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November 5, 2024 34 mins
Guest: Traci Park American attorney and politician, in LA City Councilmember for the 11th district since 2022. Tim and Mo go through the different states and their winnings. Guest: Elex Michaelson On the polls and the predications. Tim Conway passes the show to MoKelly for more coverage on the 2024 Elections 
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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
It's camp I am six and you're listening to the
Conway Show on demand on the iHeartRadio apps. All right,
we have a LA City Council member, Tracy Parks, is
with us representing mostly I think, if I'm not mistaken,
the eleventh district is a lot of the western southwestern

(00:21):
part of the city.

Speaker 2 (00:22):
Is that correct, Tracy?

Speaker 3 (00:25):
That's right, everything west of the four or five south
of mill Holland down to down to the lax.

Speaker 2 (00:32):
All right, that's huge, that's huge.

Speaker 3 (00:34):
Huge.

Speaker 1 (00:35):
Is there any way that we can get Santa Monica back?

Speaker 3 (00:40):
You know, I tell folks in Santa Monica all the time.
You know, I surround you on three sides. You are
my constituents, and I'm really lucky to have a great
relationship with Santa Monica.

Speaker 2 (00:51):
Oh that is great. Where do you see some of
the measures Measure A and Measure G.

Speaker 3 (00:55):
Going interesting questions? So Measure A basically repeals and replaces
County Measure H, which was a quarter cent sales tax
to raise money for homeless services. And here we are,

(01:18):
all of these years later, the mental health and addiction
crisis on the streets in Los Angeles is worse than
it has ever been. And this Measure A would replace
and repeal that by making the sales tax permanent and
doubling it from a quarter cent to a half cent.

(01:40):
So the question here really is our voters, who historically
in La County have been very generous when it comes
to taxing themselves to address the homeless crisis, are they
going to do it again here? And I think this
is going to be a very close call. I've spoken

(02:00):
to a lot of folks about this one, and what
I consistently here is a high level of frustration with
the lack of accountability, the lack of transparency, and overall
the lack of success that we have seen so far.
I think Prop One on the March ballot was a
good test run for this in terms of what the

(02:23):
mood of voters is. That's squeaked by I don't know,
fifty point one percent to forty nine point nine and
I think Measure A is going to face even maybe
a more difficult hurdle here in La counter County. Voters
are fed up.

Speaker 2 (02:40):
Yeah, I think right.

Speaker 1 (02:40):
And I love how honest you are about it, because
you have seen your share of homeless problems in your district.
Because look, if you're homeless. If you know, you have
two choices, stay downtown LA or go to the beach.

Speaker 2 (02:54):
Everyone goes to the beach.

Speaker 3 (02:56):
Well, and that's right, And it's the literal end of
the law as well as a regional gateway. And you know, frankly,
we have been so successful with our efforts to clean
up the West side of Los Angeles that, frankly, the
folks who are left on the streets are folks that
are either too unwell or addicted to say yes when

(03:20):
hope and services are offered, or they just don't want
to go. And so you know, the funding that deals
with the mental health and the addiction issues is really important.
The policy maker in me says yes, the taxpayer in
me says no, okay.

Speaker 1 (03:38):
And I think you're exactly you know, if you take
off your city council head, I think you're exactly up
on page with every taxpayer in the city of Los Angeles.

Speaker 2 (03:49):
When is enough enough? All right?

Speaker 1 (03:50):
So we'll see how those do tonight. And then what
about the DA's race. Where do you see that?

Speaker 3 (03:56):
I think Nathan Hafkman is going to prevail in every
corner of Los Angeles. I speak to victims of crime
every day, I hear from businesses who are sick and
tired of being broken into I represent constituents who have

(04:16):
been the victims and are loved ones of violent crimes,
and they are sick and tired of the lawlessness, the chaos,
George Gascon's failed social experiment, and they are hungry for
a district attorney who is going to start holding criminals

(04:38):
accountable again. I predict that he is going to win
county wide in every community. I think this is just
going to be a landslide tonight, and I think it
sends a message to elected leaders in Los Angeles that
they need to start getting serious about public safety.

Speaker 2 (04:59):
Now.

