes, but there's nothing but junk in there.
And in our case, if he WASPS, I almost did
it read there? Did you hear that? That was close? Yeah?

Speaker 5 (09:25):
But what's up of the WASP? But the mailboxes? I
thought I was the only one. I went for a
walk around. Mine is a is A yeah, I don't
I don't get it. There's like five in there at
any time you open it up as it's like a
scene at a nine one one. And I know my
neighbors are watching and laughing because I am doing this.

Speaker 2 (09:41):
I'm flailing around trying to get away from them. WI
my wife gets saying, I got to do the EPIPT,
you know, and I do, like I've seen out of
pulp fiction. Yeah, so, but I mean, nobody answers there,
nobody has a home phone, nobody uses their mailbox. You
can't reach us. If you call our phone, it says
scam or you know, some kind of so we don't answer.

(10:01):
So technology is a problem with polling. But the biggest
problem is you've created in Donald Trump a boogey man,
and we're all as boogie followers. We're not going to answer.
So how are these posters going to estimate and weigh
that in? They don't know how. Now some of them
are blatant and they're just oversampled with Democrats. But in

(10:25):
this particular election, they were supposedly going to figure it out,
and we don't know if they have these numbers that
show everything a toss up. Is that without the Trump
undersampling or the undetectable Trump support, or is that with it.
We don't know the effect of early voting. We don't know.

(10:48):
Nobody knows. Take a deep breath. One of the things
I want to kick around a little bit later on
is and I thought about, how do I say this
without upsetting people. Well, if you use the good, better,
best universe, all right, most people feel, probably most people

(11:10):
listen to the show, if Donald Trump were to win,
that's a glorious election night. I'm here to tell you,
I would say that's good, not even better or best.
In fact, the best case scenario, if you really want
to know, would be Kamala Harris winning and the Democrats

(11:33):
be stuck with her for forty eight years. When they
want to move on to Shapiro or they want to
move on to Wesmore, they'd be stuck with her, and
then four more years of a disastrous presidency that would
set up eight to sixteen years for the Republicans. Whether
you come back with DeSantis, Vance, DeSantis, Gabbard, DeSantis, Ruby,

(11:59):
whatever you come back with, you'd be set to win.
So the best case scenario would really be Kamala Harris
wins and the Republicans get a fifty three plus majority
in the Senate and control of the House. That would
be a disaster for John Podesta and the Democrats. And
if that's their disaster, that's our best case scenario. It
doesn't feel that way, right. That's another way for me

(12:22):
saying and suggesting. And I want to kick it around
with David Sonati. I actually think, and I know Uncle
George Soros loves to hate me for moments just like this.
I actually think they don't want Kamala to win, and
if she wins, it's a bad night for them. What
they want more than anything is you to be fixated

(12:42):
on the presidency and they take the House and all
they do for four years is arrest, impeach, harass Donald Trump,
who can get nothing done because they control the House. Anyway,
that's what they want. The good news I have for

(13:03):
you is I think it's gonna been its razor close.
I couldn't possibly know, but there is a really good
chance that the Republicans get and again, all they need
is fifty three because then even with Collins and Murkowski,
that whole theory, you still have if they win the presidency,
the plus one advance. Without it, you have a tie.

(13:27):
And I would also suggest to you beyond our pastor
did a great sermon and the sister minding everybody. Paul
was really big on Paulinian theology was big on citizenship,
where your ultimate citizenship is, and we don't elect God.
There is a God. He's past president future and he'll
be reigning no matter who wins. At that perspective, aside,

(13:48):
any election night result that results in the Democrats controlling
the House is a bad night, and you can expect
four years of greater chaos. And I know of what
I say speak because we've had a lot of chaos,
but I mean, cue the circus music. Take you to
the brink of a civil war, crazy chaos. If the

(14:11):
Democrats win the House and Donald Trump wins the presidency,
so good better, best well from my perspective, and it's
only Earth and it's only America, but I'd say Donald
Trump winning and the Republicans maintaining control of the House,
that would be a good case scenario. I guarantee you
this the worst case scenario. And I can't wait to

(14:32):
have this conversation with David sonati worst case scenario for
George Soros and John Podessa, the ones who really care,
they want the House, not the White House, and they
certainly don't want to be stuck with Kamala Harris for
eight years because they know that'll translate to sixteen years
of loss of control of the White House. This is

(14:52):
your Morning show with Michael del Trono.

