Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Good morning again from South Dakota. I took your advice
and switched over the TV to one of the other networks.
I'm not going to say which one because I don't
want to give him any advertising, but it sure would
be interesting to know what President Obama and President Trump
are talking about. At one time, President Obama was chuckling,
so President Trump must be entertaining him quite well.
Speaker 2 (00:24):
So, oh, I everyone have a great day.
Speaker 3 (00:26):
Oh, I see him on Fox right now.
Speaker 4 (00:28):
They were when I looked up earlier, Obama had turned
over his had turned over his right shoulder, and he
was talking to Mike Pence and they were having a
grand old time. They were yucking it up pretty good.
But now they've got who's that next to Obama? I
can't tell who that is? We got there's there's Bill
(00:49):
and Hillary, then somebody else and.
Speaker 5 (00:52):
Then that's not Bush.
Speaker 3 (00:56):
Is that I can't tell from here?
Speaker 6 (00:58):
Is that?
Speaker 3 (00:58):
But oh yeah, because that's Laura next. Yeah.
Speaker 4 (01:00):
So then there's the Bushes, and there's Obama. Where's Michelle
my where's Big Mike? Big Mike's not there's what's the deal?
And then they so that means so that's why Obama
and because by protocol. You should have Michelle sitting between
Obama and Trump. Ooh, that's gotta be tents a little tense.
(01:25):
And then I wonder how many times Trump has looked
up to his his right and looked at Kamala. Oh cackle,
brain herself is right there on the front row, next
to doctor Jill Biden.
Speaker 3 (01:41):
You know, what, what are we gonna do? Dragon?
Speaker 4 (01:43):
You know, a couple of weeks from now, doctor Jill Biden,
we don't have poor old Joe Biden to hang around,
you know, to bug anymore.
Speaker 7 (01:55):
If somebody on the news will say something about Trump,
so then we'll have to make fun of them.
Speaker 4 (01:59):
Yes, does any does anybody? I'm not listen, I'm not
wishing this, I'm not suggesting it, but I'm just telling
you what's in my head, which is pretty dangerous. Do
you think anybody has a pool going for? How much
longer Joe Biden stays alive?
Speaker 5 (02:18):
Oh, I'm sure the betting's out there.
Speaker 4 (02:20):
Do you think somebody Do you think somebody's got there's
a there's a pool somewhere.
Speaker 5 (02:26):
I would think that that's been going on for years.
Speaker 4 (02:31):
Well from the looks of the television. Now, granted it's
quite a ways from where I'm sitting, and we don't
have the you know, I'm not sure these are HDMI
high definition monitors. But he kind of looks dead from here,
except he's moving his head.
Speaker 3 (02:50):
Cask is coming in.
Speaker 4 (02:57):
You a number thirty nine eighty nine. Oh, this is
pretty good. Let me go to the ninety two forty
nine first, Michael breakfast. Do you think you and Dragon
can get a table for ten? That way all eight
of us listeners could joint were I.
Speaker 3 (03:12):
Thought we had twelve?
Speaker 7 (03:14):
Well, some of them got to work. Oh okay, pancake
host is right over there.
Speaker 3 (03:19):
Why not?
Speaker 4 (03:20):
You know, didn't that sound good? Right on a daylight today?
A big stack of pancakes, a big stack of bacon.
Speaker 3 (03:27):
Bring it?
Speaker 4 (03:28):
Oh, thirty nine eighty nine, rights Michael.
Speaker 6 (03:32):
Is.
Speaker 4 (03:32):
Study by the University of California, LA found that human
cause climate change is responsible for sixty eight percent of
the increase in surface air vapor pressure deficit.
Speaker 3 (03:42):
I've never heard that phrase before.
Speaker 4 (03:44):
Surface air vapor Surface air vapor pressure deficit the VPD
in the Western US between nineteen seventy nine to twenty twenty.
Surface air vapor pressure deficit is a measure of how thirsty.
The atmosphere is and hotter air sucks moisture more strongly
(04:05):
out of plants and other burnable materials. Okay, I guess
I'll look up that study. Maybe I'll did that during breakfast,
because I don't really care about doing it right now.
Speaker 3 (04:26):
Just to give it.
Speaker 4 (04:27):
I'm going to move on from the fires, but I
just want to give a little perspective because this is
not the first Palisades fire. The Palisades Fire that occurred
in Pacific Palisades, Los Angeles, back in twenty twenty one
was determined to be caused by arson. The main suspect
(04:51):
was identified as forty eight year old Ramone Santos Rodriguez,
but he was later released because of a lack of
substantial evidence connecting him to the fire. Now, more recently,
the new wildfire burning in Pacific Palisades. As of yesterday,
(05:12):
this fire, also referred to as the Palisades Fire, has
been rapidly spreading because of strong winds reaching over fifteen
thousand I'm sure it's.
Speaker 3 (05:21):
Even more today the amount of acreage.
Speaker 4 (05:25):
While the cause of that fire has not been definitively determined,
the possibility of arson is being considered given the recent
history of arsen in the area. Starting fires is easy
and fun. Remember yesterday I told you on my ex
timeline the homeless person who is lighting fires. She said
(05:46):
she was doing a good thing. Cult and jurisdiction. No
wonder why they're always devastating fires. The woman should have
been arrested immediately. Somebody should have called. So of just taping,
you know, sitting there shooting a video with your camera,
how about dialing nine one one instead would have been
(06:07):
I think the right thing to do.
Speaker 7 (06:10):
Yeah, but the California Police Department nine one one, Please hold,
nine one one, Please.
Speaker 4 (06:14):
Hold fifteen minutes later, what's your emergency? Oh, hold on
on more moment. A man, a man. This is from
twenty twenty. A man who was arrested in Oregon after
allegedly using a Molotov cocktail to start a wildfire was
later released from jail, but then rearrested less than twenty
four hours later for allegedly starting six more small fires.
(06:38):
The incident comes amid a string of devastating wildfires as
northern California, Oregon, and Washington. Stuff and No this is
from twenty twenty, suffer from varying degrees of drought following
extremely dry summer. Domingo Lopez forty five, Domingo Lopez Junior,
as a matter of fact, was arrested after using a
Molotov cocktail to start a small brush fire. So the
(07:02):
subtext for this is what the dumbass induced decay of
our society where social paths become homeless people and then
they feel entitled, enabled and probably are not going to
be punished. That's bound to have consequences, and the fires
(07:25):
that we're talking about now may indeed turn out to
be as.
