June 17, 2025 • 34 mins
On the Early Edition with Ryan Bridge Full Show Podcast Wednesday 18th of June 2025, the Government's announced a five-year suicide prevention plan, clinical psychologist Dr Helen Buckland tells Ryan Bridge whether the plan will be enough.
Food inflation is up the highest it's been in eighteen months, independent economist Cameron Bagrie shares his thoughts.
New data from 2degrees shows business optimism is at its highest since 2021, Business Central CEO Simon Arcus tells Ryan why businesses are feeling more positive.
Plus UK/Europe Correspondent Gavin Grey has the latest on Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer at the G7 summit.
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Bryan Bridge on
an early edition with ex pole insulation, keeping Kimi Holmes
warm and try this winter News Talks.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
B Good morning, it is Wednesday, the eating to June.
Great to have your company. Just gone six after five.
We've got another plan for suicide prevention out this morning.
And here's a question for you, because everyone says it's
about poverty. I mean, how many of these plans have
we had? Everyone says it's about poverty. So why does
it affect men more than women if it's about poverty?
(00:32):
And why does some countries much poorer than ours get
better results? Gavin Gray in the UK for US this morning,
Donald Trump Iran, Israel will do all of that. Inflation
looks set to go outside of the reserve banks band again,
what does that mean for mortgages and more importantly for
the economy. It's all ahead News Talk SEB the agenda
(00:54):
Israel and around day five, Trump on the plane after
G seven wants a deal better than a CEASPI.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
Without looking first, is far. I didn't say I was
looking first, eas Fir. That was Emanuel. Nice guy, but
he has you get to write you often. But I'm
looking we'll looking for better, Yeah, he.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
Said, a couple of things in the last few minutes.
I'll bring up to d in the second. Meanwhile, Israel
fora minister, see is unfinished business. Operation is far from over.
Speaker 4 (01:21):
First, we cut the hands of the octopus when we
dealt with Hamas and his bola. Now we're dealing with
the head of the octopus. We are dealing with the
most significant threats. And there are the ballistic threats and
the nuclear threats, and those threats are combined with their
allies to the Iranian access.
Speaker 2 (01:43):
Back to the mountains. Seven Canadian Canada's county giving two
billion dollars Canadian dollars for military aid to Ukraine.
Speaker 5 (01:52):
We I need support from our allies and I'm here
and thank you for the military package supported for our
soldiers to be stronger, the battle filth to Stesso out
until Russia will be ready for the best negotiations.
Speaker 2 (02:09):
And finally, this morning, a California doctor accused of giving
Friends star Matthew Perry access to ketamine in the weeks
before his od death. He's agreed to plead guilty in court.
Speaker 1 (02:20):
The first word on the News of the Day early
edition with Ryan bridge and ex Bowl insulation keeping Kiwi
Holmes warm and dry.
Speaker 6 (02:29):
This winter news talks.
Speaker 2 (02:30):
The'd be nine two is the number of text I'd
love to hear from you this morning. So again we're
playing this guessing game with Trump, you know, exactly the
same thing we played game we played with the tariffs.
Is he serious? Is he bluffing on Iran?
Speaker 7 (02:43):
You know?
Speaker 2 (02:43):
Is he bluffing? Is he boisterous to get a deal
across the line to stop the fighting? Turns out he
wasn't bluffing about the tariffs, remember that. But then he
pulled back pretty quickly and started talking. So who knows?
And that's Trump. That's the chaos of Trump, the maniacal
chaos of Trump. We don't know what he thinking. He
doesn't probably know what he's thinking. The idea is that
(03:04):
no one knows what he's thinking, which is quite an
effective strategy in some situations. So the latest on this,
he's meeting with his National Security Council. He says, this
is about the Supreme Leader Iran, Supreme Leader, the Ayah
toler We know where you are, but we won't kill
you dot dot dot for now. Okay, this is what
(03:25):
he's putting on truth social Vance, on the other hand,
he's been hinting that because there's a big problem that
Trump has and Vance is acutely aware of because he
wants to ride on the mega coattails to get into
the presidency. Wants Trump's out of the picture, right. So
Vance comes out and says to the MAGA people, Look,
the president has to do what the president has to do.
(03:47):
It's his decision. But he's sort of hinting that he might.
If he's going to take any action, it would just
be about strikes on the Iranian enrichment program in Iran,
so that would be the limit of it. Anyway, this
mega problem. Taker Cowson highlighted the problem that they don't
basically want another Iraq.
Speaker 3 (04:06):
I don't know what Tucker Carlson is saying. Let him
go get a television network and say it so that
people listening.
Speaker 2 (04:13):
Yes, So Trump's having none of it. Anyway, They don't
want to get boiled down in another conflict in the
Middle East. That is not the magaway, that is not
the America first way, and that is one of the
problems that Trump has when he's trying to deal with this.
So you kind of going, well, maybe he's just all bluster.
Maybe this is all just talk and he's trying to
get some kind of cease fire or some kind of
(04:34):
nuclear deal signed. Eleven after five, you're on news Talk
seid b coming up next. Inflation, according to the ben Z,
is going to head outside of the Reserve Bank's band again.
So what does that mean for mortgages and what does
it mean for the economy? Should we be worried? Cameron
baggeries with us on.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
Your radio and online on iHeartRadio early edition with Ryan
Bridge and x full Insulation, Keeping newly Holmes warm and dry.
Speaker 2 (05:01):
This winter news Talks, there'd be five point thirteen. You're
on news Talk, said be we'll get to the new
suicide plan that the government's announced just before six o'clock
this morning. Also Gavin Gray out of the UK at
about quarter two. Right now, BNZ is predicting inflation to
again creep outside the Reserve Bank's target band, heading three
point one percent annually by September. Comes after food inflation
(05:23):
we had yesterday up to its highest level in eighteen months.
Overall food prices up four point four percent in the
last year, meat, poultry, dairy, keeping those prices high. Your
milk your butter, your cheese. Cameron Baggery economist is with
me this morning. Cameron, Good morning, O, good morning on.
Good to have you on. What do you reckon inflation?
You're going to get out of the band again? Is
(05:44):
that a big deal?