Speaker 3 (04:59):
Whether they're going to hear that message or not remains
to be seen, but I think Nathan Hawkman is one
step in the right direction. I am also really excited
about Prop thirty six, which is an effort to reform
Prop forty seven, one of Gascon's epic failures here in
the state of California that has led to the rampant

(05:22):
addiction and retail theft crisis, because there are no longer
any consequences for those kinds of crimes or mandates for
people involved in drug related crimes. To get treatment at
thirty six fixes that and opens up those pathways to
care and accountability.

Speaker 1 (05:43):
Thank you, right, Tracy, I know it's a busy night, fear.
We really appreciate you coming on. Are you heading over
to the any either of the DA's celebrations tonight.

Speaker 2 (05:54):
I will be.

Speaker 3 (05:55):
I'm looking forward to celebrating with our next district Attorney,
Nathan Hawkman.

Speaker 2 (05:59):
Thanks all nice being over the phone, and hopefully we'll
talk again soon.

Speaker 3 (06:03):
All right, have a good night, guys.

Speaker 2 (06:04):
Thank you.

Speaker 1 (06:05):
Tracy Park the eleventh City, eleventh Council district, which is
again mostly the beach, with the exception of Santa Monica.
She got the venez and all the way down down
the coast, all the way up to the four or five.
Mo Kelly, keep an eye on which race here.

Speaker 4 (06:22):
I'm looking at it just big picture, and it's just
not trending well for the Vice President Kamala Harris. If
you look at just about all the states, she is
either behind or not necessarily in a good enough position
to overtake Donald Trump in the competitive states. Looking at
Fox News, they've already called Ohio four Donald Trump.

Speaker 2 (06:45):
So at this point there's a very very narrow.

Speaker 4 (06:48):
Path to victory without getting into all the specifics for
Kamala Harris, if she loses Georgia and North Carolina, that
pretty much would be it. And if that were to happen, feasibly,
they could call the election tonight. Sees if that were
to happen. But it's going to get a little bit
closer because of course you'll have California, maybe Oregon, and

(07:11):
that will make it closer. But you just have to
look at each individual state as far as which one
that Harris could flip to get back the states that
she would need from the Joe Biden electoral map.

Speaker 2 (07:24):
Right and I'm looking this is remarkable.

Speaker 1 (07:26):
I'm looking at Arizona right now at thirty six percent
reporting six hundred and thirty nine thousand to six hundred
and thirty nine thousand and change. That couldn't be any closer. Again,
we don't know whether now it just changed with thirty
eight percent. All right, so we're gonna have Arizona. We'll
have numbers for you from Arizona, New Mexico, Oregon as well,

(07:47):
Oregon with one percent reporting, so it's not even worth
mentioning the numbers there. Colorado has turned bright blue and
has been called in on every news station, every cable
state for Kamala Harris, but is surrounded by red states,
you know, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Wyoming, and Utah. And

(08:10):
so we'll continue here to figure out this thing. I'll
be here till eight mo. Kelly will take it to
at least eleven o'clock. Maybe they'll let be a winner tonight.
Maybe there won't be, but Ricky and I on the again.
The overall the totals, the national totals right now forty
six percent for Kamala Harris and fifty two percent for
Donald Trump. Google has it at one oh nine for Harris,

(08:32):
one ninety eight for Donald Trump. And so Donald Trump
really literally needs seventy two more electoral College votes and
he is the next president of the United States.

Speaker 5 (08:43):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
AM six forty.

Speaker 2 (08:49):
All right, keep an eye on the election.

Speaker 1 (08:51):
It is going about the way that everybody predicted it.
Everything is way too close to call. You're gonna California
close here. They're going to close up and halt the
vote in about forty minutes, and then you're gonna see
fifty four electoral votes go towards Kamala Harris. That's gonna

(09:12):
get her much closer than she is now. Donald Trump
one according to CNM one seventy eight to ninety one,
according to Fox Trump two oh five to Harris one
point seventeen, and according to Google one ninety eight for
Trump one oh nine for Harris. Uh, what states mode?

