October 14, 2022 • 36 mins
Ben Maller and his 5th Hour homie Danny G. have a special broadcast for you, as the popular BENNY VS. THE PENNY takes over the Friday podcast for yet another week! What's the head-to-head record for the season so far? Who'll get more football picks right in NFL Week 6, Ben after hours of research, or an inanimate object? They pick every game against the spread, with Maller-style analysis!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Ka Boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes
a week was enough, I think again. He's the last
remnants of the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness.
He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as
the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of
hot takes. Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour
(00:23):
with Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere.
Welcome into another special edition of The Fifth Hour with
Ben Maller and Danny G Radio. It is Benny versus
the Penny, week number six of the NFL season, as
(00:48):
we handicap every single game. It's NFL handicapping for the
regular Guy and Danny G. We are back at it again.
A little bit of a twist this week in in
the NFL because not everyone is playing Danny this weekend.
Not everyone is playing. The NFL bye weeks kicking in
this week, so there are some teams that will not
(01:11):
be playing. But we are back at it here. The
bye weeks go between Week six and Week fourteen, so
for the next eight weeks we're gonna have at least
a couple of teams every week that will not be
playing this week. The Lions, the Texans, the Titans, and
(01:31):
your Raiders are not playing. So those are the teams
that are out this weekend. So yeah, and you know
I'm the Pennies representative so far this season. It asked
me when it's bye week, is yes, well, the no
days off for the Penny. No days off. It's like
Tony Romo and Jim Nance. They have to do every
(01:52):
game every week for CBS. So before we get to
the card today, onto the next podcast, the players. You're welcome.
It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Before we get
(02:13):
to the car today, we must look back at what
we did last week. Week five, Banny versus the Penny.
The Penny sixteen games on the card, the Penny went
eight seven and one, so a winning week, but only
by one for the Penny. So that's kind of where
you expect the Penny to be every week, within a
(02:34):
game or two, because you're just flipping a an inanomant object. Now.
I went ten five and one against the spread, did
very well in the early games, struggled in the late
television window. I got burned. The Eagles had a two
touchdown lead, failed to cover. There were a couple of
other things that did not go my way in the
(02:54):
late television windows. So but ten five and one, all
of this is documented. I want you to know, Danny.
We've got Robin, Vegas, David and Florida along with Roscoe
the Parrot, and these guys are the ambassadors of Benny
versus the Penny, along with some other people, and they're
keeping track to make sure that I am not giving
any kind of erroneous information, all right, So that's that's
(03:16):
the way it is. Yeah, Well, you've never been known
to cheat at anything involving radio. I don't know why
they need to check your work. Well, there's no You're
absolutely right on that. Uh. Eddie is the one that
does the cheating. He's not on this podcast, so I
don't need to worry about that. How about shut up?
Overall season totals. Now, the overall season totals the Penny
(03:39):
thirty seven, forty one and two. That's a four seventy
four winning percentage. Four games under. The Penny had that
dreadful Week three, Danny, where the Penny went three and thirteen,
the single worst week I've ever seen since I've been
doing this bit for over fifteen years longer than that.
Now three and thirteen in week three, so the penny
(04:02):
is still under five over five hundred outside of that week,
but you can't make up for that week very quickly.
And I I overall and forty five thirty two and three,
So penny forty two and three. That's a five eight
four winning percentage. Now, if you're a gambler, and chances
are you are if you're listening to this, in order
(04:24):
to win money as a sports better, there's a magic
number that you have to hit. You have to win
more than fifty two point four of your bets. So
I am ahead of where I need to be, not
by a ton, but enough. The penny is under five hundred,
so you gotta have a chit chat with the penny there, Danny. Yeah,
(04:47):
penny is underpaid as it is. All right, Well, we'll
see what happens this weekend in a week number six,
and we'll get started with the early games Tampa Bay
three and two, Pittsburgh in four. It's on Fox. Now.
The play by play lineup for foxes up in the
air because of the Baseball playoffs. This game will either
(05:08):
have Joe Davis or Brandon Gotten, who as the play
by play guy along with Darryl moose Johnston. The Bucks
opened a six and a half point favorite. They are
favored by nine. The handle on this game a heavy
lean towards the Buccaneers. The public thinks this is a
free money situation here and temperatures in the low sixties
(05:30):
that kick off at the stadium formerly known as Hines Field.
Some of the numbers, some of the trends on this game.
Tampa Bay. They're six and nine against the spread their
last fifteen is a road favorite of more than seven,
But the Buccaneers are five and two their last seven
games against the spread on the road. With Tom Brady
(05:50):
and the numbers on Pittsburgh, it's hard to really go
by any of the trends because the Steelers have never
been this bad, not under Mike Tomlin. But the Steeler
as a home underdog when they had decent teams eleven
five and four their last games has been a great wager. Now,
the Pittsburgh defense allowing four hundred sixteen yards per game,
(06:13):
and that is thirty in total defense. But I am
taking the Steelers in this game, and I'll tell you why.
The Buccaneers have yet to play a complete game. They
have played very well for a quarter here, a quarter there,
or a half here and a half there, but they
have yet to go full throttle for four quarters and
just blow someone away. Now the Steelers. I'm not gonna
(06:35):
sit here an upsell the Steelers. The Steelers have been horrific,
but Kenny Pikett had some promise in the game against Buffalo.
So how you're talking out of You took us, it
was thirty eight to three. What are you talking about? Listen,
there were several drops you saw that game. There was
some misplays by the white outse for Pittsburgh. That's stuff
that can be corrected. And it's hard to imagine a
(06:57):
Mike Tomlin team, no matter how how bad the Steelers
are getting their doors blown out in back to back games,
this game has backdoor cover written all over because Tampa Bay,
even last week against Atlanta, we saw them play a
good first half, not a good second half. So I'm
gonna take the Buccaneers to win, but not cover that
nine point line. Bucks twenty three and the Steelers sixteen
(07:26):
and early on the penny is cheating off of your paper.
Going with the Steelers, alright, So agreement on that Next
up Cincinnati at New Orleans in the Buyou, both teams
two and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and
Adam Archiletta. Gumble hates sports radio factor that in don't
have any handle information on this game for some reason.
(07:48):
But the temperature in New Orleans giving the eighties. It's
a dome, so it doesn't matter. Cincinnati check this out.
With Joe Burrow starting their last ten games on the road,
They've gone eight and two, but they have not done
well in this spot coming off a Sunday night game.
The Bengals lost on a late field goal against the
(08:09):
Ravens last week. Cincinnati just two and six against the
spread their last eight after playing on Sunday night. But
I am taking the Bengals in this game. Rarely does
since he have back to back stinkers. They didn't have
a stinket last week, but they were down most of
that game that came back. The Bengals are eleven and
three against the spread with Joe Burrow coming off a loss,
(08:31):
and I am not a believer in New Orleans. They
are a middling team. Jamis Winston maybe back, probably not.
Andy Dalton, the Gadget Guy doesn't matter who's out there.
I'm gonna take the Bengals in a nip and tuck game.
Since Sinnati they're only favorite body one. They'll win this game.
Bengals twenty four and the Saints twenty two at the
(08:53):
super Dome. The final penny is the only one who
doesn't want to punch Dennis Allen in the face going
with the Saints. Dennis Allen so far looking very much
like the Dennis Allen that coached the Oakland Raiders back
in the in the day. Yeah, talk about a punchable
face and not and not the good and Dennis Allen
(09:16):
one of the coaches responsible for the Raiders no longer
being in Oakland. They were so bad for so long
they couldn't generate any revenue to build a stadium, and
they moved to we know where they ended up in.