Speaker 7 (05:46):
Well, it's creeping up, But the composition to inflation matters
a little bit more than inflation itself. So what we
keep a pretty close eye is what was called non
trade willflation, which is the mistic inflation. You know, that's
the piece that the Reserve Bank in control. It's elevated,
but it's still being heading south. So we're taking with
a comfort of that. But what we're seeing out there
at the moment is furtesy of high commodity prices, particularly meat,
(06:11):
gary prices, what's called imput inflation or not tradeable inflace
and started to pop back up. And I guess you
can assume what we've got at the moment. I've got
what's going on in the Middle East, as if oil
prices have spiked and yet these or petal prices have
been training down over the past of the six months.
They've been a deflationary force. The last thing we want
is to see the internal inflationary force and start to
(06:34):
push us a little bit more.
Speaker 2 (06:36):
So this I mean, it's it's a take with one
and give with the other, isn't it? The butter and
milk and cheese and stuff, because we pay more for it,
but then we also get more for it through our
primary sector.
Speaker 7 (06:51):
All we're seeing at the moment is a really good
what's called ex foot lead recovery. So we're earning a
way to growth as opposed to spending it, which is
a the sort of growth that you want to see.
You know, I was a few days last week, and
the farmers are pretty cheaper. Why they've got a little
bit of money in their in their back pockets. Of
fortunately in the front and farmers you've got a little
bit of money in their back pockets. You know, we're
(07:11):
going to see a little more food related inflation. So
vegetable prices are up, meat, cheese, your butter is up,
you know, fifty one percent sort of year on year.
So that's good for the farmers, is not necessarily good
for people in the back pocket.
Speaker 2 (07:25):
Meanwhile, if you're a landlord, you've actually got the lowest
increased two point eight percent increase in rent prices, lowest
since January twenty fifteen. I think, and I guess that
adds up when you look at you know, immigration, the
way that's going.
Speaker 7 (07:40):
Yes, if you look at the immigration numbers, or around
twenty one thousand I think was the last three natural
population growth and another twenty thousand, and that's a pretty
low number. You've got core demand in terms of people
bums on seats around forty thousand divided by two point
five rough number of people for houses. Then we need
to be built a little bit south of twenty thousand
(08:01):
houses per year. How many biirty percents were issuing thirty
to thirty five thousand, so there's a lot of stock
up there still to clear. So that just dads up
to a pretty weak mental market out there, which is
good news for for some people.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
Cameron, appreciate your time this morning. Cameron Baggery economists with
me talking about those food prices out yesterday and the
potential for a reserve bank out of band CPI is
sixteen after.
Speaker 6 (08:25):
Five bridge seaking the.
Speaker 2 (08:27):
Dairy prices, we have the global dairy trade auction overnight
one percent up. This is overall up one percent, sorry,
down one percent, which is the third consecutive ox and
it's gone down one point six last time, zero point
nine before that, And we always look at the whole
milk powder. Well it's actually gone down two point one percent,
which is not as bad as the potential five percent
(08:49):
that I was reading about yesterday. They were predicting, so
butter up one point four percent, chedder up five point
one percent, and skim milk powder down two point one percent.
The powders are the ones that we really care about
because that's what we sell the most of seventeen after five,
news Talk said B. Simon arcis coming next on business optimism,
(09:09):
So rather than an actual read, it's how do you
feel in the business world, that's next news.
Speaker 6 (09:15):
And views you trust to start your day.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
It's earliericious with Ryan Bridge at Expole Insulation keeping Kiwi
homes ward and dry this winter, News Talk, said B.
Speaker 6 (09:26):
Five.
Speaker 2 (09:26):
Nineteen on news Talk said B. So markets have been
pretty calm so far. I mean they took a hat
last Friday after the conflict in the Middle East, but
then they recovered on Monday. Everybody's watching the Straight of
All Mars, though narrow stretch of water. This is between
Iran and Aman and twenty million barrels of oil through
their per day, which is significant. That is a quarter
(09:47):
of the world's oil transits through this tiny little strait
every day. And if Iran blocks it, or if there's
a disruption to it, then the price of oil. This
is according to a couple of analysts I was reading
about in the Wall Street Journal this morning, the price
of oil could hit one hundred US dollars a barrow.
It's currently sitting at seventy three.
Speaker 6 (10:09):
Rain Bridge.
Speaker 2 (10:10):
That doesn't happen, then hey right, the sun has come
out from behind the clouds. For business owners, new data
from two degrees shows optimism is at its highest since
twenty twenty one. Forty five percent of business leaders feel
better about their footing than they did a year ago.
Simon Arcus is Business Central CEO with me this morning, Simon,
good morning.
Speaker 8 (10:29):
Good morning you Ryan, How are you very well?
Speaker 2 (10:31):
Thank you? Does this include Wellington businesses?
Speaker 8 (10:34):
Look, it does include Wellington businesses. It's good to see
and really really good to also that businesses feel like
the future is looking brighter.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
Interesting. They also talk about I mean, productivity has been
a bugbear of ours for a long time, but businesses
themselves reporting that they think productivity is trending upwards.
Speaker 8 (10:52):
I think it's a really interesting observation. Ryan. That's partly,
I think, because the reality is that it's been a
big focus of business in the last or one of
course the government is it is driven by raising productivity.
Probably the one thing I'd noted which is really interesting
is this month we had actually contraction in the manufacturing
and the services industry. So there's a piece of data
(11:14):
going the other way as well, which is really interesting too.
Speaker 2 (11:17):
Yeah, how do you marry those things up? I mean,
it is one It is one moment, isn't it.
Speaker 8 (11:21):
It is one month, And I think I think two
things can be true at once, and you can have
optimism often precedes, you know, a good news, and you
can have a little bad news on the way. I
think the reason for that is the businesses they get
they have a sense of what the future is looking like,
so they've got forward orders, they've got all those sorts
of things. So actually, probably isn't the worry that it
might be any other time, So that optimism is a
(11:43):
good thing.
Speaker 2 (11:43):
And no one said it was going to be a straight, safe,
easy flight path out of the quagmire, right, It's always
going to be a little bit bumpy along the way.
Speaker 8 (11:53):
I think bumpy is a great word. I think we're
bumping along the bottom a little bit. There are sort
of haltering momentary things seem to improve and then we
sink back a little bit. But I think it's two
steps forward, one step back. But the general direction and
the two degrees survey seems to confirm this is good
optimistic feelings about the future.
Speaker 2 (12:12):
Appreciate your time this morning, Simon. Great to have you
on the show. Simon Arcis Business Central CEO with us
from Wellington this morning. Twenty two minutes after five, you're
on News Talks. There'd be coming up next the Run
It Straight competition, which people have a problem with. Some
people have a problem with it. Some people run into
each other, they don't have a problem with it. I'm
going to talk to you about that also, if a run.
