Episode Transcript
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(00:00):
The Gambler with Adam KAUFMANI eight wr KO streaming live on the iHeartRadio app
or tell your smart speaker to playw r KO on iHeartRadio. Early fourth
quarter between the Celtics and Heat,Boston of course facing elimination, but up
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by nine points. Right now.We'll keep you posting on what is happening
in that game. This is TheGambler with Adam Kaufman. That's me.
Dan Watkins is here and it istime to go to the guest line.
We are bringing in for the firsttime on this show. Very excited to
have him be part of it.Shane Trail, who covers not only the
NFL for Stochastic, also Major LeagueBaseball for Action Network. We love the
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guys over at both Action as wellas Stochastic and Odd Shopper as well.
That's all part of that same umbrella. Shane, Welcome to the program.
How are you? Thanks to youguys. It's been a pleasure absolutely so
well, first and foremost because we'llbe talking a little baseball and yeah,
you have to understand, can Iimagine you do? You know what's what's
at stay here in Boston. Ineed you to just bear with us a
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little bit, because we will giveyou as much as our focus as we
possibly can, but there are goingto be moments that we might kind of
black out. As expected. It'sa huge game for you guys up in
Boston. I hope you guys pullthrough. I appreciate it. I hope
you're not just saying that because you'rehere, but even if you are,
it's fine, we'll take it.Appreciate that. Obviously you're like a diehard
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Miami Heat fan or something that wouldbe tragic, but nevertheless, welcome to
the show. Great to have you, first of many appearances. I hope.
How are things going for you onthe betting side for baseball here tonight?
What are the big hits today?I had the Rangers against the Pirates.
Does my biggest play for today?I like fading the Pirates. I
think they're one of the faker teamsas we all know them, and the
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Rays. We're one of the twoteams that really just start off twenty twenty
three just extremely hot, and aswe both saw, as we see both
teams are kind of fading out now. The Rays have lost the lead in
the division basically, and now thePirates were I think on a two in
twelve run and it is lost today. So Rangers might be play today and
it thankfully it hits. How muchdo you kind of spread your bets around?
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And I guess what I mean bythat is, so I'm the type
of person that you know, Imight target a whole bunch of games.
I might make multiple bets on agame for the money line as well as
the run line. I don't necessarilyfully commit to putting a lump sum on
one thing, as opposed to,you know, sort of just I don't
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know a lot of eggs and ina lot of different baskets, as opposed
to maybe you your traditional better whoat least on you know, on Twitter
when they're giving out their picks orin a discord or wherever else. You
know, they might have just theirfavorite three or four picks of the day.
I might make twenty baseball bets,including pitcher props and whatever else.
How sort of laser focused are you? I'm definitely more of the minimum risk,
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minimum put out type guy. Ionly do essentially one to three bets
a day in a given sport.That is so baseball today, I only
just had the Rangers, and that'skind of how I take on every day.
I kind of evaluate the whole boardto see how it is, and
I really like to narrow down toone or two bets. I figure I
like to do more money on theirbets. And from a money out on
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a bunch of bets, how doyou ultimately come to the You know,
obviously every day is different, pitchingmatchups and whatever else. I'm sure we'll
impact this, but you know,what is your sort of analytical process to
zoning in on those few specific bets. So I'm a big trend metter.
So for example, just when Ican give you the Oakland A's, we
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all know they're one of the mosthorrific franchises as of right now, and
a lot of people don't like bettingjuice in any sport that is, and
that's given because you know, it'shard to turn profit long term. But
for example, when the Oakland A'ssince two twenty two, when they're given
a price tag a plus two hundred, which is very appealing for a lot
of betters, and they're on theroad, they're three and thirty one if
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you faded them, which means youtook the other team, which is given
a minus two eighty five money line, a minus three hundred money line.
The average money line on that isactually minus two ninety five. You'd be
up twenty six percent on your money. So that's kind of how my approach
when I come to baseball. Ilike taking the largest so favorites and I
like playing the minus one lines,or I just eat the juice. Interesting,
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Dan, I know there's some stuffthat you've been wondering about as well.
Yeah, Shane, thanks for comingon. I kind of wanted to
dive into props and home runs andthat kind of stuff, and I wanted
to know your thought process and howyou might pick a player to hit a
home run every night. Do youjust go by pitcher matchups or do you
have another stat you look at essentially, Yes. One thing I've really been
breaking into this year is hard hitrate. In the past like six or
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seven days to the players. I'vebeen really getting into seeing the hitters,
who are you know, hitting thosethree hundred and ninety five three hundred foot
you know flyouts or the laser outsand they're just missing the home runs.
That's one thing I I've had itthis year. But in general, my
general approach, I have to lookout, you know, a pictures top
pitch. You know, every pitcherhas his pitches. He doesn't go into
the matchup, you know, throwinga different pitch you can kind of see.
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So, for example, set MartinPerez on the Rangers. He's a
major slider pitcher, and you cansee say, Jorge Slayer on the Mayor
Marlin's destroy sliders. And thankfully Perezthrows at a forty six percent of the
time and he lets up a lotof hard hit right has a hard contact.
So that's kind of how I pinpointmy matchups very good because and I
see Perez is going tomorrow. Ikind of already liked the Pirates, so
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I might have to sprinkle in ahome run prop there as well. Yes,
the Pirates, that Joe Ovido isgoing for them from the Cardinals.
He's been phenomenal for them this year. Yeah, he's been pitching really well,
and Perez has not been great latelyeither, so that back and the
Pirates are better hitting lefties this yearthan the Art hitting ritis. All right,
I think I might already have mypeople's parlay pick. How about k
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props? You know, home runprops are obviously such I don't want to
call them total dart throws because Iyou know, as you were just talking
about, and I see a wholelot of people. We've had people on
the show talking about it, andpeople tweet about it, and they you
know on like Dinger Tuesdays that peoplewill celebrate as well. There there are,
you know, very logical ways togo about it. So it's you're
not just like picking names out ofa hat or something like that. There's
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there's a rhyme or reason. ButI think, Kay Props, I vent
about this all the time. Iam just I feel like I am on
the wrong side of the hook everysingle night, every single time that I
play at KAP Like I'm not youknow, I'm not picking under five and
a half and the guy has eight. I mean it's it's six. It's
always six, or it'll go theother way. I need you know,
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I need six, he's got five. Whatever it may be, you get
it obviously, But how what isyour approach to to Kate Props in particular.
That's funny you mentioned as the jackmembers five and a half and six
and a half, those I callhere the dead zone because that's when the
pitchers get it right around the sixthinning or the seventh inning. And for
this year, especially the pitch clock, I think, um Seeker, the
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pitch clock has effected the K propsa lot more than people are expecting because
of the stamina of the pictures.Do you see them running out of stamina
quicker than they usually are because theydon't have these extended breaks between innings and
the extended breaks between batters. Sofor that I don't personally like to target.
