In this first official episode of Fighting with Numbers, I break down 6 fights on the UFC Vegas 106 card — including the main event: Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales. Using a stat-based model, I deliver predictions, finish probabilities, and betting value for these matchups.
Whether you’re chasing sharp angles or just want to see who the numbers favor, this episode gives you everything you need to bet smarter this weekend.
Time Stamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:46 - Tecia Pennington vs Luana Pinheiro
08:33 - Elise Reed vs Denise Gomes
14:09 - Jared Gordon vs Thiago Moises
20:50 - Julian Erosa vs Melky Costa
28:06 - Dustin Stoltzfus vs Black Ruziboev
36:15 - Main Event: Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales
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Podcast notes:
Music by Elevate Audio:
http://elevate-audio.com
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