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May 1, 2025 • 99 mins
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things sports this week. The guys discuss the NFL Draft and the aftermath of the Shedeur Sanders draft slide. Plus, the guys talk NBA Playoffs and offer up some best bets. 📚 Summary (Resumen) Intro Banter (0:00–3:01) RJ Bell opens with light-hearted ribbing and promotional offers. Steve Fezzik highlights his 31-unit gain and current 9–0 NBA streak; Mackenzie boasts an 11–3 run. Shadour Sanders Draft Debate Begins (8:08–13:00) Scott Seidenberg tweets Sanders wasn’t first-round worthy due to slow throws and being most sacked. Fezzik challenges his retroactive critique, calling it “past posting.” NFL Mock Draft Accuracy & Betting Angles (13:00–15:07) RJ notes top 25 mock drafters had Sanders as a top-40 pick. Fezzik critiques missed betting chances on QBs over/under 2.5. Scott reveals a Jackson Dart bet at +200 cashed. Fezzik Acknowledges Draft Shift (15:08–16:45) Fezzik admits he panicked late and told Scott to remove a Shadour bet due to falling stock. RJ insists no expert forecasted a fifth-round fall, making it unprecedented. Deion Sanders’ Influence & Team Culture (17:26–20:13) Scott speculates Deion’s presence scared staff from honest feedback. RJ challenges the notion that positive feedback equals manipulation. Backup QB Market Dynamics (23:29–30:03) RJ compares Shadour to Tebow and Kaepernick—talented but media-heavy backups rarely stick. Fezzik insists backup QBs must be humble, not celebrity personalities. Fezzik’s Browns Betting Take (33:10–34:50) Fezzik targets Cleveland to fade late season due to expected QB shuffling, despite Flacco and Pickett competition. NFL Draft Capital Evaluation (45:31–48:15) Mackenzie explains 6.3x value difference between pick 21 and pick 166, contextualizing Sanders’ drop using updated Jimmy Johnson trade chart. NBA Playoffs & Betting Correlations (55:42–1:20:25) Ratings at 25-year highs; reasons include competitive teams and fewer foul calls. RJ introduces a correlation model predicting totals based on line moves and prior game totals. Game 6 Clippers-Nuggets Pick (1:20:25–1:32:06) RJ advocates OVER due to statistical model (21–6 in similar conditions), tempered by Fezzik noting earlier games in LA were low scoring, shifting it to a “light best bet.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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