Bettor Thinking
Bettor Thinking isn’t just another sports betting podcast—it’s your masterclass in decision-making excellence. Join host John ”Statsational” Alesia as he explores the fascinating intersection of sports betting, behavioral psychology, and analytical thinking through conversations with an elite roster of guests including Wall Street quants, professional bettors, behavioral economists, and industry innovators. Each episode delivers actionable insights that go beyond basic betting advice, diving deep into the mental models, analytical frameworks, and decision-making processes that separate successful bettors from the crowd. Whether you’re a seasoned sharp or new to sports betting, you’ll learn how to think better to bet smarter. Powered by the Sharp App, Bettor Thinking brings you the tools, strategies, and wisdom needed to make more informed betting decisions. From understanding cognitive biases to mastering probability concepts, this is where sharp minds meet sharp lines.
Episodes
Denise Shull, the real-life inspiration behind Wendy Rhoades on the hit show Billions, joins Bettor Thinking to revolutionize how you understand emotions in decision-making. As founder of The ReThink Group and author of "Market Mind Games," Denise works with elite hedge fund managers and professional athletes to transform their relationship with feelings during high-pressure decisions.
In this paradigm-shifting conversation, Denise...
In this eye-opening episode of Bettor Thinking, we dive deep into the neuroscience of betting with Dr. Renee Miller, a uniquely qualified expert who bridges the gap between academia and sports betting. As both a neuroscience professor and fantasy sports analyst, Dr. Miller offers unprecedented insights into why we make the betting decisions we do – and often sabotage ourselves in the process.
Princeton Review co-founder and global macro advisor Adam Robinson delivers a fascinating warning about the future of trading and investing. Drawing from his unique background as a chess master, test prep innovator, and macro investor, Robinson explains why artificial intelligence will fundamentally reshape markets within the next 5-10 years.
In this compelling episode, we explore:
In this eye-opening episode of Bettor Thinking, we sit down with Seth from BTB Analytics, who transformed his background in pharmacy and health economics into a remarkable career beating the NFL betting markets. With a proven 55% win rate over two years, Seth breaks down how he approaches sports betting through a unique analytical lens.
Key highlights from this episode: • Why traditio...
In this episode of Bettor Thinking, Dan Abrams (author of "But How Much Did You Lose?") challenges conventional sports betting wisdom with mathematical proof that will change how you think about bankroll management.
Dan explains why the common "never hedge" mentality is fundamentally flawed and demonstrates how negative EV hedges can actually maximize your bankroll's expected growth. ...
World-renowned behavioral economist Dan Ariely joins Better Thinking to explore why we make poor decisions and how to outsmart our own instincts. While not a sports bettor himself, Dr. Ariely's groundbreaking research into human behavior offers invaluable insights for anyone looking to make better betting decisions.
In this fascinating discussion, we explore: • Why humans are naturall...
🎯 In this episode of The Bettor Thinking Podcast, we sit down with Ed Miller, a former Microsoft engineer turned professional gambler who's been crushing betting markets since 2003. From the poker boom to today's sports betting landscape, Ed breaks down where the real edges exist in modern betting markets.
🔑 Key Topics: • Why same-game parlays and live betting markets are still beatable • How correlation creates exploitable oppor...
The episode features Aaron Brown, a former professional gambler turned Wall Street quant trader and risk manager at AQR Capital Management. The conversation traces his fascinating journey from a 14-year-old poker player in Seattle to becoming a prominent figure in financial risk management.
Key Points Discussed:
- Early Years:
- Started reading financial pages and horse racing data as a child
- Began playing poker at age ...
EP 01 Joseph Buchdahl Why Most Sports Bettors Fail: Insights from a Betting Expert - BETTOR THINKING
Summary In this conversation, Joseph Buchdahl and John Alesia delve into the intricacies of sports betting, exploring the differences between sharp and recreational bookmakers, the psychological aspects of betting, and the importance of understanding true odds. They discuss cognitive biases, loss aversion, and the role of variance in betting outcomes. The conversation also touches on the wisdom of crowds in determining odds and t...
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