All Episodes

November 25, 2024 82 mins
November 25, 2024: Host Adam Kaufman (Twitter @adammkaufman) is joined by Dan Watkins (@danwatkinsradio) and guests Bill Krackomberger (@billkrackman) of Fox Sports Radio and Shot Quality's Justin Perri (@justinperri8). Week 12 was a wild one in the NFL! Dogs took a big bite of the favorites again, while the NFC West race got that much tighter. We break it all down with Krackomberger, plus the reason you should be betting props over sides. The Maui Invitational is underway, so Perri stops by with his favorite plays for another busy Tuesday and, hopefully, a daylong People's Parlay sweat on the college hardwood.
Mark as Played
Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Now WRKO presents Boston's only nightly sports betting show, The
Gambler with Adam Kaufman covering spreads, props, parlays and more.
The Gambler starts now here's Adam Kaufman.

Speaker 2 (00:18):
WELLO, what's up? Everybody? Welcome in short week, New week,
The Gambler with Adam Kaufman here on WRKO. Brian but
still on vacation, just having the time of his life.
I guess, but that's okay. Three down to two. You
got me, You got Dan Watkins, Dan High.

Speaker 3 (00:37):
Hey, Hey, what's up?

Speaker 2 (00:39):
Two of us hanging out for two nights. There's a
show tonight, there's a show tomorrow. After that, we go
on hiatus through the rest of the week. Everyone enjoys
their holiday, but tonight comes with a lot of show bets,
as does tomorrow. Like any other show. Night also comes
with a live sweat right now if anyone rolled with
us on the plays that we gave out for this

(01:02):
Monday night football game, exclusive to the action app earlier
today and again, our handle is the Gambler with ak
always make sure you are checking it out and you
know who knows we have cashed some some meaty parlays
without talking about him on the radio. Hell, maybe Dan,
that's the secret. Maybe maybe just giving out on the
app and that's the move. Here's what we got going,

(01:25):
multiple bank roll repairs, all the straits, hefty people's parlay
A plus seven point fifty for this Ravens Chargers game,
boosted by fifty percent on DraftKings. I gave out the
Ravens minus two and a half. Dick Or the kicker
just kicked yet another field goal, another fifty two yarder,

(01:46):
his second of this game. And so the Ravens, who
were down ten to nothing, are leading. But it's a
nail bier. It's seventeen sixteen. They're about to get the
ball back. We are late in the third quarter, so
plenty of time to cover this. We're gonna need a
little bit of help. We're gonna need Lamar Jackson. This
was Brian's play from the road over too thirty five

(02:09):
and a half passing with about twenty game minutes left
and the Ravens you would think, I don't want to say,
necessarily leaning on the run. It is a one point game.
It's not like they're looking to run out the clock.
But you know they're They're certainly not behind at this
moment where they are inclined to throw, So gonna be
a mixture here. We need basically another one hundred yards

(02:31):
out of Lamar. Not gonna be easy, not impossible. We
can certainly get there. The one play that is in
Dan's over thirty five and a half receiving yards. Josh Palmer, who,
of course, we have a show future on as well.
I don't know if there was a little bit of
built in narrative with that as well. Doubly root for
a couple of things and we will recap show futures

(02:51):
later in the show. Is an interesting weekend for that,
good and bad and just chaotic, as well as the
NFL regular season continue in the college football season, you know,
kind of winding down into bowl season, the College Football playoff,
all of that. Palmer's in, He's just south of forty
right now, So we got that. Hopefully we get the
other two. As far as bank roll repairs go for Dan,

(03:17):
Let's see.

Speaker 3 (03:18):
We need a little more passing from both guys.

Speaker 2 (03:21):
Yeah, you have two hundred plus out of Herbert, he's
at one seventy five and a little bit more measured
than Brian one seventy five plus for Lamar. Again, we
need about fifty there to cash. Mark Andrews is already
in for mine, Derrick Henry's in, Josh Or JK. Dobbins
is in, Lad McConkie is in. Ja Flowers is now in,

(03:42):
so that is in. We have cashed my bank roll repairs.
So that's wonderful.

Speaker 3 (03:45):
Nice.

Speaker 2 (03:46):
Yeah, we'll take that however we can get it. Here's
the thing, we got another play to give out tonight.
I thought, Dan, you know, we were talking at the
end of last week when I was in studio and
just about you know, this opening segment. We're often talking
about what we're sweating, how the bets are going, what
we got coming up tonight, and of course NFL Review preview.

(04:07):
We're gonna have a first time we're on the show.
Although very well known in the betting community, we are
going to be joined by Bill Crackman on Twitter, but
Bill Krackenberger in real life, professional sports better. He has
been all over the place Fox Sports Radio host Countdown
to Kickoff there, he's on you know, Showtime, Vson, ESPN. Again,

(04:28):
very well known. He's going to be on with us
here in this opening hour for the NFL Review preview,
and really want to dial in on the NFC, the
NFC West in particular, just nuts, what is going on
in that division right now? In hard to say, man,
hard to say it. It'd be a miracle. Feels like

(04:49):
if multiple teams get into the playoffs from that division,
but one has to. So that's on the agenda. College
Basketball nowI Invitational. We'll talk that in the second hour.
Perry is going to come on from Shock Quality. But
Dan had the idea. I think it's a very good
one when it applies, and we're not going to force it.
But when we can come up with a you know,

(05:11):
we often say, like all right, Dan's play, Brian's play,
Adam's play. We're gonna have a group play a play,
one singular play. One person may suggest it, but one
singular play that we can all agree upon. That starts
after we come on the air. Try and reward the
live listener a little bit. I'm sorry if you're listening
to the podcast, doesn't help you at all if we

(05:32):
end up cashing this bet. But the live listener who's thinking,
all right, ten o'clock Eastern, still get some games starting
at ten fifteen, ten thirty maybe even later than that.
Can we make some money tonight? And I think, you
know what, you're right, we should be trying to make
some money tonight. And there is one that I pointed
out well, Dan had mentioned Larry, these are our options

(05:55):
across the NHL college hoops, you know, NBA, what have you?
Here are the games is start after ten o'clock. There
was one that I had already bet I was already
on board and that Dan people with plenty of time
to get this bet in, doesn't start for like seventy
five minutes or whatever it is at least North Carolina,
it's a great point, might be much later North Carolina

(06:16):
against Dayton. So we got the tar Heels coming into
this one. Who you know, they're they're not perfect. Their record,
they you know, they have a blemish. They're three and
one Dayton. The Flyers on the other side perfect but
five and oh and but five and oh. But you
kind of got to look at the schedule, right, like
not heavily challenged thus far. You know they I was

(06:40):
reading something earlier. Their best win so far came against Northwestern,
a team that is five and one. But again it's Northwestern.
You don't think powerhouses in college basketball. When you're naming
Northwestern North Dayton, but North Carolina that's a blue blood man,
and so you know, Tar Heels, we know what the
offense is, cap beloved. There are a lot of people
that you know, might just say, hey, played the team

(07:02):
total over. Maybe that's the better way to go, not
necessarily going to cover the seven and a half, eight,
eight and a half. Wherever you happen to get that number.
And as of right this moment looks like it is
sitting at We've still.

Speaker 3 (07:15):
Got an eight and a half on FanDuel. Everywhere else
this nine it's moved to nine. Yeah, so grab that
number on FanDuel if you're listening right now while you can.

Speaker 2 (07:22):
And even though I got it, I don't remember if
I got at seven and a half or eight. Either way,
I still like it at the eight and a half
or nine. How do you feel about this play, because
again didn't take any talking into you know on your part.

Speaker 3 (07:34):
Yeah, I like this play a lot. So, like you mentioned,
UNC does have a blemish, but that blemish is to
the number one team in the country on the road,
the Kansas Jayhawks. They lost their first game of the season.
There's just a huge talent discrepancy here in this game.
I mean, UNC's backcourt is amazing, amazing with R. J. Davis,
the depth here too, Dayton doesn't go very deep. Obviously
North Carolina's got five and four stars littered throughout this roster.

(07:57):
And then also the way these two teams play, right,
we know UNC's offense is great, and Dayton wants to
force them to shoot three pointers in mid range shots
and that just plays right into their hands. And then
on the other side, Dayton just they're they're not a
good three point shooting team at all. To keep up here,
they're shooting just thirty percent as a team this season,
which is not very good. So and on top of
that as well, it is also a lean from my

(08:18):
model so which has been running hao hot the past
few days. So we're gonna I'm all in on this.
Love North Carolina. MI is eight and a half.

Speaker 2 (08:25):
I was looking at, you know, an article I'm reading
from here, Winners and Whiners, a site that I love
checking out. When they, you know, across all sports really,
when they put their previews together, I just always find
it interesting some of the data, the opinions of their
various writers and to read a little portion. Dayton's got
off to a strong start this seeding season, closing the

(08:46):
home win over Northwestern. That is the only team the
Flyers have faced ranked higher than one sixty seventh in
the Ken Palm rankings. Now, I know we are a
ways away probably from really getting into Ken Palm talk.
That's something we do a lot more once we get closer,
obviously to you know, the NCAA tournament or even just

(09:08):
conference tournaments and all of that, but very relevant, you know,
Ken Palm all throughout the year, very much on top
of who are the good teams and who are the bad.
And that's not to say Dayton is necessarily a bad team.
Northwestern probably is. But you know, for all the reasons
that I have mentioned that you already outlined North Carolina
absolutely the better squad. So that's the That's tonight's first,

(09:32):
the inaugural group play, at least in terms of straits.
We've given out group plays on Show Futures before. Namely,
you know Yukon multiple times lost today? How about that
and I did how did you end up betting that?
I did take Memphis plus eight and a half.

Speaker 3 (09:51):
I took Yukon, I laid the points and I was like, God,
I'm gonna need like a twenty point swing here with
nine minutes left to go, and then all of a
sudden it's tied. They go to overtime and I'm like,
oh my god, might this actually happen? And then no,
just they they couldn't steal the deal there. I mean,
so first loss since I think like January of last year. Yeah,
it's not almost a calendar year, but obviously that team

(10:12):
has a lot of a lot more to like, they
have a lot more to work on and more flaws
than the teams from the past couple of years. Here
they lost a lot obviously with Klingon and Castle and
those guys, So I got some work to do, but
obviously still like them over a lot of teams.

