November 5, 2024 • 33 mins
Close race, but, not a close electoral college result
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hi, It's Michael.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
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Enjoy the podcast one, two three, starting your morning off right,
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Speaker 3 (00:23):
Because we're in this toget.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
This is your morning show with Michael o'deill Trump. Well,
everyone's been promising you a close election, and you got it.
The tiny township of Dicksville, Notch, New Hampshire has voted.
All six votes counted. Donald Trump three, Donald Harris three.
We're starting Tide. Podcast host Joe Rogan endorses President Trump.
Speaker 4 (00:46):
The House.
Speaker 1 (00:47):
It still appears to be a toss up, really difficult
to predict.
Speaker 4 (00:51):
Set.
Speaker 1 (00:51):
It looks good for the Republican's Abortion on ten state ballots,
marijuana on four this election cycle, and the boing strike
is over as America prepares to vote on this election day.
Welcome to Tuesday, November the fifth, twenty twenty four on
the Aarin streaming live on your iHeartRadio app. This is
your morning show. Jeffrey's got the controls. I'm Michael, and
we can't have your morning show without your voice. Take
(01:13):
me to the sports book on this early election day.
Speaker 3 (01:16):
I want to know the odds from Big John.
Speaker 5 (01:19):
So here's my final betting lines for Trump to win
this whole thing we got Pennsylvania. Trump is minus one twenty,
she's plus one eighteen.
Speaker 4 (01:29):
Those are close odds.
Speaker 5 (01:31):
Overall, Trump minus one point thirty nine, she's plus one
point fifty two.
Speaker 4 (01:36):
I'm taking those odds. Let's book it. Let's go.
Speaker 1 (01:41):
While we're on the mafia theme, can you get me
Jimmy Suits in Harvard Yard? Jimmy Suits.
Speaker 5 (01:47):
Well, morning, Mikey, it's Jimmy Suits.
Speaker 3 (01:50):
From Harvid Yard.
Speaker 5 (01:51):
I got a question for you.
Speaker 6 (01:53):
So if I think once before you mentioned that it
was only gonna be a one party in this decade,
do you think that means the Democrats are going to
be wrong?
Speaker 1 (02:06):
Let's trump Jimmy Sewetz, thanks for checking. You know, it's interesting.
I think this election will play a key role.
Speaker 4 (02:14):
You know.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
It's kind of like when we're trying to figure out
why things are changing so much. Some of its technology
and then you know, and then some of it is
more than that. It's similar to that. I think this
election plays a role in that for the Republicans, the
challenge is going to be post Trump. That seems easier
to navigate for me, especially if Trump goes on to
(02:34):
win and then hands off to Vance, and then Vance
chooses either Telsea Gabbard or you know, probably Marco Ruby
or somebody like that, they set themselves up well for
eight to sixteen years. I could say the reverse of
that is, I don't think John Podesta wants Kamala Harris
to win, because then he's stuck with her and having
to defend an administration into a next failed four years.
(02:56):
What he really wants is control of the House, and
then he wants to come back and win an open election,
and he wants to do it. I'm guessing with Wes
Moore or Shapiro from Pennsylvania or both combined. So they
lose this election. I guarantee you the far far because
there is no center anymore for the Democrat Party, but
the far far left, the anti American, pro terrorist far left,
(03:20):
is going to take this whole debacle and turn it
against them and try to take over the party. And
if that's the case, I think they lose their party
by the end of the decade, or could potentially have
that threatened. All right, let's keep eyeing the ball for today.
David Sinati is our senior contributor and joining us CEO
of the American Policy round Table. Dave, we've been kicking
around a question for an hour that's had us all
(03:41):
fascinated on end off the year. It's been a crazy year.
What has happened that you expected? And what is something
that's happened that you never saw coming?
Speaker 3 (03:51):
Oh boy, I did hear you ask Daron that question.
I should have thought, well, it's coming to me next thing.
I should have had my minding gear.
Speaker 1 (03:59):
Well, it was early in seeing nineteen sixty eight, so
I feared the assassinations, and they happened. I knew like
LBJ Biden was going I didn't think it would be Kamala.
I thought it would be Gavin Newsome most likely. I
thought RFK was going to have a huge influence. I
didn't expect it to not be as a third party,
but rather with Tulca Gabbard and Elon Musk and now
(04:21):
late Megan Kelly and Tucker Carlson. I mean, think about
that the two biggest anchors at Fox aren't on Fox.
They're influencing this election from outside of Fox. I mean,
it's some crazy stuff going on. Some that you saw,
some that you didn't.
Speaker 3 (04:32):
Well. I think the thing that is perhaps most disappointing
to me, and I think, you know, you don't want
to look for stuff that's bad news. So I wasn't
looking for it. I would maybe wishing and hoping it
wasn't going to be as bad, But coming out of
twenty two and twenty three, I had hoped that perhaps
there was some chance left that the media in America
would come to its census, and just the op basically
(04:54):
completely drove off the cliff. I'll give you one example
that people aren't going to hear much about. We're covering
it this week on the Public Square. Watching the reaction
to the Dobbs decision in regards to abortion was shocking
to us because we realized, after fifty years, people didn't
know the facts about abortion in America. They didn't know it's
still talking about still. They had plenty of rhetoric, they
(05:16):
had plenty of emotion, but they didn't know what was
actually happening. So we published a book took a year
and did a research project and published a forty page
booklet that are strictly facts, all coming from either pro
abortion sites and sources, or the US government or state
and local government. So there's no pro life data in
(05:36):
the document. It's just the simple, basic, industrial, hardcore facts
about abortion. Do you know that the alphabet Google YouTube
machine banned that book from being advertised on their network.
We pushed a major ad buy in. The ad was
rejected twice. This is a thirty second ad. We changed
(05:57):
it to get their approval. It didn't say vote for anybody,
it didn't say vote for any ballot issue. It's just
simply offered the book. Offered the book before you vote,
get more facts. Here's the book. They banned the buy,
they took the buy. Michael, here's a trick. They accepted
the buy, and then what they did was they never
ran the ad. They never ran the ad.
Speaker 1 (06:22):
That sounds like something for legal. We knew the journalism
was dead. We've been talking about that for years, the
death of journalism. I think the notion of they don't
realize they're dead, and the voters too.
Speaker 3 (06:35):
I think that's what I mean.
Speaker 1 (06:36):
Twenty twenty four is gonna be known as the early
vote election, there's no question about it. It might be
known as the podcast election, where mainstream media simply didn't
realize it was dead and had no influence, and listeners
and viewers had moved on to social media and podcasting.
The Republicans embraced early voting. This time, they embraced and
competed with mail in voting. They diminished that advantage for
(06:59):
the Democrat. Then they embraced the move didn't really care
about debates, didn't really care about interviews. They were on
with Joe Rogan, they were on with Megan Kelly, they
were on with Tucker Carlson. They knew where the people
were at. I think these are all things that are
going to come out. And then I will look at
(07:19):
you and I will say, now do they realize they're dead?
We're seeing signs they know they're dead. I mean we
saw that with the Washington Post.
Speaker 3 (07:25):
Right dead is it's kind of like that Princess Brian
dead or most just mostly dead. They're dead because what
they've done is they've turned to Soros then of the
billionaire foundations to build them out.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
They associated a big pharma because if you take away
big Farmer's ads they have nothing. Political ads, they have nothing.
Speaker 3 (07:43):
But particularly in regards to where the intellectual capital comes from,
when you look at the publications, and then you look
particularly at the network of the Associated Press, which is
so responsible for what is covered across so many websites
and newspapers in the country. They are taking now their
funding from left wing found and saying that, of course
they have no control over the content. The foundations don't.
(08:04):
We're still independent. But take that's how they're getting paid,
that's how they're surviving. So who pays you is the
person you please? And no one is observing this, No
one is talking about what this depth, the depth of
this corruption is so profound. So I mean, I just
think that people didn't know that they could get any worse,
but they did. That's my point.
Speaker 1 (08:25):
Yeah, and you know, you know something hasn't come up.
And this is going to sound really irresponsible to say.
