Markets Happy Hour Podcast with Aoifinn Devitt

In this week's Markets Happy Hour Podcast we digest the challenging month of January and reflect on where we stand now that markets have contended with President Trump's grand entrance.

And President Trump knows how to make an entrance. The torrent of executive actions in the first few week's of the administration (54 to date) have created a deluge for markets who are still grappling with the election results, the warp speed mo...

In this special live podcast we come to you from St. Louis where we run through a tumultuous week in what has turned out to be a tumultuous month and feature our first guest on the Markets Happy Hour Podcast. Today we chat with Brittany Lewis, who joined the Olin Business School at Washington University as an Assistant Professor of Finance in July 2022. Her areas of expertise are Banking and Financial Institutions, Finance/Investm...

In this shorter holiday week in the US, a flurry of executive orders have "flooded the zone" but markets are struggling for direction, perhaps feeling a sense of confusion and overload. We discuss the impact of this lack of certainty on different assets, the dollar and the likely response of the US Federal reserve.

We turn then to something a little different - inspired by the impressive planning that the team behind the Getty ...

With 4 days to go until inauguration markets have been vacillating between enthusiasm and trepidation about the expectations for the incoming Trump administration 2.0. We know that policy change on the horizon will be abundant, and much of that is already being factored in, with companies such as Meta, McDonalds and Walmart preemptively abandoning DEI programs such as diverse slate hiring and even DEI training, and disbandment of a...

In this week's Markets Happy Hour podcast we were sadly not live from Dallas, where we had hoped to be hosting a group of you at the gorgeous Old Parkland campus. Unfortunately a forecast winter storm got in the way of our plans, and we will be rescheduling that for a later date - hopefully well out of the winter storm woods - in April.

On a day that markets are closed for President Carter's funeral, we reflect on some unease...

In today's slightly shorter New Year edition we reflect on a chilly start to the year - both literally and metaphorically. The New Year's Eve terrorist attack in New Orleans in the US was a chilling reminder of the near-shoring of overseas terror, while the death of President Jimmy Carter at 100 crowded out some of the chatter around the incoming President Trump.

Otherwise all forecasts are centering on Maganomics, and the futu...

As we race to year end it is the time for Market Outlooks, although this year it seems that the funny holiday videos have outpaced Market Outlooks in fanfare and promotion.

In this podcast we summarize some of recent market outlooks and question their utility. There is another kind of outlook that seems quite a bit more useful however - this Tech in 2025 Outlook from the Wall Street Journal. We go through some of these foreca...

In this special live podcast we host an audience in Chicago - we cycle through our usual indicators that are relevant to putting an investment portfolio into context. These indicators are inflation, interest rates, equity markets, other assets and geopolitics. Our podcast came right after the Fed's third rate cut, and we debated whether inflation was ultimately in retreat, as well as the fundamental differences between European mar...

The Markets Happy Hour Podcast has its roots in the virtual "water cooler" discussion about markets and implications held weekly at Moneta every Friday at 11 am. While we moved this to a "Tea with the CIO" and now a "Markets Happy Hour" we have rarely made it a live discussion with a live audience - until now!

Welcome to our first such discussion, live from a bustling Dublin City Centre and the Daly Room at Trinity College Dublin, ...

 On slide 8 and around the 11 minute mark I say Intel instead of Nvidia -It was Nvidia which reached $3.4 trillion in market cap rising by 816% since February 14, 2021, while Intel lost 59% of its market cap over the same period*

5 days in to our Advent Calendar and already December has provided lots of tricks and treats. 

We have seen more market highs in the US, and illustrate why America First just keeps going - more than ever.

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This Thanksgiving 2024 it seems appropriate to reflect on where we were this time last year and what we have to be thankful for:

• Inflation - being in check and certainly in reverse since one year ago
• Economic Growth - steady as she goes, although struggling in Europe Mortgage Rates - slowly tracking downwards although far from last year's 22 year high (USA)
• The US election campaign is over - regardless of the outcome, the end ...

• A subdued week in equity markets - but not in Bitcoin, which has flirted with the $100,000 level as a wide open era of deregulation beckons. 
• Despite growing geopolitical tensions and nuclear saber rattling, markets remain sanguine and unrattled. 
• The first dusting of snow has led to a chill in the air around future energy inflation and Natural Gas stocks are ticking upwards. 
• Within equity markets s...

A brief look back at themes and market movements so far this week:

• Inflation - is it now tamed, or is the 3.3% core level too high for comfort? Why inflation is more complex than a single number - we look at the cumulative effect of inflation and how it is such an inherently subjective measure
• The focus - on both sides of the Atlantic - on saving money whether through the to be created "Department of Government Efficiency" in t...

A brief look back at themes and market movements so far this week:

Inflation - is it now tamed, or is the 3.3% core level too high for comfort?

Why inflation is more complex than a single number - we look at the cumulative effect of inflation and how it is such an inherently subjective measure

The focus - on both sides of the Atlantic - on saving money whether through the to be created "Department of Government Efficiency" in the...