Speaker 2 (10:25):
Yeah, I mean, you know who's going to figure it
out by March Dan Hurley?

Speaker 3 (10:28):
Yeah, Yukon if he doesn't get teed up so many
times that he suspended for the tournament.

Speaker 2 (10:33):
That's I haven't looked at. But now that you brought
it up, I should at who Yukon has next Colorado
And what's the spread.

Speaker 3 (10:40):
I don't know, I haven't seen that yet.

Speaker 2 (10:42):
Well, whatever it is they're going to cover it. Probably
Hurley is a maniac. We've talked about that extensively here
on this show. This too, is going to be psychotic.
There's no way they don't go out and absolutely roll.

Speaker 3 (10:56):
Yeah, no line yet. Action Network does not have anything
in any sportsbook, So it's gonna be interesting. A three
thirty tip Eastern time tomorrow afternoon something. Keep an eye
on there. Maybe by the end of the show will
pop up. Colorado got smoked by Michigan State today too.

Speaker 2 (11:11):
Yeah, that one didn't work out. I was on Colorado,
but I haven't started to go through the bet slips
throughout the day yet. There are oh so many damn oh, especially.

Speaker 3 (11:19):
It's feast week.

Speaker 2 (11:20):
Yeah, you gotta be everything and I'm feasting. Yeah, I'm
trying to personally feast, but I'm definitely feasted in terms
of the volume.

Speaker 3 (11:28):
Oh sure. I was on Radford at like ten thirty
this morning. They cover thankfully.

Speaker 2 (11:34):
Oh that is the best. Just warms the heart to
know that, you know, college basketball is firmly here in
back in our hearts. Well, the Baltimore Ravens are very
much in our hearts as well, and we are rooting
them on and hopefully what will lead to more points.
Here has been a nice long drive thus far. Just
to check in on some of those stats. They're at

(11:56):
the end of three but have the ball. They're deep
into Chargers territory. Lamar's at one fifty three, so close
for you as far as the one seventy five. Still
quite a ways to go for Brian obviously, but you know,
if we could get ourselves I don't know, like a
twenty yard touchdown pass that that would be wonderful, but
points we need points, however they end up coming because

(12:19):
we got to cash that minus two and a half.
Let's step aside when we come back lot to recap
from week twelve in the NFL, which I realize is
technically not over yet, but man was at a fascinating Sunday,
including by the way, for any participants remaining in Circus Survivor,
of which there are very few, entered the weekend with
less than one hundred out of the original fourteen thousand,

(12:42):
two hundred whatever the number. The chase at this point
for fourteen million dollars, Dan, I don't know if you
know a third of the remaining pool. Thirty three percent
of people had the Commanders.

Speaker 3 (12:55):
Oh, another double digit dog going down outright this weekend.
It's just been wild in the NFL this year.

Speaker 2 (13:02):
We're going to talk all about it with professional sports
better the well known Bill Krackenberger when we come back.
NFL Review Preview Here on The Gambler with Adam Kaufman.

Speaker 4 (13:12):
Live lines, locks and long shots.

Speaker 1 (13:14):
Now back to Boston's only nightly betting show, The Gambler
with Adam Kaufman on six p't eighty WRKO streaming live
on the iHeartRadio app, or tell your smart speaker to
play WRKO on iHeartRadio.

Speaker 2 (13:34):
Back here on The Gambler with Adam Kaufman, it is
time for our NFL Review preview, where, in this case,
of course, we look back on a wild Week twelve
in the NFL look ahead to what is to come
during a crazy week. Schedule wise, it is, of course
Thanksgiving week. There are no buys. Everybody's in action. Three
games Thursday, one Friday, a collection of them as usual Sunday,

(13:58):
and then bring it all home with Monday Night Football
one week from tonight. Should be a lot of fun.
But man, Week twelve in and of itself was crazy.
Some of these playoffs and specifically divisional races. The way
they are shaping up insane. And also this Ravens Chargers game,
twelve and a half to go in the fourth quarter,
Ravens did just get a touchdown Lamar Jackson a passing score.

(14:21):
He's up to one sixty three passing. Keep the push alive, Lamar.
We need more, but he's up to one sixty three passing.
Got that to Mark Andrews four for thirty five in
this game and a twenty three to sixteen lead dance
leading by a touchdown. I found it interesting they went
for two and weren't even close to accomplishing it would
have obviously put them up nine, which I don't know, Like,

(14:45):
what's the what am I missing? What's the math on this?
What's the difference between eight and nine?

Speaker 3 (14:50):
Yeah, I'm not sure I will making it a two
score game obviously making LA have to drive down twice
and yeah seven, I mean, I.

Speaker 2 (14:57):
Yes, but I don't know, Like, aren't aren't we point
in the game where you're comfortable just kicking the extra
point and going up eight?

Speaker 3 (15:03):
I mean, I get it. I mean Baltimore went for
it on their own sixteen on fourth down tonight, So
they're in full on aggressive mode.

Speaker 2 (15:09):
They're their very fair.

Speaker 3 (15:10):
Don't question anything I guess with them tonight.

Speaker 2 (15:13):
I mean, how do you question a Harbaugh? It is
the Harbor Bowl, Harbowl, Harbowl. There we go. Well, while
we watched the Harbowl. A guy who is not horrible,
in fact, he's downright great and joining us for the
very first time when the show. We're thrilled to have
him on Twitter at Bill Crackman. It is Bill Krackenberger

(15:34):
Professional Sports Better he is with Fox Sports Radio. You
have seen him on television countless times and again thrilled
to have him here with us. Bill, how are you.

Speaker 5 (15:45):
Thank you for having me on my pleasure? It's funny.
I'm in my car driving now. I just left one
of our casinos here, and don't ask me why. I
have no idea. Why would they go for that too?
You know, I'm kind of an analytics guy up to
a certain point. I don't know the analytics behind going
up nine to seven. I just don't. It's hard enough

(16:06):
to get a two point conversion. Going up eight is
a very comfortable leaf for most teams. I don't get
it sometimes, I really don't.

Speaker 2 (16:12):
Yeah, I mean, at least if you know you're up eight,
Like Dan said, I mean, I realized it's not a
two score game, but you're forcing them to have to
convert on a two point conversion to tie the game.
Now they just need a touchdown and they're even so
I don't know, a little foolish to me. We did
get an update.

Speaker 5 (16:28):
It's overblown. It is overblown. This analytics sometimes is every
team had three, four or five people every single team.
You know, they had literally a whole cast of characters
there that were considered analytics. Guys. I'll just tell you
that's going away. The teams don't have Some teams don't

(16:49):
even have analytics no more so it's it's weird. It's
very very strange to me.

Speaker 2 (16:54):
JK. Dobbins has been officially ruled out of this game,
now downgraded to out with the injury he suffered in
the opening half. So Chargers, if they are going to
come back, pardon me, and we hope they don't because
we're invested in the Ravens minus two and a half.
They will have to do it without their top running back.
Not that Gus Edwards is any slouch, but Dobbin's obviously
the stronger option there so he has done against his

(17:17):
former team after six for forty rushing if you had
him altered at forty plus like Dan here is part
many builders parlays. Whatever you catch that just by the
skin of your teeth. And he got to three for
nineteen in the air, So that fifty nine combined just
a little bit south of his rushing receiving combined number
in this game if you invested in his props. That's
a little disappointing. But you know, SOCOs, Bill, let's look back.

(17:42):
We'll certainly look at some of these division races and everything,
but let's look back a little bit at what we
saw yesterday, because really throughout the week, I mean, the
Browns started off on Thursday in the blizzard like conditions,
at least it looked that way on TV. With the
outright upset of the Steelers, which you know, huge in
terms of the race for the NFC North or AFC

(18:04):
North pardon me, not so much for the Browns, but
obviously for Pittsburgh there you know other look, I'm scanning
the board here. I mean, the Vikings just barely survived
the Bears, the Lions. There were so many people that
were on the Colts plus eight plus seven and a half.
The Lions reminded everyone exactly who the bleep they are
at ten and one, a blowout twenty four to six

(18:24):
of Anthony Richardson and company. The Buccaneers did exactly what
I thought they were going to do and took down
Tommy DeVito effortlessly won that one thirty to seven. You
had the Commanders, who were double digit favorites at home
against Cooper Rush and the Cowboys and lost by eight
points in ot Or. You know, it was stunning that game,
the Cowboys winning that one. Chiefs had to you know,

(18:47):
hold off the Panthers wasn't easy, but they got the
job done. So they're ten and one, just like Detroit.
The Texans, another big favorite at home, lost to the Titans.
Broncos continue to get better by the week. Handled the
Raider with relative ease. The Niners there are seasons on
life support, no brock parties, so they lose by twenty
eight points at Green Bay. And of course we saw

(19:08):
the Eagles, you know, take it to the Rams last night.
What was your biggest takeaway coming out of what we
saw yesterday, Well.