I don't know, Nevada, all right. Jacksonville two and three
at Indianapolis to two and one. That's the next game
on the card. It's on CBS with Andrew Catalan and
(09:36):
James lofton the game match up here. The Colts opened
a one point favorite. They are favored by two inside
the Dome, the friendly Confines at Lucas Oil Stadium, Sonny
in fifty seven degrees a kickoff, but it's indoors. Jacksonville
has been a terrible team in October. They've been a
terrible team the last couple of weeks three and twelve
(09:58):
against the spread, their last fifteen one in six against
the spread, their last seven with Trevor Lawrence starting on
the road. They did win earlier this year in Los
Angeles in the Hood in Inglewood against the Chargers, a
big win early on. But Jacksonville six and one against
the spread the seven matchups against Frank Reich as coach
(10:21):
of the Colts and Indianapolis. It goes further back than that.
Indianapolis is one thirteen and one against the spread their
last fifteen against Jacksonville. That is a trend that has
gone through multiple coaches, multiple quarterbacks, and no matter what,
Indianapolis has problems even you know, forget winning they won
(10:43):
some of those games but covering the spread. So I'm
taking Jacksonville in this game. Jacksonville has had a couple
of clunkers in a row. Indian doesn't really do anything
that well. Matt Ryan is a fossil. He's got eleven
fumbles already this season. The defense does not generate a
lot of pressure in Indie and this should be a
boomerang game for Trevor Lawrence. I expect him to bounce
(11:05):
back this week and have a sparkling stat line. It
should be a clean pocket and you limit the mistakes
here Jacksonville. They will pull this one out as a
small road underdog. Jags and the Colts twenty three the
final and the penny is kicking it with the Colts
(11:31):
alright to have bad job there. Next up, this is
game I like a lot New England two and three
at Cleveland two and three US on CBS with Kevin
Harlan and Trent Green. They have to call the game.
Opened up the Browns by three and a half. It's
been bent down. Brown's favored by two and a half
in this game. Temperatures getting a little cooler in Cleveland.
(11:53):
Temperatures in the low fifties at First Energy Stadium. And
some numbers on this game to Patriots eleven and four
against the spread of the last fifteen on the road
in October and Bill Belichick. You go way back with
Belichick as an underdog and he is in his last
games as an underdog. He's twenty three games above five
(12:17):
and Cleveland cannot get out of their own way. The Browns,
it's very bizarre when they've been favored by seven or less.
They are one eight and one against the spread, and
the Browns two and eight at home on Sunday against
the spread. I'm taking the Patriots in this game, and
I like this match up a lot. They say that
(12:39):
styles make fights, they also make football games. Ramandre Stevenson,
that's the guy I'm putting my money on here. The
Patriots were able to ground in pound. We expect New
England to chew up the clock, take advantage of the
real blind spot in the Browns attack their run defense.
A couple of guys got hurt and they have gone
(13:01):
up in flames. There defensively is stopping the run the
last month or so. Now, Mac Jones may come back
at the time we're we're doing Penny versus de Penny,
But to me, it doesn't matter. I mean, and Bailey
Zappy can stand there and hand off to Ramandre Stevenson
as well as the next guy, and the Patriots, whether
it's mac Jones or Zappy, are not gonna throw the
(13:23):
ball all that much. They're gonna play it conservative, close
to the events, the rudimentary attack, ground and pound, all
that and I say a close game, but the wrong
team is favorite here Patriots twenty and the Brownies seventeen
the final. The penny is going with the Browns, all right,
(13:49):
Penny's asking for more trouble here. Next up the j
E t S Jets, Jets, Jets, they don't suck right
now at three and two in Green Bay at three
and two. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen.
The Packers opened up a ten point favorite. Green Bay
(14:09):
favored by seven and about sixty percent of the money
is on the side of the Packers. Temperature at kickoff
right at fifty degrees at Lambo Field, and the numbers
on this with Matt la Fleur. The Packers are twenty
and ten against the spread in the thirty games they
(14:30):
played at home, last thirty games at home, and the Jets,
though they've they've shown some some fighting. I'm Zach Wilson.
His last seven games, the Jets are five and two
and the last ten games the Jets have played against
teams that have a winning record, they are seven at
two and one seven two and one their last ten
(14:51):
against teams that have a winning record against the spread.
So I'm gonna take the Jets. Not a lot to
break down on this game. Both these teams are challenged
at stopping the on the Giants and Ravens. The Giants
and Ravens teams that the Packers and the Jets have
matched up against here having some issues. Aaron Rodgers, you
(15:13):
can tell he's scuffling. He's awful. Little bit. The receivers
aren't really working for Green Bay, and the Jets have
been able to to come up with a little bit,
uh not Razmataz, but they've been able to scratch and claw,
and that's a good sign, especially when you're getting a touchdown.
And almost always when I get a touchdown or more,
i'm gonna take the underdog. Very rarely do I go
(15:35):
the other direction. So I'm gonna take the Packers to win,
but the Jets to cover. Packers twenty four and the
Jets twenty the final, and the Penny agrees about the
Jets covering going with New York all right, next up
Baltimore three and two at the Giants just mentioned them
(15:55):
a couple of teams that are played. The Jets and
the Green Bay Packers played in London. The Green Bay
Giants game was last week in London. Baltimore three and two,
the Giants four and one on CBS with Iron Eagle
and Charles Davis. They have to call. The Ravens opened
a six point favorite. They're favored by five and a half.
(16:16):
Over of the handle is on the side of the Ravens.
Temperatures in the mid sixties at kickoff at MetLife Stadium,
and the numbers on this one. Baltimore has been amazing
on the road with Lamar Jackson. If you're a gambler,
they're eighteen eight and two last twenty eight games with
Lamar Jackson the road. The Ravens, though, I have not
(16:38):
done particularly well after playing on Sunday Night football. From
a gambling standpoint, there's six and nine against the spread
following Sunday Night Giants. Off of that four and one
start against the spread also with Brian Davil and with
Daniel Jones starting and his last ten starts, they're eight
(16:59):
and two. I'm taking the Giants here. I'm going against
the Ravens. The Ravens have not been able to get
much separation from teams this season. They played so many
close games the Giants while they are dinged up still
they continue to play with a little gusto. And this
is a good matchup for the Giants to get another
notch in their belt and show people that they're at
least a mid level team, not a terrible team, and
(17:21):
keep this game close. That that said, I I look
into my crystal ball and I see Justin Tucker doing
it one more time that lethal leg and New York
can to cover the spread, but to lose the game.
Ravens thirty Giants seven will be your final. And the
(17:43):
penny is also a Justin Tucker fan going with the Ravens. Alright,
so the penny, But the Ravens have to win by
more than a Justin Tucker field goal to win the bets.
So that's the thing, all right. Next up, Minnesota, the
penny said five of them? Oh wow, alright, Minnesota four
and one at Miami three and two. It's on Fox,
(18:04):
so you might want to watch Kenny Albert, Friend of
the Show, and Jonathan Vilma have the call who vikings exactly?
The vikings? Vilma? Come on now, can everyone knows canny happen?
