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December 30, 2025 33 mins

Democratic policies are ruining a beautiful state.

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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hi, It's Michael. Your morning show can be heard live
weekday mornings five to eight am, six to nine am
Eastern in great cities like Tampa, Florida, Youngstown, Ohio, and
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. We'd love to join you on the
Drive to work live, but we're glad you're here now.
Enjoyed the podcast starting your morning off right.

Speaker 2 (00:20):
A new way of talk, a new way of understanding,
because where inness together? This is your morning show with
Michael del Chrono.

Speaker 3 (00:33):
And Kelly Nash filling in for Michael del Joorno today.
This is my last workday of the year. Thank you
to Adam who has been producing the show out in California.

Speaker 4 (00:43):
Planning on.

Speaker 3 (00:45):
He said, if you need someone to just talk bad
about California, just we'll just turn his mic on.

Speaker 4 (00:50):
He's living it.

Speaker 3 (00:51):
And we do want to talk about some of the
new proposals, or at least the one major proposal that
California has made. But I understand we've got a lot
of people using the talkback feed and it is your
morning show. So before we move on, we're going to
go to I guess this will start off with Curtis.
Curtis is checking in this morning from Tennessee.

Speaker 4 (01:10):
And what's he saying?

Speaker 5 (01:11):
Good morning, Curtis, Mount Juliet, Tennessee. Six foot two hundred
and ten pounds, thirty four inch.

Speaker 4 (01:17):
West, very nice.

Speaker 5 (01:19):
Me six foot two hundred and ten pounds thirty eight
inch waste not so good.

Speaker 2 (01:25):
You're bragging, bro. I can go out run a mile though.

Speaker 4 (01:28):
Because I played basketball and I can run forever.

Speaker 5 (01:31):
I never have lost that one, so my knees are okay.
So but six foot two ten.

Speaker 4 (01:36):
You're doing good. You're not obese.

Speaker 5 (01:38):
Have a good one. Bye.

Speaker 4 (01:41):
Well, thank thank you, Curtis. I appreciate it.

Speaker 3 (01:43):
We were talking about the new definition that they're coming
up with. Harvard and Yale has worked on this and
the new definition. If this is what they implement in
twenty twenty six, which is what I guess the medical
reports are expecting them to do, it will make seventy
five percent of Americans obese. And I am already considered obese,
and you know, not to be two bragged oceans, Curtis.

Speaker 4 (02:05):
But I'm six one six one.

Speaker 3 (02:08):
Two ten, and yes, i am considered obese currently. Although
I have a body fat percentage somewhere between twelve and
fifteen percent.

Speaker 4 (02:16):
I'm obese.

Speaker 3 (02:17):
And so every time I talk to these medical people
online or whatever they're talking about, well, you got to
you gott a weight issue. I don't have a weight issue.
We heard from a lady earlier who was talking about
her husband. He was six' one like one ninety or
one ninety five or something, and they told him he
was obese. All right, let's go anow while to Mary.
Mary is checking in? Is this from Idaho?

Speaker 4 (02:39):
Good morning, Kelly.

Speaker 6 (02:40):
This is Mary and Idaho. I think one of the
big losers are the poor people of California who they
have voted for things to happen, like billions of dollars
for water storage, and you got all of this historic
rain and it's going to just wash out into the
ocean because they won't build the reservoirs that were approved
by the voters back in twenty fourteen. Maybe everyone who

(03:01):
goes to the Rose bul should just take a bucket
with them, because that'd be the only water stories they're
going to see for a while. Have a great day.

Speaker 4 (03:09):
Well, thank you, Mary.

Speaker 3 (03:11):
And maybe she's a former Californian because she's very plugged
in and what's going on in California, and she is
alluding to the Rose Bowl, which could be historic this
year and the sense that we have not seen the
Rose Bowl played in soggy conditions in over twenty years.
But it looks as if the Rose Bowl this year
is going to be played in the rain. And yes,
they've been getting walloped with whether it's snow in the mountains.

