October 21, 2024 • 28 mins
15 days to go, where does the election stand??
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hi, It's Michael.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Your morning show airs live five to eight am Central,
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We'd love to be a part of your morning routine,
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Speaker 1 (00:13):
Enjoy the podcast on two three, starting your morning off right.
Speaker 3 (00:19):
A new way of talk, a new way of understanding
because we're in the stage.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
This is your Morning Show with Michael O'Dell Jordan. Well,
like you, I prefer a three d weekend, but we
didn't get one to rise and shot. You like it
or not. Welcome to Monday, the twenty first of October,
Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty four, seven minutes after
the hour, on the air and streaming live on your
iHeartRadio app. This is your morning show, and I'm Michael
(00:47):
del Journal Jeffrey Lyon at the controls. If you're just
waking up. Millions of Americans are casting ballots, with early
voting underway in many states. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says
Biden's exit had nothing to do with being political. Really.
The world series is set the largest market against the
second largest market, Otani versus Judge Soto versus Bets. I mean,
(01:12):
you got it all. Dodgers Yankees, a late seventies style
fall classic. The World Series begins in Los Angeles on Friday,
and not one, but two Monday night football games, in fact,
to our cities tangled up in action. Tonight, we have
the Bucks in Tampa taken on the Ravens. That's a
(01:33):
great game at Baker Mayfield, having a great year of
pair of FOM two teams going at it. And then
the Cardinals for those listening on KFYI and Phoenix, your
Cardinals will be taking on the Chargers two a double
header Monday night football games tonight. If you're just waking up,
we kind of cover these in our Sounds of the day,
but this is some of the sounds from the weekend. Now,
if you saw Jimmy Carter wheeled in in a bedlike
(01:55):
wheelchair to vote, appearing to be unconscious with his mouth
and I don't know that I draw a lot of
attention to that, I'm sure as heck wouldn't make fun
of it, but Kamala did both.
Speaker 3 (02:06):
So look and Jimmy Carter can vote early, you can do.
Speaker 1 (02:15):
She's so funny, she's so funny, and then Lizzo got
up in Detroit and said this.
Speaker 3 (02:22):
They say, if Kamala wins, then the whole country will
be like Detroit.
Speaker 1 (02:27):
Now do you really want someone to get up and
say the whole country? I mean, these are one of
those moments. We have them. It seems like every weekend.
And you could just put the paid for by Donald
Trump at the end of this, and you've got a
great ad. Right.
Speaker 3 (02:41):
They say, if Kamala wins, then the whole country will
be like Detroit.
Speaker 1 (02:47):
Okay, I'm Donald Trump and I approved this messionist. I mean,
they were on a roll, weren't they, But this one
was probably the most troubling. So Kamala Harris had a
campaign event and look, cross Wisconsin is going on exaggerating
the right stances on abortion. There's actually more abortions now
(03:07):
since Robi Wade went back to the States, not less.
And somebody yelled out Jesus's Lord and this was Kamala's response, Oh.
Speaker 4 (03:16):
You guys are at the wrong rally.
Speaker 1 (03:27):
Miss I'm gonna be everybody's president. Jesus' Lord? Is that
the wrong everybody's president? But those who believe in Jesus.
Speaker 3 (03:37):
No, I think you meant to go to the smaller
one down the street.
Speaker 1 (03:43):
And she thought she was being so clever. I wonder
if it's playing that clever. And then one final you
know they're struggling with blackmail votes, so they came out
with another cheesy ad to address this. Why do I
say that, Well, it's paid for by Harris Walls and
it's telling black men and will them in telling black
men that black women will reject them if they don't vote.
(04:05):
But is it really don't vote or don't vote for
Kamala Harris? Instead of roses, they have balloons. And of
course all women apparently need men and they have to
be handsome, tall and rich. I mean, this thing was
insulting in so many levels, but here's how it sounded. Hello, ladies,
I'm sorry, it's good to be here. What do you do?
And how much do you work in finance? Making six figures?
(04:25):
How tall are you? Six? Do you have a plan
to vote in November?
Speaker 4 (04:30):
Nah?
Speaker 1 (04:31):
Not my thing. I mean, Chris Walker is joining US
Republican consultant and your morning show contributor. The polls would
suggest it's a time of desperation, and their words express
it's a time of desperation and they're just not up
for the moment. That's for sure. It's really really becoming
a bit unhinged, isn't it.
Speaker 4 (04:52):
Yeah, good morning, Michael. I would also see their response
to Donald Trump going to McDonald yesterday and just the
the unhinged responses to the idea of doing just a
traditional campaign stage casting where you go to a blue
collar place and you know, donn an apron and do
some of the work for a little bit, you know.
I mean, I'd love to know what MSNBC would say
(05:14):
with Reagan going to a bar in nineteen eighty. You know,
it's it's quite something. But you know, the unhinged quality
is is a good campaign tactic. You know, there seems
to be a little bit of a tone shift in
the Trump campaign where he's definitely I'm enjoying himself and
every time he does that, and it's funny and you know,
has a real moment, in a human moment. The left
(05:37):
shrieks and and really shows you and you know, sets
the quiet part out loud and shows you who they
really are.
Speaker 1 (05:41):
And kamal is seemingly is incapable of having one. In fact,
I mean, there's been less joy in her campaign and
more joy in Donald Trump's. I mean it's yeah, it's bizarre.
Speaker 4 (05:57):
It's showing and look at the look at the poll numbers.
I mean even you know, the betting markets. I don't
really like going to the betting markets. I just I
don't think they're as data specific as they are just
people kind of going off of vibes, and just vibes
don't win elections. But you know, on the same token,
we're seeing polling averages and you know, all of these
other kind of indicators showing that you know, hey, Trump,
(06:19):
Trump is taking the lead. He is, he has had
a two to three week surge, and it seems to
be correlating to you know, kind of a more jovial,
let's have fun Trump. I mean Elan on the campaign
traill having fun with them, and you know, everything just
became much more lighthearted from him. And you know, I
think that pivot from Biden to Kamala was a real,
you know, kind of struggle for a while. But now
(06:41):
they they found the footing in the sense of like,
let's show them who they really are. Let's show it,
let's show people.