The Vikings opened up a one point under duck. Dolphins
were originally favored in the early line, but the Vikings
are a three and a half point favorite because of injuries.
(18:26):
In this game, temperatures in the mid eighties at hard
Rock Stadium in South Florida, and you look at some
of the numbers here and you get a little scary.
It gets a little scary for you and Minnesota. This
is a game where you just expect them to go out.
You know, this is an easy game. Dolphins are starting
their third string quarterback in this game. What could possibly
(18:48):
go wrong? Well, Minnesota their last twenty five games when favored,
They're just eight wins in that last eight and seventeen
against the spread. That is embarrassing in Minnesota, despite a
four and one record overall. For our purposes the gambling world,
the Vikings are one in four against the spread, and
(19:10):
the Dolphins, going back to the previous coaching regime, eleven
and four against the spread their last fifteen games at
home as an underdog and just at home in general.
I'm taking the Dolphins in this game. I'm gonna take
the Dolphins here. The Dolphins defense should be able to
get to Kirk Cousins. I believe they will. With the
(19:30):
blitz Cousins when he's been blitzed two touchdowns, two interceptions,
He's completed less than fifty percent of his passes, and
the Minnesota secondary has had some issues when they've gone
against really talented receivers. Now Miami has got a bunch
of guys dinged up, but they are supposed to play
at the time we're doing this Tyreek kill and whatnot.
So I I just simply don't trust the Purple people Eaters,
(19:52):
even with a third string quarterback Skyler Thompson, who didn't
do that well last week. Starting this week, Teddy Bridgewater
is expected to get in the game at some point.
He's going to be the backup, it would appear. And
the Dolphins, they got rid of the ping pong tables
in their locker rooms and they will get a victory.
They will be rewarded. Upset City Dolphins thirty and the
(20:17):
Vikings twenty six. Both of these teams will have the
same record by the end of play on Sunday. Penny
would like some job security kissing up to our boss
Scott Shapiro. Going with the Vikings. Yes, one of the
big Bosses, their loves the Minnesota to Vikings. Next up
San Francisco three and two at Atlanta two and three.
(20:41):
It's on Fox with Adam Amen or Chris Myers on
the call, Mark slay Rith we'll do the color commentary. Now.
Adam Amine has been doing the National League Divisional Series
on Fox, and so if that goes to a Game
five on Sunday, then Adam and will not be available.
Chris Myers will call this game exactly. The forty Niners
(21:07):
opened up a six and a half point favorite. This
line has stayed flat. That means San Francisco slash Santa
Clara is still favored by six and a half. At
the time we're doing this. The handle over sevent in
favor of the Forts. We love to fade the public,
and it seems like a good opportunity to do that
at Mercedes Bend Stadium in Georgia. Now the numbers indicate
(21:30):
that you bet on Jimmy Garoppolo, you win money. He's
twenty and nine against the spread in San Francisco, last
nine on the road, and the Niners eight and two
their last ten playing on the road, where they've gone
two thousand miles or more away from the West Coast.
The Niners have the number one defense in the NFL statistically,
(21:52):
they they've done very well defensively across the board. But
check this out. The Falcons with Marcus Mariota starting this year,
are five and oh against the spread. And I say
that goes to six and oh. I am gonna take
Atlanta in this game. The war of attrition catching up
to the Niners. Emmanuel Moseley defensive back torn a c
(22:13):
l he's out. Jimmy Ward defensive back broke his hand,
he might play. Nick bose had a growing injury. Even
the kicker, Robbie Gold injured his knee in the game
last week. So how will the forty Niners do? All
dinged up? And remember they played so far? They played
four bad offensive teams the Niners, Chicago's dreadful, They actually
(22:35):
lost that game in the Raid Carolina, the Rams are
debacle on offense right now, and Denver's got their issues.
So those are the four teams, four of the five
that San Francisco has played. Not a great resume there
in Atlanta, even with Cordarold Patterson out and Kyle Pitt's
injured with a bad hammy the Falcons the only team
(22:55):
that's five and oh against the spread, and I expect
them to hang around. Their three losses have been by
a total of eleven points. Even when they're mismatched, they
still hang around. So I'm gonna take the forty Niners
to win, but the Falcons to win the money getting
six and a half forty Niners twenty four and the
Falcons twenty You and the penny are both living on
(23:21):
the edge, going with the Falcons alright, so we are
in agreement on that. Next up, we get to the
late television window Carolina at Los Angeles and Carolina one
four the r Ams at two and three. It's on
Fox with Kevin Coogler Mark Sanchez. They have the call.
The Rams opened up a nine and a half point favorite.
(23:43):
They are favorite anywhere from ten to eleven, and we've
got the number of ten here, so that's not the
number we're gonna use. And the handle in this game
a little over sixty in favor of the l A
Rams at so Fi Stadium. The Rams have the NFL's
all been best total defense, but their offense right near
the bottom of the end of a very un Sean
(24:06):
McVeigh like Carolina has been terrible in just about every
phase of the game. They're owing seven against the spread
their last seven against teams that have a losing record,
two and thirteen against the spread on non grass fields.
They have that fake grass in l A. But I'm
gonna take the Panthers anyway that the Rams have shown
(24:29):
me no ability to blow the doors off anyone, and
I know that Carolina is a hot mess. They're starting
their third string quarterback p J Walker and XFL refugee,
and they had a coaching change Matt Rules out. Steve
Wilkes is in as the interim coach. But did you
know the last twenty years, thirty two teams have fired
(24:49):
their coach during the regular season, and those teams have
gone seventeen and fifteen against the spread. They have a
winning record the week after firing their a coach, So
historically it's about a fifty fifty shot with a slight
edge to betting on a team that fires their coach.
The Panthers defense is a middle of the pack unit
(25:12):
and this is supposed to be a circle the Wagons game,
save the season type game. I just don't buy it.
The Rams, even if they want to do that that
Matador offensive line. Matthew Stafford is seeing goes. He's got
the yips right now. He's been a barf bag. I
I just don't see this game being a blowout. I
(25:33):
I would be pleasantly surprised if I'm wrong. But Stafford's
good for at least a fumble and an interception, so
that should give Carolina good fuel possession, and they're gonna
need it. Special teams also a key part of this.
The Rams can't score, and I don't see them all
of a sudden having a massive game here. Rams twenty
(25:55):
Panthers thirteen is the final, which means Carolina wins the
money penny history on the show going with the Rams
when you're not I know, I know, well I can't
do it. I've actually watched the Rams play the penny.
Has not watched the single game, Danny, the penny is
talking out of its penny took us. It's not chi ching,
(26:17):
chi ching, chi ching, make the money ring. It's it's
not that at all. So al right, next up, Arizona
two and three at Seattle two and three. It's on Fox,
and Chris Myers will be calling this game unless he's
calling the other game, And if he's calling the other game,
(26:39):
then Noah Eagle, the voice of the l A Clippers,
what is still wrong with the Clippers? And Robert Smith
will have the call. How much is Noah Eagle hoping
that Adam Amin has to call a Dodger Padre game
on Sunday? So no Eagle gets to call an NFL
game on Fox and he's like three years out of college.
(27:00):
You think, yeah, He's like, let's go, yeah, all right.