(09:34):
I mean she has to win Pennsylvania. Then has to
win Pennsylvania. In the last update that I saw that
she fell behind there. And also when I was doing
Spectrum this morning, I was saying I was also watching
the Senate races because that's a statewide race and will
give you a sense of how people generally feel about
the party. And saw the Senate Bob Casey, the Democratic senator,

(09:58):
is falling behind in Pennsylvania, which says that the Democrats
have a problem nationally, have a problem in Pennsylvania, which
pretends that there's probably going to be a bad night
for them coast to coast. Doesn't mean that necessarily, but
it's a bad sign for them before we get to

(10:18):
see Gregory, you think, really the big last hope is
to hold is to flip Congress.

Speaker 4 (10:26):
Then, yeah, that was about the only thing they really
could have had the best shot at Yeah, you want
to win the Oval office, but you definitely want to
win the Senate. And the map did not look well
for Democrats because there are more defending seats than having
the opportunity to flip them.

Speaker 2 (10:41):
If you're defending, all you can do is keep the
status quo.

Speaker 4 (10:43):
At best, they were never going to win West Virginia
because Joe Manchin had left. They probably weren't going to
win Montana because John Tester was running so far behind
his opponent. So the odds of keeping the Senate were
slimming none. But if you look at how the the
races are going for the Democrats in the Senate, it
gives you the sense that nationally the Democrats are not

(11:06):
going to do well and that can impact what happens
in the House.

Speaker 1 (11:10):
I see, all right, let's talk to Steve Gregory. He's
out keep an eye on the DA's race. Steve Gregory,
you're on KFI. How you bobb well?

Speaker 6 (11:18):
How are you this evening?

Speaker 2 (11:19):
I'm doing excellent. Thank you for being so formal, young man.

Speaker 6 (11:23):
Right, it's good to be here, it's good to be
with your show.

Speaker 2 (11:25):
Give us a.

Speaker 1 (11:26):
Scene setter, what do you say what's happening out there?
Are the seven hundred and fifty people mobbing the place.

Speaker 6 (11:32):
Yet the doors don't open till eight, so we're still yeah, exactly,
so we're still in sort of prep mode here. People
are scurrying about and we've got you know, more workers
coming in, and catering's being set up now and the
food's being placed out on the tables.

Speaker 2 (11:48):
The booze is out ready to get a free booze.
Free free food.

Speaker 6 (11:51):
Yep, free food. Look at him. Not a mystery while
you're out there. No, I actually had to order my food.

Speaker 2 (12:01):
They had.

Speaker 6 (12:01):
I had to do uber Eats for my dinner tonight.
So yeah, no, there's no food for us. And it's
funny the way we're situated here. We're in this long
courtyard right at the intersection of Crescent Drive and just
off of Little Santa Monica, and this beautiful, long, narrow
courtyard has got you these fountains in the middle, and

(12:22):
then it's got these flaming torches on the side, you
know those space he's outdoor heaters all lined on the
outside edges, and then these all these tables with these
like decorative centerpieces and whatnot, and they're anticipating up to
seven hundred and seven hundred and fifty people here. They've
even got a honey wagon across the street for those
that don't know that, that's Porta Potti's and a nice,

(12:42):
nice clean trailer like they use on movie sets. So
they're expecting quite a crowd here and a lot of
drinkers apparently.

Speaker 1 (12:49):
And what is hawk but expected to show up? Is
he going to be their exact day? Eight o'clock.

Speaker 6 (12:53):
We had a chance to speak with him a little
after four o'clock this afternoon some of the audio I've
been playing on KMFI news, but they said he will
probably address the crowd some time between nine and nine thirty.
So I don't are you there then? If not, mo
I didn't know, Yeah live or night? Yeah, so mo I,
you know I'll be here for that and then if

(13:13):
you want to bring that live, I can. I can
take it to you live on a clean feet on
this end, so if you want to do that. But yeah,
so it's it'll be interesting to see. They've got monitors
set up here now, television monitors, so we we're going
to watch results as they come in when they put
up the feed, and then we should have a pretty
good sense where things are at.

Speaker 2 (13:30):
By nine excellent. And how many election nights has this
been for you at KFI?

Speaker 6 (13:36):
At KFI probably a dozen to fifteen?