As I'm on it, I predicted that not only would
one of the two parties or both be extinct by
the end of the decade, but the talk radio might
not be here by the end of the decade. Keep
in mind, not only has everything moved on from television
(08:46):
to social media and podcasting. We wonder not many people
talking about the influence of talk radio, though I believe
it still exists. Kamala Harris, she's really only accomplished in
my mind, and I think I'm being as objective as
I can be. The only thing that she has really
successfully accomplished in this campaign, albeit a short field, is
that she's not Donald Trump. Beyond that, there have been
(09:09):
no victories, so it's still abortion versus the Boogeyman, and
I don't think that's enough to win.
Speaker 4 (09:14):
Well.
Speaker 3 (09:14):
I don't know could be, but I don't think it is.
I wish I could come up with some brilliant I'd
look again, looking as best we can and pulling numbers
and details and data. I would like to think that
it won't be enough, But I sincerely don't.
Speaker 1 (09:28):
Know how they pull off twenty hiding Biden. They couldn't
hide Kamala Harris, how they pull off twenty well with
mail in voting this time, there's no big mail in
voting advantage, there's no early voting advantage. I think the
not going on Joe Rogan is going to be a
big mistake. I think Israel proves to be a big
problem from beginning to end for them. I think the
(09:51):
Elon Musk X factor I wouldn't even know how much
weight to give that. I think Elon Musk plus Telsea
Gabbard plus RFK Junior plus Joe Rogan is an insurmountable
number for them.
Speaker 3 (10:09):
Well, I think all of this, if it sticks around,
it bodes very well for the future of whatever the
Resistance Party is going to be. To sorrows and the
progressive Left, because seeing Megan Kelly, Joe Rogan, and Elon
Musk come to their senses, so to speak, in a
bit of a change of mind in regards to where
they want to go with their vote is wonderful. And
(10:31):
if it moves forward in the future, then it gives
a great opportunity for the alternative to the progressive left.
The problem is Donald Trump is Trump that can cut.
Did they get there soon enough? Did he become two
point zero soon enough? Did he get it over the
finish line soon enough? Or are people exhausted with him?
We don't know the answer.
Speaker 1 (10:52):
Well, there's one other blind spot, and that is I
just said it in passing moments ago. Ten states with
a abortion ballaty issues and an electric that does not
understalking about that till this morning, exactly for with marijuana
in Florida where they were making the big play was
marijuana an abortion together, which I thought would have been powerful.
It's not going to be enough to flip Florida, but
it could be a blind spot today on election day,
(11:16):
would turnout? Turnout is usually fueled by enthusiasm. No one
sees the enthusiasm necessarily, we haven't seen it in the
early voting. We haven't seen it in the mail in voting.
We only know by party. But presuming that the party
is voting for the party's candidate, that enthusiasm doesn't seem
to be there. And then the big biggest question mark
of the day is has it been a zero sum game?
(11:37):
I mean, we had a lot of early voting. Does
that mean we're going to have historic election day voting
today to go along with it, or a low turnout today?
In a low turnout would be the demise of Kamala Harris.
Speaker 3 (11:48):
Well, I think that's the important point that you're bringing up,
is what really here's a question nobody's asking, nobody's framing.
Will there be fewer people vote this time than voted
in twenty twenty.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
The other thing that nobody's ever brought up is registrations.
There's just not the advantage. I mean, you know, we
talked about how the Republicans engaged in mail in voting,
engaged in early voting, competed in that they've done the
same with voter regis. There's not a big voter registration
gap this time either in favor of the Democrats, which
I find is very interesting. Looking at the Electoral College map,
all right, how to view tonight's election results by time zone?
(12:23):
I see three big hurdles that will tell you how
things are going. Let me tell you something. If I
see either North Carolina or Georgia fall in the first
two hours, Kamala Harris is the next president of the
United States. Will tell you how to watch this by
time zone. When your Morning show continues with David Zanati.
Speaker 7 (12:38):
Next, this is your Morning Show with Michael Del Trono.
Speaker 2 (12:52):
Ahi, It's Michael. Your Morning show could be heard live
weekday mornings five to eight am, six to nine am
Eastern in great cities like Tampa, f Youngstown, Ohio, and
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. We'd love to join you on the drive.
It work live, but We're glad you're here now, enjoyed
the podcast.
Speaker 1 (13:08):
Let me ask you the question, what's the one thing
you saw coming or in this crazy year, the one
thing you never if you had to pick one thing
I never saw coming. And then while you're on the line,
tell us who you think's going to win, and don't
forget to mention your name and where you're from. Here's
a stat that'll throw you, know, show you that it's
all about you know much to do about nothing, David.
(13:28):
If we go back to July twenty what was the debate?
Was it July twentieth? The present knows June right, I'd
have to go back and look, but yeah, it was.
It was the end of June somewhere in there. But anyway,
on July twenty ninth, when Joe Biden was still in
the race, the race was tied Trump forty seven point
(13:50):
three to Biden forty seven point three. Now the debate
would happen and it would fall off three four points
and then they would mug them through them out of
the race and replace him with Kamala. And here we
come in today with the final NBC poll showing it's
tied forty nine to forty nine with only two percent
undecided heading into election days. So for all this drama,
(14:11):
they're no better off for Kamala Harris than they were
really with Joe Biden prior to the debate. Much to
do about nothing? All right, let's talk about watching. We've
done quite a few elections together. For me, North Carolina
and Georgia are essential for Donald Trump. If either of
those two fall early, Kamala Harris is the next president
in that time zone. Because we don't expect Pennsylvania for
(14:34):
well after midnight or a couple of days. I would
say that'd be the two to keep your eye on, right,
unless you get a surprise in Virginia.
Speaker 3 (14:41):
You've got it exactly right, Michael. You could have a surprise,
but I don't think so. In Watching twenty twenty, as
soon as it became obvious that Stacy Abrams had conquered Georgia,
it was over for Joe Biden. The race was over.
It was over at ten o'clock at night. No one
had the courage to tell anybody that's what was going on.
But you know, in every decision room they said it's
(15:03):
over because the numbers aren't ever going to jive. So Okay.
If Donald Trump wins North Carolina, in Georgia, coming up
on the East Coast and Eastern time zone, the race
is on then staying in that time zone. If Donald
Trump wins Michigan, he's going to be president of the
United States. Welvenia will be off the map. They will
stop counting again tonight at midnight like they did, and
(15:25):
they'll stop counting tomorrow night at midnight like they did before,
and they'll let us know four or five days from now.
But if he wins Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia, then
all that's left for him to do is win Arizona,
where he's currently up four.
Speaker 1 (15:38):
I wouldn't disagree at all. I would I would say,
if he wins Michigan, I don't care how long it takes,
He's going to win Pennsylvania too. They tend to go together.
But he could win Wisconsin. Michigan or Wisconsin.
Speaker 3 (15:49):
You know, I've doubt I've come to believe that they
don't believe that anymore, because you see none of their
efforts in Wisconsin in the last seventy two hours. You
see all of it in Michigan and Pennsylvania. In North
and South care in North Carolina, Georgia, so I'm not
sure they have. I don't know. See, we don't have
any leaks on internal overnight polling from the campaigns this year,
which is unusual, So we don't know what they're thinking.
(16:09):
All we know is what the media is thinking, and
nobody trusts them anymore. So, but when you watch their actions,
it looks to me like they may have given up
on Wisconsin.
Speaker 1 (16:20):
I haven't given up on sleep because I'm going to
know pretty quick Georgia in North Carolina. If Trump carries
both the races on, then he's got to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania,
or Michigan. One of those, probably Michigan. Wisconsin only ones
you're going to know if if Wisconsin and Michigan go,
(16:42):
Kamala Harris.
Speaker 3 (16:43):
I think Kamala Harris is an next president.
Speaker 6 (16:47):
There.
Speaker 3 (16:48):
I'm Kinny Stevens and my morning show is your Morning
Show with Michael Dolgorno.
Speaker 1 (16:53):
And even before the votes are counted, there are three
days to watch, all of which could be flashpoints if
the presidential fight drag on. National correspondent Aron Rayal is
joining us to take a look at what's next after
election day. Aaron, good Morning, good morning.
