Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield.
Speaker 2 (00:13):
What is up, Dolphins and welcome to the Drive Time Podcast.
I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,
it is Jets' preview Day, going down the checklist, personnel scheme, matchups,
keys to victory, all that fun stuff and a heck
of a lot more from the Baptist Hill Studios inside
the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1 (00:31):
This is the Drive Time Podcast.
Speaker 2 (00:34):
Daff You don't need a heck of a lot in
terms of a dissertation to get to know the New
York Jets.
Speaker 1 (00:40):
You know them. They are who you thought they were.
But for a real brief history.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
Back to back AFC title game apps in twenty nine
twenty ten, but haven't returned to the playoffs ever since
then eight wins, six wins, eight wins, four wins them.
Speaker 1 (00:56):
That ten and six.
Speaker 2 (00:58):
Ryan Fitzpatrick led team in twenty five fifteen with Eric
Decker and Brandon Marshall that missed out on the playoffs
because of a.
Speaker 1 (01:04):
Tie breaker and a brutal Week.
Speaker 2 (01:06):
Seventeen loss at the Buffalo Bills the pre Josh Allen
Buffalo Bills, but after that things have gotten much much worse.
Five wins each in twenty sixteen and seventeen, four wins
in twenty eighteen, then seven and twenty nineteen, but back
at a bottom out at two and fourteen in twenty twenty.
That leads to a coaching change to Robert Salah. He
(01:28):
takes over a roster that had to undergo a total
foundation up rebuild and they win four games that season.
But they have the twenty twenty two draft after getting
a pair of ones for Jamal Adams of all people,
and they get Sauce Gardner and Garrett Wilson. They win
seven games, and you might recall they were seven to
(01:48):
four one point that season. Then in twenty three they
make the big play for the quarterback Aaron Rodgers. He
gets hurt on the fourth play of the season. Zach
steps right back into the lineup after four plays and
they win seven games again. Then they finally get Rogers
healthy and the result seven wins again that cost Robert
Sala his job. Four games into that twenty twenty four season,
(02:11):
they elevate Jeff Ulbrick to the interim head coaching position.
He goes three to nine and that leads to the
hiring of Aaron Glenn. They move on from Rogers, Glenn
brings some Lions staff with him. Tanner Engstrand is the
pass game coordinator in Detroit, now the OC with the Jets,
Glenn brings back Steve Wilkes, who had a sort of
year off I guess as a volunteer advisor for Charlotte
(02:34):
in college, but he had been a d C and
has head coaching experience. But Glenn gets his OC, his
O line coach, and an assistant DB's coach, his former specialty,
all from the Detroit Lions. They change their scheme, although
it's still about aggression and the mindset of dictating terms
and setting the tone. They had a pretty good draft,
(02:55):
including a right tackle in the top ten who looks
to me like a future All pro. As for the
twenty twenty five season itself, an zero to seven start,
three and two in the last five, A three and
nine football team that the Dolphins should be able to
handle business against up there at the Meadowlands despite all
the weather and all that stuff. And we'll tell you
why right now. Let's go ahead and kick it off
(03:17):
here with the depth chart review the quarterback position, a
change from justin fields a Tyrod Taylor that's the one
two punch. The running back is pretty much one guy
and then spells when he needs a breath. Breise Hall,
backed up by Isaiah Davis and Andrew Beck is the
full back. The receiving corps is different than you've seen
for a while for this Jets team. Two players they
acquired in season in Ad Mitchell from the Colts and
(03:39):
John Metchi from the Texans or did he go.
Speaker 1 (03:41):
To the Eagles.
Speaker 2 (03:42):
He might have gone to the Eagles from the Texans,
it doesn't matter. Isaiah Williams and then Alan Lazard's kind
of the one remaining guy left from the Rogers teams there.
The tight ends are Mason Taylor and Jeremy Ruckert. The
left tackle is Olufashanu, the right tackles armand Membu. Their
swing tackle is Max Mitchell, who's played a lot of
football in this league already. On the interior, John Simpson,
(04:03):
a big free agent acquisition last year, has played good
ball for them.
Speaker 1 (04:06):
This year.
Speaker 2 (04:06):
They signed John Myers, who's been the center and been
stable in that position, and Joe Tipman fills in at
right guard for the injured Elijah Vera Tucker who was
hurt back in training camp. On defense, Jawan Briggs is
now the first defensive tackle they call upon him, and
Harris and Phillips are the one to two punch. They
picked up Kaylin Sanders, the former Norland Saint and Kansas
City chief who hasn't really had much success in recent
(04:30):
years after a good start to his career. On the edge,
Will McDonald and Jermaine Johnson a pair of first round picks,
and Michael Clemens is kind of the third guy in
the pecking order there. At linebacker Quincy Williams still in
town Jamie and Sherwood, and the third backer is Marcello
McCrary ball At cornerback no more saw so Brandon Stevens
is the top dog there. I don't know how to
(04:50):
pronounce his first name still after going through the draft process.