Speaker 2 (13:42):
Wow, Yeah, you.

Speaker 6 (13:44):
Know, between the presidential ones and the local ones. Yeah,
but in my career it's a few hundred least.

Speaker 2 (13:51):
That's why you're here at KFI. By Are you the best?

Speaker 6 (13:53):
Yeah, it's just that they couldn't get anywhere else to
work late.

Speaker 1 (13:56):
At night, and the free food and free drinks were Yeah.

Speaker 6 (14:03):
I get a partaken out, especially when you know sharing,
when I get a text, can you come on?

Speaker 2 (14:07):
And it's like, I'm just getting a burger and a barrier.

Speaker 1 (14:10):
I'm just eating, but you ate an hour? Yeah I know,
but I'm eating again, but you.

Speaker 2 (14:14):
Ate two hours. It's free.

Speaker 1 (14:16):
Yeah, all right, buddy, I will be listening to it
nine nine thirty when Hawkman speaks.

Speaker 2 (14:20):
Okay, guys, all right, thanks man.

Speaker 1 (14:22):
All right, there he goes Steve Gregory out there in
Beverly Hills and the DA's race. I've never seen a
state react so quickly and in such big numbers to crime.
With proposition thirty six and now the possible DA in
Los Angeles being thrown out.

Speaker 4 (14:41):
I try to tell people all the time, all politics
is local, all economies are local, and all crime is local.
It's about how you feel. What I mean by that is,
if you don't have a job, be damned. Whatever the
rest of the country is, or what the unemployment numbers are,
your economy is bad. Right, and people vote emotionally. I

(15:02):
don't say that's wrong. I'm just saying that's the motivation.
If you feel the economy, you're going to vote regarding
the economy. We feel the crime, We're going to vote
accordingly and be at the DA, be at propositions, be
at law enforcement.

Speaker 2 (15:18):
And you're seeing that play out, I think you're right.

Speaker 1 (15:20):
We live my wife and I and my daughter. We
live on an alley. Our house backs up to an
alley in Burbank, and three four years ago I would
go out to the alley, you know, take the trash out,
or pick up trash or whatever, just walk you know,
into seven eleven down that alley. Never ever, for a
second felt like I was going to get jumped or
you know, the homeless guy you know's going to come

(15:41):
out and yell at me.

Speaker 2 (15:42):
Now, I don't walk in that alley at night, and.

Speaker 4 (15:44):
This is what I think elected officials intentionally deceived us.
You'll see an elected official and both parties do it.
But I'm saying when you talk about California's Democrats, we'll say, well,
crime is down. Yes, statistically, crime may be down, but
it's different. Necessarily have to worry about someone just walking
into a store and ran secting the place. You didn't

(16:05):
have to worry about someone walking down the street and
beating up someone who's elderly. You didn't have to worry
about the homeless person on the corner who may have
cost you, or you didn't have to worry about someone
who's going to get out the car and try to
take you or your dog. It's a different type of crime,
and all of us can feel it right.

Speaker 2 (16:22):
Where we are.

Speaker 1 (16:23):
And the one thing that didn't exist, or if it did,
it was a very infrequent level, is these street takeovers too.
They're now every single night, but it's also connected.

Speaker 4 (16:35):
You have the street takeover and it may turn into
a robbery of a seven eleven, right, yeah, exactly.

Speaker 2 (16:40):
So they're not.

Speaker 4 (16:41):
Discreet as in separated incidents, they are tied together.

Speaker 2 (16:45):
We are going to continue to give your numbers here.

Speaker 1 (16:48):
Let me give you the latest here with Google Donald
Trump one ninety eight, Kamala Harris one twelve, CNN has
it a little closer, Kamala Harris ninety one, Donald Trump
won ninety five, and Fox has it at two oho
five Donald Trump Kamala Harris one seventeen.

Speaker 2 (17:06):
So we'll have all the numbers for you here. They'll
continue to come in.

Speaker 1 (17:09):
Polls close at eight o'clock and we'll have a lot
more information for you around the eight o'clock hour.

Speaker 5 (17:14):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
AM six forty.