Speaker 1 (06:45):
Who we really are, and we can go and we
win Chris Walker is a Republican consultant, analyst, and a
Your Morning Show contributor. By the way, speaking of those odds,
Donald Trump is now minus one fifty two. She is
plus one fifty six. Now, with the exception of the
Tennessee Titans weekend in Buffalo were plus four hundred. That
would make her a bigger underdog in him, a bigger
(07:06):
favor than every game except for that in the NFL.
So things have swung, and we'll get to polls here
in a minute, but this is maybe the most telling.
We have a couple of vulnerable Democrat senators, one in Pennsylvania,
one in Wisconsin, and both are traveling on the coattails
of Trump, not Harris. Very revealing Casey, for example, his
(07:28):
wife came out he led the effort to stop corporate greed,
inflation and price gouging. His wife went on to say
he bucked the Biden administration to protect fracking, and he
sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on
China to stop them from unfair practices. We saw the
same thing in Wisconsin, Baldwin, you know, embracing Trump's policies,
(07:51):
attaching them because we always said these close Senate races.
Will they you know, the top of the ticket determined them. Well,
these are two that obviously must be seeing something in
the polls to suggest there's no way Kamala Harris is
carrying Wisconsin in Pennsylvania, and I'm not claning tying myself
to her, I'm tying myself to Trump, so at least
I can win my Senate race. I think that's the
(08:12):
most revealing thing that that happened this weekend.
Speaker 4 (08:16):
I think that's right. And I can tell you, you know,
talking to some friends in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. I mean,
you know, those those polls that are kind of showing
Trump in a slight lead are also kind of moving
Republicans in the into that territory. I don't want to
oversell it though, because ultimately, again we have to vote.
But yeah, all of these polls are tightening. Again. The
more the Democrats say who they are and say the
(08:37):
qui powder are part out loud, the more you realize,
you know that there there's a real, you know shot
here for you know, a good victory for Republicans in
this election, because again, they're just so far outside of
the mainstream, you know, I've heard a lot of you know,
pear clutching on on one of these Trump ads talking
about the transgender issue, and it makes you know, Beltway
(08:58):
you know, political figures and lobbyists feel icky, but it's
an eighty twenty issue, and people, you know, real families
see it and see their don't want their kids playing against,
you know, their daughters playing against some you know, roided up,
six foot five guy who's wearing a skirt. So you know,
these types of things I think are really important and
are showing, you know, the right messaging at the right time,
trying to kind of get this thing across the finish line.
Speaker 1 (09:20):
When we go inside the polling numbers, it went from
Harris leading by as much as three nationally to down
two now nationally. So within the margin of era, it's
dead even nationally. I'll remind everybody Biden was leading by
eight nationally and Hillary Clinton was leading by six nationally
in twenty sixteen. So if Donald Trump is even in
(09:40):
the popular vote nationwide, that spells real landslide trouble on
the electoral college map. As for battleground states, Nevada, that's
probably the only one that had Harris leading by three
and now Trump is up by one. But when we
go inside the numbers and you ask people in Nevada,
are they more interested in abortion or or the border,
(10:02):
the economy, inflation, cost of living, that's what pops up
is the top three. So if there is this imaginary
candidate that we just handed all of Joe Biden's delegates
to on a short field with a sugar high and
then hope we can hide her, well, it didn't work,
and now in the swing states she's trailing. Everywhere's everywhere,
(10:24):
but Nevada is probably the closest. But losing in Pennsylvania,
losing in Wisconsin, losing in Michigan. I mean, this is
this is pulling away? Now? Could it be we're getting
glimpses of the very tips of each margin of error.
I guess it's possible, But the way it's so steadily
trended and attaches to gaffes and weaknesses and to key issues,
(10:44):
it would suggest it's real.
Speaker 4 (10:48):
The trend is real. In the pulling, I feel like
a broken record, But I just want to remind people
that that's not vote. We need to get people out
to vote, and particularly swing states, and they have a very,
very impressive machine. They have they have proven that their
machine can turn out votes in places that we are
not good at doing. And so from a from a
(11:10):
standpoint of focus for the last two weeks here, it's
not about just polling. It's about making sure we tell
our friends and families to get out and vote. It's
not enough to read the news and say, Okay, this
looks good. We've got to get three people to the
polls and vote. Otherwise it's all moot because it's not
going to matter. So that that's the key message here
is it's not to get over confidence, it's not to
(11:31):
get to you know, to pay positive is great, but
let's make sure that we keep eye on the ball
and getting our friends and families out to vote in
the right way that we wanted to see.
Speaker 1 (11:40):
Chris Walker, Republican consultant analyst, thanks for joining us. As always,
we'll talk next week or sooner if conditions weren't. This
is your morning show with Michael del Chuna. America will
vote already voting or will vote on November fifth, whether
it's November fifth, sixth, or seventh, or whenever, will have
(12:01):
a result and a winner, and then, thank god, will
all move on. But someone will try to tell you
exactly why what happened happened now every day and you
can experience this watching the History Channel or going through
your kids textbooks. They'll revise history. They try to revise
(12:26):
reality daily in the mainstream media. So I think it's
important that we kind of remember these things and we
just kind of brainstorm, right, what all we just experienced
in the last year. Well, a defiant Joe Biden decided
to run. Didn't matter what his approval rating was, didn't
matter that about seventy at the time he made the decision,
(12:46):
seventy percent, seven out of ten Americans thought we were
heading in the wrong direction, and that most pretty much
had come to the conclusion he was seen now whether
it was Parkinson's or severely cognitively impaired through dementia, or
all tigmes, nobody thought he was all there. But he
defiantly decided to run, and defiantly his vice president Kamala Harris,
(13:09):
who at the time, don't forget and make sure you
remember this was considered the only thing worse than Joe
Biden was telling everybody he's running circles around interns. He's
in This guy is in complete control. From the and
she reiterated that just a week ago on the view
in all of her interviews with Brett bare when he
(13:30):
pointed blank aster, when did you first notice? She wouldn't
go there. I'm with Joe Biden in the situation room.