I mean, it depends who itis, of course, but the
six and a half five and ahalf range always leasy, weary, and
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I like to see just in generallefty verse righty the K percentage against lefty
verse rieties, and how you knowthe splits, how pitchers do against rights,
and how the hitters do against leftiesso forth. I'm sure there's data
to backing up, and I justdon't know it. Maybe you have it
at your disposal, But what sortof the pattern here in the first couple
months of the baseball season, forinstance, are you know when it comes
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to K props at a certain number, and whether it's, like you said,
kind of the dead zone if it, let's say it's a guy is
five and a half or six anda half. Is there a certain number
where if you just regardless of theguy, the matchup, the situation,
if you just see that number andyou go under, you more often than
not are profitable, I would assume. So I think you have to I
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like to have compared the outs recordit. You can kind of tell the
books kind of tell you. Ithink how far they think the picture is
gonna go, And they can giveyou a eighteen and a half outs record
it line, but they give youa you know, a four and a
half a line. But so italso depended on the picture. Of course,
I'm not trying to disregard that,but I like to look at to
see that where the two lines,how far apart they are from each other.
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That's like one of the weird waysthat I approached the market. All
right, We've got much more comingup with Shane Trail. We're going to
make you part of our people's parlay, which you know nothing about just yet,
but we will fill you in.Here is well, well, we'll
do it on the other side.We'll fill you in on the other side.
We'll have you for a third segment. We'll build it in the final
segment of the hour so that weall know what we're talking about for people
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that are paying attention. You know, however, casually to the Celtics,
they are up by nine with nineminutes to go in regulations. So again,
keep you a close eye on that. We chat Baseball and beyond with
Chain Trail from Action Network and Stochasticas well. Stay with us. You're
on w RKO. It is theGambler with Adam Kaufman. Need e vent
ab bad bets. You've come tothe right place. Tell us about it.
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Call six one seven two six sixsix eight six at six one seven
two six six six eight six eight, or if you're listening on the iHeartRadio
app, use the tuckback button.The Gambler with Adam Kaufman will be right
back after this on WRKO. Celticsup fourteen, just under eight minutes to
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go in regulation. This thing isfar far from over. But obviously you
see what well if you're watching.But what Jason Tatum is doing in this
second half both sides of the ball, inspiring exactly what you need from him
right now. He's up to twentyseven points and like I said, he's
gonna need to drop thirty. Heshould get there with ease, and I
think my forty and Celtics win.Parlay has legs. You think it's play,
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You think it's in play. Ithink it's in play. You're gonna
have to get to the free throwgame. I think, yeah, I
think it's in play. You know, I'm not I'm not getting greedy,
but I think it's in play.We'll see obviously you oh no, actually
it hasn't popped up yet. Wouldn'ttake it anyway? All right, Ride
or Die? All right? Justlike just like all the fine folks who
are part of the Fast and Furiousfranchise, Ride or Die? All right,
(10:20):
let's bring in our our latest Rideor Die here on the Gambler with
Adam Coffman. That is Shane Trailcoming back with us here from Stochastic and
as well as Action Network talking majorLeague Baseball and Shane so uh, Dan
and I were just talking during thebreak and just I find betting baseball so
fascinating, I really do. It'sjust you can get so creative. You
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can really bet on anything, youknow, obviously, like you can bet
whatever's the first pitch of an inningis going to be a ball or strike
that type of thing. But interms of more you know, common bets,
we were talking about K props homerun props. You wrote an extensive
article for Today's Slate on uh NFRIwhy r FI, which for anyone that
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doesn't know, that's no or nr FI? You know what? And
why are fi? It's uh?Uh yes, run first ending, no
run first ending. I may havescrewed up the acronym because I'm going are
so many letters, Shane, mygod. Uh yeah, we abbreviate it
to the NRFY and the your feeas like that. Yeah, let's do
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that nurfy and your fee. Okay, I'm good with that. Let's from
here on out we will not readletters anymore. Uh. When when you
are deciding which games to target to, you know obviously declare whether or not
there will be runs in the firstending of a game. What is your
approach? So a lot of peoplethink you can't get that deep with it,
and they think it's a degenerate bet. But I will counter that you
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can get pretty you can get prettygritty with these bets. You can get
down some crazy analytical rabbit holes.For example, when I approach these bets
to starters. I like to seethe pitchers themselves their first inning records.
So say, for example, umShoeotani, I think his first any backer
up the top of my head,I think it's like six and two this
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year, which means he's had sixin his eight appearances. He has six
of them having no runs and twoof them allowing runs. That's for starters.
And then you can go into thebatter verse pitcher matchups. Because I'm
not a normal game. These theseone, two, three, four hitters,
they're you know, they're very crucialbecause you need three outs to win
a nerfee, and then you cantake on um teams first, any hitting
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splits themselves, and then you cantake on batter slumps if they're hitting the
ball in the last seventies or ifthey're not. Hm. It still makes
me nervous, Dan, Yeah,these are these are difficult. They're so
they're so analytically driven. I feellike with these ones that it's just you
just don't know. But I youdidn't even think about it. We just
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reach train. Yeah, exactly,That's what I'm gonna start doing. But
I love I've loved these bets sinceI've started playing, just a couple of
weeks ago here, uh is,do you have anything in mind for tomorrow
for Wednesday's slate already, Shane oris that still too far away? Having
him the research hit that's off thetop of my head. I believe Zack
Gallen's going and he's one of thebetter He's also the runner for the cy
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Young here, but he's one ofthe better pitchers. I think he's I
think he's eight and one to theNerfy and then I would pair him Rangel
Squarrez wasn't too bad last year,but also a new thing people that don't
really do that I really highly suggestthat you do do is that you can
create a custom no runs for asitting where you take two different baseball games
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and you pair two different pitchers torecord six outs. So it's a customized
Nerfe. So for tomorrow, forexample, I would suggest you take Zach
Gallen, and I suggest you wouldtake Joe Ryan or Shane McClanahan, and
you would parlay these two legs tocome out to like minus one forty two
minus one sixty odds for simple sixouts. So since you brought up Zack
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Gallen here, I'm glad you didbecause I wanted to talk about him a
little bit. He got lit upin his last start against the Pirates.
He gave up five n runs,eight hits, four walks for Gallant.