Speaker 5 (19:15):
It's my biggest takeaway almost every single week any given Sunday,
anything can and will happen. It's the reason why I
bet ninety percent props in the NFL. I don't really
do a lot on NFL sides, though I did have
one NFL side last week, but I'm not one to
talk about one winner in one week. Even though it
did win, it doesn't matter. It's all long term. I've

(19:36):
been around the sharpest sports betting guys and gambling syndicates
in the world the last thirty years, and I know
what's feedable. I know that I can go to a
counter anywhere in Las Vegas here and dump out my bag,
dump out a briefcase, a suitcase, whatever it may be.
All the money you can gather, you can bet on
an NFL side. However, if I want to bet, I'll

(19:58):
just use Tonight, Lamar Jackson, Rush yards over under. If
I want to bet that they're gonna lemt me to
five hundred dollars, maybe maybe they'll give me a thousand dollars,
but that will be the most. Whereas an NFL side,
it's whatever you can bring, bring your entire bankroll, put
a million dollars up. There's most of the casinos in
this town are going to take that bet. That's how

(20:19):
efficient the NFL market is. So just like you said, uh,
with the scores yesterday, that Washington game, that probably saved
the day from having to being a winning day for
the sportsbooks because what's everyone doing. Oh, let me just
enhance my parlay. I'll just throw a Washington money line
in there. They're ten and a half point favorites. They're
gonna kill the Cowboys. Let me enhance my parley a

(20:41):
little bit. That one's a lock, the biggest four letter
joke word in Nevada. Lock, followed by the biggest three
letter word after the game. Fix. It's a fix, you know.
So that's that's exactly what happens every weekend. And here
in Las Vegas, I'm here most of the time. If
Fox doesn't have me traveling on, I'm here in Las Vegas. Uh,

(21:02):
they're covering, you know, covering my my show Countdown the
Kickoff on Fox every every month, excuse me, every Sunday.
I do some Fox hit Fox Hit store in the week,
but I do betting more than anything else. You know,
I'm one of the rare people in the space. I'd
like to say that. You know, people in the space,
they give out picks, they give out their selections, they
talk about things and and goss a bit. The space

(21:23):
shrinks and what happens to them if they get fired?
Oh my god, oh my god, they have to go
to mopt floorish myself. I just go back to make
a living bet in sports fantacks every year on sports
betting win. So uh, the space is a joke, it
really is. I'm so mad at different things with charlottean
Snakehill salesman people that are out there. You know, these

(21:43):
kids are so easily influenced. And I grew up in
a tough area where I'm gambling from a very young age.
Growing up in the family I did. Growing up in
the area I did, We gambled since we're young ages.
So uh, I know what it is to get hooked
on this stuff. I try to promote responsible gambling. You
though I am doing gambling shows. I do thirteen shows
a week, and I still want to promote safe and

(22:05):
responsible gambling because I know what it is to be
that kid stuck a lot of money and chasing and
trying to get out. And you know, it's so now,
it's so fashionable. I go to Yankee Stadium Shakesdale. I'll
not shay anymore. Sydney Field and what happens. It's left field,
center field, right field, all the different sports books. It's
so glamorous, it's so easy, it's so fun, and you know,
I want to explain the kids that that's not what

(22:26):
it is. It's not what it is. And you know
a lot lastly, and I know I go on more
and more and more. I just keep on talking. I apologize,
but let me just tell you, every college in America,
especially up where you guys are, believe it or not,
every college in America that's right, has a gambling problem
because the kids are all gambling. And I'm just trying
to curb that. I want them to gamble smart. I

(22:47):
want them to bet NFL prop bets. I don't want
them to bet NFL sides. I promote a lot of
safe gambling, and I also promote professional gambling. I want
to promote something that's beatable. I don't want to bet
into a market that's the efficient that everyone talks about
from Sunday to the following Sunday. I'm looking to, let
me just face it, I'll just be honest with you.

(23:07):
I'm looking to steal a little bit. I'm not looking
to gamble.

Speaker 3 (23:10):
Well, Bell, I want to get your thoughts on the
Kansas City Chiefs and if you had any action in
this game yesterday against the Panthers. The Chiefs are now
zero and six against the spread when favored by six
and a half or more. They're favored by I think
two touchdowns against the Raiders coming up later this week
on Friday. I mean, these the Chiefs just kind of
keep sneaking by here. They've done this in two of
the past three weeks, the Denver game a few weeks ago.

(23:32):
They lost to Buffalo last week. But what do you
make of Kansas City right now?

Speaker 5 (23:39):
Listen, you go by power rankings and power ratings, so everyone,
there's about three or four of us that have to
have our own ratings of the teams. Kansas City is
just not there as in even the top three. You know,
I give him. I'll tell you why. Mahomes. I love Mahomes.
I think he's a genius, great quarterback. Love that kid.

(24:00):
I look at this contract now, and when he got it,
I was like, wow, fifty million, Well he might be
underpaid compared to some of these bums that are getting
fifty million.

Speaker 3 (24:09):
What do I think about them?

Speaker 5 (24:10):
Believe it or not, I still think they're going to
be there in the end because of Mahomes. He's the
X factor. He is really the guy that's behind that
team that can push it there with his offense, with
his rushing and and just his common sense, his skills,
great athlete. I love Mahomes, but I probably do agree
with Joe public Detroit's probably the best team in football.

Speaker 2 (24:34):
We have Bill Krackenberger here with us from Fox Sports
and so much more to explore it in the NFL.
It's our review preview segment. We're going to look ahead
to week thirteen, look at some of these divisional races,
especially the NFC West. When we come back, need event
about bad bets, You've come to the right place, tell

(24:54):
us about it.

Speaker 1 (24:55):
He calls six one seven two six six eight six eight.
That's two six six six eight six eight. Or if
you're listening on the iHeartRadio app, use the top back button.
Now back to the Gambler with Adam Kaufman on WRKO.

Speaker 2 (25:13):
Had failed two point conversion for the Ravens may not
matter because they just scored another touchdown. It is twenty
nine sixteen extra point pending, and I assume it will
be an extra point this time to go up fourteen.
This time a fifty one yard rushing touchdown. No, not
from Derek Henry, who's at twenty for one to nineteen.

(25:34):
Justice Hill, Lamar Jackson, Justice Hill with the anytime touchdowns
on the ground in this one for the Ravens. Not
Derrick Henry, with all that he has done, he has
not found the end zone. And so we talk about
prop betting here with Bill Krackenberger. It's entirely possible, likely
even that a whole lot of people have that Derrick

(25:54):
Henry anytime touchdown is a parlay piece tonight and at
the moment with seven and a half to go, not hitting,
but the Ravens at minus two and a half, that's
in a good spot now thirty to sixteen. So Bill,
some games that we have in front of us here,
I mentioned a wonky week in terms of the schedule.
Three on Thursday, Black Friday as well with the one

(26:17):
Bears at the Lions, Cowboys at the are hosting the Giants,
and who is going to want to watch that game?
Thank god it's during dinner time. Dolphins, Packers and then
we have the Raiders and the Chiefs. Another massive spread.
Thirteen Kansas City is favored by in that one. You
mentioned you're more of a prop guy than a sides guy.
Any props for the week that you already have in pocket,

(26:39):
that's funny.

Speaker 5 (26:40):
I do bet props mostly, but I do have a
side right here. Just where I was at the South Point,
they hung up three on that green Bay game, and
they kept to it all day long. Here there's a
couple of free minus fifteens out here. But I'm a
guy that likes to get the better best of everything.
I lead to free minus one ten. I just think
that Miami coming in to these kind of conditions where

(27:01):
it's freezing cold, I like green Bay in this spot.
Give them the three points. It looks like it's so easy.
That's such an easy spot. It does scare me a
little bit. But in Miami needs the game much more
than green Bay. But I do like green Bay in
the spot. I did bet that game, and I'll tell
you I wouldn't be looking to take Detroit because every

(27:22):
time you take Detroit, you're gonna pay a tax, and
the tax is in the form of an extra half
a point or maybe even some Jews. So Detroit minus
ten opened up that up to ten and a half everywhere,
even from eleven's now popping up on my screen. Yeah,
I'm not looking to lay that many points on a team,
even though they aren't probably the best team in football.

(27:42):
I'm not looking to bet that team. And also the
same thing with the Kansas City game. I mean, here's
a team that can't cover a game and they want
to lay thirteen points. I know the Raiders are awful.
By the way, it's thirteen and a half here in
Vegas because people love betting the marquee team, so they're
going to pay that tax. If you want to bet
Kansas City again, the Raiders have played them tough time
and time again. I'm not looking to uh the lay

(28:05):
points with the Kansas City Chiefs in that spot either.
If anything, I have leans to the dogs in both
of those games, Chicago and Las Vegas. But however, wait
till game time. Do not bet that now. Do not
bet that now, because if you bet it now, you're
probably gonna kick yourself for not getting a better line.
You know, more towards game time, when the public comes
in and in volume, the public loves to bet these favorites,

(28:29):
and even though it's only fifteen one hundred dollars best
going to the sports book, lots of parlays, lots of
things like that, what happens is that these teams actually
wind up getting so much money bet by the sports
books that the sports books are forced to actually move
the line anyway. So that's that's what I feel. There's
some there's some good information for for your your public

(28:51):
out there that are betting. I really think that that
if you're gonna bet the dogs against the two top
two of the top teams in the NFL, just wait
and bet them game time. Don't bet them yet. Uh
the same and that that goes the opposite way. If
you're gonna bet the favorites, well I'll just pay you
right now, you subcribe, bet them now, because you're probably

(29:13):
not gonna get a better line then you're gonna get
right now on the favorites.

Speaker 3 (29:17):
So Bill, when it comes to Thursday, one of the
first places I'm looking is in the prop market, and
I'm looking at Cooper Rush in his pass yards one
ninety nine and a half against this Giants team that
is just well outright stinky to be honest here, Cooper
Rush has been playing pretty well the past couple of weeks.
I mean, he threw for over three hundred against Houston,
a lot of that coming in garbage time. Throw us
for over two hundred and forty last week yesterday rather

(29:39):
against Washington. Thinky and Dallas. Keep this this passing game
going here again on Thursday.

Speaker 2 (29:46):
Listen.

Speaker 5 (29:47):
I'm an under guy. I love betting under on locks
of you can. I bet more overs now than I
ever have, but I'm still sixty percent under. I love,
and I mean love betting quarterbacks under. There's so many
different things and variables, you know, Like I've been betting
Minshew under the whole season. I was really cashing a

(30:08):
lot of until recently, but I have done really well
betting on his under because then they pull them. There's
always a chance someone gets hurt too. Now, of course
I'm not ever rooting for someone to get hurt, but
it is something that can happen. Now, this situation with
Rush again, I'm more looking at unders on anything now,
looking at that, you guys, it's amazing. There's a lineup.

(30:28):
You know, in the old days before the big sports
books came to the country. Now the DraftKings and the
fanduels and stuff like that.

Speaker 6 (30:35):
You could never.

Speaker 5 (30:35):
Get a prop up until three hours before the game.
Now here we are Monday, You're talking about props on
Thanksgiving Day. It's unbelievable. It really is unbelievable that four
or five days ahead of the time, these these things
are up already, so very interesting, very good. I actually
do lean to the under on that. I bet that
I have bet him under previous too. But yeah, I

(30:59):
love that you got. I do thirteen shows a week.
I can't name many that talk about props. You guys
talk about props really excites me. That shows me that
you know, you guys are shocked. Let me just tell you,
because no one talks. I just chows coast to coast.
Nobody talks about prop bets.

