Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Are you ready to witness greatness?
Speaker 2 (00:03):
NFL fans, Welcome to the largest tailgate party in the nation,
where let's go recipe. Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,
presented by Bett mg app, the King of sportsbook. We're
setting you up with the information you need to watch
your team win.
Speaker 3 (00:22):
Fifty three is the eight game.
Speaker 4 (00:24):
We're here to break it all down.
Speaker 3 (00:27):
Let's go.
Speaker 2 (00:27):
This is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by
Bett mg App. Now we're live from your tailgame. Here's
Brian no Hier, NFL veteran Jeff Schwartz at sports handicapper
from crackwins dot com Bill crack Krackenberger.
Speaker 1 (00:48):
Oh what is going on? Everybody? Welcome in here. We
got a full slate of Week nine NFL Action. We're
already underway in Germany Dolphins and Chiefs. Chiefs with the
seven to zero lead on my Dolphins here.
Speaker 5 (01:04):
It's the first for us right a game during the
show that we both have really interested.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
Yeah, it is. It's absolutely a first.
Speaker 6 (01:12):
This is the international matchup out of all of them,
though there's been a lot.
Speaker 5 (01:18):
Chiefs Dolphins in Germany. I got a buddy who's there
right now. He said, the atmosphere is fantastic in Germany,
so I mean it looked. The stadium looks pretty cool.
I will say though, that it obviously wasn't designed for
an NFL field because the dome is very low and
I'm curious if we're going to get a kick off
the dome at some point today. Like it is, it's
it's very much built for soccer. Looks fun. There's actually
(01:40):
a lot of Chiefs and Dolphins fans there, which we
joked about these international games, how there's just jerseys of
other fan bases all the time. But looks like the
Chiefs and Dolphins fans travel for this one. So pretty cool.
The field look looks like in good shape. I know
there's some concern at times, I think the international games the
field is kind of yucky. But hey, man, I got
some good football happening right now.
Speaker 3 (01:59):
Man, and guys, this this this line moved two and
a half points an hour before the game closed. I
didn't see, oh, Miami minus won at all the major books.
Miami minus won Miami and maybe got money this morning.
Oh yeah, oh yeah, Miami Miami minus one at the
major sports books that control the marker too. I mean
every sports book, there's not one that closed Kansas City
(02:21):
favorite all of them. Could they closed pick them? Miami?
Speaker 5 (02:24):
Mina? Why today? Like, why, why all of a sudden
the money come in this morning?
Speaker 3 (02:28):
Crack? It's it's really perplexing. I mean, the line opened
up Kansas City minus two and fifty one and it
kind of stayed there, maybe up uptick a little bit
fifty one and a half all week, people saying he
used Miami and teasers, and then all of a sudden,
bang about around you know, five thirty Vegas time, an
(02:49):
hour before the game started, seeing the one and a
half disappear on Miami plus one and a half, that
down to pick them for a while, and then literally
thirty minute it's twenty minutes for the game, and then
even up the right right to game time, sportsbooks begging
for Kansas City money. So uh, very very unusual unusual.
You're right, I don't know. I have no idea why
(03:10):
they usually all know I have an answer.
Speaker 5 (03:11):
To that, I don't. I just don't get, like, why
all of a sudden today people decide, okay, today's a
date to bet on the Dolphins, Because, as you mentioned,
they had this lineup all week maybe they wanted two
way action. There'd be no point to do that, right crack.
Speaker 3 (03:26):
Yeah, you know, I have to tell you this is,
by the way, it's actually sharp money. Think about it's
five thirty in the morning. There's no no, it's public.
Speaker 5 (03:34):
It's not money.
Speaker 3 (03:35):
Yeah yeah, so this is sharp money. This is syndicate
money that moved, especially the books out here that the
two books that mostly a lot of people follow. Like
I've said on this space before and on the show before,
people think there's a book maker, a line maker in
every single sports book. No, no, no, no, no. I
mean honestly, you can have an organ grinding monkey control
(03:56):
of your reports sports book. And some of them do.
By the way, they just follow the screen and move.
They're told to move when the key sports books move.
They move so literally you could pay someone, you know,
thirteen bucks an hour, and they do. And I think
it's a shame. I think there should be more of
individualism in these actual sports books where they actually say
(04:16):
this is our risk, this is where we should be.
Now some of them, there are, there are a couple
of books that they do that. In other words, you
have to mitigate your loss, you have to actually control
your risk of department based on your clientele, your bets
coming in. But no, there are some sportsbook directors that
tell their people that work there when I'm not here,
you just follow this in this sports book. That's it.
So kind of interesting, kind of interesting?
Speaker 5 (04:38):
Is that is interesting? What I find interesting about this
specific game, Brian, is the Chiefs moved to the Broncos
last weekend, and they have one of these games a year. Okay,
they lost to the Colts last year. The Texans took
them to overtime last season. For the Chiefs won that game.
And after every Chiefs loss, so the bar is obviously high.
Oh my god, it's it's over. It's the dynasty's done,
(05:02):
which not even dynasty yet, but yeah, the receivers, it's
I'm kind of trained for everyone.
Speaker 6 (05:07):
Got just for a second, is because you're ahead of me.
I'm on a stream. I thought something crazy happened in
the game.
Speaker 3 (05:14):
I thought something happened in the game. I swear, I
was like, what happens?
Speaker 5 (05:17):
Well, okay, so the Chiefs come out on the first
drive of the game today Mahomes is five for six
with six different targets in the first drive and one
it should have been five for five passers drop the
matter very next point touchdown, and it's like, yeah, the
Chiefs are still good. What a surprise. They're gonna figure
it out and they might score twenty one twenty four today.
(05:41):
Their defense is much better than it's really ever been
under Patrick Mahomes, like arguing since Bob Sutton was there
in like twenty thirteen my year there, we're really good
on defense and they're gonna be fine, Like they're gonna
be okay if they win today. Even if they lose today,
they're six and two. I'm sure seven and two or
six and three top of the AFC. Right, the overreaction
(06:02):
to sort of wins and losses in the NFL should
not be what college football is. Which college football we
know if you win, if you lose a game in
college football, it's like the end of the end of
the world. I mean, Dabo Sweeney had had to had
to play Tyler from Spartanburg to to defend himself on
the inner on the radio the other day because he
has four losses, right, I mean, like it's just a
(06:23):
different sport in the NFL. We can't panic after a
couple of losses.
Speaker 3 (06:27):
Absolutely, it's crazy to me that.
Speaker 5 (06:31):
That's why I don't understand about the sharps in this
game today. So I Kansas City was my favorite bet
of the weekend immediately when I saw the line come out,
Boom Done even played him on. It came down the
money line. It was. It was the Chiefs take these
games seriously, and they take the games where they're playing
on national television against the Dolphins or a very good
(06:51):
football team and then off a bad loss like this,
the games they care about, and they've proven over and
over again that they play these games very well and
they often win these games. And so it's just to
see the overreaction to it made it made no sense.
We fourselves every year. It's overreacting. And then just Mahomes
just goes out and those were three point fifty and
(07:13):
they win the next game.
Speaker 3 (07:14):
Week by week, Like you're saying, this is the old
thing I told you guys about in the past. Our
eyes played tricks on us. The public is fickled. They're
so insane. How that automatically now you know? You know
what the number one bet of the week was. Right
after last week, everyone talking, oh Cincinnati, please get me
the odds. I can't tell you how many three off
the top of my fingers. Uh here thinking off the
(07:35):
top of my head that actually asked me, hey, crack,
what's the odds on sincey to win the Super Bowl?
Now out there like just because of last week, like
three weeks ago, they were got them dead and now
that all of a sudden Kansas City lost to Denver,
they were like, oh, Kansas City's dead. Now great, there
is this. I've said it since the beginning of the season,
before there was a game play and I said, Wow,
(07:55):
the parody this year is insane. And I'll ask you guys,
I don't know who the best team in football is,
but I know one thing. You can't bet futures. Yeah,
after one win, like he said, this is one win
and one loss in the NFL, a camp panic unlike
the college losses, probably mean a lot more. So very interesting.
Speaker 5 (08:13):
Well, well, I don't talk about the Bengals Bills game
in a little bit, but I mean when the team
is playing the best the NFL's this team that's wearing
red right now, like when when they are, I mean
they're the best, like they're the best and until proven otherwise,
they're the And I still think I think this is right,
Like in the NFC, are the niner as still power
rated ahead of the Eagles? I think in the power
(08:34):
ratings in the NFC, so I think that you know,
it's Eagles and Niners. And we'll find more about the
Eagles today as they play the Cowboys and the Chiefs,
like until they get dethroned, it's still the Chiefs, guys.
Speaker 6 (08:45):
You know what's funny is the overreaction sometimes work both
ways for the same teams. Where if you think of
the Dolphins playing right now, they beat the Broncos seventy
to twenty and they were the team, and now after
they lost another marquee game against the Eagles, they can't
beat the good teams. They can't beat the good teams.
(09:08):
Never mind that they had three offensive linemen down, both
starting corners, they're stud running back.
Speaker 1 (09:12):
They can't beat good teams like our mind's made up.
Speaker 6 (09:15):
Think about since the since the at the beginning of
the year with Burrow and the calf, and now they
were doubted and now like you're saying, crack well, we
saw him beat the Niners, but what are their Super
Bowl lodes? So you can see the overreactions good and
bad for the same teams as the season plays out.
Speaker 5 (09:34):
I do think though the Bengals not overreaction, but there
is I think there is part of it to where
like the Bengals, this is the pattern that they've shown
now three straight seasons where they start slow and then
pickups team. To me, that Bengals is not an overreaction,
it's just it's we're coming to the realization they're good again. Essentially.
(09:58):
Am I taking them to in the Super Bowl right now? No?
But I think it's fair, especially in this game today,
to be on the Bengals. I know I am because
a couple of is one of these. The Bengals are
good again, Like that's just they're good. We've seen now
over the last three weeks they're playing better football. I
think Buffalo is two up and down for me to
(10:19):
put any money on them at any time. And the
Bengals have played Buffalo specifically pretty well the last couple
of years. If you remember, you know, in the the
more Hamlin game last season, they were up seven nothing
and driving to go fourteen to nothing like immediately, and
obviously one in Buffalo in the cold last year in
the playoffs. So I think the Bengals are really good
and they're kind of back to being good again. But
(10:40):
the overreaction to now trying to find Bengals super Bowl money.
You should have taken that money if you want that
four weeks ago, right right, that's when you take it.
Speaker 3 (10:47):
Oh, you could have took so much better price, corect
Oh my.
Speaker 5 (10:51):
God, I mean I think there's even you know, there
was even a market in my opinion for a you know,
a Joe Burrow mvp uh ticket to have be had.
But now, especially if they win today, like you've lost
the value in that. So yeah, I'm you have to
be a step ahead when it comes to some of
these futures.
Speaker 3 (11:11):
And Baltimore futures by the way, too, people have called that.
I had two different guys back home from New York.
Both call me like they don't realize they could just
check DraftKings right in their jurisdic shit, they don't. Well,
Cincinnati and Baltimore. I like both of them. They're gonna
go real far. Can you find out what both of
them are to win the Super Bowl? I'm like, it's
too late now the money, the value is gone, and
(11:31):
now you want to know what both because Baltimore had
a couple. You know, they beat Detroit and had the
big game all of a sudden now and then by
the way, they just I'm not gonna say squeaked past,
but they just had a little bit of a hard
time with one of the worst teams in football. So like,
but it doesn't matter. They won. They on the scoreboard
they want, Oh no, they're gonna be Can you find
out what they are to win the Super Bowl? I
want to bet you twenty bucks on them.
Speaker 5 (11:53):
I do a question about some of the thing we like,
we talk about value, So like, I know that there
are times when it's like, okay, I could get a
much better number. But let's take a college fotball for example.
I know NFL show Bo Nicks is gonna be New
York for the Heisman. He's gonna be there. I'm telling
you right now. He's playing unbelievably good. He's at plus
(12:15):
six hundred right now as of this morning for the Heisman.
You could have got that number. Yeah, plus twelve hundred,
plus two thousand, like a different time crack. But to me,
after watching him play last three weeks and their schedule
coming up, like he's gonna be in New York. He
may or may not win it, but Michael Pennix hasn't
played as good. JJ McCarthy start, I can't do that, Like,
(12:36):
there's just no, there's no way he's winning the Heighsman.
He's not even there's not even a play this year
where you're like, that's a Heisman play, Like nothing, a.
Speaker 6 (12:44):
Little swing pattern that the guy took sixty. He should
be on the podium.
Speaker 5 (12:49):
I think Jayden Daniels has a great chance, but obviously
that lost yesterday I think kind of took him out
of the running. That had been Alabama. So to me,
like Bonnix at plus six hundred is still a good bet,
even if it was plus two thousand and two weeks ago.
Speaker 3 (13:02):
That makes thing.
Speaker 6 (13:03):
If you hit six to one today in a game
or a you know, close your ears crack a parlay.
Speaker 1 (13:10):
You know, if you hit six to what, you take
that all day.
Speaker 6 (13:13):
So if you still think that it has a realistic
chance of winning, I would still take it.
Speaker 3 (13:19):
Even one sounds good. By the way, he's two to
one of the books I'm looking at, so oh really, yeah,
he's plus two to one.
Speaker 5 (13:27):
I'm just looking at I'm just looking at an article
right now that lists the penis.
Speaker 3 (13:31):
You know most of the journalist penix is plus one
forty Bonnicks plus two to one. Then it goes to
eight to one on multiple players. Travis McCarthy, now two
to one.
Speaker 5 (13:42):
I wouldn't take that, because.
Speaker 3 (13:44):
It's two to one today.
Speaker 5 (13:45):
Yeah, I would not take that. We talked about I
looked at.
Speaker 3 (13:47):
Two sportsbooks, so the second one is one eighty plus one.
So but however, last week on air, I could have
swore I looked at this market and I could have
swore he was six to one last week.
Speaker 5 (13:57):
No he No, he was higher I think than six
to one. Again, the value thing is, so is I
love discussion because when I first got into a sports wager,
and which is like five years ago, started covering it
and doing it full time, you know, the idea of
value was only take the longest odds of odds and
like that's value. It's plus ten thousand, and it's like, no,
that's not Actually, that's not what value actually means. Right,
Like I text you, guys, this week Colorado was under
(14:19):
five and a half wins at minus two thirty. They're
not to getting six wins, guys, I don't care.
Speaker 3 (14:25):
I laid the teen reasons why, the reasons why.
Speaker 5 (14:28):
Maybe, and maybe lane two thirty is done and too
rich for it's not. No, they have three games left,
they have to win two of them against a ranked
Arizona and a ranked Utah. They got to beat one
of those two teams and the States to get over
And like that to me is value minus two thirty.
I'm like that, that's that's just well.
Speaker 6 (14:46):
I fact you had that earlier where you had Oregon
beating Colorado on the money line, right, and they were
favored by about twenty one, but on the money line
it was like minus seven hundred or something, way.
Speaker 3 (14:58):
Too much for the public, right And maybe to Jeff's
point too, And thanks for reminding me there, Brian, Now
that I think about it, maybe the sports books need that,
you know, maybe they need that on their future pool
where they need some under money now because everybody bet
over so now they have a chance to get back
a little bit. And I'll use that word again, mitigate.
(15:18):
They want to mitigate their losses a little bit, you know,
maybe hedge there sports book a little bit. So they
want to get some two way money because everybody was
rooting from the beginning of the year. Everyone rooting season
wins over over over, So maybe that's that that may
even be more value than you think they're situationally though,
because of this it's this particular team.