So to the very end she claims he was fine.
So Joe defiantly, defiantly decides to run. Then the law
fair against Trump tying him up courtroom after courtroom. By
(13:54):
that backfired. While tied up in court, he won every
primary against really formidable opponents Governor DeSantis, Florida, Marco Rubio.
At that Ramaswami, I mean it was a good field.
He never showed up to one debate and he won
the primary. He was tied up in court, never campaigned
during the entire primary, and he won the primary. And
(14:16):
that it ended up being just the right amount of
Donald Trump. By tying him up in court, he wasn't
doing these long rallies and saying anything crazy. They just
didn't have anything. And then all the surrogates coming to
the courtroom to speak for him because he was under
a gag order, created a uniting in the party that
(14:37):
got the business of the convention done before the convention
ever arrived. Lawfair was a huge backfire for the left.
Then you had RFK Junior who wanted to run the
primary and the Democrats wouldn't allow it. I mean, the
death of the primary process for the left is probably
the biggest story of twenty twenty four. The fact that
(14:58):
Joe Biden ran got all the delegates and then was
forced out, and Kamala Harris, who did not earn one
of those delegates, just took them all. My son said
something to me that was very profound. Why didn't they
just let the people decide? Now they got a bad candidate.
I don't know, they should have me the death of
(15:21):
the primary process for the Democrats. And then RFK ends
up dismantling his campaign early, and like Telsea Gabbard, a
former Democrat presidential candidate, joins Team Trump and a bipartisan move.
Oh the backfire of rejecting RFK. Oh, the backfire of
(15:42):
the primary process, Oh, the backfire of the lawfare. Then
we had the earliest presidential debate in history before either convention.
Why they wanted to expose that the president wasn't of
sound mind so that they could force him out and
insert a new candidate. Now, Nancy Pelosi today saying that
(16:03):
isn't political look political to us. My summary on that is,
if that's the first night Joe Biden appeared to be
cognitively impaired, you weren't very honest with yourself, and for
the media to act like it was a big surprise,
and that was their first clue they weren't being very
(16:23):
honest with you all along. I mean, that was even
beyond cognitive impairment. That was like weekend at Bernie stuff.
Then you have Biden after that debate, forced out by
everyone coming, were just making pancakes and bacon. When she
got the call, she's handed the nomination given all of
(16:46):
his delegates. Then they do this theatrical Los Angeles presentation
at the convention, which, by the way, she pulled off.
Then they planned on a short field with a sugar High,
just hider in planes, just like they hit Joe Biden
during COVID, But then that started to not work. So
(17:06):
then in desperation, they started doing interviews. Ooh, the sugar
High ended the view disastrous Blade show with Stephen Colbert,
a disaster, Brett Bear probably the eye of the beholder
sixty minutes was a bomb. Then you start seeing clear
(17:32):
deficits in their voting base. Hispanics, blue collar workers, union workers, Catholics, Jews,
the Israel problem, young voters especially troubling, and the bullseye
of bullseye eighteen to forty four blackmail voters boom. And
(17:52):
now this early voting starts and the elections just fifteen
days away, where do we find ourselves? The latest tip
tracking poll Trump has surge pass Harris now with a
two point lead nationally. Previously she led by three to
one of her up three to Trump up two nationally.
(18:15):
And when you ask that Ronald Reagan question, is your
life better off than it was four years ago? The
poll reveals only fifty one percent of Democrats think their
life was better off than four years ago. Sixty eight
percent of Democrats, fifty five percent of independents say their
life is worse. And the economy continues along with the
border to Trump abortion in all of the swing states,
(18:36):
Natlas poll finds Trump up three as well. Now, keep
in mind, in twenty twenty, Joe Biden went into the
general election up six eight point six percent. Hillary in
twenty sixteen was up six point four. Kamala is down
two nationally How do you think that looks on the
electoral college map Nevada? The most recent APLESS poll has
(19:00):
it at a tie. However, the previous poll had Harris
up three, So Trump is moving The main issues in
Nevada economy number one, immigration number two two, inflation, cost
of living number three, Reproductive rights was fifth. That doesn't
look good for Kamala Harris. Remember this is abortion against
the boogeyman Michigan. Trump leads by one point two percent
(19:26):
over Harris on this day in twenty twenty, Biden was
up seven point two On this day in twenty sixteen,
Hillary was up twelve percent. Hillary was up twelve and
went on to lose. Trump's up by three. How do
you think Michigan's gonna fare? Pennsylvania Atlas Atrifalgar have Trump
(19:46):
leading Harris by three. Georgia now has Trump ahead two
and one percent in two different poles. And probably the
most bizarre thing that's happening, you have Senate candidates Baldwin
Wisconsin and Casey in Pennsylvania actually tying themselves to Trump
(20:07):
and at the top of their very own ticket. What
a crazy journey to get here? And where are we?
Fifteen days to go and things leaning heavily towards Donald Trump.
In fact, if you take the Real Clear Politics average
with fifteen days to go, nationwide popular vote, Kamala Harris
(20:28):
is a forty nine point two percent. Trump has forty
eight point three one percent. The potential and the odds
of Donald Trump winning the presidency and the Electoral College
ninety three point two percent Kamala Harris six point four percent.
(20:51):
How does Kamala snatch victory from the jaws to defeat
with fifteen days to go? Telling Christians are at the
wrong roace, having Lizzo tell the world that if you
elect Kamala Harris, the whole nation I look like Detroit.
Good luck with that.
Speaker 2 (21:12):
I'm Jim Schultz in Tampa, and my morning show is
your morning show.
Speaker 1 (21:16):
I am Michael del Journal Jeffrey lines back in the
control room, millions of Americans casting ballots early as early
voting is underway in many states, House Speaker Mike Johnson
says there's nothing Donald Trump is not going to use
the military against his political enemies. In fact, take a
closer look what his political enemies are doing to him,
(21:36):
and you get a glimpse of how who's really doing
what How Speaker Nancy Pelosis's President Biden's exit from the
race had nothing to do with politics. And the World
Series is set, and I think it's a pretty dream matchup.
You get the number one market versus the number two market.