Speaker 1 (15:02):
Hi, I'm Michael. I'd love to have you listen to
your morning show live. Every day We're heard on great
stations like News Talk five point fifty k FYI in Phoenix,
News Radio eleven ninety k EX in Portland, and ten
ninety The Patriot in Seattle. Make us a part of
your morning routine. We'd love to have you listen live.
But in the meantime, enjoyed the podcast. Remember when I
was saying, well, one I can't prove, one I can.

(15:25):
The one I can is this will be known as
the early voting election. Forty eight percent of Americans have
already voted. I think under that a sub headline would
be and the mail in voting early election, the Republicans
finally engaged.

Speaker 2 (15:43):
In how that positions itself with the result. Time will tell,
but there's no question forty in Georgia, assuming the same
turnout as the previous election, eighty percent of Georgians have
already voted that that's unthinkable. Quite frankly, you know, talk

(16:04):
about a quiet election day coming. The other thing that
we won't know until we have the result is will
this be known as the podcast election, or even more specifically,
the Joe Rogan election. Red did some number crunching which
was really interesting to put the podcast effect into perspective.
Let's say the average rally gets thirty thousand live attendees.

(16:29):
Certainly did a Madison Square garden, you know, some some did,
some probably didn't. Some of you are streaming at the radio.
You don't think legitimately Kamal Aira has had a single
event with thirty thousand. But let's just say for the
sake of argument, each rally gets thirty thousand live attendees.
If you compare that to the views both Donald Trump
and JD. Vance received, it would be the equivalent of

(16:53):
four hundred and ninety two events. For JD. Vans, one
three hour podcast equal to four hundred ninety two campaign events.
I'm trying to think how many campaign events Jdvans crammed
in since he was given running mate status, and I'll

(17:15):
bet it isn't four hundred ninety two. It would be
the equivalent of one thousand, four hundred and seventy nine
Trump rallies. That's staggering. If you compare that to the
three four rallies a day in battleground states that Canada,

(17:37):
Trump or Harris make down the stretch of a key election.
Will there be a hidden podcast effect? In twenty twenty four,
there has to be. Jdvan's Rogan podcast got thirteen and
a half million views, really just right at thirteen and

(17:57):
a half and that was as of Sunday night, over
one hundred and seven thousand comments alone. The Trump Rogan
podcast got forty four and a half million, nearly sixty
million combined, and the Trump Rogan Podcast over five hundred

(18:20):
and twenty thousand comments alone. Will this be known as
the podcast election? More importantly, the Rogan election, the one
Kamala chose not to do. Harris and Trump vance and
Trump both did to the tune of sixty million, because

(18:43):
they pretty much doubled up their entire general election exposure
in two sit downs. That's a fascinating thing to keep
in the back of your your mind, as we had
to do tomorrow, which there's there's a possibility of Pennsylvania
doesn't matter. You may know who won. Speaking of the

(19:05):
latest polls, New York Times Siena has Trump and Harris
tied at forty eight percent in their final poll in Pennsylvania,
Insider Advantage has Trump winning by one. In Pennsylvania, Trafalgar
has Trump up by one. Morning Consult has it a

(19:27):
dead heat. I have the Muhlenberg College poll red thumbs up.
If that's a biggie I've missed because I don't really
recall that being a kind of a so so respected poll.
That's the only one that has Kamala Harris up too.
In Pennsylvania. Many people believe as Pennsylvania goes, so the

(19:50):
election goes. And that's true unless Michigan and Wisconsin should
go Donald Trump's way. Speaking of Michigan, New York Times
Sienna has it a dead he seven forty seven. Insider
Advantage has Harris and Trump both at forty seven tied.
Trafalgar has Harris down by one forty eight to forty