Speaker 1 (15:39):
Yeah, yeah, absolutely. Man, well, a lot to discuss.
Speaker 6 (15:42):
We'll keep you updated on this game in Germany between
the Dolphins.
Speaker 5 (15:46):
Jim was turned into like a slog.
Speaker 7 (15:47):
Man.
Speaker 5 (15:47):
I kind of didn't expect this.
Speaker 6 (15:49):
I texted you guys, I was like, what do you
think about the under no response.
Speaker 5 (15:52):
No, I said, I like the I said, like the
Chiefs to what I thought.
Speaker 1 (15:54):
I thought, I'm taking the Chiefs responded in your head.
Speaker 5 (15:57):
I never responded, Oh I feel bad.
Speaker 6 (16:01):
No response, just a joke from Russ. That was it
laid out all my reasons. Joke from Russ and a half.
Speaker 5 (16:07):
Now, Oh I didn't answer you. I thought I did.
Speaker 1 (16:09):
I thought I got no response.
Speaker 5 (16:11):
Oh, I'm sorry, man.
Speaker 1 (16:11):
I was ready to pounce. I'm like, I just need
a little bit of No. I didn't because I was like,
maybe this is a stupid angle.
Speaker 3 (16:17):
I don't know. Huh.
Speaker 1 (16:18):
No response from the guys.
Speaker 5 (16:19):
That's that's my bad. I was gonna say. I was
going to say take the Chiefs money line, and that's
why I didn't say that to you.
Speaker 1 (16:26):
Well, no worries.
Speaker 6 (16:29):
I love how some of these weather reports they're like, uh,
wind and rain are in the forecast.
Speaker 1 (16:34):
It's fine right now, it looks fine. It doesn't look
like a big deal at all.
Speaker 3 (16:37):
Hey.
Speaker 6 (16:37):
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Speaker 1 (17:08):
All right, we're off and running.
Speaker 6 (17:09):
We've got Jeff Schwartz, eight year NFL veteran Bill Krackenberger
from crackwins dot com sports handicapper. I'm Brian Nell coming
up next. Our main man, Christian Cipollini from BETMGM breaks
it all down. Let you know who the sharps are on,
where the public is He's on the way. It is
Fox Sports Radio's Camp Down to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.
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Speaker 6 (17:44):
Hey, we're Cavino and Rich Fox Sports Radio every day
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But here's the thing.
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We never have enough time to get to everything we
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And that's why we have a brand new podcast called
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Well you know what it's called over promise.
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You should be good at it because you've been over
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(18:33):
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Speaker 1 (19:10):
All right, let's do this.
Speaker 4 (19:12):
Follow the money, real good money.
Speaker 6 (19:15):
Oh we welcome in our guy, Christian Cipollini, BETMGM Trading manager.
You know, Christian, we got some monster matchups. We're watching
Dolphins Chiefs, right, now you think about Seahawks Ravens, the
Sunday night matchup with the Bills and Bengals Dallas Philly.
Out of all those games or anything else, which game
has drawn the most interest and the most money?
Speaker 1 (19:37):
But betting wise, yeah.
Speaker 7 (19:40):
This is so far but one of those least chaotic weeks.
I say we have even with all these you know,
rookie starting quarterbacks and random starting quarterbacks, but we actually
have pretty good two way action on almost all those
games that you mentioned. We're definitely rooting for the Dolphins
here in this one, we'll be rooting for the Seahawks,
Cowboys and Bills here. So there's actually I was a
(20:02):
little bit surprised by the action we're taking about sixty
close to seventy percent action on the Eagles and Bengals specifically.
Those are two that I thought would be a little
bit closer to fifty to fifty or at least more
Cowboys and Bills action. Maybe we'll get it when we
get closer to the game. So that's where we're sitting
right out.
Speaker 5 (20:18):
The Brown is starting Deshaun Watson, the car is starting
cleaning too. The line is thirteen, I believe right now.
Any takers on the Cardinals at plus.
Speaker 7 (20:26):
Thirteen, Yeah, not many. That's by far the biggest movie
of the week from seven and a half all the
way up to thirteen now, so yeah, we're not getting
much Cardinals action. A little bit more at the thirteen,
but yeah, on the way up here, no, it was
Browns all the way.
Speaker 3 (20:45):
Hey, Christire, you know I noticed last night before I
went to bet, I've seen Cincinnati. One sports book had
three here in town. Everyone else was two and a half.
You said, you need, You're gonna need, You're gonna need Buffalo, right,
I took the three last that off. That's what I
meant to say. So you guys are gonna need that
tonight by game time. Will you guys? Do you do
you foresee happening the Cincinnati going to three. That's the
(21:08):
key number there to get some two way money or
you know no, because you don't want to be sided.
Speaker 7 (21:13):
There at the moment, I don't think so. I think
this is where it's gonna end up with this two
and a half. I think if we end up going
to three, that's where we're gonna start seeing a lot
of the sharps come hitting it at that number. Just
you said there. So we'll see if the market leans
us that way or if anyone pushes us there, But
I don't foresee it at this moment.
Speaker 3 (21:32):
And what happened in the Miami game this morning? You know,
I was up early. I seen Miami minus one and
a couple of the sportsbooks. Heare in town, obviously taking
a lot of money. But yet you guys didn't really
get hit with the Miami. Was there anything in that game?
I don't know that. How did they get how did
they cross the jump defence there from Kansas City being
favorite to Miami being favorite?
Speaker 7 (21:53):
Yeah, I mean we didn't really see it. We actually
we actually kind of held there a little bit at
one and kind of just end a little bit towards Miami.
We took we took a pretty big bet on the
Chiefs four hundred k. So we have a kind of
Chiefs liability.
Speaker 3 (22:07):
So we always want to know when someone that's four
hundred thousand, you gotta let us know, all right, good
Kansas City four hundred k. I didn't know Schwartz Stevin
bets that much, but that's that's okay.
Speaker 5 (22:19):
Yeah, I was up, I was up early this morning,
laid four hundred k Wow, Jeeves, you got it.
Speaker 6 (22:24):
Jesus Christian. You know we've seen a couple of these
lines fluctuate. The Rams and Packers. Well, you see it
sometimes at three or three and a half. I've seen
a little bit earlier in the week with the Philly
game where they're minus three and a half.
Speaker 1 (22:38):
Now it's at three.
Speaker 6 (22:39):
Do you is that the the most important movement Whether
a game moves off of three, you know, either to
three and a half or two and a half, does
it take the most amount of money or the most
amount of sharp money compared to say a line that's
at seven and either goes to seven and a half
or six and a half.
Speaker 7 (22:57):
Yeah, that three spots always tricky for it, and it's
always where we're jumping around, I mean correct. I'll tell
you the second that we moved something to three or
to three and a half, that's when boo almost that
getting hit. And sometimes those moves are only there for
a few minutes, ten to fifteen minutes because we start
getting hit on the other side, So we usually get
told pretty quick if we've gone too.
Speaker 5 (23:16):
Far on those. One game that I'm having trouble with
here is the Giants and Raiders. I don't know why
the Giants are a short dog here. I mean, the
Raiders are not very good. Maybe I'm even wrong on
the Giants here. What's your take on this game?
Speaker 7 (23:33):
I'm with you there as well. But we're seeing about
sixty five seventy percent action coming on the Raiders, and
we had some sharp money that pushed us to that
number too. Me personally, I'm not so sure what people
are seeing in the Raiders, but that's what the money's telling.
Speaker 3 (23:48):
Us to do. How about tomorrow, and you guys have
no real action yet even though the game didn't move. Boy,
this was like one and a half two, It was
one and a half on the look aheadline, and now
it's up to three and a half, which I'll tell
you I only can bet the dog there. I know again,
I was talking about this earlier in the show, how
our eyes deceive us and we won't. Last week, people
think seeing the Chargers play good and it said, oh
(24:09):
finally they're going, Yeah, they're going to go, They're gonna
be a playoff contender. So now all of a sudden
they jumped on them. The Jets got a little bit
lucky last week to win. Are you seeing any action
two way action area. Just seeing Chargers money.
Speaker 7 (24:21):
We're but we're just seeing Chargers money at the moment.
But I'll be interested to see how that shakes out,
probably later this afternoon and into them to tomorrow too,
because I think it's three and a half. That's where
we're going to start seeing it at least some sharp
action coming on the Jets, because it looks good against
good teams so far, and I think I think three
and a half will just be a little bit too much.
Speaker 5 (24:39):
If you wager your money on the Chargers on the road,
every cent you ever wager in your life, good luck
laying three and a half with the Chargers on the
road on Monday night football in New York, York. God
bless you if you're putting money in the Chargers.
Speaker 3 (24:56):
Good point so exactly.
Speaker 7 (24:59):
That's why I'm not so sure if this one's going
to hold there.
Speaker 1 (25:02):
Well, Hey, Christian, I appreciate the time, man. Enjoy week nine.
We'll catch you soon, all right, Thanks for having me.
You got it, man. There is Christian Zippolini bet MGM
Trading manager.
Speaker 3 (25:13):
I like that guy.
Speaker 5 (25:14):
Yes, he's fun.
Speaker 3 (25:15):
Man.
Speaker 6 (25:15):
That almost sounds like one of your selections in the
crack Challenge.
Speaker 5 (25:19):
Yeah, it's not gonna be Jets, but I ain't gonna
be a Chargers.
Speaker 3 (25:22):
And you know you could have you could have actually
said you wanted Kansas City and the Crack Challenge. We
would have counted it just to like, well.
Speaker 5 (25:28):
I mean, I did take them in my contest, so
I don't know if you tell you that you can
retroactively put that in there.
Speaker 3 (25:33):
But by the way, the Crack Challenge again, this sports guy.
I mean, no, no, listen, I hate to say this.
I shouldn't say this now, and it's early morning. People
are gonna be like what. I can't believe Crack just
said that. I mean, now's the time to bet against you.
I'm sorry, no, it is, now's the time. I'm I
may have to get Just think about what we say
(25:53):
that against everyone.
Speaker 5 (25:54):
Here in sixteen and four, right, and.
Speaker 1 (25:56):
The last four weeks.
Speaker 3 (25:57):
So listen, I hate to say it. People return to
the mean the sharp I'm not even disagree with you.
Speaker 1 (26:04):
It is just making me look bad out here.
Speaker 3 (26:06):
Crack.
Speaker 6 (26:06):
I inched a game over five hundred. That's the whole
point of the challenge.
Speaker 1 (26:10):
You got to be over five hundred picking five games, right,
be over five I'm over five hundred, No one cares, No.
Speaker 3 (26:16):
One, seventeen and sixteen.
Speaker 1 (26:19):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (26:20):
Yeah. By the way, people that don't know the crack
challenge and this is to everyone, really uh to bet
five games against the spread laying eleven to ten the
day of the game. Not only that, these guys do
it literally ten minutes before kickoff seventeen and sixteen. And
I don't even know what schwartz is. It's some off
(26:40):
the chart number.
Speaker 1 (26:41):
Get it for you. It is.
Speaker 6 (26:43):
You ready for this crack, It's twenty four ten and one, twenty.
Speaker 3 (26:48):
Four to ten and one against the spread, only fourteen
games up. Listen, I am betting five team round robins
every week from here on out.
Speaker 5 (26:55):
On the other side, Yeah, twenty six, eleven and three
in my contestant, Wow so far, which you know again,
I've never been this good. The NFL will take it cheez,
but yeah, that's uh.
Speaker 3 (27:07):
I would have She's twenty you're twenty six and eleven
and the twenty three. All right, So now now think
about what you're saying. Now we have that we have
contests here in Vegas with thousands of people in it
also does big ones back East with thousands of people
in it when when I seen the results this past week,
I could not believe. So my buddy sends me a
result which I'm gonna show you guys.
Speaker 5 (27:27):
On Oh that like make me.
Speaker 3 (27:29):
I just can't. I even said to him, this guy's
my my buddy, Charlie from Stan Allen. I was like, Charlie,
wait a minute, Wait a minute, Hold on a minute.
There's no way someone can be eighty some percent, legit.
He said, no, they they literally are eighty percent. He
sent me that. They hear it is unbelief. But how
about this. The top twelve people are seventy one point
(27:50):
four percent or better. That's insane. The leader of the
tournament is twenty nine and six. I mean, his is crazy.
Speaker 1 (28:00):
So it's like you have a three and two week
it's like you're dead.
Speaker 3 (28:05):
So you quarters.
Speaker 5 (28:08):
I didn't do the thousand dollars, I didn't do the
circle one I did on the book I use, and
I think there's like forty nine hundred people something like that.
But the leader has thirty one and a half points.
Right now, they count of tie as a half point,
so it's thirty one and a half out of forty I.
Speaker 1 (28:24):
Mean, right right, that's crazy. Next level.
Speaker 3 (28:28):
You know.
Speaker 6 (28:28):
Speaking of next level, there's a guy in this building
who's next level.
Speaker 1 (28:33):
He goes by the name of Isaac Low and Crown.
He's here to spin us around the sporting landscape. What's
going on?
Speaker 4 (28:39):
I Low, You're absolutely right. Every time I take the
elevator from the first floor to the second floor, I
say to myself, I'm next level. What's also next level
is the Kansas City Chiefs offense, at least on the
opening drive of the game, because they've got a seven
to nothing lead over the Miami Dolphins with nine toho
five left to play in the second quarter. At Frankfurt, Germany,
here was the ending of the chief opening drive.
Speaker 8 (29:01):
Chiefs go spread said here on shuck it down and
actually they can get a first down before getting a touchdown.
Speaker 5 (29:06):
They don't have to worry about that.
Speaker 8 (29:08):
They touchdown cansa city taylong, they won't need an't really climb.
Speaker 5 (29:16):
The Chiefs tash in only.
Speaker 8 (29:19):
Seven play drive and an eleven yard touchdown by Rossie Heisch.
Speaker 4 (29:24):
The veterable Mitch Holt is the call on w DAF. Meanwhile,
citizens of Germany sitting nearby in the stadium remark to
themselves that American very excitable. Anyway, after that opening touchdown
between these two high powered offenses, they have combined to
go punt, punt, punt, punt, punt, punt and punt. It remains. Yeah.
(29:46):
Seven to nothing, Kansas City over.
Speaker 6 (29:48):
My bed punt there, I low. It probably would have
been blocked for a safety.
Speaker 4 (29:54):
You know what, you know, your limitations, you know what
you don't know, which is admirable because not a lot
of people out there can say that about themselves. Seven
to nothing, Chiefs over the Dolphins, eight twenty left to
play in the second quarter Frank for Germany. ESPN reports
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford unlikely to play at Green Bay
today because of a spring right thumb. Brett Rippin expected
to get the start in his place. College football Saturday night,
(30:16):
fifth ranked Washington what at number twenty USC fifty two
to forty two. Washington running back Dylan Johnson ran for
two fifty six with four touchdowns. The Huskies nine tot
zero USC is seven and three number eight Alabama ran
for two hundred and eighty eight yards at a forty
two to twenty eight win over fourteenth ranked LSU and
number three Michigan with a forty one to thirteen victory
(30:39):
over Purdue is once again it appears that the Wolverines
did a bang up job of advanced scouting. Back to you, guys,
thank you, I Low.
Speaker 6 (30:49):
It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to kick Off presented
by Bett MGM.
Speaker 1 (30:54):
Let's dive into this.
