Geopolitics - Global Briefing

Geopolitics - Global Briefing

Geopolitical news. The global briefings are written once or twice a day. The podcast voices are AI-generated using NotebookLM.

Episodes

May 25, 2025 39 mins
  • Rise of tariffs and quotas

  • Subsidies and industrial policy

  • Non-tariff barriers

  • National security concerns

  • Impacts on global supply chains

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  • Blurred lines of war and peace

  • Multi-domain operations (military, cyber, information)

  • Cognitive and disinformation campaigns

  • Proxy actors & plausible deniability

  • Emerging technologies: AI, drones

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• Historic BRICS membership growth• De-dollarization: national currencies & BRICS Pay• New Development Bank & Contingent Reserve Arrangement• Geopolitical implications & US dollar challenge• Brazil’s 2025 presidency priorities

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  • AI’s impact on asymmetric threats

  • AI in command & decision support

  • Autonomous drone swarm technologies

  • AI-driven cyber & disinformation warfare

  • Ethical, legal & governance challenges

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  • Diplomatic ceasefire push versus Russia’s counteroffer

  • Echoes of 2022 Istanbul negotiations

  • Ceasefire precondition dispute

  • Motivations of key actors: Ukraine, Russia, Turkey, US/EU

  • Possible scenarios: collapse, performative dialogue, limited de-escalation

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  • 80th WWII Victory Anniversary

  • Comprehensive Strategic Partnership

  • Global Strategic Stability

  • Economic & Energy Cooperation

  • Space & Technological Initiatives

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  • Indo-Pak hostilities spike with airstrikes and drone assaults

  • Putin-Xi summit in Moscow amid Ukraine ceasefire breaches

  • Election of Pope Leo XIV marks first North American pontificate

  • Israeli-Yemeni strikes challenge US-Houthi ceasefire in Red Sea

  • North Korea simulates nuclear counterstrike drills

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  • Early human settlement and archaeological heritage

  • Ancient maritime trade networks linking the Gulf to Mesopotamia, the Indus Valley, and East Africa

  • Arrival of Islam and integration into the Umayyad/Abbasid Caliphates

  • European incursions: Portuguese, Dutch, and British competition for Gulf trade

  • Emergence of local tribal confederations (Qawasim, Bani Yas) and sheikhly rule

  • The “Pirate Coast” narrative and British maritime treat...

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  • Historical evolution of fintech: Fintech 1.0 foundations; Fintech 2.0 bank-led digital shift; Fintech 3.0 startup disruption; Fintech 3.5 globalization

  • AI and Machine Learning applications in personalization, risk scoring, fraud detection, algorithmic trading, and operational efficiency

  • Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technology: cryptocurrencies & digital assets; DeFi; smart contracts; cross-border payments; secure recor...

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    • SR-72 Development & Timeline
      The Blackbird legacy into the SR-72 concept, from the 2013 public unveiling through projected demonstrator flights in 2025–2027 and anticipated service entry in the 2030s .
    • Turbine-Based Combined Cycle Propulsion
      TBCC engine architecture integrating turbine, ramjet, and scramjet modes—arguably the highest-risk technical hurdle for sustained Mach 6 flight .

    • Materials & Therma...

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    • The War in Ukraine: Diplomatic Overtures Amidst Continued Hostilities

    • Ceasefire Diplomacy: Proposals and Rejections (May 4–5, 2025)

    • Sino‑Russian Alignment: Xi Jinping’s Planned Moscow Visit (May 4, 2025)

    • Western Military Assistance and Strategy (May 4–5, 2025)

    • Battlefield Developments: Drones and Border Clashes (May 4–5, 2025)

    • US Policy Shifts and Global Repercussions

    • Trade Tensions: The US–China Tariff Standoff (May 4–5, 2...

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    • The New Tech Geopolitics: how technology has become a central arena for 21st-century national competition and state power

    • History and Evolution of Techno-Nationalism: tracing its roots from mercantilism and Meiji Japan to the Fourth Industrial Revolution

    • Nationalism vs. Globalism in Technology: the spectrum from techno-globalist cooperation to new and neo-techno-nationalist strategies

    • US-China Rivalry: the strategic contest drivin...

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    • Introduction: The political landscape of Canada leading up to the 2025 election, highlighting key stakes and public sentiment.

    • Campaign Transformation: The shift from traditional domestic policy debates to a bold sovereignty referendum becoming the central issue.

    • Election Night Verdict: The election outcome, and how the Liberal Party retained power amid a turbulent campaign.

    • Liberal Comeback: Factors behind the Liberal resurgence,...

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    As Singapore approaches its 60th anniversary, it confronts a “fraying” international order driven by US–China rivalry, prompting a pragmatic “many-friends” foreign policy, deepening ASEAN centrality, and active bilateral partnerships to safeguard strategic autonomy . Domestically, Prime Minister Lawrence Wong’s smooth succession and the Forward Singapore consultations aim to refresh the social compact ahead of GE2025, fostering inc...

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    • US–Iran Nuclear Negotiations Delayed

    • Rubio Becomes Interim National Security Advisor

    • US Engagement in India–Pakistan De-escalation

    • US–Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund Launched

    • Congo–Rwanda Peace Accord and Mineral Investment Push

    • Israel Strikes Near Damascus Presidential Palace

    • Russia–North Korea Strategic Border Bridge Construction Begins

    • Gaza-Bound Aid Ship Attacked by Drones off Malta

    • Singapore’s General Election Tests New PM’...

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    • The emergence of non-state actors as new sovereigns, wielding influence comparable to or surpassing that of nation-states.
    • The vast economic scale and market capitalisation of leading technology firms, often exceeding the GDP of many countries.
    • The dominance of tech giants over critical digital infrastructure, including cloud computing (AWS, Azure, GCP) and mobile operating systems (Android, iOS).
    • The strategic power derived f...
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    • The dramatic collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in December 2024.
    • The lightning offensive led by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and allies culminating in the fall of Damascus.
    • The rise and dominance of HTS within the new political structures.
    • The formal appointment of HTS leader Ahmed al-Sharaa as interim president.
    • The establishment of the 23-member transitional government in March 2025.
    • The composition of the new cabinet, including...
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    • The transformation of the Russia-Finland border from regulated interaction to a heavily secured frontier.
    • Finland's closure of land border crossings.
    • The unprecedented surge in asylum seekers from third countries arriving via Russia as the trigger for border closures.
    • Finland's accusation that Russia deliberately orchestrated or facilitated the migration flows as a hybrid tactic, specifically "instrumentalized mig...
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    • US and Ukraine Finalize Strategic Minerals Agreement
    • India Suspends Indus Waters Treaty, Escalating Tensions with Pakistan
    • Russia and North Korea Launch Construction of Strategic Border Bridge
    • US Issues Stern Warning to Iran Over Houthi Support Amid Yemen Strikes
    • Liberal Minority Government Takes Shape in Canada Following Election
    • Global Economy Navigates Inflation and Interest Rate Decisions
    • Natural Disasters Update: Myanmar Quake R...
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    -Emerging from the devastation of World War II, the European project aimed to secure lasting peace and rebuild the continent by fundamentally changing the relations between nations.  
    -The pivotal 1950 Schuman Declaration proposed placing Franco-German coal and steel production under a joint High Authority, making war between the historical rivals "materially impossible".  
    -This initiative led six founding nation...

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