Speaker 3 (07:29):
A result of that.
Speaker 4 (07:32):
One last thing that I want to talk about in
regards to the fire, because I know I'm going to
be asking about this today. State Farm, one of California's
largest insurers, just a couple of months ago, canceled hundreds
of homeowners policies in Pacific Palisades, where the fire is
now going. They canceled seventy two thousand homeowners policies statewide
(08:00):
just at the end of last year twenty twenty four,
including those sixteen seventeen, one hundred and Pacific Palisades. They
cited financial instability due to rising wildfire risks. The CEO
State Farms, Denias Harden defended the move as necessary to
avoid quote financial failure, despite its impacts on policyholders. Now
(08:29):
not to pick solely on state farm, their decision was
part of a broader insurance crisis that exists in California.
After that matter exists in Florida, where private insurance insurers
are scaling back coverage in fire prone areas, and in
Florida in hurricane prone areas. So then California and acting
(08:52):
are even talking about this. In Colorado, the state adopted
much like I forget the name of it in Florida.
Speaker 3 (09:00):
But Florida has.
Speaker 4 (09:01):
A state funded homeowners insurance program I forget the name
of it. In California, it's called the Fair Plan, a
last resort ensure. Their policies have more than doubled since
twenty twenty, so it's unclear from the stories I can find.
(09:27):
Newsweek was the one that broke the story. The reports
that they cite don't stipulate, but some suggest that some
homeowners may have been covered through September.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
But I'm not really sure.
Speaker 4 (09:43):
But what I don't understand is you know, when you
if you're an insurance company, you don't I mean, you
have to have reserves obviously, and you base your premiums
based upon the and I'm now talking about casualty insurance
like property insurance, homeowner's insurance, So you base the.
Speaker 3 (10:06):
Premiums on the risk.
Speaker 4 (10:10):
So what's the likelihood, you know, for example, how many
times are we going to have big ass hailstorms in Colorado?
Well that factors into the premium. But most people don't
understand that. Most of like, I'm sure it's true with
All State, they reinsure, so they go to a reinsurance
(10:33):
firm that provides insurance for the insurance so that whatever
their reserves are, if they you know, if they deplete
their reserves, they can turn to the reinsurance company to help,
you know, pay the claims that they have. So what's
driving the increase in premiums? I know the easy answer is,
(11:00):
well there are more claims. Well, if there are more
claims and they're doing reinsurance, is the reinsurance costing more?
Speaker 3 (11:08):
Also? I mean, I just don't know.
Speaker 4 (11:10):
I'm just asking questions off the top of my head.
But then the whole question becomes why cancel now? Instead
of I guess you could cancel and then offer a
new policy, or you could offer a renewal with an
exorbitant increase in the premium because you want to cover
the risk, which is kind of what I thought how
(11:32):
the insurance companies operated. You base your premium based upon
the risk. And so you know, they look at my
they look at my home, and they value what the
cost because I have full replacement on my home. So
with today's inflation, today's cost of labor, today's cost of materials,
(11:52):
what would it cost me if that house were to
completely burn down? What would it cost me to rebuild
that house? And so now they calculate a premium based
on the probability of that house being burned to the ground,
and then them having to reimburse me for rebuilding that
house at for replacement cost, Well, that premium is probably
(12:17):
going to be much higher. So the question I have,
if somebody can answer it for me, is why cancel
instead of just offering a renewal at the higher rate
and then they can choose whether or not they want
to pay the higher rate.
Speaker 3 (12:36):
I don't get it.
Speaker 4 (12:38):
That also has consequences for those homes that are now uninsured.
Because Gavin Newsom has declared a or declared a state emergency,
he has requested a presidential disaster Declaration, which.
Speaker 3 (12:55):
Undoubtedly they will approve. I would have approved it already.
Speaker 4 (13:01):
Now when it comes time for FEMA to kick in,
FEMA is not going to be able to provide very
much help. They can provide some transitional temporary housing, but
when you're talking about the numbers of people, where are
they going to find that temporary transitional housing for people
(13:21):
to live in? Then you have the problem that's going
on in western North Carolina where the funding for that
temporary transitional housing has run out per the regulations, but
there's still money. FEMA still has money in the disaster
relief fund. So if they still have money, why are
(13:43):
you canceling and kicking people out in western North Carolina
in the dead of winter. By the way, why are
you kicking him out of transitional temporary housing and instead
why is not the FEMA director just saying to the staff, listen,
I'm going to waive the regulations and we're going to
keep them in there because we have no other place
(14:05):
for them to go and it's temporary. Meanwhile, you've got
you got some Allmition, some Quakers, and you've got other
private organizations all in there building tiny homes and doing
other things and providing campers and trailers and stuff. You
have all of that going on. Now imagine that ten
(14:27):
times what they're doing in western North Carolina now having
to be done in southern California.
Speaker 3 (14:37):
There was.
Speaker 4 (14:39):
I think to some degree, the insurance companies looked at
California and said, oh, there's no prevention in these counties.
In fact, the LA Fire Department has lost seventeen million dollars.
They're short staffed, they're under equipped. So we have to
(15:00):
consider those as a factor in calculating our premium because
it's going to be more likely than not that there's
a lack that there is a lack of prevention in
the county in this area whatever however they designate their areas.
And so the mayor's decision to divert the seventeen million
dollars from the firefund could be some motivation for the
(15:22):
insurance companies to jack up premiums and to also cancel
some premiums. California doesn't do anything right when it comes
to disaster mitigation, and the insurance companies to start bailing
every time you start to peel back the onion and
(15:42):
you set aside climate change and you ask, and you
ask yourself why are these fires so bad in California?
And then you start to see all of the intended consequences.
