December 13, 2020 • 46 mins
It's your weekend edition of Straight Outta Vegas with Bernie Fratto! Bernie gives you three games where he is warns you not to fall into a recency bias trap, Sleepy chimes in with a best bet involving Kyler Murray, Mackenzie looks ahead and gives you a Super Bowl pick and Steve Fezzik runs through the weekend's biggest games.
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and discover the forest dot org brought to you by
the United States For Service and the AD Council. You're
listening to Fox Sports Radio, Well you just heard the
man with the Golden voice from web above. At Fox
Sports Radio. It's that time a week again, and we've
got an epic show for you tonight. And in a
(01:46):
world of questions, we've got answers, in a world of problems,
we've got solutions. And on that note, welcome back to
another award winning edition of Straight Out of Vegas, the
Weekend adaptation. I'm Bernie Fredda. We're coming to you alive
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(02:09):
now tonight. Although this NFL season hasn't been seamless, we
take none of the imperfections and peccadillos and we acknowledge
that we're seeing history and we'll take another walk down
memory lane tonight and about fifteen minutes Steve Zik will
join via phone to chop up week fourteen as the
NFL enters its most important month. They always remember which
(02:31):
you did in December. Later on, after Brian Finley's epic update,
sleep people, Wayne on another best bet, and of course
we closed down the show with macin on sports and
plenty of father to twist your brain in knots, including
a super Bowl prediction from Mackenzie. Sports or entertainment. But
they're more than that. There are shared experience as such,
people want to talk about them. You've come to the
(02:53):
right place. We've got a lot to talk about tonight.
This is straight out of Vegas, the pregame show you
always wanted. And as they say in Paul Malinar, Minnesota,
it's gonna be lit. You know, there's an old Chinese
proverb which states you can curse the darkness or light
a candle because we had to do the final four
week stretch run of the NFL season. If you're not
(03:16):
enjoying the history that's being made that will pave the
way for future story as well, you should check yourself
before you wreck yourself. Case in point, forty three year
old Tom Brady is locked and loaded and rested after
his week off. Of course, that won't stop the haters
from telling us he's washed, and why wouldn't they They've
been doing it since seventeen, when he turned forty. But
(03:39):
since then, he's throwing a hundred and thirteen touchdowns against
only thirty eight interceptions. Is one lost record. He's forty
three and seventeen while getting to two Super Bowls, winning one,
and making the playoffs every season since turning forty. This
year there's seven and five. He's got twenty eight touchdowns
and eleven interceptions. Trust me, Brady in the bus will
(03:59):
win ten games and make the playoffs. In spite of
people I respect saying he would only win six games
this season. Well, those folks, if you have to apologize,
and the I don't expect them to, why, well, because
they're just staying for Brady is personal and those feelings
permeate a world in which many folks, well, they like
to elevate people to their highest plateau, only to tear
(04:20):
them down with a palpable sensibility every time they get
the chance, whether it's warranted or not. I repeat. There's
a quarterback with twenty touchdown passes and eleven interceptions, and
he's led his team to a seven and five record
when some folks said he went only six games. But
it's been a cottage industry to bash this guy no
matter what, no matter what he does, the resentment it's
(04:42):
becoming a little laughable to me. So let's unpack the
state of fandom COVID version in the NFL. You know,
one of my favorite Twilight Zone episodes involves a fictitious
baseball club, the Hoboken Zephyrs, and their plight to become
a winning franchise after years as a perennial doormat. That is,
(05:03):
until Casey and his agent show up one day looking
to play Casey. It turns out he's a left handed pitcher,
and not just any pitcher. He's got a fastball Roger
Clements would envy, and he could change speeds better than
Lance Armstrong. Shortly after signing, Casey proceeds to win game
after game, baffling hitters as the Zephyrts begin to race
(05:24):
for the pennant. Finally, the team climbs into first place.
Things seem too good to be true, and they are.
One day, while strolling around the field during pregame, Casey
has hit on the head by an errand throw and
he's carried off on a stretcher. While being examined by
the team doctor, he's unable to find a heartbeat, and
for good reason, Casey is a robot and his agent
(05:48):
is actually a scientist. Unfortunately, a little known ruled the
by laws. Will they prohibit Casey from playing anymore because
he has no heart? Specifically, the rule book says nine
mento a team non eight men in a robot. The
final scene shows Casey leaving the park for good. Solemnly
is he excessed through the outfield fence and along with
(06:08):
him dependent hopes of the hope of Gonzephyrs. Isn't it
funny how life imitates heart? What if Casey would have
happened in real life but his obvious advantage wasn't discovered
until he had already broken the records, Sy Young or
maybe Hankkaron or Babe Ruth or Roger Merris, And how
about the steroid era. See for the rest of their lives,
no matter where they go, make no mistake, Clemens Bond,
(06:31):
Silso Palmero McGuire, the whole bunch. They will forever be
stained by their alleged actions, which clearly gave them a
competitive advantage. Could make no mistake as well. They weren't
the only cheaters in the history of sports. How about
Ben Johnson. He's unbelievable performance in the eight Olympics prompted
him to say his records would last for fifty years,
(06:52):
but when he tested positive twice, he was banned for
life five years later. Remember Rosie Rries when she was
the winner of the nineteen eighty Boston Marathon. Yeah right,
until she wasn't. When she was asked about her split
times and a post event pressor she said, what are
split times? That's like Joey Chestnut not knowing what a
hot dog is. Soon Rosie Ruiz was exposed she had
(07:16):
in fact taken a cab and cut her and cut
her race short, and so was her victory celebration cut
short as well, one of my all time favorites also
was a little league hero by the name of Daniel
monte El. Monty became a pitching sensation during the two
thousand and one Litle League World Series. He had a
fastball that equated to ninety by Major League standards see
(07:41):
the Little League Pitching mountains only forty six ft away
Major League Baseball six six inches, but Almanti threw so
hard it equated to what it would have been about nine.
The twelve year old Daniel Monty was way ahead of
his ears. Literally that's because he was about two once
short of his sixteenth birthday, when literally engage limit is twelve,
(08:05):
No wonder he struck out sixty two of the seventy
two batters he faced. Meanwhile, I'll never forget the Tanya
Harding Nancy Karragan scandal, That's for sure. It happened just
minutes from where I lived at the time. Now that
took corruption to a whole new level. Sure I missed
those levable goofball Shane Stanton, Jeff Gluley, and sometimes I
(08:25):
wonder whatever happened to them. Maybe not, but you know,
we could be here all day. I mean, you've got
Lance Armstrong, Marion Jones, Gaylord Perry's whole career, and the
gold standard of them all the n Chicago Black Socks,
just to name a few. See, athletes have been doing
things to get an edge for almost one years, from
(08:46):
greenies all the way up to the current technology. So
whoever said if you ain't cheating, you ain't trying, well,
they might have handsome insight information. But in baseball, when
you tread on Baseball's hallowed ground and the men who
came before, or the ones that you know, they were
looked upon as ten ft tall, larger than life heroes
who played on fields of dreams, well then you've got
(09:06):
a price to pay. See by all accounts, Hank Karen
is an elegant, dignified man, and he suffered terrible retribution
as he chased Babe Bruce record. Roger Morris was an
American hero. To see his record broken not once, but
multiple times by McGuire and Soils and Bonds was an
affront too many fans and baseball historians. And to watch
(09:30):
Raphael pal Marrow point his finger at Congress where Roger
Clemen signed autographs for sycophans out in the hallway, and
a bunch of starstruck imbeciles well cheapened the greatness that
could have been see for all the guilty parties, at
least the perceived guilty, Although forever bask in the twilight
zone of sports history that makes you stop and scratch
(09:51):
your head about their performance enhanced achievements. Did it really happen?
It's hard to picture them now with this cloud of uncertainty,
and until then they're but a distant memory, Just like
Casey in the Hobo Conzephyrs. And for all the record
breakers we've chronicled, doubters and cynics will forever ask the
(10:11):
question is what they did for real? Was it authentic?
Did it really happen? So like Casey when it comes
to McGuire, Social Bonds, Clemens Palmero, and now Tom Brady,
do you really want to curse the darkness or lead
a candle to the moralist he wants to decide what's
right and what's wrong. But the artist, they prefer to
(10:34):
see things exactly as they are, as the shades of interpretation,
where they erode any fairer objective analysis by any measure.
Tom Brady, since Turning forty has been plausibly successful despite
certain peccadillos. Let's remember these games are played by human beings,
imperfect human beings. So well, I don't give cheaters a
(10:56):
hall pass. I don't stand in judgment e R Well, unless,
of course, they don't cover the spreader they can't help
us cash a bet, then that's different. Coming up, it's
week fourteen of the NFL. We've got a lot to cover.
There are a lot of storylines and around some key games.
(11:17):
And who better than Steve Feazik to join us to
chop it up. And he's got a best bet on
a game that I might be on the other side of,
but that that could make for a good conversation. What
does it mean when Geico says just fifteen minutes could
save you more on car insurance? I mean you probably
should have gone to Geico dot com fifteen minutes ago.
(11:38):
I'm Bernie Fritto. Where coming to you line from the
Geico Fox Sports Radio Studios. This is the pregame show
you always wanted, So don't go away here listening to
Straight out of Vegas. They're great Bernie Frado, folks. This
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the Forest dot org, brought to you by the United
States Forest Service and the AD Council. Yeah, back on
Straight out of Vegas de pregame show you always wanted.