(12:36):
I'm sorry to keep going on about a run, but
I just find it endlessly fascinating because depending on what
and it's again, it all comes down to Donald Trump,
doesn't it depending on what he does and how far
he goes, and then how far the eye toller strikes back.
Does he hit a US Navy frigate? You know? And
then does the whole thing kick off. But the one
(12:58):
country that stands to in terms of the oil, the
one country that would hurt the most would be China
because everyone's sanctioned Irans and no one's buying the oil
except the Chinese. Because the Trainings love sanctioned oil because
it's cheap, they buy ninety percent of Iran's oil. Iran
produces two percent of global supply, one point seven million
(13:22):
barrels a day of crude oil. All well, basically all
goes to China. That's how you get you know, when
you get something for two dollars on team, when you think,
how the hell do they make it so cheaply? Sanctioned oil?
Simple twenty four after five NEWSTALKSVB.
Speaker 1 (13:36):
The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by NEWSTALKSB.
Speaker 2 (13:43):
News Talks B. It is twenty six minutes half to five.
The moral outrage over run it straight competitions is a
tricky one, isn't it. More and more young men and
then more of them that run at each other head
on and try to knock each other out. As the
injuries piled up, the hand and ringing well cranked into
geed and lots of pearl clutching, lots of horror, lots
(14:04):
that I'm aghast. The reaction from some rugby stars and
sporting legends was a bit more nuanced, for obvious reasons,
because they also run full steam ahead at one another
of a Saturday, with great risk of personal injury and
even death, certainly the chance of broken bones and a
concussion on a rugby field. They do this because A
(14:26):
they enjoy it. B it's often all they've ever known,
and c presumably because it pays well. And that's the
problem of the outrage over run it straight. They had
a guy in the news yesterday who won twenty thousand
dollars in trials held in Auckland. He's now booked on
a spot in a final in Dubai. The money, he says,
(14:46):
these are his words, putting clothes on his kid's back.
He said this, we got to pay off some debts,
stock up the fridges and the cupboards, food for our
little ones. Especially with the economy of the way it
is in New Zealand, nothing's cheap these days. He saw
this as a couple of hours work with a huge payday,
and I happen to think if somebody wants to play
(15:07):
a high risk sport like rugby or UFC or anything
on horses, then good on them to their life. I'm
not here to judge the question for the rest of society,
and this is what our listeners most often email me
about when it comes to run it Straight is acc
To qualify for acc your injury must be the result
(15:29):
of an accident. An accident is basically something you didn't
intend to happen, happening a mistake. Run it straight is
bloody dangerous, but I think ultimately its injuries are accidents.
Like rugby, like horse riding. The system doesn't judge based
(15:53):
on the threat of injury, just whether it's an accidental
one or not. Rich N two is the numbers text
I'd love to hear from you this morning, twenty eight
minutes after five Ryan, we blame every negative statistic on poverty.
I family violence blame poverty. Truancy blame poverty. This is
(16:13):
from one of our listeners. Child abuse blame poverty, retail
theft blame poverty. Then we throw more money at this problem,
We throw more resources at this problem, and the situation
doesn't improve, and we go around and around and around.
The memory go around. I couldn't agree with that sentiment anymore.
It's one problem I have with suicide stats. And we
(16:35):
have a new plan. Guess what the new plan includes?
Crisis cafes. Honestly, if you're going to go and end
your life, are you going to stop off at a
crisis cafe on the way? Is this going to bring
our numbers? I mean, are we joking anyway? Poverty is
getting to blame again. So we'll talk to somebody about
that and maybe are some questions about it before six
(16:57):
News Talk, said Big.
Speaker 1 (17:25):
Ryan Bridge on early edition with expol insulation, keeping Kiwi
Holmes warm and try this winter news talk Zibby Raculum
about it.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
Good morning, twenty four away from six News Talks. It
be it's Wednesday, but really it's Thursday because it's a
short week. This week is very sort of aerobic music.
You've got going here kindsay this is getting you out
of bed. Everybody good to have your company. We're going
to talk to Gavin Gray out of the UK just
for quarter two, just around quarter two six this morning.
(18:03):
We're also going to talk about the government's new plan
to tackle suicide. Just before six Canterbury reigns Supreme if
you're waking up this morning, can tob repet yourself on
the back, feel good about yourself. Asb's regional scoreboard for
quarter one twenty twenty five was out yesterday and you
have taken out the number one spot. Congratulations across the board.
(18:24):
You're impressing the economists, surging consumer confidence, your population growth,
your improvements to your housing market still more affordable there
than it is an Auckland, which is why so many
people are just upping and sticks and leaving and going
to see you. The West Coast number two, Good morning
to the West Coast. Congratulations growth and construction, retail sales,
house values. Your house values are still low by our
(18:48):
national standards, but have been increasing way and above anything else,
probably for that reason. And Otago third your tourism last, Gisbone.
Sorry Gisbin, Wellington, you're fifteen, that's unsurprising. And the rural
urban divide very much on full display. South Island secures
the top four spots once again. Strong commodity prices supporting
(19:12):
rural New Zealand. And then there's weakness in our urban areas.
It has just gone twenty two away from.
Speaker 6 (19:17):
Six Bryant Bridge.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
Our reporters around the country. Here was actually an ironically
different story. Is Culen Proctor and Dnedan Culen, Good morning morning, Ryan.
Speaker 9 (19:26):
I know it's exactly the same. Ah, I'm about to
repeat what you've just said. The ASP's Regional Economic school
Board is out and look, I mean obviously I'm focusing
on Otago on Southland here and like you say, Otago's
third fall into third place. In fact, on this school
board rating the regions based on year on year growth,
Otago had taken the crown for the last two quarters,
(19:46):
but under performing house sales here and slowing construction growth
has impacted Otago's performance this quarter. The positives though here
is still Queenstown's tourism and growth and employment. For Southend
I've slipped four places due to decline a new car ridge,
construction and employment, but south And leads the way still
in house price growth brilliant.
Speaker 2 (20:06):
So yeah, what you're saying is the deep South slipping slightly,
but you guys in the South still doing really well.
How's your winner?
Speaker 9 (20:13):
Not the freezer here, So prepare for potentially more disruptions
at our airport this morning. It's minus four there, but
a fine day ahead and twelve degrees.
Speaker 2 (20:21):
All right, thanks so much for that. Clear in christ
yt take clear Good morning christ to a city council.