Speaker 2 (31:17):
Good job, guys, Dan clip that. We'll make it a
promo bill. We look forward to having you back on obviously,
but hey, we're not done with you yet. I do
want to get into some futures talk because I just
I am befuddled by the NFC West. I have been
saying for weeks I'm not convinced Arizona's a playoff team.
I'm sure as hell, don't believe that ultimately the Cardinals

(31:37):
are going to win this division. But you know what,
at the moment, they are the favorites at plus one
fifty five on FanDuel Seahawks plus one seventy five. Right
behind them the Rams plus four fifty and then, oh,
by the way, the Niners at plus six hundred, who
obviously were the preseason favorite. But all those injuries that
they have dealt with, we have show futures multiple involving

(32:01):
the Rams the Niners. I personally, you talk about moneyline parlays.
I got money line to make the playoff parlays, and
I did not think here just before Thanksgiving, I would
be sweating San Francisco. So tell me how many teams
from this division do you believe, in a crowded middle
of the NFC make the postseason And where would you

(32:22):
put your money in terms of who wins it.

Speaker 5 (32:25):
You know, Seattle is finally coming around. I would think
that that out of those teams, I would think I
would look more towards Seattle. It's funny, it's actually wanted
one of the Here I am telling you guys about
not betting games, this and that, and I'll tell you
right now, I actually bet Seattle pick them this morning

(32:46):
against the Jets. That's the team I actually do like.
I just think the Jets have a lot of different
things going on with their quarterback, and I think this
could be a situation where gossip bit they actually bentional
and let them go. Like I've heard the rumors about
this game, weight may go to three or four. So
I like Seattle on this spot. I also, like I said,

(33:07):
I like Seattle this year in general. I was on
them early in the season and they kind of just
disappointed me here. But right now, if out of those teams,
I would definitely think I would go with Seattle in
that division, And you know you, like you said though
here here you have another team at six and five Arizona.

(33:27):
If the Rams won last night, I was really going
to start rooting for them because I have some futures
on them that's going to probably lose now. But but
all my other futures are actually looking very well. But Seattle,
it would be my pick out of that out of
the NFC West Arizona. Anything can happen with that, and
the Rams could still be in a playoff hunt. These
games are I think San Franz done, though, I'm going

(33:49):
to put them, uh, I'm want to put them to
rest and put them to bed on the shelf. It's
going to be Seattle, Seattle in that division. And and
I think even Arizona and and the Rams may not
even get in. You may, but I mean may not
get there. The Arizona and the Rams. I think Seattle.
So I keep on repeating myself. I was just looking
at to make sure there are about six and five. Sorry, yeah,
both six and five Rams, five and six, just what

(34:12):
I thought. Even look at the look a look at
the South Atlanta six and five, Tampa five and six,
New Orleans four and seven. Oh my god, there is
some garbage, garbage teams on that side. I think the
real super Bowl may just be Detroit versus Philadelphia. To
be honest with you, that may be better than the
Super Bowl Bill.

Speaker 3 (34:31):
We only got about a minute left with you, but
might as well wrap things up by talking about the Patriots.
The Pats are getting two and a half or three
here at home this week against the Indianapolis Colts. Drake
may been looking pretty good here, thrown some bad picks,
but the Colts could be without Josh Downs one of
their best wide receivers. On the other side, here Sunday.

Speaker 5 (34:49):
You know, we're we're all we're a big, big time
against them. I hate to tell you, but we're a
big time against the Patriots here in Vegas. All the
wise guys are underseason wins, which were we're probably gonna
get there for that under five and a half. However,
I am under three and a half. I took three
to one down at Circa, which if they win one
more game, which their favorite to winning one more game,

(35:10):
of course, but it seems like out of all the
teams that were doing real bad this year, I thought
they were the ones this weekend that we're going to
disappoint me and just you know, win right here and
get over the three and a half and maybe have
a chance to go over the five and a half.
But they came in there and literally, trust me, Miami
is not as good as the Patriots made him. Look here,

(35:33):
win them by you know, almost twenty nineteen points. So
I have to still stick with what I'm saying. I'm
still gonna root against the Patriots. I'm sorry about that.
Guys up there. You know I have no allegiance to
any team, not even the teams. I grew up in
New York. My allegiance is my bank roll, so that's
about it.

Speaker 2 (35:50):
Listen, I don't enjoy betting against the Patriots either unless
it makes me money. So I totally get that. Bill Krackenberger.
He's on Twitter at Bill Krackman. That is kr ac
am an professional sports better Fox Sports Radio countdown to
kickoff among you know, north of a dozen shows a week.
As he mentioned, Bill, thanks so much for hopping on.

(36:10):
We look forward to doing it again anytime. Guys. Have
a great night you as well. We're gonna step aside
and we come back. We'll let you know where things
stand between the Ravens and Chargers official show plays where jerks.
We haven't even mentioned the return of Chris STAPs for
Zingis as the Celtics with a big blowout win tonight
in Cup play. That's always fun. And of course we

(36:32):
have bankroll repairs on the way.

Speaker 1 (36:35):
Sick and tired of bold sports talk and want to
get right into the action The Gambler with Adam Kaufman.
As you covered, call us now at six one seven
two six six six eight six eight. That's six one
seven two six six six eight six eight. The Gambler
with Adam Kaufman will be right back after this on

(36:55):
w RKO.

Speaker 7 (36:59):
If you up from burning, tingling or numb feet, pay
special attention as we discuss neuropathy with doctor Sean Bryan, DC.

Speaker 2 (37:06):
What is neuropathy?

Speaker 8 (37:07):
For full neuropathy is nerve damage to the feet and legs.

Speaker 2 (37:09):
What are the symptoms?

Speaker 8 (37:10):
The symptoms are numbness, burning, tingling, pain and loss of balance.

Speaker 2 (37:14):
Is neuropathy treatable?

Speaker 8 (37:16):
It's absolutely treatable and we get amazing results.

Speaker 7 (37:18):
If you have burning, tingling, numbness, coldness in your feet
or hands, or balance issues, call Brian Wellness and Chiropractic
Centers today for a nerve damage screening. This screening will
tell if you are at risk for serious complications and
if you're a candidate for our cutting edge treatment program.
End stage neuropathy leaves people confined to walkers, wheelchairs, even amputations.
The first ten callers receive a free nerve damage screening.

(37:41):
Call seven eight one eight six eight five one one eight.
Act now Call seven eight one eight six eight five
one one eight.

Speaker 2 (37:49):
For your free nerve damage screening.

Speaker 7 (37:51):
The first ten callers get this important screening for free
seven eight one eight six eight five one one.

Speaker 9 (37:57):
Eight Men, it's the holidays, the season of all kinds
of hustle and bustle. But if your energy is down,
if you aren't sleeping well, if your sex drive is miia,
and you just don't feel like the guy you once were,
maybe it's tough to get excited for all the holidays year.
This is dale for Northeast Men's Health. And if this
sounds like you, you may have low testosterone. And if so,
this is the season for you to get treated. In

(38:18):
Northeast Men's Health. We're experts in treating low TI. If
you're like most guys, you'll feel the change in just
a few weeks, and truly the results can be life changing.
You'll have improved mental clarity, your energy will kick up,
your workouts will be better, your sleep patterns will improve,
and your sex drive will likely heat up as well.
So call us and don't go through another season with
low T. Your initial visit is only ninety nine dollars

(38:41):
and includes blood work and a medical consult and if
you start on testosterone the day of your appointment, your
visit is free. Call six one, seven, seven nine to
three five thousand, or go to Northeast Men'shealth dot com.
We have five offices across the Northeast to serve you.
Northeast Men's Health a permitic restorative health practice.

Speaker 10 (38:57):
Wrongfully Injured All min nusbomb Shinara Trial Attorneys is the
team that will fight for you. Call us if you
have been in a car accident. Call us if you
have been hurt in a slip and fall. Call us
at six one seven.

Speaker 2 (39:07):
Two two two two two two.

Speaker 10 (39:09):
Two so we can get you the money you deserve.

Speaker 11 (39:13):
Do these stories sound familiar?

Speaker 1 (39:14):
I would wake up sometimes crying to my mom that
I didn't want to go to school. Math for me
it was I don't know, it just felt like way
too hard for me.

Speaker 11 (39:23):
These could be signs of a learning or thinking difference,
like ADHD or dyslexia. Some kids are wired differently, but
all kids can thrive with the right support. The American
Academy of Pediatrics and Understood dot org are here to help.
Visit understood dot org slash iHeart for conversation starters to
use with your child's pediatrician.

Speaker 1 (39:43):
The Voice of Boston is AM six eighty WRKO w
RKO the Voice of Boston and iHeartRadio station WRKO, the
Voice of Boston and iHeartRadio station. Now back to the
Gambler with Adam Kauffman on six point eighty WRKO, streaming

(40:03):
live on the iHeartRadio app, or tell your smart speaker
to play WRKO on iHeartRadio. It's time for your bank
row repair, powered by today's collision.

Speaker 2 (40:17):
A lot of great stuff from Bill Krackenberger. As we
are sweating out the end of this Ravens and Chargers game.
It is thirty to sixteen. Baltimore has the ball methodically
moving the chains on the ground, which is really killing
clock and you know, probably killing a portion of our
show bets here as well, Dan, because you know, we

(40:38):
still need from you some garbage passing yards out of
Justin Herbert. Obviously twenty Jackson has done his job. Yeah,
so look, there's three and a half minutes to go.
It's just you know, I don't know if the Charger
is going to see the ball again. Twenty one doesn't
feel like a big ask if they do, but we'll see. Lamar, though,
has no interest in passing the ball, which thinks, you know,

(41:02):
not surprising, but I mean, really we need we need
them at third and long, which we may get here.
Actually that that's about the only thing that we're hoping for.
Lamar though he's one, where does it stand one seventy seven?
We need him up all the way up to two
thirty six, So sixty yard bomb rub it in that'd

(41:23):
be great, be awesome, and do it quickly? Yeah, like
right now?

Speaker 5 (41:29):
So do we have that?

Speaker 2 (41:29):
It's are we asking that much?

Speaker 5 (41:31):
Yeah?

Speaker 2 (41:31):
I guess maybe we are either way shaping up to
be a profitable show day. I think I think as
things stand we are.

Speaker 3 (41:41):
Well, don't forget we have uh we still really.