Cardinals opened a two and a half point favorite, Arizona
favorite by three slight leaned to the Seahawks in this
game at Looming Field. Temperatures in the seventies in Seattle, sunny,
so no rain at kickoff here, and the numbers would
(27:22):
all indicate to go with Arizona. They're nine and one
on the last ten Sunday road games, eight and two
against the spread, their last ten on the road overall
with Cliff Kingsbury. But I'm going the other way. I'm
going with the Seahawks. Now, Seattle's bad, but they're not boring.
And the reason I like Seattle Geno Smith has been
(27:42):
like a Midway carnival. He's not this good. At some
point the glass slippers gonna crack. But you gotta ride
the tide with Gino right now as far as it
will take you. It shouldn't be a problem this week.
Arizona is a middle of the pack defense, the number
seventeen in the end NFL. Seattle, They've got to score
early and often in this game because they can't stop
(28:05):
a nosebleed. The Seahawks defense ranks last in the NFL.
They're allowing four hundred thirty yards per game and they
have been burned by very questionable quarterbacks Andy Dalton and
the gadget guy in New Orleans last week, the Lions
the week before. So the defense can't stop anyway, which
(28:27):
means Kyler Murray should have a great stat line. The
little guy alligator arms Murray. But we also expect that
Arizona will go back and forth, and in Seattle will
go back and forth, and the Seahawks will cover. So
I'm I'm gonna ride with the wise guys. The Sharps
are on the side of Seattle. That seems like the
right side to me as well. Seahawks thirties seven and
(28:49):
the Cardinals thirty four. The final and the penny says,
you must really hate Alligator arms to go with Ginos
Smith taking the Cardinals. Yeah, it is no good pick
in this game. It's matchup for you. Oh yeah, I
can't wait, cannot wait. I will not be watching. I
(29:11):
will not be watching. Next up, Buffalo four and one.
This is the game of the weekend, Buffalo four and
one at Cansas City four and one on the City.
As with Jim Nance and Tony Romo, the game open
to pick him. The Bills a two and a half
point road favorite. In this game, the handle slightly in
favor of Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium, mostly cloudy sixties
(29:35):
six degrees. The Buffalo Bills eight in two their last
ten as they revenge a loss. But I'm gonna take
the Chiefs in this game. And I'll tell you why.
This game is gonna be another one of those fund
Zone games. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are going to
put on a pyrotechnic show. You're gonna see a cornucopia
(29:55):
of points and well, many are highlighting the fact that
this is a vandi game for the Bills. Here's why
I have a problem with that. In the eyes of
the public, the Bills are better than Kansas City they're
the one of the few teams. I was talking about
this the other day. I was on in Kansas City
on six ten with with my friend Bob Fiesco and
(30:17):
Josh in the morning, and we were talking about this matchup,
and I was like, it's very weird because the Bills
actually lost the game to the Chiefs, but in the
eyes of Joe public, the casual fan Buffalo was better
in that game, and they are dismissing the loss, and
they're the glamour team right now. It's not Kansas City
and the eyes of the public, the Bills are the
(30:38):
top team. And this is also the first time that
Patrick Mahomes has been a home underdog now he was
in the NFL back in twenty This goes back and
he will get the last laugh in this one, as
my crystal Ball, the Southsayer of Southsayers, Josh Allen, a
(30:58):
bunch of touchdowns. It also a couple of backbreaking unforced
errors giving the chief short field position and Bills mafia
crying in their beer as the Chiefs win it. Thirty eight,
the thirty seven over the Bills, and you could see
(31:22):
it right here on my screen. Big Ben the Penny says,
go jump and smash your head on the table. Going
with the Bills mafia. Alright, we disagree on that. Two
more games to get to on Benny versus the Penny.
Next up Sunday Night Football. Dallas four and one at
Philadelphia four and one. This is the NFC game of
(31:44):
the week. It's on and be easy with Mike Rico
and Chris Collins where they have the call now. The
game opened up Eagles by four and a half. Eagles
are all the way up to six and a half
in this game. A massive line. Cowboys getting a ton
of the money, which scares me from Lincoln Financial Field.
Dallas nine and one against the spread their last ten
(32:06):
on the road, seven and all against the spread, their
last seven against the NFC East and Philadelphia the Eagles.
They've had a couple of different coaches, but the consistency
has been they do not do well against Mike McCarthy
coach teams. The Eagles two and eight their last ten
when matched up against a Mike McCarthy coach team in Philly,
(32:27):
just five and ten against Dallas against the spread their
last fifteen and I'm taking the Cowboys though. Despite that,
the Dallas team built around, not Cooper Rush, built around
the defense. It does sound like Cooper Rush is gonna start,
not Dak Prescott. This game. There was some debate whether
Dak would come back. Can Michael Parsons, who's got a
(32:51):
groin injury he's expected to play, be a pest and
disrupt Jalen Hurts? I say yes, And the Dallas defense
has up some Gatti stats. They've got twenty sacks, They've
only allowed five touchdowns in five games, and Jalen Hurts
has been wobbling the last couple of games. No touchdown, passes,
(33:11):
one interception, and a quarterback rating which is below eighty.
So he just really hasn't been all that impressive. He's
been running the ball well, but the throwing is the
most important thing. So this line seems way too high.
Even though Cooper Rush is not very good. He's a
middling quarterback himself. I'm gonna take the Eagles to win,
but not cover Eagles and the Cowboys. How about them Cowboys?
(33:41):
And the penny says the Eagles are gonna give Rush
his first loss. So you say the Cowboys go down,
the penny does, and then Doc comes back the following game. Alright,
next up. Last game on the card Monday Night football
Denverts two and three at the l A Chargers two
(34:02):
and three. It's on ESPN Slash ABC with the x
Fox team. Joe Back and Troy Ach met the refugees
from Fox now they are at ESPN. Took the money
good for them. Chargers opened up a four and app
point favorite. They were favored by five sonny and seventy
degrees a kickoff at so FI Stadium. Broncos have been
(34:25):
thirteen and two against the spread last fifteen when playing
on Thursday Night, but they are one in four this
year against the spread. Under Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson.
The Broncos five and eight against the spread and two
and eleven straight up against the a f C West opponents.
(34:47):
Since I'm taking the Chargers in this one, the hope
here for Denver is to exploit the Charger run defense.
The Bolts are allowing five point eight yards per carry
that is the worst in the NFL. But I cannot
have any kind of confidence in Denver. They are a
poorly coach team. Nathaniel Hackett is not getting it done.
(35:10):
There a medley of turnovers and penalties. There is little
reason to trust the Broncos. They are good for a
fumble here, an interception there, and Russell Wilson he's so
bad the Broncos are now planting the excuse seed that
he's got a shoulder injury. I trust the Chargers more
than the Broncos, although I'm sure I'll get burned by
some analytical bull crap by the Chargers. But the team
(35:34):
that used to be in San Diego and probably should
still be in San Diego Chargers thirty one Broncos twenty
one the finals, So the Charges will cover the five
point line, and the Penny finally agrees with you going
with the Bolts. Okay, So then there's agreement on that.
(35:57):
And that is all of the games were a couple
of less games because of the bye week this week,
So good luck. May all your bets be winning ones.
Remember money management, don't go crazy, don't go gaga on
all that, and we'll see how we do back where
we are engaged again in week seven of the Benny
(36:18):
Versus the Penny soap opera playing out right now on
a podcast near you. And we've got a whole weekend
of podcasts coming up. If you like the normal podcast Saturday.
Who knows what we're gonna be app but I don't
know because we haven't done it yet. But we'll have
that on Saturday and in the mail bag on Sunday.