(20:12):
seven to Trump. And again the MNS Mitchell Research never
heard of that one and the Morning Consult have Harris
up two and one, respectively to Wisconsin we go another
huge one. New York Times Sianna has Harris leading by
two heading into election day, Insider Advantage has Trump leading

(20:35):
by one, Trafalgar has Harris leading by one, and Morning
Consult has it a dead tie at forty eight. Arizona.
Insider Advantage has Trump leading by three. Morning Consult has
it a dead heat at forty eight in Nevada. New
York Times Sienna has Harris up by three in Nevada

(20:56):
forty nine, forty six. Just cut to the chase on this.
If you have your two seventy to win map out.
Donald Trump doesn't need Nevada, especially if he gets Arizona.
So the whole Western drama just simply isn't there. They
can split those. I'm not so certain that Nevada isn't
a toss up too. But the key for Donald Trump

(21:18):
is he has to hang on to Georgia and North Carolina,
and then he's got to take I think it's two right,
whether it's Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin. I don't think there's
a way to I'm gonna make Nevada blue. I'm gonna
make Pennsylvania blue. She's a two fifty one. Make Wisconsin

(21:43):
to sixty one. Yeah, he just needs to win one
of those. If he can hold on to North Carolina
and Georgia and Arizona, he just needs one of those four.
Pretty sure, aren't I right? Red. Yeah, I think I've
missed anything. So Michigan or dead heat Wisconsin to dead
he takes one of those two, he wins. It does
in Pennsylvania, assuming you splits Arizona Nevada, so the Nevada

(22:03):
is not as big of a deil. George is a
big deal. Now, these late polls could or should be concerning,
although how concerning because we know eighty percent of the
people in Georgia have already voted. But according to these
polls late breaking polls. New York Times Sienna has Harris
winning by one in Georgia, The Insider Advantage has Trump
winning by one in Georgia. The Morning Consult has Trump

(22:26):
winning by two in Georgia. North Carolina. You just have
the one New York Times Siena poll that has Harris
winning by two. The Insider Advantage has Trump winning by two,
and the Morning Consult has Trump winning by two Florida.
Others have suggested this is tightened, and again I just
don't really see that Trump's and the latest is up

(22:50):
by five in the Morning Consult New Hampshire had gotten tight.
The last one from the University of New Hampshire shows
Harris winning by five so you know, the question became
for closed. New Hampshire's close. There's some other states that
we haven't been focusing on that are swing states. Could
one of those pop and create an interesting outcome? And
I just don't see any of that anywhere. From Maryland,

(23:12):
Massachusetts to Iowa. Had been some concern. We did get
some polling Saturday that had Harris forty seven, Trump forty four,
Kennedy three, Chase one. Therefore Harris up three. That's the
Des Moines Register. And again, this is just a difficult
poll to really believe. In twenty sixteen, Trump won by nine,

(23:36):
and twenty twenty, even during COVID, even with the mail
in ballots and the shadow campaign, Trumps still one by eight.
Four years of miserable results, a border crisis created by Harris,
a flop virtually of a campaign, and where to believe
she closed a ten point gamp in Iowa. And that's
the only poll that shows it. The Emerson poll for

(23:59):
Iowa has Trump winning by ten. Only the Des Moines
Register has Harris winning by three. So these are some
interesting polls. What does it all in essence show you?
Poll wise? Poll wise, it's still a dead heat, and
it still comes down to for Donald Trump, He's got
to win Arizona or Nevada, not both. I think Arizona

(24:22):
looks good. He's got to hang on to North Carolina
and Georgia, and North Carolina looks at Alechi and then
all he needs is one of the three Wisconsin, Michigan
and Pennsylvania. For Kamala Harris. If she can hold on
to that Wisconsin, Michigan Pennsylvania corridor, she wins. Even without Nevada,
she would still win with two seventy. So the paths

(24:45):
are pretty clear. The reality will take some time to unfold.
As we're going out with a bang, not a whimper.
Old Joe wants to well, first we were all garbage.
Now he wants to slap us all on the ass.