(03:35):
They had over four feet in some spots this past weekend.
And then of course the flooding is coming down into
southern California right now.

Speaker 4 (03:44):
And she makes a great point.

Speaker 3 (03:46):
They they just are not doing what the taxpayers actually
voted for and they're losing all this water and then
when they need the water, they don't have it. Very
sad developments for California. Now we're going to head on
out to Phoenix. Is this Ted is checking in this morning?

Speaker 4 (04:05):
This is Ted from Phoenix.

Speaker 7 (04:07):
Trump was right again. Who remembers the story of the
snake During Trump's rallies, who would often tell the story
of the snake. For those of you that don't know,
it's about a lady who cares for a snake and
the snake ends up fatally biting her. Happy New Year, everybody, Minnesota.
Nice equals the nice lady.

Speaker 3 (04:32):
That's interesting. I have not heard Trump tell that story.
But thank you Ted from Phoenix. If you're wondering how
are all these people getting on the Earth, they're using
the talkback feature. So if you're listening on the iHeartRadio app,
which is free to download. If you got a new
cell phone or maybe a new tablet this year for Christmas,
download that.

Speaker 4 (04:49):
Free iHeartRadio app.

Speaker 3 (04:51):
And then when you're listening to whatever show, whether it's
your morning show with Michael del Journal or you're listening
to whomever, there's the talkback feature.

Speaker 4 (04:58):
Just it's the microphone. Hit the microphone. I'll give you
three two to one.

Speaker 3 (05:01):
It's great if you say your name, but not everybody
gives their name. I understand that we have somebody here
in the town of Ames, Iowa's checking in didn't give
us their name.

Speaker 8 (05:13):
So good morning, Good morning guys. When I was in
the Navy, there's a guy we called pop and fresh.
He couldn't fit through the opening of a submarine. There's
another guy who's there are all within standards minding because
of the body mass index. This is in two thousand
and one. At Polari's point. There's another guy. I'd like
to say his name, but he couldn't fit through the

(05:34):
tube of the He couldn't fit down the gangway either,
which is really ridiculous of a submarine, mind you. Anyway,
you guys have a happy New Year.

Speaker 3 (05:44):
Well, thank you and certainly appreciate it. Thanks for listening
to IOWA this morning. Hopefully you're holding up okay with
the winter weather man. That was what they call it,
a bomb, a cyclone bomb or something that went off
over the lots of the Midwest yesterday and the Sunday
crazy weather. And we talked to Roy O'Neil a little

(06:05):
while ago about the weather conditions. Lots of flight delays
happening still today, lots of flight cancelations as well.

Speaker 4 (06:13):
Some roads specifically, he said.

Speaker 3 (06:15):
Around Michigan and parts of Pennsylvania having massive delays brought
on by that weather as well. But again, love to
hear from me on the talkback feature. Let's see where
where you know what. I'm running a little tight on time,
so I'm gonna hold that story where we definitely are
going to talk about California and their new proposal because

(06:38):
it is it is shocking to me.

Speaker 4 (06:40):
I'm gonna do it.

Speaker 3 (06:41):
I'm gonna do a little search on something here in
the meantime as well as I get ready for that,
because I said something in the first hour that I'm
not sure is true. Yeah, I say things off the
seat in my pants. I'm just flying, just flying out here,
just saying whatever, like I'm Donald Trump or something.

Speaker 4 (06:55):
I'm just saying whatever.

Speaker 3 (06:57):
Uh, and uh, I'm gonna I'm gonna fact check myself
on that, so I will get back with the facts
and if ken, if you've got something you'd like to contribute,
use the talkback feature.

Speaker 2 (07:07):
It's uh, California, this is your morning show with Michael
del Chno.

Speaker 3 (07:21):
Thank you to everybody's using the talkback feature this morning,
keeping the show moving along. I understand that we're going
to go to the state of Virginia. Now for somebody
who's got a thought to share with us.