Speaker 2 (41:42):
Yeah, un see as much tipped off.

Speaker 3 (41:44):
That might not tip off till after we're off air.

Speaker 2 (41:46):
Seriously, you gotta love that group pick, first group pick
of the day. Invest in UNC with us? Cover the points?
All right, let's get into the bank roll repair. And look,
I'm still on my end playing around. I have something,
sort of feel like I'm forcing it though, and so
I may wait until either later in the show or

(42:07):
even potentially tomorrow to give us something. But I know
you have something, So where are we going?

Speaker 3 (42:13):
I do all in college? Let's start off in college football,
got a little maction tomorrow night. Let's take Toledo on
the money line. Historically, they have just absolutely crushed Akron.
I'm also laying the points separately with Toledo, but I
do like them on the money line. Here for the
for the bankroll repair. Then let's head to college basketball.
Let's take Samford on the money line and also take

(42:33):
SMU on the money line. So that's Toledo football to win,
Samford and SMU basketball to win. You put those three
legs together. Yeah, plus one oh two on DK this
is minus one fourteen or worse everywhere else.

Speaker 2 (42:45):
Okay, very good. I'll tell you just the what I'm
playing with at the moment, and again, probably not gonna
do it, but some plays that would interest me as
moneyline parlay pieces. We have watched Washington State late night
tomorrow yep. Cleveland State is another one, UCSB, that's UC

(43:06):
Santa Barbara.

Speaker 3 (43:06):
I tax them out.

Speaker 2 (43:08):
Yeah. And the one that I think would be the
sweatiest of the group, Pepperdine.

Speaker 5 (43:13):
Yeah.

Speaker 3 (43:13):
I was looking at that, but they've only won one
game this season, so is the opponent. Though it took
it out those cal State Fullerton on the other side. Honestly,
both teams suck' that's the bottom line, right, there. Okay,
so Herbert is getting the ball back three minutes to go.
It would take a miracle, I think, not that I
haven't seen stranger, but it would be difficult at this

(43:36):
point to lose the Ravens minus two and a half.
Not impossible. Let's talk about it on the other side.

Speaker 2 (43:42):
Fair, Let's do that now.

Speaker 1 (43:44):
W RKO presents Boston's only nightly sports betting show, The Gambler,
with Adam Kaufman covering spreads, props, parlays and more.

Speaker 4 (43:55):
The Gambler starts now here's Adam Kaufman.

Speaker 2 (44:01):
It's our number two of The Gambler with Adam Kauffman
here on WRKO. We have less than two minutes to
go in this Ravens Chargers game. Baltimore still leading thirty
to sixteen. We have them minus two and a half,
so that's well on its way. The Chargers do have
the ball. Just took a big penalty right around midfield

(44:22):
and that's going to push him back. Make it second
and twenty buck forty four left and Dan is in
with his straight play. I mean, we're not gonna get
to Brian. So it's it's a rare road jerk that
we've got from our buddy Brian butt here awfully lonely, unfortunately.
But the bank roll repairs, Dan, because Herbert is passing

(44:44):
understandably on this drive, those are both in good So
gives us at least right now a four and two
almost plus two unit situation for tonight. If everything holds
until obviously we you know, it could be much better
if unc who tips off in six hours or whatever

(45:05):
it is, winds up winning and covering, you know, win
this thing by double figures. Will feel great either way,
even if the tar Heels don't, which would be a
real bummer first official group pick play. But even if
they don't, still a profitable start to the week. And
that that's a good.

Speaker 3 (45:20):
Thing, absolutely very good thing. Love that.

Speaker 2 (45:24):
So you gave out a banker repair for tomorrow. I'm
still playing around a little bit with some of my options.
We have a light slate in the NBA tomorrow. Part
of why we are doing a lot of college hoops
here in this hour. Justin Perry from Shock Quality is
going to join us. But want to take this segment
Dan to you know, really kind of hand the mic
over to you as we do, you know, each and

(45:44):
every week, to break down all things official show futures
because we got some results, some good, some bad over
the weekend, and there's terms of updates. My goodness, is
there a lot pending.

Speaker 3 (45:58):
Yeah. I mean we're getting into the point of the
year now where like these things are gonna start either
cashing or dying weekly, Like we're gonna start knowing exactly
how smart we were, and you know, if we are lucky, yeah,
or lucky or if we could see into the future
back in the summer when we were looking forward and
getting so excited and ready for football, and now it's here.
Let's start with the good, right, Our guy Will Anderson

(46:19):
finally suited up this week after missing a couple of
games for Houston. We had been sitting on the pushline
with him at seven and a half sacks. We just
needed him to fall on a pile something please in
the backfield. Well, our man had two sacks yesterday, sacking
Will Levis twice for the Houston text and so that
is now in. That's one unit plus one unit there.
There was nothing crazy about that one, which is good

(46:40):
to see. So when it comes to our player props
for this season, we have three in cashed and then
two that are dead so far due to injury, and
a couple other guys that are injured as well, not
looking good at the moment.

Speaker 2 (46:54):
But what I'm really really.

Speaker 3 (46:57):
Happy to report is that a lot of these are
starting to trend really nicely and we should be finding
out here in the coming weeks. Like let's talk about
Pop Douglas. We had another like sixty yard day yesterday
for the Pats. Douglas just needs one hundred and twenty
four yards now this season for us to cash that ticket.
So really he needs to average about twenty five per
game or you know, he could do this then in
the next two to three weeks with what he's been

(47:18):
doing lately, since they have actually been getting him the
football UNI like those first couple of games there, Josh
Allen obviously he was off this week, still obviously looking
good sitting where he is. He needs to average about
two hundred yards per game here down the stretch. The Dolphins, Adam,
I mean, if they can play the Patriots every week,
I'd be feeling super about our two Dolphins futures because

(47:39):
both them, both of them autome and model and to
a tongue of Aloa came to play yesterday to throw
four touchdowns. So he's got thirteen on the season. We
need eleven out of him with six to go. So
that's one point eight three touchdowns per game we need
out of to it. So if he can just throw
two per game and get us to that last week,
he's gonna have a shot to cash that, which is
just absolutely wild from where we were a couple of

(48:02):
months ago when he went down with another concussion.

Speaker 2 (48:04):
Without a doubt. Yeah, that that bears watching. And like
you said, Waddle massive massive game, and you were on
that as an official show straight and so that you know,
effortless cash right there, but should have been a moon
play and you were asking, yeah, I know right, you
were asking going into that, you know, is Waddle the
guy that you would theoretically We didn't, we didn't have
a real conversation about it, but it was would you

(48:26):
theoretically reinvest in this guy? Do you do? You believe
in him? And like you said, just I don't know
something about playing the Patriots or maybe it was just
his spot, but good to know that he's potentially on
his way.

Speaker 3 (48:36):
Yeah, So he's sitting at five hundred and forty eight
yards after a huge like one hundred and forty yard
game against the Pats there, so he needs four hundred
and fifty three left with six to go. That puts
him right around seventy five yards per game. A guy
like Jaben Waddle could do that, like absolutely could. If
we can get an one of another couple hundred yard
games from him, we very well could cash that ticket
at some point. Justin Herbert playing tonight, obviously he is.

(48:59):
I think he's at two hundred and eighteen yards right now,
so that's better. That's on well on pace for what
we need from Herbert to keep cashing here. I don't
have the updated number, but that is better than what
we needed from him. Lamar Jackson, I'm starting to worry
that he's a little banged up. Just seventeen rushing yards tonight.

Speaker 2 (49:14):
Yeah, killed a lot of parlays not getting to twenty five.

Speaker 3 (49:17):
Yeah once again. I mean he has not been running
the ball well about for almost the past month or so.
But anyways, we need less than one hundred out of
him seventeen tonight, so I think we need like seventy
five from him with six to play or five to
play for Baltimore, So that's fine. Pat Fryarmouth had a
big game for Pittsburgh on Thursday night. Just need one
hundred and twenty two yard yards out of him with
six games left to go. That's twenty yards a game,

(49:38):
So I think we should cash that ticket. Russell Wilson,
I need to update that number, but I think Russ
needs to stay like under two twenty a game. So
you're starting to feel a little nervous about that.

Speaker 2 (49:48):
Russ getting a little annoying in'ty, Yeah, just getting a
little I mean, guy, I didn't even play till whatever
it was week eight or something like that, and even
still I thought this was going to be a sweat
free cash and he's turned back the clock.

Speaker 3 (50:03):
Yeah, we might need to hope that Pittsburgh's like in
a playoff spot and locked in wherever they right and
then he sits down week eighteen or plays a quarter
or something like that. Trevor Lawrence is expected to practice
this week. But Trevor's got his work cut out for him.
He's halfway to what we need out of him. It
was a plus one sixty ticket at four thousand yards
for the season, so Trevor would need to average about

(50:23):
three hundred and thirty yards per game down the stretch here.
If he comes back over those last six games, will
levis same situation. Nice game, I think his best game
of the season last yesterday as Tennessee knocked off Houston.
But he needs over three hundred and twenty yards per
game there for us to cash. DK Metcalf, Gino Smith
doing their thing. Gino could cash here any week.

Speaker 6 (50:43):
Now.

Speaker 3 (50:44):
We need three hundred and ninety yards out of him,
so he could do that in any week, probably two
to be really realistic there, DK needs about two fifty
and we'll cash him. Zeke Elliott just cannot crack, cannot
get on the field. I don't know what. Mike McCarthy
has pretty much relegated him. He still needs over three
hundred and sixty yards for us, so that's not looking

(51:05):
at the moment. DeVante Smith scratched, well, not scratched, rather,
he did not play last night that the Eagles. He's
a little banged up, but he should be back next week.
I believe we still need about three hundred and sixty
yards from him. Jalen Hurts need a little over eleven
hundred yards, so we need him to average right around
on hundred and ninety per game, should be able to
do that. With six games left to go, we might

(51:26):
need like a big monster game from him though, because
the Eagles are I know, Washington's still right there with him,
but Washington feels like they're kind of fading.

Speaker 2 (51:34):
Yeah, so yeah, they're they're not as right there anymore.
What is it nine and two versus seven and five
something like that?