Speaker 5 (30:57):
In gain Betty.
Speaker 6 (31:00):
Okay, So, like Jeff said, this game is slowed down tremendously.
The first drive of the game, Chiefs go right down
the field hot knife through butter, and you're thinking, Okay,
maybe we're gonna.
Speaker 1 (31:10):
See a lot of points. Still seven nothing after the
first drive, and with the action slowing down, maybe there's
a way to take advantage of this. With the in
game betting market, crack anything standing out to use.
Speaker 3 (31:23):
And I have a live line of four and a
half of Chiefs four and a half forty and a half.
There's just no way I could bet under forty and
a half with these two offenses on the field. I
know it seven thirty left in the second quarter. If anything,
I would lean to the over. But I'm not betting it,
but I mean that is the way I would lean.
You know, in game betting is very popular for this
(31:46):
type of a game. When at six thirty in the morning,
people are just getting up seven thirty eight o'clock. They're
gonna bet they want action halftime in game betting. Just listen,
it's a long day. Calm down. But if you want
to bet something, maybe throw a pina, a little pinu
on the over, have some fun, that's all.
Speaker 5 (32:02):
I don't know how many portraitally scored this game. I mean,
like the Chiefs defense is really good. Like I think
we're getting that point where we're saying, like this is
a legit defense. Now, I mean they could. I think
they're gonna try to run the clock out here and
get as far as they can knock to the Dolphins
to the ball back.
Speaker 3 (32:17):
Something happens thirty nine and a half.
Speaker 5 (32:19):
Now it's obviously the goal. Well they just keep running
the ball. They just keep kind of turning the clock
on this drive and a half. So I'm curious to
see how this one. I mean, my betting today, I
don't know, man. I think with maybe some of these
rookie quarterbacks, like if if Arizona were to get out
to a lead early on seven to nothing, some weird
thing happens. Maybe it takes some browns at some point.
(32:40):
I don't, you know, there's I mean, the Cowboys are
very you know, they're very like front runner ish. We've
talked about this before. If if they get up big,
maybe there's a wager to take in that situation, like
an Eagles team total under. I don't know if that's
a way to go. The best live wagers are when,
you know, unfortunately guys get hurt like Arizona's quarterback. I
(33:02):
hurt yesterday. I just freaking hammered Utah as many ways
as possible and they won fifty five to three. So that, uh,
that is that's a way to do things, obviously, But
that's kind of where I'm at with the I don't
live wager NFL very often, guys. I feel like it's
it's just a hard sport to live wager. The way
that the lines are too are too good. Every NFL
(33:23):
game you're wider to, every NFL game like tends to
be close. They just like they tend to like get
close and close and closer. There's all and there's not
a lot of big blowouts. It's just it's hard to call.
Troopball to me, is much easier, right, Like the the
home favorite that starts slow. You put some money on
them at some point just to kind of, you know,
ramp things back up a little bit, like they're just
(33:43):
you feel there's more ways to colle tropball, to live wager.
Speaker 3 (33:46):
Oh they're Brian, Come on, Ryan loves the wager in game.
Speaker 5 (33:50):
We know that wager on punts in first time two.
Speaker 3 (33:53):
Weeks ago we were like shock, like wait a minute,
hold you bet that?
Speaker 2 (33:56):
That?
Speaker 3 (33:56):
And that like hold it waiting? Yeah? But uh so, Brian,
what do you do? Do you do the same thing an NFL? Brian?
Speaker 1 (34:01):
Oh yeah, oh yeah. I get in on live wagers
all the time in the NFL.
Speaker 5 (34:05):
A fall start.
Speaker 6 (34:06):
More of my wagers are in game. Even Listen, the
Chiefs are playing great defense so far, Jeff, I give
them credit, but they're not the eighty five Bears out
you know what I mean. Like the Dolphins are going
to score some points. I still like Tyreek Hill to
find the paint. I like him to score a touchdown
in this one. That's one that I would look at.
So that's the one thing I've got for you right now.
(34:28):
But I like what you're thinking, Craig. The game opening
up a bit, maybe wait till the third quarter because
They're not gonna be fireworks right now. Third quarter normally
starts off slowly, but you might see some fourth quarter fireworks.
Speaker 1 (34:40):
You can get in on an over if that's what
you're thinking.
Speaker 5 (34:42):
One thing about Tyreek Hill, guys, this feels like the
year to put a couple well pennies down on a
Tyreek Hill MVP or AJ Brown MVP. Like this just
feels like the year where it might not be worth
it today. We talked about this earlier this week on
my Bare Bets podcast, Like, this feels like the year
when I know they're gonna give it to like Patrick
(35:03):
Mahomes whatever. Like if Tyrek Cook it's two thousand yards receiving,
right and the Dolphins have the one seed or two, Like,
how do you not give it to him? Like like
like what would be the the reason why you wouldn't
do it?
Speaker 3 (35:15):
Well, if he has two thousand yards and he's on
piece for two thousand yards, Jesus, I have him.
Speaker 5 (35:20):
Of Offensive Player of the Year some money on that.
So like I'm set, I think essentially either way. But like,
and the market's going to change, I think moving forward,
But like who's the MVP right now in the NFL?
Like who would you give that? Who would Brian? Who'd
give the awards you? Right now?
Speaker 1 (35:33):
Mahomes is right there.
Speaker 5 (35:35):
I guess I sort of. But this is the worst
that Chiefs have played on offense since he got there.
Speaker 6 (35:40):
He's there, treek Ewa is up there. What's hurt him
is the losses to marquee teams. I hear you on that, like,
it reminds me of Adrian Peterson right when he got
to two thousand yards and he won MVP. And I
believe that year Aaron Rodgers put up some pretty big numbers.
But yeah, you get to that threshold, you get to
like a Miles Stone type thing. Absolutely in the run.
Speaker 5 (36:02):
That's because of me. I was. I was on that
team that year. The off weird nine yards short of
Erica Dickerson's.
Speaker 6 (36:07):
Record, so close, and he went off against the Packers
the last game of the season, and.
Speaker 5 (36:12):
Then we had to play the Packers six days later
in the playoffs. That's that's a weird thing. You play
someone on Sunday and you play them against Saturday.
Speaker 3 (36:18):
Wow.
Speaker 1 (36:19):
Yeah, I don't remember you in Viking Purple there. Yeah, well,
and I studied face.
Speaker 5 (36:26):
But I was on that team. Yes, yeah, all.
Speaker 6 (36:28):
Right, We've got Jeff Schwartz, eight year NFL veteran. How
many NFL teams?
Speaker 1 (36:32):
By the way, Jeff, I.
Speaker 5 (36:33):
Played on four during games. I was on a fifth
with camp my last year, so I'd count four. Really four?
Speaker 1 (36:39):
Okay, eight years? Four teams like it.
Speaker 6 (36:41):
We got Bill Krackenberger from crack wings dot com sports handicapper.
I'm Brian no coming up next to Parlay Platter. We
each have one pick. We put them together get a
bigger pay out. We'll have some selections for you right
around the corner. It is Fox Sports Radios Campdown to
Kickoff presented by bet MGM. It is Fox Sports Radios
Camp Down to Kickoff presented by bett MGM. Earned a
(37:03):
one hundred dollars bonus by signing into BETMGM and clicking
on refer a friend to invite a friend and at
just a few simple steps, both you and your friend
will receive a one hundred dollars bonus. Bet MGM is
offering some of the best odds in the market on
touchdown props this season. Bet MGM, the King of sportsbooks,
the King of parlays.
Speaker 1 (37:22):
All right, let's do this. Check this out with Parlay
Letter Okay, the parlay platter, we each have one pick.
We just prove them all together get a bigger payout.
Speaker 3 (37:35):
Crack.
Speaker 1 (37:35):
We'll start with you. What are you thinking, man.
Speaker 3 (37:36):
I think this's gonna be It looks like a boring game,
but I think it's gonna be a little bit of
a fireworks offensively here at Washington, New England. Let's go
over over the twenty in the first half. Washington New
England like.
Speaker 5 (37:48):
It first half of Okay, let's see what I put
what I have for my uh, I got Giants plus
one and a half. I don't understand this line. Maybe
I'm maybe I'm I have I know that the the
power rankings for oddsmakers, Crack have the Giants like thirty, first, thirtieth.
I think around there. But Daniel Jones is back today.
(38:09):
I believe they're left tackles back today, like they're getting
pieces back. It just the Raiders are no good. They're
they're like they're not good. And now they have a
new quarterback, a rookie quarterback, a new coach, a new
oc like, they're not good. It's not going to revitalize
the team.
Speaker 3 (38:25):
Not a home game either for the Raiders.
Speaker 5 (38:27):
No oh, no, a lot of Giants fans, and so
I have the Giants here plus the point half.
Speaker 1 (38:33):
Okay, crack, you gotta be honest with you.
Speaker 6 (38:36):
I'm not sure you'll like this because you like these
gross games like the first half over sometimes.
Speaker 1 (38:42):
How about this Rams Packers? The first half total is
nineteen and a half. I got the under. We got
what Brett Rippin for the Rams filling in for Matthew Stafford.
We've got Jordan Loff and the Packers who are allergic
to scoring first half points.
Speaker 6 (38:59):
Nineteen and a half sounds high to me. I've got
the under in Rams Packers. What do you honestly think
about that?
Speaker 3 (39:05):
I'm rooting for you. Oh no, no, no, no, none
of it. Because the earlier in the week, this game
up with forty two is down to thirty eight. However,
though it would not be playing over, so there you go.
Speaker 5 (39:17):
They look. The Packers don't score ever, like I think,
in the second quarter the least amount of points in
the NFL in the second quarter, the Packers do, and
the Rams are playing who at quarterback today?
Speaker 1 (39:25):
Brett Griffin and their.
Speaker 5 (39:27):
Backup is like some guy that got a practice squad.
It just it doesn't feel like the Packers defense though,
is low key not very good. So I won't be
watching that game, Brian, but I wish you the best
of luck. Right well, that would not be the Quadbots today.
Speaker 3 (39:40):
I mean that game moved four points already. It open
up pick him. It's minus four today. I don't care
whose quarterback, and Green Bay just hasn't been good this
year either, So very interesting line here. Four points is
very tempting for me to take the Rams with anyone
quarterback in there.
Speaker 1 (39:56):
So, man, I hope this hits.
Speaker 6 (40:00):
This hits that didn't. A half sounds high to me.
But I also like this is what I put out
the Wednesday video. We do these videos for BETMGM Colts Panthers.
It's at forty four and a half. Now, I like
the over in that one. I think we're gonna get
some fireworks. That Colt secondary is bad and the Colts
have moved the ball pretty well. The Panthers are just
the walking wounded defensively, so I think we're gonna get
(40:22):
a little bit of fireworks over in that one. We
got a lot more to discuss what sounds like sounds
like The Dolphins Chiefs update is right around the corner
plus one of the marquee matchups.
Speaker 1 (40:34):
We'll throw it at you next. Oh, what's going on, everybody?
Speaker 6 (40:37):
It is Fox Sports Radios Camp Down to Kickoff, presented
by bet MGM. We're brought to you by Progressive Insurance.
Progressive makes bundling easy and affordable. Get a multi policy
discount by combining your motorcycle, RV, boat, ATV and more
all your protection in one place. Bundle and save at
Progressive dot com. So at the end of last hour
(41:00):
you could hear Jeff Schwartz saying, uh uh uh, so
something big was happening. I was hoping it was a
Dolphins touchdown. Turns out it was the opposite. Tyreek Hill
caught a pass, ball was stripped, the Chiefs picked it up,
little lateral to a safety Brian Cook, who high steps
it down the sideline and the Chiefs score again. The
(41:22):
Chiefs are leading twenty one to nothing at halftime. Wow,
the Dolphins didn't convert one third down in the entire
first half. This is freaking terrible.
Speaker 3 (41:31):
Give me a second half line, guys, what do you
think crack I put the Chiefs in my contest.
Speaker 5 (41:36):
We don't have to use it for the Crack challenge.
Speaker 3 (41:38):
It doesn't count.
Speaker 5 (41:38):
It doesn't count, but they just want to want to
put that up there. That was my best bet this week.
So the Chiefs are still good. I mean, did you
that was a catch?
Speaker 3 (41:47):
Right?
Speaker 5 (41:48):
You agree on the call Brian on that one.
Speaker 2 (41:50):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (41:50):
I was hoping to luck out with forward progress.
Speaker 5 (41:54):
But kept fighting. That's what that's part. We kept like.
It's one of those things we kept like, kind of
digging claw.
Speaker 1 (42:01):
I was like, again, I was hoping to luck out,
but I have no problem with the ruling.
Speaker 3 (42:05):
Guys. Let me tell you something that happens in a
lot of situations like this. That's the reason why I
asked what you thought the second half linea the chief
second half line. By the way, it's Miami's minus five
and a half and now a six just came up,
Miami minus six. So let me just tell you what
happens a lot of the situations here. We did a
little live betting segment earlier and I mentioned this game.
The over was I leaned to the over. Got really
(42:27):
lucky to be in a situation like this. It was
over thirty nine and a half, even over forty and
a half. Now you can actually get like a five
point six point middle even betting under twenty five and
a half second half. But let me just tell you
situations that things that happened when this score is twenty
one to nothing. I'm noticing more this year than every
other year, teams are playing the scoreboard more than playing
(42:50):
their game. They're kind of pulling back on the fourth
quarter here when they have a nice lead. I would
I am real hesitant to bet overs on any games
that are twenty one nothing, twenty four to nothing, you know,
twenty seven to seven. I am real hesitant to bet
over second half. I think things slow down. Why I'm
not I'm not actually betting the under here. If you
do have that live wager that I was recommending earlier,
(43:12):
which I didn't even bet, I would get off it now.
And and actually, you know, hedge your bet, and I'm
not a hedge guy normally. But the situation twenty one
nothing that's gonna happen here. And now one of you
guys said, Miami's did you say something? But they've struggled
to get a for a first time.
Speaker 1 (43:29):
That's city is gonna hurt on third down, one third down.
Speaker 3 (43:31):
That's what I meant. Yeah, So I'm just telling you
situationally that the lines are coming up, and yeah, the
six has disappeared, mister Schwartz, it's five and a half everywhere.
Speaker 5 (43:41):
Just I would die the thing about NFL second half wagers,
and you can correct me if I'm wrong, crack, I
don't do a lot of them. I feel like the
opposite thing happens the NFL, if you take the second
half like colleg Trooble, to me, feels far more predictable
with some of the way these wagers work, right again,
like because there's such a talent disparity, you know, like
if you again, like if you have a team that's
(44:02):
it's tied at halftime and you're twenty one point favorite,
and you know, maybe you score before halftime, and you're
like you're gonna you're better, You're you're probably gonna second
half gonna just take over and steam all that team.
But in the NFL, like the Chiefs are really good,
Like are we certain the Dolphins are gonna come back
and win the second half by a touchdown? Like there's
no there's no gar This game could easily end thirty
(44:23):
five fourteen. Both teams score twice in the second half
and you lose your wager, right like, like to me,
you the NFL second half wager, and it's just unless
it's an injury or you know, I just don't do it.
That's my personal thing. I don't do it very often,
like I would rather take I think, Brian, you look
those second half props, I mean any sort of to
of prop or heilprop or wattle prop, like they're gonna
(44:45):
have to throw the ball so or most are under
carries and they're gonna have to speed up the offense.
So yeah, those wheel like better wagers if you can
find that market than any sort of wager where you
take the dolphin second half.