Speaker 3 (17:06):
Yes, So there's three big days.
Speaker 8 (17:08):
We obviously have the infamous January sixth, that's when members
of the one hundred and nineteenth Congress, three days after
they were actually sworn in, they're going to count the
electoral college. So that's the big one. But there's two
days before it that really matter too, that is December
eleventh and December seventeenth. On December eleventh, this is the
new national deadline for all the governors. They have to
certify the results of the presidential election and then submit
(17:31):
their slate of electors.
Speaker 3 (17:32):
Obviously, lawsuits.
Speaker 8 (17:33):
By the way, law fair. I had not heard that
term before Megan Kelly said it on Bill Maher, and
now I can't stop hearing it. Is that like new
this year?
Speaker 3 (17:41):
Uh? Law fair?
Speaker 8 (17:42):
No, not at all, well, not new this year, but
I mean like everyone's using it like i've well, I know.
Speaker 1 (17:47):
I mean in your defense, I think an inside political
term that has now become a mainstream term.
Speaker 3 (17:53):
I would give you that.
Speaker 8 (17:54):
Okay, there we go, Well, lawfair likely on the horizon.
Speaker 1 (17:58):
Yeah, but no, but what you're bringing up is so
important because we talked about they're not stocks, they're derivatives.
What are they? The way they're getting around the gambling.
Speaker 8 (18:06):
Yes, the derivations, which are basically like an option or
a swap or any sort of like did you.
Speaker 1 (18:10):
Notice the fine print on that you are not paid
until after the votes are certified in Congress on January sixth,
meaning you know, just because I mean there's a lot
of people who probably bought a lot of those. I
don't gamble period, end of story. But well some would
say I do in the stock market with my four
(18:31):
win k. But that is something do not celebrate tonight.
If you bought your shares of Donald Trump, you don't
get paid until that date of January sixth and certification.
Speaker 8 (18:45):
Well, yeah, let's see how that goes. Because again after wait, wait,
so we should get to December seventeenth, which by the way,
is after the eleventh. This is like a big day too,
and they're expecting unrest, like this December seventeenth might be
the new January sixth in terms of electors asking the
ballot in state capitals, they will formally vote for the
president that day December seventeenth. Then we have an electoral college,
(19:07):
so like this is like actually the vote. In many
ways swing states, they are prepping for a disruption. They
think there could be unrest. This is going to be
an interesting one. And then of course the infamous January sixth.
So there's this new modernized Electoral count Act. It was
updated in twenty twenty two. Following twenty twenty. They want
to ward off another insurrection. So in this new modern
(19:28):
one you can still object. They're still possible, but they're
much harder, and the vice president is purely ornamental.
Speaker 3 (19:35):
They're only only to.
Speaker 8 (19:37):
Announce the results of the president as the president of
the Senate, nothing more.
Speaker 1 (19:42):
I would just add that, and I think the narrative
would like everybody to think instantly, this is of course
going to be trump Ism, that is going to be insurrecting.
I'll remind everybody, and this is not my words. Go
read their own confessed words and their manifesto. Time Magazine,
February fifteenth, t twenty twenty one. It was the Shadow
(20:02):
campaign's first goal to somehow hide Joe Biden a basement,
weaponized COVID, change election laws without going through state legislatures,
and steal the election. They come right out and say it,
and had they failed, their plan was an insurrection, and
the even brag about how they conditioned America through Antifa
(20:22):
and Black Lives Matter for that, trust me, Aaron, I
do think there could be unrest.
Speaker 3 (20:28):
What I don't think.
Speaker 1 (20:29):
I think America is blind if they think it's only
going to come from one side, so they better.
Speaker 8 (20:33):
Be prepared for both completely. Yeah, I think you're spot on.
Speaker 3 (20:37):
I mean that's my.
Speaker 1 (20:38):
Job aaring around here to be spot on. Had I
made a few spots on the carpet here too, I
can notice.
Speaker 8 (20:43):
All right, well, you know what, like listen January sixth.
I remember watching that and usually doing what we do,
we have an opinion on everything.
Speaker 3 (20:51):
I did not.
Speaker 8 (20:52):
I watched that mouth agate. I was like, whoa, this
is like frontier market, like the people scaling the boots
on the desk.
Speaker 3 (20:59):
I was just like, this is not good.
Speaker 4 (21:01):
This is not good.
Speaker 8 (21:02):
And I have nothing to say. You know, when you're
in like genuine shock and you're just like nope, got nothing.
That's how I felt, And it's not a good thing
to feel when you're when this is America, this is different,
this is a different place. We don't do that here,
and we did, and I think that it's very concerning.
We do not want to see that again.
Speaker 1 (21:20):
Well, by this time tomorrow eron, we may know who
the next president is and who we're guarding our treasures against.
Will know maybe who won. I think the only scenario
would be is if we have to wait on Pennsylvania.
There is a chance we may not know at this time.
But good reporting. We'll talk again tomorrow. Thanks for joining us.
All right, David, let's I want to cover several things. One,
(21:41):
let's do weather. First of all, the big unknown is
we've had record number of early voting. Does that translate
now to a record number election day voting? I don't
sense that coming, But if we want to take a
look at weather and how it could impact things. We
do have thunderstorms slated for the Midwest from Chicago down
(22:06):
to Houston. Most of those are after the poles close
or early evening at best. I know here in Nashville
we're expecting some thunderstorms, but they're not going to be
too long after the poles have closed. So some thunderstorms
in the Midwest. Nobody sees it as a big thing,
but they are expecting a blizzard in Montana or has
red has chimed in. He's in Montana multiple times a year.
(22:28):
That's called Tuesday in Montana. Blizzard conditions expected in the
western part of the state, and snow is expected in
parts of Idaho, Washington, and Oregon. I think the test
race is all but decided, and I don't think the
snow is going to impact that. Cool temperatures in Arizona,
Nevada for turnout in the sixties and seventies in Michigan,
(22:49):
Pennsylvania will all see normal temperatures as well, so whether
we'll not be a factor. House don't have a good
feeling about the House Senate. I have a very good feeling,
but remember we need we need about a plus three
for that to really be a Republican controlled Senate. Your
thoughts on that.
Speaker 3 (23:05):
Well, I think it's important to know how the Senate works.
Nobody does, Nobody talks about it. Nobody understands the culture rule,
nobody understands the filibuster, and nobody understands how it goes
back to a House rule in the nineteen hundreds, and
nobody understands the Club of one hundred. And they keep
it that way. They have six year terms and they
hide behind very expensive clothing.
Speaker 1 (23:24):
They're the ones that always stay till the tow tag.
Speaker 3 (23:26):
Yeah, of course, because this is the best job in America.
I mean, beats the Supreme Court by far Supreme Court.
You have to have to work, and you can have
people hide in plain sight, like Shared Brown in Ohio
for fifty years. He's been in politics for fifty years.
People still think he's thirty eight years old.
Speaker 1 (23:43):
He's been on the general These people are real servants,
aren't they.
Speaker 3 (23:46):
David, Yeah, Well, but the Marino race is a big deal.
If that flips, what that tells us shocking. You got
to remember, people say right now it's fifty one forty
nine with Democrats control. That's not true. We're being lied
to every single day because the Republicans don't have forty nine.
They have forty seven because they have two radical progressives
inside the Republican House that vote most of the time
(24:09):
over seventy percent seventy five percent with Joe Biden and
the radical Progressives, so they really don't have that number.
If they pick up three, then they've got enough of
a majority that they can cancel out those two inside
their own house and still maybe get a debate to
a close. But you have to remember, no vote comes
(24:30):
to any serious point of becoming law until you have
sixty votes in the Senate anyway, that Senate's going to
stay divided for a number of years ahead.
Speaker 1 (24:38):
That's why I've tried to brace people. And I could
be just as easily wrong as I am right. But
I have Donald Trump with three hundred and six or
three hundred and twelve, depending on how ne bat it
goes electoral votes, which is not a close race. It'll
be close getting to that very lopside of electoral college.