I'm Bernie fredderwer com Toy Alive from the Gecko Fox
Sports Radio Studios. It's that time a week. I want
to welcome and a gentleman, the only two time winner
of the prestigious super contest here in Las Vegas. You
(14:13):
hear him weekdays on straight out of Vegas from three
to four Pacific, six to seven Eastern. It is the
inimitable Steve fezi Fest. How are you tonight? Well, now
you mentioned the word, I'm gonna have to look up
when I get off my hip. How are you to
Bernie when you grab your funking Wagonals? Let me know too,
I need to make sure I use the right word. Alright, fest,
(14:33):
let's dive into this. We've got a full slate. Um.
I want to start right here in Las Vegas where
the Colts visit the Raiders, and it's an interesting game
for me, and that it looks on the face of
it like an easy victory for the Colts. But look,
you still gotta play the game. But I want to
share this with you and maybe you can make some
(14:54):
sense of this to me. With Anthony Costanzo, he's an
alignment for the Colts. With him in the lineup. The
Colts average eight points a game without him, the average
four with him to a game without him three thirty nine.
And there's a bunch of weather positive stats. One guy,
what do you think? What's your thought on this game? Yeah?
(15:15):
The left tackle, he is so important and you know
part of it. I think it'd be just Rivers comfort
level level knowing that he's there, and I don't know
if he's going to be there, so that's a big
question mark. I will say this, t Y Hilton and
Jonathan Taylor have been bust fantasy wise all year long
for Indie. The last two games both have had really
(15:36):
stellar games. So the Colts have gone from a team
with a struggling offense and a good defense to a
good offense and a struggling defense. That means I like
over in this game, over fifty a nice call. You
know what's interesting. I was going to ask you two.
The Raiders are off back to back East coast trips
to Atlanta, and the Jets have factor in it all.
(15:56):
I think it helps, right because we know to play
defense requires more effort, it's more difficult. So good call
to trips to the East coast probably going to hurt
the Raiders defense. All right, Let's head the Seattle where
they're laying double digits. I think the line is thirteen
and a half. UM. It feels like this is a
real letdown for the Jets. They had one and it
(16:18):
got away. They fired Greg Williams, but also Fayz. The
Seahawks team has caught my attention. Their first eight games,
their defense was a sieve, averaging they were allowing thirty
points a game. In the last four they've only allowed nineteen.
And you know, yards per per play, yards per game allowed,
(16:38):
everything is way down. In fact, they were allowing almost
four and fifty years. Remember we talked about this how
it wasn't sustainable their first four games and their last
four games and only allowed Would you lay the wood
here against the Jets. Seattle is in a really strange
situation here where they were a double digits favorite. Last
week they lose out right another double digits favorite again.
(17:00):
So we had our own Mackenzie Rivers run the query
on this. Turns out, teams do fairly well, and it
makes sense. They're twelve and nine against the spread. Historically
when they fall on their face is a big favorite
and then they wheel back as a double digit favorite again,
and that makes sense. So often when you're laying thirteen
and a half points while you take the game for granted,
(17:20):
I don't think see I was going to do that.
The problem, Bernie, is that the wise guys hit this
game and it's up to fourteen, and and that's just
too important number. At fourteen, I gotta pass now, excellent point.
You want to get the best of the number. For
obvious reasons. It seems like there's one game every week
where fast just a couple of weeks ago, remember folks
(17:41):
could have had a Seattle of minus five and a
half in the game, they win by six and then
some people grabbing in six and six and a half
again Philadelphia. That's the story for another day. H Kansas
City of Miami. This game getting a lot of attention
of the tickets on Kansas City. Both teams are seven
and one straight up in their last eight games. The
(18:03):
Chiefs in their last four games they won by two, four, three,
and six points respectively. They're laying north of a touchdown
in Miami. What's Brian Flores gonna do here? You know,
I think that Brian Flores is going to contain that
the Kansas City Chiefs offense, who has struggled in the
red zone already. So Flores has some tape to see
some struggles for Casey and Frankly, and no one's talking
(18:26):
about this. Kansas City won the Super Bowl in Miami.
Bernie I could see this being like almost a little
victory tour to come back to where they were victorious,
and frankly, Casey knows all they gotta do is show
up and they win that. They've been coasting in so
many games. They're at the Saints next week. I can
see this being a real close game, and then of
course Casey will find the way to win it. If
(18:48):
you bet Casey, tease them down to one. If you
like Miami, grab the seven and a a half. Yeah, that's
that's a good point, all right. The Chargers have been
an absolute dumpster fire. They're catching two at home tomorrow.
I've even seen some sponsor that's down to one and
a half the Falcons visit Los Angeles. You're letting money
on fire by backing an Anthony Lynn coach team. I
(19:10):
don't know how you back the Chargers. They're only three
wins have become against teams that have not won more
than two games. I mean, they beat the Jets, who
haven't won a game, the Jaguars have won one game,
and the Bengals, who have won two games. When Joe
Burrow made his debut, do you have a side here? Well,
the Chargers had a bad week. Last week, that's obvious.
(19:31):
They lose by forty five points. I had a worse
pick because I picked the Chargers and I was laying points,
so I lost by forty seven. So I performed worse
in that game than the Chargers. Speaking of lighting their
money on fire, Bernie, the Chargers are favored now in
some spots, money on the Chargers, and you always here, Hey,
it's smart money on the Chargers. You know, I think
(19:51):
it's just money. I think it lands the right side
catching one in some spots. Now, I honest to god,
I just don't know how you that team, but be
there as a man. You still got to play the game.
Saints and Eagle's lackhorns. Tomorrow, Jalen Hurts makes his debut.
This New Orleans defense. Fez appears to be for real.
(20:12):
I've jumped down the under yeah, and I think r
J had a real strong handicap on this. He likes
the Philadelphia Eagles team total under eighteen points. Jalen Hurts
is not ready to be a quarterback in the NFL.
I don't believe. And the Eagles have struggled offensively all
year with Wentz and now they go against arguably the
best defense the way they're playing currently the Saints. They've
(20:34):
held five straight opponents to under seventeen points. Mackenzie ran
the numbers for US. Only one other team in the
NFL has been able to do that the last four years.
That was the New England team that started so well
defensively last year. Eagles aren't going to score against the Saints,
and as I'm sure you know, the Saints have not
allowed more than sixteen points in their last five games,
(20:56):
and Jalen Hurts didn't exactly let it up last week,
completing of his passes. So I boy, I'll tell you,
I think you're right on. The Eagles are gonna have
a hard time uh scoring points tomorrow. Fayz Houston and Chicago.
We brought some interesting debate between you and r J
this week, But I gotta tell you I would not
(21:16):
right off the Bears here. I don't think that you know,
Deshaun Watson is very good, but he's not superman. I
think it's gonna go into a tougher environment that people think. Yeah,
r J completely disagrees with me. My handicap is sparse,
but I think it is strong. Bottom line is going
to be in the thirties, and I got a dome
team from the South that has played in one adverse
(21:39):
weather condition game all year long. And we saw Houston
put up seven points in a wind tunnel in Cleveland
in November. Well, now they're going to have to deal
with snow flurries and the cold in Chicago. And it
won't surprise me if I see Watson shivering on the
sideline after he throws only for two thirty yards and
two picks as the Bears come out of their hibernaton
(22:00):
and win this game. Very good, I'm gonna I'm gonna
watch special attention to this game. Talking with Steve Fezik,
the only two time winner the prestigious Hilton now Westgate
contest here in Las Vegas, Fez Tampa Bay back from
their bye week. Tom Brady fourteen and four off of
(22:21):
by I just don't know how anybody trust this Minnesota
Vikings team. They've just got to be a terrible disappointment
for their backers. However, they're catching six and a half tomorrow.
Who do you like? My power ratings say that this
spread should be lower, Bernie, But I can't get past
the fact that Tampa has been home for a month
they lost to home games to good teams by three points.
(22:42):
Then they had their buy. Surely you would expect TV
and company to bring it in this game. I didn't
bet the game. I think you could tease Tampa down
to minus a half. Alright, fair enough, Please don't call
me surely though. That's an airline airplane reference. Never mind,
uh fast ball. Baltimore Cleveland. Look, if Bill Parcels is right,
(23:04):
you are what your record says you are, then Cleveland
is a good football team. But every time I back him,
I get smacked in the face. There's people I respected
like Baltimore, and there's people are respected like Cleveland. Why
don't you be the tiebreaker here? I think this game
is easy right now. Baltimore is laying three. It's up
to three and most spots. Bernie, this is the rule
of three game. And what do I mean by the
(23:25):
rule of three? Let's take that spread and move at
three points in each direction. If I told you Cleveland
was hosting Baltimore and the game was picked him, I
think a lot of people would say, yeah, that sounds
about right. If I told you Cleveland was catching six
points at home at Baltimore, you and I would like
run out and grab every dollar. We had to bet
Cleveland plus six and what was an obvious clear mistake.
(23:47):
While six is an obvious clear mistake, then three is
wrong as well. I think you got a bet Cleveland. Yeah,
I am clebre getting eight and a half Week one
against Baltimore in it came close, he only lost thirty
eight to six. And but since then, Kevin Stefanski has
gotten his his running game going. So you gotta give
(24:07):
Cleveland some respect, and they're going to go to the playoffs. Hey,
this Stefanski is a great coach. You know, passes the
Baker may feel it to convert fourth downs, passes to
alignment to get touchdowns in the red zone on third down.