I think it was the most runshe gave up in like two years or
something like that. Something ridiculous becausehe's been that good. When you see
an ace like that get lit uphis next time out, or you're more
likely to back him or are youstaying away to see if he gets back
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on track? First, Um,for Gallant himself, since he's been phenomenous
year, I probably will back himhere, but in general I like to
avoid them. Yeah, I's thinkingabout it. Do you have some early
leans on tomorrow, you know,nurfy and yourfy aside obviously whether it's a
certain proper just a matchup you reallylike that you're going to target. Yeah,
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I'm sure we all have seen thatblue Jay's race scorer. I think
it ended twenty to one or eighteento one. Good day to have to
raise on the run line, huhYeah. Um, I actually will be
back in see McClanahan. He's justbeen phenomenal this year seven and oh when
he's so I, like I mentionedearlier, the high price tags. For
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example, the Raised this year,when they're higher than a one minus one
ninety favorite, they're a perfect tenand oh dating back to last season,
when they're bigger than a minus onesixty five favorite, they're thirty seven and
four. And then Shane McClanahan himself, when he's higher than a minus one
seventy favorite, he's fifteen and four. So I really like the Raise to
bounce back, especially when they geta picture like a Couci who's for the
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Blue Jays is a well known youknow, people get many many hits off
to him when he pitches. SoI would definitely back to Raise if you
get it early. It's minus oneeighty in some books Vandals offering minus two
ten, I would not take itthere. I'm looking at the splits here
in Vson, and you are notalone in that. Ninety eight percent of
the money so far is on therays run line. Ninety three percent is
on the money line. Yeah,if you get that early that I suggest
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I predict that will close minus twotwenty tomorrows. If you can get minus
one eighty now a significant discount.Wow, So Shane, we're gonna have
you stick around for the next segment. What we do here on the show
is something we like to call thePeople's Parlay. It's very simple. Obviously,
we will build parlay a show parlaythe three of us. You will
offer a leg, Dan will,I will as well. The only rules
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here are that you can use whateverbook you want. You can put whatever
amount of money in bet a dollar, ten dollars, one hundred dollars.
I don't care. That's your business, but you are required to place the
bet so that you know we canall sweat the parlay, not literally together,
but you know spirits we need togethertomorrow. Obviously, the People's Parlay
tonight. The Texas money line alreadyhit earlier. The Celtics money line.
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We're not there yet, but they'reon their way, hopefully up thirteen four
minutes to go. I am rightnow. My pick is the one screwing
people at the moment because I gotgreedy and I took the Mariners on the
run line tonight. Not a crazybet by any stretch, but they are
down to nothing at home to theA's in the bottom of the four things.
We need some work out of Seattledesperately. Yeah, we're gonna need
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it, but we are gonna we'lltake a break here, you'll come back
with us in the next segment.We will build out the parlay and hopefully
try and make not only ourselves butthe people some money. Looking forward to
it, stay with us here.It's The Gambler with Adam Kaufman on w
RKO. Sick and tired of boldsports talk and want to get right into
the action. The Gambler with AdamKaufman. As you covered, call us
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now with six one seven two sixsix six eight six eight. That's six
one seven two six six six eightsix eight. The Gambler with Adam Kaufman
will be right back after this.On WRKO, we are back with Shane
Trail talking baseball. He is fromAction Network and Stochastic as well. We
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will in a matter of moments buildout the People's Parlay for Wednesday, But
before we do that, Chane,I'm just curious what you think, obviously
from a betting perspective, but youcan offer any thoughts that you want on
the Boston Red Sox and what they'vedone so far this season. They're playing
right now. They're out in LAagainst the Angels. They trail one nothing
games in the fifth inning. Obviouslyit's a relatively tough matchup for them,
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but it's been a team that hasbeen fairly consistently up and down, so
consistently inconsistent, if you will,throughout this year, with the exception of
that eight game winning streak they hadearlier, wondering as a better what you
think of Boston beyond as I jokeabout all the time here, always just
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bet the over in their games plustwo thirty to make the playoffs. By
the way, yeah, I don'tthink that plus two thirty is a bad
bad bet by any means. Ithink Chris Sale to start the year,
he was really really bad, buthe definitely turned it around. Losing Adam
Duval hurt them significantly, so oncethey get him back and salustraightened out the
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seat. Like I said, people, the baseball season is very, very
long. This Balston Red Sox team, I think they are one of the
better hitting teams, so I thinkfor sure they can turn it around.
And like you said, that plustwo thirty to make the playoffs, it's
a good It's a peeling price,all right. Why do we build out
the people's parlay? If anyone missedit or doesn't know how this thing works.
We're here in week four. Ihope you do buy now, but
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we will each offer a leg.Shane Will, Dan Will, I Will
Celtics clinging by the way under twominutes to go. They are up fourteen.
So I am not at all comfortableyet, Dan, I wouldn't.
I wouldn't. I'm not comfortable yet. I'm trying to be. I want
to be, but I'm not there. We're gonna build out the parlay,
use whatever book you want, andbet whatever amount you want, and hopefully
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we got some good odds. We'llsee what happens. But you, being
the guest, Shane, you gofirst. What are you on tomorrow?
So I gave out the race soI won't use Damn. I'll go to
my I'll pivot to my second favoritelook for tomorrow, and that would be
the Minnesota Twins. Awful loss withJoe Ryan on the hill. You can
get them. It looks like aminus one sixty five at DraftKings. All
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right, You're allowed to go withyour favorite play if you want, though,
I mean, that's it. I'mnot going to tell you what to
use, but that's up to youand it is your world. I'll give
too out, but I do thinkI think the race for sure, Wan,
I'll be on the race for alot more than one hundred hours tomorrow.
Okay, very good, Dan,what do you got right? So
we kind of hinted at this earlier. I'm going to take the Pittsburgh Pirates
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on the money line. They're atplus one oh five on draft Kings.
The Pirates lost tonight. Nathan Vivaldicontinues to shove as he's been doing all
season with Texas. You know,why can't we get guys like that here
in Boston? But the Pirates ina bounce back. As Shane kind of
mentioned, they hit lefties really well. Martin Perez is going tomorrow for Texas.
He has not been great his pastfew starts. So give me the
buckos, all right. So wehave the Twins on the money line,
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we have the Pirates on the moneyline. And here's I'd love to stay
baseball guys, but I just can'tresist. Here's what I'm doing. I'm
going hockey, and Dan, youknow what I'm doing. I'm going goals,
all right, under five and ahalf goals. I'm following the series
trend between the Hurricanes and Panthers inFlorida. This is Game four of the
series. All three have hit theunder. Game one, there was five
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goals Game two, and that was, by the way, in four overtimes.
Game two went to overtime three goals, and Game three regulation one goal.
So I am going under five anda half goals in Game four and
that brings me to a nice andtidy, perfectly even plus five hundred on
this three leg parlay. Very good. That's the same as today's very nice.
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I'm gonna make my bet right nowas we sit here, and as
we Oh god, I'd love tosee Tatum and Brown and Williams celebrating on
the bench minute to go up seventeenpoints, just soak it in. Let's
we get another one, we getanother. More on that coming up real
soon. But Shane, thank youso much for hopping on with us.