But a Donald Trump victory and a Democrat control of
the House and a newter Senate, I'm telling you, is chaos.
(25:01):
Nothing gets done, and a lot of real circus. You
want to talk law fair chaos. It will be on
the horizon. Eight states have ballot measures that would prohibit
non citizens voting for our listening audience. That would be
Wisconsin and Oklahoma through in Iowa, Idaho, and the Carolinas.
We also have ranked choice voting on the ballot in Alaska, Nevada, Oregon, Idaho, Colorado, Missouri,
(25:24):
and the District of Columbia. And I know how much
you understand and love ranked choice voting. By the way,
interesting in Alaska they're voting to repeal it. That's how
much they've seen.
Speaker 3 (25:33):
Now, thank God for Alaska. At this stage in the game,
I would like to have a complete seminar on the
radio when someone explains to me every single detail and
nuance of bitcoin. Then after we get rid of the
easy stuff, let's go to ranked choice voting. Because I
have studied it for forty years. It is the dumbest
thing I've ever seen.
Speaker 1 (25:53):
And the shallows sell is always the same. Right, we
can avoid runoffs?
Speaker 3 (26:00):
Yeah, well, just never know who's really going to be
in office. And this of course comes right out of
Eric holders camp, which is a part of the Soros
put us the team, and they're out there trying to
do it, and they're going to ballot this year in
Ohio right now, where they're trying to literally change everything
about redistricting. I mean, and if you study the proposal
Michael is on the ballot for the Constitution, it's fifteen
(26:22):
pages long. That's how complicated it is to give them
the jurymandering solution that they want, and they want it
all in the constitution.
Speaker 1 (26:30):
That's mats forty one. States will be deciding more than
one hundred and forty state wide ballot measures on this
election day. Ten states, including Arizona, Colorado, and Florida that
are swing states, or Florida is not really a swing state,
but have measures that would amend the constitution to establish
the right to abortion. Nebraska has two proposed constitutional amendments
on the ballot, one would protect abortion access while the
(26:53):
other would ban it. And every election since Roe v.
Wade fell, every pro abortion rights position has passed. This
has been a strategy. It happened early in Kentucky and Kansas.
It's been a strategy for the Democrats to use abortion.
In fact, I would be this blunt and say, basically,
this election is abortion versus the boogeyman, Donald Trump. How
(27:14):
well have they are scared women over abortion? Not factually,
but have effectively narrativized and scared women and scared America
on Donald Trump. Because they certainly haven't sold their track record,
the direction of the country or their candidate of all
of these ballot issues, from marijuana to abortion, abortion of
(27:34):
the key and especially in swing states, that's the really
unknown heading into today, That's the only unknown I have.
They could be a blind spot for Donald Trump, otherwise
I see him sweeping Yeah.
Speaker 3 (27:43):
And so far, when they've had abortion issues, they've had
them on ballot issues in off election years, and it
was sort of a single discussion in the reaction of Dobbs.
We don't know if a general election you'll see the
same results from.
Speaker 7 (27:56):
Phoenix to Tampa, with Nashville, Akron and you in between.
It's your Morning show with Michael del Churno.
Speaker 1 (28:05):
A lot of you are up early in about and
voting this morning. Let's go to first Arizona.
Speaker 4 (28:11):
I'm in Suffolk, Virginia. I've voted the same police bock
for the last ten years. Today the lineless to the
parking lot.
Speaker 3 (28:18):
Normally I walk right in, so I see voter turnout
as being being.
Speaker 1 (28:23):
Oh so listening to Arizona, but in Virginia, the not
so swing state any longer of Florida, we.
Speaker 9 (28:29):
Go, Hey, Michael, this is Vincedown and Stuart, Florida. Can't
tell you how much I've appreciated your coverage throughout this
entire presidential race and your perspective. It's given me hope
for the future of the Republic, and I pray that
God would keep and bless our Republic today. Have a
great day, everyone, go vote.
Speaker 1 (28:48):
Aimen and the tiny township of Dixville, Notch New Hampshire
continued its tradition of casting the first in person votes
on election day. They were cast at midnight and counted.
What'd you expect? Three to three?
Speaker 4 (29:01):
Tie.
Speaker 3 (29:01):
Roy O'Neil is joining us.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
How might the markets be affected by the election and
when we will know? We could see the first indicators
when the Fed meets to discuss interest rates, which are
so critical to other issues involved in the economy. Good morning, Rory,
what are you seeing?
Speaker 4 (29:17):
Yeah, good morning.
Speaker 10 (29:18):
You know, we have seen some volatility on the stock
markets these past few days. Friday was a nice, big upday,
Monday not so much so much. It's been a little
it's been a little queasy for the roller coaster ride there.
But a lot of people are now focused on this
two day FED meeting that starts tomorrow. They're expected now
to lower interest rates again, especially after that anemic jobs report.
(29:41):
But with the Boeing contract resolved and you know the hurricanes,
hopefully that situation improving. Hopefully the jobs picture turns around,
but we might get one more rate cut here before
the end of the year.
Speaker 1 (29:53):
Well, I know, with the This is not a criticism
directed towards you, or meet or media in general, but
there was a lot of that placed on Boeing, and
that was about forty thousand of them.
Speaker 3 (30:05):
I get that.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
And on the hurricane, what's interesting is not how the
media perceived it or the report perceived it, but how
the board perceives it. And I think we can expect
at least a quarter cut. The question is will they
see enough caution that they go as much as a half?
Speaker 10 (30:21):
I would think a quarter, right, Yeah, that seems to
be more in line with expectations because they now will
be probably in the mix of waiting to see what
happens with the presidential race. So I think they're going
to say, let's just do the quarter and then maybe
get a better idea as to you know.
Speaker 3 (30:36):
Maybe we'll know on Thursday when they vote. Who knows.
Speaker 1 (30:39):
But well, when Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton, there's no
question that was a huge bump. I mean, the market
responded very, very favorably. The market has grown so much
since then. How much do we really place on this
presidential election in terms of anticipation?
Speaker 3 (30:55):
Yeah, well, and how much of it is baked into
the cake? Right this time around? I lean in the cake,
you agreed?
Speaker 4 (31:01):
Yeah? Much like?
Speaker 10 (31:02):
Well, and look at what we're seeing with mortgage rates, right.
You know, when the Fed did start its rate cutting cycle,
we thought the mortgage rates would all come dropping down.
They have not, And again a lot of that was
because the theory is was already baked in.
Speaker 1 (31:17):
Roy, and you'll be back next hour. We're going to
talk a little bit about what the polls suggest and
knowing you know, issues that they had in twenty twenty
that they may not have in twenty twenty two. It
may not be a done deal that Pennsylvania is going
to take a day or two. I think it may
be after midnight and it may not even be relevant
by them. But we'll talk about this close race that
I kind of say it this way, a very close
(31:39):
race that will have a very not so close result.
And I actually take a different view. I think we
may know actually very very early the outcome of this election.
We'll talk about it next hour. Appreciate you, Rory. All right,
We're gonna continue with David's Natty as well, just after
the news. David, so many things to kick around heading
into this election date. Let's prioritize if we can. When
(32:01):
we come back, the keys for Kamala Harris. If you
see any the keys for Donald Trump at the end
of the day, for me, this is a struggle because
the only thing I think Kamala Harris has accomplished is
basically that she's not Donald Trump. So we basically have abortion,
which is a bit of a blind spot and a
(32:21):
few swing states versus the Boogeyman. And I don't think
the Boogeyman has sold and not with the wall of
Telsey Gabbard and Elon Musk and RFK Junior and Joe Rogan,
the Boogeyman just really hasn't sold very well. But let's
see if we can find a road for Kamala Harris
and what might have been the keys for her achieving that,
(32:44):
and then the road for Donald Trump, which to me
seems a little more glaring, and how he achieved it
when we come back on your Morning show, So stick
around for that.
Speaker 7 (32:51):
We're all in this together. This is Your Morning Show
with Michael Nhild Joe Now
Speaker 1 (33:00):
The di
Hi, It's Michael.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Your morning show airs live five to eight am Central,
six to nine Eastern and great cities like Memphis, Tennessee, Telsa, Oklahoma, Sacramento, California.