Speaker 1 (17:20):
We have some more numbers in for you here and
Moe Kelly's keep an eye on all of them. He
does politics better than I think anybody here at the station.

Speaker 4 (17:29):
And what do you see well, I mean, at this point,
we're having the Midwestern states which are being called, and
not surprisingly, most of them are going to go to
Donald Trump as they did go to Donald Trump in
twenty twenty and twenty sixteen. Like Fox News is calling
Montana four electoral College votes, ut North Dakota three, Utah six.

Speaker 2 (17:53):
That's not surprising anyone.

Speaker 4 (17:54):
So that doesn't change the complexion of the race, but
it's one less or two fewer opportunities for Kamala Harris
to change the trajectory of this race.

Speaker 2 (18:06):
That's the presidential As far as the.

Speaker 4 (18:08):
Senate goes, it's looking more and more like the Republicans
are going to not only take control of the Senate
but have some seats to work with, which is real
important when you're talking about if it becomes forty seventh
President Donald Trump, when you have control of the Senate,
just to go civics for a moment, you can then

(18:28):
get through all of your appointments. You can get through
your federal judges, you can get your Supreme Court justices through.

Speaker 2 (18:34):
If there are any openings which should open up.

Speaker 4 (18:37):
You can get through a lot of the things that you,
as a president would want to get through.

Speaker 2 (18:42):
Legislation, Yes, you need both houses of Congress.

Speaker 4 (18:45):
But as far as appointments go, like your cabinet or
Attorney General something like that, you want the Senate.

Speaker 2 (18:51):
Excellent, all right.

Speaker 1 (18:53):
Alex Michaelson is with us from Fox eleven News, taking
a break from giving out numbers on Channel eleven, and
he joins us, Alex, how you.

Speaker 7 (19:02):
Bub being dong with you?

Speaker 2 (19:04):
What do you hear?

Speaker 1 (19:05):
You have a lot of resources I know you're you're
close with a lot of politicians on both sides.

Speaker 2 (19:10):
What's the word out there?

Speaker 7 (19:14):
Well, I think if you, if you you'd rather be
Donald Trump than became La Harris. Right now, he has
it looks like more paths to win. It looks like
he's going to win North Carolina and has a real
good shot at winning Georgia. And so this is all
going to come down to the blue Wall of Pennsylvania, Michigan,

(19:35):
and Wisconsin. And you know, if Donald Trump wins any
one of them, he's probably the president. He didn't even
have to win necessarily Pennsylvania, where right now he's ahead slightly,
although all of these races are really really close, but
you don't see an overwhelming rejection of trump Ism. You see,

(19:55):
basically the country is very eavenly split.

Speaker 1 (19:58):
You know, we had Tracy park on from La City
Council and if I didn't know that it was twenty
twenty four, I would have thought it's nineteen seventy four,
because even the La City Council members have gotten the
message that crime has got to stop in La.

Speaker 7 (20:19):
Well she has, well.

Speaker 1 (20:21):
She has, but is so is the people voting for
DA and so are the people who are are rejecting
the f the police comments too.

Speaker 7 (20:30):
But there is but there is still a significant number
of Democratic Socialists on the La City Council who do
not have very positive viewing views of the LAPD or
policing itself. Tracy Park is on one side of the
La City Council, but there is a not insignificant other

(20:50):
movement on that council as well.

Speaker 1 (20:52):
Yeah, I get that, but I think that the louder
voices are the people who are coming out and saying
we've had an out.

Speaker 2 (21:01):
Yeah.

Speaker 7 (21:01):
I think that the overwhelming message, most likely from the
California numbers, which we haven't gotten yet, but if they're
in line with the polls in which I expect that
they will be, is basically saying that the city is
sick of homelessness, sick of taxation, and sick of crime.
And even though many of them will be willing to
vote for Democratic people, many of whom created those policies,

(21:26):
if it's just a question on the policies themselves, they're
willing to vote against them, and that the pendulum is
swung in a dramatic way on issues of homelessness and
crime because a lot of Democrats moderate Democrats are simply
set up. Tracy Park used that feeling to defeat Mike
Bonnan in her race for La City Council, and she

(21:47):
brought together a coalition of people who felt that way
and has governed that way. But we'll see, you know,
going forward, if there are other members of that council
that potentially lose their jobs in the years ahead because
of that feeling.