Very creative, absolutely, and you know what the aforementioned Minnesota
Vikings had him last year. All right, let's go to Buffalo,
(24:30):
where I think, actually we might be on the opposite sides.
To me, it's what I call a recency bias game here.
But why don't you take the Florago ahead? Alright, my
best bet is the Buffalo Bills minus two. And it's
all about the energy level of both teams. Now, both
these teams played on Monday, night, so it looks like
they both had six days to prepare equal in terms
(24:51):
of energy level. However, we've got a Pittsburgh steer team
that's playing the third game in eleven days. Further, Pittsburgh,
I can argue, hasn't had a I all year long,
because even when they were inactive Week four, they thought
they were going to be playing that week. Buffalo just
had to buy week eleven. Very recently, Buffalo is five
and won their last six games asterisk. All right, I'm
(25:12):
gonna call him six and oh, I'm gonna pretend they
knocked the Hail Mary down. And if that was the case,
we wouldn't even be blinking at this line, and Buffalo
would be tendant too, and we'd say Buffalo clearly should
be MYS three in the much better spot. So I
think that one game actually is giving us value. I
hear what you're saying, Bernie, that we all saw Pittsburgh
fade completely against Washington in the second half. However, who's
(25:35):
to say they're not going to fade again a fatigue team?
I like Buffalo. Well, I'll tell you this, Josh Allen
versus top ten defense is three and oh with a
seventy completion rating, nine touchdowns, two interceptions. I can't lie.
I am on the other side, faz One. Thing is
an old adage. As someone we've both been betting for decades,
whenever I have a team that has a better record
(25:57):
and they're getting points, I have a tendency to lean
that way. Your final thoughts on that alone, that's interesting. Um,
I think it really all depends upon the circumstances, especially
in a crazy COVID here like this, Bernie, I think
all the normal rules get broken. Alright, very good, great stuff, tonight, fast,
good luck tomorrow, Thank you, Bernie, good night. That is
Steve Pezic, the only two time winner of the prestigious
(26:20):
Hilton now Westgate Super Contest here in Las Vegas. Coming up,
we've got Sleepy's best bet. He's been on a roll,
and I'm gonna talk about three recency bias games and
give my side of the Buffalo Pittsburgh game. Uh, right
after this. But first, well, let's put to the man. Well,
when he's good, he's good, but when he's bad, he's
(26:41):
even better. It's Brian filling with the latest. Thank you
so much, Bernie. The number six Florida Gators have a
habit now of imploding during very winnable games. There's the staff,
let's shut down. The kick is up to no good.
L as you has stunned the Gators and stepped Florida's
(27:03):
twelve game winning streak in the swamp on a field
goal that came up dry. The iconic Mick Hubert on
the call for the Florida Gators radio network, Evan McPherson
misfires from fifty one yards and the under five L
s U Tigers tortured number six Florida thirty seven thirty four. Afterwards,
Gators said coach Dan Mullen was asked how his second
(27:25):
loss of this season could impact his team's chances of
making the college football playoff. Mullen, packed with Hubris, replied, quote,
I guess the best thing to do would have been
to play less games, because you seem to get rewarded
for not playing this year in college football close quote.
Keaton Slova's fires five touchdown passes the signature ones amend
(27:46):
Ross st Brown with under one minute to put number
fifteen USC in front of U c l A for good.
Final Now, the Trojans turn their attention to Washington for
the pack twelve Championship set for Friday at the Coliseum.
Eighteenth ranked B y U smother San Diego State, fourteen
Cougars QB Zach Wilson excelling with three touchdowns earlier. Thirteenth
(28:10):
rank Coastal Carolina comes back in the final minute to
quell Troy and stay undefeated at eleven and oh. Seventeenth
rank North Carolina mowing down number ten Miami sixty six
Heels running backs Michael Carter and Javante Williams covered a
combined five forty four yards on the ground and n
(28:31):
c a a record four team's duo in a single game.
Now we go back to Bernie Frido, a man who,
post pandemic, will have a new side hustle. Yes, he
will be putzing around in his new motor home and
spreading the word about his bird watching club. It's Bernie
Frado that, ladies and gentlemen, is Brian the silver tongue
(28:52):
Devil Finley. And now you know why. Alright, Sleepy has
been a very solid, very productive, very profitable with his
best bets. Most of them are props player props, and
tomorrow is no different, and it involves a quarterback a
certain quarterback, and if you're a bargain shopper, you're gonna
(29:12):
want to hear what Sleepy has to say. Let's give
it a listen, all right, Bernie, here we go NFL
Week fourteen. Best bet. I'm gonna gohea and give everybody
a player prop for this week. I'm gonna go I'm
gonna play Kyler Murray to rush for more than thirty
six and a half rushing yards. Now, Bernie, I'm buying
this one at rock bottom pricing. Getting Kyler Murray at
this number of thirty six and a half rushing yards
just four weeks ago would be absolutely unthinkable. Kyler Murray's
(29:36):
rushing yards were set in the mid to high sixties
basically all season long. So why the massive drop right
now in his rushing yards. Well, Murray had a noticeable
shoulder injury that was clearly hampering him, and I believe
the Cardinals head coach Cliff Kingsbury really wanted to go
ahead keep Murray away from taking any unwanted hits. But
now was not the time for the Cardinals to continue
(29:56):
with Murray not running the football. The Cardinals have now
lost three straight games and they're in jeopardy of missing
the playoffs if they keep on extending this losing streak.
Murray has only rushed the ball five times in each
of the last three games. The Cardinals lost every game.
In fact, when Murray has had six or less rushes
in the game, they've lost every game this season. So
(30:18):
I fully expect Kingsbury to let Kyler off the leash
here against this Giants defense. Speaking of the Giants defense,
they played one legit running quarterback all season long, and
that was last week against Russell Wilson, who ran for
forty five yards, which that eclipses Murray's total right now
of thirty six and a half. I believe Murray is
healthy now. I also believe Kingsbury will ask Kyler to
(30:40):
run this week. And I believe that's the only recipe
for the Cardinals to win games is if Murray is
running the football. There for Bernie my NFL Week fourteen
best bet, Kyler Murray over thirty six and a half
rushing yards. So they had to New York tomorrow to
play the Giants, and uh, I think Cliff Kingsbury, the
head coach Cardinals, will turn Kyler Murray loose. I think
(31:03):
he has to. This is a a playoff game of
sorts for the Arizona Cardinals. And I always hesitate to
use the term must win because that doesn't mean you're
going to win. Because it's a must win, thirty one
of the thirty two NFL teams every season will lose
the game they must win. But he did as it may.
(31:24):
Kyler is the engine that makes that team run, and
I do believe that he will have his opportunities tomorrow
and that should spark that that Arizona offense. And you
know he could break one run for thirty six yards,
so it sounds like another really strong play uh by Sleepy. Alright,
(31:45):
Fez and I just uh debate, Well, we didn't really
have a debate. Uh. He has Actually the Buffalo Bills
minus two is his best bet tomorrow and I can't
lie and then I rarely go against Fez, but I
have elected to get on the other side. I've got
Pittsburgh plus two and it's one of three what I
(32:06):
call recency bias games, and that we always have a
tendency human beings to overreact to what we saw last.
And what did we see last? Buffalo was outstanding and
Josh Allen completely picked apart Robert Sally's defense and a
very good forty Niners team. So now they head back
(32:29):
home and they're in the catbird seat to win that
division and perhaps make a playoff run. Here's a couple
of things, though not so fast. My friend is Lee
Corso might say number one, uh Pittsburgh as a dog
nine and five in the last three years, and Mike
Tomlin as a dog in his last twenty seventeen and five.
(32:54):
So I think Pittsburgh getting points here is one reason
I look at him. Defense of Lee. Their number one
in sacks, their number one in takeaways, and number one
points allowed. And the last time a team had accomplished
those things into December, all three were the five Bears.
So I believe Pittsburgh defense tomorrow is going to rise
(33:19):
to the occasion. We'll see. But Buffalo's defense, and this
is part of the mix here, he's not particularly stellar.
They're allowing almost twenty six points a game, that's good
enough to rank eighteenth in the NFL. They're allowing just
under three yards per game, that's twenty one ranked in
the NFL. And they're allowing five and a half check
that five point nine yards per play. That's twenty three
(33:42):
in the NFL. Add it all up. I have a
I just have a feeling here. The pedigree that the
Steelers bring into this game. He's going to be on display.
And I know they've played. This is your third game
in twelve days. I'm tired of hearing it. We don't
know how tired they're really gonna be. Let's see what happens.
And someone even said to me the other day, well,
it's that's a good loss. Now there's no more pressure
(34:04):
having to do with, you know, going undefeated. No, they
don't look at it that way. There's a such thing
is a good loss. It's like a good kidney stone.
You don't want one of those either. So we'll see.
Only one of us can be right. And uh, I'm
looking forward to watching the game. I've got Pittsburgh plus
two tomorrow at Buffalo the other game and sleep. He
just talked about this Arizona laying too at the New
(34:26):
York Giants again, recency bias. The Cardinals were held to
two hundred and thirty two totally yards last week. Meanwhile,
the Giants given a lot of credit to Joe Judge
and what they've done there and Daniel Jones is back
tomorrow without se Kwan Barkley. They've run seven straight games.
