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April 15, 2025 53 mins
The stock market is moving up to 8-9% up and down daily. The volatility is stomach churning.   The primary concern is tariffs. It is uncertain if China will agree to a fair trade deal.   China exports five times more to the US than the US exports to China. Tariffs affect China far more than the US. They are at a significant disadvantage.   Globalist free trade proponents promised they following:   1. Free trade would lead to fair trade policies. Nations would follow the rules to remain trading partners. 2. Oppressive regimes would become more democratic. 3. Low income, unskilled workers would create a robust middle class worldwide due to free trade. 4. The US would lose manufacturing jobs but there would be plenty of opportunities in the new economy.   The globalist free trade advocates were horribly wrong.   1. China is famous for not following the rules, cheating, and stealing technology. 2. China is still communist and is more oppressive than a few decades ago. 3. Slave labor wages are still common around the world. A middle class does not exist in many countries. 4. Most Americans who lost manufacturing jobs never learned how to code. An entire region is known as the "Rust Belt".   The American people never voted for this. Globalist free trade was foisted on us by a class of self-proclaimed elites.   Independence is a founding principle of our country. A country that cannot produce what it needs is not independent.   America cannot produce many of the things it invented. We are no longer self-reliant.    The globalist free trade advocates were so wrong it is surprising anyone still listens to them.     The top 10% own 88% of stocks in the US. The next 40% own 12% of stocks. The bottom 50% have debt.   Lower energy prices benefit everyone. Cheaper gas impacts most Americans far more than a higher stock market.  

 

The Trump administration is changing decades of tariff policy. The transition will be volatile. If the current administration is successful, the long-term benefit for the US will be tremendous.

I believe we are in for a chaotic year and a bumpy economic ride this year. It would be wise to protect your assets. Diversify. Reduce your risk. Reduce your tax liability. Increase returns safely. Increase liquidity to take advantage of future opportunities.

 

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