You got staff who might not return to their main
office until Christmas.
Speaker 10 (20:30):
Yeah, this was the office that about a month ago,
I think around four hundred staff were evacuated from quite
suddenly when a routine check found that the annex attached
to the side of the building was underperforming in terms
of seismic performance. An engineering report has taken about three
weeks to conduct, and it's found that this building or
(20:52):
the annex on the building, only meets forty percent of
earthquake safety standards. Anything below sixty seven percent is what
we consider a risk. Staff based in that area will
have to continue to work elsewhere while some seismic strengthening
takes place. We've spoken with the mayor Field Major, who
says it is causing some significant disruption, but staff safety
is paramount. He says, look, we're not out of the
(21:13):
woods yet. Design will take a couple of months at least,
then repairs could take up to five He is stressing though,
that Nitahoo, which owns the building, identified these during a
routine inspection and council worked very quickly to ensure that
people were out and that they could take care of
the problem as soon as possible.
Speaker 2 (21:30):
Okay, I'm sure the world's ending that councils staff aren't
in their office working because we know how productive they
can be. How's your WEA, They're.
Speaker 10 (21:36):
Clear, frosty and foggy here once again, should clears are
mostly fine, light to wins and are high of ten.
Speaker 2 (21:43):
Thanks. Have a great day, Max with the good news
in Wellington. Haymax, good morning, Trust and council down. House
prices up?
Speaker 11 (21:52):
Yeah, just quickly on house prices. The region's median price
up one point three percent over the past year now
seven hundred and eighty five thousand, and that's via the
Real Estate Institute. Investors still generally staying away at the moment.
Good for first time by as much the same as
the rest of the country. But let's get to the
bad news, because that's what we love to hear. This
council survey not good. Unsurprising an annual survey eleven hundred
(22:16):
residents only about a quarter trust to actually trust the
Wellington City Council. Right now, spending seen as a big issue.
Cycle ways, the Golden Mile, the younger ones not too bad.
That trust is about fifty percent, but the numbers drop
as you slowly go up the age groups. Homelessness a big,
big issue, and safety safety around the CBD, which goes
(22:36):
along with that. I'm sure it's the police's fault. The
big one that stands out to me. Forty two percent
drop since twenty eighteen in those who think Wellington has
a positive look and a positive feel.
Speaker 2 (22:48):
Okay, interesting, how's you're with it today?
Speaker 11 (22:50):
X should be mainly fine with light winds twelve the
high central.
Speaker 2 (22:54):
Thank you and neighbors and Norkland. Hey, Neva, good morning.
Now this supermarket just down the road. I could smell
the smoke coming in this morning. Yes, be still slightly smoldering.
Speaker 12 (23:03):
Yeah, well there's large blaze. You're quite right at New
World Victoria Park yesterday sent smoke billowing over the central city.
Took about ten hours to extinguish. They've had a fire
crew there overnight just tending to any hotspots and the building.
Speaker 2 (23:18):
Though.
Speaker 12 (23:18):
The good news expected to be handed back today. So
food Stuff's North Island CEO. That's Chris Quinn. He says
that once they clarify the situation, they'll make a plan
with each and every employee. He's also saying that they'll
also decide what to do with the food because they
he'd safe access to the building. I mean, lots of
people saying.
Speaker 4 (23:36):
What are they going to do with the food?
Speaker 1 (23:37):
What are they going to do with the food?
Speaker 12 (23:38):
I thought, God, is that all you can think of?
Speaker 2 (23:40):
The food will be covered in smoke.
Speaker 12 (23:42):
Well, that's right. You don't want to sail, do you so?
Chris Quinn saying, look, there's a lot of water carcinogens
that have gone through the building. So they'd only get
food out to people if it was safe for goodness sake.
Speaker 2 (23:52):
Yeah, all the way. It's pretty m quickly all right, never,
thank you. Has the weather fine?
Speaker 12 (23:57):
We've got areas of morning fog. This morning light wins
fifteen the high.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Here, thank you very much. Eighteen away from sex News
Talk said b Luke has texta program just now, Luke,
good morning. We're talking men's ment. Well, we're talking mental
health before six because there's a new suicide plan out.
He says, why is TRT so hard to get in
this country? I'm assuming that's testosterone replacement therapy. He says.
(24:22):
Women get the HRT patches for menopause since ages ago,
and that's farmac funded, which is true. I've got a
few friends older men who take testosterone boosters because you
lose about one percent of your testosterone after the age
of I think it's about thirty or something, which is
why old men start to look a little bit late women,
(24:43):
you know, or they just lose. You can't build muscle,
can you after a certain day. It was very difficult
to build muscle. So look, I don't know what the
answer is, but it's an interesting question. Seventeen away from
six news talks, said be Gavin Gray in the UK.
Speaker 1 (24:56):
Next international correspondence with ends and insurance peace of mind
for New Zealand business.
Speaker 2 (25:03):
You're on your talks. It is fultain away from sixth
Stammer and the UK expected to wat potent with some
more sanctions today. Gvin Gray is our UK europe correspondent. Gavin,
good morning either an.
Speaker 13 (25:14):
Yeah, we hoped, actually we were going to get the
details before our cross now, but we're still waiting. It's
not been helped by the fact that, of course Donald
Trump has flown back to America, so any likelihood that
America will join the move seems very very unlikely, but
it looks like allies of Ukraine, the UK leading the way,
along with the rest of the G five the other
(25:37):
five nations who are still there, are really hoping that
they're going to be out of nail down sub sanctions
to announce a while still in Canada, Downing Street here
saying the new sanctions package would aim to keep up
pressure quote on the Russian military industrial complex, to squeeze
Russia's energy reserves and reduce the funds they are able
to pour into this illegal war. What does all that mean.
(26:00):
I think it means really that they could reassess the
cap that they are willing to allow to be paid
on Russian crude oil. The G seven agreed a cap
in December twenty twenty two at sixty dollars a barrel,
but falling energy prices have made that pretty useless, frankly,
and much less effective. So the European Commission is suggesting
(26:20):
the cap is reduced to forty five dollars that's US dollars.
Ukraine wants it even lower down to thirty But either way,
I think we're going to see probably targeting of these
energy revenues, banks and military industry in Russia.
Speaker 2 (26:33):
Okay, interesting, What about the Oxford Street in London? The
Mire of London saying it wants to pedestrianize it. I've
thought it was can you drive any old car down there?