But the Florida State rookie Isaiah Isaiah. It's a thomas
a And the nickel position is a little bit up
in the air right now. Jarvis Brownlee was injured in
practice last week and had to miss the game. Just
Seer Taylor played the third most cornerback snaps when they
(05:11):
have when Brownlee's not out there, they don't really have
a true nickel cornerback, so we'll kind of find it
in the interim with the safety position and the outside corners.
Malachai Moore is the top safety. The rookie Tony Adams
Isaiah Oliver round out the group. There injuries on the
injury reserve right now. Two receivers Garrett Wilson not going
to play in the game and Josh Reynolds that was
supposed to be their one to two coming into the
(05:31):
year prior to the Mitchell and Metchi acquisitions. Elijah Vera
Tucker the right guard, he's down, running back Braylen Allen
is down, and starting free safety Andre Cisco is also out.
I mentioned Brownlee. He was injured on Friday in practice.
Listen is questionable to play, downgraded to doubtful. Obviously did
not play in the game, and that really causes them
to get super deep into that rotation because Sauce was
(05:55):
the best corner on the team, Michael Carter was the
second best corner on the team, and Jarvis Brownlee is
the next best corner on the team, but he has
didn't play in the game last Sunday.
Speaker 1 (06:05):
We need to be able to throw the ball.
Speaker 2 (06:07):
Against this defense, and I'll tell you how that can
happen here in just one second. Safety Tony Adams also
had a growing injury on Sunday. He did not return
to the game, but Aaron Glenn did say postgame he
thinks that Adams will be fine. So they also moved
on or lost players, you know for various reasons, from Saucegard,
Michael Carter, and defensive tackle Quincy Williams. I mean, that
(06:27):
might be their three best defensive players in this defense
going into the year, and they're all gone now.
Speaker 1 (06:31):
Their offensive line is a lot like ours.
Speaker 2 (06:34):
They lost their opening day starter at right guard very
early in this campaign, and they have the other four
guys up and going right now, and quite frankly, the
backup right guard has played pretty good football. Let's get
to the Jets personnel here. On the offensive side of
the ball. The best part about this entire roster, undisputed
in my opinion, is the tackle position and the offensive
line in general, but specifically off the edges. With Olufashanu
(06:57):
and armand Membu really really really good football players, I
think this is one of the toughest matchups on the
field because with Membo his ability to play downhill, but
also pair that with quick jump sets.
Speaker 1 (07:09):
He's tough to read.
Speaker 2 (07:10):
You kind of have to beat him post snap after
he makes you know one of his after he unfurls
one of his many options he has in terms of
how he gets into his set, and they don't really
have to help him. And that's the same deal with
fashanhu on the other side, so they can really squeeze
and condense inside. Membu can widen, he can absorb. He's
really adept at widening in the running game and kicking
you out. And for Shan who is just as good,
(07:32):
and that's where Bradley Chubb would get his work in.
In fact, Forashanhuo might be one of the best left
tackles in football right now.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
And Chubb's been getting home.
Speaker 2 (07:39):
He's got some juice with power and then a good
plan after that. I absolutely love that he saved his
best pass rush move in his bag for the two
point play on Sunday against the Saints. It kind of
made the difference on that play in my opinion. But
for shan who can mix his sets, he can get vertical,
he can handle the inside redirect be Chub's been winning
with power most of the time this year. I think
(07:59):
for Sean who is as well equipped to handle that
among any of the left tackles he'll face all year long.
I think the single most critical aspect of this matchup
will be the Dolphins edges ability to condense the pocket
and create basically rush lane integrity and not give Tyrod
Taylor chances a step up out of the outside of
the pocket, and hopefully you get some inside wins from Seeler,
(08:22):
Kenny g Zeke and Jordan Phillips. I think this is
the kind of matchup Jets o line versus Dolphins pass
rush that's more about the sum of your parts.
Speaker 1 (08:30):
To me.
Speaker 2 (08:31):
For the Dolphins, it's a dig deep game, a dirty
work game. It's not going to be fun. The production
probably not going to be there for you in terms
of your sacks and pressures. But if you can do
your job and contain, contain and contain, the defense will
produce as a whole and get this Jets offense off
the field and give opportunities to the back seven. I
think part of that is the mixture of pressure looks
(08:54):
where you show it often and bring it frequently, use
an extra body to spy this quarterback.
Speaker 1 (08:58):
Normally. I think the spy.
Speaker 2 (09:00):
Like, how do I say this without like sounding like
an elitist butthole?