We'd love to be a part of your morning routine,
but we're happier here now.
Speaker 1 (00:13):
Enjoy the podcast one, two three, starting your morning off right,
A new way of talk, a new way of understanding.
Speaker 3 (00:23):
Because we're in this toget.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
This is your morning show with Michael o'deill Trump. Well,
everyone's been promising you a close election, and you got it.
The tiny township of Dicksville, Notch, New Hampshire has voted.
All six votes counted. Donald Trump three, Donald Harris three.
We're starting Tide. Podcast host Joe Rogan endorses President Trump.
Speaker 4 (00:46):
The House.
Speaker 1 (00:47):
It still appears to be a toss up, really difficult
to predict.
Speaker 4 (00:51):
Set.
Speaker 1 (00:51):
It looks good for the Republican's Abortion on ten state ballots,
marijuana on four this election cycle, and the boing strike
is over as America prepares to vote on this election day.
Welcome to Tuesday, November the fifth, twenty twenty four on
the Aarin streaming live on your iHeartRadio app. This is
your morning show. Jeffrey's got the controls. I'm Michael, and
we can't have your morning show without your voice. Take
(01:13):
me to the sports book on this early election day.
Speaker 3 (01:16):
I want to know the odds from Big John.
Speaker 5 (01:19):
So here's my final betting lines for Trump to win
this whole thing we got Pennsylvania. Trump is minus one twenty,
she's plus one eighteen.
Speaker 4 (01:29):
Those are close odds.
Speaker 5 (01:31):
Overall, Trump minus one point thirty nine, she's plus one
point fifty two.
Speaker 4 (01:36):
I'm taking those odds. Let's book it. Let's go.
Speaker 1 (01:41):
While we're on the mafia theme, can you get me
Jimmy Suits in Harvard Yard? Jimmy Suits.
Speaker 5 (01:47):
Well, morning, Mikey, it's Jimmy Suits.
Speaker 3 (01:50):
From Harvid Yard.
Speaker 5 (01:51):
I got a question for you.
Speaker 6 (01:53):
So if I think once before you mentioned that it
was only gonna be a one party in this decade,
do you think that means the Democrats are going to
be wrong?
Speaker 1 (02:06):
Let's trump Jimmy Sewetz, thanks for checking. You know, it's interesting.
I think this election will play a key role.
Speaker 4 (02:14):
You know.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
It's kind of like when we're trying to figure out
why things are changing so much. Some of its technology
and then you know, and then some of it is
more than that. It's similar to that. I think this
election plays a role in that for the Republicans, the
challenge is going to be post Trump. That seems easier
to navigate for me, especially if Trump goes on to
(02:34):
win and then hands off to Vance, and then Vance
chooses either Telsea Gabbard or you know, probably Marco Ruby
or somebody like that, they set themselves up well for
eight to sixteen years. I could say the reverse of
that is, I don't think John Podesta wants Kamala Harris
to win, because then he's stuck with her and having
to defend an administration into a next failed four years.
(02:56):
What he really wants is control of the House, and
then he wants to come back and win an open election,
and he wants to do it. I'm guessing with Wes
Moore or Shapiro from Pennsylvania or both combined. So they
lose this election. I guarantee you the far far because
there is no center anymore for the Democrat Party, but
the far far left, the anti American, pro terrorist far left,
(03:20):
is going to take this whole debacle and turn it
against them and try to take over the party. And
if that's the case, I think they lose their party
by the end of the decade, or could potentially have
that threatened. All right, let's keep eyeing the ball for today.
David Sinati is our senior contributor and joining us CEO
of the American Policy round Table. Dave, we've been kicking
around a question for an hour that's had us all
(03:41):
fascinated on end off the year. It's been a crazy year.
What has happened that you expected? And what is something
that's happened that you never saw coming?
Speaker 3 (03:51):
Oh boy, I did hear you ask Daron that question.
I should have thought, well, it's coming to me next thing.
I should have had my minding gear.
Speaker 1 (03:59):
Well, it was early in seeing nineteen sixty eight, so
I feared the assassinations, and they happened. I knew like
LBJ Biden was going I didn't think it would be Kamala.
I thought it would be Gavin Newsome most likely. I
thought RFK was going to have a huge influence. I
didn't expect it to not be as a third party,
but rather with Tulca Gabbard and Elon Musk and now
(04:21):
late Megan Kelly and Tucker Carlson. I mean, think about
that the two biggest anchors at Fox aren't on Fox.
They're influencing this election from outside of Fox. I mean,
it's some crazy stuff going on. Some that you saw,
some that you didn't.
Speaker 3 (04:32):
Well. I think the thing that is perhaps most disappointing
to me, and I think, you know, you don't want
to look for stuff that's bad news. So I wasn't
looking for it. I would maybe wishing and hoping it
wasn't going to be as bad, But coming out of
twenty two and twenty three, I had hoped that perhaps
there was some chance left that the media in America
would come to its census, and just the op basically
(04:54):
completely drove off the cliff. I'll give you one example
that people aren't going to hear much about. We're covering
it this week on the Public Square. Watching the reaction
to the Dobbs decision in regards to abortion was shocking
to us because we realized, after fifty years, people didn't
know the facts about abortion in America. They didn't know it's
still talking about still. They had plenty of rhetoric, they
(05:16):
had plenty of emotion, but they didn't know what was
actually happening. So we published a book took a year
and did a research project and published a forty page
booklet that are strictly facts, all coming from either pro
abortion sites and sources, or the US government or state
and local government. So there's no pro life data in
(05:36):
the document. It's just the simple, basic, industrial, hardcore facts
about abortion. Do you know that the alphabet Google YouTube
machine banned that book from being advertised on their network.
We pushed a major ad buy in. The ad was
rejected twice. This is a thirty second ad. We changed
(05:57):
it to get their approval. It didn't say vote for anybody,
it didn't say vote for any ballot issue. It's just
simply offered the book. Offered the book before you vote,
get more facts. Here's the book. They banned the buy,
they took the buy. Michael, here's a trick. They accepted
the buy, and then what they did was they never
ran the ad. They never ran the ad.
Speaker 1 (06:22):
That sounds like something for legal. We knew the journalism
was dead. We've been talking about that for years, the
death of journalism. I think the notion of they don't
realize they're dead, and the voters too.
Speaker 3 (06:35):
I think that's what I mean.
Speaker 1 (06:36):
Twenty twenty four is gonna be known as the early
vote election, there's no question about it. It might be
known as the podcast election, where mainstream media simply didn't
realize it was dead and had no influence, and listeners
and viewers had moved on to social media and podcasting.
The Republicans embraced early voting. This time, they embraced and
competed with mail in voting. They diminished that advantage for
(06:59):
the Democrat. Then they embraced the move didn't really care
about debates, didn't really care about interviews. They were on
with Joe Rogan, they were on with Megan Kelly, they
were on with Tucker Carlson. They knew where the people
were at. I think these are all things that are
going to come out. And then I will look at
(07:19):
you and I will say, now do they realize they're dead?
We're seeing signs they know they're dead. I mean we
saw that with the Washington Post.
Speaker 3 (07:25):
Right dead is it's kind of like that Princess Brian
dead or most just mostly dead. They're dead because what
they've done is they've turned to Soros then of the
billionaire foundations to build them out.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
They associated a big pharma because if you take away
big Farmer's ads they have nothing. Political ads, they have nothing.
Speaker 3 (07:43):
But particularly in regards to where the intellectual capital comes from,
when you look at the publications, and then you look
particularly at the network of the Associated Press, which is
so responsible for what is covered across so many websites
and newspapers in the country. They are taking now their
funding from left wing found and saying that, of course
they have no control over the content. The foundations don't.
(08:04):
We're still independent. But take that's how they're getting paid,
that's how they're surviving. So who pays you is the
person you please? And no one is observing this, No
one is talking about what this depth, the depth of
this corruption is so profound. So I mean, I just
think that people didn't know that they could get any worse,
but they did. That's my point.
Speaker 1 (08:25):
Yeah, and you know, you know something hasn't come up.