Speaker 9 (07:31):
I want to bring up an idea I come up
with everyone over six stay five has free insurance and
let the young people pay for it ten dollars a week.
Stop giving all these countries that money, stop giving schools
colleges money, and use that money for health care.

Speaker 3 (07:53):
Okay, I will point out, by the way, thank you
very much for letting your voice be heard on the
talkback feature. I'll point out that the United States of
America spends more money on healthcare almost two to one
over the second place country. So we spend a ton
o dough on healthcare benefits for our citizens. We're just

(08:17):
not spending it wisely, which tends to be a consistent
theme amongst government agencies. Up next, Youngstown, Ohio is checking
in this morning.

Speaker 4 (08:29):
Good morning, mister Nash. Congratulations.

Speaker 10 (08:32):
I'm doing an outstanding job coming from Michael and the gang.

Speaker 4 (08:36):
You don't giggle like a little schoolgirl.

Speaker 10 (08:38):
You don't talk about your dad's dog pooping everywhere, or
talk about yourself constantly. It's refreshing. You do a great job. Well,
we're never happy when Michael's gone. You do an outstanding
job filling and keep it up. Looking forward to hearing
you again. Oh well, isn't that nice? Thank you very much.
I appreciate it. I don't have a dog to talk about.

(09:01):
Maybe I should talk about my wife. My wife is
truly my better half. But anyway, I don't think that
you guys are very interested in me and my wife.
You're more interested in what's going on in the world today.
And one of the things that's going on in the
world today, is this outrageous wealth tax idea in California. Now,

(09:23):
if you haven't heard this story yet, yeah, First off,
let me take you back to last week. Last week,
in the week previous, you had these stories coming out
of California.

Speaker 11 (09:32):
This latest report was issued by the state auditor, and
that's a non partisan position. Newly added to the high
risk list as California's food stamp program. If the state
doesn't get the improper payments under control, it could cost
an extra two and a half billion dollars. Also on
there is a Department of Finance which was tasked with

(09:52):
giving out COVID relief funds. Critics say thirty two billion
dollars of that was taken by fraudsters. Then there are
infrastructure issues that California's deteriorating dams and also the high
speed train that's already cost tax payers eighteen billion but
had a single section of track complete.

Speaker 3 (10:10):
I mean, it's it's unbelievable. They're talking, you know, when
we talk about what's going on in Minnesota at nine
billion dollars of fraud. This California State Auditor put it
at like seventy two and a half billion dollars of
waste and fraud. And I mentioned earlier one of the
wasteful things that they're doing is there's over six thousand

(10:33):
cell phones that they're paying the monthly bill on that
are not assigned to anybody. They're just six thousand phones
that nobody's using that they're paying. It's like two and
a half million dollars a month that they're just wasting
on cell phones. So California is at best a mismanaged state.

(10:54):
At best, some would say it's corrupt. Some would say
that there's people making crazy profits. Where'd that thirty two
and a half billion dollars that the lady just mentioned
in COVID relief funds end up going? If it was
fraudulently spent? Where who got that? I guess we'll have
to have some more investigations on that. But seventy two

(11:15):
billion dollars gone in California, And now we get this proposal.

Speaker 12 (11:20):
The proposal would impose a one time five percent tax
on the assets of California residents worth more than a
billion dollars. It would require residents to report their total
net worth, including property, investments, businesses, and other assets, so
the state can tax overall wealth.

Speaker 4 (11:38):
Not just income, and I did check. I was right.

Speaker 3 (11:42):
We've never had a wealth tax in the United States.
Now there are countries that have used the wealth tax,
and currently it's what is it, Columbia, Italy, Turkey, Luxembourg, Switzerland, Norway, Spain, Belgium, Hungary, France, Canada,
in Germany. Those are the world nations that are actually

(12:03):
using a wealth tax.

Speaker 4 (12:06):
Now.

