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July 1, 2025 78 mins
What's up, guys? I have a powerhouse episode for you today with Eli Lake—one of the sharpest minds in foreign policy journalism. Eli's a columnist for the Free Press, the host of the Breaking History podcast, and a straight-up expert on everything from intelligence to Middle East geopolitics. If you’ve ever found yourself wondering what's really behind America’s relationship with Israel, Iran's nuclear ambitions, or the complex dance of power in the Middle East—this is the conversation you cannot miss. Today, we're diving deep into the realities nobody talks about: conspiracy theories that just won’t die, why alliances in that region are shifting so fast, the truth about proxy wars, and what the future could look like if Iran’s regime falls or continues to escalate. Eli breaks down why the intelligence war matters, how successful military operations reshape global power, and what it will actually take for democratic change to happen in places like Iran. SHOWNOTES 00:00 The "Israel Puppeteering" Myth & Its Origins01:46 How US and Israeli Intelligence Stack Up03:36 Technical vs. Human Intelligence—Who Excels and Why04:01 Israel, Iran, and the Nuclear Umbrella Strategy05:16 The Proxy War Web: Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iranian Influence06:31 October 7th, Retaliation & Demolishing Proxy Networks07:56 Did Iran Really Take the “Next Step” to a Bomb?09:16 What Actually Counts as “Success” Against Iran?10:39 Democratic Uprising: Is Regime Change Possible from Within?12:32 Tech, Starlink, and Empowering the Iranian People14:20 Regime Humiliation & Authoritarian Vulnerability16:06 The Tipping Point for Revolution17:00 Internal Rot in the Iranian Regime FOLLOW ELI LAKETwitter: @EliLakePodcast: Breaking HistoryThe Free Press Columns: thefp.com/author/eli-lake CHECK OUT OUR SPONSORS Vital Proteins: Get 20% off by going to ⁠https://www.vitalproteins.com⁠ and entering promo code IMPACT at check out Allio Capital: Macro investing for people who want to understand the big picture. Download their app in the App Store or at Google Play, or text my name “TOM” to 511511. iTrust Capital: Use code IMPACTGO when you sign up and fund your account to get a $100 bonus at ⁠https://www.itrustcapital.com/tombilyeu⁠  SleepMe: Visit ⁠https://sleep.me/impact⁠ to get your Chilipad and save 20% with code IMPACT. Try it risk-free with their 30-night sleep trial and free shipping. Shopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at ⁠https://shopify.com/impact⁠ SKIMS: Shop SKIMS Mens at ⁠https://www.skims.com/impact⁠ #skimspartner ButcherBox: Ready to level up your meals? Go to ⁠https://butcherbox.com/impact⁠ to get $20 off your first box and FREE bacon for life with the Bilyeu Box! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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