And this is going to sound really irresponsible to say.
As I'm on it, I predicted that not only would
one of the two parties or both be extinct by
the end of the decade, but the talk radio might
not be here by the end of the decade. Keep
in mind, not only has everything moved on from television
(08:46):
to social media and podcasting. We wonder not many people
talking about the influence of talk radio, though I believe
it still exists. Kamala Harris, she's really only accomplished in
my mind, and I think I'm being as objective as
I can be. The only thing that she has really
successfully accomplished in this campaign, albeit a short field, is
that she's not Donald Trump. Beyond that, there have been
(09:09):
no victories, so it's still abortion versus the Boogeyman, and
I don't think that's enough to win.
Speaker 4 (09:14):
Well.
Speaker 3 (09:14):
I don't know could be, but I don't think it is.
I wish I could come up with some brilliant I'd
look again, looking as best we can and pulling numbers
and details and data. I would like to think that
it won't be enough, But I sincerely don't.
Speaker 1 (09:28):
Know how they pull off twenty hiding Biden. They couldn't
hide Kamala Harris, how they pull off twenty well with
mail in voting this time, there's no big mail in
voting advantage, there's no early voting advantage. I think the
not going on Joe Rogan is going to be a
big mistake. I think Israel proves to be a big
problem from beginning to end for them. I think the
(09:51):
Elon Musk X factor I wouldn't even know how much
weight to give that. I think Elon Musk plus Telsea
Gabbard plus RFK Junior plus Joe Rogan is an insurmountable
number for them.
Speaker 3 (10:09):
Well, I think all of this, if it sticks around,
it bodes very well for the future of whatever the
Resistance Party is going to be. To sorrows and the
progressive Left, because seeing Megan Kelly, Joe Rogan, and Elon
Musk come to their senses, so to speak, in a
bit of a change of mind in regards to where
they want to go with their vote is wonderful. And
(10:31):
if it moves forward in the future, then it gives
a great opportunity for the alternative to the progressive left.
The problem is Donald Trump is Trump that can cut.
Did they get there soon enough? Did he become two
point zero soon enough? Did he get it over the
finish line soon enough? Or are people exhausted with him?
We don't know the answer.
Speaker 1 (10:52):
Well, there's one other blind spot, and that is I
just said it in passing moments ago. Ten states with
a abortion ballaty issues and an electric that does not
understalking about that till this morning, exactly for with marijuana
in Florida where they were making the big play was
marijuana an abortion together, which I thought would have been powerful.
It's not going to be enough to flip Florida, but
it could be a blind spot today on election day,
(11:16):
would turnout? Turnout is usually fueled by enthusiasm. No one
sees the enthusiasm necessarily, we haven't seen it in the
early voting. We haven't seen it in the mail in voting.
We only know by party. But presuming that the party
is voting for the party's candidate, that enthusiasm doesn't seem
to be there. And then the big biggest question mark
of the day is has it been a zero sum game?
(11:37):
I mean, we had a lot of early voting. Does
that mean we're going to have historic election day voting
today to go along with it, or a low turnout today?
In a low turnout would be the demise of Kamala Harris.
Speaker 3 (11:48):
Well, I think that's the important point that you're bringing up,
is what really here's a question nobody's asking, nobody's framing.
Will there be fewer people vote this time than voted
in twenty twenty.
Speaker 1 (12:00):
The other thing that nobody's ever brought up is registrations.
There's just not the advantage. I mean, you know, we
talked about how the Republicans engaged in mail in voting,
engaged in early voting, competed in that they've done the
same with voter regis. There's not a big voter registration
gap this time either in favor of the Democrats, which
I find is very interesting. Looking at the Electoral College map,
all right, how to view tonight's election results by time zone?
(12:23):
I see three big hurdles that will tell you how
things are going. Let me tell you something. If I
see either North Carolina or Georgia fall in the first
two hours, Kamala Harris is the next president of the
United States. Will tell you how to watch this by
time zone. When your Morning show continues with David Zanati.
Speaker 7 (12:38):
Next, this is your Morning Show with Michael Del Trono.
Speaker 2 (12:52):
Ahi, It's Michael. Your Morning show could be heard live
weekday mornings five to eight am, six to nine am
Eastern in great cities like Tampa, f Youngstown, Ohio, and
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. We'd love to join you on the drive.
It work live, but We're glad you're here now, enjoyed
the podcast.
Speaker 1 (13:08):
Let me ask you the question, what's the one thing
you saw coming or in this crazy year, the one
thing you never if you had to pick one thing
I never saw coming. And then while you're on the line,
tell us who you think's going to win, and don't
forget to mention your name and where you're from. Here's
a stat that'll throw you, know, show you that it's
all about you know much to do about nothing, David.
(13:28):
If we go back to July twenty what was the debate?
Was it July twentieth? The present knows June right, I'd
have to go back and look, but yeah, it was.
It was the end of June somewhere in there. But anyway,
on July twenty ninth, when Joe Biden was still in
the race, the race was tied Trump forty seven point
(13:50):
three to Biden forty seven point three. Now the debate
would happen and it would fall off three four points
and then they would mug them through them out of
the race and replace him with Kamala. And here we
come in today with the final NBC poll showing it's
tied forty nine to forty nine with only two percent
undecided heading into election days. So for all this drama,
(14:11):
they're no better off for Kamala Harris than they were
really with Joe Biden prior to the debate. Much to
do about nothing? All right, let's talk about watching. We've
done quite a few elections together. For me, North Carolina
and Georgia are essential for Donald Trump. If either of
those two fall early, Kamala Harris is the next president
in that time zone. Because we don't expect Pennsylvania for
(14:34):
well after midnight or a couple of days. I would
say that'd be the two to keep your eye on, right,
unless you get a surprise in Virginia.
Speaker 3 (14:41):
You've got it exactly right, Michael. You could have a surprise,
but I don't think so. In Watching twenty twenty, as
soon as it became obvious that Stacy Abrams had conquered Georgia,
it was over for Joe Biden. The race was over.
It was over at ten o'clock at night. No one
had the courage to tell anybody that's what was going on.
But you know, in every decision room they said it's
(15:03):
over because the numbers aren't ever going to jive. So Okay.
If Donald Trump wins North Carolina, in Georgia, coming up
on the East Coast and Eastern time zone, the race
is on then staying in that time zone. If Donald
Trump wins Michigan, he's going to be president of the
United States. Welvenia will be off the map. They will
stop counting again tonight at midnight like they did, and
(15:25):
they'll stop counting tomorrow night at midnight like they did before,
and they'll let us know four or five days from now.
But if he wins Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia, then
all that's left for him to do is win Arizona,
where he's currently up four.
Speaker 1 (15:38):
I wouldn't disagree at all. I would I would say,
if he wins Michigan, I don't care how long it takes,
He's going to win Pennsylvania too. They tend to go together.
But he could win Wisconsin. Michigan or Wisconsin.
Speaker 3 (15:49):
You know, I've doubt I've come to believe that they
don't believe that anymore, because you see none of their
efforts in Wisconsin in the last seventy two hours. You
see all of it in Michigan and Pennsylvania. In North
and South care in North Carolina, Georgia, so I'm not
sure they have. I don't know. See, we don't have
any leaks on internal overnight polling from the campaigns this year,
which is unusual, So we don't know what they're thinking.
(16:09):
All we know is what the media is thinking, and
nobody trusts them anymore. So, but when you watch their actions,
it looks to me like they may have given up
on Wisconsin.
Speaker 1 (16:20):
I haven't given up on sleep because I'm going to
know pretty quick Georgia in North Carolina. If Trump carries
both the races on, then he's got to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania,
or Michigan. One of those, probably Michigan. Wisconsin only ones
you're going to know if if Wisconsin and Michigan go,
(16:42):
Kamala Harris.
Speaker 3 (16:43):
I think Kamala Harris is an next president.
Speaker 6 (16:47):
There.
Speaker 3 (16:48):
I'm Kinny Stevens and my morning show is your Morning
Show with Michael Dolgorno.