So good luck, win some money, enjoy the games, and
(36:41):
we will talk to you next time later Skater, Hey, hey, hey,
you go. I like to Saint
Ka Boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes
a week was enough, I think again. He's the last
remnants of the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness.
He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as
the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of
hot takes. Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour
(00:23):
with Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere.
Welcome into another special edition of The Fifth Hour with
Ben Maller and Danny G Radio. It is Benny versus
the Penny, week number six of the NFL season, as
(00:48):
we handicap every single game. It's NFL handicapping for the
regular Guy and Danny G. We are back at it again.
A little bit of a twist this week in in
the NFL because not everyone is playing Danny this weekend.
Not everyone is playing. The NFL bye weeks kicking in
this week, so there are some teams that will not
(01:11):
be playing. But we are back at it here. The
bye weeks go between Week six and Week fourteen, so
for the next eight weeks we're gonna have at least
a couple of teams every week that will not be
playing this week. The Lions, the Texans, the Titans, and
(01:31):
your Raiders are not playing. So those are the teams
that are out this weekend. So yeah, and you know
I'm the Pennies representative so far this season. It asked
me when it's bye week, is yes, well, the no
days off for the Penny. No days off. It's like
Tony Romo and Jim Nance. They have to do every
(01:52):
game every week for CBS. So before we get to
the card today, onto the next podcast, the players. You're welcome.
It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Before we get
(02:13):
to the car today, we must look back at what
we did last week. Week five, Banny versus the Penny.
The Penny sixteen games on the card, the Penny went
eight seven and one, so a winning week, but only
by one for the Penny. So that's kind of where
you expect the Penny to be every week, within a
(02:34):
game or two, because you're just flipping a an inanomant object. Now.
I went ten five and one against the spread, did
very well in the early games, struggled in the late
television window. I got burned. The Eagles had a two
touchdown lead, failed to cover. There were a couple of
other things that did not go my way in the
(02:54):
late television windows. So but ten five and one, all
of this is documented. I want you to know, Danny.
We've got Robin, Vegas, David and Florida along with Roscoe
the Parrot, and these guys are the ambassadors of Benny
versus the Penny, along with some other people, and they're
keeping track to make sure that I am not giving
any kind of erroneous information, all right, So that's that's
(03:16):
the way it is. Yeah, Well, you've never been known
to cheat at anything involving radio. I don't know why
they need to check your work. Well, there's no You're
absolutely right on that. Uh. Eddie is the one that
does the cheating. He's not on this podcast, so I
don't need to worry about that. How about shut up?
Overall season totals. Now, the overall season totals the Penny
(03:39):
thirty seven, forty one and two. That's a four seventy
four winning percentage. Four games under. The Penny had that
dreadful Week three, Danny, where the Penny went three and thirteen,
the single worst week I've ever seen since I've been
doing this bit for over fifteen years longer than that.
Now three and thirteen in week three, so the penny
(04:02):
is still under five over five hundred outside of that week,
but you can't make up for that week very quickly.
And I I overall and forty five thirty two and three,
So penny forty two and three. That's a five eight
four winning percentage. Now, if you're a gambler, and chances
are you are if you're listening to this, in order
(04:24):
to win money as a sports better, there's a magic
number that you have to hit. You have to win
more than fifty two point four of your bets. So
I am ahead of where I need to be, not
by a ton, but enough. The penny is under five hundred,
so you gotta have a chit chat with the penny there, Danny. Yeah,
(04:47):
penny is underpaid as it is. All right, Well, we'll
see what happens this weekend in a week number six,
and we'll get started with the early games Tampa Bay
three and two, Pittsburgh in four. It's on Fox. Now.
The play by play lineup for foxes up in the
air because of the Baseball playoffs. This game will either
(05:08):
have Joe Davis or Brandon Gotten, who as the play
by play guy along with Darryl moose Johnston. The Bucks
opened a six and a half point favorite. They are
favored by nine. The handle on this game a heavy
lean towards the Buccaneers. The public thinks this is a
free money situation here and temperatures in the low sixties
(05:30):
that kick off at the stadium formerly known as Hines Field.
Some of the numbers, some of the trends on this game.
Tampa Bay. They're six and nine against the spread their
last fifteen is a road favorite of more than seven,
But the Buccaneers are five and two their last seven
games against the spread on the road. With Tom Brady
(05:50):
and the numbers on Pittsburgh, it's hard to really go
by any of the trends because the Steelers have never
been this bad, not under Mike Tomlin. But the Steeler
as a home underdog when they had decent teams eleven
five and four their last games has been a great wager. Now,
the Pittsburgh defense allowing four hundred sixteen yards per game,
(06:13):
and that is thirty in total defense. But I am
taking the Steelers in this game, and I'll tell you why.
The Buccaneers have yet to play a complete game. They
have played very well for a quarter here, a quarter there,
or a half here and a half there, but they
have yet to go full throttle for four quarters and
just blow someone away. Now the Steelers. I'm not gonna
(06:35):
sit here an upsell the Steelers. The Steelers have been horrific,
but Kenny Pikett had some promise in the game against Buffalo.
So how you're talking out of You took us, it
was thirty eight to three. What are you talking about? Listen,
there were several drops you saw that game. There was
some misplays by the white outse for Pittsburgh. That's stuff
that can be corrected. And it's hard to imagine a
(06:57):
Mike Tomlin team, no matter how how bad the Steelers
are getting their doors blown out in back to back games,
this game has backdoor cover written all over because Tampa Bay,
even last week against Atlanta, we saw them play a
good first half, not a good second half. So I'm
gonna take the Buccaneers to win, but not cover that
nine point line. Bucks twenty three and the Steelers sixteen
(07:26):
and early on the penny is cheating off of your paper.
Going with the Steelers, alright, So agreement on that Next
up Cincinnati at New Orleans in the Buyou, both teams
two and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and
Adam Archiletta. Gumble hates sports radio factor that in don't
have any handle information on this game for some reason.
(07:48):
But the temperature in New Orleans giving the eighties. It's
a dome, so it doesn't matter. Cincinnati check this out.
With Joe Burrow starting their last ten games on the road,
They've gone eight and two, but they have not done
well in this spot coming off a Sunday night game.
The Bengals lost on a late field goal against the
(08:09):
Ravens last week. Cincinnati just two and six against the
spread their last eight after playing on Sunday night. But
I am taking the Bengals in this game. Rarely does
since he have back to back stinkers. They didn't have
a stinket last week, but they were down most of
that game that came back. The Bengals are eleven and
three against the spread with Joe Burrow coming off a loss,
(08:31):
and I am not a believer in New Orleans. They
are a middling team. Jamis Winston maybe back, probably not.
Andy Dalton, the Gadget Guy doesn't matter who's out there.
I'm gonna take the Bengals in a nip and tuck game.
Since Sinnati they're only favorite body one. They'll win this game.
Bengals twenty four and the Saints twenty two at the
(08:53):
super Dome. The final penny is the only one who
doesn't want to punch Dennis Allen in the face going
with the Saints. Dennis Allen so far looking very much
like the Dennis Allen that coached the Oakland Raiders back
in the in the day. Yeah, talk about a punchable
face and not and not the good and Dennis Allen
(09:16):
one of the coaches responsible for the Raiders no longer
being in Oakland. They were so bad for so long
they couldn't generate any revenue to build a stadium, and
they moved to we know where they ended up in.