I believe they're intended of. Well, we don't like it. You know,
nobody likes the insurance companies. Gavin Newsome things climate change
(16:05):
is the biggest problem in the country. He wants homeless
people to move to California because they're a sanctuary state
and we'll take care of you. So their priorities are
all screwed up. Got to take care of that smell,
Got to take care of that stupid little minno, got
to do all of that. You start peeling back these
issues that we face in this country, and almost always
(16:29):
you find Democrat policies. Now, is that politicizing it or
is that just saying those are just the facts. Because
once again, one of the things that I did yesterday
was a friend of mine on X had made some
comment about, you know, we shouldn't just jump to the
(16:50):
conclusion of bringing of blaming Democrat policies, and I said, well,
hang on, because you have six that I could come
up with. A refusal to maintain a clear force properly. Two,
the tearing down of dams, three, the failure to build
more reservoirs, four prioritizing the smelt over proper water storage
(17:14):
and water distribution, five cutting the la FD personnel, training
and equipment budget in favor of DEI programs and homeless programs.
And then six prioritizing climate change policies to the detriment
of firefighting, water management, and force management. Now you could
also discuss the Democrat policies with regard to the response two,
(17:39):
because look what FEMA did in Carolina, Western North Carolina. Oh,
let's don't let's not knock on that door, because oh,
that's a prup sign.
Speaker 6 (17:50):
Of every year, every year there are wildfires in California,
and their elected officials can't seem to recognize that trend,
(18:11):
millions of dollars of damage, incredibly stupid priorities. It's getting old.
Speaker 4 (18:20):
It's getting real old. And that's why I wanted. I
wanted to do the whole discussion this morning, which I'm
now done with except for your except for your talkback.
I wanted to do it in the context of all
the other subtexts of the fires as opposed to the
fires themselves. And it all started when Joe Biden had
(18:47):
a briefing about the fires, said oh, I'm really happy
to announce I'm a great grandfather as people have lost
their homes. And I mean, it's just totally tone deaf.
Speaker 7 (18:57):
He could have dove into about how he almost lost
his home from a fire.
Speaker 4 (19:01):
Oh yeah, I forgot about that. He could have done
that again too. And then Gavin Newsome's sitting there, you know,
clapping like a little you know, trained seal, and and
and they all and and then Karen bask gets off
the the jetway and gets, you know, asked questions by
a reporter and can't say a thing.
Speaker 3 (19:20):
It's just.
Speaker 4 (19:22):
Does this country work? Well, let's go from that question
to liquified natural gas. Speaking of Joe Biden, So last January,
the Department of Energy imposed a moratorium on liquid liquified
(19:44):
natural gas LNG. They imposed a moratorium on LNG exports
to any country that was not a free trade agreement country.
So a non free trade agreement country could not purchase
LNG and we could not export LNG to that country.
(20:06):
That ruling got paused by a federal court. It just
got paused. But then the administration did something that I
find not mind boggling. But it's something that's got to stop.
It's just like the student loans. The court says, you
can't do that, and Biden says, hold my beer, and
(20:29):
he jiggers around some sort of language in the court's
decision and finds out a way to forgive student loans.
So it encouraged by both Biden himself and the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission, the FURK, a bunch of Sorols backed
(20:53):
environmental groups filed suit to block the LNG permits. Remember
there are no coincidences, so all these Soros backed environmental groups.
When the court said to Biden, hey, listen, I'm granting
a temporary injunction and you cannot stop the halt or
(21:17):
export of this LNG, Soros and his groups step in
and they file suit to block the permits, and then
Biden gives Soros the Presidential Medal of Freedom, basically saying,
you know, we can continue to do business once I
leave office. So when you look at the court records,
(21:41):
it shows that they're the administrations legal defense against those
challenges was pretty weak. They actually ceded the cases to
these environmental NGOs allowed them.
Speaker 3 (21:54):
To pursue it.
Speaker 4 (21:55):
As opposed to the fur or the Department of Justice,
and that effectively put all these LNG projects on hold,
one in Massachusetts and one called CP two. And weirdly,
CP two was first approved and then denied by the
administration while the Massachusetts permit was struck down by a court.
(22:17):
And I think that signals of coordinated efforts, just slimy progress.
Now let's go back to Trump's first term. Let's go
back in history where he cut through those knots. Trump
approved more than twenty LNG export permits that paid the
(22:37):
way for the projects like the Alaska LNG that was
a thirty eight billion dollar venture. And then under Trump,
we became the world's top LNG exporter. We supplied over
thirteen billion cubic feet of LNG every single day during
the Trump administration. But I think he do better because
(23:02):
if he removes all of these bottlenecks, this is something
for DOGE. If they move the if they remove the bottlenecks,
they exploit the permits and they provide low cost government
backed loans. We could probably quadrup or quadruple LNG exports
to over fifty billion from thirteen billion cubic feet per
(23:25):
day under Trump to now maybe over fifty billion cubic
feet per day by at least twenty twenty nine, if
not earlier.
Speaker 3 (23:36):
You know what that is.
Speaker 4 (23:38):
That's a two trillion dollar contribution in annual gross domestic product,
and that's enough to significantly lower our ballooning thirty three
trillion dollar national debt. So when you start hearing stories about, well,
(23:59):
we're going to have to spend money on you know,
this or that or whatever, because you know, Trump wants
to you know, shut down the border, he wants to
do the deportation, he wants to do all of these things,
all of which are gonna cost money. Well, how how
do you increase the flow of money to the treasury
without increasing taxes? You spur economic growth. And here's a
(24:24):
way to spur economic growth. Let me give you some examples.
Under Section three of the Natural Gas Act, the Department
of Energies reviews applications for these LNG export terminals and
they have to take him to consideration all these factors.
(24:45):
It's like every other rule making that occurs in the country.
We propose a rule and we take into all these
factors economic, environmental, national security impacts, even things like paperwork.
How much paperwork is it going to take I mean,
twenty seventeen and twenty twenty one, the Department of Energy
issued permits supporting substantial export growth. The Department of Energy's
(25:09):
cumulative authorized energy export levels exceeded forty eight billion cubic
feet per day by twenty twenty one, that is about
forty five percent of US natural gas production. Now for
the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, they complement the process at
DOE Department of Energy by approving the citing, the construction
(25:33):
and the operational construct of these LNG terminals, and that
includes evaluating environmental impacts and of course ensuring you know
that they comply with all the safety regulations. Will Trump
streamlined that process, and he demonstrated that you can streamline
the process not cause any environmental harm or safety problems,
(25:56):
and you can expand our energy footprint. LNG projects require
billions of dollars in investment, and it takes years of development,
so if you're gonna make it economically viable, most of
these projects usually get rolled out in multiple stages, an
(26:16):
operational stage first, and then a second and third stage
are broad online, and all those additional stages are critical
for ensuring that the investors have a good return on
their investment, and that and that makes the projects ecomically
economically sustainable. Well, when Trump was president the first time,
Trump one point zero, the LNG developers could rely on
(26:39):
regulatory stability to advance their projects. But then Biden's pauses,
and then all the lawsuits calls, all of the investors,
all the people who are trying to develop the LNG
ports decide, wait, wait a minute, we have no stability.