Speaker 3 (51:41):
I think so with the head to head at the moment, right,
So yeah, we might need Jalen Hurts to kind of
ball out here a couple of weeks and get that
down to like a one to fifty per game or
something from him. This one is interesting, Jared Goff, So
this is a plus five p fifty ticket for us.
I think this is the biggest like in yeah, this
is the biggest individual future here. I chose him. I

(52:02):
took him to get to forty five hundred yards this season.
He's at twenty twenty seven hundred and sixty one. So
we need a little over seventeen hundred yards from golf
here with six games left to go, he needs to
average about two ninety big number. But obviously this is
a guy that can do it. This Detroit offense can
put points up in bunches, I think doubt. I think

(52:22):
we just need teams to hang in with the Lions here, right,
which is the big problem has been. But David Montgomery's
a little banged up now too, so maybe they'll look
to golf in the pass game a little bit more,
maybe some quick passes and take some of that load
off of Jamior Gibbs, who obviously is gonna have a big,
bigger workload here going forward with Montgomery banged up. But
to ninety a game out of golf, I don't feel

(52:43):
like that's you know, a major ask or you know,
like just like impossible by any means.

Speaker 2 (52:49):
No, I completely agree with you. It's just a function of,
like you said, they get up so fast in these
games and big that it just becomes the Gibbs in
Montgomery on ground show, right, And so yeah, if teams
can hang around just a little bit, which I mean's
plenty of season left to achieve it, and I do
feel like we're due for a couple of those, you know,

(53:10):
like one three fifty three seventy five four hundred yard
games out of Jared Goff, especially indoors in Detroit. Maybe
he goes nuclear on Thanksgiving.

Speaker 3 (53:19):
I'd be nice.

Speaker 2 (53:20):
Just got a touchdown out of the Chargers. They went
for the expected on sidekick and likely on the hands
team picked it up. And so the Ravens they're going
to finish this thing off thirty to twenty three. We're
not going to get there as far as the people's
parlay with Lamar, but you're straight cash, my straight cash.
Two bankroll repairs cashed. That's a you know, it's it's
a bummer that we didn't get all the way, especially

(53:41):
if you know we I don't know there were it's
hindsight's twenty twenty. There were a bunch of plays in
this game that I liked, like last night, like I
we never we didn't discuss this, but the plays that
I was thinking about were over on lad McConkey receiving

(54:02):
got there, over on Derrek, Henry Rushing got there obviously
the one I did give out the Ravens minus two
and a half. Sometimes the stars are just gonna be
the stars in prime time man. But anyway, getting back
to what you're doing here as far as the show futures,
so that's three and two you said as far as
the players, but college has given us a bit of

(54:23):
a hit.

Speaker 3 (54:23):
Yeah, so college we all miss Saturday. What a frustrating game.
I laid the points with them. I had the money
line in some legs and this Florida team with DJ
Lagway now I think six and one against the spread,
and they just knocked off full miss. Here Jackson Dart
played like a big old dummy on Saturday afternoon. I
don't know how closely you were watching this game, but
three different times he ran and instead of sliding, he

(54:45):
dove head first and his helmet got knocked off. And
in college, if that happens, it might even be the
rule in the NFL too. You have to sit the
next play, so like the backup quarterback has to come
in and just killing drive momentums. They had I think
like five or six drops by their reivers. It was
just horrible. And with that loss, now Ole Miss can
only finish with nine wins. We needed them to get

(55:06):
to ten in the regular season to cash that ticket.
And that loss also eliminates them from a conference championship consideration,
So two different futures there. I was very high in
that Old Miss team. I still think they're a very
good football team, but unfortunately they just could not get
to ten wins here this season, which was very very disappointing.

(55:27):
So Miami to make the playoffs in Oregon as a
national champ. Are are only two live college tickets at
the moment?

Speaker 2 (55:34):
Okay, well, monitor, so where does that I don't know
if you have in front of us, where does that
put us?

Speaker 4 (55:38):
Overall?

Speaker 2 (55:39):
Among these NFL and college futures we've given out like
down three units, okay, a lot of time, a lot
of time, a lot of lots coming, a lot of
good stuff, some nice you know, plus ones that we've
gotten ours in our favor at the moment.

Speaker 3 (55:53):
But one other thing though, before we break that I
did want to bring up here. So Jos Josh Allen
is the favorite to win the MVP at the moment.
I think he's got like plus one forty lamar, I
think took a little bit of a step back tonight,
not really an impressive game for him. But the guy
I think we need to worry about, Saquon Barkley, Yeah,
oh my god lord, he is now third in the
race here. Joe burrows a little bit behind them too,

(56:14):
But Saquon I think is underneath plus four hundred now
as he has just been an absolute monster. What do
you have like three hundred total yards last night?

Speaker 2 (56:21):
Yeah, I think like three oh four to three oh five,
but two point fifty five rushing including you know, multiple
seventy plus rushing touchdowns. He was insane. Now he's got
so much fun to watch.

Speaker 3 (56:32):
And he's like minus three hundred now to win Offensive
Player the Year. Derek Henry did have a really good
night one hundred and forty yards, so he could have
gotten back in on that.

Speaker 2 (56:40):
I have had people tweet me about this, that the
just the belief that the standard I'm almost like verbatim
with this tweet off the top of my head here,
but like the standard has been set that running backs
or wide receivers, whoever, non quarterbacks, offensive Player of the Year, quarterbacks,
MVP pretty much.

Speaker 3 (56:59):
I think it's unless like a record set. So which
Sequon I think could actually do?

Speaker 2 (57:05):
He could, He absolutely could, but.

Speaker 3 (57:08):
Hopefully Josh Allen just keeps going off.

Speaker 2 (57:10):
Can you imagine Flake? I mean, not to discount his
time with the Giants, he was still tremendous. Yeah, but
imagine what like prime Saquon would have looked like with
this Phillies offensive line in front of him, an offensive
around him. Unbelievable, Holy crap, Like you're getting toward the
tail end Saquon age Wise and he's still doing this. Yeah,

(57:33):
I mean the jumping backwards thing last week years ago
was incredible. Like that, Like I've never seen a backwards hurdle.

Speaker 3 (57:40):
Like that is unbelievable. But yeah, and then when it
comes to the team futures, the Giants just need two
more losses and we'll cash that ticket. The Chiefs just
need two more wins. The Ravens now if they win
three more games, that sinks that ticket. The Rams to
make the playoffs still sit in at plus three fifty.
Vegas did not knock them that much after last night
with just the way that division is. I mean, it's

(58:02):
still right in front of them. Everything's still right there
in front of the Rams that they can just start
winning some football games. And then the Green Bay Packers
impressive yesterday. I know brock Perty was out, but they
are now down to plus fifteen hundred to win the
Super Bowl. So we're starting to get some good CLV
and that's moving in our direction here.

Speaker 2 (58:18):
All right, Well, why don't we move in the direction
of college basketball? Now? We invitational so much to get
into Justin Perry shock quality is going to join us
on the other side.

Speaker 4 (58:29):
Live lines, locks and long shots.

Speaker 1 (58:32):
Now back to Boston's only nightly betting show, The Gambler
with Adam Kaufman on six ' eighty WRKO streaming live
on the iHeartRadio app or tell your smart speaker to
play WRKO on iHeartRadio.

Speaker 2 (58:51):
Another great job and thorough breakdown of where we stand
with our official football show futures both NFL and college. Obviously, Dan,
you know what would have loved that segment? Oh crack
and Bam, Oh definite or Crackenberger. Sorry. Props, so many props,
A lot of prop talk, so much prop talk.

Speaker 3 (59:11):
Nobody talks props. Apparently not enough.

Speaker 2 (59:13):
People listen if who would have thought, I mean we
constantly off the air. We'll have that conversation. How do
we give ourselves an edge? How do we stand out
in the betting community? How do we do things a
little bit different? Maybe we just talk more.

Speaker 3 (59:25):
Props, more props, less sides.

Speaker 2 (59:28):
Do love sides though I'm a sucker for sidestalk, but yeah,
more props. Absolutely probably not going to get into props
with our next guest, because even in Massachusetts, camp bet them.
We do cater to our audience to some degree, at
least in that way. College props a no, no sides,
totals all about it. So good to have college hoops back,

(59:50):
So good to have UNC tipping off. Sometime in the
next four or five hours. Justin Perry is here here
with us from Shop Qualities on Twitter at Justin Perry
and the number eight Justin. It's it's like playing where
in the world is Carmen San Diego? For people of
a certain age that remember that game, where are we
finding you right now? Because I know you have just

(01:00:13):
been traveling, taken in games, living your best life.

Speaker 6 (01:00:17):
Oh yeah, I'm actually back home in New York, where
you cannot bet college props either, so don't worry. But yeah,
I just got back from Baja mar and watching the
awesome event out there with Saint John's, Tennessee, Baylor, and Virginia.
So got to see some really high caliber ball and

(01:00:39):
from up close, I mean you're sitting in a hotel ballroom,
it feels like a high school gym and you have
some you know, top twenty five teams going at it.
But it was it was a great weekend.

Speaker 2 (01:00:48):
We don't normally have this opportunity to preview a game
that is still starting tonight, But we just earlier in
the show gave out UNC to cover against Dayton as
an official show play. I don't know, so if you
invested in that one, or if you have an opinion
on it anyway, I'll let you go.

Speaker 6 (01:01:06):
Oh yeah, I mean this is actually one that I'm
just going to be watching tonight. I think for us
at shot quality, Dayton's been a little bit overperforming in
terms of some of the luck they've had. Nothing I
would say crazy. These are definitely both some good teams.
North Carolina profiling early as a top ten squad by
shot quality, Dayton sitting around thirty fifth in our numbers,

(01:01:30):
which you know, pretty pretty common in terms of what
you're getting right now in these the rankings. So I
think we'll see something pretty close to the four point spread.
You're getting nothing really jumping off the page here compared
to the market for US.

Speaker 3 (01:01:45):
So justin Yukon falls today, first time since last February
that the Huskies lost a basketball game. They were eight
and a half nine and a half point favorites here
in Maui against Memphis. What were you on the side today.
What did you make of that, of how that game
played out?