We will be doing it again.We got a whole lot of baseball talk
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coming up on this show in themonths to come, and I hope you'll
be a big part of it.I appreciate you guys having me on with
my pleasure than absolutely. Jane Trail, like I said, from Stochastic as
well as Action Network, thanks tohim. Always great to have new people
on this show, as we dopretty much every single night. In saying
that we are going to have arepeat, we are going to have Matt
Meiselman join us in the second hourof this show, and we will get
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to really dan dive much deeper intothis Celtics game. We will do a
probably a full hour of basketball talkbetween you know you and I in the
next segment, and Matt will joinus in about a half hour. At
this point in time, just anice good relatively and I say this only
in the sense of the you know, late third into the fourth comfortable win.
Oh I. Just as I jokedon Twitter a little while ago,
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it's it's good to see the twentytwenty three Boston Celtics flew to Miami this
afternoon. Yeah, they made itfinally. But tying this with Baseball quick,
it's kind of funny and eerie thatAaron and Jeter in the stands tonight.
It's a little eerie. Give mea little bit of hope that uh,
you know, at least we'll getmaybe a game six on Saturday night,
maybe a little maybe a little fateright there. Who knows, No,
(22:45):
I hope. So, but yeah, listen, I I stand by
what I said earlier. I thinkthe Celtics are going to win at home.
I do, and then we'll see, We'll see what happens back in
Miami. What do you think thisline's going to be? As it's not
up you have just told about aminute to go, I'm gonna go with
like a good guess, I'm gonnago like seven and a half. It
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still feels high to me. I'llsay five and a half. So I'm
going seven and a half just becauseit like it took for the Celtics to
completely no show in Game three andgo down three l for them to give
you to give the Heat even theslightest bit of credit with the sports books
here. So I'm really intrigued tosee what this is going to be on
Thursday night. Let me ask avery rhetorical question. How much credit do
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we give the Celtics for shooting nineteento forty five from three? Five made?
Three pointers by Jason Tatum, threeby Al Horford, three by Marcus
Smart, three by Derek White,four by Grant Williams. My god,
can you imagine a three point parlay? What that would have looked like and
what that would have paid out.How much credit do you give the Celtics
And finally, just hot three pointshooting and not turn the ball over,
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you know, fifteen times it wasjust ten or you know, do we
credit the extender Scott Foster? Soyou do have to give the cell thin
credit. What I most want togive them credit for, though, is
their defense in the second half.They have held Miami to forty three points
in the second half, which ishuge for them, and what they've done
here. They talked about their defense, how bad their defense has been.
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Finally we got to see some defensefrom the Celtics tonight, which is important.
And this is also getting close herefor those who might have taken the
over as we are now at twofifteen as this game is winding down,
it closed at two sixteen, Soas long as Miami doesn't dribble it out
here, no, it's two fifteen. Help. So if you grabbed it
at two fourteen when it opened,you barely skated through. See, I've
(24:36):
got so many different things that I'mtracking now. I don't remember what I
got it at. I'll have to. I mean, I wouldn't have put
much on it anyway, more ofmy bets run the money line and some
various straight props and parlays and whatnot. But let me see, I mean,
because we are going to break ina second. I don't know,
I don't I have so many betsrelated to this game that it could take
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me the commercial break to even find. But a lot of uh a lot
of good knowledge there by Shane Trail. Absolutely, I think we learned a
lot in that one. Well.Yeah, and the most important takeaway is
your fee and nurfy. We don'thave to stumble around with the letters anymore.
We can just use those instead.Oh that is very do you what
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kind of what's what's your confidence levelnow that two legs of today's part layer
down in my beloved Seattle Mariman winningthis game. I did not love backing
Marco Gonzalez at all last night.I was really skeptical at the time.
Uh so, but we need theor the A's pitcher here tonight is not
could either Medina he has been Yeah, I mean we're only talking down two.
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Oh yeah, so it's very wellcould more in the bottom of an
inning. Yeah, they absolutely couldif they can start hitting here and they
only have one hit so far,though, which is a little concerning against
the Oakland A's, who have justten wins this season. It's just don't
let the Oakland A's spoil a people'sparlay here because we could really use it,
really could use it after a roughweek last week to get off on
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the right foot here. Well,but I do like your play to for
Wednesday night, by the way,I because I was going I actually wanted
to do a Lebrovsky save prop.But it's not up yet, it hasn't
been posted. I can't find itanywhere. Uh. For Tomorrow night,
he's he's just been lights out andI wish A couple of weeks ago,
I was joking with a couple ofbuddies. He was like plus two thousand
(26:21):
to win the Con Smythe And thiswas I think after like Game two of
the Toronto series, and I justlike screenshot and be like attempted, never
did anything, really wish I did. He's down to like two ninety now
to win the Con Smyth. Andalso Bruce Cassidy and the Golden Nights are
one win away from the Cup final. Yeah how about that? That?
Yeah? Three zero in this yearand I'm so excited for Butchie like,
(26:42):
that's that's wonderful. Love him andgood for Vegas. I mean obviously a
team that's been to this point beforebut you know, has not one sou
that's certainly exciting. But yeah,just really, I mean, this was
never even a game. No,Jamie Ben got tossed like immediately into this
one. Uh so it's it's aVegas in Florida. It seemed like they're
on a collision course and oh boy, things the spotlight is on the Bruins.
(27:06):
It always comes back to Boston somehow. Oh man, it was like
this, Yeah, yeah, thespotlight is just like they are going to
have their feet held to the firehere, especially if Bruce Cassidy knocks off
the team that eliminated the greatest regularseason team in NHL history. Oh oh
that's good. Huh, that's gonnabe a tough summer. Uh wherever they're
all held up. Jason Tatum,by the way, thirty four points thirty
(27:30):
four. It wasn't a crazy idea, No, no, not a crazy
idea yet you got your double doublethough, Yeah, got the double double.
We got the you know, I'llcatch up during the break. See
what some of that looked like,but just a good, good, distributed,
balanced offense. I'm actually surprised lookingat it that Jalen only had the
(27:52):
sixteen points. I thought he wasa little closer to twenty, but still
just one for five from three pointrange. She's what just was he three
twenty five in this series? Yeah, it's not good. No, No,
you're gonna him. You're gonna needhim here. You're gonna need him
as you as you keep going here. And if you can keep going here,
doesn't take much with us, doesit. These guys, they just
pull you right back in. No, my god, all right, we're
(28:15):
gonna step aside. Matt Meiselman isgonna join us in the next hour,
but Matt and I will come backtalk more Celtics on the way here on
The Gambler with Adam Kaufman w rKO, Another hour of The Gambler with
Adam Kaufman is coming up on sixeighty w r KO streaming live on the
iHeartRadio app and on your smart speaker. Just ask it to play w r
(28:36):
KO on iHeartRadio. Gambling problem Hopeis here? Call one eight hundred and
three to two seven fifty fifty orvisit gambling helpline MA dot Org. Dan
just got a text from Matt Lamarca, who, of course was on the
show with us helped us build outthe people are La for tonight on last
night's show. He writes, allcomes to to you. You and your
(29:00):
damn greedy run line. Yep,yep, yep, yep. I know.