They've had over a hundred yards rushing. Be there as
(34:48):
it may, there's a serious statistics. I'm not going to
boy you with I like the Arizona Cardinals minus two
tomorrow over the New York Giants game we played in
New York, the other recency bias game. The forty are
home against the Washington football team. This is the third
straight road game for the Washington football team Niners. Last
(35:10):
week they look terrible against Buffalo. Their defense got ripped
for thirty four yards three or four points yards. They
lost by ten to the Bills. Again, this is Washington's
third straight road game, and they have looked good. They've
You've got to really appreciate and respect their physical latitude
(35:31):
and what an incredible job around Revere has done. And
the same can be said for Alex Smith. If he's
not the comeback Player of the Year, then they should
just get rid of the award. But there's one thing
here that I call the clincher, and this trend is
ten and oh. In the last ten years, you play
against any team who was a dog the week before,
(35:51):
went out right and covered the spread by fourteen points
or more. The following week, you fade them, and that's
the Washington football team who's heading into San Francisco for
their third straight road game again another recency bias. Game
did not look good last week, and the Washington football
team looked very good. So those are three games there.
(36:14):
We'll see what happens. Obviously, people are very influenced by
what they saw last But in the National Football League,
every given Sundays like its own snowflake coin flip. They're
all different and when they kicked the game off, anything
can happen. Coming up, you know him, you love him,
McKenley without him, macing on sports, Mackenzie rivers he's gonna
(36:35):
have a Super Bowl prediction and I'll grill him. But
as usual, he'll probably have some very good statistics to
back up his prediction. What does it mean when Geico
says just fifteen minutes could save you or more on
car insurance means you probably should have gone to Geico
dot com fifteen minutes ago. I'm Bernie Fratto Comedy Alive
(36:57):
from the Getico Fox Sports Radio Studios. This is the
pregame show you always wanted, So don't go away. You're
listening to straight out of Vegas, one of the best
in the business, Bernie Fratto. I'm John Gonzalez, the host
of Sports Illustrated Weekly. Sports Illustrated has delivered the best
(37:18):
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We'll ask the questions that we're all wondering and push
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(37:38):
Super Bowl's impact on l A to examining white booing
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Sports Illustrated Weekly is here to bring you the entertaining
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(38:44):
We are back on straight out of Vegas, the pregame
show you always wanted. I'm Bernie Freddo coming to you
alive from the Geco Fox Sports Radio Studios. Before I
go any further, I want to thank my broadcast team
back in Los Angeles. Every day is like Christmas. Working
with these guys who do very good Chris Perfett, Eric
Roberts and Brian the Silver Tongue Devil Finley. All right,
(39:05):
you know what we love mccamley without um. Time for
macin on Sports from McKenzie Rivers and let's just dive
right in. Don't bury the lead. Tonight's segment has to
do with your prediction of who will win Super Bowl.
It's not just my prediction It's our Super Bowl fifty
five champion, introducing ladies and gentlemen. It is the New York,
(39:28):
the New Orleans Saints, the Louisiana Boys. They're gonna do it.
The last dance of Drew Brees. That's been the story
of the year since May. It's been it was the
story of the summer. Drew Brees is you know, controversial statements.
It's gonna end in February with Sean Payton and Drew
Brees having a second smile, a legacy defining second Super
(39:49):
Bowl champion. I was just I was watching that Florida
LSU game. What a game, and it just came to
me and I'm convinced of it. I will be laying
plus six hundred down tonight, super Wolves champions. All right,
let's unpack this for just a second, because I'm not
necessarily going to see it wrong. We're an agreement on
one thing, and that is the Chiefs aren't going to repeat.
(40:09):
I mean, I've got I've got Pittsburgh, but this is
your segments, so let's deal with you. One of the
things that causes me to raise a bit of a
flag is that hot house teams, dome teams. I call
them hothouse teams don't win super Bowl championships, especially they
have to go on the road during the playoffs, so
(40:30):
this is critical. Well, the Saints finished the regular season
in a way to where they don't have to leave
the friendly confines. Well, let's look at the odds, Bernie
chance right now on NFL eight that they're going to
have the number one seed. The only time they'll have
to leave is to go down to Tampa Bay, where
they've actually played many times. Will be pretty familiar when
that super Bowl super Bowl curs in Tampa Bay this February.
(40:52):
But Bernie, they're gonna they're gonna win tomorrow. They're gonna
beat Philadelphia. Hold that. Hold that thoughts. So you've got Philly,
I'm giving you that. That's your eleventh win. Then you've
got Kansas City in Minnesota home, and you finished the
season at Carolina. Kansas City is a lost. Drew Brees
will be just working his way back in. That's okay,
we'll take that one. That's a loss. What was the
next one? Minnesota? Minnesota, that's gonna be a tough Minnesota
(41:17):
always once the games they're not supposed to and Kirk
Cousins actually, if you look at the advanced metrics, has
been one of the best quarterbacks in the league. What
time is that game, because if that's a one o'clock
start time, Kirk Cousins might win that one. Okay, I'm
gonna say we we edge that one the same. Let's
just say for giggles they go to and two down
just just okay, just for purpose. At that point, they'll
be the only team that could catch him as the Packers.
(41:39):
And Packers have have a few uh lined up that
will be making a little difficult. But when when they
win tomorrow, there's chance three fourths to have three straight
games in the Dome, and actually, Bernie will be the
only team with only three three games to win the
Super Bowl. The number one seed is so vital this
year with all these great NFC teams, the Rams, the Packers,
(42:01):
they're right there in the mix. Having to skip that
game is gonna be huge for the Saints. Alright, So
I only think there are four teams. I think there
are five teams in the NFC. You one is the Saints.
So let's uh, let's go down the list. Real quite interesting.
I have four written down here. Let's see which one well, Okay,
so I'll tell you what. Let's start with Tampa Bay.
Give me a reason that Tampa Bay can win the
(42:22):
Super Bowl and the reason they won't. No man walking
the Earth has six Super Bowl rings as a player,
besides Tom Brady. That's one reason why he could add
a seventh. Why not? Offensively? I just think they're too predictable.
If they're doing great, they can run. But if the
things get bad, they haven't been able to run through adversity.
It seems like they're either clicking or completely bogged down
(42:42):
on offense. All right, let's go to the Rams. The
Rams were recently in the Super Bowl. They cleaned the
little house straight and some things. Sean Sean McVeigh went
out and hired himself a new defensive coordinator. Is making
a huge difference. Tell me why the Rams can win
the Super Bowl, but why they won't. You just nailed it,
Brandon's Daley is is is turning some heads with this defense,
maybe the best in the league. Why they won't one
(43:04):
turnover at least in every single game this season. That's
the kind of thing that gets you in trouble in
the February and January. Interesting, Alright, Look the Seattle Seahawks, frankly,
I think are a long shot. But anytime you've got
Russell Wilson, you can't write them off. And in the
last four games, Seattle seems to a found their defense. Yes,
(43:25):
Jamal Adams is about to set the record for sacks
by a defensive back. Pretty impressive stuff. And Dunlap, speaking
of that, Sound actually has been getting a couple of
sacks themselves, so they're they're trending in the right direction.
That is one reason why they can win the Super Bowl.
But the defense is still one of the worst in
the league. It's hard to do that. Four games in
around well they were, they were, But Mackenzie I talked
(43:47):
about this earlier in the show. The first d eight games,
Seattle was allowing thirty points a game, the last four
and only nineteen. First eight games four in sixty yards
per game, last four only three ten just under five
yards to play it before six and a half. But
let's skip to the real team that could be a
flying dejohite man, and I think that's green Bay. And
I think if the Saints have to go to green Bay,
(44:07):
that's gonna be a real problem. With that slippery grass.
It will be tough. That's why it will be critical
to see who gets the number one seed. And a
large part of my handicap why I think this is
a good bad at plus six hundred is I see
the Saints getting that number one seed and being able
to say, hey, Aaron Rodgers, come back down to New
Orleans and play us a second time and see if
you can beat us again, you know, real quickly before
we run out of time. Because Breeze will come back
(44:28):
like forty eight broken ribs. I guess you we're just
going to assume he'll be healthy. But this isn't the
first time a quarterback starter has gone down, taking a hiatus,
come back and lead their team to the Super Bowl.
Bubby Brister had to fill in for John Elways for
four games with a hamstring injury. Two thousand fifteen, Peyton
Manning the ost the Ostrich had to fill in for
(44:49):
seven games in the regular season. That rest helps Peyton
Manning somehow get over the hump and win that Super Bowl.
Two thousand sixteen, Tom Brady suspended four games for conspiracy
to commit espionage or whatever they say it. He came
back and had that extra gas to get the Super
Bowl done. Even Patrick Mahomes miss four games last year.
I don't think missing this time will help will hurt
(45:09):
Drew Brees. I think it will help him. I think
it gets it done for the second time in his career.
All right, there you have it. We'll see if Mackenzie's right.
This should be fun to watch. We're in agreement. I
don't think Kansas City is going to repeat, and that
means maybe the Saints, maybe the Steelers. My team. We'll
we'll be watching it. It's gonna do it for This
week's edition is straight out of Vegas. I'm burning fratto.
Next up, it's demand from Nashville. Who brings it strong.