Speaker 1 (09:07):
Uh?
Speaker 2 (09:07):
Like, the spy is kind of one of the biggest
misnomers of like casual ball fans, because like dcs don't
don't want to use a spy because you're pulling out
of your rush or your coverage to have someone just
stand on the football field. But I think this is
one of the few games that calls for it because
of the quarterback's ability and the player that I think
you can use in the spy that's effective in that
(09:28):
spy role and doesn't do as much in the other
areas as you would like. I think it makes sense
in this game to have Tyrel dots in a post
to playing in the hook where I don't think it's
been at his best this year, and Tyrod rarely throws
the ball to that area of the field anyway, So
like heat him up with a sim pressure or an
extra fifth rusher, and then use an additional player as
(09:50):
a spy in Tyrel Dotson, who's shown some feel for
that in the way he reads out those escape hatches
and patterns and cuts those things off. I think he's
very adept at doing that. I think that would be
the play here, whether it's Tyrell Dotson, Jordan Brooks, and
multiple pressure looks as well. I think those two linebackers
and Tyrod Taylor are the key to stopping this Jets
offense from getting off script production, which is kind of
how they operate. I think that's how you get to
(10:12):
him factor of the nickel and the safeties and there
as well. Minka gets his first career sack on Sunday.
I think he could have a second career sack and
back to back games if it goes that way. I
also wonder if it's a bigger Jason Marshall junior game,
just because of the use of tight ends and the
backs in the passing game. They love to screen this
thing Debreze Hall. They run about twenty percent of their
personnel through two tight end sets, and Minka's ability to
(10:35):
rush and fit from that slot position pairs well with
his ability to cover those tight ends. They like to
get the little short passing game going to They did
that with Minca a ton some with Iffy on Sunday.
But I think there is a variety of options at
the disposal here. For Anthony Weaver, the receiving core is
almost all new from the last time we played against them.
I think there's a lot of good personnel here in
the skill groups, but the problem is the ripple effect
(10:59):
of not having Garrett Wilson. Like a lot of these
groups are built around like, hey, we have a star
and then the rest of the guys are good role players.
But you lose that star, and all of a sudden,
the pop is taken out of the room or out
of the group. If you insert Garrett into this mix
with that offensive line, suddenly the roles of Mechi and
Mitchell is a two and a three fall into place.
And not to disparish Tyrod Taylor, but he's played a
(11:20):
long time. I remember watching this guy for the Buffalo
Bills back in twenty sixteen play against US.
Speaker 1 (11:25):
We know what he is.
Speaker 2 (11:26):
He's not the future there in New York. If they
hit the quarterback this offseason, with the personnel they have,
they would be a candidate. And I've for a long
time talked about the Jets in this podcast and never
given them any shines. I never thought they were a
good football team the entire time I've been doing this.
But if they found a quarterback in next year's draft,
or maybe they hit on a free agent for the
first time at that position. They would be a candidate
(11:48):
to me to possibly have a big turnaround next year
because I think some of the pieces are in place here,
at least offensively. Defensively different story after the trades they made,
but Taylor's approven commodity and the theory of the little
bit that he's at least, you know, he's given them
some stability to position, so I think that's been helpful.
I think Bryce Hall is running better than he ever
(12:09):
has in his career. He's got a good rhythm and
feel right now, enough speed to stretch you wide. He's
good in the passing game, gets the hard yards as well.
He's really running inspired right now. And it tracks because
I thought he started his career nicely. I thought he
was really bad for a couple of years there, but
now he seems to be back. I think some of
that has to do with the fact that remember how
vocal he was. Maybe you don't, but he was vocal
(12:30):
about asking for a trade at the deadline when they
were having that fire cell he didn't get it. And
now he's going into free agency this next offseason and
he's running like he wants to earn a nice payday,
and he probably will. With Mason Taylor, who I think
is probably the best player of the entire group right now,
even as a rookie in terms of consistency and projecting
what you get each week, his patience and nuanced as
(12:52):
a route runner is something to keep an eye on
when it comes to that intermediate game over the ball.
Tyrod doesn't go through a whole lot, but off structure,
he can kind of find space that way. That's a
real area of vulnerability within the structure of this scheme,
and he has an innate feel Taylor does with Tyrod, Sorry,
Mason Taylor. With Tyrod Taylor. When Tyrod goes off script,
(13:12):
I think Minka is probably your Mason Taylor matchup there,
but also Marshall and Iffy, as we talked about earlier,
when you want to deploy Minca in different avenues, I
think Rasoul and Jack are good enough to match up
with any of the receivers on the team one on one,
but you just have to be ready for Mitchell to
run vertical match. He's gonna do his two way gos
and little sudden jolt movements from the slot, but again,
(13:35):
Taylor doesn't really go in that direction for him a lot,
but Mitchell flew by a quarter's look, which, by the way,
butt faced Jason Brown, the horrible Netflix quarterback guy that
is just an absolute disaster on Twitter who came after
Mina Kimes from not understanding quarters coverage. Ad Mitchell ran
by quarters coverage for a fifty two yard touchdown Sunday.
