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February 4, 2025 13 mins

And just like that Mexico blinks.  Surprised? You shouldn’t be.  Lieutenant Colonel James Carafano explains why.

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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Previously on Your Morning Show with Michael dill Chuano.

Speaker 2 (00:04):
Donald Trump has gotten so Yesterday's a great example everybody
freaking out with these tariffs.

Speaker 3 (00:09):
What's he doing.

Speaker 2 (00:10):
He's going to drive up the cost of living, He's
going to destroy the economy before he finishes his first month.
The YadA YadA ya and the art of the deal
is happening the whole time, and all these people are
on TV ranting, raving warning. By the time they get
off the air and go to the bathroom, Mexico had carved.
By the time they got back from lunch and got
over there, you know, meal slumber, Canada had caved. And

(00:34):
by the time they put their head on the pillow,
Panama had caved. Mexico, Canada, Panama all blinked. You surprised.
You shouldn't have been. Lieutenant Colonel James Carafano was here
to explain why. Good morning, Lieutenant colonel.

Speaker 4 (00:46):
So what is really important is the tariffs on China,
and those are different than all these other terroriffs because
the terriffs are China are to send an important world
which is we need to stop doing business with this country,
right and we should we should buy stuff from other places.

(01:08):
Uh and uh and if they and if they don't
want us to buy their stuff, I think we should
go and we should partner with other people and buy them.
So uh, this to me is this is the real
trade exactly all right.

Speaker 2 (01:26):
So let's but let's let's peel let's peel it back
a little bit and talk about it. I have always
felt like and I wonder if you agree that. You know,
I watched this academic guy and it was a very long,
very dry explanation.

Speaker 3 (01:39):
Uh.

Speaker 2 (01:39):
Most people talk about something in a campaign, then they
become president and they describe the problem, they keep talking
about it, nothing ever really gets done. Donald Trump just
out of the blue starts saying maybe we should make
Canada the fifty first trade and for fifty first state.
And people's response is this guy's nuts. No, it's actually brilliant,
and then it leads the teriff threat, then it leads
to the negotiation, and he ultimately gets what he wants.
It's a very just disrupt a very effective force, and

(02:01):
what people think is the most uncomfortable or crazy about
him is actually the most effective. But China is what
it's really all about. And I would actually go one
step further and say the president knew that you know,
all the Canada and Mexico is not doing and taking
advantage of and being ungrateful for that. China was going
to PLoP and make cheap evs right across our border
in Mexico and flood our market with him, That's what's

(02:25):
really on his mind. And that's what I think yesterday
took shape to block.

Speaker 5 (02:29):
Yeah, there's a lot.

Speaker 4 (02:31):
I mean to your point is he was president for
four years. He spent four years playing to be president.
He's probably the most experienced world leader around the planet today.

Speaker 5 (02:44):
He probably knows more world leaders than anybody else.

Speaker 4 (02:46):
He probably knows more about what's going on around the
world than any other world leader. He came into office
with a with a very serious plan. And let me, Mitchell,
just subtlety of this guy. Let's talk about the fifty
first state thing in Canada and how and how he
really understands the dynamic better than the Yahoo's. Canada is

(03:08):
a country in death spiral. They have a chance to
elect a conservative leader who actually believes many of the
things Donald Trump does. If he stood up and said,
let's partner with Donald Trump, most Canadians would actually vote
for the ya, who's that are destroying the country because

(03:29):
they don't They just don't like Trump, right, But when
he's but when when the conservative leader stands up says
we don't want to be the fifty first state, we
should be We are a country, we should be proud
of who we are, and we should be responsible for
our country, more people are going to vote.

Speaker 5 (03:44):
For this guy.

Speaker 4 (03:45):
So the fifty first state things actually kind of reverse psychology.

Speaker 5 (03:49):
It's just reminding.

Speaker 4 (03:51):
It's just reminding Canadians, like, dude, stand up and be
proud of who the heck you are.

Speaker 2 (03:57):
And the things that Donald Trump says that seemed to
most outrageous, most crazy, most disrespectful, are really the most brilliant.

Speaker 3 (04:03):
You know, I was saying yesterday and.

Speaker 2 (04:05):
Everybody was predicting everything was going to blow up on
our face and oil is going to go through the roof,
expect to pay another dollar ninety cents a gallon.

Speaker 3 (04:12):
Out At what's he doing?

Speaker 2 (04:13):
He's not, you know, And I'm sitting here saying, look,
what if it's all about making sure peer wins that election?

Speaker 5 (04:18):
All right?

Speaker 3 (04:19):
By drawing attention.

Speaker 2 (04:20):
To this, because there's a lot of people in Canada
that want their border taking care of for their own sake.
Guant Fetnahl taking care of for their own sake, wuant
terror's not coming into their country on the way to
our country.