You know, as a footnote, this is my third World
(27:00):
countries never get out of their third World craphole country
stage because they don't have the rule of law. They
don't have regulatory stability. It's not like you put a
rule in and it stays. Someone like Nicholas Maduro who's
decimated well along with Shadow AZ, decimated Venezuela's oil and
gas industry because well one they pilfered all the profits.
(27:24):
But two they're always changing the rules. And when you're
always changing the rules, people don't want to invest. And
when people don't invest, they go somewhere else. Money seeks
its best and highest use. Now I talked about this
maybe a week ago. Remember Puerto Rico suffering from blackouts,
(27:46):
and I talked about how the Jones Act. If we
would get rid of the Jones Act, that mandates that
all these goods that are transported between US ports have
to be carried on vessels that are US built, US owned,
US crew four flagged. Well, since there are no US
built or Jones compliant LNG tankers because they're extremely expensive,
(28:11):
they're highly technical and complex. It takes years to develop
and construct and build these tankers. Puerto Rico is forced
to import LNG from foreign countries like Trinidad and Tobago
despite being a US territory an era LNG being cheaper
(28:32):
and geographically closer. It's an example of how the regulatory
scheme and something as you might even call it America. First, well,
you can't transport goods from say Miami to Long Beach
unless it's on a US based carrier, a US based vessel.
(28:53):
It has to be built, own, crude and flag under
the United States. Well, that just shuts out LNG. The
reliance on foreign LNG drives up all these energy costs
for Puerto Ricans, all the customers, all all of the businesses.
Does that do that discourages investment in infrastructure so that
(29:14):
means they will continue to have a crappy electrical infrastructure
and in Puerto Rico.
Speaker 3 (29:20):
Will never be any better than what it is today.
Speaker 4 (29:25):
By streamlining these rags, by getting rid of the Jones Act,
that is in Puerto Rico provides I think the quintessential
example of how just doing those simple things results in
practical energy solutions that overcome this deep state and allow
(29:50):
us to grow. You know, Europe's reliance on Russian natural
gas leaves it subject to geopolitical blackmail. Just look at Ukraine.
You see our LNG. Some would say, well, it's just
a commodity by which we can increase our GDP. Well,
(30:13):
it's also a tool of freedom because if we use LNG,
if we approve these permits, then Europe will buy the
cheaper LNG from US, increasing our GDP and making them
less reliant on Russian LNG and make me.
Speaker 3 (30:31):
Rely on break.
Speaker 2 (30:32):
Hey, Michael, I saw reports that California was limiting the
ability of the insurance companies to raise their rates and
those high risk areas, and that's the reason why the
only option many of these farms had was to cancel.
Speaker 3 (30:51):
Damn these talkbacks.
Speaker 5 (30:52):
Dragon, Sorry not sorry, Goober number.
Speaker 4 (30:58):
Six zero eight five Michael guarding fire insurance in California.
The insurance companies tried to raise the premiums for fire insurance,
but the regulators in California wouldn't let them raise the rates.
So the insurance companies cancel the policies. I don't blame them.
I hadn't taken any consideration that there might have been
a regulatory problem here. I just spent half an entire
(31:22):
segment talking about LNG and the regulatory hurdles that Trump
just got rid of on the first term, and we
exported all this LNG and then Biden comes along and
makes it virtually impossible to do So why didn't I
think about that with the insurance companies exactly the same thing.
So there's another layer of the onion that we can
(31:43):
peel off and go, oh so maybe, just maybe. And
this is where I get so pissed off that we
don't have a very well informed society and that we
have a cabal that doesn't want to address those kinds
of issues. Maybe people in California ought to hear, you know,
(32:04):
some special report on the local news about why All
State pulled out. Maybe somebody ought to interview the CEO
of All state. I want to make sure it was
all state, wasn't Farmers all State, and make certain that
they understand that, hey, here's why we pulled out. Now
(32:25):
that means that the All State CEO has to and
she's a female, so she doesn't have any cohones. But
if she had the cohones to really tell the truth
about well, you know, we needed to raise the rates,
and here's why we needed to raise the premiums. And
here's all the justification for raising the premiums. But the
regulators wouldn't allow us to do so, so we had
no choice about to pull out. Don't always hate or
(32:47):
blame the insurance companies. Zero ninety three eight. Mike heard
an interesting story about these insurance cancelations. They used drones
to check the properties and if they're tree and brush
wasn't properly cleared away from the house, they got canceled.
You know, we didn't get canceled one time, but we
(33:09):
were told that, you know, I keep I keep all
the brush and everything away from the house at the
undisclosed location except for one tree. There's one pine tree
that Tammer's dad planted decades ago and it's grown up
right next to the house and when we.
Speaker 3 (33:34):
I don't think I.
Speaker 4 (33:35):
Don't think we were changing insurance. I just think they
were doing some inspections of properties and somebody, I don't
think it was a drone, but they sent me a
photograph of the tree instead. This tree has got to go.
One tree now. The rest of the house is clear.
I'm not I'm not arguing about it. I'm not I'm
not complaining about it. I'm just pointing out that, yes, uh,
(33:59):
that's another can consideration that the insurance company looks at.
Somebody asked me one time, why do I have my
woodpile so far away from the house. Well, I don't
want I don't want the undisclosed location to burn down.
And part of the reason it burned down was because
the woodpile was up against the house and the fire
spread to that wood pile and it blew up and
(34:21):
blew up the house. And also the FEMA guy didn't
pay attention to his own recommendations about how to protect
your house from wildfires. It's the same reason that when
a hotel fire alarm goes off, I know that ninety
nine point nine nine nine percent of the time it's
going to be a false alarm, but I still get up,
put my clothes on, and I go downstairs. I don't
(34:42):
want some first responder rescuing my ass out of a hotel,
and that becomes the headline.
