October 23, 2024 • 12 mins
ESPN and Heather Dinich released their latest College Football Playoff projections entering Week 9.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Craig Wade, joined by the producer Cameron Parker. We're with
you up until five o'clock and a reminder Longhorn Weekly
with coach Sark. We record that program at six o'clock
from six to seven at Plucker's the West Campus location
at twenty two to twenty two Rio Grand So we
look forward to seeing you out there tonight to hear
(00:20):
from the coach. Also, Derek Dockery will be with us
out there. Derek one of the outstanding offensive lineman in
the University of Texas system from nineteen ninety nine to
two thousand and two. He was He's a Texas Athletics
Hall of Honor member and he was part of background's
first full signing class in nineteen ninety nine, which was
(00:44):
the nation's number one ranked class. Matt called him the
best true freshman offensive lineman he ever coached, and of
course he played then. He was drafted in the third round.
Play ten seasons in the NFL, mainly with Washington and
also a Buffalo briefly with the Cowboy as well. Played
in one hundred and forty one games of one hundred
and fifteen starts. Native Texan too, he was a Lake
(01:06):
new Centennial Patriot from Garland as well, so he will
be our special guest during the portion tonight. And if
you have questions that you would like to have asked,
all you have to do is write that down. We
have the question cards and we get the questions as
well the program. Sark Undoubtedly we'll discuss the team's efforts
(01:34):
and intentions to rebound from the loss to Georgia and
to get ready to go back on the road for
a true road game to play Vanderbilt. And that'll be
this Saturday afternoon in Nashville.
Speaker 2 (01:46):
Our coverage begins at noon from Twin Peaks.
Speaker 1 (01:49):
They're I thirty five in Stassny, the South location as
Cameron Parker, Mike Hardballharg and Mark Henry will set the
scene for you there with long Worn's game day starting
at noon and then at two o'clock had to go
to the network coverage with a kickoff. I'm told it's
probably gonna be around three twenty by the time it
(02:10):
kicks off there Texas against Vanderbilt. We're gonna hear more
from Longhorn's head coach, Steve Sarkishan coming up during this
hour from the SEC teleconference. So we'll have that, but
before we get to that, and we're also gonna hear
from Will Matthews as he sits down with long worn players,
(02:34):
and we'll hear from Will a couple of those conversations
that he has. Right in the four o'clock hour, we
will here will have a chance to visit with Jayde Blue,
so he'll do that, and later on this hour we'll
(02:56):
hear his conversation with David Benda, so that's coming up
a little bit later on this hour. But again we'll
hear from Sark as well. Before we get to all
of that, though, we've been doing this and that is
to update the projected. The key word there after all
is projected, isn't it Since we're talking about teams that
(03:19):
are no more than seven or eight games into their season.
Most of them are six or seven games into their seasons,
so it's still projections. We haven't gotten to the College
Football Playoff Committee's first set of CFP rankings that comes
I think November fifth, I think is the first one
(03:40):
there on that, so.
Speaker 2 (03:43):
You know, we're still a little bit of ways away
from that.
Speaker 1 (03:46):
We do have poll rankings obviously that are going on
BOTE with the AP and the coaches. But right now,
the best that folks who do these things can do
is to project the bracket. It is kind of interesting,
kind of different. It kind of has that feel cam
of when we do the bracketological prognostications for the NCAA
(04:08):
men's and women's basketball tournaments, when we're going through that
in February into March, and this kind of has that.
Speaker 2 (04:16):
A little bit of feel to it.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Although we're talking about twelve total, twelve teams, but the
machinations that are going on about who could get in,
who might get in. Remembering that at the five highest
ranked conference champions, of the ones who get automatic bids
into the playoff, the four of the five who are
(04:38):
ranked the highest will receive first round by is the
four highest ranked conference champions. It is a reasonable assumption
that those four will be from the Power forward conferences.