You get Otani versus Judge, Soto versus Wollkie Betts, number
(22:02):
one market versus number two Dodgers Yankees. Who could ask
for anything more? Game one will be Friday in Los Angeles.
And if you're planning on taking a trip over the holidays,
and now you suddenly find yourself rethinking it, you're not alone.
And r O'Neill is here with a story of why
why Rory? Why? Where is Rory there? He is my
(22:24):
bad dude, Rory. I was just saying, if they're changing
their their holiday plans, they're not alone, and why because
they're tapped out or broke?
Speaker 4 (22:36):
Yes?
Speaker 1 (22:36):
Pretty much.
Speaker 3 (22:37):
This Bank Great survey out this morning says eighty three
percent of Americans are changing their travel plans, either making
the trip shorter. Maybe you go from a five star
to a three star hotel, fly.
Speaker 1 (22:48):
On an odd day.
Speaker 3 (22:50):
Maybe when you're on vacation, say to Orlando for theme
parks over Christmas.
Speaker 1 (22:54):
And you only go three days not five.
Speaker 3 (22:57):
Or if you take a ski holiday, maybe you just
spend three days on the slopes, not five, those kinds
of things.
Speaker 1 (23:03):
Because the prices are getting out of control. What happened
to think I'm assuming we're talking about Thanksgiving and Christmas
right correct? Primarily? I mean what happened to that being,
you know, whether you like it or not, visiting family,
which wouldn't be as expensive. I wouldn't think.
Speaker 3 (23:19):
The airfares, right, you still have the airfare, and that's
not what you know, a lot of people will have
spend Thanksgiving, you know, with the family, then maybe spend
a Christmas holiday that's more elaborate, that's not with Grandma's house. Others,
it's vice versa. Flip the coin. Yeah, it's all over
the place, right, it's a huge travel season.
Speaker 1 (23:38):
So what's driving the expenses? Airfare, hotels, everything.
Speaker 3 (23:42):
Yes, car rentals have actually come down according to the Bank,
great data. But even as people try to switch to
you know, Airbnb or verbo, they're finding that those prices
are awfully high as well. But you know, when you
do that house rental or apartment rental, then you have
a kitchen and maybe you save money on the breakfast
(24:02):
and the meals because you can cook in and you
have laundry.
Speaker 1 (24:05):
Facilities and the like.
Speaker 3 (24:06):
So all those trade offs, and of course the big
trade off, you know, let's drive rather than fly to
our destination.
Speaker 1 (24:12):
So Roy O'Neil joining us, our national correspondent on travel
plans seem to be shifting. We've been following this for
a while. We're beginning to see defaults in certain states,
primarily on mortgages. We've been following credit cards. They seem
to be maxed out nationally. We haven't really seen the
default rate climbing dramatically yet. We would expect that. And
(24:35):
of course the economy is tough and people are broken
and they're in debt, and then they still plan to
spend a lot on Christmas. Are we kind of seeing
maybe they're not traveling in favor of gifts. Potentially we
knew something had to give. Maybe it's travel.
Speaker 3 (24:50):
Well, the bank great experts say they've actually seen a
pretty solid falling off in hotel and travel bookings airline
and hotel booking since Labor Day, and they think that
this is actually a return to normal rather than the
post pandemic surge that we saw in all this travel
and the bucket list trips that everyone seemed to be taking,
(25:12):
so they think that travel is sort of normalizing again,
and that's.
Speaker 1 (25:15):
Where we are. You know.
Speaker 3 (25:17):
As to the credit card, yes, we have more credit
card debt than ever before, but the total utilization of
that credit is barely up I think like two tenths
of a percentage point over the past year. So that
number really hasn't moved a whole lot. I think it's
and it's low. It's like twenty one percent or something.
So there's still an awful lot of credit that is
still available out there. But yeah, for a lot of
(25:38):
homemakers or families, they're just sort of running these numbers
and saying, you know, the average airline ticket, they say,
is going to be nine hundred and thirty dollars for
thanks Giving, eleven hundred bucks for Christmas, thank you, and
they're just saying, right.
Speaker 1 (25:51):
So, I a long time ago, when we were told
we were having twins, which was shocking news, we made
a decision that Christmas was always going to be at
our house. If grandparents wanted to come, they were certainly welcome.
If aans or uncles wanted to come, they were certainly welcome,
but I wasn't going to let my childhood dictate my
children's childhood. They were going to have their own childhood
and Christmas, so we never traveled on the holidays. I
(26:14):
guess my final question is an easy softball. This is
obviously up right from previous Christmases. I never travel at Christmas.
Speaker 3 (26:21):
Line, yeah, baseline, yes, But the fact that Christmas is
on a Wednesdays sort of complicates things as well in
terms of the calendar, and some people may squeak in
a mini vacation because of that, and you know, don't
have a full week beforehand, that kind of thing. So
all these different calculations are in the mix. Is people
are trying to save a buck because, yeah, these prices,
(26:43):
as you add it up, it's like four thousand dollars
now is a baseline for a family vacation.
Speaker 1 (26:47):
My favorite comedian is Tom Papa. He has a great expression,
the only thing better than no plans is having plans
in canceling them so people will enjoy they had these
travel now suddenly got a windfall of money and time
on your hands. Cancel your plans. Well, if you're doing it,
you're not alone. Rory, great story. We'll talk again tomorrow.
Thanks Michael. All right. Fifty six minutes after the hour
final say, by the way, I didn't get a chance
(27:08):
to get this in until now. CBS has finally responded
to the allegations of the sixty minutes editing, and here
was their explanation. Finally, sixty minutes gave an excerpt of
our interview to Face the Nation that used a longer
section of her answer than we did at sixty minutes.
(27:31):
Same question, same answer, but a different portion of the response.
When we edit any interview, whether it's a politician, an athlete,
or a movie star, we strive to be clear, accurate,
and on point. The portion of her answer on sixty
minutes was a more succinct answer, which allowed time for
other subjects in a wide ranging, twenty one minute long segment.
(27:56):
That's their formal response. We're all in this together. This
is your Morning Show with Michael del Jorna.