Look, there was no value goingmoney line you had to get you
had to boost those odds, geta little greedy with the run line.
Seattle Top seven has come back fromdown two zero. They're up three to
two. We need one more runto pull this off, and I guess
(29:21):
the m's you know, potentially havejust six outs to do it. Yeah,
I have. I have the overin this game too, so I
would really like a couple more runshere, definitely any four more to even
push so could really use it,could really use it. Let's go,
MS, help us out, helpus out. You know who helped us
out tonight, the Boston Celtics bywinning Game four, forcing Game five back
(29:41):
in Boston on Thursday. Let's breakit down not just what we saw tonight,
but most especially looking ahead from abetting perspective to the next one.
Matt Meiselman joins us from the ValueBetting Discord and Matt this may have occurred
to you, but I didn't tellyou. You're something maybe of a Celtics
good luck charm, and that ispart of the reason that you're on here
(30:03):
tonight when I reached out to youearlier today, because you were the one
we talked about this last time youwere on the show. You were the
one last year in early January sayingwatch out for the Celtics, watch out
for the Celtics, and then fastforward, obviously they win the East,
they go to the NBA Finals.We know what happened after that. But
you were the one who had morefaith than even the Green teamers themselves.
(30:23):
And you are not a Boston guy. You are a New Jersey guy,
and so I thought, you know, we need good vibes, we need
positive vibes for the Celtics. Tonight. I'm Colin Meiselm and I'm getting him
on the show. I just wantto let it be known that I never
tire of this phrase. This islike my favorite thing ever to recap what
happened last season and how right Iwas, So don't stop doing it,
(30:45):
because I really enjoy it very much, And yeah, this game was awesome.
Maybe I'll have to come on forevery postgame, like we'll have to
schedule it in just seet night.This is, this is I don't want
I don't want to get too optimistichere is. I actually bet the Celtics
to win the series at eight toone going into this game. Wow,
I'm like a little over excited rightnow. Yeah, like I didn't think
(31:10):
they were going to win tonight.I just thought the number didn't make sense,
Like I thought tonights game was acoin book. It's already down to
plus two ninety. Yeah, andwe can talk about that for sure,
Like that number is interesting, butI think it's kind of appropriate. But
yeah, maybe, like maybe there'ssome adjustment being made by the sports books,
(31:32):
not just because the Celtics won,but how convincingly they won. And
then also the health of Gabe Vincent, who maybe coming into this series we
didn't think was an important player.Clearly he's been very important so far.
So like if his ankle isn't rightfor next game, maybe that affects the
line either way. Though, LikeI'm just happy we can all be in
good spirits, you know, celebratingat least one win for the Celtics in
(31:53):
the Eastern Conference Finals, because itwasn't looking good for a while there,
especially when they were down nine inthe third quarter. And then you know,
we finally got the good version ofJason Tatums, so that was cool.
So, man, I'll say somethingto you that I've already said multiple
times on this show, that Isaid throughout the day today before this game
even tipped, was that I believed, well one, I believe the Celtics
(32:13):
would win tonight, and that waslargely where my bets were across parlays and
straits and whatever else. I waspretty heavily invested in Boston winning this game.
I did believe it would happen.I just didn't see them going out
with a whimper getting swept. Butthe bigger thought is that I felt and
feel that if the Celtics won tonight, they will go back to Miami for
(32:35):
a Game six. That Boston willwin Game five. That whether it's the
home crowd or whether it's momentum orI don't know what, And I'm not
saying they're going to come back anddo the unthinkable and the whole you know,
oh four Red Sox, why notus do something It's never been done
in NBA history. It could happen. And I love that you made the
bet prior to this game, obviouslyjust taking the number and saying, hey,
(32:55):
what the hell, let's let's throwa dart. But how much of
watching this game tonight to you,especially in that second half, like you
said, when they went on therun eighteen oh run and really never relented
from there was water finding its level, you know, compared to what we'd
seen from Boston the previous three threeand a half games. Yeah, I
(33:15):
think a lot of it is justthat like regression to the mean. I
mean, the team's clearly played tolike outlier performances in both directions. So
Boston couldn't hit a three, Miamicouldn't miss a three, and we finally
saw that reverse. Yeah, Imean hopefully that continues. I don't really
expect it to continue. I wantto ask you though, like when they
(33:36):
were down nine in the third,what were you thinking, Like were you
still confident that they would be ableto like, you know, show some
light or was it like you know, did you turn into glass for a
second, just like or like attachedto what was going on in your head,
in my head, I would say, and I won't speak for Dan,
he can answer as well, butI would say that I was like,
(33:58):
I hadn't given up hope. Itwasn't Oh, I got to turn
this off. This sucks. Herewe go, it's going to be Game
three all over again. I wasjust kind of sitting there saying, the
only way they are going to winthis game is if Jason Tatum turns it
on. He has to be soI wasn't, you know, sitting there
saying Al's got to hit more threes, Marcus has to hit more threes.
You know, Grant Williams has toget hot. It was if Jayson Tatum
(34:20):
scores thirty plus points, they willwin this game. And he got more
aggressive. So did Jalen obviously,who had an if he first half and
you know they cruise from there.But that's if if we had gotten to
the end of the third quarter,even if it was you know, Celtics
were down by five, let's say, but Tatum still hadn't you know,
gotten aggressive just in terms of creatingshots and opportunities for himself and seemed more
(34:44):
passive in the offense than I wouldhave been alarmed. So the fact that
he came alive kind of about thetime that you're talking about that, you
know, was why I really didn'tlose faith in this particular game tonight,
right, And I think, atleast to me, probably to most people,
well of course Celtics fans, butI think most people that understand basketball,
(35:05):
the Celtics are the better team,and that was clear even before this
game. Sometimes the better team justloses three games in a row. I
mean, the Celtics did lose twoconsecutive home games this year to the Orlando
Magic, Right, So these sortsof things just happen, and sometimes they
happen consecutively. And sometimes, yes, Eric Spoelstra is out coaching Joe Missoula,
and maybe a Celtics players like JalonBrown is playing gurn injury, and
(35:28):
maybe Miami's role players are better thanwe thought. But even if all of
that's true, a lot of thisis just luck. So the Celtics winning
by as much as they did tonightis also luck to an extent. But
this team was the better team despitebeing done three all in the series.
So right now, like if Ihave to pick the series winner, it's
still Miami but it's not by alot like the Celtics can win this series
(35:52):
plus two ninety, I think itis probably a mild value, so to
give like percentage chance. But forthe series right now, before this game,
I thought we were in like thefifteen to eighteen percent range, which
means the line should have been likefive or six to one. So that
was why I thought eight to onewas a good bet. Right now,
I think we're in like the twentyseven to thirty percent range, So that
(36:15):
puts us like plus two thirty toplus two sixty and at two ninety.
I mean, you know, ifyou're a Celtics fan, you can just
root for them, right like youdon't have to bet on your own team.