Speaker 13 (26:42):
At the moment No, and in certain times of day
it varies as well, but it's going to be close
to everything, including buses, and buses frankly are the main
transport network there, along with taxis. So what the mayor
wants to do, he has to get the permission of
the Deputy Minister, but she's already said she's supporting. The
(27:02):
initiative is to ban all vecors along a one point
one kilometer stretch for those that know it well, that's
between Oxford Circus. That's where it crosses Region Street and
Marble Arch down at the western end, and with further
potential changes as well further east across to Tottenham Court Road. Now,
(27:23):
the SOHO society that represents many businesses in that area
says key questions remain unanswered. First of all, all the
traffic that's being diverted, what's going to happen there? Sixteen
bus routes are now going to be squeezed into narrow,
congested one way streets and the SOHO Society says no
convincing plan has ever been presented and London is already
(27:45):
a very slow city and will only get worse.
Speaker 2 (27:48):
Interesting although Selfridges I was bringing us today is actually
on board with the whole thing. Weirdly enough, givin thank
you for that, Kevin Gray are UK you're a correspondent.
It is a living away from sex.
Speaker 6 (27:58):
Right and Bridge.
Speaker 2 (28:00):
I had a five year suicide prevention plan from the
Mental Health Minister yesterday to tackle our stubbornly high suicide rates,
six crisis cafes and new suicide prevention community funder coming
by the end of the year. Doctor Helen Buckland is
a clinical psychologist with me this morning. Good morning, Hi Ryan,
Hi you good good, thank you. But I'm quite cynical
(28:20):
and I can't help but feel like I've heard this
all before and crisis cafes are we kidding?
Speaker 5 (28:26):
You know?
Speaker 2 (28:26):
Is this actually going to make a difference.
Speaker 14 (28:29):
Well, I'm a cynic as well. I think there has
been you know, there's been a lot of thought and
I can see that there's a will to try and
improve with this plan, but in reality it is not
a suicide prevention plan. It is a suicide response plan.
It's for people who are already suicidal, and there's no
reference to tackling the causes that lead people to becoming
(28:52):
suicidal in the first place. And I think that that's
where the focus of a prevention plan should be.
Speaker 2 (28:59):
So this is the part where you talk about poverty
and you talk about cost of living and stuff like that.
Speaker 14 (29:04):
Right, yes, But also I think that we also need
to have a look at things like bullying in schools,
effective child protection services, and also so the impact of
social media on children. So I think that Minnesota, he
needs to go back to the drawing board and come
(29:25):
up with something a bit better than that.
Speaker 6 (29:26):
Personally, Well, they.
Speaker 2 (29:27):
Are looking at banning social media for kids. That's got
one thing, I suppose. But what about with poverty, because
this is always something that people and psychologists and people
in the field say, poverty is the problem, Right, What
is it? Why do so many more men than women
in their life if it's poverty.
Speaker 14 (29:49):
I think some of the reasons around that are because
of the expectation that men are providers for their families,
and so some of these traditional gender roles that we
have around what men are meant to do and be
and when in the face of actually being really difficult
to find jobs that are going to be covering the
cost of living and there are enough to take care
(30:12):
of your family, that is just devastating if one of
your primary ways of thinking about yourself is taking care
of your family. So we know that that's one of
the issues. And I think the other thing, especially for
young men who are leaving school, and if school wasn't
their favorite place and they're a little bit more hands
(30:32):
on and want to do practical things, what are their
job prospects when they leave? What kind of money are
they going to be earning when they leave so that
they can go ahead, leave school, get out into the
world and have jobs that are actually going to give
them enough so that they can feel confident about moving
forward in their lives with enough money in their back
(30:54):
pocket to have a night out with their friends and
look to buying home and having a family.
Speaker 2 (31:02):
Helen, I had a look at the numbers this morning
from OECD. There are plenty of countries out there with
high poverty rates, higher poverty rates than us, but lower
suicide rates. How do we explain that?
Speaker 14 (31:15):
Well, I think one of the things that it comes
back to is about what children experience in New Zealand
in terms of abuse. We have some of the worst
rates for family harm and exposure for children to abuse
in the home. And so I do think that we
need to go back to when people are young and
(31:36):
address those issues and alongside issues like poverty as well.
Speaker 2 (31:41):
All right, really appreciate your time this morning, Helen. Thank
you very much for that, doctor Helen. Interesting doctor Helen Buckland,
clinical psychologist on the government's plan to reduce suicides siven
away from sex Mic.
Speaker 1 (31:52):
Next, the news you need this morning and the in
depth analysis earlier this year with Ryan Bridge and expol
keeping Kiwi, homes Warm and Dray this winter news talk said.
Speaker 2 (32:04):
Be five to sex on news Talks here be could
smell the probably something still burning it in the New
World this morning as I drove past, could smell the smoke.
Mike has hed it. Next and in the studio with
me now high Mike, good.
Speaker 15 (32:17):
Morning, Ryan, how are we I'm extremely you.
Speaker 2 (32:19):
Know, can I just say you've also probably stronger than
the smell of the smoke. Is your the small fumes?
Speaker 15 (32:26):
You know, it's interesting you should say that it is
called ood stallion and it's by it's by the House
of Cravelli, and I discovered it on a trip to
christ Church, and I bought myself a small bottle at
the time, in this particular shoping cross. I thought, that's
not bad.
Speaker 2 (32:42):
Did you then buy a bigger bottle and bathe in it?
Speaker 15 (32:44):
Very good question. So what happened after I had the
small bottle? I took the small bottle to the country.
You regret asking this now, but I'll tell you anyway,
I took the small bottle to the country. I thought,
I'll have that in the country for the weekend so
I can smell that way at the weekend. Then I
missed it in the city. And so just the other
day I purchased myself a larger bottle, and that'd arrived
via the courier, and I just thought, given it's a
(33:06):
larger bottle, why not indulge.
Speaker 2 (33:08):
Well, I think you need to just dis temper with
the quantities because you're obviously spraying the larger one like
it's the smaller one, and you're coming in here. No,
I can't smell the larger one like it's the lighter.
Speaker 15 (33:19):
Like it's the large one. If you're going to smell good,
you might as well overwhelm everyone as my as my
thinking on it.
Speaker 6 (33:24):
Right?
Speaker 15 (33:25):
Do you like the Stallion?
Speaker 2 (33:27):
The name is really off poddling. I liked it before
you said that. Let's put it that way. Mike Is,
with the next on News Talk said, bebe Thanks for
listening everyone, I will see you tomorrow. Short week, have
a good one.
