Dan Rasmussen on Market Outlook, International Value & "Fool’s Yield" Strategy

In this insightful episode of WealthWise with Jeffrey Hirsch, Dan Rasmussen, Partner at Verdad Advisers, joins Jeffrey Hirsch—Editor‑in‑Chief of The Stock Trader’s Almanac—to dissect the current market landscape and forward-looking strategy. They explore the implications of a mid-year rally and a likely Q3 pullback driven by geopolitical trade concerns and NASDAQ’s recent MACD sell signal. The duo highlight historically weak seasonal periods while preparing for possible October buying opportunities.

Dan shares his evolution from journalism to investment, his shift in private equity into growth-focused strategies, and the headwinds small‑cap markets face—especially declines in U.S. listings versus undervalued international markets, including Japan and Europe. He introduces innovative tools like Mahalanobis distance for macro evaluation, critiques the Efficient Market Hypothesis, and coins the concept of "fool's yield"—where high fixed-income yields may flag unacceptable default risk. They examine why elevated AI costs are pressuring big‑tech margins and discuss Verdad's investment emphasis on international value, leveraging quantitative and fundamental approaches across Europe and Japan.

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