(45:31):
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and discover the forest dot org brought to you by
the United States For Service and the AD Council. You're
listening to Fox Sports Radio, Well you just heard the
man with the Golden voice from web above. At Fox
Sports Radio. It's that time a week again, and we've
got an epic show for you tonight. And in a
(01:46):
world of questions, we've got answers, in a world of problems,
we've got solutions. And on that note, welcome back to
another award winning edition of Straight Out of Vegas, the
Weekend adaptation. I'm Bernie Fredda. We're coming to you alive
from the Gecko Fox Sports Radio Studios. We're fifteen minutes
could save you fiften er more on car insurance, so
go to geigo dot com for a free great quote
(02:09):
now tonight. Although this NFL season hasn't been seamless, we
take none of the imperfections and peccadillos and we acknowledge
that we're seeing history and we'll take another walk down
memory lane tonight and about fifteen minutes Steve Zik will
join via phone to chop up week fourteen as the
NFL enters its most important month. They always remember which
(02:31):
you did in December. Later on, after Brian Finley's epic update,
sleep people, Wayne on another best bet, and of course
we closed down the show with macin on sports and
plenty of father to twist your brain in knots, including
a super Bowl prediction from Mackenzie. Sports or entertainment. But
they're more than that. There are shared experience as such,
people want to talk about them. You've come to the
(02:53):
right place. We've got a lot to talk about tonight.
This is straight out of Vegas, the pregame show you
always wanted. And as they say in Paul Malinar, Minnesota,
it's gonna be lit. You know, there's an old Chinese
proverb which states you can curse the darkness or light
a candle because we had to do the final four
week stretch run of the NFL season. If you're not
(03:16):
enjoying the history that's being made that will pave the
way for future story as well, you should check yourself
before you wreck yourself. Case in point, forty three year
old Tom Brady is locked and loaded and rested after
his week off. Of course, that won't stop the haters
from telling us he's washed, and why wouldn't they They've
been doing it since seventeen, when he turned forty. But
(03:39):
since then, he's throwing a hundred and thirteen touchdowns against
only thirty eight interceptions. Is one lost record. He's forty
three and seventeen while getting to two Super Bowls, winning one,
and making the playoffs every season since turning forty. This
year there's seven and five. He's got twenty eight touchdowns
and eleven interceptions. Trust me, Brady in the bus will
(03:59):
win ten games and make the playoffs. In spite of
people I respect saying he would only win six games
this season. Well, those folks, if you have to apologize,
and the I don't expect them to, why, well, because
they're just staying for Brady is personal and those feelings
permeate a world in which many folks, well, they like
to elevate people to their highest plateau, only to tear
(04:20):
them down with a palpable sensibility every time they get
the chance, whether it's warranted or not. I repeat. There's
a quarterback with twenty touchdown passes and eleven interceptions, and
he's led his team to a seven and five record
when some folks said he went only six games. But
it's been a cottage industry to bash this guy no
matter what, no matter what he does, the resentment it's
(04:42):
becoming a little laughable to me. So let's unpack the
state of fandom COVID version in the NFL. You know,
one of my favorite Twilight Zone episodes involves a fictitious
baseball club, the Hoboken Zephyrs, and their plight to become
a winning franchise after years as a perennial doormat. That is,
(05:03):
until Casey and his agent show up one day looking
to play Casey. It turns out he's a left handed pitcher,
and not just any pitcher. He's got a fastball Roger
Clements would envy, and he could change speeds better than
Lance Armstrong. Shortly after signing, Casey proceeds to win game
after game, baffling hitters as the Zephyrts begin to race
(05:24):
for the pennant. Finally, the team climbs into first place.
Things seem too good to be true, and they are.
One day, while strolling around the field during pregame, Casey
has hit on the head by an errand throw and
he's carried off on a stretcher. While being examined by
the team doctor, he's unable to find a heartbeat, and
for good reason, Casey is a robot and his agent
(05:48):
is actually a scientist. Unfortunately, a little known ruled the
by laws. Will they prohibit Casey from playing anymore because
he has no heart? Specifically, the rule book says nine
mento a team non eight men in a robot. The
final scene shows Casey leaving the park for good. Solemnly
is he excessed through the outfield fence and along with
(06:08):
him dependent hopes of the hope of Gonzephyrs. Isn't it
funny how life imitates heart? What if Casey would have
happened in real life but his obvious advantage wasn't discovered
until he had already broken the records, Sy Young or
maybe Hankkaron or Babe Ruth or Roger Merris, And how
about the steroid era. See for the rest of their lives,
no matter where they go, make no mistake, Clemens Bond,
(06:31):
Silso Palmero McGuire, the whole bunch. They will forever be
stained by their alleged actions, which clearly gave them a
competitive advantage. Could make no mistake as well. They weren't
the only cheaters in the history of sports. How about
Ben Johnson. He's unbelievable performance in the eight Olympics prompted
him to say his records would last for fifty years,
(06:52):
but when he tested positive twice, he was banned for
life five years later. Remember Rosie Rries when she was
the winner of the nineteen eighty Boston Marathon. Yeah right,
until she wasn't. When she was asked about her split
times and a post event pressor she said, what are
split times? That's like Joey Chestnut not knowing what a
hot dog is. Soon Rosie Ruiz was exposed she had
(07:16):
in fact taken a cab and cut her and cut
her race short, and so was her victory celebration cut
short as well, one of my all time favorites also
was a little league hero by the name of Daniel
monte El. Monty became a pitching sensation during the two
thousand and one Litle League World Series. He had a
fastball that equated to ninety by Major League standards see
(07:41):
the Little League Pitching mountains only forty six ft away
Major League Baseball six six inches, but Almanti threw so
hard it equated to what it would have been about nine.
The twelve year old Daniel Monty was way ahead of
his ears. Literally that's because he was about two once
short of his sixteenth birthday, when literally engage limit is twelve,
(08:05):
No wonder he struck out sixty two of the seventy
two batters he faced. Meanwhile, I'll never forget the Tanya
Harding Nancy Karragan scandal, That's for sure. It happened just
minutes from where I lived at the time. Now that
took corruption to a whole new level. Sure I missed
those levable goofball Shane Stanton, Jeff Gluley, and sometimes I
(08:25):
wonder whatever happened to them. Maybe not, but you know,
we could be here all day. I mean, you've got
Lance Armstrong, Marion Jones, Gaylord Perry's whole career, and the
gold standard of them all the n Chicago Black Socks,
just to name a few. See, athletes have been doing
things to get an edge for almost one years, from
(08:46):
greenies all the way up to the current technology. So
whoever said if you ain't cheating, you ain't trying, well,
they might have handsome insight information. But in baseball, when
you tread on Baseball's hallowed ground and the men who
came before, or the ones that you know, they were
looked upon as ten ft tall, larger than life heroes
who played on fields of dreams, well then you've got
(09:06):
a price to pay. See by all accounts, Hank Karen
is an elegant, dignified man, and he suffered terrible retribution
as he chased Babe Bruce record. Roger Morris was an
American hero. To see his record broken not once, but
multiple times by McGuire and Soils and Bonds was an
affront too many fans and baseball historians. And to watch
(09:30):
Raphael pal Marrow point his finger at Congress where Roger
Clemen signed autographs for sycophans out in the hallway, and
a bunch of starstruck imbeciles well cheapened the greatness that
could have been see for all the guilty parties, at
least the perceived guilty, Although forever bask in the twilight
zone of sports history that makes you stop and scratch
(09:51):
your head about their performance enhanced achievements. Did it really happen?
It's hard to picture them now with this cloud of uncertainty,
and until then they're but a distant memory, Just like
Casey in the Hobo Conzephyrs. And for all the record
breakers we've chronicled, doubters and cynics will forever ask the
(10:11):
question is what they did for real? Was it authentic?
Did it really happen? So like Casey when it comes
to McGuire, Social Bonds, Clemens Palmero, and now Tom Brady,
do you really want to curse the darkness or lead
a candle to the moralist he wants to decide what's
right and what's wrong. But the artist, they prefer to
(10:34):
see things exactly as they are, as the shades of interpretation,
where they erode any fairer objective analysis by any measure.
Tom Brady, since Turning forty has been plausibly successful despite
certain peccadillos. Let's remember these games are played by human beings,
imperfect human beings. So well, I don't give cheaters a
(10:56):
hall pass. I don't stand in judgment e R Well, unless,
of course, they don't cover the spreader they can't help
us cash a bet, then that's different. Coming up, it's
week fourteen of the NFL. We've got a lot to cover.
There are a lot of storylines and around some key games.
(11:17):
And who better than Steve Feazik to join us to
chop it up. And he's got a best bet on
a game that I might be on the other side of,
but that that could make for a good conversation. What
does it mean when Geico says just fifteen minutes could
save you more on car insurance? I mean you probably
should have gone to Geico dot com fifteen minutes ago.
(11:38):
I'm Bernie Fritto. Where coming to you line from the
Geico Fox Sports Radio Studios. This is the pregame show
you always wanted, So don't go away here listening to
Straight out of Vegas. They're great Bernie Frado, folks. This
podcast is brought to you by a T and T fiber. Okay,
what do you call an A T and T wireless
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customer who also has ridunculously fast Internet. Someone who prefers
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or subscribed to Navigating Adoption presented by adopt Us Kids,
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the Forest dot org, brought to you by the United
States Forest Service and the AD Council. Yeah, back on
Straight out of Vegas de pregame show you always wanted.
I'm Bernie fredderwer com Toy Alive from the Gecko Fox
Sports Radio Studios. It's that time a week. I want
to welcome and a gentleman, the only two time winner
of the prestigious super contest here in Las Vegas. You
(14:13):
hear him weekdays on straight out of Vegas from three
to four Pacific, six to seven Eastern. It is the
inimitable Steve fezi Fest. How are you tonight? Well, now
you mentioned the word, I'm gonna have to look up
when I get off my hip. How are you to
Bernie when you grab your funking Wagonals? Let me know too,
I need to make sure I use the right word. Alright, fest,
(14:33):
let's dive into this. We've got a full slate. Um.