Speaker 4 (04:30):
Yeah, maybe it's about like not being stupid, right, And
when smald Trump says something, you're the first thought out
of your brain shouldn't be Well, let me, how can
I hate Donald Trump?

Speaker 5 (04:40):
You know what I mean?

Speaker 4 (04:40):
Maybe just to take like a tiny little droplet of
common sense. Mexico and Canada are export dependent economies. They
survived by exports. You know, the one thing an export
economy cannot afford to do, try to trade wark So.

Speaker 5 (04:59):
This notion I was actually in Europe. I got to say it.

Speaker 4 (05:02):
I won't tell you who or when somebody said, well,
we were talking to the Canadians and they are brilliant.
They have a plan that if Trump comes at them,
they're going to retaliate and they're going to make him
feel the pay And I'm looking at them like you're joking, right,
Like that's an s and L skit right, you're sixty
sixty percent.

Speaker 5 (05:22):
They're going to find a trade war with the United States.

Speaker 3 (05:24):
Really, this is so opposite of reality. I just want
to make that clear.

Speaker 2 (05:28):
James Carafano is far more successful than I've ever thought
about being or ever will be. But let's just say
for the sake of argument, that sixty percent of your
income comes from these weekly visits, which nothing.

Speaker 3 (05:39):
Comes to you from these weekly visits.

Speaker 2 (05:41):
You know, and one percent of my income comes from
you being on this show.

Speaker 3 (05:45):
Who can hurt? Who come?

Speaker 5 (05:47):
Exactly?

Speaker 4 (05:48):
I think?

Speaker 5 (05:49):
Yeah, I mean, it's just nuts.

Speaker 4 (05:52):
The China thing is real love, right, because we need
to stop doing business with China. You know, there's a
famous saying in the British Empire that trade follows the
flag yep, But they never say the corollary, which is
war follows the trade.

Speaker 6 (06:05):
Right.

Speaker 4 (06:05):
When adversarial countries are trade with each other, that actually
creates more friction and more likelihood of conflict. Germany's biggest
trading partner before the outbreak of World War one United Kingdom.
So trade doesn't actually make relationships better. If you're trading

(06:29):
with people who are literally want to kill you, that
trade will become another irritant that will lead to war.
So actually the best thing for China and the United
States would be to stop doing business with each other.
That would make the world.

Speaker 2 (06:41):
Say, is there a concern though that as and again
as a sovereign, independent nation. Same annoyls the other example.
To be dependent upon enemies who literally doctrinately first want
to destroy Israel then destroy you. Your existence must be extinct.
To be dependent on them for your source of energy
is really foolish. I mean I get that. But do

(07:04):
you worry that as we do all of this that
it will unite Russia, China, Iran and them more? I mean,
address that for people that make that ridiculous argument.

Speaker 4 (07:16):
Sorry, I did get I did get the guy on
Fox Business to Last the other day, who was he
was saying about sending Grail to Venezuela.

Speaker 5 (07:27):
You know, I said, that's like sending Luca Brodsky to
negotiate for.

Speaker 3 (07:30):
You, Luca Brozilis with the fish.

Speaker 4 (07:34):
Well, yeah, because because nobody wanted to nobody wants to
coach you.

Speaker 2 (07:39):
By the way, if you haven't figured it out, Del
Jarno Carafano, two Italians, everything you need to know in
life comes from the Godfather.

Speaker 3 (07:46):
Go study.

Speaker 5 (07:49):
That's what were we talking about.

Speaker 2 (07:51):
I think we were talking about Canada taking the gun
and leaving the Canolis, or taking the Cans leaving the
gun Trump went to the mattress and everybody's caving. We
were talking about would that unite Russia, China and Iran.
That's often the fear that comes out in argument, And
first of all, they're already united.

Speaker 4 (08:10):
But right, so this is the point, is is you
can't stop them from getting together.

Speaker 5 (08:16):
This is ludicrous. And and the thing.

Speaker 4 (08:18):
Is as well, we should embrace one of them and
that'll peel them off and that will work because the
really reason why they're ganging up together is the only
thing they have in common is they all want to
destroy the America.

Speaker 5 (08:27):
So you can't say, well, let's leave the alliance and
come with me, and I'll give you what you want,
but I want the destruction of you. So that's not
really kind of a really incredible plan. But the other
thing is is they.

Speaker 4 (08:39):
It is an alliance of necessity, and it is an
alliance that is deeply fragile, uh and weakening.

Speaker 3 (08:47):
And deeply fragile.

Speaker 2 (08:49):
But I was just going to say before you, before
you deeply fragileing, fragile and weakening, because it's really and
that you know this from teaching or college.

