Sibylline: What Just Happened?
What Just Happened is a short-format, informal podcast brought to you by the intelligence analysts at Sibylline LTD, a strategic risk firm based in London. Hosted by Ignacio Ayala, this podcast features brief conversations between the host and his fellow analysts, updating you on major geopolitical events as soon as they happen.
Episodes
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Sibylline's regional expert, Megan Sutcliffe, to walk us through the turbulent events rocking the Middle East over the past several days. Megan lays out the escalating tensions from the initial Hamas attack in October of 2023, to the recent spate of pager bombs throughout Lebanon, the deadly strike that killed Lebanese Hezbollah Chief Hassan Nasrallah and the recent ground operation by th...
Our host, Ignacio Ayala, is joined by a new guest this week, Alexander Marciniak, an associate analyst from the Latin Americas desk, to explain a recent wave of cartel violence that has rocked Mexico. Alex walks us through the context of the clashes and the trends, warnings, and indicators he and his desk are monitoring.
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In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by Sibylline Ltd's Principal Analyst for the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey Noam Ostfeld, to discuss 3,000 pagers owned by Hezbollah operatives exploding simultaneously across Lebanon and Syria. It is believed that Hezbollah's suspicion of the devices may have triggered the detonations. While this is plausible, a more recent second round of explosions—this time involving handheld radio...
In this episode, Ignacio is joined by Sibylline's Lead Europe & Eurasia Analyst Alexander Lord to discuss Ukraine's ongoing incursion into Russian territory in the Kursk region. Alexander explains Ukraine's possible motivations for this move and Russia's military and political response. He also briefly touches on the reported fires in the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in Southern Ukraine.
In this Episode, Sydney Stewart, Lead Americas Analyst, returns to the host's seat to ask Ignacio Ayala about the ongoing strife in Venezuela surrounding the Presidential Election on 28 July. Ignacio discusses the strategies of both the opposition and the presidential incumbent Nicolás Maduro and touches on how key regional players have been involved in trying to negotiate a solution.
In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined by regional experts Megan Sutcliffe and Noam Ostfeld to unpack three deadly strikes in the Middle East that represent a significant escalation in regional tensions. First, on 27 July there was a strike in the Golan Heights that killed at least 12 minors on a football pitch. Israel responded to this attack with a targeted assassination of Hizballah's senior-most military commander in Beirut. ...
In this Episode, Sydney Stewart, Lead Americas Analyst, commandeers the host seat to interview our usual host, Ignacio Ayala, about his home country of Venezuela and its recent turbulent presidential election that took place on 28 July. Ignacio discusses allegations of fraud, the basic electoral system of Venezuela and the possible outcomes to watch for in the coming days and weeks.
In this episode, our host Ignacio Ayala joins Associate North America Analyst Claire Brady to discuss President Joe Biden's recent announcement that he will be dropping out of the 2024 presidential race. Ignacio and Claire walk us through the next steps for Democrats as Election Day rapidly approaches.
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In this episode of What Just Happened? our host Ignacio Ayala is joined by Associate Intelligence Analyst Sophie Hanck from the Asia Pacific desk here at Sibylline. Together, they discuss China's recent 'third plenum', a high-level Central Committee forum for discussions on relevant policy issues. Sophie summarises the results of the plenum and what the implications of this key policy meeting will mean for stakeholders in the regio...
In this episode, our host Ignacio Ayala is joined by Claire Brady, Associate Intelligence Analyst on the North America Desk to discuss the attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump during a rally in Pennsylvania over the weekend. Claire explains what happened during the shooting, the identity of the shooter and the likely impact this event will have on the upcoming election.
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In this episode of What Just Happened? Lead Data and Insights Analyst Ignacio Ayala and Lead Americas Analyst Sydney Stewart have a conversation about the attempted coup against the government of Luis Arce in Bolivia, its background and the potential implications. Be sure to leave a review and follow if you enjoyed the episode!
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In this episode on the new What Just Happened? channel, Lead Data and Insights Analyst Ignacio Ayala and Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe return to cover the recent violent protests and riots in Nairobi. Together, they review the incident and what this might mean for the future of Kenya and the broader geopolitical ramifications. Be sure to leave a review and follow if you enjoyed the episode!
In this premier episode on the new What Just Happened? channel, Lead Data and Insights Analyst Ignacio Ayala and Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe return to cover the recent helicopter crash that killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and other top Iranian officials. Together, they review the incident and what this might mean for the future of Iran and the broader geopolitical ramifications.
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