Speaker 2 (22:00):
And it's also remarkable.

Speaker 1 (22:01):
I'm sure you read this story because you have your
finger on the pulse of what's going on here, not
only nationally, but state and locally, county and city. It's
remarkable that, you know, the Jim McDonald is going to
be the next chief of the La Police Department, has
asked for what looks like a three hundred and fifty
thousand dollars raise over the previous.

Speaker 7 (22:20):
Chief and they're willing to give it to them.

Speaker 2 (22:25):
Yes, that's remarkable, pretty wild. I mean the city council.

Speaker 1 (22:29):
You know, he has to go to that city council
to justify and ask for that kind of money. And
three members on that board are in the f f
the police.

Speaker 7 (22:37):
Crew, and Jim McDonald will be making more money than
the President of the United States.

Speaker 2 (22:43):
That's right.

Speaker 1 (22:43):
Yeah, a lot more like one hundred and fifty thousand
dollars a.

Speaker 7 (22:47):
Year more, which is pretty extraordinary.

Speaker 1 (22:50):
But still, and I know you're going to laugh and
deny this much less than what you make.

Speaker 7 (22:57):
Life. I wish that was true, that was true, but
that was a different that was a different day. Dog
got him of media.

Speaker 1 (23:05):
I guess laugh first, then denial got him both. Buddy,
I appreciate you coming on. You're going over to the
DA's race. You're staying in the anchor chair where it's
nice and warm.

Speaker 7 (23:15):
I will be at the anchor chair tonight. We have
special coverage from ten to eleven thirty with all the
local results coming in. We should have some some real
numbers by then and hope people can check it out.

Speaker 1 (23:24):
Remember it used to be hungry and used to go
out there and cover news.

Speaker 7 (23:27):
I've been out in the field like four times in
the last week. What are you talking?

Speaker 2 (23:32):
You remember that, Alex, the old days, I do.

Speaker 7 (23:35):
I was literally in the field twice two. I know that,
I remember yesterday.

Speaker 1 (23:43):
I appreciate you coming on. Okay, thanks man. I don't
know why he keeps coming on. All we do is
bus is.

Speaker 2 (23:52):
No not we you it's you, not Sharon, not n.

Speaker 4 (24:00):
You.

Speaker 1 (24:03):
Okay, I'll give you that show. But I did ask
him a couple of weeks ago. I said, buddy, where
is your nearest and be honest with me. Where is
your nearest Walmart? And have you ever been there? And
he said, I don't know, and I've not been there.
That's a virtue. If you had an option, would you

(24:25):
go to Walmart? I love Walmart. I'm a big fan.
Where's where's your Walmart? Because the ones okay, they fight
in my Walmart. Okay, my Walmart is a disaster. They fight,
they steal, the woman checking your receipt at the attitude
like a gestapo.

Speaker 2 (24:42):
And I love all of it. I love it.

Speaker 1 (24:45):
And I go to clearance when I get there because
that's if I can buy any cheap crab.

Speaker 4 (24:48):
Oh that's the stuff that's usually on the phone before
on the floor because they never clean.

Speaker 2 (24:52):
Up the place. That's right.

Speaker 1 (24:55):
I'm a big fan, but I do wander out to
other Walmarts because this one's close, it's small, and it's rough.

Speaker 2 (25:01):
You need to go one south of Burbank. Okay, yeah,
it's a rough crowd in Burbank. It's like choose your adventure.

Speaker 1 (25:06):
Yeah exactly, but you know you live out near what
was the original Costco. Yes, the Price Club. It was
a prairie not Prairie, I guess it was on Century
Centric three. Yeah, yeah, And we used to make a
trip from the valley to that Price Club.

Speaker 2 (25:21):
Do you go by there now?

Speaker 4 (25:23):
They usually have a guy who's in the parking lot
who sets up his truck and starts playing drums in
the back of this truck all day, all night with
the speakers and everything like that.

Speaker 2 (25:31):
It's loud as hell, usually.

Speaker 1 (25:33):
On a Sunday, right across from the Hollywood Park Casino.