I want to start right here in Las Vegas where
the Colts visit the Raiders, and it's an interesting game
for me, and that it looks on the face of
it like an easy victory for the Colts. But look,
you still gotta play the game. But I want to
share this with you and maybe you can make some
(14:54):
sense of this to me. With Anthony Costanzo, he's an
alignment for the Colts. With him in the lineup. The
Colts average eight points a game without him, the average
four with him to a game without him three thirty nine.
And there's a bunch of weather positive stats. One guy,
what do you think? What's your thought on this game? Yeah?
(15:15):
The left tackle, he is so important and you know
part of it. I think it'd be just Rivers comfort
level level knowing that he's there, and I don't know
if he's going to be there, so that's a big
question mark. I will say this, t Y Hilton and
Jonathan Taylor have been bust fantasy wise all year long
for Indie. The last two games both have had really
(15:36):
stellar games. So the Colts have gone from a team
with a struggling offense and a good defense to a
good offense and a struggling defense. That means I like
over in this game, over fifty a nice call. You
know what's interesting. I was going to ask you two.
The Raiders are off back to back East coast trips
to Atlanta, and the Jets have factor in it all.
(15:56):
I think it helps, right because we know to play
defense requires more effort, it's more difficult. So good call
to trips to the East coast probably going to hurt
the Raiders defense. All right, Let's head the Seattle where
they're laying double digits. I think the line is thirteen
and a half. UM. It feels like this is a
real letdown for the Jets. They had one and it
(16:18):
got away. They fired Greg Williams, but also Fayz. The
Seahawks team has caught my attention. Their first eight games,
their defense was a sieve, averaging they were allowing thirty
points a game. In the last four they've only allowed nineteen.
And you know, yards per per play, yards per game allowed,
(16:38):
everything is way down. In fact, they were allowing almost
four and fifty years. Remember we talked about this how
it wasn't sustainable their first four games and their last
four games and only allowed Would you lay the wood
here against the Jets. Seattle is in a really strange
situation here where they were a double digits favorite. Last
week they lose out right another double digits favorite again.
(17:00):
So we had our own Mackenzie Rivers run the query
on this. Turns out, teams do fairly well, and it
makes sense. They're twelve and nine against the spread. Historically
when they fall on their face is a big favorite
and then they wheel back as a double digit favorite again,
and that makes sense. So often when you're laying thirteen
and a half points while you take the game for granted,
(17:20):
I don't think see I was going to do that.
The problem, Bernie, is that the wise guys hit this
game and it's up to fourteen, and and that's just
too important number. At fourteen, I gotta pass now, excellent point.
You want to get the best of the number. For
obvious reasons. It seems like there's one game every week
where fast just a couple of weeks ago, remember folks
(17:41):
could have had a Seattle of minus five and a
half in the game, they win by six and then
some people grabbing in six and six and a half
again Philadelphia. That's the story for another day. H Kansas
City of Miami. This game getting a lot of attention
of the tickets on Kansas City. Both teams are seven
and one straight up in their last eight games. The
(18:03):
Chiefs in their last four games they won by two, four, three,
and six points respectively. They're laying north of a touchdown
in Miami. What's Brian Flores gonna do here? You know,
I think that Brian Flores is going to contain that
the Kansas City Chiefs offense, who has struggled in the
red zone already. So Flores has some tape to see
some struggles for Casey and Frankly, and no one's talking
(18:26):
about this. Kansas City won the Super Bowl in Miami.
Bernie I could see this being like almost a little
victory tour to come back to where they were victorious,
and frankly, Casey knows all they gotta do is show
up and they win that. They've been coasting in so
many games. They're at the Saints next week. I can
see this being a real close game, and then of
course Casey will find the way to win it. If
(18:48):
you bet Casey, tease them down to one. If you
like Miami, grab the seven and a a half. Yeah, that's
that's a good point, all right. The Chargers have been
an absolute dumpster fire. They're catching two at home tomorrow.
I've even seen some sponsor that's down to one and
a half the Falcons visit Los Angeles. You're letting money
on fire by backing an Anthony Lynn coach team. I
(19:10):
don't know how you back the Chargers. They're only three
wins have become against teams that have not won more
than two games. I mean, they beat the Jets, who
haven't won a game, the Jaguars have won one game,
and the Bengals, who have won two games. When Joe
Burrow made his debut, do you have a side here? Well,
the Chargers had a bad week. Last week, that's obvious.
(19:31):
They lose by forty five points. I had a worse
pick because I picked the Chargers and I was laying points,
so I lost by forty seven. So I performed worse
in that game than the Chargers. Speaking of lighting their
money on fire, Bernie, the Chargers are favored now in
some spots, money on the Chargers, and you always here, Hey,
it's smart money on the Chargers. You know, I think
(19:51):
it's just money. I think it lands the right side
catching one in some spots. Now, I honest to god,
I just don't know how you that team, but be
there as a man. You still got to play the game.
Saints and Eagle's lackhorns. Tomorrow, Jalen Hurts makes his debut.
This New Orleans defense. Fez appears to be for real.
(20:12):
I've jumped down the under yeah, and I think r
J had a real strong handicap on this. He likes
the Philadelphia Eagles team total under eighteen points. Jalen Hurts
is not ready to be a quarterback in the NFL.
I don't believe. And the Eagles have struggled offensively all
year with Wentz and now they go against arguably the
best defense the way they're playing currently the Saints. They've
(20:34):
held five straight opponents to under seventeen points. Mackenzie ran
the numbers for US. Only one other team in the
NFL has been able to do that the last four years.
That was the New England team that started so well
defensively last year. Eagles aren't going to score against the Saints,
and as I'm sure you know, the Saints have not
allowed more than sixteen points in their last five games,
(20:56):
and Jalen Hurts didn't exactly let it up last week,
completing of his passes. So I boy, I'll tell you,
I think you're right on. The Eagles are gonna have
a hard time uh scoring points tomorrow. Fayz Houston and Chicago.
We brought some interesting debate between you and r J
this week, But I gotta tell you I would not
(21:16):
right off the Bears here. I don't think that you know,
Deshaun Watson is very good, but he's not superman. I
think it's gonna go into a tougher environment that people think. Yeah,
r J completely disagrees with me. My handicap is sparse,
but I think it is strong. Bottom line is going
to be in the thirties, and I got a dome
team from the South that has played in one adverse
(21:39):
weather condition game all year long. And we saw Houston
put up seven points in a wind tunnel in Cleveland
in November. Well, now they're going to have to deal
with snow flurries and the cold in Chicago. And it
won't surprise me if I see Watson shivering on the
sideline after he throws only for two thirty yards and
two picks as the Bears come out of their hibernaton
(22:00):
and win this game. Very good, I'm gonna I'm gonna
watch special attention to this game. Talking with Steve Fezik,
the only two time winner the prestigious Hilton now Westgate
contest here in Las Vegas, Fez Tampa Bay back from
their bye week. Tom Brady fourteen and four off of
(22:21):
by I just don't know how anybody trust this Minnesota
Vikings team. They've just got to be a terrible disappointment
for their backers. However, they're catching six and a half tomorrow.
Who do you like? My power ratings say that this
spread should be lower, Bernie, But I can't get past
the fact that Tampa has been home for a month
they lost to home games to good teams by three points.
(22:42):
Then they had their buy. Surely you would expect TV
and company to bring it in this game. I didn't
bet the game. I think you could tease Tampa down
to minus a half. Alright, fair enough, Please don't call
me surely though. That's an airline airplane reference. Never mind,
uh fast ball. Baltimore Cleveland. Look, if Bill Parcels is right,
(23:04):
you are what your record says you are, then Cleveland
is a good football team. But every time I back him,
I get smacked in the face. There's people I respected
like Baltimore, and there's people are respected like Cleveland. Why
don't you be the tiebreaker here? I think this game
is easy right now. Baltimore is laying three. It's up
to three and most spots. Bernie, this is the rule
of three game. And what do I mean by the
(23:25):
rule of three? Let's take that spread and move at
three points in each direction. If I told you Cleveland
was hosting Baltimore and the game was picked him, I
think a lot of people would say, yeah, that sounds
about right. If I told you Cleveland was catching six
points at home at Baltimore, you and I would like
run out and grab every dollar. We had to bet
Cleveland plus six and what was an obvious clear mistake.
(23:47):
While six is an obvious clear mistake, then three is
wrong as well. I think you got a bet Cleveland. Yeah,
I am clebre getting eight and a half Week one
against Baltimore in it came close, he only lost thirty
eight to six. And but since then, Kevin Stefanski has
gotten his his running game going. So you gotta give
(24:07):
Cleveland some respect, and they're going to go to the playoffs. Hey,
this Stefanski is a great coach. You know, passes the
Baker may feel it to convert fourth downs, passes to
alignment to get touchdowns in the red zone on third down.
Very creative, absolutely, and you know what the aforementioned Minnesota
Vikings had him last year. All right, let's go to Buffalo,
(24:30):
where I think, actually we might be on the opposite sides.
To me, it's what I call a recency bias game here.