So I took that in your pipe and smoke at
(13:55):
Jason Brown. He also drew a long defensive pass interference
call on third and four where there's no safety help
just runs a fade chuck it Huckett Roethlisberger football. It's underthrown.
dB runs right through him automatic thirty plus yards. We
have to be patient at the catch point and make
him make a tough catch. It's like closing out on
a three point shooter in hoop. Go get a hand
(14:15):
in his face because if he has a wide open rim,
he's going to cash that thing. If you put a
hand in his face, he's probably not going to do that.
Don't interfere with him, don't get tripped up and lose
your feet. Stay in his face. That's the only reason
this guy's not a one thousand yard receiver. He really
struggles to concentrate at the catchpoint when you can test it.
If you don't, he'll burn you for one hundred and
fifty yards. So just be in his face all game long.
(14:37):
Let's go ahead and pause for our first break right there,
come back and talk about the Jets personnel on defense.
We have some scheme talk to get to as well, predictions, keys,
a whole like of a lot more on a Thursday
here in December, Draft Time podcast brought to you by autonationth.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
Roethlisberger, the quarterback, was all hug it chug it football
all night.
Speaker 2 (15:04):
I kind of feel like, if I'm gonna give you
guys a super deep cut reference that only four members
of the audience know about, I probably should show it
to you. That is a clip from the great Elizabeth
Banks and Seth Rogan vehicle. Zach and Mary make a
certain type of film. I won't say it here on
the show. So that's where that comes from. Let's talk
about the Jets defensive personnel. I pulled my week four
(15:26):
notes from that Monday night game that feels like it
was about sixteen years ago, and I had four paragraphs
in that podcast talking about Sauce and Quinnen and they
are not on the team anymore and it's changed the
way they play. More on that, and just a moment
here in the scheme portion, let's talk about the players
they do have, Juwan Briggs. You know, for all the
Jets have not done this year like they've done a
(15:48):
good job of finding like ancillary pieces, role players within
the roster. Jawan Briggs went from a rotational piece to
a starter and a pretty well impact player in that
Quinn Williams trade.
Speaker 1 (16:00):
That's when he got the elevated role.
Speaker 2 (16:01):
I should say he's got power, but also has some
one gap immediate penetration wins. But and this is across
the board for these guys, they will cheat the scheme.
They'll try to backdoor you and make a play outside
of the structure, and we have the athletes to thwart
this and make them play pay not play. And this
is it's not that dissimilar to the five years of
(16:22):
podcast I did or whatever it was covering the Robert
Solad defense, where it's like we gash them on the
ground and outside zone every single week because they want
to get upfield and they take themselves out of the play.
It's not that different from that, especially because this is
a different Dolphins team the Jets will have seen in
the Mike McDaniel era, with our big groupings with added gaps.
(16:43):
You cannot give Devon ah Chan a crease because he
will go. He will score if you give him a
tiny crease, and I think he'll have a chance for
that in this game. Will McDonald, it feels like he's
been on the precipice of kind of breaking through for
a while, but he just hasn't gotten there. His bend
is exceptional. That was evident back into Iowa State. He's
got a great get off. He's played together his rush
(17:03):
plan better as he goes long here in his career.
But his matchup this week is against one of the
best tackles in all the football. I think Patrick Paul
can negate a lot of those skills, but I think
McDonald will try to set Paul and then change up
on him in a critical moment.
Speaker 1 (17:17):
What I mean by that is like you show speed,
show speed, show speed.
Speaker 2 (17:20):
That him with a crossover inside move on a key
third down in the second half of the game. That
was kind of the last test I wanted to see
from Patrick Paul this year when I wrote this back
in Week four, but he's done it. I don't worry
about fifty two ever, set and forget player. To me,
he erases just about anybody he faces besides the very
very best in the league, and even then he's got
a chance to do that against those players as well.
(17:41):
They do move him around when he kicks off the
right side of the offense's formation. With Austin Jackson, he
has the foot quickness to match Will McDonald. I talked
about that inside punch on the inside shoulder move that
Austin Jackson throws, or that he threw a lot in
the game on Sunday. It works for him, but I'd
be wary of it against McDonald because he can band
in a way that most guys can't, and Austin can
(18:02):
usually out athlete you back to the spot, but McDonald
can match that. So just be aware that if you're
going to try to give that edge and show the
corner and be like, hey here, it is no to
just get and take it away, McDonald can actually expose
that and actually take it away from you. The Falcons
moved Jermaine Johnson off the football consistently with a tight end.