Speaker 3 (12:06):
The reason a wealth tax is a bad idea. And look,
Donald Trump proposed a wealth tax in nineteen ninety nine.
When he was running for president. In two thousand, he
proposed it. Now you notice he hasn't reproposed it because
he got coached up on this and he now goes
with tax cuts rather than wealth taxes. A wealth tax

(12:28):
is a It's a tax on something you don't have yet.
This is your at this is and we talked about
this in the first segment. The idea that you have
something on paper worth money doesn't mean that you actually
have money. If your home that you bought has tripled

(12:48):
in value while you've lived there, you didn't actually make
a nickel on that house. But your home that you
bought for three hundred thousand dollars may be worth over
a million now So if we were saying we're going
to put a wealth tax on people who.

Speaker 4 (13:02):
Are millionaires, you'd be in on that.

Speaker 3 (13:05):
You use, wait a minute, I'm not a millionaire, but
you would be on paper. There are many people who
were billionaires in the late nineties who were actually broke.
And what I mean by that is the dot com
boom made people. They gave valuations on these websites. And
it's if you're not old enough to remember the late nineties,

(13:25):
it was a crazy era when everybody was just trying
to launch these websites. Because as soon as you announced
I own whatever the name, you know, pets dot com
or whatever. Once you said that's mine, I own it,
people would say, Wow, what a great name for a website.

Speaker 4 (13:42):
That's probably going to be worth a billion dollars.

Speaker 3 (13:45):
So the evaluation is a billion dollars and you get
a couple of investors involved, and next thing you know,
you're you have a billion dollar company that's actually losing
money every year. Facebook was losing money until like ten
years ago. I mean, Amazon on lost money like the
first fifteen years it was in existence. It was a
billion dollar company, but it lost money every year. It's

(14:06):
making a lot of money now. But if they put
a tax on that not realized wealth yet you haven't
actually got the money for it, it would destroy these companies.

Speaker 4 (14:18):
Amazon would have never become Amazon.

Speaker 3 (14:20):
It would have gone out of business, or it would
have been It would have at the very least stunted
its growth. So that's why it's a horrible idea. And
now it's already having a negative effect.

Speaker 4 (14:29):
It seems.

Speaker 13 (14:29):
Enter capitalists Peter Teel and Google co founder Larry Page
are considering leaving the state or cutting reducing their California
ties by the end of the year. That's according to
the New York Times reporting. Others, including investor Chamath Pala Hapatia,
fired back on Ax, writing, quote, the inevitable outcome will
be an exodus of the state's most talented entrepreneurs, who
can and will choose to build their companies in less

(14:51):
regressive states. Gary Tann, president of the startup incubator y Combinator,
blasted the proposal as a quote unrealized gains tax that
puts founders on the hook for becoming paper billionaires.

Speaker 3 (15:02):
This is a cnbcie report yesterday, and this has all
come about in the last what four or five days,
this idea that they're going to get a ballot initiative
in November of twenty twenty six. You need eight hundred
and seventy five thousand signatures. In California. They've already got
about six hundred thousand because it's being proposed by two
unions that.

Speaker 4 (15:20):
Have about six hundred thousand members.

Speaker 3 (15:22):
So they're gonna get They're gonna get it on the
ballot in twenty twenty six. The question becomes does it pass.
I'm gonna guess yes. The idea of demonizing the rich
is a very popular thing to do in liberal leaning states.
So can we get money from billionaires people? Why would
they say no? They're going to vote yes on that.
Once they vote yes in November of twenty twenty six,

(15:44):
the ballot initiative says it's retroactive to January of this
January one. So if you're a California resident in forty
eight hours from now, and on paper you're worth a
billion dollars, you're going to have to come up with
five percent of your net asset. We'll have to go
to the state of California. It's insane. So that's why

(16:04):
people are leaving, and it's certainly going to discourage people
from coming into the state that are thinking about building companies.

Speaker 2 (16:13):
This is your morning show with Michael Deltno.

Speaker 3 (16:22):
This is Kelly Nash Pinch hitting today, having a blast.
And thank you to the audience, the people who are participating,
sharing their thoughts and insights driving your morning show. And
I'm told by it. This is a talkback from the
state of California. No name, but somebody in California. What
they got to say, good morning.