Speaker 6 (01:02:00):
Yeah, I took a loss on it. Honestly, I was
on yukon today. I thought they would you know, maybe
catch a Memphis team that had been shooting hot. And
I think we saw both teams play very well, and
it just turned out that, you know, Memphis was maybe
a little bit more fortunate. Both teams expected to be
a bit closer to eighty points instead of one hundred

(01:02:22):
today just in terms of the shots they took, so
a lot of hot shooting. I think both these teams
are going to be great. Either one could have, you know,
been a little bit more mediocre and could have gotten
a big win. So I don't think it was necessarily
a terrible bet. But Memphis was the right side here today.
They're a very good team. Even if you know, you
remove all everything that happened, this still should have been

(01:02:43):
a tightly contested game and the line likely should have
been smaller. So bad pick on my part, you know,
data backing it up that Memphis was the right side today.

Speaker 2 (01:02:51):
A conversation we often have around turny time. The conference
tournaments are obviously more so the NCAA tournament that does
apply here as well, with a tournament like this and
the Maui Invitational does just a broad sense, as you
do your handicapping, as you invest in your plays, does
time of day for these schools, be it super early,

(01:03:13):
first games of the day, super late, last games of
the day, does that come into play at all for you?

Speaker 6 (01:03:20):
You know, I think it's it's honestly a little bit difficult.
Each team is affected by it a little bit differently
depending on how they play their game, right, Like you'll
see sometimes teams that maybe have a high tempo that
are playing early, they'll end up expending a lot of
their energy running in transition and then they just end
up playing this like track meet type game. Allah, Like

(01:03:41):
I think Howard today and UMBC. Like that game just
kept scoring, no one really closing out, a lot of
open looks. Everyone is running up and down the floor.
You can get that, especially early in the morning, And
I guess that's very counterintuitive to maybe the initial thought of,
oh it's early, the shooting is going to be bad.
Sometimes the lack of energy really manifest itself in the

(01:04:05):
defensive side, because you know, basketball ends up being a
very offensive game in terms of just the way players
are recruited and the way you know, guys are brought in.
A lot of the time, offense is a focus, so
again you really want to analyze how each team kind
of approaches things. If they are a very defensive minded team,
sometimes that defense can travel and you can get a

(01:04:26):
nice under, but you know, usually it comes down to
the way they're getting looks. If you have a very
smart high basketball IQ team that plays, you know, the
shock quality brand of mathball where it's rim and three attempts,
you you can still get a very high score. But
if you think a team's going to be taking some
mid range looks and it's early in the morning and
maybe they're a little sleepy from about three and four

(01:04:48):
or back to back, I think you can look to
an under. But I definitely would make sweeping broad statements
in college basketball wherever possible.

Speaker 3 (01:04:56):
So as we start to look towards Tuesday, justin I
think one of the games that might fit that criteria
is this San Diego State Creighton game tomorrow. San Diego
State notoriously plays a slow style. A lot of unders
with these guys total suggest that one thirty seven and
a half here for this matchup, and Creighton's going to
be without their point guard, most likely Ashworth, who is
doubtful for this game. Yet the Blue Jays are still favored.

Speaker 5 (01:05:18):
Here.

Speaker 3 (01:05:19):
Who do you like in this matchup?

Speaker 5 (01:05:21):
Oh?

Speaker 6 (01:05:21):
Wow?

Speaker 5 (01:05:22):
For me?

Speaker 6 (01:05:22):
Here, I think you got to take a look at
San Diego State. This is a Creighton team that I
think is likely overrated right now in terms of what
we're seeing in our expected numbers. They are, Look, they're
going to be a good team. Ryan Callbrenner of course,
got shut down in their last game, barely took any shots,
and that's going to be a remedy for not a remedy,

(01:05:45):
a recipe for disaster if San Diego State can replicate it.
Look surprisingly, san Diego State's offense looks more potent this
year than their defense. Is a team that has you know,
solidified their resume of this defense and sive Monster talk
about not many teams being super defensive oriented, but this year,
I don't think they're going to really be this like

(01:06:07):
lockdown top fifty defense, But I do think their offense
does have some very strong aspects to it. The az
Secs have been, you know, really honestly potent in terms
of just getting into the post using the pick and roll,
and then just playing good defense at the rim. So
they play a very sound game. They run their isolations
honestly pretty pretty well, and they're just going to keep

(01:06:29):
you from getting to the rim, and they make smart shots.
So at the end of the days that should be
enough to I think combat a Creton team that maybe
has a little bit of that reputation they'll run in
for them. This should probably be a little bit closer
to a pick them.

Speaker 2 (01:06:44):
We have Justin Perry here with us from Shot Quality
again on Twitter at Justin Perry and the number eight.
We're breaking down the Maui Invitational games. Tomorrow we will
give out a favorite from each of us, whether it's
college basketball or otherwise, to build out a show parlay
two out of three to maybe we can catch this
one that we give you tonight. We will return with
Justin after this.

Speaker 1 (01:07:06):
You need to vent about bad bets, You've come to
the right place. Tell us about it. Call six one
seven two six six six eight six eight. That's six
one seven two six six six eight six eight. Or
if you're listening on the iHeartRadio app, use the top
back button. Now back to the Gambler with Adam Kaufman
on w RKO.

Speaker 2 (01:07:29):
We are back with Justin Perry from Shock Quality. We're
talking college hoops. So earlier in the show, Justin, Dan
and I were talking about that Yukon game, the never
mind not covering losing outright to Memphis, and I was
on the Memphis plus eight and a half side. Took
Memphis first half plus four and a half as well,

(01:07:51):
so that one actually did work out for me. I
know Dan was on the other side, and you mentioned
that you were as well. Looking ahead to tomorrow, we
just got a line on Yukon matching up with Colorado
and it's fifteen and a half points, And I said
to Dan, before knowing the spread, can't wait to find
out what it is because it's a little narrative street.

(01:08:12):
Maybe it's a lot narrative street, but doesn't it just
feel like, despite maybe some of the up and down
early season adjustment issues to a new roster for the
two time defending champs here, this is just a get angry,
get even kind of smashed spot out of that psycho
Dan Hurley. I mean, wouldn't you be surprised if Yukon
doesn't rout in this one.

Speaker 6 (01:08:33):
I don't know if I would be surprised. Honestly, I think,
believe it or not, this is a spot where, seeing
what I saw from Yukon today, I honestly want to
pump the breaks a little bit, where I want to
see what the numbers end up looking like in the morning,
for sure, after we fully process the game. But coming

(01:08:53):
in today, Yukon wasn't sitting, you know, a top of
our rankings. They hadn't really crushed their competition that they
had seen. The defense looked great, they were top ten
in defensive efficiency coming in, but they had played Sacred
Heart in New Hampshire and Mooint and Texas A and
M Commerce which is now East Texas A and M
so my apologies to them, but a lot of sites

(01:09:15):
still all have them as the old one. Nonetheless, I think,
you know, look, the Ken Pond number on this one
is ten, and this is definitely an overreaction in that
exact way that you just said. Everyone expecting a Dan
Hurley smash spot merciless victory. I don't know. I think, look,
Colorado is probably a weak enough team where that's possible,

(01:09:38):
But I don't know that Connecticut's offense is really at
a place where they can just rely on either their
shooting or their rim presence like they have in the
past to really get it done. The defense of the
rim has been great, but they're missing a bunch of shots.
They're having to clean up the glass to get things done.
I do think Colorado could maybe do a decent job

(01:10:01):
limiting second chance points, and if they chase them off
the line, it could up a three point line. Sorry,
I use that a little too colloquially. Sometimes if you
chase them off the three point line, I think it
could become a pretty good game there. So I do
like the fifteen points. I think it might balloon up
if people continue.

Speaker 5 (01:10:19):
To think that.

Speaker 6 (01:10:20):
So I'll probably wait see if the market bites of
the Huskies and maybe try to sneak a sixteen and
a half in before tip tomorrow.

Speaker 3 (01:10:28):
So we do have a couple of big time Top
twenty five showdowns tomorrow, justin we have a top ten
showdown between Houston and Alabama. It's one of those you know,
age old questions, you know, who wins great offense or
great defense? As we have two teams with very different
styles here. Houston, we know can suffocate people while Alabama
can put up like eighty five points or more in

(01:10:49):
their sleep. But who do you think wins tomorrow night?
Houston laying three and a half here, So tough one.

Speaker 6 (01:10:56):
I love Houston. I can't tell you. This team is
just z soh consistent. The motor, the engine that they
just run with is awesome to see. Like at year
in and year out, I think Alabama is definitely a
little susceptible to strong shooting teams. Currently allowing a on
both catch and shoot and op the table three pointers

(01:11:17):
an expected one point zero five points per possession, which
rates around two hundred and eightieth in the nation early
in the season. So definitely allowing a bit too good
of a look from three. And guess what Houston's currently
rating in the top twenty and three point shooting efficiency.
They force the third most turnovers, they don't turn the
ball over themselves, and one of the biggest blemishes for

(01:11:38):
this Alabama side right now is that they are not
forcing turnovers three hundred and twenty eighth in a forced
turnover rate. So I'm I'm lean in Houston. This is
just a furious defense that is going to create extra
possessions and at the end of the day, the more
attempts you have at the hoop, the more likely are
to win. And that's how Houston ends up beating people.

(01:11:58):
Even if they have a bad shooting day or take
invaluable shots and take a lot of mid range, They're
just gonna, you know, win the possession battle by about
ten to fifteen and good luck, you're going to need
to shoot the lights out to even come close. So
gimme Houston.

Speaker 2 (01:12:11):
Justin Dan mentioned that we have some really compelling matchups tomorrow.
Here's one that isn't. Gardner Web against Southeastern Louisiana early
in the day gardner Web three point favorite. And everything
I'm looking at is screaming that this line is inefficient,
the Gardener Web. Should we potentially winning this thing by

(01:12:31):
by double figures? How do you see it?

Speaker 6 (01:12:35):
Wow? First of all, love getting a Gardner Web see
law game. Instead of you know, only talking to marquee matchups.
You see the down and dirty lines that college basketball
is truly about.

Speaker 2 (01:12:49):
This is why people come here Quinnipiac. Next, this is
what we do.

Speaker 4 (01:12:53):
Oh love love it.