Speaker 1 (18:20):
Man.
Speaker 2 (18:22):
I know we've had some draft issues here, you know,
in recent years, and it's looked worse from like twenty
twenty class this year than it ever had, right, But
the Jets man Jermaine Johnson, Will McDonald, they just traded
away sauce, like a lot of these big pieces that
were supposed to be the foundation of their rebuild. It's
not working out. And Jermaine Johnson's a big part of that.
(18:42):
Like I watched the Falcons displace him at the line
of scrimmage over and over again with tight ends. Okay, well,
here's Julian Hill and he's one of the best in
the league of doing that. I really think we are
equipped with our updated approach to kind of run it
down their throat. Like I talked about, you can knock
these edges off the football. Their backers are not super
adept at defeating domination blocks where we climb up. In fact,
it's a flat out weakness of theirs, and that's part
(19:04):
of this. You know, if you want a one gap
and jump a scheme on us, and we're gonna just
basically kind of run screen action where go ahead, go
ahead and get up field. Devon can beat you with
his speed, and then we're gonna go climb with Aaron
Brewer up on Jamie and Sherwood, which, if you recall
the game down here in Miami last year, that was
a matchup that sure would want no part of. Brewer
kicked his bear butt in that one. Cole Stranger has
(19:28):
been doing a good job in that regard, and Jonas
of Vite and I can do it too, So I
think with that Quincy Williams is not the same block
beater he used to be. And then my favorite guy
I talked about on the Jets defense, like NFL player right,
made a great life for himself, had an NFL career
more accomplished than I ever will be in my entire life.
But gosh, dang it, if I am watching this tape
(19:48):
and I have a sombrero to put on somebody, it's
gonna be Marcelo McCreary ball. I would just go after
him a lot in this game. He's not a block
defeatter nor a good feel and cover guy. Now, Harrison
Phillips up front is a very good player. He has
some one gap wins and some stout point of attack reps,
but he can really get himself out of those gaps.
This whole defense struggles to stay in their gaps. They
(20:09):
have bad discipline, which I you know, I think that's
kind of a We saw it with the Lion's defense
the last couple of years. They're bugaboo. It's been the
same case here for the New York Jets. They will
cheat and jump and back door and get misfits. And
that's how Bijon Robinson exploits him for one hundred and
forty two yards in the ground on Sunday. And then Sherwood.
I mentioned, you know, Harrison Phillips's quickness, Juwan Briggs's quickness,
(20:31):
Jamie and Sherwood. Even though it's a bad matchup for him,
his quickness is also a thing. They can create some
negatives with those three players. If you can avoid that
and protect the football, I think this game is going
to be a blowout. As far as the Dolphins offense
versus the Jets defense, their safety play has also struggled
because they've got new pieces coming in just about every
single week. Tony Adams left the game on Sunday, they
go with a cornerback Isaiah Oliver to replace him in
(20:53):
that spot. Andre Cisco is down for the year. Who
is the guy they lost at the start of the year.
I'm not gonna look it up. It's not worth getting into.
But they lost a starter before the season began as well.
They've struggled to produce consistent pressure, especially with four There's
just not a lot to hang their hat on. And
they had to expect that after trading away, you know,
(21:15):
trading away Sauce and quinnin I saw a few reps
where they would present their middle of the field, single
high look and the Falcons would motion the receiver from
one side of the formation to the other and the
safety would come down and cover that receiver and they
would peel the backside cornerback into the post. So like, hey,
just do a whole different position that you're not used to.
If you get a receiver on that safety, attack to
(21:36):
us see that, go after it, because that's not what
you want in coverage. That's a matchup you have to like,
whether it's Wattle, whether it's Malik, whether it's Cedric. I
don't care to attack it no matter who you have
on it. And then Brandon Stevens we talked about this
back in week four. We talked about this back in
free agency. We watched his film this offseason, thinking, hey,
he played for Anthony, maybe he could be an option.
But I don't see any feel I see a grabby
(21:56):
player who is slow and stiff. If Wattle gets him
one on one, his releases against his cover style is
a sure thing for a possible explosive like a slug
o little double move. He can absolutely cook this cornerback
if we get that option. The opportunity easy for me
to say. Watch him try to get hands on guys.
He's the number one cornerback there after the sauce trading.
(22:18):
He gets cooked up a lot. He's consistently soft shoeing it,
turning down tackles. We saw a chan run right by
Alontai Taylor last week. I updated watching him from this
last game, stiff as a board, like, I just don't
see it there. So between Stevens and McCrary ball, that's
my area of attack.
Speaker 1 (22:35):
Yeah, I would go after him hard.