I don't know, Nevada, all right. Jacksonville two and three
at Indianapolis to two and one. That's the next game
on the card. It's on CBS with Andrew Catalan and
(09:36):
James lofton the game match up here. The Colts opened
a one point favorite. They are favored by two inside
the Dome, the friendly Confines at Lucas Oil Stadium, Sonny
in fifty seven degrees a kickoff, but it's indoors. Jacksonville
has been a terrible team in October. They've been a
terrible team the last couple of weeks three and twelve
(09:58):
against the spread, their last fifteen one in six against
the spread, their last seven with Trevor Lawrence starting on
the road. They did win earlier this year in Los
Angeles in the Hood in Inglewood against the Chargers, a
big win early on. But Jacksonville six and one against
the spread the seven matchups against Frank Reich as coach
(10:21):
of the Colts and Indianapolis. It goes further back than that.
Indianapolis is one thirteen and one against the spread their
last fifteen against Jacksonville. That is a trend that has
gone through multiple coaches, multiple quarterbacks, and no matter what,
Indianapolis has problems even you know, forget winning they won
(10:43):
some of those games but covering the spread. So I'm
taking Jacksonville in this game. Jacksonville has had a couple
of clunkers in a row. Indian doesn't really do anything
that well. Matt Ryan is a fossil. He's got eleven
fumbles already this season. The defense does not generate a
lot of pressure in Indie and this should be a
boomerang game for Trevor Lawrence. I expect him to bounce
(11:05):
back this week and have a sparkling stat line. It
should be a clean pocket and you limit the mistakes
here Jacksonville. They will pull this one out as a
small road underdog. Jags and the Colts twenty three the
final and the penny is kicking it with the Colts
(11:31):
alright to have bad job there. Next up, this is
game I like a lot New England two and three
at Cleveland two and three US on CBS with Kevin
Harlan and Trent Green. They have to call the game.
Opened up the Browns by three and a half. It's
been bent down. Brown's favored by two and a half
in this game. Temperatures getting a little cooler in Cleveland.
(11:53):
Temperatures in the low fifties at First Energy Stadium. And
some numbers on this game to Patriots eleven and four
against the spread of the last fifteen on the road
in October and Bill Belichick. You go way back with
Belichick as an underdog and he is in his last
games as an underdog. He's twenty three games above five
(12:17):
and Cleveland cannot get out of their own way. The Browns,
it's very bizarre when they've been favored by seven or less.
They are one eight and one against the spread, and
the Browns two and eight at home on Sunday against
the spread. I'm taking the Patriots in this game, and
I like this match up a lot. They say that
(12:39):
styles make fights, they also make football games. Ramandre Stevenson,
that's the guy I'm putting my money on here. The
Patriots were able to ground in pound. We expect New
England to chew up the clock, take advantage of the
real blind spot in the Browns attack their run defense.
A couple of guys got hurt and they have gone
(13:01):
up in flames. There defensively is stopping the run the
last month or so. Now, Mac Jones may come back
at the time we're we're doing Penny versus de Penny,
But to me, it doesn't matter. I mean, and Bailey
Zappy can stand there and hand off to Ramandre Stevenson
as well as the next guy, and the Patriots, whether
it's mac Jones or Zappy, are not gonna throw the
(13:23):
ball all that much. They're gonna play it conservative, close
to the events, the rudimentary attack, ground and pound, all
that and I say a close game, but the wrong
team is favorite here Patriots twenty and the Brownies seventeen
the final. The penny is going with the Browns, all right,
(13:49):
Penny's asking for more trouble here. Next up the j
E t S Jets, Jets, Jets, they don't suck right
now at three and two in Green Bay at three
and two. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen.
The Packers opened up a ten point favorite. Green Bay
(14:09):
favored by seven and about sixty percent of the money
is on the side of the Packers. Temperature at kickoff
right at fifty degrees at Lambo Field, and the numbers
on this with Matt la Fleur. The Packers are twenty
and ten against the spread in the thirty games they
(14:30):
played at home, last thirty games at home, and the Jets,
though they've they've shown some some fighting. I'm Zach Wilson.
His last seven games, the Jets are five and two
and the last ten games the Jets have played against
teams that have a winning record, they are seven at
two and one seven two and one their last ten
(14:51):
against teams that have a winning record against the spread.
So I'm gonna take the Jets. Not a lot to
break down on this game. Both these teams are challenged
at stopping the on the Giants and Ravens. The Giants
and Ravens teams that the Packers and the Jets have
matched up against here having some issues. Aaron Rodgers, you
(15:13):
can tell he's scuffling. He's awful. Little bit. The receivers
aren't really working for Green Bay, and the Jets have
been able to to come up with a little bit,
uh not Razmataz, but they've been able to scratch and claw,
and that's a good sign, especially when you're getting a touchdown.
And almost always when I get a touchdown or more,
i'm gonna take the underdog. Very rarely do I go
(15:35):
the other direction. So I'm gonna take the Packers to win,
but the Jets to cover. Packers twenty four and the
Jets twenty the final, and the Penny agrees about the
Jets covering going with New York all right, next up
Baltimore three and two at the Giants just mentioned them
(15:55):
a couple of teams that are played. The Jets and
the Green Bay Packers played in London. The Green Bay
Giants game was last week in London. Baltimore three and two,
the Giants four and one on CBS with Iron Eagle
and Charles Davis. They have to call. The Ravens opened
a six point favorite. They're favored by five and a half.
(16:16):
Over of the handle is on the side of the Ravens.
Temperatures in the mid sixties at kickoff at MetLife Stadium,
and the numbers on this one. Baltimore has been amazing
on the road with Lamar Jackson. If you're a gambler,
they're eighteen eight and two last twenty eight games with
Lamar Jackson the road. The Ravens, though, I have not
(16:38):
done particularly well after playing on Sunday Night football. From
a gambling standpoint, there's six and nine against the spread
following Sunday Night Giants. Off of that four and one
start against the spread also with Brian Davil and with
Daniel Jones starting and his last ten starts, they're eight
(16:59):
and two. I'm taking the Giants here. I'm going against
the Ravens. The Ravens have not been able to get
much separation from teams this season. They played so many
close games the Giants while they are dinged up still
they continue to play with a little gusto. And this
is a good matchup for the Giants to get another
notch in their belt and show people that they're at
least a mid level team, not a terrible team, and
(17:21):
keep this game close. That that said, I I look
into my crystal ball and I see Justin Tucker doing
it one more time that lethal leg and New York
can to cover the spread, but to lose the game.
Ravens thirty Giants seven will be your final. And the
(17:43):
penny is also a Justin Tucker fan going with the Ravens. Alright,
so the penny, But the Ravens have to win by
more than a Justin Tucker field goal to win the bets.
So that's the thing, all right. Next up, Minnesota, the
penny said five of them? Oh wow, alright, Minnesota four
and one at Miami three and two. It's on Fox,
(18:04):
so you might want to watch Kenny Albert, Friend of
the Show, and Jonathan Vilma have the call who vikings exactly?
The vikings? Vilma? Come on now, can everyone knows canny happen?
The Vikings opened up a one point under duck. Dolphins
were originally favored in the early line, but the Vikings
are a three and a half point favorite because of injuries.
(18:26):
In this game, temperatures in the mid eighties at hard
Rock Stadium in South Florida, and you look at some
of the numbers here and you get a little scary.