Hi, It's Michael.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Your morning show airs live five to eight am Central,
six to nine Eastern in great cities like Memphis, Tennessee, Telsa, Oklahoma, Sacramento, California.
We'd love to be a part of your morning routine,
but we're happier here now.
Speaker 1 (00:13):
Enjoy the podcast on two three, starting your morning off right.
Speaker 3 (00:19):
A new way of talk, a new way of understanding
because we're in the stage.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
This is your Morning Show with Michael O'Dell Jordan. Well,
like you, I prefer a three d weekend, but we
didn't get one to rise and shot. You like it
or not. Welcome to Monday, the twenty first of October,
Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty four, seven minutes after
the hour, on the air and streaming live on your
iHeartRadio app. This is your morning show, and I'm Michael
(00:47):
del Journal Jeffrey Lyon at the controls. If you're just
waking up. Millions of Americans are casting ballots, with early
voting underway in many states. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says
Biden's exit had nothing to do with being political. Really.
The world series is set the largest market against the
second largest market, Otani versus Judge Soto versus Bets. I mean,
(01:12):
you got it all. Dodgers Yankees, a late seventies style
fall classic. The World Series begins in Los Angeles on Friday,
and not one, but two Monday night football games, in fact,
to our cities tangled up in action. Tonight, we have
the Bucks in Tampa taken on the Ravens. That's a
(01:33):
great game at Baker Mayfield, having a great year of
pair of FOM two teams going at it. And then
the Cardinals for those listening on KFYI and Phoenix, your
Cardinals will be taking on the Chargers two a double
header Monday night football games tonight. If you're just waking up,
we kind of cover these in our Sounds of the day,
but this is some of the sounds from the weekend. Now,
if you saw Jimmy Carter wheeled in in a bedlike
(01:55):
wheelchair to vote, appearing to be unconscious with his mouth
and I don't know that I draw a lot of
attention to that, I'm sure as heck wouldn't make fun
of it, but Kamala did both.
Speaker 3 (02:06):
So look and Jimmy Carter can vote early, you can do.
Speaker 1 (02:15):
She's so funny, she's so funny, and then Lizzo got
up in Detroit and said this.
Speaker 3 (02:22):
They say, if Kamala wins, then the whole country will
be like Detroit.
Speaker 1 (02:27):
Now do you really want someone to get up and
say the whole country? I mean, these are one of
those moments. We have them. It seems like every weekend.
And you could just put the paid for by Donald
Trump at the end of this, and you've got a
great ad. Right.
Speaker 3 (02:41):
They say, if Kamala wins, then the whole country will
be like Detroit.
Speaker 1 (02:47):
Okay, I'm Donald Trump and I approved this messionist. I mean,
they were on a roll, weren't they, But this one
was probably the most troubling. So Kamala Harris had a
campaign event and look, cross Wisconsin is going on exaggerating
the right stances on abortion. There's actually more abortions now
(03:07):
since Robi Wade went back to the States, not less.
And somebody yelled out Jesus's Lord and this was Kamala's response, Oh.
Speaker 4 (03:16):
You guys are at the wrong rally.
Speaker 1 (03:27):
Miss I'm gonna be everybody's president. Jesus' Lord? Is that
the wrong everybody's president? But those who believe in Jesus.
Speaker 3 (03:37):
No, I think you meant to go to the smaller
one down the street.
Speaker 1 (03:43):
And she thought she was being so clever. I wonder
if it's playing that clever. And then one final you
know they're struggling with blackmail votes, so they came out
with another cheesy ad to address this. Why do I
say that, Well, it's paid for by Harris Walls and
it's telling black men and will them in telling black
men that black women will reject them if they don't vote.
(04:05):
But is it really don't vote or don't vote for
Kamala Harris? Instead of roses, they have balloons. And of
course all women apparently need men and they have to
be handsome, tall and rich. I mean, this thing was
insulting in so many levels, but here's how it sounded. Hello, ladies,
I'm sorry, it's good to be here. What do you do?
And how much do you work in finance? Making six figures?
(04:25):
How tall are you? Six? Do you have a plan
to vote in November?
Speaker 4 (04:30):
Nah?
Speaker 1 (04:31):
Not my thing. I mean, Chris Walker is joining US
Republican consultant and your morning show contributor. The polls would
suggest it's a time of desperation, and their words express
it's a time of desperation and they're just not up
for the moment. That's for sure. It's really really becoming
a bit unhinged, isn't it.
Speaker 4 (04:52):
Yeah, good morning, Michael. I would also see their response
to Donald Trump going to McDonald yesterday and just the
the unhinged responses to the idea of doing just a
traditional campaign stage casting where you go to a blue
collar place and you know, donn an apron and do
some of the work for a little bit, you know.
I mean, I'd love to know what MSNBC would say
(05:14):
with Reagan going to a bar in nineteen eighty. You know,
it's it's quite something. But you know, the unhinged quality
is is a good campaign tactic. You know, there seems
to be a little bit of a tone shift in
the Trump campaign where he's definitely I'm enjoying himself and
every time he does that, and it's funny and you know,
has a real moment, in a human moment. The left
(05:37):
shrieks and and really shows you and you know, sets
the quiet part out loud and shows you who they
really are.
Speaker 1 (05:41):
And kamal is seemingly is incapable of having one. In fact,
I mean, there's been less joy in her campaign and
more joy in Donald Trump's. I mean it's yeah, it's bizarre.
Speaker 4 (05:57):
It's showing and look at the look at the poll numbers.
I mean even you know, the betting markets. I don't
really like going to the betting markets. I just I
don't think they're as data specific as they are just
people kind of going off of vibes, and just vibes
don't win elections. But you know, on the same token,
we're seeing polling averages and you know, all of these
other kind of indicators showing that you know, hey, Trump,
(06:19):
Trump is taking the lead. He is, he has had
a two to three week surge, and it seems to
be correlating to you know, kind of a more jovial,
let's have fun Trump. I mean Elan on the campaign
traill having fun with them, and you know, everything just
became much more lighthearted from him. And you know, I
think that pivot from Biden to Kamala was a real,
you know, kind of struggle for a while. But now
(06:41):
they they found the footing in the sense of like,
let's show them who they really are. Let's show it,
let's show people.