Speaker 2 (22:36):
I think the rookie Thomas A Thomas from Florida State,
it's probably easier than I think it is, but it's
like it's got an apostrophe and then an h at
the end. I have no idea how to pronounce this
kid's name, But it's nice to been a nice fine
for them so far. They do put him in some
tough spots where he has a two way go on
the outside without help and you can get those crossers
against him, like, hey, try to match Jalen Wattle's speed
(22:59):
on an over route where you have to run with
him for fifty yards like this. This doesn't happen very often,
so I like those spots as well. And the one
more player to kind of put the sombrero on Michael
Clemens when he gets out there. He can really expose
his chest in the running game, which for Austin Jackson
is a target to hit and run over and through. Defensively,
they're scheme calling cards here for the Jets defense against
the Dolphins offense man free cover, three one gap aggressive approach.
(23:23):
They had to adjust their their to changing personnel throughout
the year, and it's not really a big departure from
the scheme under Robert Sala. You'd be hard pressed to
find a more aggressive mindset coach on defense like mann coverage,
man coverage and some more man coverage. In fact, they
run let's see cover one twenty percent and two man.
(23:43):
They ran eight percent, so they're about a thirty a
little bit more than a thirty percent man team, which
is down from what they ran last year Detroit. But
they don't have the guns in this defense, especially post
Gardner trade. But you're gonna get opportunities for verticals. You'll
get slot fade opportunities, fades to the boundary for your X,
which has been waddle in the past. But this is
just the second game we'll see them without see them
(24:05):
against US without Tyreek Hill. And sure enough in that
last one Wattle catches a sixty yard touchdown pass as
the X. Now that was in twenty three against DJ Reed.
But the point about how to attack the scheme remains
even with a different coach another calling card. Again, they
won gap. They will play a lot in nickel. They've
lost the edge in the run game, and the few
(24:26):
games I've watched, particularly off the right side, they want
a backdoor and play up field as much as they
possibly can. I looked at their season long numbers and
then also at the week eight to thirteen metrics to
kind of get a gauge for the trade deadline and
how they have adjusted post Sauce in Quinn days. I
thought it was important to see if they change much
post trade, and they have to, right, they had to
(24:47):
because you had a premieer lockdown number one cornerback. That
affects the way you call defense. But it's been a
gradual change, but you can see where the impact is.
So they were or rate from the last five games
five weeks, they've been twenty percent Cover two, twenty percent
Cover one that's a zone and a man principle, and
they've also played nineteen percent Cover three that's a you know,
(25:08):
a man three deep third drops, defense.
Speaker 1 (25:11):
And zone.
Speaker 2 (25:12):
But all of those are down by three percent. Their
quarters coverage is at thirteen percent, that's down two percent,
and where they took all that extra change remaining is
about a ten percent two man.
Speaker 1 (25:22):
Look, this is what they want to get to.
Speaker 2 (25:23):
They borrowed from the rest of it and play more
two man, which can present like cover one and cover
three if you want to incorporate disguise. But again, like
we talked about this against the Commanders a couple of
weeks back, and I think this is an old school thing,
like Dan Quinn's old school. Aaron Glenn played in the
old school Cover one, Cover three, No disguise.
Speaker 1 (25:44):
What you see is what you get.
Speaker 2 (25:45):
That's what jumped off the Falcons game tape for me,
post safety Cover one to Cover three, Split safety presents
the cover two, the two man and quarters menu, which
can be a nice disguise in and of itself, but
at least you know pretty much whether or not you're
gonna get zone or man against most of those types
of looks, And I think that predetermination with the safety
(26:05):
position is a nice indicator for Tua where he can
assess and hopefully do some damage pre snap, you know,
pre twenty twenty five to two certainly would have. But
I think this just comes down to Aaron Glenn's preference
to force the issue. He's an aggressive coach. He doesn't
want to sit back and let you dictate terms. So
for Tua and the passing offense, the tricky twos, he
always talks about will they invert, will they go stubby,
(26:27):
will logo palms, all these different options where they can
kind of show you one thing and present something else.
I don't see it, but you have to be ready
for it. If that's the case, you know what that means, right,
If they're gonna play those two highs they're light a
hat in the running game. So for the Jets, the
challenge becomes, Hey, the Dolphins have this speed element and
their normal procedure of attack down the field in the
passing game, but they've also changed these big groupings. How
(26:50):
can we take away both? I don't think you can,
so maybe we do get that cover one challenge you
to beat them vertically. Something tells me Glenn's gonna come
into this game and say I am not letting Devon
h Chan and that running game beat me. I'm gonna
make us make two a beat us, and he's gonna
have to do it down the field. So Wattle big
(27:10):
time opportunity for him. And like again we talked about
this on the Wednesday show, Miami only ran thirteen plays
from eleven personnel. If that's the formula again, two backs,
two tights, extra offensive lineman. I suspect you'll get the
Jets out of their nickel grouping and into base with regularity,
in which that case, then you can basically present these
(27:31):
run looks, these run elements, and then pull the ball
out and run your layer's concepts your bootleg and get
Darren Waller going this to me, this is a big
Darren Waller game. I can see him going for close
to the century mark in this game because of how
it presents as like a Hey, here's a run formation.