I have this argument with people allthe time, like people want to
put money behind the team, they'realready like you've got enough on the line.
So I'm not trying to encourage anyBoston people to bet on the Celtics
now, but I'm going to thinkabout it for sure, even at the
(36:35):
lower number, how much of itis the matchup? And what I mean
by that, like people talk aboutthe you know, and one fifty when
a team is down oh three,coming back to win never happened. All
of that stuff. People you know, gravitate to the numbers, but I
feel like what that loses is oneyou're talking about all of NBA history,
so you're going back decades. Butalso, yeah, I actually just a
(36:59):
German. For second, I don'tcare about the THREEZ thing in this spot
because how many of those teams downthree oz were minus five hundred favorites in
the series before. That's that's howmany of what I was going to say
exactly, Yeah, this is unprecedented. This is totally unprecedented. Yeah,
like I just don't think it.And I'm not sitting here saying Boston's gonna
win four straight. But it wouldn'tbe as shocking, you know, in
(37:24):
the greater sense if the Celtics didjust because again they are just they just
if water if if regression, themean, like you said, both sides,
Boston just is a dramatically better teamthan Miami. It's like, that's
just even. And I say thateven if Boston loses this series, I
(37:44):
will still feel that way because thatis the regular season, larger sample sized
reality of the situation. Yeah,and it's not just the regular season,
Like we can look back to lastseason two, where these were roughly the
same rosters. I mean, Bostonbeat Miami in a series last year.
It was better for you know,more of the recent part of last year,
the second half of the season,and then Miami doesn't have Pilo Hero
(38:07):
So yeah, all of that addedtogether, I mean, it should be
clear who the better team is.But to win four in a row is
still quite difficult. And one ofthe things that it is hard to figure
out right now in terms of bettingis there are all these trends, like
when a team is down two ohand they're going back home, they tend
to play much harder in game three, and there's like a there's the zig
zag theory where a team comes upa loss and then they're more likely to
(38:29):
win the next game. When we'rein this territory though, where we're coming
back from three h this doesn't happenoften enough, so we don't have trends,
Like we don't know what the historicaldata even would say here, because
the amount of times in NBA historywhere the better team was down three oh,
like the amount of times that's occurred, it might have this might be
the only time, Like I'm notsure that a pre series favorite has ever
(38:51):
been down three oh before, sowe have really nothing to look at like.
It's still going to be hard towin three more games in a row,
but if anyone's going to be ableto do it, clearly it's this
team. There's no value obviously inbetting Boston with the money line in game
five coming up here on Thursday.But how do you feel about the points?
You know, depending on the book, you're looking at celts or seven
and a half eight point favorites wouldif you were even going to go near
(39:14):
the number in general, are youmore inclined to bet Miami just to cover
or do you feel that confident thatBoston could have a double digit win.
I think I'm taking the eight pointson Miami. I was expecting to see
a line around six and a halfor seven. I think that's where it
should be. I think the moneyline should be in like the two fifty
range, so I don't really wantto Like when you get to these larger
(39:37):
spreads, there's less value on moneylines generally because like the big increases,
So I think taking the points isgenerally the better move on larger numbers,
and I think eight is like apoint point and a half too high,
So it's not the most exciting betin the world. If you're a Celtics
fan or some of the Celtics futures, it functions as a hedge to some
degree. But even if I hadnothing on the line, I think I'd
(39:58):
probably have something on the Heat atplus eight, although I'll probably change my
mind a little bit if gave Vincentwinds up missing the game. That's sort
of a key update that we're waitingon. But assuming he can play,
at least in a limited capacity,I think the eight is semi appealing,
though I certainly expect the Celtics towin the game, all right. Matt
Misloman here from the Value Betting Discord, talking about how to bet Game five.
(40:20):
That's right. There will be aGame five back in Boston on Thursday
between the Celtics and Heat as theEastern Conference Finals continues. More with Matt
when we come back. You're onThe Gambler with Adam Kaufman. Sick and
tired of bold sports talk and wantto get right into the action. The
Gambler with Adam Kaufman. As youcovered, call us now with six one
seven two six six six eight sixeight. That's six one seven two six
(40:45):
six six eight six eight. TheGambler with Adam Kaufman will be right back
after this on WRK. O God, thank god, thank god they did
us, thank god the one.We still have basketball. We still have
basketball. We still have Celtics basketball. Not like we were wishing for more
(41:06):
Nuggets, Lakers. We didn't needany of that around here. I mean,
would have been good show content,I guess, but but on an
emotional level, emotional level, weneed more Celtics and this will will not
surprise the people that the bulk ofthe money very early on you know lines
obviously just came out. The bulkof the money is both handle and bets
are on the over two fourteen anda half and most of the money is
(41:30):
on the heat money line handle aswell, and on Miami to cover the
eight points Miami plus eight, withabout seventy percent being bet up seventy percent
of the bets fifty nine percent ofthe handle. Not a lot of love
for a Celtics blowout, but doesn'tmean it cannot happen. Matt Meiseman back
with us from the Value Betting Discord. We were talking about the series.
(41:52):
We were talking about the spreads obviouslycoming out of this game, Matt and
player performances, and I know thatyou know, most books like the props
aren't out yet, but they'll beout probably, if not first thing tomorrow,
maybe even by the end of thenight tonight before people go to bed.
Is there anything that you've seen overrecent games or just specifically this one,
(42:14):
if you feel like the Celtics haveturned a corner, anything that you
saw that leads you to say,Okay, this is a prop, like
this is a number I envisioned willbe offered, and this is a prop
I'm going to be targeting. Soa lot of what I'm going to be
looking at, and I haven't lookedat props much this series, but I
think we're getting into interesting territory nowbecause of this Vincent injury, which could
(42:37):
be a factor going to the nextgame. So my gut feeling is Vincent
will play through whatever ankle soreness hewinds up having, but it could be
limitations, it could be reduced minutes, it could be reduced effectiveness. And
if there's a points prop for himaround eleven and a half, twelve and
a half something like that, Ithink looking towards the under makes a lot
of sense. I just don't thinkthey'll push him and he may sit up
(43:00):
the game entirely. And then we'relooking at other players. So I guess
there's two potential scenarios. One isVincent plays and we looked a bet underprops
on him. The other one iswe get him rolled out and then Kyle
Lowry maybe plays thirty minutes or DuncanRobinson if we can find a prop on
him, I think would be thebiggest beneficiary. So if I am able
(43:21):
to find a Duncan Robinson points prop, let's call it, let's say seven
and a half points something like that, I would probably take the over before
the injury news comes through. Obviously, if you can time it and wait
for the upstate and just bet itright when it happens, that's always ideal.
But short of that, I thinkRobinson could get a minute's bump next
game because Vinson is either limited warout, So that's really you know,
(43:45):
this is like the first key injurysituation we've had in this series. Even
the rotations though, are a littlebit i'm not gonna say totally unpredictable,
but wonky, right like you lookat the Boston side, and obviously Grant
Williams his over the course of theseries been a growing part of the series.