That the conference champions from the SEC, the Big Ten,
the ACC, and the Big twelve would all draw first
(04:59):
round buys. They're just going to be higher ranked than
that fifth conference champion, which would be a G five school,
a group of five, whether it's the American Athletic Conference
or the Mountain West. Even if it was the Sun
Belt or Conference USA or you know whatever that whichever
team emerges from from those conferences as the highest ranked
(05:25):
G five, they might on ranking alone, crack the top twelve,
but probably not.
Speaker 2 (05:33):
It doesn't matter.
Speaker 1 (05:34):
They would automatically be slotted into the number twelve position.
Speaker 2 (05:39):
The number twelve.
Speaker 1 (05:39):
I saw projection today that had Boise State in as
the G five represented the highest ranked.
Speaker 2 (05:51):
Conference champion.
Speaker 1 (05:51):
That wasn't a powerful school and you were the you
know where they were ranked as a D seventeenth, but
they get automatically slotted into the twelve slot. That's how
that works on that So it can mess with your
mind if you're watching these projections on the bracket for ESPN,
(06:12):
because there's two sets of numbers. There's the current ranking,
don't let that throw you off, and then there is
what would be the playoff ranking. That's what counts, that's
what matters, and we'll find that out starting November fifth,
what the committee.
Speaker 2 (06:27):
Thinks of these teams.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
But in the meantime, folks can have a lot of
fun with the projection of the bracket. And I look
at I think, like with basketball, I look at three
or four different sets of projections and one of the
most trustworthy is the one from ESPN, and it's Heather
(06:49):
Dinitch who puts it together because she does a deep
dive on that all the time and is into it.
So here's what she has right now. Her project to
twelve team bracket first round bys number one seed Oregon,
number two seed Georgia. They said Georgia would earn the
number two seed is the Committee's second highest rank conference champion.
(07:11):
With its win at Texas, Georgia now has the top
resume in the FBS. According to ESPN's strength of Record metric,
the average playoff contender would have a fifteen percent chance
to go six and one against Georgia's schedule. Georgia's convincing
season opening win against Clemson is a big reason for that,
as the Bulldogs now have two of the best wins
(07:34):
in the country. Number three seed, which would draw by
ACC champion Miami and number four Are you ready for this?
The number four seed, who would draw by ladies and gentlemen.
Speaker 2 (07:47):
I give you b yu now those googars. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (07:52):
Now, BYU and Iowa State do not meet during the
regular season, but there is an ever increasing set of
odds that are showing those two on a collision course
for Arlington to meet in the Big twelve championship, both
as unbeaten teams we'll see and Iowa State's best win
is against Iowa and they're now four and three, so
(08:14):
they don't have a strong strength of schedule. And BYU
has that head to head a home win against Kansas State,
and remember they have a road win at SMU, so
that's impressive there. So those four would get buys. Then
first round matchups on campus. You ready, Long Horns five
(08:34):
versus twelve Texas against Boise State because remember the G
five schools can to be locked into the twelve the
fifth highest ranked conference champion, which is projected by Heather
Dinich in ESPN to be Boise State. Of course, they
ranked below the committee's top twelve, but the seating would
match the ranking. Said this also illustrates how Texas could
(08:57):
finish as the number three team in the country, but
they can't seed at any higher than number five because
the first four seeds are reserved for conference champions. So
they said, the Long Ranges just did just slid behind
George and the SEC race. The nine versus eight matchup
Tennessee LSU, and they don't play during the regular season,
(09:20):
and the winner would then play Oregon. The eleven versus
six matchup, it's the Big Ten Invitational, it's Indiana Ohio State.
Speaker 2 (09:28):
That game would be at Ohio State.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
Obviously, the Texas Boise State game would be in Austin,
so the winner to play number three seed Miami. Now,
remember Indiana's playing Ohio State on November twenty third, so
they don't recede to avoid.
Speaker 2 (09:44):
Rematches, So that's how that could happen again.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
The seven versus the ten would be Penn State against Clemson.
The last two in according to ESPN Athletic Analytics, would
be Indiana and Boise. The first four out noted Iowa State,
Kansas State, and Illinois. The next four out Texas A
and m Ole, Miss, Alabama, and pitt So there's some
(10:11):
interesting things to two on a little bit to think
about that.