Speaker 14 (16:42):
Hey, as a lifelong California born and raised, live here,
never going away, going to defend it.

Speaker 4 (16:48):
It's too important.

Speaker 14 (16:50):
What we really need is the federal government to get
out of it the business of covering all the state's problems.
That's not their job. I hate it. And money's coming
from other states to bail us out. Quit bailing us
out here in California. Let us hit the wall, the
dust will finally settle, and everyone will be better.

Speaker 3 (17:11):
That is a great perspective. I appreciate your talk back
on that. And yeah, the idea of decisions and elections
of consequences. You know when Trump said you just needed
a new president. You didn't need new laws, you just
needed a new president. You needed somebody to actually enforce

(17:33):
the laws on the book. You need somebody in California
to manage it properly.

Speaker 4 (17:38):
Gavin Newsom as.

Speaker 3 (17:41):
I would I if you're somebody who doesn't live in
the United States and you have no interest in politics,
and you just assess the state of California and how
it's being run, you would have to say it's an
unmitigated disaster area.

Speaker 4 (17:56):
This is.

Speaker 3 (17:59):
Probably the greatest state in America when it comes to
just natural resources. California is an unbelievable gem. It's so beautiful.
I was fortunate enough to have cousins and aunts and
uncles who lived in California when I was growing up,
and so I would say I went there often. I

(18:20):
probably made four or five trips as a child to
southern California. Riverside specifically is where they lived, but got
a chance to kind of tour the area into Los
Angeles and so on and so forth. I've been back
several times. I'm just on vacation visiting some of my relatives.

(18:40):
One of my favorite trips of all time was to
California back in this time.

Speaker 4 (18:46):
Christmas twenty nineteen. My wife and I went.

Speaker 3 (18:48):
And she loves mid century modern design. And so we
went out and visited Palm Springs and what a gorgeous
area Palm Springs is.

Speaker 4 (19:00):
As somebody who loved.

Speaker 3 (19:01):
The rat Pack tour, you know, going out and looking
at Sinatra's house and all that sort of stuff. Go
out to Cathedral City, visit the actually went to the
grave and all that sort of stuff. But what they're
doing to California is a it's a shame, it's beyond
a shame. They're ruining something that is one of the
most beautiful places in America, and they're making it unlivable

(19:24):
for a lot of Americans. And that's why you see
this home. When they say they were addressing the homeless issue,
they've made the homeless issue significantly worse. They didn't help
at all, They've made it worse. And this seems to
be the Democrats' strategies almost. It's like when you talk
about drug addiction. Everybody agrees that drug addiction is a

(19:48):
horrible thing. How do you want to fight it? And
on the right, the conservatives say, we're going to crack
down on the law. If you're selling the drugs, we're
going to send you to jail. If you're a drug
addict yourself. We're going to try to get you mental help,
We're going to try to get you substance help. We're
going to try to get you off the streets, clean
you up, and then inspire you to go and live

(20:11):
a great, productive life. That's the conservative way of addressing
a drug issue. That is not the Democrats' way of
doing it, though. The Democrats way is let's get them
clean needles, let's give them safe shoot up areas. Let's
make sure that the drug supply that they're getting isn't tainted.
Because they are drug addicts, so they need drugs. That
goes against everything in my being. Don't feed the addiction.

(20:38):
If someone is on the verge of becoming homeless, don't
help them become homeless. If someone is on the verge
of they're not sure of their gender, we shouldn't be
pushing them to just.

Speaker 4 (20:50):
Follow your feelings.

Speaker 3 (20:52):
You're confused, that's a great time to make a decision.

Speaker 4 (20:56):
No, it's not.

Speaker 3 (20:58):
We need clarity, We need definitions, we need boundaries. These
are things that just human beings in general, we thrive
on boundaries. God has a Bible which puts pretty clear
boundaries on what a good life is and a bad
life is. And when you decide to ignore the boundaries,

(21:19):
yes you're in violation of God's laws, but you're also
typically a miserable person because those those boundaries were set
up to help you.