Speaker 1 (33:58):
For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live
to News Talks it Be from five am weekdays, or
follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.
The issues, the interviews and the insight. Bryan Bridge on
an early edition with ex pole insulation, keeping Kimi Holmes
warm and try this winter News Talks.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
B Good morning, it is Wednesday, the eating to June.
Great to have your company. Just gone six after five.
We've got another plan for suicide prevention out this morning.
And here's a question for you, because everyone says it's
about poverty. I mean, how many of these plans have
we had? Everyone says it's about poverty. So why does
it affect men more than women if it's about poverty?
(00:32):
And why does some countries much poorer than ours get
better results? Gavin Gray in the UK for US this morning,
Donald Trump Iran, Israel will do all of that. Inflation
looks set to go outside of the reserve banks band again,
what does that mean for mortgages and more importantly for
the economy. It's all ahead News Talk SEB the agenda
(00:54):
Israel and around day five, Trump on the plane after
G seven wants a deal better than a CEASPI.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
Without looking first, is far. I didn't say I was
looking first, eas Fir. That was Emanuel. Nice guy, but
he has you get to write you often. But I'm
looking we'll looking for better, Yeah, he.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
Said, a couple of things in the last few minutes.
I'll bring up to d in the second. Meanwhile, Israel
fora minister, see is unfinished business. Operation is far from over.
Speaker 4 (01:21):
First, we cut the hands of the octopus when we
dealt with Hamas and his bola. Now we're dealing with
the head of the octopus. We are dealing with the
most significant threats. And there are the ballistic threats and
the nuclear threats, and those threats are combined with their
allies to the Iranian access.
Speaker 2 (01:43):
Back to the mountains. Seven Canadian Canada's county giving two
billion dollars Canadian dollars for military aid to Ukraine.
Speaker 5 (01:52):
We I need support from our allies and I'm here
and thank you for the military package supported for our
soldiers to be stronger, the battle filth to Stesso out
until Russia will be ready for the best negotiations.
Speaker 2 (02:09):
And finally, this morning, a California doctor accused of giving
Friends star Matthew Perry access to ketamine in the weeks
before his od death. He's agreed to plead guilty in court.
Speaker 1 (02:20):
The first word on the News of the Day early
edition with Ryan bridge and ex Bowl insulation keeping Kiwi
Holmes warm and dry.
Speaker 6 (02:29):
This winter news talks.
Speaker 2 (02:30):
The'd be nine two is the number of text I'd
love to hear from you this morning. So again we're
playing this guessing game with Trump, you know, exactly the
same thing we played game we played with the tariffs.
Is he serious? Is he bluffing on Iran?
Speaker 7 (02:43):
You know?
Speaker 2 (02:43):
Is he bluffing? Is he boisterous to get a deal
across the line to stop the fighting? Turns out he
wasn't bluffing about the tariffs, remember that. But then he
pulled back pretty quickly and started talking. So who knows?
And that's Trump. That's the chaos of Trump, the maniacal
chaos of Trump. We don't know what he thinking. He
doesn't probably know what he's thinking. The idea is that
(03:04):
no one knows what he's thinking, which is quite an
effective strategy in some situations. So the latest on this,
he's meeting with his National Security Council. He says, this
is about the Supreme Leader Iran, Supreme Leader, the Ayah
toler We know where you are, but we won't kill
you dot dot dot for now. Okay, this is what
(03:25):
he's putting on truth social Vance, on the other hand,
he's been hinting that because there's a big problem that
Trump has and Vance is acutely aware of because he
wants to ride on the mega coattails to get into
the presidency. Wants Trump's out of the picture, right. So
Vance comes out and says to the MAGA people, Look,
the president has to do what the president has to do.
(03:47):
It's his decision. But he's sort of hinting that he might.
If he's going to take any action, it would just
be about strikes on the Iranian enrichment program in Iran,
so that would be the limit of it. Anyway, this
mega problem. Taker Cowson highlighted the problem that they don't
basically want another Iraq.
Speaker 3 (04:06):
I don't know what Tucker Carlson is saying. Let him
go get a television network and say it so that
people listening.
Speaker 2 (04:13):
Yes, So Trump's having none of it. Anyway, They don't
want to get boiled down in another conflict in the
Middle East. That is not the magaway, that is not
the America first way, and that is one of the
problems that Trump has when he's trying to deal with this.
So you kind of going, well, maybe he's just all bluster.
Maybe this is all just talk and he's trying to
get some kind of cease fire or some kind of
(04:34):
nuclear deal signed. Eleven after five, you're on news Talk
seid b coming up next. Inflation, according to the ben Z,
is going to head outside of the Reserve Bank's band again.
So what does that mean for mortgages and what does
it mean for the economy? Should we be worried? Cameron
baggeries with us on.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
Your radio and online on iHeartRadio early edition with Ryan
Bridge and x full Insulation, Keeping newly Holmes warm and dry.
Speaker 2 (05:01):
This winter news Talks, there'd be five point thirteen. You're
on news Talk, said be we'll get to the new
suicide plan that the government's announced just before six o'clock
this morning. Also Gavin Gray out of the UK at
about quarter two. Right now, BNZ is predicting inflation to
again creep outside the Reserve Bank's target band, heading three
point one percent annually by September. Comes after food inflation
(05:23):
we had yesterday up to its highest level in eighteen months.
Overall food prices up four point four percent in the
last year, meat, poultry, dairy, keeping those prices high. Your
milk your butter, your cheese. Cameron Baggery economist is with
me this morning. Cameron, Good morning, O, good morning on.
Good to have you on. What do you reckon inflation?
You're going to get out of the band again? Is
(05:44):
that a big deal?
Speaker 7 (05:46):
Well, it's creeping up, But the composition to inflation matters
a little bit more than inflation itself. So what we
keep a pretty close eye is what was called non
trade willflation, which is the mistic inflation. You know, that's
the piece that the Reserve Bank in control. It's elevated,
but it's still being heading south. So we're taking with
a comfort of that. But what we're seeing out there
at the moment is furtesy of high commodity prices, particularly meat,
(06:11):
gary prices, what's called imput inflation or not tradeable inflace
and started to pop back up. And I guess you
can assume what we've got at the moment. I've got
what's going on in the Middle East, as if oil
prices have spiked and yet these or petal prices have
been training down over the past of the six months.
