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March 22, 2025 112 mins
Why are the markets falling? Is this just another cycle, or is something bigger at play? In this deep-dive conversation, top financial experts break down the Trump Trade, global economic shifts, and how retail investors should navigate uncertain markets. From the impact of foreign investors pulling out to India's long-term growth story, this episode uncovers critical insights on the financial landscape. Harsh Gupta Madhusudan, economist, investor, and author, shares his deep insights on macroeconomic trends, market cycles, and the forces shaping India’s financial future. Aashish Somaiyya, veteran asset manager and industry leader, brings his expertise on retail investing, market behavior, and how investors can position themselves for long-term success. They also discuss how to navigate the current investment climate, where to find value in sectors like financial services and consumer discretionary, and the significance of investment metrics. Their advice includes practical tips on portfolio management and the importance of aligning one's investments with long-term economic growth. The conversation is rich with insights about managing investments during volatile periods and the potential of sectors and asset classes beyond traditional equities. 📌 Timestamps 00:00 Introduction: Market Trends and Cycles 00:30 India's Market Performance and Key Guests 00:46 Discussion with Ash Gupta and Ashish Sumaya 01:41 Understanding Market Corrections and Investor Behavior 02:19 Impact of US Policies on Global Markets 04:30 The Role of US Treasury Yields 09:36 Market Cycles and Investor Psychology 17:05 The Future of Foreign Investments in India 28:19 Regulatory Framework and Financial Inclusion in India 37:14 Balancing Capitalism and Welfare 37:58 Fiscal Responsibility and Growth 39:02 Supporting Vulnerable Sections 40:33 Government Spending and CapEx Cycles 42:00 Private Sector and CapEx Growth 42:44 Interest Rates and RBI Policies 43:43 Demand Stimulation and Economic Asymmetry 48:12 Small Caps and Investment Strategies 55:24 Market Cycles and Portfolio Management 01:12:51 Herd Behavior and Market Corrections 01:15:14 Investment Strategies: Balancing Trading and Investing 01:16:49 Sector Analysis: Financial Services and Discretionary Consumption 01:17:36 Impact of Pay Commissions on Consumption 01:19:14 Financials and Capital Markets: Opportunities and Trends 01:22:30 Choosing the Right Stocks: Metrics and Strategies 01:43:30 The Role of Private Equity and Real Estate in Investment Portfolios 01:47:09 The Future of Crypto and Alternative Investments 01:48:35 Optimism for India's Economic Future 01:51:39 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
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