Speaker 1 (44:56):
Let's get Tyreek in the end zone. Okay, it's all
I know.
Speaker 6 (45:00):
It's crazy to it you play these games with the
scores where you look at the initial total for the
game was right around fifty and a half, and it
just stood out to me, Jeff, where you said thirty
five fourteen, that's under fifty and a half. You know,
But I was playing these games before the game where
I'm like, okay, twenty seven to twenty four gets it
(45:20):
to the over. It's crazy how you play these games.
But you're completely right. The Dolphins gonna have to air
it out. They're gonna have to throw a ton of
passes to try to play catchup, and that's not gonna
feature Raheem Mostert, who, by the way, rushing wise three
carries for six yards, so it's not even working and
they've got to air it out.
Speaker 1 (45:40):
So Raheem is gonna do nothing.
Speaker 6 (45:43):
Most likely in the second half, he might catch a
passer too, but he's not gonna rush it for a
whole heck of a lot. How about one of the
marquee matchups later today, Cowboys at the Eagles, and who
could slow down AJ Brown is one of the things
to look for. AJ Brown, receiver has six straight games
with at least one hundred and twenty five receiving yards.
Speaker 1 (46:05):
Now, you look at the Cowboys, even though they don't
have Trey Von Diggs, they haven't allowed any wide receiver
to gain more than eighty six yards this season. So
we'll see if they're up for the test to try
to slow down AJ Brown, because that dude is He's
not getting as much praise as Tyreek Hill is, but
he should be because he's been unbelievable.
Speaker 5 (46:26):
He's been been incredible, and you know, this game is
interesting to me. I feel like a lot of sharps
are on the Cowboys this weekend, and a lot of
people on the Cowboys this weekend.
Speaker 7 (46:37):
I I.
Speaker 5 (46:39):
Don't know, man, I don't see it. Like the Cowboys
to me sort of play one style of game they win,
and the one style of game they win is right.
They have to get ahead, right, it's get ahead, rush
the passer, kind of take the pressure off Dak Prescott
a little bit. They play a game that's close, a
(47:02):
game where the other team is winning. The Cowboys don't
play quite the same, right, Like, are we expecting the
Eagles in this game to like be down fourteen points?
I don't On the other side of the Eagles joke,
Jalen hurts his knee, he's not rushing the ball as much,
take out the Tousch pushes. The offense is not quite
(47:23):
the same as it was last season. But I just crack.
I don't feel comfortable putting money in the Cowboys this weekend.
I know smart people have and I'm not saying they're
incorrect and that assessment, but the Cowboys, I think just
are not trustworthy.
Speaker 3 (47:38):
Man.
Speaker 5 (47:38):
They play one style of game that wins and I
just not. I can't put my money on that.
Speaker 3 (47:43):
I had. I had dinner Friday night with one of
the big book makers in town that works for one
of the big sports books, and unbelievably, this was this
game had the most volume of two way actions. So uh,
you know, they had literally seven figures on Philadelphia, seven
figures on Dalla right now. And when I say, when
I say seven figures, I'm not giving you an exact number.
(48:03):
But it was real close, real tight. So I don't
know that anyone is on this is a game open
three and it's still three. I actually bet over forty
six early in the week, actually came back a little bit.
He went up to forty seven. Totally actually have forty
six and a half now, keen to one of the
key numbers in football. There is only a few on totals,
forty seven being one of them. I just think both teams,
you know, they both have like average defenses. So Dallas
(48:28):
really you know, the great again not great but good
against the past, but not so good against the rush,
and the actually opposite there for the Eagles. I know
it sounds a little bit square. I actually wrote up
this game earlier in this week, for an article. I
see like an offensive shootout here, like maybe twenty eight,
twenty four wherever as the ball less. Let me tell
(48:50):
you something I am not. I was high on Dallas
early in the season. I've seen Philadelphia go up, and
now Philadelphia is the favorite in the division. Let me
tell you they have a tough schedule ahead. I think
Dallas maybe some good, good way to attack. Maybe even
this game is just take a shot at Dallas in
the division.
Speaker 5 (49:10):
That's the bet. That's the bet to make.
Speaker 3 (49:12):
Yeah, Dallas and Division's a good bet. Philly has a
tough schedule here. Philly didn't look so good early in
the year against the teams Newing will almost beat them
week one, uh and then Dallas up until the San
Fran game. I thought they were okay, and San Fran
blew them away, and then they came back with a
big victory. Listen, this is the NFL. Have you any
given Sunday, anything can and will happen. I like a
(49:33):
little bit of a Dallas future when the division taking
some big money.
Speaker 5 (49:36):
So that's a good way to play this because it's
plus money feminine in the vision. I think it's like
plus what. I think that's where's at crack. I think
I actually took a loose it was plus one six.
Speaker 3 (49:46):
I actually bet I didn't want to recommend about that
anyone because I know it.
Speaker 5 (49:50):
No, I'm just talking. We're talking this three because I
feel like, yeah, if you think that Dallas wins tonight,
instead of taking the plus three minus one ten, take
them within the division because they're up on Eagles by
game already, that propel them. The Eagles schedule, guys, it's
Cowboys tonight at home, bye week at Kansas City, Buffalo
(50:11):
forty nine Ers at Dallas at Seattle.
Speaker 3 (50:13):
There you go, Jeff, oh wow, that's really good.
Speaker 5 (50:17):
And then it's it's Giants Cardinals, Giants. So like, maybe
at that point you see where the Eagles are at
and you can maybe take some money in the Eagles
winning division at that point. Because the Cowboys, their last
couple of games I think are much harder than Phillies.
So yeah, Cowboys end with the Bills, doll Well, Eagles, Bills, Dolphins,
Lions Commanders, so it's a much tougher end than Philly has.
So there's a way that maybe kind of play both
(50:39):
sides here and get plus money in both directions.
Speaker 3 (50:42):
Cool.
Speaker 6 (50:42):
There are a couple of numbers on Dak that have
been talked about during the week. Dak Prescott, He's fared
really well against the NFC East. He's twenty eight and
seven in his career. You look a little bit more
with the number sixty one touchdowns, twelve interceptions. But something
to keep in mind is not like the Giant have
crushed it since twenty sixteen when Dak came into the league.
(51:02):
It's not like Washington's actually crushed it. And even the
Eagles since twenty sixteen, the doll the Eagles finished in
first place in the NFC East three times, they finished
in last place twice.
Speaker 1 (51:15):
So that's the thing.
Speaker 6 (51:15):
When you start hearing these stats and you're like, oh, Dak,
he crushes the NFC East, It's like, I don't know,
you might want to read the fine print with where
the Eagles are today in this particular game. Another thing
to keep in mind is you look at the interceptions.
Jalen Hurts has eight interceptions this season. This stood out
to me if you just look at who's thrown the
most picks in the league so far, so Jimmy Garoppolo's
(51:37):
thrown the most. He's thrown nine and he's benched for
Aidan O'Connell. But then you get six quarterbacks that have
eight each and they're tied for second place.
Speaker 1 (51:47):
Listen to the difference in these names.
Speaker 6 (51:49):
So you get Sam Howell, okay, Mac Jones, Jordan Love
makes sense. Then you get Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen of
the Bills, and Jalen Hurts. That's crazy. All those guys
have thrown eight interceptions apiece. So we'll see if Jalen Hurts.
We talk about Dak all the time not turning it over.
We'll see if Jalen Hurts can keep it away from
(52:11):
Dallas as well.
Speaker 5 (52:12):
Yeah, you mentioned quarterbacks this weekend, guys, so we have
Tua and and uh Holmes tonight, like we go Fox
Game of the Week, right, Eagles, Cowboys Hurts, Dak Night game,
Burrow Allen fantastic.
Speaker 3 (52:28):
Yeah.
Speaker 5 (52:28):
In between, you ready who's starting for the Vikings today?
Speaker 3 (52:32):
Do I?
Speaker 5 (52:33):
It doesn't even matter.
Speaker 1 (52:35):
Jaron Hall, Jaren Hall.
Speaker 5 (52:37):
And Tyler Heineke. It's Clayton Tune and whatever. Deshaun Watson
the Rams starting quarterback. I refuse to learn his name.
And Jordan Love, Sam Howell and Mac Jones Tyler Bagant
agent agent agent Derek Carr. Oh, good one here, Gino Smith,
(52:58):
who's never played quite the same after the first four
games last season, he's just he's okay, right, and Lamar
Joe that's six and a half. That's a big number.
I think, uh oh, Baker Mayfield and C. J. Stroud
who And then in the afternoon windows three afternoon games
today because of course they are all right Colts Panthers.
What a matchup Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young. Then we have
(53:20):
Daniel Jones a O'Connell, and then we end Monday night
with Herbert and Zach Wilson. And again, if if you
put money on this game, I wish you the best
of luck. If you put money on the Chargers here
and minus two and a half or minus three and
a half, you are insane.
Speaker 1 (53:38):
Just just I agree.
Speaker 3 (53:39):
By the way, I agree.
Speaker 5 (53:42):
Can you imagine this game? We know this game is
gonna be It's gonna be tied with two minutes left
and the Jets gonna do I mean, the Charger do
something very stupid and the Jets will win seventeen fourteen,
and the Jets will be five and three somehow with
Rogers coming back up.
Speaker 1 (53:57):
Oh, we're gonna talk about Rogers.
Speaker 3 (53:58):
Yeah, getting ready.
Speaker 1 (54:00):
He's ahead of schedule.
Speaker 5 (54:01):
Jeff play right, So all said he's gonna play right.
Speaker 6 (54:06):
That would be amazing if he does. But the funny thing,
it's not about Rogers coming back quickly. It's what we
were saying about the Jets, like all they have to
do is go deep into the playoffs, where then he
would be on the jetsts comeback.
Speaker 5 (54:19):
The Jets season this year is very funny. They beat
the Bills in Week one and like a miraculous win.
They need four turnovers from Jalen Hurts to win that
game against the Eagles and the end of the game
the other day against the Giants, the Giants should have
fired someone in that football game. It wasn't the Jets
winning that game. The Giants just do absolutely ridiculous things
(54:41):
and they looked very poorly coaching that game. Saykwon Barkley
had a first down and just took a knee basically,
and then they missed a field goal. Then Kevon Thibodau
was off sides and that that stopped the clock, right,
and that play huge, yes, And then they get a
completion and they just let they let us there Alan
Lozard where I think it was Alans are just get
up off the ground, like they don't lay on them,
(55:02):
they don't try to delay, and they spike the ball
like what do we It's such bad coaching, man.
Speaker 6 (55:08):
Yeah, it's crazy. And they were a playoff team. They
were the toast of the NFL last season with Brian Davile. Yeah,
it's it's wild. What's happening over there with both New
York teams? Right, A lot of headlines, a lot of craziness. Hey,
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Speaker 1 (55:47):
All right, We're ready.
Speaker 6 (55:48):
Two is buckling them up, Schwartz buckling them up on
the sideline here eighty nine yards passing in the first half. Look, guy,
you gotta get hot, okay against these Chiefs channeling their
inner eighty five bears.
Speaker 5 (56:01):
Good Lord the Dolphgil score.
Speaker 4 (56:03):
I think they got it.
Speaker 1 (56:07):
Let's get Tyreek Hill in the end zone.
Speaker 3 (56:08):
Huh. I'm with you.
Speaker 5 (56:09):
I think Tyreek Hill does score. But I will say
it's never it's never good to be to like, you know,
he did boast a little bit this weekend about what
he was this week about what he was gonna do
to Kansas City, and I just feel like that's never
a good thing.
Speaker 1 (56:20):
Yeah, it's probably not a great yeah.
Speaker 5 (56:21):
And then down twenty one, they run the ball the
first play the second half, but it is of course.
Speaker 3 (56:24):
So sorry you guys, there's something quiet here. But I
mean I was I was trying to search for a bet.
Speaker 7 (56:30):
You know.
Speaker 3 (56:30):
One of my guys, one of my top guys, sent
me a bet, but he said it too late. Man
pissed on mad on that second half the case of
Kansas City under ten and a half second half points.
See now that that's a bet I would love if
I had it. Well, of course it's gonna be a
Kansas because you said Miami, Miami's five point favorite, so so,
and then the total was twenty four. I think that's
(56:54):
a that's that's probably a good bet, but I didn't
get it in. I'm so mad at myself looking along
if I had it five minutes early. But I lean
to the under there. And anyway, like I said the
beginning when the line came up, whenever game's twenty one nothing,
teams play the scoreboard that are winning more than ever
this year. And unless Miami comes right out of the gate,
they get the ball first second half. That right, guys,
they got the whole unless they come out and drive
(57:16):
down the field and score, and the under is definitely
definitely know the wise guys actually took it. It closed
twenty four. Actually it was twenty five at one time.
But anyway, just trying to make some live bets here.
I like to share the stuff for you guys too,
so we'll have some really good stuff here coming up
there it is.
Speaker 6 (57:33):
That's the voice of Bill Krackenberger from crack wins dot com.
Jeff Schwartz with US eight year NFL veteran I'm Brian
No coming up next. It's not just about the sexy matchups.
It's also about the gross matchups as well. We'll highlight
a couple of those. It is Fox Sports Radios Campdown
to kick Off presented by BETMGM. It is Fox Sports
Radios Campdown to Kickoff presented by Bett MGM. Every time
(57:56):
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(58:18):
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Speaker 1 (58:26):
Jeff, you hit on this.
Speaker 6 (58:28):
There's some gross matchups, and listen, you might be able
to profit off the gross matchups better than the marquee matchups.
It works like that sometimes in betting. But how about
this duel, the Battle of the backup QBS. You've got
a Desmond Ritter who's out the Falcons quarterback who he
played like a backup. Taylor Heineke is in there, and
(58:51):
then the terrible news with Kirk Cousins and the Achilles injury,
he's done for the season. Incomes Jaron Hall, so you
get Jaron Hall the Taylor Heinike. I would expect the
Falcons to run the ball quite a bit today, guys.
Speaker 5 (59:06):
This is what I would see. I think that any
sort of wager where you fade Taylor Heineke would be
probably a good wager as Oh, my home's almost just
rushed for like eighteen yards first down, Brian. That would
have been bad for you. That would have broken your spirit.
I feel like he just got hit pretty hard at
the end of it, though, that would have been incredible.
(59:28):
I just Heinike's better than risk. Did did ridar get Bench?
There was a concussion?
Speaker 1 (59:32):
I well, it was, it was, But this week head
coach Arthur Smith said he's good, he's fine.
Speaker 5 (59:39):
Yeah, he got Bench. It was about time. I don't
understand why they treated him like he's a first round pick.
He turns a ball over too much, Like you can't
play a quarterback who is not a first round pick
or second round pick and just refuses to help you
win games, right, Like, how does he help them win football?
He doesn't, so Heinik I think helps him when football
(01:00:01):
games better. The thing is, is heinicky? The variance on
Heiniky is just so much right guys, Like there are
times when he is really good because he is really bad.
But the Viking to me is just a no play right.
I mean, how do you any you play the Vikings
and and just the backup quarterback? How many? How many points? Crack?
(01:00:22):
Is is it here? For this game? For four points?
But this had been Vikings four so it's been Vikings
pick them?
Speaker 3 (01:00:28):
Yeah, he's more four points cousins for sure.
Speaker 5 (01:00:31):
So I would play Vikings in this is Josh Jobs
gonna suit up today for the Vikings. I mean he
just got traded to them. I played, Vikings are past.
That's how I look at this game.