They've been a deflationary force. The last thing we want
is to see the internal inflationary force and start to
(06:34):
push us a little bit more.
Speaker 2 (06:36):
So this I mean, it's it's a take with one
and give with the other, isn't it? The butter and
milk and cheese and stuff, because we pay more for it,
but then we also get more for it through our
primary sector.
Speaker 7 (06:51):
All we're seeing at the moment is a really good
what's called ex foot lead recovery. So we're earning a
way to growth as opposed to spending it, which is
a the sort of growth that you want to see.
You know, I was a few days last week, and
the farmers are pretty cheaper. Why they've got a little
bit of money in their in their back pockets. Of
fortunately in the front and farmers you've got a little
bit of money in their back pockets. You know, we're
(07:11):
going to see a little more food related inflation. So
vegetable prices are up, meat, cheese, your butter is up,
you know, fifty one percent sort of year on year.
So that's good for the farmers, is not necessarily good
for people in the back pocket.
Speaker 2 (07:25):
Meanwhile, if you're a landlord, you've actually got the lowest
increased two point eight percent increase in rent prices, lowest
since January twenty fifteen. I think, and I guess that
adds up when you look at you know, immigration, the
way that's going.
Speaker 7 (07:40):
Yes, if you look at the immigration numbers, or around
twenty one thousand I think was the last three natural
population growth and another twenty thousand, and that's a pretty
low number. You've got core demand in terms of people
bums on seats around forty thousand divided by two point
five rough number of people for houses. Then we need
to be built a little bit south of twenty thousand
(08:01):
houses per year. How many biirty percents were issuing thirty
to thirty five thousand, so there's a lot of stock
up there still to clear. So that just dads up
to a pretty weak mental market out there, which is
good news for for some people.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
Cameron, appreciate your time this morning. Cameron Baggery economists with
me talking about those food prices out yesterday and the
potential for a reserve bank out of band CPI is
sixteen after.
Speaker 6 (08:25):
Five bridge seaking the.
Speaker 2 (08:27):
Dairy prices, we have the global dairy trade auction overnight
one percent up. This is overall up one percent, sorry,
down one percent, which is the third consecutive ox and
it's gone down one point six last time, zero point
nine before that, And we always look at the whole
milk powder. Well it's actually gone down two point one percent,
which is not as bad as the potential five percent
(08:49):
that I was reading about yesterday. They were predicting, so
butter up one point four percent, chedder up five point
one percent, and skim milk powder down two point one percent.
The powders are the ones that we really care about
because that's what we sell the most of seventeen after five,
news Talk said B. Simon arcis coming next on business optimism,
(09:09):
So rather than an actual read, it's how do you
feel in the business world, that's next news.
Speaker 6 (09:15):
And views you trust to start your day.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
It's earliericious with Ryan Bridge at Expole Insulation keeping Kiwi
homes ward and dry this winter, News Talk, said B.
Speaker 6 (09:26):
Five.
Speaker 2 (09:26):
Nineteen on news Talk said B. So markets have been
pretty calm so far. I mean they took a hat
last Friday after the conflict in the Middle East, but
then they recovered on Monday. Everybody's watching the Straight of
All Mars, though narrow stretch of water. This is between
Iran and Aman and twenty million barrels of oil through
their per day, which is significant. That is a quarter
(09:47):
of the world's oil transits through this tiny little strait
every day. And if Iran blocks it, or if there's
a disruption to it, then the price of oil. This
is according to a couple of analysts I was reading
about in the Wall Street Journal this morning, the price
of oil could hit one hundred US dollars a barrow.
It's currently sitting at seventy three.
Speaker 6 (10:09):
Rain Bridge.
Speaker 2 (10:10):
That doesn't happen, then hey right, the sun has come
out from behind the clouds. For business owners, new data
from two degrees shows optimism is at its highest since
twenty twenty one. Forty five percent of business leaders feel
better about their footing than they did a year ago.
Simon Arcus is Business Central CEO with me this morning, Simon,
good morning.
Speaker 8 (10:29):
Good morning you Ryan, How are you very well?
Speaker 2 (10:31):
Thank you? Does this include Wellington businesses?
Speaker 8 (10:34):
Look, it does include Wellington businesses. It's good to see
and really really good to also that businesses feel like
the future is looking brighter.
Speaker 2 (10:42):
Interesting. They also talk about I mean, productivity has been
a bugbear of ours for a long time, but businesses
themselves reporting that they think productivity is trending upwards.
Speaker 8 (10:52):
I think it's a really interesting observation. Ryan. That's partly,
I think, because the reality is that it's been a
big focus of business in the last or one of
course the government is it is driven by raising productivity.
Probably the one thing I'd noted which is really interesting
is this month we had actually contraction in the manufacturing
and the services industry. So there's a piece of data
(11:14):
going the other way as well, which is really interesting too.
Speaker 2 (11:17):
Yeah, how do you marry those things up? I mean,
it is one It is one moment, isn't it.
Speaker 8 (11:21):
It is one month, And I think I think two
things can be true at once, and you can have
optimism often precedes, you know, a good news, and you
can have a little bad news on the way. I
think the reason for that is the businesses they get
they have a sense of what the future is looking like,
so they've got forward orders, they've got all those sorts
of things. So actually, probably isn't the worry that it
might be any other time, So that optimism is a
(11:43):
good thing.
Speaker 2 (11:43):
And no one said it was going to be a straight, safe,
easy flight path out of the quagmire, right, It's always
going to be a little bit bumpy along the way.
Speaker 8 (11:53):
I think bumpy is a great word. I think we're
bumping along the bottom a little bit. There are sort
of haltering momentary things seem to improve and then we
sink back a little bit. But I think it's two
steps forward, one step back. But the general direction and
the two degrees survey seems to confirm this is good
optimistic feelings about the future.
Speaker 2 (12:12):
Appreciate your time this morning, Simon. Great to have you
on the show. Simon Arcis Business Central CEO with us
from Wellington this morning. Twenty two minutes after five, you're
on News Talks. There'd be coming up next the Run
It Straight competition, which people have a problem with. Some
people have a problem with it. Some people run into
each other, they don't have a problem with it. I'm
going to talk to you about that also, if a run.
(12:36):
I'm sorry to keep going on about a run, but
I just find it endlessly fascinating because depending on what
and it's again, it all comes down to Donald Trump,
doesn't it depending on what he does and how far
he goes, and then how far the eye toller strikes back.