It gets a little scary for you and Minnesota. This
is a game where you just expect them to go out.
You know, this is an easy game. Dolphins are starting
their third string quarterback in this game. What could possibly
(18:48):
go wrong? Well, Minnesota their last twenty five games when favored,
They're just eight wins in that last eight and seventeen
against the spread. That is embarrassing in Minnesota, despite a
four and one record overall. For our purposes the gambling world,
the Vikings are one in four against the spread, and
(19:10):
the Dolphins, going back to the previous coaching regime, eleven
and four against the spread their last fifteen games at
home as an underdog and just at home in general.
I'm taking the Dolphins in this game. I'm gonna take
the Dolphins here. The Dolphins defense should be able to
get to Kirk Cousins. I believe they will. With the
(19:30):
blitz Cousins when he's been blitzed two touchdowns, two interceptions,
He's completed less than fifty percent of his passes, and
the Minnesota secondary has had some issues when they've gone
against really talented receivers. Now Miami has got a bunch
of guys dinged up, but they are supposed to play
at the time we're doing this Tyreek kill and whatnot.
So I I just simply don't trust the Purple people Eaters,
(19:52):
even with a third string quarterback Skyler Thompson, who didn't
do that well last week. Starting this week, Teddy Bridgewater
is expected to get in the game at some point.
He's going to be the backup, it would appear. And
the Dolphins, they got rid of the ping pong tables
in their locker rooms and they will get a victory.
They will be rewarded. Upset City Dolphins thirty and the
(20:17):
Vikings twenty six. Both of these teams will have the
same record by the end of play on Sunday. Penny
would like some job security kissing up to our boss
Scott Shapiro. Going with the Vikings. Yes, one of the
big Bosses, their loves the Minnesota to Vikings. Next up
San Francisco three and two at Atlanta two and three.
(20:41):
It's on Fox with Adam Amen or Chris Myers on
the call, Mark slay Rith we'll do the color commentary. Now.
Adam Amine has been doing the National League Divisional Series
on Fox, and so if that goes to a Game
five on Sunday, then Adam and will not be available.
Chris Myers will call this game exactly. The forty Niners
(21:07):
opened up a six and a half point favorite. This
line has stayed flat. That means San Francisco slash Santa
Clara is still favored by six and a half. At
the time we're doing this. The handle over sevent in
favor of the Forts. We love to fade the public,
and it seems like a good opportunity to do that
at Mercedes Bend Stadium in Georgia. Now the numbers indicate
(21:30):
that you bet on Jimmy Garoppolo, you win money. He's
twenty and nine against the spread in San Francisco, last
nine on the road, and the Niners eight and two
their last ten playing on the road, where they've gone
two thousand miles or more away from the West Coast.
The Niners have the number one defense in the NFL statistically,
(21:52):
they they've done very well defensively across the board. But
check this out. The Falcons with Marcus Mariota starting this year,
are five and oh against the spread. And I say
that goes to six and oh. I am gonna take
Atlanta in this game. The war of attrition catching up
to the Niners. Emmanuel Moseley defensive back torn a c
(22:13):
l he's out. Jimmy Ward defensive back broke his hand,
he might play. Nick bose had a growing injury. Even
the kicker, Robbie Gold injured his knee in the game
last week. So how will the forty Niners do? All
dinged up? And remember they played so far? They played
four bad offensive teams the Niners, Chicago's dreadful, They actually
(22:35):
lost that game in the Raid Carolina, the Rams are
debacle on offense right now, and Denver's got their issues.
So those are the four teams, four of the five
that San Francisco has played. Not a great resume there
in Atlanta, even with Cordarold Patterson out and Kyle Pitt's
injured with a bad hammy the Falcons the only team
(22:55):
that's five and oh against the spread, and I expect
them to hang around. Their three losses have been by
a total of eleven points. Even when they're mismatched, they
still hang around. So I'm gonna take the forty Niners
to win, but the Falcons to win the money getting
six and a half forty Niners twenty four and the
Falcons twenty You and the penny are both living on
(23:21):
the edge, going with the Falcons alright, so we are
in agreement on that. Next up, we get to the
late television window Carolina at Los Angeles and Carolina one
four the r Ams at two and three. It's on
Fox with Kevin Coogler Mark Sanchez. They have the call.
The Rams opened up a nine and a half point favorite.
(23:43):
They are favorite anywhere from ten to eleven, and we've
got the number of ten here, so that's not the
number we're gonna use. And the handle in this game
a little over sixty in favor of the l A
Rams at so Fi Stadium. The Rams have the NFL's
all been best total defense, but their offense right near
the bottom of the end of a very un Sean
(24:06):
McVeigh like Carolina has been terrible in just about every
phase of the game. They're owing seven against the spread
their last seven against teams that have a losing record,
two and thirteen against the spread on non grass fields.
They have that fake grass in l A. But I'm
gonna take the Panthers anyway that the Rams have shown
(24:29):
me no ability to blow the doors off anyone, and
I know that Carolina is a hot mess. They're starting
their third string quarterback p J Walker and XFL refugee,
and they had a coaching change Matt Rules out. Steve
Wilkes is in as the interim coach. But did you
know the last twenty years, thirty two teams have fired
(24:49):
their coach during the regular season, and those teams have
gone seventeen and fifteen against the spread. They have a
winning record the week after firing their a coach, So
historically it's about a fifty fifty shot with a slight
edge to betting on a team that fires their coach.
The Panthers defense is a middle of the pack unit
(25:12):
and this is supposed to be a circle the Wagons game,
save the season type game. I just don't buy it.
The Rams, even if they want to do that that
Matador offensive line. Matthew Stafford is seeing goes. He's got
the yips right now. He's been a barf bag. I
I just don't see this game being a blowout. I
(25:33):
I would be pleasantly surprised if I'm wrong. But Stafford's
good for at least a fumble and an interception, so
that should give Carolina good fuel possession, and they're gonna
need it. Special teams also a key part of this.
The Rams can't score, and I don't see them all
of a sudden having a massive game here. Rams twenty
(25:55):
Panthers thirteen is the final, which means Carolina wins the
money penny history on the show going with the Rams
when you're not I know, I know, well I can't
do it. I've actually watched the Rams play the penny.
Has not watched the single game, Danny, the penny is
talking out of its penny took us. It's not chi ching,
(26:17):
chi ching, chi ching, make the money ring. It's it's
not that at all. So al right, next up, Arizona
two and three at Seattle two and three. It's on Fox,
and Chris Myers will be calling this game unless he's
calling the other game, And if he's calling the other game,
(26:39):
then Noah Eagle, the voice of the l A Clippers,
what is still wrong with the Clippers? And Robert Smith
will have the call. How much is Noah Eagle hoping
that Adam Amin has to call a Dodger Padre game
on Sunday? So no Eagle gets to call an NFL
game on Fox and he's like three years out of college.
(27:00):
You think, yeah, He's like, let's go, yeah, all right.
Cardinals opened a two and a half point favorite, Arizona
favorite by three slight leaned to the Seahawks in this
game at Looming Field. Temperatures in the seventies in Seattle, sunny,
so no rain at kickoff here, and the numbers would
(27:22):
all indicate to go with Arizona. They're nine and one
on the last ten Sunday road games, eight and two
against the spread, their last ten on the road overall
with Cliff Kingsbury. But I'm going the other way. I'm
going with the Seahawks. Now, Seattle's bad, but they're not boring.