Speaker 3 (08:56):
The enemy of my enemy is my friend. And that's
about where it ends, and one.

Speaker 2 (09:00):
Has real economic issues, one has you know, UH war
ambitions and extinction and world control ambitions. But when push
comes to shove, all three of them are about themselves
and the only thing they really have at the end
of the day is the enemy of my enemy is
my friend. But that doesn't really get them anywhere. That's
a grace we've been living by.

Speaker 5 (09:17):
Right.

Speaker 4 (09:18):
The way the way you break that up is you
make them less valuable to each other. So when we
when we when we clamp down on Iran, that's not
only going to weaken Iran, but Iran won't be able
to do things.

Speaker 5 (09:33):
For Russia and Ukraine. So they're less valuable when we
crank down on Iranian.

Speaker 4 (09:37):
And Russian exports, and that's fuel, that's that's cheap energy,
that's not going to China. That's going to hurt them.
So so this is the way you do this. And
so Trump's got this exactly right. He's already told the Russians,
if you think I'm just going to give you Europe,
you're just not right. Put you're in a really weak spot.
I'm just gonna crush you under my thumb. He's told

(09:59):
you Iranians, the same thing. And he's told the Chinese
that playtime is over. You're not allowed to run around
the Western hemisphere and threaten us. We're not going to
let you buy into our buy our economy. We're not
going to let you run wild in the world. And
and all of.

Speaker 5 (10:12):
Them are like, are blinking because they know that they
actually can't stop this.

Speaker 4 (10:15):
You know, what I have come to believe is the
only reason why Putin has not come to the table
to make a deal because there is strategically exhausted as Ukrainians,
is that he has no cards to play.

Speaker 2 (10:28):
Well, and he's got to find an exit that saves face.
But that's just a matter of creating that exit for him.

Speaker 4 (10:32):
Too, and right and right now, the way he's saving
face is just throwing Russians and North Koreans to their
death right and.

Speaker 5 (10:40):
And and saying, well, I'm still winning the war, right Well,
you know, even the North Koreans have said they pulled
their troops out of the front because they said, we're
not going to do this anymore.

Speaker 4 (10:49):
So he's running out of cards to play, and he
needs he needs a strategic pouse, but he has no
cards to play, so he doesn't know how to get
to the table with Trump, because Trump's not going to
give him.

Speaker 5 (10:59):
A good deal.

Speaker 2 (11:00):
Jams carrofinald Lieutenant colonel joining us as he does every week.
Let's close full circle where we began. You said this
is the most experienced president to ever take office. I'd
go even further. I know it wasn't the plan, and
it's kind of like that Biblical teaching of all things
work together for the good for those that are called
according to his purpose. But it ended up being perfect.
Losing ended up being better than a second term. All

(11:21):
the law fair, ended up better. Surviving assassination attempts better
having that four year pause in between to come back
with all the lessons learned. I'm watching a Donald Trump
two point zero. The hubris of Donald Trump one point
oh was you're gonna get sick of winning, gonna you're
gonna win so much, you're gonna get sick of it,
and then not really delivering. This time he's delivering. I mean,

(11:41):
what he's gotten done in two weeks is breathtaking.

Speaker 4 (11:45):
Can I just disagree with you a little bit because
that four years cost us many Americans who wind up
in jail for no reason.

Speaker 6 (11:54):
Well, yeah, there's Ukrainians who died by the many tens
of thousands people who died in the refugee flow of raped, murdered,
sex trafficked, thousands of people that died in the Middle East.

Speaker 5 (12:11):
We paid a horrible people of his.

Speaker 4 (12:13):
Lives were destroyed, their economies were destroyed, their businesses were destroyed.
We paid a horrible price for putting Joe Biden in
the White House, and we should never forget that. I'm
glad Trump's back, don't get me wrong. And I'm glad
He's fixing everything, don't get me wrong. But we played
a terrible price. But this is the beauty of democracy.

(12:34):
Democracy says you get to stand at the edge of
the cliff and decide if you want to jump off
or not. You know the Supreme Court justicism, You know
the Constitution is not a suicide pack and away he
was right, but he's wrong. Right, It is a suicide
pact because if you choose wrong, you choose your own downfall.

Speaker 2 (12:52):
And to quote a nineteen eighty to use a quote
from a nineteen eighty two Bible study with Campus Crusade
for Christ, I received that rebuke point well made. That's
why I love our visits Lieutenant Colonel James Carafana. We'll
talk again next Tuesday or sooner if conditions warn't.

Speaker 1 (13:07):
Miss a little, miss a lot, miss a lot, and
we'll miss you. It's your Morning Show with Michael del Churno.
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