Speaker 1 (16:53):
And even before the votes are counted, there are three
days to watch, all of which could be flashpoints if
the presidential fight drag on. National correspondent Aron Rayal is
joining us to take a look at what's next after
election day. Aaron, good Morning, good morning.
Speaker 3 (17:06):
Yes, So there's three big days.
Speaker 8 (17:08):
We obviously have the infamous January sixth, that's when members
of the one hundred and nineteenth Congress, three days after
they were actually sworn in, they're going to count the
electoral college. So that's the big one. But there's two
days before it that really matter too, that is December
eleventh and December seventeenth. On December eleventh, this is the
new national deadline for all the governors. They have to
certify the results of the presidential election and then submit
(17:31):
their slate of electors.
Speaker 3 (17:32):
Obviously, lawsuits.
Speaker 8 (17:33):
By the way, law fair. I had not heard that
term before Megan Kelly said it on Bill Maher, and
now I can't stop hearing it. Is that like new
this year?
Speaker 3 (17:41):
Uh? Law fair?
Speaker 8 (17:42):
No, not at all, well, not new this year, but
I mean like everyone's using it like i've well, I know.
Speaker 1 (17:47):
I mean in your defense, I think an inside political
term that has now become a mainstream term.
Speaker 3 (17:53):
I would give you that.
Speaker 8 (17:54):
Okay, there we go, Well, lawfair likely on the horizon.
Speaker 1 (17:58):
Yeah, but no, but what you're bringing up is so
important because we talked about they're not stocks, they're derivatives.
What are they? The way they're getting around the gambling.
Speaker 8 (18:06):
Yes, the derivations, which are basically like an option or
a swap or any sort of like did you.
Speaker 1 (18:10):
Notice the fine print on that you are not paid
until after the votes are certified in Congress on January sixth,
meaning you know, just because I mean there's a lot
of people who probably bought a lot of those. I
don't gamble period, end of story. But well some would
say I do in the stock market with my four
(18:31):
win k. But that is something do not celebrate tonight.
If you bought your shares of Donald Trump, you don't
get paid until that date of January sixth and certification.
Speaker 8 (18:45):
Well, yeah, let's see how that goes. Because again after wait, wait,
so we should get to December seventeenth, which by the way,
is after the eleventh. This is like a big day too,
and they're expecting unrest, like this December seventeenth might be
the new January sixth in terms of electors asking the
ballot in state capitals, they will formally vote for the
president that day December seventeenth. Then we have an electoral college,
(19:07):
so like this is like actually the vote. In many
ways swing states, they are prepping for a disruption. They
think there could be unrest. This is going to be
an interesting one. And then of course the infamous January sixth.
So there's this new modernized Electoral count Act. It was
updated in twenty twenty two. Following twenty twenty. They want
to ward off another insurrection. So in this new modern
(19:28):
one you can still object. They're still possible, but they're
much harder, and the vice president is purely ornamental.
Speaker 3 (19:35):
They're only only to.
Speaker 8 (19:37):
Announce the results of the president as the president of
the Senate, nothing more.
Speaker 1 (19:42):
I would just add that, and I think the narrative
would like everybody to think instantly, this is of course
going to be trump Ism, that is going to be insurrecting.
I'll remind everybody, and this is not my words. Go
read their own confessed words and their manifesto. Time Magazine,
February fifteenth, t twenty twenty one. It was the Shadow
(20:02):
campaign's first goal to somehow hide Joe Biden a basement,
weaponized COVID, change election laws without going through state legislatures,
and steal the election. They come right out and say it,
and had they failed, their plan was an insurrection, and
the even brag about how they conditioned America through Antifa
(20:22):
and Black Lives Matter for that, trust me, Aaron, I
do think there could be unrest.
Speaker 3 (20:28):
What I don't think.
Speaker 1 (20:29):
I think America is blind if they think it's only
going to come from one side, so they better.
Speaker 8 (20:33):
Be prepared for both completely. Yeah, I think you're spot on.
Speaker 3 (20:37):
I mean that's my.
Speaker 1 (20:38):
Job aaring around here to be spot on. Had I
made a few spots on the carpet here too, I
can notice.
Speaker 8 (20:43):
All right, well, you know what, like listen January sixth.
I remember watching that and usually doing what we do,
we have an opinion on everything.
Speaker 3 (20:51):
I did not.
Speaker 8 (20:52):
I watched that mouth agate. I was like, whoa, this
is like frontier market, like the people scaling the boots
on the desk.
Speaker 3 (20:59):
I was just like, this is not good.
Speaker 4 (21:01):
This is not good.
Speaker 8 (21:02):
And I have nothing to say. You know, when you're
in like genuine shock and you're just like nope, got nothing.
That's how I felt, And it's not a good thing
to feel when you're when this is America, this is different,
this is a different place. We don't do that here,
and we did, and I think that it's very concerning.
We do not want to see that again.
Speaker 1 (21:20):
Well, by this time tomorrow eron, we may know who
the next president is and who we're guarding our treasures against.
Will know maybe who won. I think the only scenario
would be is if we have to wait on Pennsylvania.
There is a chance we may not know at this time.
But good reporting. We'll talk again tomorrow. Thanks for joining us.
All right, David, let's I want to cover several things. One,
(21:41):
let's do weather. First of all, the big unknown is
we've had record number of early voting. Does that translate
now to a record number election day voting? I don't
sense that coming, But if we want to take a
look at weather and how it could impact things. We
do have thunderstorms slated for the Midwest from Chicago down
(22:06):
to Houston. Most of those are after the poles close
or early evening at best. I know here in Nashville
we're expecting some thunderstorms, but they're not going to be
too long after the poles have closed. So some thunderstorms
in the Midwest. Nobody sees it as a big thing,
but they are expecting a blizzard in Montana or has
red has chimed in. He's in Montana multiple times a year.
(22:28):
That's called Tuesday in Montana. Blizzard conditions expected in the
western part of the state, and snow is expected in
parts of Idaho, Washington, and Oregon. I think the test
race is all but decided, and I don't think the
snow is going to impact that. Cool temperatures in Arizona,
Nevada for turnout in the sixties and seventies in Michigan,
(22:49):
Pennsylvania will all see normal temperatures as well, so whether
we'll not be a factor. House don't have a good
feeling about the House Senate. I have a very good feeling,
but remember we need we need about a plus three
for that to really be a Republican controlled Senate. Your
thoughts on that.
Speaker 3 (23:05):
Well, I think it's important to know how the Senate works.
Nobody does, Nobody talks about it. Nobody understands the culture rule,
nobody understands the filibuster, and nobody understands how it goes
back to a House rule in the nineteen hundreds, and
nobody understands the Club of one hundred. And they keep
it that way. They have six year terms and they
hide behind very expensive clothing.
Speaker 1 (23:24):
They're the ones that always stay till the tow tag.
Speaker 3 (23:26):
Yeah, of course, because this is the best job in America.
I mean, beats the Supreme Court by far Supreme Court.
You have to have to work, and you can have
people hide in plain sight, like Shared Brown in Ohio
for fifty years. He's been in politics for fifty years.
People still think he's thirty eight years old.
Speaker 1 (23:43):
He's been on the general These people are real servants,
aren't they.
Speaker 3 (23:46):
David, Yeah, Well, but the Marino race is a big deal.
If that flips, what that tells us shocking. You got
to remember, people say right now it's fifty one forty
nine with Democrats control. That's not true. We're being lied
to every single day because the Republicans don't have forty nine.
They have forty seven because they have two radical progressives
inside the Republican House that vote most of the time
(24:09):
over seventy percent seventy five percent with Joe Biden and
the radical Progressives, so they really don't have that number.
If they pick up three, then they've got enough of
a majority that they can cancel out those two inside
their own house and still maybe get a debate to
a close. But you have to remember, no vote comes
(24:30):
to any serious point of becoming law until you have
sixty votes in the Senate anyway, that Senate's going to
stay divided for a number of years ahead.
Speaker 1 (24:38):
That's why I've tried to brace people. And I could
be just as easily wrong as I am right. But
I have Donald Trump with three hundred and six or
three hundred and twelve, depending on how ne bat it
goes electoral votes, which is not a close race. It'll
be close getting to that very lopside of electoral college.