And the reason I like Seattle Geno Smith has been
(27:42):
like a Midway carnival. He's not this good. At some
point the glass slippers gonna crack. But you gotta ride
the tide with Gino right now as far as it
will take you. It shouldn't be a problem this week.
Arizona is a middle of the pack defense, the number
seventeen in the end NFL. Seattle, They've got to score
early and often in this game because they can't stop
(28:05):
a nosebleed. The Seahawks defense ranks last in the NFL.
They're allowing four hundred thirty yards per game and they
have been burned by very questionable quarterbacks Andy Dalton and
the gadget guy in New Orleans last week, the Lions
the week before. So the defense can't stop anyway, which
(28:27):
means Kyler Murray should have a great stat line. The
little guy alligator arms Murray. But we also expect that
Arizona will go back and forth, and in Seattle will
go back and forth, and the Seahawks will cover. So
I'm I'm gonna ride with the wise guys. The Sharps
are on the side of Seattle. That seems like the
right side to me as well. Seahawks thirties seven and
(28:49):
the Cardinals thirty four. The final and the penny says,
you must really hate Alligator arms to go with Ginos
Smith taking the Cardinals. Yeah, it is no good pick
in this game. It's matchup for you. Oh yeah, I
can't wait, cannot wait. I will not be watching. I
(29:11):
will not be watching. Next up, Buffalo four and one.
This is the game of the weekend, Buffalo four and
one at Cansas City four and one on the City.
As with Jim Nance and Tony Romo, the game open
to pick him. The Bills a two and a half
point road favorite. In this game, the handle slightly in
favor of Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium, mostly cloudy sixties
(29:35):
six degrees. The Buffalo Bills eight in two their last
ten as they revenge a loss. But I'm gonna take
the Chiefs in this game. And I'll tell you why.
This game is gonna be another one of those fund
Zone games. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are going to
put on a pyrotechnic show. You're gonna see a cornucopia
(29:55):
of points and well, many are highlighting the fact that
this is a vandi game for the Bills. Here's why
I have a problem with that. In the eyes of
the public, the Bills are better than Kansas City they're
the one of the few teams. I was talking about
this the other day. I was on in Kansas City
on six ten with with my friend Bob Fiesco and
(30:17):
Josh in the morning, and we were talking about this matchup,
and I was like, it's very weird because the Bills
actually lost the game to the Chiefs, but in the
eyes of Joe public, the casual fan Buffalo was better
in that game, and they are dismissing the loss, and
they're the glamour team right now. It's not Kansas City
and the eyes of the public, the Bills are the
(30:38):
top team. And this is also the first time that
Patrick Mahomes has been a home underdog now he was
in the NFL back in twenty This goes back and
he will get the last laugh in this one, as
my crystal Ball, the Southsayer of Southsayers, Josh Allen, a
(30:58):
bunch of touchdowns. It also a couple of backbreaking unforced
errors giving the chief short field position and Bills mafia
crying in their beer as the Chiefs win it. Thirty eight,
the thirty seven over the Bills, and you could see
(31:22):
it right here on my screen. Big Ben the Penny says,
go jump and smash your head on the table. Going
with the Bills mafia. Alright, we disagree on that. Two
more games to get to on Benny versus the Penny.
Next up Sunday Night Football. Dallas four and one at
Philadelphia four and one. This is the NFC game of
(31:44):
the week. It's on and be easy with Mike Rico
and Chris Collins where they have the call now. The
game opened up Eagles by four and a half. Eagles
are all the way up to six and a half
in this game. A massive line. Cowboys getting a ton
of the money, which scares me from Lincoln Financial Field.
Dallas nine and one against the spread their last ten
(32:06):
on the road, seven and all against the spread, their
last seven against the NFC East and Philadelphia the Eagles.
They've had a couple of different coaches, but the consistency
has been they do not do well against Mike McCarthy
coach teams. The Eagles two and eight their last ten
when matched up against a Mike McCarthy coach team in Philly,
(32:27):
just five and ten against Dallas against the spread their
last fifteen and I'm taking the Cowboys though. Despite that,
the Dallas team built around, not Cooper Rush, built around
the defense. It does sound like Cooper Rush is gonna start,
not Dak Prescott. This game. There was some debate whether
Dak would come back. Can Michael Parsons, who's got a
(32:51):
groin injury he's expected to play, be a pest and
disrupt Jalen Hurts? I say yes, And the Dallas defense
has up some Gatti stats. They've got twenty sacks, They've
only allowed five touchdowns in five games, and Jalen Hurts
has been wobbling the last couple of games. No touchdown, passes,
(33:11):
one interception, and a quarterback rating which is below eighty.
So he just really hasn't been all that impressive. He's
been running the ball well, but the throwing is the
most important thing. So this line seems way too high.
Even though Cooper Rush is not very good. He's a
middling quarterback himself. I'm gonna take the Eagles to win,
but not cover Eagles and the Cowboys. How about them Cowboys?
(33:41):
And the penny says the Eagles are gonna give Rush
his first loss. So you say the Cowboys go down,
the penny does, and then Doc comes back the following game. Alright,
next up. Last game on the card Monday Night football
Denverts two and three at the l A Chargers two
(34:02):
and three. It's on ESPN Slash ABC with the x
Fox team. Joe Back and Troy Ach met the refugees
from Fox now they are at ESPN. Took the money
good for them. Chargers opened up a four and app
point favorite. They were favored by five sonny and seventy
degrees a kickoff at so FI Stadium. Broncos have been
(34:25):
thirteen and two against the spread last fifteen when playing
on Thursday Night, but they are one in four this
year against the spread. Under Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson.
The Broncos five and eight against the spread and two
and eleven straight up against the a f C West opponents.
(34:47):
Since I'm taking the Chargers in this one, the hope
here for Denver is to exploit the Charger run defense.
The Bolts are allowing five point eight yards per carry
that is the worst in the NFL. But I cannot
have any kind of confidence in Denver. They are a
poorly coach team. Nathaniel Hackett is not getting it done.
(35:10):
There a medley of turnovers and penalties. There is little
reason to trust the Broncos. They are good for a
fumble here, an interception there, and Russell Wilson he's so
bad the Broncos are now planting the excuse seed that
he's got a shoulder injury. I trust the Chargers more
than the Broncos, although I'm sure I'll get burned by
some analytical bull crap by the Chargers. But the team
(35:34):
that used to be in San Diego and probably should
still be in San Diego Chargers thirty one Broncos twenty
one the finals, So the Charges will cover the five
point line, and the Penny finally agrees with you going
with the Bolts. Okay, So then there's agreement on that.
(35:57):
And that is all of the games were a couple
of less games because of the bye week this week,
So good luck. May all your bets be winning ones.
Remember money management, don't go crazy, don't go gaga on
all that, and we'll see how we do back where
we are engaged again in week seven of the Benny
(36:18):
Versus the Penny soap opera playing out right now on
a podcast near you. And we've got a whole weekend
of podcasts coming up. If you like the normal podcast Saturday.
Who knows what we're gonna be app but I don't
know because we haven't done it yet. But we'll have
that on Saturday and in the mail bag on Sunday.
So good luck, win some money, enjoy the games, and
(36:41):
we will talk to you next time later Skater, Hey, hey, hey,
you go. I like to Saint
Fox Sports Radio News
Host
Jonas Knox
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