Good morning again from South Dakota. I took your advice
and switched over the TV to one of the other networks.
I'm not going to say which one because I don't
want to give him any advertising, but it sure would
be interesting to know what President Obama and President Trump
are talking about. At one time, President Obama was chuckling,
so President Trump must be entertaining him quite well.
Speaker 2 (00:24):
So, oh, I everyone have a great day.
Speaker 3 (00:26):
Oh, I see him on Fox right now.
Speaker 4 (00:28):
They were when I looked up earlier, Obama had turned
over his had turned over his right shoulder, and he
was talking to Mike Pence and they were having a
grand old time. They were yucking it up pretty good.
But now they've got who's that next to Obama? I
can't tell who that is? We got there's there's Bill
(00:49):
and Hillary, then somebody else and.
Speaker 5 (00:52):
Then that's not Bush.
Speaker 3 (00:56):
Is that I can't tell from here?
Speaker 6 (00:58):
Is that?
Speaker 3 (00:58):
But oh yeah, because that's Laura next. Yeah.
Speaker 4 (01:00):
So then there's the Bushes, and there's Obama. Where's Michelle
my where's Big Mike? Big Mike's not there's what's the deal?
And then they so that means so that's why Obama
and because by protocol. You should have Michelle sitting between
Obama and Trump. Ooh, that's gotta be tents a little tense.
(01:25):
And then I wonder how many times Trump has looked
up to his his right and looked at Kamala. Oh cackle,
brain herself is right there on the front row, next
to doctor Jill Biden.
Speaker 3 (01:41):
You know, what, what are we gonna do? Dragon?
Speaker 4 (01:43):
You know, a couple of weeks from now, doctor Jill Biden,
we don't have poor old Joe Biden to hang around,
you know, to bug anymore.
Speaker 7 (01:55):
If somebody on the news will say something about Trump,
so then we'll have to make fun of them.
Speaker 4 (01:59):
Yes, does any does anybody? I'm not listen, I'm not
wishing this, I'm not suggesting it, but I'm just telling
you what's in my head, which is pretty dangerous. Do
you think anybody has a pool going for? How much
longer Joe Biden stays alive?
Speaker 5 (02:18):
Oh, I'm sure the betting's out there.
Speaker 4 (02:20):
Do you think somebody Do you think somebody's got there's
a there's a pool somewhere.
Speaker 5 (02:26):
I would think that that's been going on for years.
Speaker 4 (02:31):
Well from the looks of the television. Now, granted it's
quite a ways from where I'm sitting, and we don't
have the you know, I'm not sure these are HDMI
high definition monitors. But he kind of looks dead from here,
except he's moving his head.
Speaker 3 (02:50):
Cask is coming in.
Speaker 4 (02:57):
You a number thirty nine eighty nine. Oh, this is
pretty good. Let me go to the ninety two forty
nine first, Michael breakfast. Do you think you and Dragon
can get a table for ten? That way all eight
of us listeners could joint were I.
Speaker 3 (03:12):
Thought we had twelve?
Speaker 7 (03:14):
Well, some of them got to work. Oh okay, pancake
host is right over there.
Speaker 3 (03:19):
Why not?
Speaker 4 (03:20):
You know, didn't that sound good? Right on a daylight today?
A big stack of pancakes, a big stack of bacon.
Speaker 3 (03:27):
Bring it?
Speaker 4 (03:28):
Oh, thirty nine eighty nine, rights Michael.
Speaker 6 (03:32):
Is.
Speaker 4 (03:32):
Study by the University of California, LA found that human
cause climate change is responsible for sixty eight percent of
the increase in surface air vapor pressure deficit.
Speaker 3 (03:42):
I've never heard that phrase before.
Speaker 4 (03:44):
Surface air vapor Surface air vapor pressure deficit the VPD
in the Western US between nineteen seventy nine to twenty twenty.
Surface air vapor pressure deficit is a measure of how thirsty.
The atmosphere is and hotter air sucks moisture more strongly
(04:05):
out of plants and other burnable materials. Okay, I guess
I'll look up that study. Maybe I'll did that during breakfast,
because I don't really care about doing it right now.
Speaker 3 (04:26):
Just to give it.
Speaker 4 (04:27):
I'm going to move on from the fires, but I
just want to give a little perspective because this is
not the first Palisades fire. The Palisades Fire that occurred
in Pacific Palisades, Los Angeles, back in twenty twenty one
was determined to be caused by arson. The main suspect
(04:51):
was identified as forty eight year old Ramone Santos Rodriguez,
but he was later released because of a lack of
substantial evidence connecting him to the fire. Now, more recently,
the new wildfire burning in Pacific Palisades. As of yesterday,
(05:12):
this fire, also referred to as the Palisades Fire, has
been rapidly spreading because of strong winds reaching over fifteen
thousand I'm sure it's.
Speaker 3 (05:21):
Even more today the amount of acreage.
Speaker 4 (05:25):
While the cause of that fire has not been definitively determined,
the possibility of arson is being considered given the recent
history of arsen in the area. Starting fires is easy
and fun. Remember yesterday I told you on my ex
timeline the homeless person who is lighting fires. She said
(05:46):
she was doing a good thing. Cult and jurisdiction. No
wonder why they're always devastating fires. The woman should have
been arrested immediately. Somebody should have called. So of just taping,
you know, sitting there shooting a video with your camera,
how about dialing nine one one instead would have been
(06:07):
I think the right thing to do.
Speaker 7 (06:10):
Yeah, but the California Police Department nine one one, Please hold,
nine one one, Please.
Speaker 4 (06:14):
Hold fifteen minutes later, what's your emergency? Oh, hold on
on more moment. A man, a man. This is from
twenty twenty. A man who was arrested in Oregon after
allegedly using a Molotov cocktail to start a wildfire was
later released from jail, but then rearrested less than twenty
four hours later for allegedly starting six more small fires.
(06:38):
The incident comes amid a string of devastating wildfires as
northern California, Oregon, and Washington. Stuff and No this is
from twenty twenty, suffer from varying degrees of drought following
extremely dry summer. Domingo Lopez forty five, Domingo Lopez Junior,
as a matter of fact, was arrested after using a
Molotov cocktail to start a small brush fire. So the
(07:02):
subtext for this is what the dumbass induced decay of
our society where social paths become homeless people and then
they feel entitled, enabled and probably are not going to
be punished. That's bound to have consequences, and the fires
(07:25):
that we're talking about now may indeed turn out to
be as.