Speaker 1 (06:45):
Who we really are, and we can go and we
win Chris Walker is a Republican consultant, analyst, and a
Your Morning Show contributor. By the way, speaking of those odds,
Donald Trump is now minus one fifty two. She is
plus one fifty six. Now, with the exception of the
Tennessee Titans weekend in Buffalo were plus four hundred. That
would make her a bigger underdog in him, a bigger
(07:06):
favor than every game except for that in the NFL.
So things have swung, and we'll get to polls here
in a minute, but this is maybe the most telling.
We have a couple of vulnerable Democrat senators, one in Pennsylvania,
one in Wisconsin, and both are traveling on the coattails
of Trump, not Harris. Very revealing Casey, for example, his
(07:28):
wife came out he led the effort to stop corporate greed,
inflation and price gouging. His wife went on to say
he bucked the Biden administration to protect fracking, and he
sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on
China to stop them from unfair practices. We saw the
same thing in Wisconsin, Baldwin, you know, embracing Trump's policies,
(07:51):
attaching them because we always said these close Senate races.
Will they you know, the top of the ticket determined them. Well,
these are two that obviously must be seeing something in
the polls to suggest there's no way Kamala Harris is
carrying Wisconsin in Pennsylvania, and I'm not claning tying myself
to her, I'm tying myself to Trump, so at least
I can win my Senate race. I think that's the
(08:12):
most revealing thing that that happened this weekend.
Speaker 4 (08:16):
I think that's right. And I can tell you, you know,
talking to some friends in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. I mean,
you know, those those polls that are kind of showing
Trump in a slight lead are also kind of moving
Republicans in the into that territory. I don't want to
oversell it though, because ultimately, again we have to vote.
But yeah, all of these polls are tightening. Again. The
more the Democrats say who they are and say the
(08:37):
qui powder are part out loud, the more you realize,
you know that there there's a real, you know shot
here for you know, a good victory for Republicans in
this election, because again, they're just so far outside of
the mainstream, you know, I've heard a lot of you know,
pear clutching on on one of these Trump ads talking
about the transgender issue, and it makes you know, Beltway
(08:58):
you know, political figures and lobbyists feel icky, but it's
an eighty twenty issue, and people, you know, real families
see it and see their don't want their kids playing against,
you know, their daughters playing against some you know, roided up,
six foot five guy who's wearing a skirt. So you know,
these types of things I think are really important and
are showing, you know, the right messaging at the right time,
trying to kind of get this thing across the finish line.
Speaker 1 (09:20):
When we go inside the polling numbers, it went from
Harris leading by as much as three nationally to down
two now nationally. So within the margin of era, it's
dead even nationally. I'll remind everybody Biden was leading by
eight nationally and Hillary Clinton was leading by six nationally
in twenty sixteen. So if Donald Trump is even in
(09:40):
the popular vote nationwide, that spells real landslide trouble on
the electoral college map. As for battleground states, Nevada, that's
probably the only one that had Harris leading by three
and now Trump is up by one. But when we
go inside the numbers and you ask people in Nevada,
are they more interested in abortion or or the border,
(10:02):
the economy, inflation, cost of living, that's what pops up
is the top three. So if there is this imaginary
candidate that we just handed all of Joe Biden's delegates
to on a short field with a sugar high and
then hope we can hide her, well, it didn't work,
and now in the swing states she's trailing. Everywhere's everywhere,
(10:24):
but Nevada is probably the closest. But losing in Pennsylvania,
losing in Wisconsin, losing in Michigan. I mean, this is
this is pulling away? Now? Could it be we're getting
glimpses of the very tips of each margin of error.
I guess it's possible, But the way it's so steadily
trended and attaches to gaffes and weaknesses and to key issues,
(10:44):
it would suggest it's real.
Speaker 4 (10:48):
The trend is real. In the pulling, I feel like
a broken record, But I just want to remind people
that that's not vote. We need to get people out
to vote, and particularly swing states, and they have a very,
very impressive machine. They have they have proven that their
machine can turn out votes in places that we are
not good at doing. And so from a from a
(11:10):
standpoint of focus for the last two weeks here, it's
not about just polling. It's about making sure we tell
our friends and families to get out and vote. It's
not enough to read the news and say, Okay, this
looks good. We've got to get three people to the
polls and vote. Otherwise it's all moot because it's not
going to matter. So that that's the key message here
is it's not to get over confidence, it's not to
(11:31):
get to you know, to pay positive is great, but
let's make sure that we keep eye on the ball
and getting our friends and families out to vote in
the right way that we wanted to see.
Speaker 1 (11:40):
Chris Walker, Republican consultant analyst, thanks for joining us. As always,
we'll talk next week or sooner if conditions weren't. This
is your morning show with Michael del Chuna. America will
vote already voting or will vote on November fifth, whether
it's November fifth, sixth, or seventh, or whenever, will have
(12:01):
a result and a winner, and then, thank god, will
all move on. But someone will try to tell you
exactly why what happened happened now every day and you
can experience this watching the History Channel or going through
your kids textbooks. They'll revise history. They try to revise
(12:26):
reality daily in the mainstream media. So I think it's
important that we kind of remember these things and we
just kind of brainstorm, right, what all we just experienced
in the last year. Well, a defiant Joe Biden decided
to run. Didn't matter what his approval rating was, didn't
matter that about seventy at the time he made the decision,
(12:46):
seventy percent, seven out of ten Americans thought we were
heading in the wrong direction, and that most pretty much
had come to the conclusion he was seen now whether
it was Parkinson's or severely cognitively impaired through dementia, or
all tigmes, nobody thought he was all there. But he
defiantly decided to run, and defiantly his vice president Kamala Harris,
(13:09):
who at the time, don't forget and make sure you
remember this was considered the only thing worse than Joe
Biden was telling everybody he's running circles around interns. He's
in This guy is in complete control. From the and
she reiterated that just a week ago on the view
in all of her interviews with Brett bare when he
(13:30):
pointed blank aster, when did you first notice? She wouldn't
go there. I'm with Joe Biden in the situation room.
