Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football betting for Week 6. The guys also give out best bets.
[Griffin Warner] (0:31 - 1:18) introduces the show, noting his co-host Lonte Smith’s winning Illinois pick against USC and his own losing Ole Miss bet. He asks Lonte about his weekend and expectations ahead. [Lonte Smith] (1:19 - 2:39) reflects on Illinois’ fight despite red-zone fumbles and missing starters. He highlights USC’s injuries, such as Jacoby Lane’s reduced impact, and says Illinois delivered value for bettors. He’s optimistic but cautious about consistency. [Griffin Warner] (2:40 - 3:23) transitions to Kansas State vs. Baylor, with Kansas State 6.5-point underdogs. [Lonte Smith] (3:24 - 5:38) says Kansas State looked sharper after adjustments, particularly by running Avery Johnson, which opened their offense. Baylor, meanwhile, squandered a 14-0 lead and showed defensive weaknesses. He predicts points on both sides and leans toward Kansas State. [Griffin Warner] (5:38 - 6:10) asks if Kansas State’s rebound is real or a fluke. [Lonte Smith] (6:10 - 7:33) admits Kansas State was downgraded in his ratings but may be trending upward. He calls this road test at Baylor pivotal. [Griffin Warner] (7:33 - 8:59) introduces Vanderbilt vs. Alabama, with Alabama heavily favored after beating Georgia. [Lonte Smith] (9:24 - 12:23) credits Vanderbilt’s explosive offense behind Diego Pavia but warns about their depth and fatigue from six straight games. He highlights Alabama’s improving health, noting RB Jan Miller’s return and DT Tim Keenan’s impact, plus their offensive line’s strength with only five pressures on 40 dropbacks. He leans Alabama but advises waiting for the line to dip below 10. [Griffin Warner] (12:23 - 13:20) questions how Vanderbilt still draws betting interest. [Lonte Smith] (13:20 - 14:36) explains Vanderbilt’s ATS success and strong performances under Clark Lee make them attractive to bettors despite Alabama’s public appeal. [Griffin Warner] (14:36 - 15:38) moves to Texas vs. Florida, Texas -7 with a 42-point total. [Lonte Smith] (15:39 - 19:30) calls both teams similar: elite defenses but struggling offenses. Florida has faced tougher competition while Texas has underperformed against weaker teams. He cites Florida’s injuries, Texas’ shaky QB Arch Manning, and underwhelming receivers. He loves the under, splitting bets between first half and full game. [Griffin Warner] (19:30 - 21:36) agrees, pointing out Florida’s low scoring totals and Arch’s questionable play. [Lonte Smith] (21:37 - 23:56) makes a bold bet on Arch for Heisman, arguing the race is wide open and late-season showcases could propel him back into contention with media support. [Griffin Warner] (23:56 - 25:36) acknowledges it as a team award and says Texas’ success could fuel his candidacy. He shifts to Miami vs. Florida State, where Miami is -4.5 on the road. [Lonte Smith] (25:36 - 27:59) praises Miami’s dominance, especially their ninth-ranked rush defense, and predicts they will force Florida State out of their comfort zone. He favors Miami and the under 54.5. [Griffin Warner] (27:59 - 28:20) cites Florida State’s comeback vs. Virginia as resilience. [Lonte Smith] (28:21 - 30:10) concedes resilience but argues Virginia’s turnovers gifted Florida State short fields, warning Miami won’t be so lenient. He again favors the under. [Griffin Warner] (30:10 - 31:03) promotes a Pregame.com discount code OPTION15. [Lonte Smith] (31:03 - 32:52) gives his best bet: UAB +7 vs. Army. He cites Army’s weak pass defense, ranked 127th in success rate allowed, against UAB’s top-20 passing attack. He predicts UAB covers and possibly wins outright. [Griffin Warner] (32:53 - 34:03) finalizes with his best bet: Miami–Florida State under 54.5. Together, they close with UAB +7 and the under in Miami–Florida State as their strongest plays.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices