11-05-24 YMS HR1

Election Day is here.  How we got here, what we saw coming and didn’t see coming.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hi, it's Michael. Your morning show can be heard on
great radio stations across the country, like News Talk ninety
two point one and six hundred WREC in Memphis, Tennessee,
or thirteen hundred The Patriot in Tulsa, our Talk six
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listen live while you're getting ready in the morning, and
to take us along for the drive to work. But
as we always say, better late than never. Thanks for

(00:21):
joining us for the podcast. Well two three, starting the
morning off right, A new way of talk, a new
way of understanding, because we're in this together. This is
your morning show with Michael gill Jordan. Votes have been
cast and counted, and we start in a tie. The

(00:43):
tiny township of Dicksville Notch, New Hampshire, continuing its tradition
of casting the first votes in the presidential election, have
voted at midnight. They've been counted. Trump got three, Harris
got three. You were off to a tie. Oh, you
know it's going to be closed. Podcaster Ohrogan has endorsed
Donald Trump. Marijuana's on the ballot in four states this

(01:04):
election day, and the strike for Boeing is over. We
only have one undefeated team. You know, this kind of
reminds me of the Patriots, and we got sick of them,
and boy did we get sick of them. Oh, boy
did we get sick of them. And that it doesn't matter.
You know, who the new receivers are, doesn't matter who
got her next man up kind of thing, and they
just keep one. The only remaining undefeated team in football

(01:25):
is the Kansas City Chiefs. But Tampa, you put on
a good fight last night, thirty twenty six, Bucks Paul
on Monday Night football. Hey, welcome to election Day. It
is Tuesday, November, the fifth year of our Lord, twenty
twenty four. Never wanted to make anything about me, but
I would say that yesterday was kind of interesting. It
was our one year anniversary. Now I just got through
counting seventeen of them somewhere else, So the thought of

(01:48):
starting over isn't very exciting for me. Anyway. I love
my job, I love my company, I love my audience,
I love our cities. You know, we're just happy to
be here. But I will tell you, as Fate would
have it, sitting out and non compete. I mean, there
were a lot of factors we started this show exactly
one year before election day. I don't think that was

(02:09):
a coincidence. And here we are a year later, and
I thought one of the more interesting things from that
perspective would be kind of a a how did we
get here, which more specifically really is think about the
last year, all the things that happened. What did we

(02:30):
expect that happened? I remember early on I couldn't help
but notice the nineteen sixty eight comparisons, not just because
the Democrat Convention was going to be in Chicago, but
because of the Israel problem. A lot of problems, and boy,
the assassination attempts came, the switching and the dropping out

(02:51):
of the race came. A lot of nineteen sixty eight happened,
but not completely, and praise God, especially the assassination attempts
both failed. I did not expect. I remember it was
early on and I didn't know any of these players yet.
And you know, John Decker thought I was crazy. I said,

(03:11):
by the Biden is going to run. This is going
to be the race. It's the race. No one wants
Trump versus the Biden is not going to be in
this race. Well, but now in full disclosure, I never
saw Kamala coming because A I knew her for the
bad candidate she was from twenty twenty. There's really only
two Kamalas did see and giggly and nasty and I

(03:35):
mean nasty, and both do not appeal to voters. I mean,
she was the first one out in twenty twenty, and
as polling went, she was anything worse than Joe Biden. Well,
they did orchestrate the exit of Joe Biden. I thought
it would be Gavin Newsom. Hands down, I thought it
would be Gavin Newsom. I thought it was being orchestrated
to be Gavin Newsom. But I always had this one
little hashtag. He doesn't really connect with anybody. I mean,

(04:00):
he is just not in this Podesta Obama Soros apparatus.
He's always a lone wolf. He's always rogue. And I thought,
you know, Google how many times you've ever seen a
story about Gavin Newsom and John Podesta. Google if you
think they've ever been in the same room together. I

(04:23):
should have known that wasn't gonna pan out. But you know,
I'll tell you one thing. I saw the the X factor,
I saw the I factor. I kind of saw the
pe coming, although I thought everybody would participate. So what
am I talking about? Well, I was the Israel problem

(04:46):
that was from the very beginning, and a Democrat party
at war with itself far left versus not so far left.
I can't even call it establishment or center anymore. Many
within the party that is pro Palestine, pro Hamas, pro Hesba,
lah anti American. All right, so what are you gonna do?

(05:08):
You it off the fence if there's a war with Israel. Now,
they tried to politically play it both ways, but they
had to always side with Israel. So I saw the
Israel problem. I saw X not being there for them
this time. Twitter is now X owned by Elon Musk,
so they can't do the shadow campaign as they once
did one. There is no COVID and you can't change

(05:31):
election laws and as they would say, shadow campaign this
with mail in votes, and you can't control the narrative.
Because we have transitioned even four years further into the
social media podcast world away from mainstream media, you just
don't have an influence on media anymore. The podcast I

(05:52):
kind of thought they would all participate, but they didn't,
so I did and didn't see that coming. So I
think it's fascinating to look at this from what has
happened that we expected, what happened that we didn't expect,
and exactly how we got here. One of the biggest
reasons we got here is a failed administration, or we

(06:13):
would not be here the lawfair didn't work. Of course,
Trump wins the primary without ever having a campaign, without
ever having to appear on a debate, and in a
sense because if gag orders and harassment unified his party
even before the convention, they staged a coup, get rid
of Biden, bring in Kamala, do the sugar high at

(06:34):
the convention, but it was downhill after that, and then
we're going to look at some of the worst moments
which they may have saved for even last Quite frankly,
I mean to have Kamala Harris the story break that
she was going to do an interview interview with a Muslim,

(06:57):
by the way, talk about today versus yesterday. This particular
Muslim has a podcast called Subway Takes. I think it
has over a million people, so this really kind of
falls under the pea podcasts. So com was gonna sit

(07:17):
down with this Muslim social media influencer, with this million
listen to podcasts, and what do we handlers say? I
called this the Peter Sata. Somebody called me and said,
Peter Cetera's doing a fundraiser for a local school, which
you interview on amount Peter Sotera. Of course I'll interview.
Oh there's one catch. You can't talk about Chicago. I went, what, Yeah,

(07:38):
it's bitter, don't bring up Chicago first person words out
of my mouth, Chicago my favorite song, Old Days. I
didn't write that. We got off to a great start,
So the Harris can't tells them. Oh yeah, Kamala will
appear on your your Muslim podcast, but you can't bring
up Israel or Palestine. Now can you imagine? There's nothing

(08:02):
else on his listeners and viewers mind than the war
in the Middle East. And then, to make matters worse
because she always has to write, Kamla goes on a
long conversation about bacon. You know, Mama, like Kamala loves
to make bacon. Of course, bacon is religiously forbidden to most.
But I mean, if you think that's bad, just in

(08:22):
at the end, that's nothing. When we look at this
administration over four years, or the events that led up
to today. We'll look at the polls how close they are.
We're going to look at the three hurdles to watch
for by time zone. If you're rooting for Donald Trump,
you want to see North Carolina and Georgia early both

(08:43):
go to Trump, because if not, there is no road
for him. The next hurdle, he's got to take one. One.
You won't know tonight, Pennsylvania. I think the way one goes,
they all go, which is why I think it's a
very close race. But in the end it won't be
close at all with the electoral College. Donald Trump takes Pennsylvania,
we may not know for a day or two, but

(09:03):
if he does, he's likely to take Wisconsin and Michigan
along with it. Even if she gets Pennsylvania and Michigan,
he still looks good in Wisconsin. All you want to
see in that second hurdle and time zone is him
to take Wisconsin or Michigan. Then you head out west.
All you need is Arizona. It looks pretty locked and favorable.

(09:24):
And as we used to say in New Orleans, that
would make Nevada just land. Yeah, yeah, that'd be your land. Yeah,
it's a little bonus, a little cherry and go with
green because you don't need it. All that would do
for my map. And by the way, because I believe
the way one goes, they all go, and I just
can't see it going to Kamala. I could be completely wrong.
I have Donald Trump ending up with either three hundred

(09:45):
and six or three hundred and twelve, whether or without
Nevada electoral College victory. That's pretty significant. It could easily
go Kamala in the three hundreds. If Pennsylvania, Michigan, and
Wisconsin stay blue. We'll see. I don't think it's a
twenty sixteen versus twenty twenty map. It's a whole different time.

(10:07):
No COVID this time, no mail vote record, early voting.
Now over half of voters if we go by previous
year numbers have already voted. What does that leave what's
the final say of the I, the X and the
P problem. Oh and just in under the wire after
reaching what is it read? Something like over sixty million people?

(10:28):
I don't now. I've got to adding on musk into there,
so it's probably sixty two million. In the end, Joe
Rogan endorses Donald Trump. Will this be the podcast election?
The early vote election? Well, we see a former president reelected. Well,
we see a first female person of color elected. Well,

(10:50):
we've already started voting in New Hampshire, they've already been counted.
In Dixville, Notch. It's three to three and we take
it from there. This is your Morning Show with Michael
del Trono. Hi'm Michael, and your morning show has heard

(11:12):
on great radio stations across the country like one oh five,
nine twelve fifty w hn Z and Tampa, Florida, News
Radio five seventy wkb N and Youngstown, Ohio and News
Radio one thousand KTOK in Oklahoma City. Love to have
you listen to us live in the morning, and of
course we're so grateful you came for the podcast. Enjoy
poland shows a very tight race. One of the things

(11:34):
that we keep stressing over and over again. Oh it's
a tight race and it's too close to call, but
it will not be close on the electoral college map.
It's going to fall one way or the other. And
when it does, it's probably going to fall big. Now
I have Trump winning with three hundred and six or
three hundred and twelve with or without Nevada electoral college votes,
but it'll be close getting to that, and then not

(11:54):
close after that, we talked about things that we didn't
expect that happened. That did it all begins with a
broken promise or really a shame on us. Shame on
them for fooling us. But you were promised that Joe
Biden was going to restore civility, that in Joevite Biden,

(12:16):
all of our divisions and fights would go away. Only
we have the power to do that. That's why I
talk about the matrix so much that we find ourselves
in and the social dilemma, because until you solve that,
you can't solve anything. But this will get lost in
all the post mortem. If Kamala Harris goes on to
lose first and foremost, they failed themselves. Joe Biden promised

(12:42):
not to make little fights out of everything, and then
they went on to create lawfair against a former president.
It doesn't get any better than the first few moments,
a speech of unity on inauguration day, and then he
walked right across the street and did forty nine executive orders.

(13:03):
So elected to end chaos and return the United States
to normalcy and anything. But after taking office, he quickly
moved to reverse or revoke a number of Trump administration
immigration related policies. That's number one. He went beyond that

(13:24):
with executive orders to pretty much erase everything Trump did.
Then we waited sixty four days for him to have
his first news conference, and when he did, he handed
the poison apple to Kamala Harris and put her in
charge of the border, not knowing that at the end

(13:45):
of his four years she would have to be the
one to take them over the finish line because he
couldn't poison in all, And with him tripping her in all,
destroying our energy independence and taking oil out of the
federal reserves to lower prices, making us even more vulnerable.
Sold off more than forty percent of the Strategic Petroleum

(14:06):
Reserve to help limit rising fuel prices. And this was
after Russia invaded Ukraine. The disaster at the southern border.
Since January of twenty one, and by the way, we've
had over ten million encounters, eight million of which came
over the south west border with Mexico. Some of estimated

(14:29):
those numbers could be double. Then the strategy of them
flying them into different parts of the country. They took
a border state problem and made it a nationwide problem.
This was the beginning of their demise, and it was
never more evident than in New York City where even
the MARI said, we're being overrun, we don't have the resources.
Or how about Chicago where their black folk problem began

(14:53):
because they brought in all these illegal immigrants that took
their housing and their resources and their facility, let alone funding.
They made a border issue that was a Republican issue,
an American inner city issue. And if Kamala Harris loses today,

(15:15):
the economy and the border are the two biggest reasons.
Then you bring in the flu of fentanyl. The Afghanistan war.
Oh that withdrawal, thirteen American soldiers killed in a deadly
airport suicide bombing in Kabul. The US left behind some
seven billion dollars of military equipment due toful military equipment

(15:38):
in Afghanistan. A botched withdrawal, a botched border, and then
a botched economy, debt, inflation, cost of living. Well, that
falls on their watch. I'll tell you both parties overspend.

(15:58):
We have a spending problem, a revenue problem, and this
administration was no different. The other thing build back better
was build debt better. One point nine trillion economic stimulus
for COVID relief bill that worsened inflation, continued government spending,
global instability. Russia invaded, You had the proxy attacks from

(16:20):
Hamas and Hezballah and the Houthis, and a hostage crisis
that was never even portrayed as them an American hostage crisis,
and more and more as time goes by, we presume
they're all dead, and then they get caught in the
eye problem. They can't fully back Israel. The parties two divided.

(16:41):
There's a good portion of their party that's anti American,
let alone pro terrorist. We've even forgotten the chaos on
college campuses with Hamas and Palestinian protests. You remember River
to the Sea, Chinese spy balloons allowed to cross the
United States, not shot down by military installations. Biden failed

(17:08):
to stop the Ukrainian invasion. You know, they did something
in twenty twenty to win the election that ended up
being their downfall. The notion that you could hide Joe Biden.
Hiding him during COVID worked and they got elected. Hiding
him in his president presidency and his cognitive impairment that

(17:30):
turned out to really backfire on them and the media
remember what we kept saying. If that debate was the
first time it dawned on you that the president of
the United States probably wasn't the president of the United
States and certainly not cognitively capable of being president of
the United States, well then you weren't very honest with yourself.

(17:51):
And if that was the first time the media figured
it out, they hadn't been very honest with you all along,
including their replacement candidate, Kamala Harris, who could never answer
that question. And that really ended up being their only play, Right,
we hit Joe in a basement and one we're going
to hide Kamala in plain sight. But that didn't work either.

(18:16):
The law fair, oh constant assault on Trump. Never seen
in our history a persecution of a political candidate like that,
Never mind death of journalism where eighty five percent of
all stories have been positive about Kamalajara's ninety two percent

(18:38):
have been negative about Donald Trump. This was the weaponization
of our government to try to steer an outcome of
an election, and oh how it backfired. Oh, they got
their felony charges in one case, the others fell apart,

(18:58):
or at least for now, many believe they'll come back
if Donald Trump wins. But the lawfare backfired because it
ended up being just the right amount of Donald Trump,
didn't it Instead of in these long rallies saying things
at Saturday Night Live could pick up on or the
media could pick up on he was stuck in a courtroom,

(19:19):
and stuck in a courtroom he won the primary. You know,
they had to be thinking, how did we end up
with Donald Trump? Guy could even campaign? He won the
primary without campaigning. He won the primary without ever having
a debate, and because of the gag order, the party
was actually unified long before the convention the convention. Both

(19:46):
conventions I think were well executed. There was a lot
of turmoil in the streets outside the DNC, but they
managed to keep it off television and managed to keep
things together inside the convention hall, which they couldn't do
in sixty eight they created the sugar High. But then
wasn't long after that. You couldn't hide Kamala anymore. And

(20:06):
the more she made appearances, the more things fell. We
talked about things that we expected and didn't expect. I
did expect Joe Biden to be removed. I expected and
be replaced with Gavin Newsom, probably certainly not Kamala Harris.

(20:26):
I don't think if you had to tap me on
the shoulder, you' orgo. Do you think Megan Kelly will
be on stage the night before the election endorsing Donald
Trump with Donald Trump and hugging I would have said,
I don't see that coming. The impact of Joe Rogan
both with the president and vice presidential candidate, as well
as Elon Musk, or the role of Elon Musk, or
how the role of Telsea Gavard r Fk changed. So
there's a lot of things that happened we didn't see coming,
and a lot of things we did see coming. It

(20:48):
hasn't been a normal road to today, and today we
find a very divided country, almost divided evenly, with the House,
the Senate, and the presidency at stake. It's election Day,
November fifth, twenty twenty four.

Speaker 2 (21:09):
Hi, I'm Andrea del Giorno and my husband and my
morning show is your Morning Show with Michael del Giorno
Aaron Ray.

Speaker 1 (21:16):
I'll just learned one of my two nicknames. My nickname
growing up was Mochi or Moke. In fact, there's still
several people that only call me Moke and I know
it's who it is. When I hear it, it's either
my dad, my brother, or Blair. My other nickname Erin
was Scorch. Asked me how I got the nickname Scorch.

Speaker 2 (21:33):
Is that something I do with scorched earth?

Speaker 1 (21:35):
Well, I found my Italian family very volatile and very
fun and entertaining, and so I would ignite wars. I
would start little fights and then I would just sit
back and watch them because it was entertaining. So I
was a scorch. I was an aggravator, an instigator, and
I just riled you up off the air, which I
like doing. Let's talk about one thing that hasn't changed

(21:57):
the economy, and the epicenter of the economy I think
ends up being cost of living in a housing crisis.
And that's really where we end.

Speaker 2 (22:04):
Right It is, Yes, we are in a housing crisis
at the very moment, aside from election day, the housing crisis. So, Michael,
I'm gonna ask you, because you're good at stuff like this,
what do you think the average age of a home
buyer is?

Speaker 1 (22:17):
Right? Now? You know what, I don't know? Everything is later.
I actually bought a home before I was married. But
I think I'm pretty rare for having done that. I
would think because we're getting married later, it would be
later because it's so expensive and interest rates are so high,
would be even later. Whatever it is, I'm guessing it's

(22:38):
moved half a decade or seven years. I'm going to
say thirty six fifty six. WHOA, wait a minute, first
time home buyer fifty six.

Speaker 2 (22:49):
No, first time home buyer is different. The median age
of the first time home buyer is now thirty eight.

Speaker 1 (22:55):
Oh so I was closed, all right, so thirty I
said thirty six? It was thirty eight, Well, what was
the one we were doing?

Speaker 2 (23:00):
Average age of a home buyer is now fifty six.
So think about how many people over seventy are buying
homes they could get to that average. I think that
number is mind boggling. It's up from forty nine just
last year. So that gives you some context of like, whoa,
the only people with any money are ones who had
equity and a home that they owned before, and those

(23:21):
generally are older.

Speaker 1 (23:22):
I could not. I mean, we've said this before, but
I don't know. You don't feel a need to. Reporters
don't disclose as much as talk shows. I'm telling you
right now. I could not afford if I was buying today,
I could not afford the home I'm living in. Couldn't
even come close.

Speaker 2 (23:36):
Yeah, couldn't even come close to be alone. The eighteen percent,
that's the average down payment. So if you look at
by the numbers, average cost of a home in the
US is four hundred and thirty five thousand dollars. Average
income is eighty thousand dollars. If you need eighteen percent
of four hundred thirty five thousand, you need seventy eight
thousand dollars. You need your whole salary. If you're making

(23:58):
an average salary for a down payment, that's decades to
scroll that away and pay your bills and just you know,
keep up with all the things you need to pay.
Just not saving.

Speaker 1 (24:06):
Yeah, we talk about the American dream being at stake.
The dream of home ownership is certainly at stake, you know,
for something that was So I'm trying to think in
terms of cost of living from Kamala. We got price
gouging from Donald Trump. You get everything. Drill, baby, drill,
bring energy costs down and bring food costs down. We're
going to create jobs and return manufacturing jobs. That's more

(24:27):
people making money. You know, the would I would think
he would also throw in securing the border, in depporting
illegals with free uphousing as well. But for as much
as these two issues have impacted every American, not a
lot of specifics discussing.

Speaker 2 (24:44):
No, No, not at all, And you would think that
this would be more prominently place given what the nation
is facing right now with this particular I mean, listen,
there's a lot of things we're facing, and all of
them important, but this is this is real. This is
people's every single day. And if you want to talk
about the economy, you think that this would be more
profoundly discussed.

Speaker 1 (25:05):
Well, I can tell you that we head into today
and I don't think it's going to electoral college wise
end up close. But how we arrive at that unclose
electoral college number is going to be very close. When
it comes to her, I said, in the end, you're
running abortion against the boogeyman. I don't know that they've
sold the boogeyman. And when you look at the issues

(25:28):
that matter most to people, it's the economy, it's abortion,
and it's the border. That would give a two out
of three And according to meatloaf. That isn't bad advantage
to Donald Trump. But I would think no matter who
wins when it not so much the cost of living,
but the housing crisis. This is not a quick correction.
This may take a decade or so or more quite frankly,

(25:50):
or ever if ever.

Speaker 2 (25:52):
And also like interest rate cycles, that's such a big
part of housing, and that's huge. Frankly, if we don't,
if we don't get the interest rates down, but we're
not for the foreseeable future, and interest rate cycles are long,
then no, housing is going to remain a top issue
for people.

Speaker 1 (26:10):
So tell me this. In the end, we've been asking
this kind of question. It's going to hitch off guard.
You may not have an answer. Of all the crazy
things that have happened this year, name one that you
expected that happened and one that you could. It strikes
you as the oddest thing you never dreamt would happen.
Oh boy, loaded question, right, But I almost.

Speaker 2 (26:31):
Honest, I do I think this year, knock on wood,
there's still time. I think this year has been spectacular.

Speaker 1 (26:41):
I really do.

Speaker 2 (26:41):
I think, like if you look at the recovery for
the economy, if you look at the recovery for like,
this year is nothing knock on wood, that insane has happened. Yes,
there has been bad times. Yes, I'm not discounting Gaza
and Israel and all of the things that have had,
Like there's so much going on in the world, but
in terms of people's general stability, it hasn't been that detrimental.

Speaker 1 (27:07):
I you know, I have not and i'm and I'm
the host, And at fifty five minutes in, I thought
I thought RFK would be a huge third party influence.
I could have never in my wildest dreams I knew
Biden was going to be out. Everybody thought I was crazy.
I in all honesty, I thought it'd be Gavin Newsom.
I did not expect to be the only person that

(27:28):
pulled worse than him and performed worse than him. Really
in twenty twenty Kamala Harris. So I'll say that, But
the notion of this alliance of Tulsey gabberd RFK, Megan Kalid,
Joe Rogan, you know, the future which is not mainstream
media but social media, podcasting and influencers. I just I

(27:50):
never saw that unfolding the way it did, and I
just can't. That's why when I did my map, and
even though a lot of these states are close, and
I figured the way Pennsylvania goes, Michigan will go. Which
is why I think it's going to be a very
good night for Donald Trump and a really bad night
for control of the House of Representatives, which is going
to really usher in the craziest of divisive times. Unfortunately,

(28:12):
I hope I'm wrong. We're all in this together. This
is Your Morning Show with Michael Nheld, Joe