So to the very end she claims he was fine.
So Joe defiantly, defiantly decides to run. Then the law
fair against Trump tying him up courtroom after courtroom. By
(13:54):
that backfired. While tied up in court, he won every
primary against really formidable opponents Governor DeSantis, Florida, Marco Rubio.
At that Ramaswami, I mean it was a good field.
He never showed up to one debate and he won
the primary. He was tied up in court, never campaigned
during the entire primary, and he won the primary. And
(14:16):
that it ended up being just the right amount of
Donald Trump. By tying him up in court, he wasn't
doing these long rallies and saying anything crazy. They just
didn't have anything. And then all the surrogates coming to
the courtroom to speak for him because he was under
a gag order, created a uniting in the party that
(14:37):
got the business of the convention done before the convention
ever arrived. Lawfair was a huge backfire for the left.
Then you had RFK Junior who wanted to run the
primary and the Democrats wouldn't allow it. I mean, the
death of the primary process for the left is probably
the biggest story of twenty twenty four. The fact that
(14:58):
Joe Biden ran got all the delegates and then was
forced out, and Kamala Harris, who did not earn one
of those delegates, just took them all. My son said
something to me that was very profound. Why didn't they
just let the people decide? Now they got a bad candidate.
I don't know, they should have me the death of
(15:21):
the primary process for the Democrats. And then RFK ends
up dismantling his campaign early, and like Telsea Gabbard, a
former Democrat presidential candidate, joins Team Trump and a bipartisan move.
Oh the backfire of rejecting RFK. Oh, the backfire of
(15:42):
the primary process, Oh, the backfire of the lawfare. Then
we had the earliest presidential debate in history before either convention.
Why they wanted to expose that the president wasn't of
sound mind so that they could force him out and
insert a new candidate. Now, Nancy Pelosi today saying that
(16:03):
isn't political look political to us. My summary on that is,
if that's the first night Joe Biden appeared to be
cognitively impaired, you weren't very honest with yourself, and for
the media to act like it was a big surprise,
and that was their first clue they weren't being very
(16:23):
honest with you all along. I mean, that was even
beyond cognitive impairment. That was like weekend at Bernie stuff.
Then you have Biden after that debate, forced out by
everyone coming, were just making pancakes and bacon. When she
got the call, she's handed the nomination given all of
(16:46):
his delegates. Then they do this theatrical Los Angeles presentation
at the convention, which, by the way, she pulled off.
Then they planned on a short field with a sugar High,
just hider in planes, just like they hit Joe Biden
during COVID, But then that started to not work. So
(17:06):
then in desperation, they started doing interviews. Ooh, the sugar
High ended the view disastrous Blade show with Stephen Colbert,
a disaster, Brett Bear probably the eye of the beholder
sixty minutes was a bomb. Then you start seeing clear
(17:32):
deficits in their voting base. Hispanics, blue collar workers, union workers, Catholics, Jews,
the Israel problem, young voters especially troubling, and the bullseye
of bullseye eighteen to forty four blackmail voters boom. And
(17:52):
now this early voting starts and the elections just fifteen
days away, where do we find ourselves? The latest tip
tracking poll Trump has surge pass Harris now with a
two point lead nationally. Previously she led by three to
one of her up three to Trump up two nationally.
(18:15):
And when you ask that Ronald Reagan question, is your
life better off than it was four years ago? The
poll reveals only fifty one percent of Democrats think their
life was better off than four years ago. Sixty eight
percent of Democrats, fifty five percent of independents say their
life is worse. And the economy continues along with the
border to Trump abortion in all of the swing states,
(18:36):
Natlas poll finds Trump up three as well. Now, keep
in mind, in twenty twenty, Joe Biden went into the
general election up six eight point six percent. Hillary in
twenty sixteen was up six point four. Kamala is down
two nationally How do you think that looks on the
electoral college map Nevada? The most recent APLESS poll has
(19:00):
it at a tie. However, the previous poll had Harris
up three, So Trump is moving The main issues in
Nevada economy number one, immigration number two two, inflation, cost
of living number three, Reproductive rights was fifth. That doesn't
look good for Kamala Harris. Remember this is abortion against
the boogeyman Michigan. Trump leads by one point two percent
(19:26):
over Harris on this day in twenty twenty, Biden was
up seven point two On this day in twenty sixteen,
Hillary was up twelve percent. Hillary was up twelve and
went on to lose. Trump's up by three. How do
you think Michigan's gonna fare? Pennsylvania Atlas Atrifalgar have Trump
(19:46):
leading Harris by three. Georgia now has Trump ahead two
and one percent in two different poles. And probably the
most bizarre thing that's happening, you have Senate candidates Baldwin
Wisconsin and Casey in Pennsylvania actually tying themselves to Trump
(20:07):
and at the top of their very own ticket. What
a crazy journey to get here? And where are we?
Fifteen days to go and things leaning heavily towards Donald Trump.
In fact, if you take the Real Clear Politics average
with fifteen days to go, nationwide popular vote, Kamala Harris
(20:28):
is a forty nine point two percent. Trump has forty
eight point three one percent. The potential and the odds
of Donald Trump winning the presidency and the Electoral College
ninety three point two percent Kamala Harris six point four percent.
(20:51):
How does Kamala snatch victory from the jaws to defeat
with fifteen days to go? Telling Christians are at the
wrong roace, having Lizzo tell the world that if you
elect Kamala Harris, the whole nation I look like Detroit.
Good luck with that.
Speaker 2 (21:12):
I'm Jim Schultz in Tampa, and my morning show is
your morning show.
Speaker 1 (21:16):
I am Michael del Journal Jeffrey lines back in the
control room, millions of Americans casting ballots early as early
voting is underway in many states, House Speaker Mike Johnson
says there's nothing Donald Trump is not going to use
the military against his political enemies. In fact, take a
closer look what his political enemies are doing to him,
(21:36):
and you get a glimpse of how who's really doing
what How Speaker Nancy Pelosis's President Biden's exit from the
race had nothing to do with politics. And the World
Series is set, and I think it's a pretty dream matchup.