Speaker 3 (10:16):
So it's gonna just like with college of basketball, it's
gonna change so much. But sure, you know we're getting
this point in the season, Craig, where we're gonna learn
a lot more each and every week and we'll have
a pretty good idea going into the conference championship. Now,
of course, a big difference between the top four in
college football playoff in the top the number one four seats,
(10:36):
and march Man is that you can lose your conference
championship champions championship game but still be a number one seed.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
In march Men, that's right, that's right.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
Because of the strength to schedule all the way through
the course of the regular season, that won't happen. In
college football. We are all, after all, talking about just
twelve teams and only five automatic bids as opposed to
thirty four with the NCAA basketball tournament. And so there's
only five automatic and only four will receive first round byes. Now,
it's important to point out that even though Texas has
(11:05):
a loss, and of course Georgia has a loss, and
Tennessee has a loss, LSU in Texas, A and M
do not. They play this week in college station. So
the loser that will have a loss a one loss
wouldn't necessarily a keep you out of your conference championship
game and b keep you from getting a first round
by whoever wins the conference championship is getting a first
(11:28):
round by so Texas or Georgia or Tennessee or you know,
the loser of LSU in Texas A and m Missouri.
Speaker 2 (11:39):
All those one loss teas.
Speaker 1 (11:41):
Vanderbilt has one loss, right now, Ole Miss has one loss,
so no Ole Miss hays two. So the one loss teams, yeah,
you'd still have a shot to get into the conference championship.
Speaker 2 (11:52):
Even the two loss teams have a shot to get
into the game.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
So that's how a two loss team also can wind
up in the playoff team that could get a bye
if they got into the playoff, into the conference championship
with two losses and then one their conference championship. The
odds are stacked against it happening, but it could happen,
all right. Coming up, we're gonna hear more from Longhorts
head coach Steve Sarkisian here on sports Radio AM thirteen
(12:16):
under the zone of the iHeartRadio app.
Craig Wade, joined by the producer Cameron Parker. We're with
you up until five o'clock and a reminder Longhorn Weekly
with coach Sark. We record that program at six o'clock
from six to seven at Plucker's the West Campus location
at twenty two to twenty two Rio Grand So we
look forward to seeing you out there tonight to hear
(00:20):
from the coach. Also, Derek Dockery will be with us
out there. Derek one of the outstanding offensive lineman in
the University of Texas system from nineteen ninety nine to
two thousand and two. He was He's a Texas Athletics
Hall of Honor member and he was part of background's
first full signing class in nineteen ninety nine, which was
(00:44):
the nation's number one ranked class. Matt called him the
best true freshman offensive lineman he ever coached, and of
course he played then. He was drafted in the third round.
Play ten seasons in the NFL, mainly with Washington and
also a Buffalo briefly with the Cowboy as well. Played
in one hundred and forty one games of one hundred
and fifteen starts. Native Texan too, he was a Lake
(01:06):
new Centennial Patriot from Garland as well, so he will
be our special guest during the portion tonight. And if
you have questions that you would like to have asked,
all you have to do is write that down. We
have the question cards and we get the questions as
well the program. Sark Undoubtedly we'll discuss the team's efforts
(01:34):
and intentions to rebound from the loss to Georgia and
to get ready to go back on the road for
a true road game to play Vanderbilt. And that'll be
this Saturday afternoon in Nashville.
Speaker 2 (01:46):
Our coverage begins at noon from Twin Peaks.
