Current Business Economic Climate May 2025 - Better than what's being reported

America’s Small Business Revival: Hidden Strength AmidLabor Fragility and Technological Acceleration

The May 2025 data (from the 5/2/2025 Employment Situation Summary report; the 4/30/2025 Employment Cost Index Summary report; the 4/29/2025 JOLTS - Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary report; the 4/29/2025Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment Summary report) shows unemployment deceptively at 4.2% and wages barely above inflation, the May 2025 data presents a falsely stable U.S. economy. However, a closer look reveals a labor market that is collapsing due to central misallocation. Rising long-term unemployment concealed by slight job gains is a major issue, and regulatory bloat and policy inertia limit productive dynamism. However, small businesses in places like Sioux Falls, Raleigh, and Boise are thriving where capital meets local liberty and technology is absorbed naturally, in true entrepreneurial fashion (certainly economic bright spots).The advantage? Instead of in overlyleveraged bureaucracies, real value is being created at the edges through decentralized logistics, eldercare innovation, smart agriculture, and AI-enhanced trades. Although the data indicates that bottom-up market solutionsare still very much in vogue, it also cautions us that institutional drift is real. Will policymakers try to centralize what functions best when left alone, or will they let these engines grow? Which areas or industries are you witnessing genuine innovation from minor players?

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