Speaker 3 (07:29):
A result of that.
Speaker 4 (07:32):
One last thing that I want to talk about in
regards to the fire, because I know I'm going to
be asking about this today. State Farm, one of California's
largest insurers, just a couple of months ago, canceled hundreds
of homeowners policies in Pacific Palisades, where the fire is
now going. They canceled seventy two thousand homeowners policies statewide
(08:00):
just at the end of last year twenty twenty four,
including those sixteen seventeen, one hundred and Pacific Palisades. They
cited financial instability due to rising wildfire risks. The CEO
State Farms, Denias Harden defended the move as necessary to
avoid quote financial failure, despite its impacts on policyholders. Now
(08:29):
not to pick solely on state farm, their decision was
part of a broader insurance crisis that exists in California.
After that matter exists in Florida, where private insurance insurers
are scaling back coverage in fire prone areas, and in
Florida in hurricane prone areas. So then California and acting
(08:52):
are even talking about this. In Colorado, the state adopted
much like I forget the name of it in Florida.
Speaker 3 (09:00):
But Florida has.
Speaker 4 (09:01):
A state funded homeowners insurance program I forget the name
of it. In California, it's called the Fair Plan, a
last resort ensure. Their policies have more than doubled since
twenty twenty, so it's unclear from the stories I can find.
(09:27):
Newsweek was the one that broke the story. The reports
that they cite don't stipulate, but some suggest that some
homeowners may have been covered through September.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
But I'm not really sure.
Speaker 4 (09:43):
But what I don't understand is you know, when you
if you're an insurance company, you don't I mean, you
have to have reserves obviously, and you base your premiums
based upon the and I'm now talking about casualty insurance
like property insurance, homeowner's insurance, So you base the.
Speaker 3 (10:06):
Premiums on the risk.
Speaker 4 (10:10):
So what's the likelihood, you know, for example, how many
times are we going to have big ass hailstorms in Colorado?
Well that factors into the premium. But most people don't
understand that. Most of like, I'm sure it's true with
All State, they reinsure, so they go to a reinsurance
(10:33):
firm that provides insurance for the insurance so that whatever
their reserves are, if they you know, if they deplete
their reserves, they can turn to the reinsurance company to help,
you know, pay the claims that they have. So what's
driving the increase in premiums? I know the easy answer is,
(11:00):
well there are more claims. Well, if there are more
claims and they're doing reinsurance, is the reinsurance costing more?
Speaker 3 (11:08):
Also? I mean, I just don't know.
Speaker 4 (11:10):
I'm just asking questions off the top of my head.
But then the whole question becomes why cancel now? Instead
of I guess you could cancel and then offer a
new policy, or you could offer a renewal with an
exorbitant increase in the premium because you want to cover
the risk, which is kind of what I thought how
(11:32):
the insurance companies operated. You base your premium based upon
the risk. And so you know, they look at my
they look at my home, and they value what the
cost because I have full replacement on my home. So
with today's inflation, today's cost of labor, today's cost of materials,
(11:52):
what would it cost me if that house were to
completely burn down? What would it cost me to rebuild
that house? And so now they calculate a premium based
on the probability of that house being burned to the ground,
and then them having to reimburse me for rebuilding that
house at for replacement cost, Well, that premium is probably
(12:17):
going to be much higher. So the question I have,
if somebody can answer it for me, is why cancel
instead of just offering a renewal at the higher rate
and then they can choose whether or not they want
to pay the higher rate.
Speaker 3 (12:36):
I don't get it.
Speaker 4 (12:38):
That also has consequences for those homes that are now uninsured.
Because Gavin Newsom has declared a or declared a state emergency,
he has requested a presidential disaster Declaration, which.
Speaker 3 (12:55):
Undoubtedly they will approve. I would have approved it already.
Speaker 4 (13:01):
Now when it comes time for FEMA to kick in,
FEMA is not going to be able to provide very
much help. They can provide some transitional temporary housing, but
when you're talking about the numbers of people, where are
they going to find that temporary transitional housing for people
(13:21):
to live in? Then you have the problem that's going
on in western North Carolina where the funding for that
temporary transitional housing has run out per the regulations, but
there's still money. FEMA still has money in the disaster
relief fund. So if they still have money, why are
(13:43):
you canceling and kicking people out in western North Carolina
in the dead of winter. By the way, why are
you kicking him out of transitional temporary housing and instead
why is not the FEMA director just saying to the staff, listen,
I'm going to waive the regulations and we're going to
keep them in there because we have no other place
(14:05):
for them to go and it's temporary. Meanwhile, you've got
you got some Allmition, some Quakers, and you've got other
private organizations all in there building tiny homes and doing
other things and providing campers and trailers and stuff. You
have all of that going on. Now imagine that ten
(14:27):
times what they're doing in western North Carolina now having
to be done in southern California.
Speaker 3 (14:37):
There was.
Speaker 4 (14:39):
I think to some degree, the insurance companies looked at
California and said, oh, there's no prevention in these counties.
In fact, the LA Fire Department has lost seventeen million dollars.
They're short staffed, they're under equipped. So we have to
(15:00):
consider those as a factor in calculating our premium because
it's going to be more likely than not that there's
a lack that there is a lack of prevention in
the county in this area whatever however they designate their areas.
And so the mayor's decision to divert the seventeen million
dollars from the firefund could be some motivation for the
(15:22):
insurance companies to jack up premiums and to also cancel
some premiums. California doesn't do anything right when it comes
to disaster mitigation, and the insurance companies to start bailing
every time you start to peel back the onion and
(15:42):
you set aside climate change and you ask, and you
ask yourself why are these fires so bad in California?
And then you start to see all of the intended consequences.