Speaker 6 (01:12:56):
Yeah, Selaw is a little bit difficult for me to
support in any way, sense or form. They are not
really doing well rebounding. They allow good quality looks to
their opponents at the hoop. They do not have good spacing,
which means a lot of crowding and clustering and ISO looks,
you know, with defenders draped all over their guys. So

(01:13:18):
and again just not really rebounding the ball too well
and expected to be doing even worse than they currently
are on defense. The problem is is that you know,
Gardner Web probably running a little hot, expected to actually
get the doors blown off them by Charlotte and lose
to Elon. So a little scary there, but they should

(01:13:38):
still be a little bit more middle of the pack.
The shot quality rating currently is around one hundred and
fifty fourth and see law is you know, three hundred
and thirty ninth and a really easy way to gauge
value from shot qualities looking at the Ken Pom numbers.
Who has these guys two sixteen versus two fifty five,
So our discrepancy is a bit larger. So I think

(01:13:58):
you're onto something that's a good shot that Gardner Rube
could pull off a double digit win here.

Speaker 2 (01:14:04):
All right, we're gonna have to get to the parlay
in a second. I want to sneak one more in well,
to do this one pretty quickly. But SMU cal Baptist.
You know, Dan has SMU just as a moneyline piece
as part of his bank roll repair. I really like
the minus ten that we're getting here with the Mustangs.
How do you feel about this game?

Speaker 6 (01:14:21):
Yeah, this is another interesting one here. Mustangs are a
strong team, but I would honestly think cal Baptists might
be a surprising side. Both teams performing pretty well. Honestly,
seeing a lot of encouraging stuff out of cal Baptists
probably has a little bit to do with sort of
some of the teams that were there seeing I think

(01:14:42):
some of the West Coast basketball this year is actually
a bit stronger than some people imagine. You see Riverside,
you know, holding up their own against some of these
other teams, and then playing cal Baptists, and you see
San Diego and San Diego like that whole conglomerate of
West Coast teams. Maybe US East coasters ignore I think

(01:15:02):
could maybe surprise the people. I like this cow Baptist team.
They take care of the ball, they don't let their
opponents shoot threes, and they are a strong free throw
shooting team. And they go at the rim, so they
play smart ball. I think cal Baptist might be a
surprise tomorrow.

Speaker 2 (01:15:17):
All right, let's get to the People's Parlay.

Speaker 5 (01:15:19):
Justin.

Speaker 2 (01:15:19):
You know how this works. We will each give a
favorite play for tomorrow. If you are wondering, because we
keep track of this stuff. You're a numbers guy, you're
a data guy. Justin's official show plays three, one, and one.
That has nothing to sneeze at the People's Parlay with Justin, However,
this trio hasn't quite figured it out yet. We're zero

(01:15:40):
and five, so it's time to time to get in gear.
What is your favorite play for tomorrow? Justin?

Speaker 6 (01:15:46):
Oh, you know, as someone who's coming in here saying
how much I love the small matchups, I'm going to
give you one right at the top of the tree.
I'm going to Duke versus Kansas, and I'm taking Duke
on the money line. I think that the defensive side
of what Duke is able to do is really impressive,
and honestly, they've gotten a little bit of the tough
end of both some of their own shooting luck and

(01:16:10):
their opponent's shooting luck, hitting some really tough shots, hitting
a lot of free throws against them, making some of
these games maybe look a little bit closer than they
would be if they kept being replayed over and over
again with those same opportunities. I like Duke to get
this one done. I was going to give up the spread,
but the money line. I want to get this thing home.
Let's do it. I think Cooper Flag's defense, I mean

(01:16:32):
the way he looked in their most recent game. He
took a jump from like one point six to one
point nine, where the best player right now, Jenni brooms
at like two point one so on the Ken Palm
rating meters. So I think Flag just continues to dominate
national stage. Big game. This is this is you know,
potential Final four preview tomorrow, and I like Duke to
get the win.

Speaker 2 (01:16:53):
Minus one sixty on Caesars all the way up to
minus one eighty at DraftKings, So make sure you're placing
that on Caesars if you're rolling with us on the straight, Dan.

Speaker 3 (01:17:01):
Yeah, guys, I'm gonna go to that Houston Alabama game
and I'm gonna take the Cougars. Let's go Houston minus
three and a half.

Speaker 6 (01:17:08):
Here.

Speaker 3 (01:17:08):
My models got this that they should win this by
at least seven tomorrow. I love their defense, like Justin
was talking about. I think they'll be able to suffocate
Alabama and slow down the tides offense. And guys, this
line's moving too. There's a couple of three and a
half's left, so let's grab those. It's already up to
four and a half on FanDuel here, So Houston minus
three and a half.

Speaker 2 (01:17:27):
Look, I'm gonna do it. I'm getting down dirty. I'm
giving out Gardner Web minus two and a half on
bet MGM is my straight and you know what, the people,
the people are paying attention because depending on the book
that you look at, guys, two and a half, three
and a half, four, the line is really all over

(01:17:48):
the place. So go to bed MGM minus two and
a half for Gardner Web for reasons that we have
already discussed. I don't want to waste time here. So
Dan's been crunching numbers. Looks like Duke money line Gardner
Web minus two and a half, Houston minus three and
a half best odds for us as expected bet MGM
at plus four forty nine with this people's parlay for

(01:18:11):
your Tuesday, sweet, I like that.

Speaker 6 (01:18:14):
That sounds great. I'm totally in on this one. That
shows like it seels like we're getting that first of
the six.

Speaker 2 (01:18:19):
Oh, just warms the heart, very good. Justin Perry's shock
quality on Twitter at Justin Perry eight. Justin. We always
enjoy it, man, There's so much college hoops in front
of us. We look forward to having you back.

Speaker 6 (01:18:32):
Oh, it's the best time of the year, guys. I'll
talk to you soon whenever.

Speaker 2 (01:18:35):
Absolutely looking forward to it. We're gonna step aside when
we come back again, show plays UNCS tipped off. We'll
let you know all that's going. And of course we
will spend a couple moments on the Celtics after a
massive win over the Clippers.

Speaker 4 (01:18:49):
Today livelines, locks and long Shots.

Speaker 1 (01:18:53):
Now back to Boston's only nightly betting show, The Gambler
with Adam Coffman ONRKO, streaming live on the iHeartRadio app
or tell your smart speaker to play WRKO on iHeartRadio.

Speaker 2 (01:19:14):
Great stuff out of Bill Krackenberger earlier, of course most
recently Justin Perry. It's just a NFL and college basketball.
What a combo, Dan, great stuff, Just a fun show,
fun start to the week. You gotta love it. So
again People's parlay plus four forty nine at MGM Houston

(01:19:34):
minus three and a half Gardner Web minus three and
a half Duke on the money line and Dan gave
out a bank roller fair with Samford Toledo SMU all
money line wins to get the job done.

Speaker 3 (01:19:46):
Two and a half on Gardner Web. By the way,
two and a half.

Speaker 2 (01:19:49):
Pardon me two and a half. I gotta correct that
night in my could be important show post.

Speaker 3 (01:19:53):
Yeah, absolutely, yeah, no, I saw that line as at
four on DraftKings right now, So definitely go to MGM.
If you're up here up right now listening along and
playing along with us, definitely get over there because it
sounds like that line's going to move pretty quickly.

Speaker 2 (01:20:07):
Yeah, on a twelve thirty Eastern start for that one too,
So hopefully I can, you know, tip us off well
and get things moving throughout the day, the day long
sweat if all goes well force. One thing that was
not particularly sweaty tonight, at least after the second quarter,
was the Celtics improving to fifteen and three seven to
a home with a dominant win over the Clippers. No

(01:20:28):
Powell on the other side, so when Harden has to
do it himself. It is, you know, not gone especially well.
Not that he had a bad game nineteen nine to eight,
but Celtics, they're too deep, there's too much, too balanced.
Peyton Pritchard actually tied with Jason Tatum for the leading
scores on the Celtics side twenty points a piece. The

(01:20:49):
leading scorer in the game was Zubox, who was awesome.
I threaded a nice needle because I played him to
have a double double. He had twenty three and ten,
but also had the pardon me under eleven and a
half rebounds, so that worked out well. But the story
from this one is not just the Celtics going eleven
of fourteen from three in the second quarter or twenty

(01:21:10):
two of fifty one for forty three percent for the game.
The return the season debut Chris STAPs Porzingis didn't miss
a beat man six of twelve from the field, one
of six from three, so he'll work on that. But
sixteen points, twenty three minutes, six rebounds, couple of blocks,
only one turnover, multiple assists, a steal, a plus player.

(01:21:31):
He was awesome.

Speaker 3 (01:21:32):
Yeah, and then don't forget too maybe the most narrative
street play of all time. Jim Montgomery first game with
the Saint Louis Blues plus one eighty money line, no
problem hit. It beats the New York Rangers five to two.
As Monty wanted to know, as the head coach of
Saint Louis, we do not well we as a show,
I probably do. We do not as a show do

(01:21:53):
enough narrative street plays. That one was so obvious.

Speaker 2 (01:21:57):
So was the Celtics on the you know, with the
spread tonight, with obviously the return of Porzingis. We got
to invest in these things, all right. Thanks to our guest,
Dan Brian. We'll see you soon enough. We'll be back tomorrow,
see you later.

Speaker 1 (01:22:10):
You've been listening to The Gambler with Adam Kauffman on
six point eighty WRKO, Boston's first and only nightly sports
betting show, airing live Monday through Thursday nights from ten
to midnight.

Speaker 4 (01:22:23):
Listen on demand.

Speaker 1 (01:22:24):
Download The Gambler with Adam Kaufman podcast on the iHeartRadio app,
WRKO dot com, slash bet.

Speaker 4 (01:22:31):
Or wherever you get your podcasts.

Speaker 1 (01:22:33):
Gambling problem Hope is here Call one eight hundred and
three two seven fifty fifty or visit gambling Helplinema dot org.
Goodnight from the Gambler Studio
Advertise With Us

Popular Podcasts

Stuff You Should Know
Dateline NBC

Dateline NBC

Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Follow now to get the latest episodes of Dateline NBC completely free, or subscribe to Dateline Premium for ad-free listening and exclusive bonus content: DatelinePremium.com

The Breakfast Club

The Breakfast Club

The World's Most Dangerous Morning Show, The Breakfast Club, With DJ Envy, Jess Hilarious, And Charlamagne Tha God!

Music, radio and podcasts, all free. Listen online or download the iHeart App.

Connect

© 2025 iHeartMedia, Inc.