Speaker 4 (21:28):
The idea.

Speaker 3 (21:29):
Look, you know, I laugh at the idea because people
point to the Bible and say, well, you know King
David had multiple wives or whatever.

Speaker 4 (21:37):
Most of his problems came from that.

Speaker 3 (21:40):
Most of his problems came from don't have more than
one wife. Don't do it. It's a bad idea. God
wasn't into that idea, by the ways. You know, it's
like slavery. Yes, he referenced slavery in the Bible. He
was not a fan of slavery. Do not have slaves,
do not have multiple spouses. There are you know, do
not have intimate relations out side of marriage.

Speaker 4 (22:01):
That's where a lot of the Do not spend money, you.

Speaker 3 (22:03):
Don't have The Bible talked about that.

Speaker 4 (22:06):
You don't want to go in debt because then you are.

Speaker 3 (22:09):
A slave to the lender. These are all great boundaries
that we need and if we follow, if we recognize
the boundaries, then we thrive. If we don't recognize the boundaries,
we have problems, and we have so many people in
liberal states and cities that are having massive problems, and
it breaks, it breaks my heart. I'm sure I'm not

(22:30):
the only conservative who looks in some of these cities
and these states and they go, oh, my gosh, can't
we do something to help them?

Speaker 4 (22:37):
Can't? The only thing we can do is move into
those cities and states, and you.

Speaker 3 (22:41):
Know, Barack Obama style, become a community organizer, except the opposite.
We'd have to be community organizing conservatives. We'd have to
be trying to get people to recognize that you have
more opportunity as a conservative than you would as a liberal.

Speaker 4 (22:59):
A liberal would.

Speaker 3 (23:00):
Basically, if you're on the upper end, you are enslaving
the people on the bottom, and if you're on the bottom,
you're voting to enslave yourself. You're saying, give me government money,
give me government housing, give me government healthcare, give me
government phones.

Speaker 4 (23:20):
I always remember that, Lady.

Speaker 3 (23:21):
EHB, I got Obama phone, and then you can't get
out of it, because once you have these things, it's
really hard to snip that. In bilical court, it's very
difficult to say I am going to walk away from
my government housing into what, you can't go.

Speaker 4 (23:41):
Get a job until you're out.

Speaker 3 (23:44):
Once you get the job, they kick you out, and
now you don't have any money for your new place,
so you've become enslaved to that. That is the Democrats
theory is once we have you enslaved, you can't leave,
and then you're gonna just keep voting for more of it,
and you hope that we vote to give you a
little bit more.

Speaker 4 (24:04):
This year.

Speaker 3 (24:05):
We're going to give you a little upgrade in your
annual salaries, your allowances.

Speaker 4 (24:09):
You'll get a little bit more this year.

Speaker 3 (24:11):
Or maybe you were bad and if you were bad,
you're going to get a little less, but you're not leaving.

Speaker 4 (24:17):
We need to do free Americans.

Speaker 3 (24:20):
That's I mean, if you're just looking politically, I mean,
obviously the biggest mission in life would be to free
all humanity from the bonds of slavery, which is sin.
But just on a political level, we need to free
Americans from the the bounds. They're bound up here. They're
in shackles to the Democrat Party, and they they don't

(24:43):
many of them want to get free, and they don't
know how how many people are you seeing in New
York right now that are realizing that the no tax
on tips is not going to apply to them, because
Kathy Hokle says, uh huh, you're gonna wait a minute, what, Yes,
you're gonna even though it's a federal thing, it's still
not a state thing. The Democrat Party is going to
need your tax on tips, and they're doing these interviews

(25:03):
with waiters and waitresses were shocked. I thought that, No,
you thought wrong. Kathy Hoe's the Democrats, she needs your money.
What are they gonna do?

Speaker 4 (25:12):
Move?