Speaker 6 (24:56):
Listen, there's one more thing Trump is publican friend want
to do.

Speaker 4 (25:01):
And what another a giant tax chap for the wealthy.

Speaker 2 (25:05):
Now.

Speaker 4 (25:05):
I know some of you guys are attempted to think
as much of guys. I'm I'll tell you what, man.

Speaker 2 (25:10):
I was.

Speaker 4 (25:10):
Granted, we used to have a little trouble going down
on the plot once in a while, but I'm serious.
These are the kind of guys you're like to smacking ass.

Speaker 2 (25:23):
And it was a a real nursing home face he
made as he said it. Joe Rogan makes the sound
of the day why he sat down with Senator Fetterman.
It actually gets Fetterman to admit that the Democrats are
dumping millions of illegals into America for votes.

Speaker 7 (25:44):
Bignificant number of illegal aliens being allowed into the country
every year. I think it was two million people, so
it was still the same sort of situation. And their
fear is exactly what I talked about, that these people
we moved to swing states and that that will be
used to essentially rig those states and turn them blue forever.

Speaker 6 (26:04):
Well, I'm not really sure if that's what's in play.
I think it's really like it's important that we have
with have an honest conversation.

Speaker 7 (26:13):
Doesn't that seem logical though, If you have a significant
number of people that are being moved into swing states
that have come across the border illegally, and then you
provided them with all these services, You provided them with
food stamps, EBT, you provided them with housing. You could
if you gave those people amnesty and allow those people
to vote.

Speaker 2 (26:32):
And it was very organized you're talking about.

Speaker 7 (26:35):
Seventy five thousand votes over a few counties that switched
everything over to the Republicans.

Speaker 2 (26:40):
You could see how.

Speaker 7 (26:41):
You import ten million people over the course of four
years illegally, and then move a significant number of them
to swing states, and then provide them with all these
services and then give them a path to citizenship.

Speaker 2 (26:54):
You could essentially rig those states.

Speaker 6 (26:57):
Undeniably, immigration is changing our nation. I mean, I haven't
spent a lot of time in Texas, but it's very
clear that that immigration has remade Texas, and I think
it's generally for a good.

Speaker 2 (27:08):
I was interviewing a congressman, Yeah, a good thing for you.
I was interviewing a congressman probably twenty two years ago,
and at that point my reference was from Reagan to
to George W. Bush, who I was having a problem
with his immigration position, and I said, why can't we
make any progress on this? This is an issue of sovereignty,

(27:29):
It's an issue of border security, national security, national financial security.
This is ridiculous, he said. Republicans like the chief labor,
Democrats like the votes. Not much has changed. You don't
recognize it as much when it's George Tepanophlis. But here's
Jensaki with the beginning of the Biden administration, and presumably

(27:52):
she too hid Joe Biden's condition from the American people.
She's now just an MSNBC host, and here she is
with the former speaker. Listen to this. I think that what.

Speaker 8 (28:05):
The ex president just said is a further indication of
his cognitive degeneration. You saw recently we was talking about
whether he chose electrocution or being eaten by sharks. Something's
very wrong there and indigative, and it also is diminishing
the power of the press, which is the guardian of

(28:26):
our freedom in our country.

Speaker 2 (28:28):
Do you really think that the mainstream median media is
the guardian of our country? Oh and here's Nancy Pelosi
eighty six years old, talking about cod.

Speaker 8 (28:41):
So I think people who are my thinking about voting
for him have to know that he can't last as
president for four years with his brain deteriorating at the
rate that it is, and is clearly evident.