Speaker 2 (25:36):
Correct, Yeah, good times.

Speaker 1 (25:39):
All right, it's con Mo Kelly. We're keeping eye all
the numbers. The polls closed in California in sixteen minutes,
so we'll have some more numbers for you after that
and we'll come back. We'll give you most keep a
eye on all these states, and we'll give you a
huge overview from thirty six thousand feet of what's going
on with this president.

Speaker 2 (25:59):
Choice.

Speaker 5 (26:00):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from kf
I am six forty.

Speaker 1 (26:05):
You and I come from similar dads. Both of them
loved the racetrack a lot. My dad never had the
conversation with us about quitting work and coming a full
time handicapper.

Speaker 2 (26:17):
Your day, Yeah, you missed out. That was a good time.

Speaker 1 (26:20):
But you know, my dad sort of did it anyway.
He was there three or four days a week.

Speaker 4 (26:25):
The difference is your dad was also very successful in
the entertainment business, and you had something to fall back on.
My father was only a teacher, and he traded being
a teacher for that, so there was no other alternative
form of income.

Speaker 1 (26:39):
So I'm asking you that because gambling has been a
big part of your life, has it been mine?

Speaker 2 (26:44):
Yes? Who would you make a bet on to win
this thing?

Speaker 4 (26:48):
As far as president, yeah, oh, all the signs are
pointing towards Donald Trump.

Speaker 1 (26:53):
That's just a fact. Donald Trump. And if if you
think it's gonna have you think it's gonna happen tonight, tomorrow,
later this week, it could.

Speaker 4 (27:01):
Happen tonight if a couple like if Arizona falls for
Donald Trump, Arizona and Georgia, and let's say Wisconsin, because
those three states will probably be called tonight if Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin,
because Wisconsin will break up the Blue Wall for the Democrats.

Speaker 2 (27:17):
If that happens, they'll call it tonight.

Speaker 1 (27:19):
Well, you know, Arizona is an odd state. You know,
you have Phoenix and Tucson, but you also have the
northern part of that state. I don't remember what the
county's called, but there's a northern part of that state
that's also very blue.

Speaker 2 (27:33):
But it's not a city.

Speaker 1 (27:35):
It's not you know, urban, it's a rural area that
happens to be blue.

Speaker 4 (27:39):
Yes, And Arizona, from what I'm looking at I'm looking
at fox news dot com, it's a dead heat with
fifty percent in and Donald Trump is up like two
thousand votes, which closed there. And that goes back to
what I was saying earlier. If it's like within one
or two percentage points, there'll be a mandatory recount, which
would keep from them calling this date, which could impact

(28:01):
what do they call the race tonight. So there are
still other factors involved as far as whether it would
be called tonight or not. And it could be a
moot point if Harris were to lose Pennsylvania for example.

Speaker 1 (28:13):
Right, but knows what is tightened up in the last
even ten minutes or so five minutes is Georgia Georgia
went from fifty three to forty six, and now it's
at fifty one forty eight, and there's really only a
difference of one hundred and forty one thousand votes, right.

Speaker 2 (28:31):
And that's another state.

Speaker 4 (28:32):
If it falls within I think it's a three percent threshold,
that would be it would trigger a mandatory recount, and
that would delay any type of official projection of a
winner tonight. Those are the things that people will say, like,
why don't they just call it? Well, there's still state
requirements and goes state by state as far as what
triggers the recount.

Speaker 1 (28:52):
Almost all evening, Virginia has been in the Donald Trump
column and now it has flipped into the Kamala Harr column.
And with the thirteen electoral votes seventy three percent reporting,
she's up by nearly sixty thousand votes.

Speaker 4 (29:09):
Yeah, that's probably northern Virginia coming in. And if you
know anything about that area, the dmv DC Maryland Virginia area,
you talked about how DC was so heavily democratic, so
is northern Virginia. Right, So if northern Virginia those returns
are coming in, that would skew Harris's way.

Speaker 1 (29:28):
I have a lot of friends who are Democrats. I
have a lot of friends who are Republicans, and I'm
gonna tomorrow, whoever wins, I'm gonna wake up bummed for
my friends that lost, happy for my friends that won,
but more depressed from my friends that lost, because I
know what losing on a night like this feels like,
and it's it's dreadful, it's horrible.