Speaker 1 (27:46):
We've got eight gaps.
Speaker 2 (27:47):
You're gonna come down, You're gonna put two, you're gonna
put three linebackers in the formation, you're gonna bring a
safety down. And now we have a one on one
matchup with McCrary ball or with Quincy Williams against Darren Waller.
Good luck on that. And if they don't match up
with it and they nickel run the football. To me,
it's that simple, and you can really attack Marcelino McCarry
ball like.
Speaker 1 (28:07):
He is so lost.
Speaker 2 (28:09):
I talked about on the last the Week four show.
He's the guy I'm going after. So after all of
my diatribes about the success of this offensive change, here's
where I think Waller is primed for a big day.
I think you present those run formations and attack them
in the passing game. Unless they don't adjust to it,
then just go ahead and run the football. The world
is your oyster. You can also do things that mess
(28:30):
with their coverage responsibilities. The Falcons did a whole bunch
in that game. Like they had a short motion where
they brought a receiver into a stack and the corners
tried to like banjo it and change the responsibility and
got totally discombobulated. And the safety is like running around
in circles not knowing where to go. They play soft
from the hook zone, not connected. So that quick game
is also an option against any defense with the idea
(28:51):
of that present heavy throw the ball if they match
up to it. If they don't match up to it,
just run the ball down their throats. They play sixty
seven percent of the time and nickel seven percent of
the time in dime and they play twelve percent in
a three to four and twelve percent in a four
to three.
Speaker 1 (29:08):
So there you go. A couple more things to cover here.
Speaker 2 (29:09):
Let's talk about the Jets calling cards with their offense
against this Dolphins defense. That's Next Draft Time podcast, brought
to you by AutoNation. Hey guys, it is Jets week.
It's New York Jets Week. If you can't get fired
up for that, I don't watch you in my building.
(29:30):
Beat the Jets. All right, let's talk about their offense
against this Dolphins defense and their scheme calling cards. They
go eleven personnel two thirds of the time, they go
twelve personnel one fifth of the time, and they have
a twenty one package they dabble in for six percent
of their offensive workload. There's a lot of mirrored concepts,
which quite frankly to me is a little bit elementary,
(29:51):
which I think for their passing game and their quarterbacks,
makes a lot of sense. Hey, the front side the
same as the backside, so you know what you're gonna
get there, and if Tyrod doesn't.
Speaker 1 (29:58):
Like it in rhythm, he's off. He got owned.
Speaker 2 (30:00):
And the Falcons that are really really, really poor job
with their rush lane integrity, they lect degree. We were
excellent against the Saints with it until the last couple
of minutes of the game and that one drive in
the third quarter. I think we can execute this plan
the same plan, especially with those bigger fronts we talked
about on the last couple of shows, the big Nickel
(30:22):
groupings and just our gap sound approach we've seen during
the win streak. But when Taylor breaks contain man, he
can win with his legs or he can find outlets.
He's got smart options at the bigger positions, the backs
and tight ends. Mason Taylor, Breis Hall, Jeremy Rucker, all
adept at finding space in the short zones. And then
the speed guys can get off script and they can
(30:43):
run away from you. So you have to be careful
against all these eligibles when Taylor gets off script. Ad
Mitchell and John Metchi the guys I'm talking about there.
I watched a ten play cutup and I did not
see Taylor within that one cutup get to his second
read in the progression. I think we're good enough to
win in coverage against him with both Jones and sewell
as well as Minka and our band of nickelbacks as well.
(31:06):
I think we can confuse that first read with a
mixture of disguise, sim pressures extra blitzers from the second
and third level, and then comes the biggest key, your
rush contained. We must must be on our p's and
ques there. The Falcons lost contain a lot, and he
made plays out of structure and it cost them the
football game. They want to take deep shots against one
(31:26):
on one man coverage, typically a third down situation. They've
got no problem running the fade to the non help
side and taking it and an ad Mitchell has to
make a play on the football. He's got good burst
and acceleration, and if he's tracking it well, he is
a dangerous player. Ran through the quarters covered I talked
about for that fifty two yard touchdown on Sunday. You know,
it's funny because when I first got ready for the
(31:46):
Week four game, I was pretty excited about the route
distribution and spacing and their offense. But now it's like
it's kind of a jumbled mess, and like it doesn't
match up with the timing of the quarterbacks drop and footwork.