Speaker 1 (01:49):
They're I thirty five in Stassny, the South location as
Cameron Parker, Mike Hardballharg and Mark Henry will set the
scene for you there with long Worn's game day starting
at noon and then at two o'clock had to go
to the network coverage with a kickoff. I'm told it's
probably gonna be around three twenty by the time it
(02:10):
kicks off there Texas against Vanderbilt. We're gonna hear more
from Longhorn's head coach, Steve Sarkishan coming up during this
hour from the SEC teleconference. So we'll have that, but
before we get to that, and we're also gonna hear
from Will Matthews as he sits down with long worn players,
(02:34):
and we'll hear from Will a couple of those conversations
that he has. Right in the four o'clock hour, we
will here will have a chance to visit with Jayde Blue,
so he'll do that, and later on this hour we'll
(02:56):
hear his conversation with David Benda, so that's coming up
a little bit later on this hour. But again we'll
hear from Sark as well. Before we get to all
of that, though, we've been doing this and that is
to update the projected. The key word there after all
is projected, isn't it Since we're talking about teams that
(03:19):
are no more than seven or eight games into their season.
Most of them are six or seven games into their seasons,
so it's still projections. We haven't gotten to the College
Football Playoff Committee's first set of CFP rankings that comes
I think November fifth, I think is the first one
(03:40):
there on that, so.
Speaker 2 (03:43):
You know, we're still a little bit of ways away
from that.
Speaker 1 (03:46):
We do have poll rankings obviously that are going on
BOTE with the AP and the coaches. But right now,
the best that folks who do these things can do
is to project the bracket. It is kind of interesting,
kind of different. It kind of has that feel cam
of when we do the bracketological prognostications for the NCAA
(04:08):
men's and women's basketball tournaments, when we're going through that
in February into March, and this kind of has that.
Speaker 2 (04:16):
A little bit of feel to it.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Although we're talking about twelve total, twelve teams, but the
machinations that are going on about who could get in,
who might get in. Remembering that at the five highest
ranked conference champions, of the ones who get automatic bids
into the playoff, the four of the five who are
(04:38):
ranked the highest will receive first round by is the
four highest ranked conference champions. It is a reasonable assumption
that those four will be from the Power forward conferences.
That the conference champions from the SEC, the Big Ten,
the ACC, and the Big twelve would all draw first
(04:59):
round buys. They're just going to be higher ranked than
that fifth conference champion, which would be a G five school,
a group of five, whether it's the American Athletic Conference
or the Mountain West. Even if it was the Sun
Belt or Conference USA or you know whatever that whichever
team emerges from from those conferences as the highest ranked
(05:25):
G five, they might on ranking alone, crack the top twelve,
but probably not.
Speaker 2 (05:33):
It doesn't matter.
Speaker 1 (05:34):
They would automatically be slotted into the number twelve position.
Speaker 2 (05:39):
The number twelve.
Speaker 1 (05:39):
I saw projection today that had Boise State in as
the G five represented the highest ranked.
Speaker 2 (05:51):
Conference champion.
Speaker 1 (05:51):
That wasn't a powerful school and you were the you
know where they were ranked as a D seventeenth, but
they get automatically slotted into the twelve slot. That's how
that works on that So it can mess with your
mind if you're watching these projections on the bracket for ESPN,
(06:12):
because there's two sets of numbers. There's the current ranking,
don't let that throw you off, and then there is
what would be the playoff ranking. That's what counts, that's
what matters, and we'll find that out starting November fifth,
what the committee.
Speaker 2 (06:27):
Thinks of these teams.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
But in the meantime, folks can have a lot of
fun with the projection of the bracket. And I look
at I think, like with basketball, I look at three
or four different sets of projections and one of the
most trustworthy is the one from ESPN, and it's Heather
(06:49):
Dinitch who puts it together because she does a deep
dive on that all the time and is into it.
So here's what she has right now. Her project to
twelve team bracket first round bys number one seed Oregon,
number two seed Georgia. They said Georgia would earn the
number two seed is the Committee's second highest rank conference champion.
(07:11):
With its win at Texas, Georgia now has the top
resume in the FBS. According to ESPN's strength of Record metric,
the average playoff contender would have a fifteen percent chance
to go six and one against Georgia's schedule. Georgia's convincing
season opening win against Clemson is a big reason for that,
as the Bulldogs now have two of the best wins
(07:34):
in the country. Number three seed, which would draw by
ACC champion Miami and number four Are you ready for this?