Speaker 3 (01:00:41):
I wouldn't think they were gonna stay with They would
throw dobs right into that situation right away, you know,
build this confidence to let them play maybe next week,
but you know, you don't know. Listen to the Vikings
were but I thought they were hitting their stride. They
won like three in a row, four and four. They
lost their their their leader here and that takes a
toll on the team in the locker room, believe it
(01:01:02):
or not. They may not talk about it openly, but
that does take a toll sometimes. Now that you know
rookie quarterback no Justin Jefferson Falcons are I'll tell you
this was a team that all the wise guy groups,
literally three of them. I only know four. Three of
the group's bet season futures at the beginning of the
(01:01:23):
season on Atlanta to go roll away into Super Bowl.
I thank god I didn't bite, because a lot of
times I will go with them, especially if but I
couldn't find the big odds on them, so I passed.
You know, if I'm second to the party, I am
all about value, and if the value is gone, I
just got to say, hey pass, It'd be a lot
of other opportunities. So listen. The Vikings actually should pressure
(01:01:46):
Heinike a little bit. Here. Hunter leads the league in sacks.
I think with ten, I still would not. I'm not.
I have nothing. I don't have a dog in the
fight here. If anything, though, boy, is there still some
furs because there was four and a half there for
a minute. Yeah, there's still some force. But I'm just passing.
You're right, this is a game to sit back and
(01:02:06):
you know, enjoy the popcorn.
Speaker 6 (01:02:08):
You know, Crag, I don't know if we paid you
to go to see Giants Raiders that you would take
us up on that off.
Speaker 3 (01:02:17):
I told you, guys, I have two casinos here that
have big luxury boxes. One has like fifty seats, and
I can go to any game of the year. I
you know, I passed. I got seats for other people.
I was happy he get My buddy gave them seats
for How.
Speaker 1 (01:02:31):
Many requests did you get this week for Giants Nutters?
Speaker 3 (01:02:33):
None? The only Yeah, the real request you know comes
for the bigger teams like the Kansas City's and those
type of games. But every game is sold out and
it's a fun. I'll tell you one thing about Las Vegas,
what a family fun experience. They make this very fan friendly,
especially for the kids. I'm really talking about the Las
(01:02:55):
Vegas Golden Knights, but even the Raiders and the Raiders
make it it's fun for the whole family to come
out here vacation time. And uh uh you know, listen,
I'm one that thinks you really shouldn't bring little kids
to a Raider game. But people do, well, hey, it
might be.
Speaker 5 (01:03:11):
A co Do you think Josh McDaniels, like you got fired?
What day was it? The week you got fired? Like
a Tuesday?
Speaker 1 (01:03:17):
It was like, yeah, something woke up late Tuesday or something.
Speaker 5 (01:03:20):
Do you think he woke up Wednesday morning with just
like like a little happiness. He just woke up in
his nice mansion in Vegas somewhere, still getting paid. I
don't have to be coach the writers anymore.
Speaker 1 (01:03:32):
By the way, Jeff, it was one a m.
Speaker 6 (01:03:34):
Eastern time, LA day morning, wow, Wednesday morning, early early
Tuesday morning.
Speaker 1 (01:03:40):
I think I think that's it.
Speaker 5 (01:03:41):
Was actually Wednesday, and it was. I think he got
fired Wednesday as I was in New York. I was fine,
New York. I think it was the morning I was
up at like what, It doesn't matter what it was.
The point is he's not there anymore. I don't believe
in this coaches just coaching fire bump that people just
sort of expect to happen sometimes. I mean, Jeff Saturday
(01:04:01):
got lucky last year, right, he won this first game
then lost like seven in a row. Right, But the
Raiders just didn't replace their head coach. They replaced their
play caller and their second play caller. They're starting a
rookie quarterback today. The Giants have not played well. This
is not but they are like in desperation right now.
Speaker 1 (01:04:20):
And they get their tackles back.
Speaker 5 (01:04:21):
Their tackles are back, their quarterback is back. It feels
like they're a little hole now. Their defense is playing
okayven though they shipped off Leonon Williams. Obviously it's just Seattle.
But I'm just not I'm just I'll take the points
of the Giants and this is.
Speaker 3 (01:04:36):
A good situation for a teaser two in that game. Guys,
you know when you have a team that's a first
of all, it's one of the lowest totals of the week.
I actually just got hit on the over by the way,
thirty seven. I went to thirty seven and a half
now thirty eight and a half. But it's a good
situation when a low total to take the dog on
a teaser there, So you could throw them maybe in
a six point teaser Giants plus seven and a half
(01:04:57):
plus eight. I think that's a good way to go
in this game.
Speaker 5 (01:05:00):
I have a Giant, I have a Giants Panthers teaser.
You like that crack.
Speaker 3 (01:05:06):
I actually bet a couple of teasers this week. Yeah,
see the Panthers home team plus a two and a half,
taking it up to eight and a half for eight.
Uh yeah, definitely.
Speaker 5 (01:05:16):
Half half for today so far.
Speaker 3 (01:05:18):
By the way, you're the homer Caroline your.
Speaker 5 (01:05:21):
Yeah, yeah, Panthers. Someone someone texted me yesterday. I was like,
I'm going to my first Panthers game, Like, how do
I get tickets? I don't know. I've been like two yeah,
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (01:05:33):
Super fast.
Speaker 6 (01:05:33):
It just shows how crazy the NFL is when we're
talking about games with points or like you're talking about
Jeff teasers where you get additional points. Look at the
Raiders game last week against the Lions. The Raiders were
out gained four eighty six to one fifty seven.
Speaker 1 (01:05:49):
Wow, that's a difference, and.
Speaker 3 (01:05:50):
They should have covered. They should have covered a game they.
Speaker 1 (01:05:53):
Had a chance for the Backthord.
Speaker 3 (01:05:54):
Cover should have covered.
Speaker 5 (01:05:56):
That's what turnovers do for you.
Speaker 6 (01:05:58):
That's exactly right, yep, get a pick six right there.
You know, line's a little uh little lax with false security,
you know, but that just shows you the value of points.
At times you still have a fighting chance, even in
a gross situation. Like that, getting out gained by over
three hundred yards. That's insane. Someone else who is insane
in a good way, that would be Isaac Loewenkron, the
(01:06:21):
life of the party, with a little bit of information
along the way.
Speaker 4 (01:06:25):
I love what's going on here, especially when we get
early morning football, and that's what we've got right now
in Frankfurt, Germany, as the Kansas City Chiefs have a
twenty one to nothing lead over the Miami Dolphins with
six and a half minutes left to play in the
third quarter. They scored their first two touchdowns pretty conventionally
by Kansas City standards, on touchdown passes by Patrick Mahomes,
(01:06:47):
Tarrashie Rice and Jerrick McKinnon. But then their third touchdown,
which came on the final minute of the second quarter,
was absolutely insane. And with that in mind, here was
the absolutely insane sounding Mitch Polti on WDAF.
Speaker 5 (01:07:01):
Chief lead fourteen or nothing.
Speaker 3 (01:07:02):
They'll throw it in the.
Speaker 8 (01:07:03):
Near side Tyreek Hill hit right the stomach, thumbles.
Speaker 5 (01:07:05):
The ball picked up by Canton City Tyrek Hill, the
Canton up FuMB of recovery cut the sideline here.
Speaker 3 (01:07:11):
Cups bike gets it.
Speaker 4 (01:07:13):
Bryan Cook ten five touchdown dannsas City Mike Edwards hit Tyrek.
Speaker 3 (01:07:22):
Kill right in the stomach.
Speaker 1 (01:07:23):
The ball came out and Bran Cook would not let the.
Speaker 3 (01:07:27):
Play in They kitchen over to Cook from Edwards.
Speaker 5 (01:07:31):
It's a sixty seven yard fumble return for a touchdown
after Edwards took the ball and stoop it to bran Cook.
Speaker 4 (01:07:39):
So as a result of Kansas City up twenty one
to nothing over the Dolphins five minutes and forty nine
seconds left to play in the third quarter. Now, before today,
the most the Dolphins had punted in a game this
season was four times, just over midway through the third quarter.
They have already punted six times and again trail twenty
one to Kansas City. The inactive is being announced for
(01:08:04):
the early games in the NFL. Domestically, Minnesota Vikings left
tackle Christian dari Saw inactive for their game against the
Atlanta Falcons because of a groin injury. The Los Angeles
Rams have not officially released their inactives yet, but ESPN
reported that quarterback Matthew Stafford will be unlikely is unlikely
to play at Green Bay today because of a spring
(01:08:26):
right thumb. So with that in mind, Brett Rippon is
expected to start in his place at quarterback for the Rams.
And in college football, on Saturday Night, number five Washington
improved to nine to to OH with a fifty two
to forty two win at twentieth ranked usc As. Husky's
running back Dylan Johnson ran for two hundred and fifty
six yards with four touchdowns. And with that, fellas all yours, Thank.
Speaker 1 (01:08:50):
You, I Low.
Speaker 6 (01:08:51):
It's Fox Sports Radios Campdown to Kickoff presented by Bett MGM.
Bet MGM is now available under one wall at in
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Speaker 3 (01:09:10):
All right, let's do this.
Speaker 2 (01:09:13):
Same game parlanks.
Speaker 1 (01:09:17):
Okay, crack, you've been in the lab. What have you
cooked up for?
Speaker 3 (01:09:20):
Yeah?
Speaker 5 (01:09:20):
You know me?
Speaker 3 (01:09:21):
I filled these things that with correlations, So I'm gonna
be sound a little square here to go to This
Buffalo Miami shootout that opened up forty six and a
half is now fifteen and a half. But I like
the correlation here over in that game in the in
the Buffalo Cincinnati game. I'm also going to say a
couple overs here. I like Burrow over twenty four and
(01:09:43):
a half completions and Bill's Allen over one and a
half touchdown passes. I've been doing very good with that
prop by the way, So over over over those three
get back two fifty. So you're getting back here plus
one hundred and three fifty. There's the same game parlay.
Speaker 5 (01:09:58):
There you go.
Speaker 3 (01:09:59):
I like it.
Speaker 6 (01:10:00):
Nothing wrong with sounding square. If it hits crack, that's right,
that could be the spot for it to hit. I'm
looking forward to that game. I think it's crazy too
because going back last year to that was the Damar
Hamlin situation.
Speaker 1 (01:10:14):
Right now, Yeah, touchdown.
Speaker 6 (01:10:17):
Fins touchdown twenty one seven, Rick Wilson, I was hoping
it was number ten, not number eleven, but Tyreek killed
getting in the end zone right there. But still times,
still times Dolphins try to come back a little bit.
But yeah, the game before Tamar's situation, and thank god,
everything worked out fine.
Speaker 1 (01:10:38):
There were some yards being gained in points being scored.
It looked like it was going to be a shootout
that night.
Speaker 6 (01:10:43):
So whether you look at the Bengals offense getting on track,
and Burrow looks so much healthier. I could see some
fireworks tonight for sure.
Speaker 5 (01:10:53):
So I just think that the Bengals are better than Buffalo.
They're back to being what they are. And I know
we talked about whether there's an overreaction to last week.
To me, it's not really overreaction, Crack, It's just that
I thin Bengals are backward they're supposed to be and
the Buffalo Buffalo reminds me a lot of USC the
(01:11:13):
UC Trojans where it feels like their team is. I
hope Josh Allen just makes a bunch of plays for
us to win the game like that. That's what feels
like they're They're one path to winning is every game
and with Mulano out, with White outher TeV that has
not been the same. It just feels hard to win
each week like that. Right, is there is there a
way that Bills win this game of Josh Allen throws
(01:11:35):
for two point fifty in a touchdown? Probably not right,
like you need three fifty three touchdowns and sixty yards
Russian like that? That to me feels tough to wager
on a team who plays like that.
Speaker 6 (01:11:51):
Yeah, lip Man and you're seeing Josh Allen. He's a
little bit banged up. He had the shoulder issue. It's
throwing shoulders a little.
Speaker 3 (01:12:02):
Eh.
Speaker 1 (01:12:03):
He's got a little something going on there. I didn't
practice during the week.
Speaker 6 (01:12:07):
He's good enough to go, don't get me wrong, but
it's something that you got to keep in mind. Where
and coincidentally, it was a play against the against Tampa
last Thursday.
Speaker 1 (01:12:18):
We're at the line of scrimmage. He's like Lebron James,
Lebron James, and then he got hurt, hit the deck
pretty yard, got bagged up his shoulder on that play.
Speaker 3 (01:12:26):
I don't know if that. Don't mind me, guys, you
see me like running and pushing buttons here. I'm just
betting the game because living in Vegas, we get these
half points. And I'll just tell you one of the
books just went to New Orleans minus ten for a second.
No way, I cannot see. I cannot see New Orleans
ten points against anybody. I know they're playing better or
(01:12:47):
they're you know, looking for a playoff spot and listen,
I just don't see anyone. I just snagged at ten
real quick. Not that that was a play on mine,
but this is just a play on numbers. So anyway, sorry,
sorry at all, crack too many points, come on many, too.
Speaker 1 (01:13:03):
Many rates here all right.
Speaker 6 (01:13:04):
We've got Jeff Schwartz, eight year NFL veteran over there
in Carolina, has no idea how to get his friends
tickets to Carolina Panthers games understood, Nothing wrong with that.
We got Bill Krachenberger from crackwins dot com. He can
get his friends Raiders tickets, but no takers today with
the Giants in town. Not a marquee matchup. I'm Brian
(01:13:24):
no coming up next, prop it up to where we bond.
It is absolutely Christmas Morning for crack each Sunday, and
he'll have some bets for us for sure. It is
Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. It
is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by bet MGM.
Be sure to check out the new looking features in
(01:13:46):
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(01:14:07):
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in the bet mgm app.
Speaker 1 (01:14:18):
All right, let's do this.
Speaker 4 (01:14:21):
Prop it up player plays Ah, yes.
Speaker 6 (01:14:25):
The prop bet market. By the way, side note fins
force of fumble.
Speaker 5 (01:14:29):
I know, so it's a game now game zone there. Yeah,
the referees didn't call any penalties for like a good
portion of this game, and I was calling a penalty
of every play. It's kind of it's kind annoying, like and.
Speaker 1 (01:14:40):
My home's got blasted out of bounds. They're like, eh,
oh look the other way.
Speaker 5 (01:14:44):
I'm not even upset about that, But like you went
from basically not calling a lot early on, letting these
guys tell you like there's just a bunch of penalties.
I would have as many times I would so much
rather have a game just be by penalty free, no penalties.
It's like my favorite type of game, and they're just
calling holdings now in illegal contacts and yeah, I mean
(01:15:05):
I think most of the time that's probably a penalty
on my homes. I don't know, they didn't call it
like whatever I saw why the Chiefs thinking of first
Aleca is what it is, you know, like they should
have gone it should have had this situation. But yeah,
it's it's it's kind of getting an uglier game a
little bit with all these penalties.
Speaker 1 (01:15:21):
All right, crag, I know you're rare. And to go
with the props over here, what are a.
Speaker 3 (01:15:25):
Couple of bits, Dan, I've done really well on this show.
It props. Someone sent me a breakdown. I'm sixty one
point four percent.
Speaker 5 (01:15:32):
Thank you you're telling I write these down in my
notebook and I better run after you tone me.
Speaker 3 (01:15:38):
Well. This is one I've been betting a lot on
this show, and in general it's Buffalo, which I just
gave it out on the same game, partly the Allen
over one and a half touchdown passes. It's up to
around one to fifty five. The books are catching up
with this a little bit, but I laid one forty
one forty five.