Speaker 4 (29:48):
Unfortunately, I don't suffer from that problem because I always
have to maintain a degree of dispassionate analysis, even though
the rest of the country looks at this like it's
a it's a.

Speaker 2 (29:57):
Sporting event, like it's a super Bowl.

Speaker 4 (29:59):
So my side has to your site has to lose,
and so I remember what it's like when the Rams
lost the super Bow.

Speaker 2 (30:04):
I was heartbroken.

Speaker 4 (30:05):
And for many people they get heartbroken over a presidential race,
not me, because it's you have to be dispassionate and
almost clinical about it.

Speaker 1 (30:14):
The two positive things if Donald Trump does go on
to win here is you know this will be I
don't know, maybe my fourteenth election or so twelve thirteen,
fourteenth election, and my life has not changed, but maybe
one to one and a half percent, depending on who's

(30:34):
in the White House.

Speaker 4 (30:36):
It depends on your voting preferences and what you are
actually asking for. If you were hanging on the idea
of the reduction in taxes as Donald Trump did in
his first term, that might have helped you in that
short amount of time, depending on how your economic life
may sure filter out. Like for example, during the Great Recession,

(30:57):
Obama helped me with this loan giveness program and harp
and hamp the mortgage programs, which saved a lot of
people's houses. It saved my house. I was about you foreclosure.
So it varies by person. And you know, if you
can point to something that a president did which personally
helps you, God love you.

Speaker 1 (31:15):
But more times than that, no, Yeah, And I think
unless you work for the government or you're in the military.
If you're in the military, it does depend on who's
in the Wealth la Office, absolutely absolutely, But otherwise it
is you know, life is going to go on, that
son's going to come up tomorrow, and people are going
to live their lives, no matter if it's Harris or Trump.

Speaker 4 (31:34):
Well, I try to tell people all the time, what
is happening right here in California with these different measures
and propositions, and if it were a mayoral election, those
results would have far more impact on your day to
day lives than the presidential election. Now, the presidential election
is important because they're going to presumably appoint Supreme Court justices,

(31:56):
which can reshape the nation for the next thirty forty years.

Speaker 2 (31:58):
But as far as your data day life, it's your
local official.

Speaker 1 (32:01):
Yeah, exactly, all right, mo Kelly is taking over here.
Thanks for letting us stay for an hour of your program,
and you'll have it'll be at eleven o'clock. So it's
another three hours, Oh my god, another three hours of
all the numbers coming in. We're gonna have numbers from
Wisconsin that is getting closer to being called with sixty

(32:22):
percent of the vote in. And then in the next
three minutes you're gonna get Idaho, Washington, Oregon, California, and
the most interesting state to me is Nevada. I am
thrilled to see what happens in Nevada. It's been the
toughest one to guess a lot of union members there.
That's where Donald Trump said he is not gonna charge anybody,

(32:44):
and he taxes on overtime and no taxes on tips. Yeah,
tips and overtime and that's where that came from. That
comment came from Nevada. So we'll see in the next
ten minutes how that played with people who live in Nevada. Moe,
we'll see tomorrow. And again thanks for let me hank back.
Always a pleasure, all right. Mo Kelly continues here at

(33:05):
eleven o'clock with Mark Ronner and his whole team, and
we'll have all the results after mo Lee is tonight eleven.
You'll hear him first on the wake Up Call with
Amy King and then with Bill Handle, Gary and Shannon,
and of course you'll probably get an interview with Hawkman
with John Coleblt, because John Coleblt, in his support for

(33:26):
what probably is the new DA, could literally go out
and kill twenty people tonight and the DA would probably
just look the other way. He gave him a wild
amount of support and so he should be very happy
with the results. And there will be coming in in
one minute and twenty eight seconds Conway Show on demand

(33:50):
on the iHeartRadio app. Now you can always hear us
live on kf I Am six forty four to seven
pm Monday through Friday and anytime on demand and on
the iHeartRadio app.

Tim Conway Jr. on Demand News

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