Speaker 2 (28:51):
As Nancy Pelosi, who hid Joe Biden's brain, who did
deteriorate until she threw him in the back of a
trunk and executed as president. See Oh, I guess that
with a bang, not a whimper, that your sounds the
day and polls of plenty on the day before election, Monday,
November the fourth year of Our Lord, twenty twenty four.
I'm Executive Chef George Harveale. My morning show is your

(29:15):
Morning Show with Michael de Jorna. Thanks for waking up
with your morning show. I'm Michael del Jorno. Aaron Real
is joining us. The Republican's strong hold of i Wan.
You let me do this in complete hysteria because I'm
not buying it, but I'll do it. The Republican's stronghold
of Iowa. It's six electoral votes could be in play
on election day. This pole kind of stands alone, strangely,
doesn't it erin So here comes a Des Moines register

(29:35):
that has Harris at forty seven, Trump at forty four,
Kennedy at three, Chase at one, Harris by three. Right
before the election, previous Emerson poll has Trump by ten.
I reminded our audience. I'll remind you that in twenty sixteen,
Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton one Iowa by nine, and
twenty twenty, coming out of COVID and the mail in

(29:56):
votes He's still won Iowa by eight and we're to presume,
after four or miserable years of Biden arras and mensa
mensa campaign, that suddenly she's winning in Iowa. I don't
I think, to quote John Decker, this is one poll.
I think I'd take it with a grain of salt.
But try to convince me if you can.

Speaker 9 (30:14):
No, No, I have no interest in convincing anyone of anything. Yes,
this is a poll came out des Moines, Iowa register.
Forty seven percent of likely voters are going for Trump.
Forty four excuse me, for Kamala Harris forty four going
for Trump has him her winning by almost five percent
of points in terms of the margin of era, this
is a big one. Female voters, older independence all going

(30:38):
for Harris. Is this a Canarian a coal mine? Might
this be what is going to happen across the board?
Are we seeing like these last minute push where those
independents are like, I cannot bring myself to vote for Trump?

Speaker 2 (30:49):
It might be. It also might be a complete anomaly. Yeah, right,
we'll have to see. Well, here's what's strange about it
when you break it down. So among those that are
very in enthusiastic and somewhat enthusiastic. It fell among them
among Democrats from eighty one to seventy percent. Was that
Democrats are independence. This was wait a minute, I got yeah,

(31:13):
seventy one percent. Yeah, yeah, So among Democrats I believe
it was. Yeah, the enthusiasm gap went from seventy one
down from eighty, so enthusiasms down nine percentage points from
September when she was down in September, it goes down
another nine points, and now she's suddenly up and we're

(31:35):
supposed to believe that a state that is I think
it ended up being somewhere around fifty five to forty
five women early voting and only twenty percent of dependent.
I mean that would mean literally every independent had to
break yes her way, which might be hard to believe.

Speaker 9 (31:51):
And listen, the RFK one is a big one because
he went with Trump, so like the independents that were
going to go with RFK.

Speaker 2 (31:57):
That's that's big. But the idea that.

Speaker 9 (32:02):
Neither candidate campaigned in the state because it was so
solidly Trump. So then you have this one last minute.

Speaker 2 (32:06):
I don't think poles work, but.

Speaker 9 (32:08):
We will have to see if this is If this
is indicative of something bigger because Trump has been going
for you know, he has leaned deeply into the muchi'smo
which is securely in his corner. So are the women
and the independence just truly like, no last minute can't
do it.

Speaker 5 (32:25):
Yeah.

Speaker 2 (32:26):
I don't like to be Yeah, I don't like to
be completely dismissive on things we can't possibly know. But
I mean, the Emerson pole had Trump up fifty three,
forty three by ten. That's pretty consistent with twenty sixteen
and twenty twenty. Then this one comes in out of
the blue and has her up by three. Every independent
I don't think could have shifted it that many points,
nearly ten points. You know, it cou'd be thirteen points.

(32:47):
I don't even think every independent could shift it that much.
It sure looks like an anomaly, but it's you know,
the interesting to see. I think the most interesting thing
about this election is that forty eight percent of us
have already voted. This will be known as the early
voting election. We're all in this together. This is your
Morning Show with Michael Del Jorno.

Speaker 3 (33:10):
M