I mean he was a DNP,you know, for anyone that doesn't
(44:06):
remember all the way back in Gameone, Rob Williams, Malcolm Brogden seeing
less time now as Boston veers awayfrom the Double Big. Even Al Horford
only saw twenty five minutes in thisgame. Part of it obviously was because
by the end it was a littlebit of a blowout those last few minutes.
But you know, is there somethingthere where you're just sort of looking
at usage and minutes and saying whenit comes to overs, whether it's white,
(44:29):
whether it's smart, whether it's brown. Obviously, Tatum, these are
guys you're going to zero in on. Yeah, I mean, I know
people like overs, but I tendto just prefer unders because I think there's
generally more value on them. Sure, but I can give one of Beach
like Robinson, is the overhum heatside that I'm looking out for the Celtics
side. I mean, Brogden's minutesare clearly trending downward thirty seven in Game
(44:52):
one, twenty six in Game twoeighteen in Game three seventeen. In Game
four and Game three four he scoredtwo points combined, So we may see
Brogden's just like that trend continue,especially with other guys like Grant Williams in
particular playing well the Celtics playing biggerlineups. So I'm kind of curious where
(45:14):
Malcolm Brogden's points prop is going tobe, Like he was thirteen and a
half or fourteen and a half weightlast series, Like could we see a
six and a half or an eightand a half or something like that on
Brogden. So it's going to dependon the number. Like if there's a
double digit point prop on Brogden,I think under half to be a bet
as far as overs though, likecan you really bet a Grant Williams over
(45:36):
of any kind? Like he canplay twenty four to dollar minutes and just
not contribute to the box score,So I'm not really excited about that,
But with guys like him, likemaybe you just go over three pointers and
bet like an alt line, youknow, like over four and a half
threes at twenty to one or whateveryou can find because him and PJ.
Tucker, who I'm sorry if that'san offensive comparison, But like those sorts
(45:59):
of players are just kind of standingthere waiting for someone to create for them.
But if they make one or twoin a row, maybe the team
starts to look for them. Somaybe we get some weirdness out of Grant
Williams. It does seem like hisminutes are trending up and brovidens are trending
down. Matt, how do youfeel about the total in game five?
Once again, it's at two fifteento fifteen and a half. Every game
in this series so far they've eitherbeen right at two fifteen and two of
(46:20):
them they have or over it.What are you looking at in game five?
I think my general tendency is tostay away from these because there's so
many competing variables that are hard justhard to analyze. Like Boston is playing
bigger lineups, but they also seemto be playing faster, like they I
think clearly emphasize running in the secondhalf of this game in game four,
(46:44):
So if they play a bigger lineupbut they're running more, it's those things
sort of cancel out, and maybetwo fifteen is just the right number.
Like I'm not really sure what theodds makers are looking at But my answer
is I'm staying away because I justdon't know enough. I just don't tend
to have a great feel like asthe series progresses, these coaches start,
you know, scheming back and forthfor each other. I guess the one
(47:06):
thing I will say is that Vincentis not playing. I lean under because
Miami's Miami's gonna have to play biggerlineups like they're just I think Kevin loves
to play more minutes. Kaled Martinus to play more minutes. Robinson and
Lowry of course, but I thinkeven the front court players would have to
play more minutes and probably slow thegame down. So Vincent being out would
definitely trigger an under best for me, Matt before we let you go and
(47:28):
there's no pressure, not like,hey, you're on Boston Radio, give
us what we want. I wantyour honest opinion. What is the likelihood,
what is your belief your confidence levelthat Boston goes out and wins Game
five. I mean, I thinkThey've got like a seventy to seventy five
percent shot to win this next game. So I'm gonna pick Boston to win
Game five for sure. Like thisis always hard because I think Miami wins
(47:51):
the series, but I would pickBoston in each individual game, like Boston
should be favored in each game fromhere on out, it's just winning three
games in a row and if yourfavorite in all of them as hard.
So I'll just leave it at that. I'm picking Boston for Game five.
I don't know what's going to happenin this series. Well, I don't
know what's gonna happen on Thursday inany way, shape or form, which
means you might be hearing from me, Matt. We might be talking to
(48:13):
me again, our little good luckcharm here, the luck of the Irish
Celtics needed, my friend. Thanksso much for hopping on with us,
obviously, and I since we willbe talking again real soon yep, any
time. And congratulations on the whimWell, thank you. It's only one
a long way to go. Canyou grass up being down three one?
Guys? Yeah? Really really goodstuff work all right. He's he's great,
(48:38):
love Matt, and a lot alot of a lot of really good
uh knowledge and advice throughout throughout thisshow. Here tonight from Shane, obviously,
Matt, we can delve into somemore of that and continue to track
this Mariners game. When we comeback here, we'll put this show to
bed. The Gambler with Adam Coffmanon w RKO need even a bad bets,
(48:58):
You've come to the right place.Tell us about it. Call six
one seven two six, six sixeight six as six one seven two six
six six eight six eight, orif you're listening on the iHeartRadio app,
use the talkback button. The Gamblerwith Adam Kaufman will be right back after
this on w r KO. DownBack to the Gambler with Adam Kaufman on
(49:22):
six eighty w r KO streaming liveon the iHeartRadio app, or tell your
smart speaker to play w r KOon iHeartRadio. Now it's time to put
the show to bed. With mypillow. I'm not tired, Nope.
(49:45):
I love my pillow and I'm lookingforward to in a couple hours maybe getting
to bed and putting my head onmy pillow. But I'm not tired right
now. I'm riding the high ofthe Celtics win to force a Game five.
I'm unreal good because Dan just remindedme that it's all a Monday,
which means really have three shows nextweek. Yeah, we really got to
grind it out. What a fraudshift that is. Yeah, terrific.
(50:07):
And the Seattle Mariners are fighting.They're not there yet, they're not there
yet. We're big cal Rally fansright now, big. Oh no,
oh, you flew out? Ohwhy did I even say the words?
You just had to go run line? Nope. I really thought after hitting
(50:31):
two guys that inning they were goingto get in, especially getting one over
the third. You know what theproblem was because I I have it up
on TV, It's on MLB Network, and I sort of where I'm sitting,
I can't see all of the screen. I can't really see the right
side. I didn't know there weretwo ounces, Yeah, yep. I
(50:52):
thought we had more time there,yep. And the Red Sox just lost
too, right as you screamed.So I wasn't sure if that's what you
were what you were yelling at.But the Red Sox bats have gone ice
cold, ice cold, they havenot They've scored one run since Saturday night.
So someone said the Socks bats areon East Coast time still so which
(51:13):
might be the case. But onemore game tomorrow in in La or Anaheim.