I believe they're intended of. Well, we don't like it. You know,
nobody likes the insurance companies. Gavin Newsome things climate change
(16:05):
is the biggest problem in the country. He wants homeless
people to move to California because they're a sanctuary state
and we'll take care of you. So their priorities are
all screwed up. Got to take care of that smell,
Got to take care of that stupid little minno, got
to do all of that. You start peeling back these
issues that we face in this country, and almost always
(16:29):
you find Democrat policies. Now, is that politicizing it or
is that just saying those are just the facts. Because
once again, one of the things that I did yesterday
was a friend of mine on X had made some
comment about, you know, we shouldn't just jump to the
(16:50):
conclusion of bringing of blaming Democrat policies, and I said, well,
hang on, because you have six that I could come
up with. A refusal to maintain a clear force properly. Two,
the tearing down of dams, three, the failure to build
more reservoirs, four prioritizing the smelt over proper water storage
(17:14):
and water distribution, five cutting the la FD personnel, training
and equipment budget in favor of DEI programs and homeless programs.
And then six prioritizing climate change policies to the detriment
of firefighting, water management, and force management. Now you could
also discuss the Democrat policies with regard to the response two,
(17:39):
because look what FEMA did in Carolina, Western North Carolina. Oh,
let's don't let's not knock on that door, because oh,
that's a prup sign.
Speaker 6 (17:50):
Of every year, every year there are wildfires in California,
and their elected officials can't seem to recognize that trend,
(18:11):
millions of dollars of damage, incredibly stupid priorities. It's getting old.
Speaker 4 (18:20):
It's getting real old. And that's why I wanted. I
wanted to do the whole discussion this morning, which I'm
now done with except for your except for your talkback.
I wanted to do it in the context of all
the other subtexts of the fires as opposed to the
fires themselves. And it all started when Joe Biden had
(18:47):
a briefing about the fires, said oh, I'm really happy
to announce I'm a great grandfather as people have lost
their homes. And I mean, it's just totally tone deaf.
Speaker 7 (18:57):
He could have dove into about how he almost lost
his home from a fire.
Speaker 4 (19:01):
Oh yeah, I forgot about that. He could have done
that again too. And then Gavin Newsome's sitting there, you know,
clapping like a little you know, trained seal, and and
and they all and and then Karen bask gets off
the the jetway and gets, you know, asked questions by
a reporter and can't say a thing.
Speaker 3 (19:20):
It's just.
Speaker 4 (19:22):
Does this country work? Well, let's go from that question
to liquified natural gas. Speaking of Joe Biden, So last January,
the Department of Energy imposed a moratorium on liquid liquified
(19:44):
natural gas LNG. They imposed a moratorium on LNG exports
to any country that was not a free trade agreement country.
So a non free trade agreement country could not purchase
LNG and we could not export LNG to that country.
(20:06):
That ruling got paused by a federal court. It just
got paused. But then the administration did something that I
find not mind boggling. But it's something that's got to stop.
It's just like the student loans. The court says, you
can't do that, and Biden says, hold my beer, and
(20:29):
he jiggers around some sort of language in the court's
decision and finds out a way to forgive student loans.
So it encouraged by both Biden himself and the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission, the FURK, a bunch of Sorols backed
(20:53):
environmental groups filed suit to block the LNG permits. Remember
there are no coincidences, so all these Soros backed environmental groups.
When the court said to Biden, hey, listen, I'm granting
a temporary injunction and you cannot stop the halt or
(21:17):
export of this LNG, Soros and his groups step in
and they file suit to block the permits, and then
Biden gives Soros the Presidential Medal of Freedom, basically saying,
you know, we can continue to do business once I
leave office. So when you look at the court records,
(21:41):
it shows that they're the administrations legal defense against those
challenges was pretty weak. They actually ceded the cases to
these environmental NGOs allowed them.
Speaker 3 (21:54):
To pursue it.
Speaker 4 (21:55):
As opposed to the fur or the Department of Justice,
and that effectively put all these LNG projects on hold,
one in Massachusetts and one called CP two. And weirdly,
CP two was first approved and then denied by the
administration while the Massachusetts permit was struck down by a court.
(22:17):
And I think that signals of coordinated efforts, just slimy progress.
Now let's go back to Trump's first term. Let's go
back in history where he cut through those knots. Trump
approved more than twenty LNG export permits that paid the
(22:37):
way for the projects like the Alaska LNG that was
a thirty eight billion dollar venture. And then under Trump,
we became the world's top LNG exporter. We supplied over
thirteen billion cubic feet of LNG every single day during
the Trump administration. But I think he do better because
(23:02):
if he removes all of these bottlenecks, this is something
for DOGE. If they move the if they remove the bottlenecks,
they exploit the permits and they provide low cost government
backed loans. We could probably quadrup or quadruple LNG exports
to over fifty billion from thirteen billion cubic feet per
(23:25):
day under Trump to now maybe over fifty billion cubic
feet per day by at least twenty twenty nine, if
not earlier.
Speaker 3 (23:36):
You know what that is.
Speaker 4 (23:38):
That's a two trillion dollar contribution in annual gross domestic product,
and that's enough to significantly lower our ballooning thirty three
trillion dollar national debt. So when you start hearing stories about, well,
(23:59):
we're going to have to spend money on you know,
this or that or whatever, because you know, Trump wants
to you know, shut down the border, he wants to
do the deportation, he wants to do all of these things,
all of which are gonna cost money. Well, how how
do you increase the flow of money to the treasury
without increasing taxes? You spur economic growth. And here's a
(24:24):
way to spur economic growth. Let me give you some examples.
Under Section three of the Natural Gas Act, the Department
of Energies reviews applications for these LNG export terminals and
they have to take him to consideration all these factors.
(24:45):
It's like every other rule making that occurs in the country.
We propose a rule and we take into all these
factors economic, environmental, national security impacts, even things like paperwork.
How much paperwork is it going to take I mean,
twenty seventeen and twenty twenty one, the Department of Energy
issued permits supporting substantial export growth. The Department of Energy's
(25:09):
cumulative authorized energy export levels exceeded forty eight billion cubic
feet per day by twenty twenty one, that is about
forty five percent of US natural gas production. Now for
the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, they complement the process at
DOE Department of Energy by approving the citing, the construction
(25:33):
and the operational construct of these LNG terminals, and that
includes evaluating environmental impacts and of course ensuring you know
that they comply with all the safety regulations. Will Trump
streamlined that process, and he demonstrated that you can streamline
the process not cause any environmental harm or safety problems,
(25:56):
and you can expand our energy footprint. LNG projects require
billions of dollars in investment, and it takes years of development,
so if you're gonna make it economically viable, most of
these projects usually get rolled out in multiple stages, an
(26:16):
operational stage first, and then a second and third stage
are broad online, and all those additional stages are critical
for ensuring that the investors have a good return on
their investment, and that and that makes the projects ecomically
economically sustainable. Well, when Trump was president the first time,
Trump one point zero, the LNG developers could rely on
(26:39):
regulatory stability to advance their projects. But then Biden's pauses,
and then all the lawsuits calls, all of the investors,
all the people who are trying to develop the LNG
ports decide, wait, wait a minute, we have no stability.