Speaker 7 (01:15:54):
Uh.
Speaker 3 (01:15:54):
This this is a seventy percent the last two years,
a seventy percent bet literally, you know this is you
can't find seventy percent bets, so laying the one fifty
fives even even okay, so over on his touchdown passes
over one and a half. Also, the Raiders Myers under
(01:16:15):
fifteen and a half's out there, so under receiving yards.
O'Connell's only other rookie start here. He barely targeted Meyers,
so they're actually looking about getting the other wide out Adams,
some more more touches from what I'm seeing the low,
low scoring game projected. So there's two props for you guys.
Speaker 5 (01:16:35):
Unfortunately, Matt Staff was not playing today. I know it's hidden.
Six of eight games. Is rushing total in six of eight.
Speaker 1 (01:16:42):
Games doubly like what around two and a half?
Speaker 5 (01:16:44):
Two and a half? Yeah, great, Tyson Badgen under one
hundred and eighty seven and a half passing yards in
New Orleans. New Orleans can play defense and like, I'm
with you on the number here in nine and a
half or ten for the bare But that's one where
I'm looking to to fake the quarterback. The other one
here is a Clayton tune under one says six and
(01:17:07):
a half, like come on, first start on the road.
Outside in Cleveland. It's that defense. No chance, So I
will I'm fine fading those players.
Speaker 1 (01:17:19):
I just love how you I mean, I mean, come on, guys,
what are we doing? Like when we have one of
these quarterbacks, it hits, It's hit all the time.
Speaker 3 (01:17:28):
It's good.
Speaker 1 (01:17:28):
No, I just like how you say it. I think
it's awesome.
Speaker 5 (01:17:32):
Yeah, I'm gonna look up he's having he's gonna have.
I mean, it's gonna be you know, he's gonna have like,
you know, eighty four yards in the third quarter. It's
something like that. You know, yeah, be bad.
Speaker 1 (01:17:42):
I'm looking at Alvin Kamara.
Speaker 6 (01:17:44):
The Bears are just allergic to covering running backs out
of the backfield. They play this zone soft shell. I
think Kamara over thirty seven and a half receiving yards.
I like that bed that the catches are heavily juiced.
You know on bet MGM over four and a half
receptions is like minus one fifty five something like that.
(01:18:06):
So if you don't like all that juice, I like
over thirty seven and a half, I think both of
them are going to hit. But if you like less juice,
take that over thirty seven and a half receiving yards
with me election or is this just you like, okay,
good good, don't say you're correct.
Speaker 5 (01:18:22):
I just took it.
Speaker 3 (01:18:24):
I'm on board with You're on it.
Speaker 1 (01:18:25):
You're on board?
Speaker 3 (01:18:26):
Yeah? Why not?
Speaker 5 (01:18:27):
I like to hear the worst that happens. I can
just text you later and tell you you stink? Can you?
Speaker 1 (01:18:34):
You know what a sneaky line here on Monday night?
Justin Herbert.
Speaker 6 (01:18:39):
It's not Matthew Stafford, Jeff It's not as interesting, but
his rushing prop is eight and a half. The Jets
play man defense routinely. We saw it last week with
Tyrod Taylor. I know Herbert's not like Tyro, but you've
seen quarterback after quarterback after quarterback Tucket and rush.
Speaker 1 (01:18:57):
I would take Herbert to rush for at least nine yards.
Speaker 3 (01:19:00):
I like you got that one?
Speaker 1 (01:19:01):
Yeah yeah, double dip, double dip? All right?
Speaker 6 (01:19:03):
Coming up next, we get to the prime time matchups.
One that is very sexy. What's going on everybody?
Speaker 1 (01:19:10):
Week nine?
Speaker 6 (01:19:11):
Already underway in Germany. Dolphin's trying to scratch back in
this thing, down by seven points, scores twenty one to fourteen.
Been some fluky stuff going on over here. My homes fumbles,
strip sack where he mostered rushing touchdown and uh the
(01:19:32):
fourth quarter fireworks here.
Speaker 5 (01:19:33):
The penalty on Chris Jones extended that drug.
Speaker 6 (01:19:35):
Oh that was in third and twenty. There's a little
pass out to the flat for maybe nine yards or so.
Chris Jones decks Austin Jackson. Cheap penalty, stupid, cheez, a.
Speaker 5 (01:19:46):
Couple of things. I mean, deck is probably a strong
word for what he did. But here's the point of
what I'm about to say. I see Chiefs fans saying, oh,
that's a soft call, blah bla blah. But here's here's
my response to that. You know, if you don't touch them,
you don't have to worry about if a soft call
or not, right like, if you don't, you control your
own actions. If Chris Jones doesn't touch Austin Jackson. After
(01:20:08):
the play, the Dolphins have a choice to make. Are
they kicking a field goal or they going for on
a fourth and ten? I don't know. I actually don't
know what they would have chosen. I guess is a
field goal?
Speaker 1 (01:20:17):
I don't know.
Speaker 5 (01:20:18):
I guess I don't know. It would have been fun
to see what McDaniels would have chosen there, or McDaniel
I should say McDaniels has fired. McDaniels still have a job.
But like my my point about all the officiating things
by the and also people that say that she's all
the calls, well they didn't call Leythaon and Mahomes, which
I thought they call most of the time. The explanation
was that he was a runner, but I was like,
(01:20:38):
I don't know, I call that a lot. And then obviously,
as I just mentioned the one on Chris Jones, is
that is that uh you know a lot of times
like we control as players, right, we control our emotions
and we control what we what could call them that's
called if Chris Jones doesn't touch the lineman, the ref
(01:20:59):
is not calling anything, right, Like, you don't have to
do that. That's it's a personal whether again whether or
not it was really a penalty, it was a harsh
doesn't matter. You decided to do that after the play,
and so you can blame the officials. Uh, guys, he'd
have to do that, right, and then the Dolphins have
to choose going down. Basically they wouldn'ty should the would
have to go for it, right because twenty one to
ten is still a two score game, so it was
(01:21:20):
twenty one seven. I think they probably go for it
doesn't matter. But now it's twenty one fourteen, and you
don't got the Dolphins have of the momentum.
Speaker 3 (01:21:31):
They got a game. Wow. You know, guys, uh why
this has nothing to do with sports. But let me
show you guys in the camera. Bill Krackenberger with his
ice pack out in between commercials. I lifted a ladder
for my wife and uh, somehow my knee got hurt.
Oh no, So I'm laughing at myself, thinking to God,
(01:21:52):
getting old not for sissies. And you know where I
get that from. I'm fred Would Androdized Clay. Andrew Androdized
Clay says that all the time, and it's just amazing.
Like I said, guys, you gotta be careful NFL Sundays
out here. You gotta, you know, take your time and
don't bang up your knee. Like me, I can't do anything.
I just pay people to do stuff. I lift the
ladder and I put my knegoes out. Come on, give
(01:22:13):
me a break anyway, go back to this game this
You see that penalty that's terrible for my second half
under All the time I've seen three and third down
and twenty I walked away to move a ladder and
come back and it's twenty one to fourteen. You're like, wow,
what do you to throw it? Thirty five yard touchdown pass,
no penalty, and it's part of the game, I guess.
(01:22:35):
And now we have to struggle here in the fourth
quarter to see if I'm sure the Chiefs are gonn
was it twenty and a half? No second half under
under twenty to twenty five? Oh, I mean twenty four
twenty five. But on the live line it's an underdog.
Because now the live line on the game's forty eight,
so which is another I don't know how they gotta
get that, but we'll see. We'll see what happens here.
Speaker 5 (01:22:56):
You've got to punt the ball so because wow, wow,
could be a Chiefs collapse here. Oh yeah, this is
this is this is feeling very much like the Anty
championship game.
Speaker 3 (01:23:06):
And what nothing rolling along? You Just wow, jesus.
Speaker 5 (01:23:11):
I mean, that's like, that's a pass interference. They don't
have to call it, but they haven't call one all game.
But he still got to catch the ball. We both
hit both of his hands.
Speaker 1 (01:23:19):
Shaky officiating man.
Speaker 5 (01:23:20):
But he was shoved by two hands in the chest
is trying to catch that ball. That's kind of funny.
All right, Hey man, I just don't call if you
don't want to call all game, don't They haven't called
one pass inference yet, whether the kids say, keep up
the same energy, keep the same energy going. But yeah,
now we have a ball game.
Speaker 3 (01:23:37):
So now the Miami has the ball. I don't have
the game on, guys, Miami has the ball where where at?
By the way, you know, like a midfield there on ten? Okay,
because I was wondering here the live line still six
and a half chiefs six and a half on on
the live line, which seems like a lot. If you know,
Miami will kick a field goal. I mean, it just
(01:23:57):
seems like a lot to me, uh, in this situation,
no matter where they are what they do have the ball,
so we'll see what happens. Fun live wagering is still
plenty of live wagering action in the fourth quarter. I don't,
like I said, ily don't recommend a lot of live wagering.
It just looks like a lot of points to me situationally,
and this stuff changes play to play, So away we go.
Speaker 6 (01:24:17):
How about this Sunday night match up Bills Bengals. Bengals
the home favorite two and a half. This line's fluctuated
a little bit throughout the week.
Speaker 3 (01:24:26):
Here crack right like, yeah, I found a three last
night in Vegas. Again, living in Vegas, getting these half
points on these key numbers, just like the Bears before
we grabbed the ten. Last night, Buffalo grabbed a three,
one or two. Sports books, they get so much square money,
so much public money coming in on favorites now this
(01:24:46):
particular game. People are Buffalo fans too, though, so it
kind of surprised me to see that three go up there.
But you know, you may have two teams going and
I'm not gonna say two different directions, but Cincinnati's definitely
played well as of late Borrow being back, and Buffalo
really threw up a couple games that were just just
not the old Buffalo team. I just don't think they
are anyway. But situationally though, if anything, you know it
(01:25:11):
just whenever you lay two and a half on a
home team, it just seems like a funny line when
you know, you say to yourself, wow, two and a half, Well,
I got just win the game basically by a field goal,
but it's one of those stink lines. Who knows what happen.
I don't recommend a side really on either side. I
bet Buffalo because it was free. I was strictly a
numbers game.
Speaker 6 (01:25:31):
I'm curious how you guys think about it because I
hate being the I don't want to overreact to what
I just saw, But at the same time, I don't
want to underreact either. So if you take the Bengals,
for instance, they looked great last week against the forty
nine ers and their offense they ran no huddle for
twenty plays, a little up tempo. Joe Burrow looked sensational.
(01:25:52):
So I don't want to overreact and be like, give
me the Bengals this week, just fire away. But I
also look at the Bills defense. They're banged up, no
Matt Milano, no Tre White, Like, how are they gonna
slow down Joe Burrow in the Bengals. So it's a
tough needle to thread, and sometimes it feel like you
can overthink it where you know, even if you sound
(01:26:12):
like knee jerk reaction guy, if things are in your favor.
Speaker 1 (01:26:16):
Who cares? Who cares?
Speaker 6 (01:26:18):
Of?
Speaker 1 (01:26:18):
That's how do you feel about this game?
Speaker 5 (01:26:20):
Jeff, But we also have have priors for the Bengals,
right like it would if it was just one If
this was the Bengals first year playing like this and
you overreacted based off of Niners win to this game,
then I think that would be the wrong decision to make, right.
We talked about the you know, don't overreact to one
one game. But this is the Bengals pattern. Now we
(01:26:41):
have this pattern. The pattern is they start slow and
then they take off at some point and it feels
like that takeoff is happening right now, and it feels
okay to wager on that takeoff right and in this situation,
that's what I'm doing because Buffalo again like you have
to have a special game from Allen to win, to win,
(01:27:04):
to win today, I mean unless you look at the
way they play against Miami and say that's the way
they're going to play today, which is certainly possible. But
the Bengals have played well against Buffalo. We talked about
they won the playoff game in Buffalo, like they it
was a real thing that happened in the snow. They
were winning seven nothing, driving down and go fourteen to
nothing early in that game. It was a mina football
signed at football where Damar Hamlin you know, I had
(01:27:25):
as an unfortunate incident. So like it. They've shown that
they play this team well and the Bengals are playing
good football right now. So that that's why to me
like it sort of feels like it's okay to to
take the Bengals because you're just you're not overreacting. You
have years of priors on how this this team plays
this time here.
Speaker 6 (01:27:44):
No, it's well said, absolutely. And one of the other
things is Joe Mixon had a good game. That running
game has not been very good this season, but we
had a good game last week against the forty nine ers.
He's ran it well against the Bills before. So I
want to see if they can crank up Joe Mixon.
Speaker 5 (01:28:00):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (01:28:00):
And when a defense is like are they gonna run it?
Are they going to pass it?
Speaker 6 (01:28:03):
And they're being successful at both, that's when the Bengals
are really really tough to defend.
Speaker 5 (01:28:09):
Absolutely are. And so crack is there is there a
sharper square action on this one.
Speaker 3 (01:28:15):
Over got hit early in the week forty six and
a half, it opened up, went up to forty eight,
stayed there for a while, got hit again, went to
fifteen and a half, and yeah, I mean that's that's
the kind of game where look, I'll tell you what,
we got some nice games to watch today. Guys, think
about the games we or at least they're supposed to
be good games, you.
Speaker 1 (01:28:34):
Know, every window, every win, every window.
Speaker 3 (01:28:36):
Really, I mean really, that's a perfect word. Listen. I
think Seattle Baltimore is going to be better than people
think six and a half. Come on, it feels high, right,
I just I think buying at the seven I really
don't like to buy a lot of things. I'll buy
onto the key numbers, but they charge so much. But
I think Seattle with seven points is a nice play
too if you can buy it, if you're you know,
you know where you're playing. Lets you maybe buy plus
(01:28:58):
seven minus a quarter or less. Then you have Dallas
Philadelphia in the later window, and then tonight Buffalo Cincinnati,
and I think I'll tell you I think the Jets
are going to give the Chargers a good game.
Speaker 1 (01:29:10):
So absolutely are yeah, yeah, yeah, good stuff, no very good.
Absolutely more teaser opportunities there, crack or just straight you know, for.
Speaker 3 (01:29:18):
You teasers are chugging along this year doing really good covering.
There's so many opportunities for teasers this week going through
the key numbers. And exactly like I said earlier, the
giants are good in Carolina. Like Jeff said earlier, I
like teasing the New Orleans down to under the three.
I did have some really good teasers with Cleveland earlier
(01:29:39):
in the week, but that that line's now gone. But
there's some good opportunities for some teas. Listen, I do
basic strategy teasers through the three and the seven. I've
been doing them successfully for twenty five years. The juice
used to be even six point, even went to a
dollar ten, went to a dollar twenty. Now in this town,
I can't find one less than a dollar twenty five.
(01:30:01):
There's actually a dollar sixty here in town. They charge
on a seven point teaser. I just say, listen, seven point.
No one's going to beat that. Nobody then, you know,
just take the money here. You just give them the money,
like you know, use a mask kind of gun. It's
easier just take the money away from me. But anyway,
there are still some good opportunities for some teasers though,
teasing through the key numbers. Guys, I like teasing the
(01:30:23):
lower totals. Every week when the totals come out, if
a totals forty one or less, I'm looking to see
if there's an opportunity for a teaser. I don't know.