Whatever it is out there sounding forBrian Bao though. Yeah, he's
pitching really well. I mean,the starters been good lately. They've been
lately, they've been good. Andthey got James Packston tomorrow night, so
I might you know, I wason the Sox tonight. That was one
of my picks tonight, but um, I might have to back him again
tomorrow. I just have to ridethe Paxton train till he till the wheels
(51:36):
fall off there on that I haven'tI haven't played the socks over and I
when I say the socks over,I mean the total over and yeah,
just the team total. I haven'tplayed the socks over and in a few
days, which has turned out tobe the right move. I think it's
like over four. I think it'slike water coming back down, but water
finding its level. That being said, I think tomorrow might be the night.
Yeah, yeah, I'm I'm likingthat over nine in that matchup.
(51:58):
I think this weekend in Arizona isgonna be a lot of it's gonna be
over city with those two offenses inthat ballpark. May be right. Obviously,
we don't have basketball to look forwardto tomorrow. We will talk basketball,
you know, Thank god we stillhave Celtics to preview and and dive
deep and we'll have player props andall of that bibe then so uh,
you know, well, we'll geta guest on, we'll chat about that,
(52:19):
we will have the hockey game,uh, you know, the potential
elimination game between the Hurricanes and Panthers. Banking on a low scoring one and
h Florida being at home is favoredobviously. But as far as baseball goes,
just to you know, take itback to that, it's it's a
healthy slate on Wednesday. So whatare some of the spots that you're keying
in on right now? So lookingat this tomorrow, obviously, my pick
(52:42):
for the People's Parlay was the Pirates. Really like that pick a lot.
I might even go the over inthat game too. H It's it's set
at nine, it's twelve thirty fiveEast Coast start, so that's an early
one. I love the chance toderail the People's Parlay right at twelve thirty,
which is always a fun time.That like that one. I really
Zach Gallen, as we talked aboutearlier with Shane, he's on the mound
looking for a bounce back tomorrow.I'm expecting that what else we got here
(53:07):
Astro's Brewers. That's been an interestingseries, Twins, Giants, Cardinals,
Reds. Yeah, Shane McClanahan,I pretty much just blindly bet him every
time he's on the mound. Andas Shane, our Shane that was our
guest tonight, mentioned that he reallylikes him tomorrow, and I loves the
Rays on the money line. It'slike it's it's almost at minus two hundred.
Now it's one ninety five. I'mseeing at the moment, So I
(53:30):
might even go raise run line asthey try to bounce back from getting smacked
twenty to one tonight by the BlueJays. I don't imagine this will remain
the case, but right now theRays run line ninety eight percent of the
handle at least on the Draftking SportsBook, ninety eight percent of the handle
on the Tampa side, eighty percentof the bets. Wow crazy, Yeah,
(53:50):
So yeah, I mean that iscertainly a spot I will be looking
at as well. I mean,night before numbers are always just so weird
because oh, for sure, youknow, yeah, absolutely, people really
haven't looked dug in yet. Articlesaren't written, You can't, you don't
really have too much information to gooff of. No, but I am
inclined to agree that Tampa. Youknow, money line and run line probably
separate bets. For me. Willbe targeting the raise in a big bounce
(54:14):
back spot in that one. Uh, some of the other ones that I
might actually go under in the DodgersBraves game, Tome, I thought you
were gonna say the Brewers Astros gamemaybe, But the Dodgers Braves game tomorrow
night Tony Gonslin versus Bryce Elder,both those guys have just been shoving lately.
Both of them have Ray's under twopoint one, so the total is
(54:37):
nine and a half in this one. Yeah, there's some intriguing spots where
else. Diamondbacks money line, maybeeven run line. Astro's money line is
a good spot. The under whiteSox Guardians is something I'll probably look at
some of the later games. Imean, obviously Seattle both money line and
(54:58):
run line is something I'll be lookingat against Oakland. It's really just you
know, targeting the a's more morethan anything else. Probably even look at
the over eight eight feels like,I know, I know we're not there
in this one. It's just fiveright now. But eight still just in
general feels like a low number forfor for that matchup. Yeah, Rockies
Marlin's under eleven. That's interesting.Well, at least we have these big
(55:25):
slates too, you know, we'rewe're gonna have that going for uh for
quite a while, which which isnice, nice that that we can depend
on that we you know, hopefullythe Red Sox or a team that is
fighting for a playoff spot and continuesto be entertaining and all of that.
But uh, you know, it'sit's just good. We'll have a lot
(55:45):
of baseball and and and even aswe you were talking during the break,
we start to get into a littleoffseason football talking once basketball is done in
and hockey as well in another uhweeks at this point, Yeah, well
we'll have a whole bunch to reallysink our teeth in two on the diamond.
Yep. And today is actually onehundred days exactly away from college football
(56:07):
season. Cannot wait for that.Uh So, yeah, it's it's it's
a fun time. It's a funtime, and it'll fly by. It'll
go buy quick as it always does. But the Red Sox are at right
now twenty six and twenty three.There's slightly better than I thought they'd be
at this point. Our guy EJin my ear already shouting out Georgia Tech.
Just wait, Georgia Tech. Wow. Okay, No, I'm just
kidding. I'm kidding. I wantedyou to come on and defend yourself.
(56:30):
See only I can't tell if he'sonly you know, he's not in the
area. I was having trouble turnedon my mic. But no, University
of Texas, I'm calling it rightnow. They're gonna win it all?
Are you going Quinnie Ers or archmanning Quinn this year? Okay? All
right, I like that. Ithink Texas is going to be really good.
I don't know if they win atall, but I do I did
think he said GT in my earand not ute. Okay, so that's
(56:52):
that's where that came from. I'mgonna say I only know one Georgia Tech
fan. I don't know. Adamwas about to roast me on air.
He's about to be like, whatwhat if when EJ comes on starts preaching
the wishbone offense? Then we gotsome issues, but excellent well, another
show in the books, and avery successful one, if for no other
reason than because the Boston Celtics werevictorious here tonight and just it was just,
(57:15):
honestly, it was just nice torecognize them again. It felt like
it had been so long since Ihad watched that team play and knew who
I was looking at. So thankgoodness for that. It's a good way
to start off the work week,folks, A good way to start off
on Monday or Tuesday or whatever it'sI mean, all these days they blend
(57:36):
together. Wead my god, howabout that. I know Thursday we're gonna
be gonna be like taking it home, like taking us into the weekend,
only to then come back on Tuesdaythe following week. Wow, I have
to do something else. Find ahobby, all right. Terrific stuff from
Shane earlier, from Matt you willif you missed any of it, it'll
(57:59):
be on the podcast. A lotof great stuff, Minsem and e j
h. You know obviously, DanWatkins. I am Adam Coffman's The Gambler
with Adam Coffman. Thank you somuch for being here with us, and
join us again two hours earlier,but this time tomorrow. See you for
the best night sleep you've ever had. Go to Mikepillow dot com and use
(58:20):
the code Gambler. You've been listeningto The Gambler with Adam Coffman