You know, as a footnote, this is my third World
(27:00):
countries never get out of their third World craphole country
stage because they don't have the rule of law. They
don't have regulatory stability. It's not like you put a
rule in and it stays. Someone like Nicholas Maduro who's
decimated well along with Shadow AZ, decimated Venezuela's oil and
gas industry because well one they pilfered all the profits.
(27:24):
But two they're always changing the rules. And when you're
always changing the rules, people don't want to invest. And
when people don't invest, they go somewhere else. Money seeks
its best and highest use. Now I talked about this
maybe a week ago. Remember Puerto Rico suffering from blackouts,
(27:46):
and I talked about how the Jones Act. If we
would get rid of the Jones Act, that mandates that
all these goods that are transported between US ports have
to be carried on vessels that are US built, US owned,
US crew four flagged. Well, since there are no US
built or Jones compliant LNG tankers because they're extremely expensive,
(28:11):
they're highly technical and complex. It takes years to develop
and construct and build these tankers. Puerto Rico is forced
to import LNG from foreign countries like Trinidad and Tobago
despite being a US territory an era LNG being cheaper
(28:32):
and geographically closer. It's an example of how the regulatory
scheme and something as you might even call it America. First, well,
you can't transport goods from say Miami to Long Beach
unless it's on a US based carrier, a US based vessel.
(28:53):
It has to be built, own, crude and flag under
the United States. Well, that just shuts out LNG. The
reliance on foreign LNG drives up all these energy costs
for Puerto Ricans, all the customers, all all of the businesses.
Does that do that discourages investment in infrastructure so that
(29:14):
means they will continue to have a crappy electrical infrastructure
and in Puerto Rico.
Speaker 3 (29:20):
Will never be any better than what it is today.
Speaker 4 (29:25):
By streamlining these rags, by getting rid of the Jones Act,
that is in Puerto Rico provides I think the quintessential
example of how just doing those simple things results in
practical energy solutions that overcome this deep state and allow
(29:50):
us to grow. You know, Europe's reliance on Russian natural
gas leaves it subject to geopolitical blackmail. Just look at Ukraine.
You see our LNG. Some would say, well, it's just
a commodity by which we can increase our GDP. Well,
(30:13):
it's also a tool of freedom because if we use LNG,
if we approve these permits, then Europe will buy the
cheaper LNG from US, increasing our GDP and making them
less reliant on Russian LNG and make me.
Speaker 3 (30:31):
Rely on break.
Speaker 2 (30:32):
Hey, Michael, I saw reports that California was limiting the
ability of the insurance companies to raise their rates and
those high risk areas, and that's the reason why the
only option many of these farms had was to cancel.
Speaker 3 (30:51):
Damn these talkbacks.
Speaker 5 (30:52):
Dragon, Sorry not sorry, Goober number.
Speaker 4 (30:58):
Six zero eight five Michael guarding fire insurance in California.
The insurance companies tried to raise the premiums for fire insurance,
but the regulators in California wouldn't let them raise the rates.
So the insurance companies cancel the policies. I don't blame them.
I hadn't taken any consideration that there might have been
a regulatory problem here. I just spent half an entire
(31:22):
segment talking about LNG and the regulatory hurdles that Trump
just got rid of on the first term, and we
exported all this LNG and then Biden comes along and
makes it virtually impossible to do So why didn't I
think about that with the insurance companies exactly the same thing.
So there's another layer of the onion that we can
(31:43):
peel off and go, oh so maybe, just maybe. And
this is where I get so pissed off that we
don't have a very well informed society and that we
have a cabal that doesn't want to address those kinds
of issues. Maybe people in California ought to hear, you know,
(32:04):
some special report on the local news about why All
State pulled out. Maybe somebody ought to interview the CEO
of All state. I want to make sure it was
all state, wasn't Farmers all State, and make certain that
they understand that, hey, here's why we pulled out. Now
(32:25):
that means that the All State CEO has to and
she's a female, so she doesn't have any cohones. But
if she had the cohones to really tell the truth
about well, you know, we needed to raise the rates,
and here's why we needed to raise the premiums. And
here's all the justification for raising the premiums. But the
regulators wouldn't allow us to do so, so we had
no choice about to pull out. Don't always hate or
(32:47):
blame the insurance companies. Zero ninety three eight. Mike heard
an interesting story about these insurance cancelations. They used drones
to check the properties and if they're tree and brush
wasn't properly cleared away from the house, they got canceled.
You know, we didn't get canceled one time, but we
(33:09):
were told that, you know, I keep I keep all
the brush and everything away from the house at the
undisclosed location except for one tree. There's one pine tree
that Tammer's dad planted decades ago and it's grown up
right next to the house and when we.
Speaker 3 (33:34):
I don't think I.
Speaker 4 (33:35):
Don't think we were changing insurance. I just think they
were doing some inspections of properties and somebody, I don't
think it was a drone, but they sent me a
photograph of the tree instead. This tree has got to go.
One tree now. The rest of the house is clear.
I'm not I'm not arguing about it. I'm not I'm
not complaining about it. I'm just pointing out that, yes, uh,
(33:59):
that's another can consideration that the insurance company looks at.
Somebody asked me one time, why do I have my
woodpile so far away from the house. Well, I don't
want I don't want the undisclosed location to burn down.
And part of the reason it burned down was because
the woodpile was up against the house and the fire
spread to that wood pile and it blew up and
(34:21):
blew up the house. And also the FEMA guy didn't
pay attention to his own recommendations about how to protect
your house from wildfires. It's the same reason that when
a hotel fire alarm goes off, I know that ninety
nine point nine nine nine percent of the time it's
going to be a false alarm, but I still get up,
put my clothes on, and I go downstairs. I don't
(34:42):
want some first responder rescuing my ass out of a hotel,
and that becomes the headline.
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