Speaker 3 (25:13):
Are they going to leave the state of New York?
Many of them will, I suppose, but many can't. They
can't afford it. We need to free our fellow Americans.
They're in trouble. Let them know, spread the spread the
message far and wide. MAGA is for everybody. If you're
an American, then when I say everybody, I mean Americans.
I'm not talking about you Somalians. I'm talking about Americans.

(25:36):
Make America great again for all Americans. And you can
be liberal in certain policies, just not in the expansion
of government. That is a that is a recipe for disaster.

Speaker 2 (25:51):
This is your Morning Show with Michael del Chono.

Speaker 4 (26:01):
This is Kelly Nash filling in for Michael. He'll be
back next week.

Speaker 3 (26:04):
And I want to say hi to Steve listening up
in Canada who hit me up on Twitter and he
just said he lost power for about a half hour yesterday.
I guess he's a little north of Buffalo. And yes,
a lot of flight delays in Buffalo yesterday. I guess
more flight delays throughout today as well. And people are

(26:25):
using the talkback feature. And Adam, I'll apologize to you
right now. I forgot who you said is on the
talkback feature, but we'll just go to that right now.

Speaker 15 (26:32):
This is Richard formerly from California who escaped many years ago.
Don't forget there is another silent tax that California and
many other states have called overregulation, and California is starting
to have problems with a tax on gas because of
overregulation on oil production in the state and a lot

(26:57):
of oil production company.

Speaker 3 (27:01):
Yeah, great point on that one, Richard, And that's why
they're paying so much money. It's like over five dollars
a gallon I think in California. And by the way,
as we mentioned on the billionaire attacks, already the top
one percent of Californians are paying forty percent of the
state revenues, so it's not like they're not already paying
their fair share.

Speaker 4 (27:20):
But anyway, am I to understand.

Speaker 3 (27:23):
That we do have the man Rory O'Neil checking in
with us right now? Oh okay, I thought I heard
that in my ear.

Speaker 4 (27:32):
I am sorry. I apologize, but well, why we wait
for Roory?

Speaker 3 (27:34):
I will tell you that I am obsessed with predictions,
and one of the predictions that I'm looking at in
polls is that right now jd Vance has the biggest
lead in a primary history. Right now, he's at over
fifty percent in the Republican primary. And now again we're
still a long ways off for that Number two. Are

(27:56):
you kidding me? Nikki Haley is number two currently and
number three is Tulsi Gabbert, but again, neither one of
them are in double digits.

Speaker 4 (28:04):
He's got over fifty percent right now. Looking at the.

Speaker 3 (28:08):
Mid term predictions the Senate right now about sixty eight percent,
feeling like it's going to go to the Republicans to
hold the Senate in the midterms. Unfortunately, in the House,
it looks as if there's about a seventy five percent
chance for the Democrats to take over the House, which
will just lead to chaos and kind of a form

(28:29):
of a government shutdown as we move forward. And I
understand we have Rory O'Neil on the phone right now
to check in about a government shutdown.

Speaker 4 (28:36):
Watch good morning, Rory, Yeah.

Speaker 16 (28:38):
Good morning. We are on starting the clock, I guess already,
even though Congress is on their holiday break, when they
get back, the House only has about twelve days, the
Senate fifteen working days to get something done to avoid
a shutdown.

Speaker 3 (28:54):
And you know this is if I'm understanding this correctly, Rory,
and maybe you can help me if not, Could the
Republicans just do what they call the nuclear option and
say we're just going to use simple majority votes and
just kind of bypass this whole government shutdown threat.

Speaker 16 (29:12):
Well that's one possibility. I think what's more likely, though,
is that there'll be some sort of a continuing resolution
both sides will agree to, because I don't think there's
much of an appetite for a government shutdown out there.
You know, Look, these politicians know government shutdowns don't sit
well with voters, but sometimes they go through them anyway.
And we just had the longest government shutdown on record.

