Will the US-China Economic Cold War Lead to a Recession?

The tariff policy is not just about tariffs. This is about economic power and control. China and the US want to dominate future technology.

China and the US are decoupling economically. 

This is similar to the Cold War with the Soviet Union. That was a military conflict.

We are in the beginning of an Economic Cold War with China.

Divorces can be amicable or messy. So far, China is fighting back. This may take some time.

The primary question is how long will this take? 

 

The Trump administration is changing decades of tariff policy. The transition will be volatile. If the current administration is successful, the long-term benefit for the US will be tremendous.

I believe we are in for a chaotic year and a bumpy economic ride this year. It would be wise to protect your assets. Diversify. Reduce your risk. Reduce your tax liability. Increase returns safely. Increase liquidity to take advantage of future opportunities.

 

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