I have to know who's playing with team. You know
who's starting, who's not starting. I just not to know
the numbers, and it's a numbers game to me. Like
I said years ago, I did a show on Showtime
called Action, and back then I probably couldn't name to you,
(01:30:46):
and I said it on the show, I couldn't name
fifteen starting quarterbacks in the NFL. By the way, I
don't know if this year I could name fifteen that
right now the way, that's what's going on. Earlier Jeff
mentioned that these starting quarterbacks today situationally, but yeah, good stuff, guys.
Speaker 6 (01:31:03):
Yeah listen, man, We've got a bunch of other matchups
to get to and we'll go rapid fire style. Coming
up around the corner with Jeff Schwartz. Eight year NFL
veteran Bill Krackenberger from crack wins dot com.
Speaker 1 (01:31:14):
I'm Brian no.
Speaker 6 (01:31:15):
On the way, there's a quarterback that's played really well,
but he's throwing a lot of interceptions. The last three games.
We'll talk about him and the matchup he has today.
It's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.
It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by
bet MGM. Once a day played betmgm's free to play
eight Bit Barry for a chance to win daily prizes.
(01:31:39):
Plays Hall of Famer Barry Sanders and choose to spin,
stiff arm or juke your way to the end zone
to win prizes. If Barry scores a touchdown, you score
a reward. Chiefs still clinging on to a seven point lead.
They're up twenty one to fourteen. About four minutes to
play in Germany. Dolphins just had to punt, so we'll
keep you updated on that game. How about Seahawks at
(01:32:01):
the Ravens. Yeah, that game kicks off here momentarily. But
Gino Smith pretty good season, but five interceptions over the
past three games and Lamar Jackson completing passes at a
rate of seventy point five percent that's third best in
the NFL. He's had a really good year with Todd
Monkin the new offensive coordinator there in Baltimore. The Ravens,
(01:32:24):
they haven't been great we talk about the Chiefs, Jeff
in particular, all the time, not covering those higher point spreads.
How about the Ravens as home favorite since twenty twenty
one five and eleven against the spread. So if you're
thinking that's too many points, it might be today against Seattle.
Speaker 5 (01:32:41):
I think I saw a stat that had Lamar Jackson
it's like a three and a half point favorite, or
more like three and fourteen something like that. He's not great,
he is a big favorite. But the Seattle thing is
interesting because it's hard to kind of judge where they're
at right at right, they lost the Bengals three weeks ago,
talked about some of the issues they had in that
(01:33:02):
game on the red zone. They haven't been graining in
the red zone. They squeaked by the Cardinals. And let's
be honest, the should lost the Browns last weekend. Yes,
and that was the game that we actually both hit
all right, we got four and a half plus four
and a half and Crack got three and we middled
that with a four, which is which was so funny
watching that game. I just don't know how good they are,
(01:33:24):
to be honest with you, Like, they have some pieces there,
but they haven't played consistent ball in a while, and
Baltimore is. I think it's just really good. I think
six and a half has too many points. I don't
have a player on this game. I think I would
lead Seattle plus six and a half. I had to
choose what side it was going to be, just because
that's a lot of points. I think for a Seattle
team that's going to be a plaoff team. I mean,
you're saying the Bengals are going to beat a playoff
(01:33:46):
team by seven at home, and that that can certainly happen.
Feels hard to just predict it's going to be a yes.
And but you know, Seattle, just their offensive line has
been concerning a little bit more lately. The Ravens sacked
the quarterback a Ton Gino on the road. You know,
I again, I don't have a particular play on it.
I think I would certainly lean the points here, but
(01:34:07):
it's no play for me.
Speaker 3 (01:34:08):
Crack. Yeah, this is a really big matchup. Actually early
even though the spreads now it's going to six, it
looks like six and a half where gobbled up Ravens
won three straight. Seattle has won five out of six.
Gino Smith, though He amazes me sometimes, but he's still
going to need to clean up his turnovers, especially when
when under pressure. It just seems like and by the way,
(01:34:30):
they probably should have won that game. It was it
in Cincinnati. They probably should have won that one lost
last week though.
Speaker 5 (01:34:35):
They should have it.
Speaker 3 (01:34:36):
They would have won that game.
Speaker 5 (01:34:38):
Multiple red zone opportunities and didn't get the ball in
the Enzo. But that's been their thing though they've done
it all season. Crack. It's not just been a one.
Speaker 3 (01:34:43):
Game, right right, right right, Uh, this is gonna be
a bigger game than I than and then I think
the early games, this is probably the one I'm interested
the most in just to see what happens here. I'm
interested to see what Lamar does here in this situation
here against against Seattle, six points even six just looks
(01:35:05):
like too many. But then again, this game opened up
at five, it stayed a five, and then a syndicate
group hit it to go to minus six. In this
swarning it went up to six and a half. If anything, here,
I lean the dog for sure.
Speaker 6 (01:35:18):
How about Monday night Chargers Jets. It's funny, Jeff, you've
been the most outspoken about the Chargers and laying three
and a half on the road. He's right in a
primetime spot. Now, I hear you, like, it's just it's entertaining.
And man, you look at the Jets stingy defense, but
that offense.
Speaker 1 (01:35:36):
Woof man, it has been rough going there. They haven't.
Speaker 6 (01:35:40):
They're thirty first in total yards. They're twenty seventh and scoring.
It's not sexy over there with the Jets. But man,
when you can hang your hat on a legitimate defense.
They're like the opposite of each other if you think
about it, the Jets and Chargers. Chargers have a really
strong offense and their defense. I could throw for a
buck fifty easy the street. I feel like against the
(01:36:02):
Chargers defense, I'm kidding, but they're bad. Meanwhile, the Jets,
we know what they do defensively and they have their
offensive struggles.
Speaker 1 (01:36:09):
It's weird.
Speaker 6 (01:36:10):
It's like the Spider Man meme where he's pointing at
the other guy. You would have the Chargers and the Jets.
The Spider Man memes are pointing like completely in opposite directions. Right,
they are very different than each other.
Speaker 5 (01:36:24):
They they certainly are. I'm just mesmerized by this game
very quickly. The Chiefs refusal to quarterback sneak is wild
to me. Huh, it's third to one right there. The
Dolphins have one guy the yet they're in like regular defense.
All the homes I do is just take the snap
and fall forward first down. They just refuse to do that. Wow,
refuse to do that.
Speaker 3 (01:36:43):
So they're gonna have to punt back and the bat.
Speaker 1 (01:36:46):
They're trying to get Tyreek his touchdown Jets.
Speaker 3 (01:36:48):
Yeh's what they're doing. So twenty one to fourteen, two
and a half minutes left, fourth quarter, and of course, uh,
they're they're right in the gay can imagine what this
what's going on in the stands there? Uh, they love
their football over there, so they love the love the
NFL over there.
Speaker 5 (01:37:01):
And now Dolphins are across the midfield.
Speaker 1 (01:37:04):
I think, wow, the way great punt. By the way,
we don't spend a whole lot of time talking about punting,
but when you boom it and it's high enough like
that to get it to the Finns twenty five where
they have to fair catch it. Yeah that all that money,
it doesn't matter. I got it right back right now.
Speaker 3 (01:37:20):
A twenty six yard or was it a run or
a pass or something happened there for twenty five yards.
I'm saying, wow, you know what, I'm punter. That's right.
You know something that it's an undervalued position is being
a punter in the NFL. It was used to be
like the lowest paid job. If you're just a punter,
you're gonna really do much. And it's a very valuable position.
(01:37:40):
There your Dolphins. I always remember like Reggie Roby, Oh.
Speaker 1 (01:37:43):
I love Reggie the wristwatch.
Speaker 3 (01:37:46):
Yeah that's it.
Speaker 1 (01:37:48):
Yeah, it lives straight to the sky. Amazing that guy.
But also like the Raiders, the Raiders stink. But Aj
Cole is amazing. He is a great punter.
Speaker 3 (01:37:58):
Yep.
Speaker 1 (01:37:59):
But back Chargers, Jets, what are you thinking about this one?
Speaker 5 (01:38:02):
Here?
Speaker 3 (01:38:02):
Crack?
Speaker 1 (01:38:03):
I know Jeff's weighed in with this.
Speaker 3 (01:38:04):
You know, I'll tell you the Jets cannot play like
they did last week, but they did ten penalty nine penalties.
They just can't make those mental mistakes this week. Let
me tell you this, This is actually a play for me.
I was gonna mention it later on, but one as
well mentioned it. Now. I think the Jets. The three
and a half really enticed me when it was three.
(01:38:27):
Don't now look aheadline only a week ago, you could
have bet this game. When they have you could bet
any game. But by the way look ahead, it was
one and a half. Then it went to three. After
last week's performances by the Jets. By the Chargers, I said, wow,
that looks like a nice spot for the Jets. Three
and a half though home. I just think it's gonna
be an interesting crowd there. You know, this Charger team
(01:38:49):
is one of the teams that I try not to
even bet four or against. Seems like I can't win
with them. But I do like this particular play And listen,
they're three and four, the Chargers Jets are four and three.
That means people think the Chargers are better than their record.
The Jets are worse than the record, and they might
be right. But uh, I can imagine you said something
earlier and I was like, what, no way, Brian said,
(01:39:11):
there could be five and three, The Jets could be
five and three and heading to a maybe a playoff spot.
That's crazy without Aaron Rodgers, come on, wow, well.
Speaker 1 (01:39:23):
This is the game five and three, challenging for a playoffs.
Speaker 3 (01:39:27):
But you know what I mean challenging, right, yeah, yeah, yeah, whoa, whoa.
Speaker 1 (01:39:32):
Yeah, bif no doubt.
Speaker 6 (01:39:35):
A little bit like the Steelers where you look up
and you're like, man, their record is better than it
seems like it would be. Where they win all these
games even though they don't gain four hundred yards. They've
gotten out gained in every game this season, and they've
got a winning record.
Speaker 1 (01:39:49):
They're five and three. It's insane.
Speaker 5 (01:39:51):
Well, they're four four and three right that they win.
The Chargers are five and three.
Speaker 1 (01:39:55):
No, the Steelers, sorry, steel yes, yeah, sorry.
Speaker 5 (01:39:58):
If you if you reverse all the if you reverse
the results in their one score games, that'd be and eight.
I think, wow, that's the way it works with the Steelers, Dude,
the best money in football. Steelers over eight and a
half wins every year, Buddy, I took it this year.
Speaker 4 (01:40:13):
I'm five and three.
Speaker 5 (01:40:14):
I don't even look good. It's like they win the
most Steeler way possible. Gosh, you count that money.
Speaker 2 (01:40:19):
Wo.
Speaker 5 (01:40:21):
It's just it's just like you watch them play, you're like,
there's just no way, and then it's just just then
the way happens. It's crazy.
Speaker 3 (01:40:25):
Yeah, just just like Thursday night's game there, right versus Tennessee,
and didn't they have that same kind of squeaker game
against Baltimore.
Speaker 1 (01:40:33):
Yes, because Chef and I were against each other on
that when I had the rate.
Speaker 3 (01:40:38):
Should have won that game, and like the Raven should
have won, right, Yeah, I know they like they frutal.
Like Brian said, they get away with these squeaker games
like that.
Speaker 6 (01:40:46):
I think real fast on the Steelers. I think they
do a lot to generate those outcomes. But every now
and then they get credit because the other team is
just bad or stupid.
Speaker 1 (01:40:57):
That happens too.
Speaker 3 (01:40:58):
This NFL Miami me on the thirty yard line first
and ten. I mean, this is this is fun. I
don't even have it on. I don't even know what
network it's on. Oh okay, so oh I meant to
turn it on.
Speaker 5 (01:41:10):
The background almost intercepted the pass that would have been
it was a bad throw by late, late throw by
two across the field. That's a bad pass that easily
could have gone the other way.
Speaker 1 (01:41:21):
He does some weird stuff.
Speaker 2 (01:41:22):
Man.
Speaker 3 (01:41:22):
So it's been it's been a Miami should score and
go for two, but they won't. But well, worry about
their right.
Speaker 5 (01:41:30):
The thing about it is, I wouldn't go for two
because you're dominated Kansas City, Like what to expect Chancy
to come out right and go to overtime, and you
scored twenty one straight points at that point, like good
over time. It's not like one. The Chiefs have fifty
yards and second half. Why would you expect the Chiefs
to go to do play on.
Speaker 1 (01:41:48):
The second and your buddy crack text and yous to
take under ten and a half team points for the
Chiefs scored one.
Speaker 3 (01:41:56):
You know, I went to go bet. I went to
want two different sports, but I want trying to hit it.
And the one I got in I was a thousand
dollars bet under tic tick and it timed it out.
Speaker 1 (01:42:06):
It's the worst, isn't it.
Speaker 3 (01:42:08):
You guys got me on and of course it's good.
You know it's gonna go win.
Speaker 1 (01:42:12):
Yeah, gonna win, no doubt. Easy winner right there? All right?
Speaker 6 (01:42:15):
Another easy winner, well that would be Isaac Lohenkron. You know,
you always want to have your money, you know, on
I low and hopefully you get the bet in before
the time expires. You you got to be ahead at
the time, right there, I low with the latest.
Speaker 1 (01:42:29):
What's going on?
Speaker 6 (01:42:30):
Man?
Speaker 4 (01:42:31):
And that's what the Kansas City Chiefs are trying to
do right now. They're holding on to a seven point
lead over the Miami Dolphins with one oh three left
to play in the fourth quarter twenty one to fourteen,
and right now the Dolphins are facing a fourth down
and ten at the Kansas City thirty one yard line.
Chiefs jumped out to a twenty one to nothing lead
with four forty eight left to play in the third.
(01:42:52):
Dolphins came back with back to back touchdowns, but now
their hopes are down to a fourth down and ten
from the Kansas City thirty one with one o three
left to play in the fourth quarter. Los Angeles Rams
quarterback Matthew Stafford is inactive for their game at Green
Bay due to a sprain right thumb. Brett Rippin will
get the started quarterback. Rams rookie receiver at Puka Nakua
(01:43:13):
is active. He had been questionable due to a knee injury.
Minnesota Vikings left tackle Christian Darisaw inactive for their game
against Atlanta because of a goin injury. Miami just took
an offensive time out their second preseeding the fourth and
ten fellas. That gives us time to detail what Jay
Glazer reported on Fox NFL Sunday earlier this morning. Some
(01:43:34):
more details on what led to the firing of Raiders
head coach Josh McDaniels last week. Here was Jay Glazer
earlier this morning on Fox NFL Sunday.
Speaker 8 (01:43:43):
The big thing was is last Thursday there was this
big airing of the grievance meeting and players just unloaded
on Josh McDaniels, from captain to captain, to player to player,
and finally Josh McDaniels actually had Antonio Pearce get up
and speak on behalf of him and the which is
when Antonio Pierce got up there, he said, look, we
have to have her own culture. It's got to be
(01:44:04):
about culture here and we also have to look at it.
And he brought up the old Giants team that beat
the Patriots Josh McDaniels team in the Super Bowl in
two thousand and seven season. He says, no matter who
we played, we thought we could beat them. We had
a game plan that we could beat them. We had
to believe that, and that's not here. We have to
believe it here at the Raiders. We could beat anybody. Well,
he finishes up that speech. Everybody thinks they're great except
(01:44:26):
for Josh McDaniels. Josh McDaniels then goes over to him
and says, don't ever talk about the Patriots like that,
And then you're really so how divided that building got
That got up to Mark Davis, and I think Mark
Davis lift it and go okay, I'm gonna choose the
guy who believes that we can win every single week.