But a Donald Trump victory and a Democrat control of
the House and a newter Senate, I'm telling you, is chaos.
(25:01):
Nothing gets done, and a lot of real circus. You
want to talk law fair chaos. It will be on
the horizon. Eight states have ballot measures that would prohibit
non citizens voting for our listening audience. That would be
Wisconsin and Oklahoma through in Iowa, Idaho, and the Carolinas.
We also have ranked choice voting on the ballot in Alaska, Nevada, Oregon, Idaho, Colorado, Missouri,
(25:24):
and the District of Columbia. And I know how much
you understand and love ranked choice voting. By the way,
interesting in Alaska they're voting to repeal it. That's how
much they've seen.
Speaker 3 (25:33):
Now, thank God for Alaska. At this stage in the game,
I would like to have a complete seminar on the
radio when someone explains to me every single detail and
nuance of bitcoin. Then after we get rid of the
easy stuff, let's go to ranked choice voting. Because I
have studied it for forty years. It is the dumbest
thing I've ever seen.
Speaker 1 (25:53):
And the shallows sell is always the same. Right, we
can avoid runoffs?
Speaker 3 (26:00):
Yeah, well, just never know who's really going to be
in office. And this of course comes right out of
Eric holders camp, which is a part of the Soros
put us the team, and they're out there trying to
do it, and they're going to ballot this year in
Ohio right now, where they're trying to literally change everything
about redistricting. I mean, and if you study the proposal
Michael is on the ballot for the Constitution, it's fifteen
(26:22):
pages long. That's how complicated it is to give them
the jurymandering solution that they want, and they want it
all in the constitution.
Speaker 1 (26:30):
That's mats forty one. States will be deciding more than
one hundred and forty state wide ballot measures on this
election day. Ten states, including Arizona, Colorado, and Florida that
are swing states, or Florida is not really a swing state,
but have measures that would amend the constitution to establish
the right to abortion. Nebraska has two proposed constitutional amendments
on the ballot, one would protect abortion access while the
(26:53):
other would ban it. And every election since Roe v.
Wade fell, every pro abortion rights position has passed. This
has been a strategy. It happened early in Kentucky and Kansas.
It's been a strategy for the Democrats to use abortion.
In fact, I would be this blunt and say, basically,
this election is abortion versus the boogeyman, Donald Trump. How
(27:14):
well have they are scared women over abortion? Not factually,
but have effectively narrativized and scared women and scared America
on Donald Trump. Because they certainly haven't sold their track record,
the direction of the country or their candidate of all
of these ballot issues, from marijuana to abortion, abortion of
(27:34):
the key and especially in swing states, that's the really
unknown heading into today, That's the only unknown I have.
They could be a blind spot for Donald Trump, otherwise
I see him sweeping Yeah.
Speaker 3 (27:43):
And so far, when they've had abortion issues, they've had
them on ballot issues in off election years, and it
was sort of a single discussion in the reaction of Dobbs.
We don't know if a general election you'll see the
same results from.
Speaker 7 (27:56):
Phoenix to Tampa, with Nashville, Akron and you in between.
It's your Morning show with Michael del Churno.
Speaker 1 (28:05):
A lot of you are up early in about and
voting this morning. Let's go to first Arizona.
Speaker 4 (28:11):
I'm in Suffolk, Virginia. I've voted the same police bock
for the last ten years. Today the lineless to the
parking lot.
Speaker 3 (28:18):
Normally I walk right in, so I see voter turnout
as being being.
Speaker 1 (28:23):
Oh so listening to Arizona, but in Virginia, the not
so swing state any longer of Florida, we.
Speaker 9 (28:29):
Go, Hey, Michael, this is Vincedown and Stuart, Florida. Can't
tell you how much I've appreciated your coverage throughout this
entire presidential race and your perspective. It's given me hope
for the future of the Republic, and I pray that
God would keep and bless our Republic today. Have a
great day, everyone, go vote.
Speaker 1 (28:48):
Aimen and the tiny township of Dixville, Notch New Hampshire
continued its tradition of casting the first in person votes
on election day. They were cast at midnight and counted.
What'd you expect? Three to three?
Speaker 4 (29:01):
Tie.
Speaker 3 (29:01):
Roy O'Neil is joining us.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
How might the markets be affected by the election and
when we will know? We could see the first indicators
when the Fed meets to discuss interest rates, which are
so critical to other issues involved in the economy. Good morning, Rory,
what are you seeing?
Speaker 4 (29:17):
Yeah, good morning.
Speaker 10 (29:18):
You know, we have seen some volatility on the stock
markets these past few days. Friday was a nice, big upday,
Monday not so much so much. It's been a little
it's been a little queasy for the roller coaster ride there.
But a lot of people are now focused on this
two day FED meeting that starts tomorrow. They're expected now
to lower interest rates again, especially after that anemic jobs report.
(29:41):
But with the Boeing contract resolved and you know the hurricanes,
hopefully that situation improving. Hopefully the jobs picture turns around,
but we might get one more rate cut here before
the end of the year.
Speaker 1 (29:53):
Well, I know, with the This is not a criticism
directed towards you, or meet or media in general, but
there was a lot of that placed on Boeing, and
that was about forty thousand of them.
Speaker 3 (30:05):
I get that.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
And on the hurricane, what's interesting is not how the
media perceived it or the report perceived it, but how
the board perceives it. And I think we can expect
at least a quarter cut. The question is will they
see enough caution that they go as much as a half?
Speaker 10 (30:21):
I would think a quarter, right, Yeah, that seems to
be more in line with expectations because they now will
be probably in the mix of waiting to see what
happens with the presidential race. So I think they're going
to say, let's just do the quarter and then maybe
get a better idea as to you know.
Speaker 3 (30:36):
Maybe we'll know on Thursday when they vote. Who knows.
Speaker 1 (30:39):
But well, when Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton, there's no
question that was a huge bump. I mean, the market
responded very, very favorably. The market has grown so much
since then. How much do we really place on this
presidential election in terms of anticipation?
Speaker 3 (30:55):
Yeah, well, and how much of it is baked into
the cake? Right this time around? I lean in the cake,
you agreed?
Speaker 4 (31:01):
Yeah? Much like?
Speaker 10 (31:02):
Well, and look at what we're seeing with mortgage rates, right.
You know, when the Fed did start its rate cutting cycle,
we thought the mortgage rates would all come dropping down.
They have not, And again a lot of that was
because the theory is was already baked in.
Speaker 1 (31:17):
Roy, and you'll be back next hour. We're going to
talk a little bit about what the polls suggest and
knowing you know, issues that they had in twenty twenty
that they may not have in twenty twenty two. It
may not be a done deal that Pennsylvania is going
to take a day or two. I think it may
be after midnight and it may not even be relevant
by them. But we'll talk about this close race that
I kind of say it this way, a very close
(31:39):
race that will have a very not so close result.
And I actually take a different view. I think we
may know actually very very early the outcome of this election.
We'll talk about it next hour. Appreciate you, Rory. All right,
We're gonna continue with David's Natty as well, just after
the news. David, so many things to kick around heading
into this election date. Let's prioritize if we can. When
(32:01):
we come back, the keys for Kamala Harris. If you
see any the keys for Donald Trump at the end
of the day, for me, this is a struggle because
the only thing I think Kamala Harris has accomplished is
basically that she's not Donald Trump. So we basically have abortion,
which is a bit of a blind spot and a
(32:21):
few swing states versus the Boogeyman. And I don't think
the Boogeyman has sold and not with the wall of
Telsey Gabbard and Elon Musk and RFK Junior and Joe Rogan,
the Boogeyman just really hasn't sold very well. But let's
see if we can find a road for Kamala Harris
and what might have been the keys for her achieving that,
(32:44):
and then the road for Donald Trump, which to me
seems a little more glaring, and how he achieved it
when we come back on your Morning show, So stick
around for that.
Speaker 7 (32:51):
We're all in this together. This is Your Morning Show
with Michael Nhild Joe Now
Speaker 1 (33:00):
The di
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