But why don't you take the Florago ahead? Alright, my
best bet is the Buffalo Bills minus two. And it's
all about the energy level of both teams. Now, both
these teams played on Monday, night, so it looks like
they both had six days to prepare equal in terms
(24:51):
of energy level. However, we've got a Pittsburgh steer team
that's playing the third game in eleven days. Further, Pittsburgh,
I can argue, hasn't had a I all year long,
because even when they were inactive Week four, they thought
they were going to be playing that week. Buffalo just
had to buy week eleven. Very recently, Buffalo is five
and won their last six games asterisk. All right, I'm
(25:12):
gonna call him six and oh, I'm gonna pretend they
knocked the Hail Mary down. And if that was the case,
we wouldn't even be blinking at this line, and Buffalo
would be tendant too, and we'd say Buffalo clearly should
be MYS three in the much better spot. So I
think that one game actually is giving us value. I
hear what you're saying, Bernie, that we all saw Pittsburgh
fade completely against Washington in the second half. However, who's
(25:35):
to say they're not going to fade again a fatigue team?
I like Buffalo. Well, I'll tell you this, Josh Allen
versus top ten defense is three and oh with a
seventy completion rating, nine touchdowns, two interceptions. I can't lie.
I am on the other side, faz One. Thing is
an old adage. As someone we've both been betting for decades,
whenever I have a team that has a better record
(25:57):
and they're getting points, I have a tendency to lean
that way. Your final thoughts on that alone, that's interesting. Um,
I think it really all depends upon the circumstances, especially
in a crazy COVID here like this, Bernie, I think
all the normal rules get broken. Alright, very good, great stuff, tonight, fast,
good luck tomorrow, Thank you, Bernie, good night. That is
Steve Pezic, the only two time winner of the prestigious
(26:20):
Hilton now Westgate Super Contest here in Las Vegas. Coming up,
we've got Sleepy's best bet. He's been on a roll,
and I'm gonna talk about three recency bias games and
give my side of the Buffalo Pittsburgh game. Uh, right
after this. But first, well, let's put to the man. Well,
when he's good, he's good, but when he's bad, he's
(26:41):
even better. It's Brian filling with the latest. Thank you
so much, Bernie. The number six Florida Gators have a
habit now of imploding during very winnable games. There's the staff,
let's shut down. The kick is up to no good.
L as you has stunned the Gators and stepped Florida's
(27:03):
twelve game winning streak in the swamp on a field
goal that came up dry. The iconic Mick Hubert on
the call for the Florida Gators radio network, Evan McPherson
misfires from fifty one yards and the under five L
s U Tigers tortured number six Florida thirty seven thirty four. Afterwards,
Gators said coach Dan Mullen was asked how his second
(27:25):
loss of this season could impact his team's chances of
making the college football playoff. Mullen, packed with Hubris, replied, quote,
I guess the best thing to do would have been
to play less games, because you seem to get rewarded
for not playing this year in college football close quote.
Keaton Slova's fires five touchdown passes the signature ones amend
(27:46):
Ross st Brown with under one minute to put number
fifteen USC in front of U c l A for good.
Final Now, the Trojans turn their attention to Washington for
the pack twelve Championship set for Friday at the Coliseum.
Eighteenth ranked B y U smother San Diego State, fourteen
Cougars QB Zach Wilson excelling with three touchdowns earlier. Thirteenth
(28:10):
rank Coastal Carolina comes back in the final minute to
quell Troy and stay undefeated at eleven and oh. Seventeenth
rank North Carolina mowing down number ten Miami sixty six
Heels running backs Michael Carter and Javante Williams covered a
combined five forty four yards on the ground and n
(28:31):
c a a record four team's duo in a single game.
Now we go back to Bernie Frido, a man who,
post pandemic, will have a new side hustle. Yes, he
will be putzing around in his new motor home and
spreading the word about his bird watching club. It's Bernie
Frado that, ladies and gentlemen, is Brian the silver tongue
(28:52):
Devil Finley. And now you know why. Alright, Sleepy has
been a very solid, very productive, very profitable with his
best bets. Most of them are props player props, and
tomorrow is no different, and it involves a quarterback a
certain quarterback, and if you're a bargain shopper, you're gonna
(29:12):
want to hear what Sleepy has to say. Let's give
it a listen, all right, Bernie, here we go NFL
Week fourteen. Best bet. I'm gonna gohea and give everybody
a player prop for this week. I'm gonna go I'm
gonna play Kyler Murray to rush for more than thirty
six and a half rushing yards. Now, Bernie, I'm buying
this one at rock bottom pricing. Getting Kyler Murray at
this number of thirty six and a half rushing yards
just four weeks ago would be absolutely unthinkable. Kyler Murray's
(29:36):
rushing yards were set in the mid to high sixties
basically all season long. So why the massive drop right
now in his rushing yards. Well, Murray had a noticeable
shoulder injury that was clearly hampering him, and I believe
the Cardinals head coach Cliff Kingsbury really wanted to go
ahead keep Murray away from taking any unwanted hits. But
now was not the time for the Cardinals to continue
(29:56):
with Murray not running the football. The Cardinals have now
lost three straight games and they're in jeopardy of missing
the playoffs if they keep on extending this losing streak.
Murray has only rushed the ball five times in each
of the last three games. The Cardinals lost every game.
In fact, when Murray has had six or less rushes
in the game, they've lost every game this season. So
(30:18):
I fully expect Kingsbury to let Kyler off the leash
here against this Giants defense. Speaking of the Giants defense,
they played one legit running quarterback all season long, and
that was last week against Russell Wilson, who ran for
forty five yards, which that eclipses Murray's total right now
of thirty six and a half. I believe Murray is
healthy now. I also believe Kingsbury will ask Kyler to
(30:40):
run this week. And I believe that's the only recipe
for the Cardinals to win games is if Murray is
running the football. There for Bernie my NFL Week fourteen
best bet, Kyler Murray over thirty six and a half
rushing yards. So they had to New York tomorrow to
play the Giants, and uh, I think Cliff Kingsbury, the
head coach Cardinals, will turn Kyler Murray loose. I think
(31:03):
he has to. This is a a playoff game of
sorts for the Arizona Cardinals. And I always hesitate to
use the term must win because that doesn't mean you're
going to win. Because it's a must win, thirty one
of the thirty two NFL teams every season will lose
the game they must win. But he did as it may.
(31:24):
Kyler is the engine that makes that team run, and
I do believe that he will have his opportunities tomorrow
and that should spark that that Arizona offense. And you
know he could break one run for thirty six yards,
so it sounds like another really strong play uh by Sleepy. Alright,
(31:45):
Fez and I just uh debate, Well, we didn't really
have a debate. Uh. He has Actually the Buffalo Bills
minus two is his best bet tomorrow and I can't
lie and then I rarely go against Fez, but I
have elected to get on the other side. I've got
Pittsburgh plus two and it's one of three what I
(32:06):
call recency bias games, and that we always have a
tendency human beings to overreact to what we saw last.
And what did we see last? Buffalo was outstanding and
Josh Allen completely picked apart Robert Sally's defense and a
very good forty Niners team. So now they head back
(32:29):
home and they're in the catbird seat to win that
division and perhaps make a playoff run. Here's a couple
of things, though not so fast. My friend is Lee
Corso might say number one, uh Pittsburgh as a dog
nine and five in the last three years, and Mike
Tomlin as a dog in his last twenty seventeen and five.
(32:54):
So I think Pittsburgh getting points here is one reason
I look at him. Defense of Lee. Their number one
in sacks, their number one in takeaways, and number one
points allowed. And the last time a team had accomplished
those things into December, all three were the five Bears.
So I believe Pittsburgh defense tomorrow is going to rise
(33:19):
to the occasion. We'll see. But Buffalo's defense, and this
is part of the mix here, he's not particularly stellar.
They're allowing almost twenty six points a game, that's good
enough to rank eighteenth in the NFL. They're allowing just
under three yards per game, that's twenty one ranked in
the NFL. And they're allowing five and a half check
that five point nine yards per play. That's twenty three
(33:42):
in the NFL. Add it all up. I have a
I just have a feeling here. The pedigree that the
Steelers bring into this game. He's going to be on display.
And I know they've played. This is your third game
in twelve days. I'm tired of hearing it. We don't
know how tired they're really gonna be. Let's see what happens.
And someone even said to me the other day, well,
it's that's a good loss. Now there's no more pressure
(34:04):
having to do with, you know, going undefeated. No, they
don't look at it that way. There's a such thing
is a good loss. It's like a good kidney stone.
You don't want one of those either. So we'll see.
Only one of us can be right. And uh, I'm
looking forward to watching the game. I've got Pittsburgh plus
two tomorrow at Buffalo the other game and sleep. He
just talked about this Arizona laying too at the New
(34:26):
York Giants again, recency bias. The Cardinals were held to
two hundred and thirty two totally yards last week. Meanwhile,
the Giants given a lot of credit to Joe Judge
and what they've done there and Daniel Jones is back
tomorrow without se Kwan Barkley. They've run seven straight games.
They've had over a hundred yards rushing. Be there as
(34:48):
it may, there's a serious statistics. I'm not going to
boy you with I like the Arizona Cardinals minus two
tomorrow over the New York Giants game we played in
New York, the other recency bias game. The forty are
home against the Washington football team. This is the third
straight road game for the Washington football team Niners. Last
(35:10):
week they look terrible against Buffalo. Their defense got ripped
for thirty four yards three or four points yards. They
lost by ten to the Bills. Again, this is Washington's
third straight road game, and they have looked good. They've
You've got to really appreciate and respect their physical latitude
(35:31):
and what an incredible job around Revere has done. And
the same can be said for Alex Smith. If he's
not the comeback Player of the Year, then they should
just get rid of the award. But there's one thing
here that I call the clincher, and this trend is
ten and oh. In the last ten years, you play
against any team who was a dog the week before,
(35:51):
went out right and covered the spread by fourteen points
or more. The following week, you fade them, and that's
the Washington football team who's heading into San Francisco for
their third straight road game again another recency bias. Game
did not look good last week, and the Washington football
team looked very good. So those are three games there.
