Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into CFB Week 10 betting.
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith review a strong Week 9, going 2-0, and dive into CFB Week 10 betting. They start with Vanderbilt vs Texas. Texas is a 1.5-point favorite at home, total 44.5. Lonte praises Vanderbilt’s resilience after a key injury and their ATS success. He notes Texas’ comeback over Mississippi State led by Arch Manning before his concussion. Texas’ defense can dominate, but their offensive line and rushing attack are weak, ranking low nationally. Lonte expects a run-heavy game and likes the under, leaning Texas if Arch plays. Griffin doubts Arch clears concussion protocol quickly and expects Texas to rely on the run, facing a vulnerable Vanderbilt D-line. Both agree the trenches favor Texas, making the under appealing. Next, they preview Texas Tech at Kansas State. Tech is -7.5, total 52.5. Lonte discusses QB injuries—Hammond’s ACL tear and Morton’s durability concerns. Kansas State, led by Avery Johnson, has covered four straight, averaging over 35 points since their bye. Their passing game shines when not blitzed, but rushing remains weak. Lonte likes K-State as a home dog, citing Tech’s strong D-line but potential rust from Morton. Griffin agrees, noting Manhattan’s tough environment and potential line value. Moving to Oklahoma at Tennessee, Tennessee is -3, total 57. Lonte calls it fair, citing Tennessee’s underrated home-field edge and Oklahoma’s elite but untested defense. Tennessee’s offense, led by erratic but explosive playmakers, should expose Oklahoma’s lack of offensive balance. He prefers Tennessee and leans under. Griffin questions why Tennessee’s only a field-goal favorite at home, calling the line suspicious. Lonte points to market respect for Oklahoma’s defense despite their struggles versus Ole Miss and believes Tennessee’s speed and weapons make them the right side. Finally, Cincinnati visits Utah, Utah -8.5, total 56.5. Lonte praises Cincinnati’s undervalued run, 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS, but warns about Utah QB Devin Dampier’s status. Cincinnati can control the clock with their run game, while Utah’s limited explosiveness favors the under. Griffin asks how competitiveness affects totals. Lonte prefers both teams to stick to their run-heavy identities, producing long drives and a smooth under. Best Bets: Lonte takes Cal +4 vs Virginia, noting UVA’s lucky wins and travel fatigue, with Cal’s efficiency and home-field edge key. Griffin backs K-State +7.5 vs Texas Tech, trusting their recent form and home edge against a shaky Tech QB situation. Both encourage listeners to use promo code PASS15 for $15 off at pregame.com and aim to extend their winning streak next week.
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