The number four seed, who would draw by ladies and gentlemen.
Speaker 2 (07:47):
I give you b yu now those googars. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (07:52):
Now, BYU and Iowa State do not meet during the
regular season, but there is an ever increasing set of
odds that are showing those two on a collision course
for Arlington to meet in the Big twelve championship, both
as unbeaten teams we'll see and Iowa State's best win
is against Iowa and they're now four and three, so
(08:14):
they don't have a strong strength of schedule. And BYU
has that head to head a home win against Kansas State,
and remember they have a road win at SMU, so
that's impressive there. So those four would get buys. Then
first round matchups on campus. You ready, Long Horns five
(08:34):
versus twelve Texas against Boise State because remember the G
five schools can to be locked into the twelve the
fifth highest ranked conference champion, which is projected by Heather
Dinich in ESPN to be Boise State. Of course, they
ranked below the committee's top twelve, but the seating would
match the ranking. Said this also illustrates how Texas could
(08:57):
finish as the number three team in the country, but
they can't seed at any higher than number five because
the first four seeds are reserved for conference champions. So
they said, the Long Ranges just did just slid behind
George and the SEC race. The nine versus eight matchup
Tennessee LSU, and they don't play during the regular season,
(09:20):
and the winner would then play Oregon. The eleven versus
six matchup, it's the Big Ten Invitational, it's Indiana Ohio State.
Speaker 2 (09:28):
That game would be at Ohio State.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
Obviously, the Texas Boise State game would be in Austin,
so the winner to play number three seed Miami. Now,
remember Indiana's playing Ohio State on November twenty third, so
they don't recede to avoid.
Speaker 2 (09:44):
Rematches, So that's how that could happen again.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
The seven versus the ten would be Penn State against Clemson.
The last two in according to ESPN Athletic Analytics, would
be Indiana and Boise. The first four out noted Iowa State,
Kansas State, and Illinois. The next four out Texas A
and m Ole, Miss, Alabama, and pitt So there's some
(10:11):
interesting things to two on a little bit to think
about that.
Speaker 3 (10:16):
So it's gonna just like with college of basketball, it's
gonna change so much. But sure, you know we're getting
this point in the season, Craig, where we're gonna learn
a lot more each and every week and we'll have
a pretty good idea going into the conference championship. Now,
of course, a big difference between the top four in
college football playoff in the top the number one four seats,
(10:36):
and march Man is that you can lose your conference
championship champions championship game but still be a number one seed.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
In march Men, that's right, that's right.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
Because of the strength to schedule all the way through
the course of the regular season, that won't happen. In
college football. We are all, after all, talking about just
twelve teams and only five automatic bids as opposed to
thirty four with the NCAA basketball tournament. And so there's
only five automatic and only four will receive first round byes. Now,
it's important to point out that even though Texas has
(11:05):
a loss, and of course Georgia has a loss, and
Tennessee has a loss, LSU in Texas, A and M
do not. They play this week in college station. So
the loser that will have a loss a one loss
wouldn't necessarily a keep you out of your conference championship
game and b keep you from getting a first round
by whoever wins the conference championship is getting a first
(11:28):
round by so Texas or Georgia or Tennessee or you know,
the loser of LSU in Texas A and m Missouri.
Speaker 2 (11:39):
All those one loss teas.
Speaker 1 (11:41):
Vanderbilt has one loss, right now, Ole Miss has one loss,
so no Ole Miss hays two. So the one loss teams, yeah,
you'd still have a shot to get into the conference championship.
Speaker 2 (11:52):
Even the two loss teams have a shot to get
into the game.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
So that's how a two loss team also can wind
up in the playoff team that could get a bye
if they got into the playoff, into the conference championship
with two losses and then one their conference championship. The
odds are stacked against it happening, but it could happen,
all right. Coming up, we're gonna hear more from Longhorts
head coach Steve Sarkisian here on sports Radio AM thirteen
(12:16):
under the zone of the iHeartRadio app.
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