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November 26, 2025 31 mins
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for week 14. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith open with intensity after motivational commands highlight football’s core themes of physicality, hustle, and leaving no doubt. Warner introduces the final-weekend discussion focused on four major games and best bets, noting unstable internet before asking Smith for last-week takeaways. Smith explains their split best bets, Michigan pulling away from Maryland, Georgia Tech’s momentum fading, and Missouri–Oklahoma unfolding exactly as handicapped. With top teams unchanged and coaching moves beginning, he sees minimal surprises. Warner commits to unders and transitions to Texas vs Texas A&M, asking whether Texas can reach the playoff. Smith says Texas needs significant help due to ranking position. Warner praises Texas’s rivalry history but questions A&M’s legitimacy; Smith sees A&M as strong but just below true title contenders, citing defense, run game, receivers, and inconsistent QB play while noting a major road win. Discussion shifts to the betting line: A&M -2. Smith expects the line to stay between -2 and -2.5, noting Sarkisian’s 2–8 ATS record as a dog and emphasizing Texas’s need to run with Wisner and Baxter while exploiting A&M’s vulnerable secondary. Warner doubts Texas’s offensive line but finds it hard to resist Texas as a home dog. They move to Auburn vs Alabama, where Alabama is -6. Smith stresses Alabama must win but has struggled historically in such spots. He highlights Auburn QB Deuce Knight’s 239 passing yards, 162 rushing yards, and six touchdowns versus Mercer while cautioning about competition level. Alabama’s 8–3 ATS record, rivalry history, and Auburn’s weak ATS numbers shape his expectation of a 7–10 point Alabama win. Warner questions why the line isn’t higher; Smith cites rivalry volatility and uncertainty surrounding Knight. Warner then transitions to Ohio State vs Michigan, with Ohio State -10. Smith outlines playoff implications: Ohio State is effectively secure; Michigan must win. He details Ohio State injuries, including Jeremiah Smith likely under 50 percent, and emphasizes Michigan’s physicality, home field, and improved health at running back. Michigan, he argues, can stay within the number by forcing Ohio State to run. Warner agrees the line feels inflated and sees classic value in a motivated home underdog. Next is Vanderbilt vs Tennessee, with Vandy +2.5. Smith calls it one of Vanderbilt’s biggest games ever, noting no bad losses, quality wins, Tennessee’s inconsistency, and Diego Pavia’s strong recent play. Tennessee’s vulnerable secondary and potential for explosive scoring lead him to prefer the over 66 and to lean Tennessee if betting but to wait on the line movement. Warner questions whether Vanderbilt’s performance is inflating perception; Smith argues the line reflects Tennessee’s flaws more than Vanderbilt’s rise. For best bets, Smith selects Washington as a home dog due to Oregon’s injuries and Washington’s balanced offense and defensive pressure, projecting a close score. Warner takes Michigan +10 for value, motivation, and home-field strength, closing the show with humor and gratitude. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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