(36:14):
We'll see what happens. Obviously, people are very influenced by
what they saw last But in the National Football League,
every given Sundays like its own snowflake coin flip. They're
all different and when they kicked the game off, anything
can happen. Coming up, you know him, you love him,
McKenley without him, macing on sports, Mackenzie rivers he's gonna
(36:35):
have a Super Bowl prediction and I'll grill him. But
as usual, he'll probably have some very good statistics to
back up his prediction. What does it mean when Geico
says just fifteen minutes could save you or more on
car insurance means you probably should have gone to Geico
dot com fifteen minutes ago. I'm Bernie Fratto Comedy Alive
(36:57):
from the Getico Fox Sports Radio Studios. This is the
pregame show you always wanted, So don't go away. You're
listening to straight out of Vegas, one of the best
in the business, Bernie Fratto. I'm John Gonzalez, the host
of Sports Illustrated Weekly. Sports Illustrated has delivered the best
(37:18):
storytelling in sports for seventy years, first in the pages
of the magazine, then on SI dot com, and now
that tradition continues on a new podcast. Each week, we'll
dive deep into the best stories from around the sports world.
We'll ask the questions that we're all wondering and push
for the answers we all want. Everything from investigating the
(37:38):
Super Bowl's impact on l A to examining white booing
is as big a part of the fan experience as cheering.
Sports Illustrated Weekly is here to bring you the entertaining
tales you can't get anywhere else, the kinds of stories
that make you smile and laugh, clap and cry, marvel, think,
and fall in love with sports all over again. Sports
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illuish Trader Weekly is available every Wednesday on the I
Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Subscribe now look to your children's eyes to see the
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You look and see a tree. They see the wrinkled
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(38:44):
We are back on straight out of Vegas, the pregame
show you always wanted. I'm Bernie Freddo coming to you
alive from the Geco Fox Sports Radio Studios. Before I
go any further, I want to thank my broadcast team
back in Los Angeles. Every day is like Christmas. Working
with these guys who do very good Chris Perfett, Eric
Roberts and Brian the Silver Tongue Devil Finley. All right,
(39:05):
you know what we love mccamley without um. Time for
macin on Sports from McKenzie Rivers and let's just dive
right in. Don't bury the lead. Tonight's segment has to
do with your prediction of who will win Super Bowl.
It's not just my prediction It's our Super Bowl fifty
five champion, introducing ladies and gentlemen. It is the New York,
(39:28):
the New Orleans Saints, the Louisiana Boys. They're gonna do it.
The last dance of Drew Brees. That's been the story
of the year since May. It's been it was the
story of the summer. Drew Brees is you know, controversial statements.
It's gonna end in February with Sean Payton and Drew
Brees having a second smile, a legacy defining second Super
(39:49):
Bowl champion. I was just I was watching that Florida
LSU game. What a game, and it just came to
me and I'm convinced of it. I will be laying
plus six hundred down tonight, super Wolves champions. All right,
let's unpack this for just a second, because I'm not
necessarily going to see it wrong. We're an agreement on
one thing, and that is the Chiefs aren't going to repeat.
(40:09):
I mean, I've got I've got Pittsburgh, but this is
your segments, so let's deal with you. One of the
things that causes me to raise a bit of a
flag is that hot house teams, dome teams. I call
them hothouse teams don't win super Bowl championships, especially they
have to go on the road during the playoffs, so
(40:30):
this is critical. Well, the Saints finished the regular season
in a way to where they don't have to leave
the friendly confines. Well, let's look at the odds, Bernie
chance right now on NFL eight that they're going to
have the number one seed. The only time they'll have
to leave is to go down to Tampa Bay, where
they've actually played many times. Will be pretty familiar when
that super Bowl super Bowl curs in Tampa Bay this February.
(40:52):
But Bernie, they're gonna they're gonna win tomorrow. They're gonna
beat Philadelphia. Hold that. Hold that thoughts. So you've got Philly,
I'm giving you that. That's your eleventh win. Then you've
got Kansas City in Minnesota home, and you finished the
season at Carolina. Kansas City is a lost. Drew Brees
will be just working his way back in. That's okay,
we'll take that one. That's a loss. What was the
next one? Minnesota? Minnesota, that's gonna be a tough Minnesota
(41:17):
always once the games they're not supposed to and Kirk
Cousins actually, if you look at the advanced metrics, has
been one of the best quarterbacks in the league. What
time is that game, because if that's a one o'clock
start time, Kirk Cousins might win that one. Okay, I'm
gonna say we we edge that one the same. Let's
just say for giggles they go to and two down
just just okay, just for purpose. At that point, they'll
be the only team that could catch him as the Packers.
(41:39):
And Packers have have a few uh lined up that
will be making a little difficult. But when when they
win tomorrow, there's chance three fourths to have three straight
games in the Dome, and actually, Bernie will be the
only team with only three three games to win the
Super Bowl. The number one seed is so vital this
year with all these great NFC teams, the Rams, the Packers,
(42:01):
they're right there in the mix. Having to skip that
game is gonna be huge for the Saints. Alright, So
I only think there are four teams. I think there
are five teams in the NFC. You one is the Saints.
So let's uh, let's go down the list. Real quite interesting.
I have four written down here. Let's see which one well, Okay,
so I'll tell you what. Let's start with Tampa Bay.
Give me a reason that Tampa Bay can win the
(42:22):
Super Bowl and the reason they won't. No man walking
the Earth has six Super Bowl rings as a player,
besides Tom Brady. That's one reason why he could add
a seventh. Why not? Offensively? I just think they're too predictable.
If they're doing great, they can run. But if the
things get bad, they haven't been able to run through adversity.
It seems like they're either clicking or completely bogged down
(42:42):
on offense. All right, let's go to the Rams. The
Rams were recently in the Super Bowl. They cleaned the
little house straight and some things. Sean Sean McVeigh went
out and hired himself a new defensive coordinator. Is making
a huge difference. Tell me why the Rams can win
the Super Bowl, but why they won't. You just nailed it,
Brandon's Daley is is is turning some heads with this defense,
maybe the best in the league. Why they won't one
(43:04):
turnover at least in every single game this season. That's
the kind of thing that gets you in trouble in
the February and January. Interesting, Alright, Look the Seattle Seahawks, frankly,
I think are a long shot. But anytime you've got
Russell Wilson, you can't write them off. And in the
last four games, Seattle seems to a found their defense. Yes,
(43:25):
Jamal Adams is about to set the record for sacks
by a defensive back. Pretty impressive stuff. And Dunlap, speaking
of that, Sound actually has been getting a couple of
sacks themselves, so they're they're trending in the right direction.
That is one reason why they can win the Super Bowl.
But the defense is still one of the worst in
the league. It's hard to do that. Four games in
around well they were, they were, But Mackenzie I talked
(43:47):
about this earlier in the show. The first d eight games,
Seattle was allowing thirty points a game, the last four
and only nineteen. First eight games four in sixty yards
per game, last four only three ten just under five
yards to play it before six and a half. But
let's skip to the real team that could be a
flying dejohite man, and I think that's green Bay. And
I think if the Saints have to go to green Bay,
(44:07):
that's gonna be a real problem. With that slippery grass.
It will be tough. That's why it will be critical
to see who gets the number one seed. And a
large part of my handicap why I think this is
a good bad at plus six hundred is I see
the Saints getting that number one seed and being able
to say, hey, Aaron Rodgers, come back down to New
Orleans and play us a second time and see if
you can beat us again, you know, real quickly before
we run out of time. Because Breeze will come back
(44:28):
like forty eight broken ribs. I guess you we're just
going to assume he'll be healthy. But this isn't the
first time a quarterback starter has gone down, taking a hiatus,
come back and lead their team to the Super Bowl.
Bubby Brister had to fill in for John Elways for
four games with a hamstring injury. Two thousand fifteen, Peyton
Manning the ost the Ostrich had to fill in for
(44:49):
seven games in the regular season. That rest helps Peyton
Manning somehow get over the hump and win that Super Bowl.
Two thousand sixteen, Tom Brady suspended four games for conspiracy
to commit espionage or whatever they say it. He came
back and had that extra gas to get the Super
Bowl done. Even Patrick Mahomes miss four games last year.
I don't think missing this time will help will hurt
(45:09):
Drew Brees. I think it will help him. I think
it gets it done for the second time in his career.
All right, there you have it. We'll see if Mackenzie's right.
This should be fun to watch. We're in agreement. I
don't think Kansas City is going to repeat, and that
means maybe the Saints, maybe the Steelers. My team. We'll
we'll be watching it. It's gonna do it for This
week's edition is straight out of Vegas. I'm burning fratto.
Next up, it's demand from Nashville. Who brings it strong.
(45:31):
It's time for the Jason Martin Show. Keep it locked.
Look for your children's eyes and you will discover the
true magic of a forest. Find a forest near you
and start exploring it. Discover the forest dot Org. Brought
to you by the United States Forest Service and the
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ad Council. Adoption of teams from foster care is a
topic not enough people know about, and we're here to
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