Speaker 4 (01:44:40):
So that's the latest from Jay Glazier. Meanwhile, back in Frankfurt,
a bad snap on fourth down and ten went past two,
a tongue by Loa he dove on the ball, giving
possession to Kansas City with one minute left on the
fourth quarter and the Chiefs holding on to a twenty
one to fourteen lead. Kansas City's ball back to you guys.
Speaker 1 (01:44:59):
Know well, I low.
Speaker 6 (01:45:00):
I don't appreciate that update with my Fins on the
day after my birthday, I feel like that shit.
Speaker 4 (01:45:06):
I didn't even know that yesterday was your birthday. Happy
birthday belatedly.
Speaker 6 (01:45:10):
Well, thank you, I love, But we had Notre Dame
lose and they look terrible against the Clemson.
Speaker 1 (01:45:15):
Now the Fins are about to lose. This has been
a disaster. Let's going.
Speaker 6 (01:45:18):
I thought there was supposed to be good luck around that.
It's a special day, isn't it.
Speaker 4 (01:45:24):
I'm just worrying what's gonna happen with your Saint Louis
Cardinals if I'm not mistaken. I mean it's their off season.
But I don't know, probably.
Speaker 1 (01:45:30):
Create all their good players tomorrow. I don't know if
that's gonna happen.
Speaker 3 (01:45:33):
There.
Speaker 6 (01:45:34):
It's Fox Sports Radios Campdown to kick Off, presented by
Bett MGM.
Speaker 1 (01:45:38):
All right, fellas, So we've hit on most of the games.
Speaker 6 (01:45:40):
Anything else, I mean, dealer's choice if you will, right, Like, uh,
what else are you looking at here?
Speaker 5 (01:45:47):
Today's have some chiefs have some problems. It's time to
admit it. They got to buy wee coming out. They
gotta figure something out.
Speaker 3 (01:45:54):
They just want to and covered easily and Jeff's going
after them. I love it.
Speaker 5 (01:45:58):
You can scored fourteen points on offense.
Speaker 3 (01:46:00):
Yeah, and to be real, blunt quarter a zero in
the second half. Wow, they were really playing that. Like
I said earlier, the scoreboard obviously that's very interesting.
Speaker 6 (01:46:12):
Anyway, man, this this game is a it's a reality
check or a reminder to go with your gut, right,
Like this is a betting show and Crack has had
some great information. Jeff does as well. I do every
third show, you know. But if you go with someone's
information sometimes that helps. But don't be afraid to go
with your gut. I was in on the under on
(01:46:34):
this game, and I got talked into a Tyreek Hill
anytime touchdown, I'm thinking, Man, I don't want to be wrong.
Speaker 1 (01:46:40):
If yeah, I could go over and.
Speaker 6 (01:46:43):
Go with your gut, right, I would much rather walk
away losing going with my gut than going with somebody
else's advice.
Speaker 3 (01:46:51):
Let me tell you, see what you just said, though,
I'm gonna say going with your gut. I'm gonna say
even the human element of this because analytics played a
big part a couple of years ago in the NFL.
Every single team hired spent some spent a million. I
know a club that spent over a million dollars a
year on analytics. So they hiring all these guys, spent
(01:47:11):
you know, the all these charts from the they I
guess they watched Moneyball and said, oh, we got to
do this. Every one of them had analytics departments, very
deep into statistical analytical stuff. And I'll just tell you
that gut feel that human element means so much that
I think teams are reverting back to that a little
bit more. Matter of fact, I know they are because
(01:47:32):
I know one team that had five guys on analytics
and they cut down to one. That's right, they fired
and fired them all. And I know some people that
were involved. They fired them all. So I think the
coaches have have you know, taken over the games a
little bit more, uh than than the analytics calls for.
But get we have found some things from analytics too.
I'm not saying it's a terrible thing. We found going
(01:47:54):
for two in certain situations. You know, we found uh,
you know, going for a field goal or not, and
what what wins long term midfield? Going for a first
down fourth and one instead of punting. There's a lot
of little things that we have found out with analytics.
So anyway, there you go.
Speaker 5 (01:48:09):
The I think analytics there there there's a real good
purpose in them, right, it really is. But you have
to be able to beat up people in the offensive
defensive lines, right, and you have to take into a consideration,
in my opinion, the situations you're in when these and
again it's all accounted for, right, It's all counted for
(01:48:30):
in the numbers. But I go I go back to
baseball very quickly, because Bruce Bochie just won his fourth
World Series as a Rangers manager, well third, three Giants,
one with the Rangers. And he's the perfect one, in
my opinion, of a coach with analytics and kind of
like baseball. You know, he's a catcher, he's an old
school baseball guy, but also appreciates some use to the analytics.
(01:48:52):
But sometimes it's time just to ride your gut when
you're a coach, you know, And Bruce Bochie does that, right,
He just he again, he he does. You know, he
does matchups, of course he does, he's a manager, but
like he just kind of rides his gut and sometimes
that works just as well as analytics.
Speaker 1 (01:49:08):
Absolutely it does.
Speaker 6 (01:49:10):
And look, there's absolutely a place in sports for analytics.
I think you're silly if you dismiss them all together,
But I think you're also ridiculous if you rely on
them all together. Right, Like, it should be a mixture,
not just all or nothing. And that's what the conversation
is largely turned into, where it's all or nothing.
Speaker 1 (01:49:30):
It should never be like that.
Speaker 6 (01:49:31):
But I'm just saying, look, don't be afraid to be wrong, right, Like,
I'll tell you I'll be honest, I've shied away from
some picks because I'm like, ah, I'm gonna look like
a moron if I'm wrong.
Speaker 1 (01:49:41):
I respect Bill Belichick.
Speaker 6 (01:49:43):
You go all the way back in the hot tub
time machine to the fourth and two against the Colts
at their own thirty or whatever it was, and he
went for it, and it was this is radical. What
is Belichick doing. He's not an idiot. He knows if
he's wrong, he's gonna get blasted for it. And he
didn't care. He's all thought that gave him the best
chance to win. And and betting is a lot like that.
Speaker 3 (01:50:04):
Man.
Speaker 6 (01:50:04):
I think a lot of times you you shy away.
Now someone has experienced this crack. He's got the experience
and he doesn't care if he's wrong. He'll live with it.
But he's not afraid to look bad if he's wrong.
But I feel like a lot of people can't worry
about that you'll never win.
Speaker 1 (01:50:19):
Yeah, they shy away because they're like, I'm gonna look stupid.
Speaker 6 (01:50:22):
Good point, all right, we got a lot to get to.
We got picks left and right. Well, the Schwartz Syndicate
go four and one again in the crack challenge.
Speaker 5 (01:50:31):
I'm technically one already today, so but we'll throw that
pick out.
Speaker 3 (01:50:36):
Man, Man, look at you. This is no past posting,
but I mean I did in your own podcast Friday.
I did.
Speaker 5 (01:50:45):
Yeah, okay, yeah, continue.
Speaker 1 (01:50:47):
Okay, So what you're gonna be five in one?
Speaker 5 (01:50:50):
Basically we'll find out I have to pick something else now,
so I got to figure out another play.
Speaker 6 (01:50:54):
All right, We'll get a smorgas sport of picks for
you right around the corner. Jeff Schwartz, eight year NFL veteran,
and Bill Krackenberger from crack Wins dot com sports handicapper.
Speaker 1 (01:51:03):
I'm Brian no picks galore coming up.
Speaker 6 (01:51:08):
It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by
Bett MGM. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,
presented by Bett MGM. Props to the crew, Bob Benson,
trusted producer, Chris Purfett, technical producer. It does a great
job played some How do you say it? Chris rom Stein?
(01:51:30):
I don't know if it's Stein or Stein over there.
Speaker 4 (01:51:32):
I like to give it a little flair.
Speaker 1 (01:51:33):
I like to say Romstein, Schromstein, Stinstein. I don't know
what it is, but the little German flavor from the
German band.
Speaker 4 (01:51:40):
Speaking of that, we did get cheated out of having
uber Student.
Speaker 1 (01:51:45):
I'll take your word for that.
Speaker 3 (01:51:46):
Man.
Speaker 6 (01:51:47):
We got Isaac Low and Krowny's very well read. I'm
sure he knows what that means. Did a sensational overtime?
Always over time? How do you say it again, Chris?
Speaker 1 (01:51:55):
Uber Stunden, uber Stunden?
Speaker 4 (01:52:00):
Thank you Google Translate.
Speaker 1 (01:52:01):
I love that beautiful.
Speaker 6 (01:52:02):
We'll see if we see any uber student in later Today,
we've got Steve Hartman and Rich Ornberger at the top
of the hour, little Red Zone Radio. Keep it locked
right here on Fox Sports Radio.
Speaker 1 (01:52:15):
We got some picks to make. Let's do it by.
Speaker 4 (01:52:20):
Five games against the spread. We call it, call it
the crack Challenge.
Speaker 1 (01:52:26):
Okay, Jeff, So you are just showing off at this point.
You have been four and one in each of the
past four weeks on the season. You are twenty four
to ten and one against the spread, and we're ten
minutes before kickoff. These are the latest lines and you
are just speaking the gospel over here. So what do
(01:52:48):
you have for us this week?
Speaker 5 (01:52:49):
Buddy? The problem is these numbers are worse than what
I got, So I just kind of I just thing
this thinks about doing this right crack because the numbers
aren't good.
Speaker 3 (01:52:56):
To go with the right numbers, that's the idea to challenge.
Speaker 5 (01:52:58):
So so I can't do Cheeves right, So.
Speaker 3 (01:53:03):
No, I apologize.
Speaker 5 (01:53:05):
Give me a Texans minus two and a half. That's
a that's a good number there. I will take the
Giants plus one and a half, Bengals minus two.
Speaker 3 (01:53:14):
And a half.
Speaker 1 (01:53:16):
So let me see, you got Texans.
Speaker 3 (01:53:18):
What was the second pick?
Speaker 4 (01:53:19):
Giants?
Speaker 5 (01:53:19):
Texans Giants plus one a half, Bangals minus two and
a half.
Speaker 1 (01:53:23):
Which one was it? Last one?
Speaker 5 (01:53:25):
Begals minus two and a half. I had Commanders at
three and a half. It's two and a half. Now
give me.
Speaker 3 (01:53:32):
I'll just well, you can take three. You could take three,
though there's plenty of three's on the screen.
Speaker 5 (01:53:37):
Okay, so give me three. I'm just gonna it is
plus two and a half plus one hundred. So give
me the Commanders plus three and that Panthers plus two
and a half.
Speaker 1 (01:53:46):
So Commanders plus three. Yeah, even though it's not in
bed MGM, all right, what's the last.
Speaker 5 (01:53:50):
Well, it's it's it's it's it is.
Speaker 3 (01:53:53):
It's just plus three minus fifteen I'm on the road.
Speaker 5 (01:53:56):
Yeah, because it's plus two and a half plus one
hundred ready here, So yeah, i'll take minus three. Yeah,
there we go.
Speaker 3 (01:54:00):
And what was the last one?
Speaker 5 (01:54:02):
S Panthers, PA, Panthers, ser Panthers.
Speaker 1 (01:54:05):
Okay, all right, you go with the Panthers. Okay, so
I'm taking Philly. I'll lay the three.
Speaker 6 (01:54:13):
They might win by double digits against the Cowboys today,
it's just what they do. I will take the points
with Seattle. I'll tell you what is the latest that's
at six? Give me the six with Seattle on the road,
I'm gonna take both New York teams. Give me the
g met I'm with you on that, Jeff, give me
the Jets on Monday night. And for my final act,
(01:54:35):
I know it might sound like a knee jerk reaction
based on the strong performance last week, but give me
Joe Burrow and the Bengals.
Speaker 1 (01:54:42):
I'll lay the two and a half.
Speaker 6 (01:54:43):
They're just a better football team than the Bills, who
are banged up defensively.
Speaker 1 (01:54:48):
I'll lay it and go with Cincy in this spot.
Those are my five. What do you think, Crack you
can gently if you hate it.
Speaker 3 (01:54:57):
I swear I don't take this as an insult. I
know you won't check. So a buddy of mine just
text me, ta tixt me, just text me and says
you think I should have been the three thousand a
game against Schwartz. I'll show you the text. I swear.
I was like, No, I don't care.
Speaker 5 (01:55:12):
Who cares?
Speaker 1 (01:55:14):
What's this guy talking about?
Speaker 3 (01:55:17):
No?
Speaker 5 (01:55:17):
I don't dude better against me? Who cares? It's not
my money, I don't care. So I'm not ready today
my own So I'm I mean, I'm now twenty seven,
eleven and three. So you can do whatever he wants.
Fading all you want, dot Com, but help me? But
if you but, but if you so, if he wins,
all you should give me some of the money though, right,
(01:55:38):
it's the way it works. If he fades my picks.
Speaker 6 (01:55:40):
Oh yeah, I get something always works absolute, definitely take ten.
Speaker 3 (01:55:44):
He's a good guy. It doesn't mean nothing personally. Just
he's got a lot of money.
Speaker 1 (01:55:47):
All right, we each got picks to make.
Speaker 3 (01:55:48):
Let's do this.
Speaker 5 (01:55:52):
Rapid fire.
Speaker 1 (01:55:54):
All right, crack, we'll start with you.
Speaker 4 (01:55:55):
What do you like most?
Speaker 3 (01:55:56):
Well? It might not be a surprise, but I really
like these jets. Tomorrow night, plus it's three and a half.
I don't like doing a lot of sides. I did
bet this. It's still readily available jets plus three and
a half tomorrow night. But then again, you know I don't.
I really don't bet a lot on side normally, but
I did make I bet this twice. I've seen plus
three and a half no juice and plus three and
a half.
Speaker 1 (01:56:15):
So there you go, okay, Jeff.
Speaker 5 (01:56:20):
I will take well the Chiefs. I can I say
the Chiefs again?
Speaker 3 (01:56:22):
Though?
Speaker 5 (01:56:23):
I uh, I like these quarterback unders man, these the
badging under the Clayton tuone under. Anytime you can fade
these bad quarterbacks. I'm all four guys, all for it.
Speaker 1 (01:56:35):
Yeah, so you're going to go bigent the one?
Speaker 5 (01:56:39):
What do you say?
Speaker 1 (01:56:39):
Sorry, you go in beigent with the one pick, you're
gonna make it.
Speaker 5 (01:56:42):
I will take, you know, I'll take Clayton tuon under
and on the road in its first start.
Speaker 6 (01:56:46):
Yeah, right, man, what's I gotta look at the number
for an interception? I know it's gonna be heavily juiced,
but do you think he's gonna have an interception free game?
Speaker 1 (01:56:56):
No chance that's gonna be rough right there. Yeah, I've
to take I'm taking my own advice. I'm going with
my gut. Earlier this week I liked Colts Panthers over
forty four and a half. I still like it.
Speaker 6 (01:57:09):
You look at the Panthers defense is completely banged up,
the walking wounded. I think Jonathan Taylor breaks out, and
the Colt secondary is brutal.
Speaker 3 (01:57:18):
We got time. Let's do this.
Speaker 2 (01:57:21):
This is the best play of the day.
Speaker 1 (01:57:23):
It's a touchdowns man, What is it?
Speaker 3 (01:57:26):
Crack? How can I not go with my seventy percent
bet the last two years Buffalo Allen over one and
a half touchdown passes.
Speaker 1 (01:57:35):
There it is Josh Allen Enjoy Week nine, will see
you