(29:34):
The Democrats really didn't get anything to show for it, right,
They didn't even really get a Senate vote on the
issue of those healthcare subsidies. So here we are again,
and does it really win them any what's the upside,
I guess is my short question to having a government
shutdown again. It just hurts Americans.

Speaker 3 (29:53):
It seems as if you know, when you see the
polling on Democrats, what the Democrat base voter wants is
is more fight from their politicians. But I think to
your point, and as we head into the midterms, they
don't just need the Democrat base, they actually need general voters,
you know, people who are non partisan to come to
their side. And if they're going to shut this thing down,

(30:15):
this might actually help the Republicans.

Speaker 16 (30:17):
Well that's a possibility. But there's that a pox on
both your houses kind of thing, right, and it just
erodes overall confidence in Congress, as if there were much
of it left. But you know, approval ratings of both
parties is barely in double digits. I think at this
point it's something like nineteen percent for Democrats. Even among Democrats,

(30:38):
there's very low support for Democrats in Congress, and something
like the low thirties we Republicans, so neither party has
much to brag about when it comes to approval numbers
in the House or Senate.

Speaker 4 (30:51):
Yeah, you're absolutely right about that.

Speaker 3 (30:53):
I just looked up this Gallop poll and have got
Congress in general ranked at fifteen percent approval rating what
he likes Scott, it's crazy.

Speaker 16 (31:02):
You know what's interesting though, Yeah, and then I think
that same Gallup survey said that, or maybe it was
the Quinnipiac folks. They said, you know, they've got a
nineteen percent approval of Democrats in the House, but forty
two percent want Democrats to control the House after the
next midterms. Like wait, what Yeah, there's a lot of
head scratching numbers in some.

Speaker 4 (31:23):
Of these polls.

Speaker 3 (31:26):
Yeah, it is so odd, you know when you think
about everybody's frustrated with Congress, and yet it seems like
if you're an incumbent from the Senate or the House,
your chances of winning are through the roof. So it's
it's my guy's always great, it's everybody else's guy who sucks.

Speaker 16 (31:41):
Right, And that's yeah, and that's lost in the case
out there. And it's pretty interesting. But you know, again,
we're starting the clock on this again January thirtieth. It
is going to be the deadline to watch this time around.

Speaker 3 (31:54):
So we've only got a month from today. And like
you said, it was like fifteen working days or something.

Speaker 16 (31:59):
Yeah, I think it's twelve in the House and fifteen
in the Senate by the calendars that they have now,
so it's not a whole lot of time out there.
And it's there are twelve spending bills. Three of them
have passed, so it have passed nine spending bills in
the House in twelve days. Oh boy, that would take
a lot.

Speaker 3 (32:16):
What would you say the chances are right now of
them shutting it down?

Speaker 4 (32:20):
Is it more than fifty percent?

Speaker 16 (32:21):
Oh no, I'd say under thirty percent. I think they're
going to find it, like the sound of that, Yeah,
they're going to find a continuing resolution to keep the
lights on.

Speaker 3 (32:32):
Yeah, that is great news, Rory. I know you got
to go and we off you go, my man, Thank
you so much for that fantastic update.

Speaker 4 (32:41):
I love the idea.

Speaker 3 (32:42):
I love the idea of only you know, a seventy
percent chance of them not shutting down the government. But
I also, you know, kind of oddly attracted to the
idea if the Republicans can draw a line in the
sand and say we want to keep it open and
make sure that most Americans recognize that the Republicans are
for keeping the government and the Democrats shut it down.
That it could change the midterms, and that's really so important.

(33:07):
As we mentioned earlier, the you know what is it again?
The chances of the House going to the Republicans or
to the Democrats is now up to seventy five percent
because they only got to swing a few of those
seats and if they do that, get ready for impeachments
and we're just blocking everything moving forward. So the Republicans

(33:28):
really need to figure out a way to hang on
to the House if possible, in moving into the next year.

Speaker 2 (33:40):
We're all in this together. This is Your Morning Show
with Michael Nheld Joan no
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