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October 28, 2025 20 mins

Correlation doesn't equal causation, but patterns emerge in the strangest places - like Pentagon pizza orders spiking before major military operations, making pepperoni consumption an unofficial national security indicator. A study of children aged nine to ten found that those playing video games were measurably smarter than TV-watching counterparts, vindicating every parent who gave up the Xbox battle.

The Edelman Trust Barometer reveals that China and Saudi Arabia lead in governmental trust, immediately raising skeptical eyebrows about whether these responses reflect genuine public sentiment or societal pressures where criticising the government has consequences. Surveys have rhetorical power and tell compelling tales, but their accuracy depends entirely on who you're asking, how you're asking, and whether respondents feel safe answering honestly. 

From pizza-predicting military operations to intelligence-boosting video games and questionable trust statistics, this week proves that metrics might only be as good as our interpretation of them. Stay skeptical of convenient metrics, maybe let your kids play that video game since science says they're getting smarter, and remember that surveys aren't always telling the whole truth - especially when they come from countries where honesty might have consequences.

 

CHAPTERS:

00:00 Introduction

00:53 The Quirks of Metrics and Correlation

01:31 Target's Predictive Analytics Story

02:48 Pizza Orders and Military Movements

07:37 Video Games and IQ

09:32 Edelman Trust Barometer Insights

12:00 Grievance Rankings by Country

13:11 Trust in Companies by Country

14:00 Trust in Industry Sectors

15:19 Trust in Professions and Neighbours

16:17 Lack of Optimism for the Future

17:00 Hostile Activism Among Youth

17:48 Reflections on Survey Validity

19:54 Conclusion and Listener Engagement

 

SOURCES:

The impact of digital media on children’s intelligence

Edelman Trust Barometer - Trust and the Crisis of Grievance Australia Report

Pentagon pizza monitor predicted ‘busy night’ ahead of Israel’s attack on Iran

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