It's consistently just bibly. There was a snap in the
game where John Metchi motions across the formation and they
snap it before he clears the right tackle, and the
(32:08):
right tackle takes his set right into the motion man
knocks him over and opens up the B gap and
just gets run through for a sack or at least
a quarterback hit on that particular play.
Speaker 1 (32:17):
So not a lot of in sync.
Speaker 2 (32:21):
It's gonna by may action for this Jets offense. The
quarterback Tyrod Taylor recovered it pretty well. If not quick
game catch rock throw a predetermined vertical route against one
on one coverage. He's gonna move, He's gonna get off
the spot. He can tuck it and go. He can
find outlets. If you don't plaster in coverage, he really
stresses you once you break contain. You can't let that
(32:42):
happen too often. If you hem him into the pocket,
you will dominate this game. They'll have low passing efficiency,
you might get a takeaway, and you can really get
the Jets punter a good workout if you do that
our quarterback, I think it's a nice spot here for
Tua for a bounce back week. There's some inconsistencies and
there's zo drops. We average over eleven yards depth of
(33:02):
target last week.
Speaker 1 (33:03):
That's way too high.
Speaker 2 (33:04):
Get the quick game going, man, good opportunity to get
back to the quick game, pair it with the power
run game, and then look to exploit a couple of
deep matchups when they present themselves. If we protect the football,
hit like one deep shot in this game. I feel
very confident. Actually, if we just don't turn the ball over,
and the Jets have just two takeaways all season, no picks.
If we don't turn the ball over, I think we'll
win this football game. Special teams and miscellaneous. I think
(33:27):
the Jets are motivated right now and they're playing fast
and physical. Winning just changes vibes and moods and your
approach and your hunger. For most guys, like there are
unicorns that stay locked in at all times, like Jordan Brooks,
which we're going to talk about Jordan Brooks a little bit,
I think on the Friday Show with some of the
commentary from Mike McDaniel and his leadership. But I very
(33:47):
much think that winning breeds better energy and that snowballs,
which is why I want to just win, you know, always,
especially here going forward. But I think you're going to
get an inspired group, plays fast and fired up. Both teams.
Special teams have been very good. We are up to
second and EPA on special teams. They won a game
(34:07):
a few weeks back, the Jets did because of their
special teams against the Browns. Nick Folk never misses. He
boots a fifty six yard winner through the rain on
Sunday versus the Falcons. Actually they probably won last week
because special teams too, because they recovered a MUF punt
the two yard line and cash it in for seven
points in a game they won by three. And we'd
be remiss not to mention the non football factors in
(34:28):
this game, it's supposed to between the thirties and forties
temperature wise, tough road environment, need a clean operation, protect
the football.
Speaker 1 (34:35):
All of that, what's at stake. Just keep winning.
Speaker 2 (34:37):
You win here, you get to go to Pittsburgh with
a chance to even our record, which at one and
six never thought that would be possible. Some of the
teams were looking up at play each other or difficult
opponents this week. Keep winning, keep moving up. Don't overlook
the Jets. Keys to victory. Exploit pass opportunities from run looks.
If they match heavy personnel with base defense, throw the
(35:01):
football to Darren Waller and Gillen Waddle from those sets.
Number two, play clean football, limit the mistakes, protect the football.
Do that you should win this game against a lesser opponent.
And number three, maintain your rush lane and biggerty and
keep Tyrod Taylor in the pocket. My prediction for this game,
the tape says blowout multiple score win elements factor in
reduce that a little bit more. For me. I think
(35:23):
we can grind them to a pulp with our offense
and hit an explosive or two to the tight end
and to waddle move them off the football, control the
point of attack and just dominate these guys. I don't
think Taylor will be able to do a whole lot
outside of making some scramble plays and throws off structure,
but that's not going to be enough to keep pace.
Speaker 1 (35:41):
I'll reduce what I think.
Speaker 2 (35:42):
Should be able to blow out because of the road environment,
because of our own self inflicted wounds at times, because
of the weather elements of this that impacts our quarterback,
and I'll go Dolphins twenty seven Jets seventeen on TNF tonight.
I'm picking the Lions over the Cowboys. You all please
be sure subscribe to the podcast this rating to leave
us an a review. Come back tomorrow we'll talk to
Kyle Krabs. We'll pick the games and break down some
(36:05):
audio from coaches. Also, go ahead and follow the Miami
Dolphins at Miami Dolphins and myself at Wingfold NFL. On social,
check out the YouTube channel for Dolphins, HQ, Media, Availabilities,
and so much more.
Speaker 1 (36:16):
A last, but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com.
Speaker 2 (36:19):
Until next time, winds up, Caroline Cammeran and Willow and Daddy.
He's coming home.