You get the number one market versus the number two market.
You get Otani versus Judge, Soto versus Wollkie Betts, number
(22:02):
one market versus number two Dodgers Yankees. Who could ask
for anything more? Game one will be Friday in Los Angeles.
And if you're planning on taking a trip over the holidays,
and now you suddenly find yourself rethinking it, you're not alone.
And r O'Neill is here with a story of why
why Rory? Why? Where is Rory there? He is my
(22:24):
bad dude, Rory. I was just saying, if they're changing
their their holiday plans, they're not alone, and why because
they're tapped out or broke?
Speaker 4 (22:36):
Yes?
Speaker 1 (22:36):
Pretty much.
Speaker 3 (22:37):
This Bank Great survey out this morning says eighty three
percent of Americans are changing their travel plans, either making
the trip shorter. Maybe you go from a five star
to a three star hotel, fly.
Speaker 1 (22:48):
On an odd day.
Speaker 3 (22:50):
Maybe when you're on vacation, say to Orlando for theme
parks over Christmas.
Speaker 1 (22:54):
And you only go three days not five.
Speaker 3 (22:57):
Or if you take a ski holiday, maybe you just
spend three days on the slopes, not five, those kinds
of things.
Speaker 1 (23:03):
Because the prices are getting out of control. What happened
to think I'm assuming we're talking about Thanksgiving and Christmas
right correct? Primarily? I mean what happened to that being,
you know, whether you like it or not, visiting family,
which wouldn't be as expensive. I wouldn't think.
Speaker 3 (23:19):
The airfares, right, you still have the airfare, and that's
not what you know, a lot of people will have
spend Thanksgiving, you know, with the family, then maybe spend
a Christmas holiday that's more elaborate, that's not with Grandma's house. Others,
it's vice versa. Flip the coin. Yeah, it's all over
the place, right, it's a huge travel season.
Speaker 1 (23:38):
So what's driving the expenses? Airfare, hotels, everything.
Speaker 3 (23:42):
Yes, car rentals have actually come down according to the Bank,
great data. But even as people try to switch to
you know, Airbnb or verbo, they're finding that those prices
are awfully high as well. But you know, when you
do that house rental or apartment rental, then you have
a kitchen and maybe you save money on the breakfast
(24:02):
and the meals because you can cook in and you
have laundry.
Speaker 1 (24:05):
Facilities and the like.
Speaker 3 (24:06):
So all those trade offs, and of course the big
trade off, you know, let's drive rather than fly to
our destination.
Speaker 1 (24:12):
So Roy O'Neil joining us, our national correspondent on travel
plans seem to be shifting. We've been following this for
a while. We're beginning to see defaults in certain states,
primarily on mortgages. We've been following credit cards. They seem
to be maxed out nationally. We haven't really seen the
default rate climbing dramatically yet. We would expect that. And
(24:35):
of course the economy is tough and people are broken
and they're in debt, and then they still plan to
spend a lot on Christmas. Are we kind of seeing
maybe they're not traveling in favor of gifts. Potentially we
knew something had to give. Maybe it's travel.
Speaker 3 (24:50):
Well, the bank great experts say they've actually seen a
pretty solid falling off in hotel and travel bookings airline
and hotel booking since Labor Day, and they think that
this is actually a return to normal rather than the
post pandemic surge that we saw in all this travel
and the bucket list trips that everyone seemed to be taking,
(25:12):
so they think that travel is sort of normalizing again,
and that's.
Speaker 1 (25:15):
Where we are. You know.
Speaker 3 (25:17):
As to the credit card, yes, we have more credit
card debt than ever before, but the total utilization of
that credit is barely up I think like two tenths
of a percentage point over the past year. So that
number really hasn't moved a whole lot. I think it's
and it's low. It's like twenty one percent or something.
So there's still an awful lot of credit that is
still available out there. But yeah, for a lot of
(25:38):
homemakers or families, they're just sort of running these numbers
and saying, you know, the average airline ticket, they say,
is going to be nine hundred and thirty dollars for
thanks Giving, eleven hundred bucks for Christmas, thank you, and
they're just saying, right.
Speaker 1 (25:51):
So, I a long time ago, when we were told
we were having twins, which was shocking news, we made
a decision that Christmas was always going to be at
our house. If grandparents wanted to come, they were certainly welcome.
If aans or uncles wanted to come, they were certainly welcome,
but I wasn't going to let my childhood dictate my
children's childhood. They were going to have their own childhood
and Christmas, so we never traveled on the holidays. I
(26:14):
guess my final question is an easy softball. This is
obviously up right from previous Christmases. I never travel at Christmas.
Speaker 3 (26:21):
Line, yeah, baseline, yes, But the fact that Christmas is
on a Wednesdays sort of complicates things as well in
terms of the calendar, and some people may squeak in
a mini vacation because of that, and you know, don't
have a full week beforehand, that kind of thing. So
all these different calculations are in the mix. Is people
are trying to save a buck because, yeah, these prices,
(26:43):
as you add it up, it's like four thousand dollars
now is a baseline for a family vacation.
Speaker 1 (26:47):
My favorite comedian is Tom Papa. He has a great expression,
the only thing better than no plans is having plans
in canceling them so people will enjoy they had these
travel now suddenly got a windfall of money and time
on your hands. Cancel your plans. Well, if you're doing it,
you're not alone. Rory, great story. We'll talk again tomorrow.
Thanks Michael. All right. Fifty six minutes after the hour
final say, by the way, I didn't get a chance
(27:08):
to get this in until now. CBS has finally responded
to the allegations of the sixty minutes editing, and here
was their explanation. Finally, sixty minutes gave an excerpt of
our interview to Face the Nation that used a longer
section of her answer than we did at sixty minutes.
(27:31):
Same question, same answer, but a different portion of the response.
When we edit any interview, whether it's a politician, an athlete,
or a movie star, we strive to be clear, accurate,
and on point. The portion of her answer on sixty
minutes was a more succinct answer, which allowed time for
other subjects in a wide ranging, twenty one minute long segment.
(27:56):
That's their formal response. We're all in this together. This
is your Morning Show with Michael del Jorna.
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