Does he hit a US Navy frigate? You know? And
then does the whole thing kick off. But the one
(12:58):
country that stands to in terms of the oil, the
one country that would hurt the most would be China
because everyone's sanctioned Irans and no one's buying the oil
except the Chinese. Because the Trainings love sanctioned oil because
it's cheap, they buy ninety percent of Iran's oil. Iran
produces two percent of global supply, one point seven million
(13:22):
barrels a day of crude oil. All well, basically all
goes to China. That's how you get you know, when
you get something for two dollars on team, when you think,
how the hell do they make it so cheaply? Sanctioned oil?
Simple twenty four after five NEWSTALKSVB.
Speaker 1 (13:36):
The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by NEWSTALKSB.
Speaker 2 (13:43):
News Talks B. It is twenty six minutes half to five.
The moral outrage over run it straight competitions is a
tricky one, isn't it. More and more young men and
then more of them that run at each other head
on and try to knock each other out. As the
injuries piled up, the hand and ringing well cranked into
geed and lots of pearl clutching, lots of horror, lots
(14:04):
that I'm aghast. The reaction from some rugby stars and
sporting legends was a bit more nuanced, for obvious reasons,
because they also run full steam ahead at one another
of a Saturday, with great risk of personal injury and
even death, certainly the chance of broken bones and a
concussion on a rugby field. They do this because A
(14:26):
they enjoy it. B it's often all they've ever known,
and c presumably because it pays well. And that's the
problem of the outrage over run it straight. They had
a guy in the news yesterday who won twenty thousand
dollars in trials held in Auckland. He's now booked on
a spot in a final in Dubai. The money, he says,
(14:46):
these are his words, putting clothes on his kid's back.
He said this, we got to pay off some debts,
stock up the fridges and the cupboards, food for our
little ones. Especially with the economy of the way it
is in New Zealand, nothing's cheap these days. He saw
this as a couple of hours work with a huge payday,
and I happen to think if somebody wants to play
(15:07):
a high risk sport like rugby or UFC or anything
on horses, then good on them to their life. I'm
not here to judge the question for the rest of society,
and this is what our listeners most often email me
about when it comes to run it Straight is acc
To qualify for acc your injury must be the result
(15:29):
of an accident. An accident is basically something you didn't
intend to happen, happening a mistake. Run it straight is
bloody dangerous, but I think ultimately its injuries are accidents.
Like rugby, like horse riding. The system doesn't judge based
(15:53):
on the threat of injury, just whether it's an accidental
one or not. Rich N two is the numbers text
I'd love to hear from you this morning, twenty eight
minutes after five Ryan, we blame every negative statistic on poverty.
I family violence blame poverty. Truancy blame poverty. This is
(16:13):
from one of our listeners. Child abuse blame poverty, retail
theft blame poverty. Then we throw more money at this problem,
We throw more resources at this problem, and the situation
doesn't improve, and we go around and around and around.
The memory go around. I couldn't agree with that sentiment anymore.
It's one problem I have with suicide stats. And we
(16:35):
have a new plan. Guess what the new plan includes?
Crisis cafes. Honestly, if you're going to go and end
your life, are you going to stop off at a
crisis cafe on the way? Is this going to bring
our numbers? I mean, are we joking anyway? Poverty is
getting to blame again. So we'll talk to somebody about
that and maybe are some questions about it before six
(16:57):
News Talk, said Big.
Speaker 1 (17:25):
Ryan Bridge on early edition with expol insulation, keeping Kiwi
Holmes warm and try this winter news talk Zibby Raculum
about it.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
Good morning, twenty four away from six News Talks. It
be it's Wednesday, but really it's Thursday because it's a
short week. This week is very sort of aerobic music.
You've got going here kindsay this is getting you out
of bed. Everybody good to have your company. We're going
to talk to Gavin Gray out of the UK just
for quarter two, just around quarter two six this morning.
(18:03):
We're also going to talk about the government's new plan
to tackle suicide. Just before six Canterbury reigns Supreme if
you're waking up this morning, can tob repet yourself on
the back, feel good about yourself. Asb's regional scoreboard for
quarter one twenty twenty five was out yesterday and you
have taken out the number one spot. Congratulations across the board.
(18:24):
You're impressing the economists, surging consumer confidence, your population growth,
your improvements to your housing market still more affordable there
than it is an Auckland, which is why so many
people are just upping and sticks and leaving and going
to see you. The West Coast number two, Good morning
to the West Coast. Congratulations growth and construction, retail sales,
house values. Your house values are still low by our
(18:48):
national standards, but have been increasing way and above anything else,
probably for that reason. And Otago third your tourism last, Gisbone.
Sorry Gisbin, Wellington, you're fifteen, that's unsurprising. And the rural
urban divide very much on full display. South Island secures
the top four spots once again. Strong commodity prices supporting
(19:12):
rural New Zealand. And then there's weakness in our urban areas.
It has just gone twenty two away from.
Speaker 6 (19:17):
Six Bryant Bridge.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
Our reporters around the country. Here was actually an ironically
different story. Is Culen Proctor and Dnedan Culen, Good morning morning, Ryan.
Speaker 9 (19:26):
I know it's exactly the same. Ah, I'm about to
repeat what you've just said. The ASP's Regional Economic school
Board is out and look, I mean obviously I'm focusing
on Otago on Southland here and like you say, Otago's
third fall into third place. In fact, on this school
board rating the regions based on year on year growth,
Otago had taken the crown for the last two quarters,
(19:46):
but under performing house sales here and slowing construction growth
has impacted Otago's performance this quarter. The positives though here
is still Queenstown's tourism and growth and employment. For Southend
I've slipped four places due to decline a new car ridge,
construction and employment, but south And leads the way still
in house price growth brilliant.
Speaker 2 (20:06):
So yeah, what you're saying is the deep South slipping slightly,
but you guys in the South still doing really well.
How's your winner?
Speaker 9 (20:13):
Not the freezer here, So prepare for potentially more disruptions
at our airport this morning. It's minus four there, but
a fine day ahead and twelve degrees.
Speaker 2 (20:21):
All right, thanks so much for that. Clear in christ
yt take clear Good morning christ to a city council.
You got staff who might not return to their main
office until Christmas.
Speaker 10 (20:30):
Yeah, this was the office that about a month ago,
I think around four hundred staff were evacuated from quite
suddenly when a routine check found that the annex attached
to the side of the building was underperforming in terms
of seismic performance. An engineering report has taken about three
weeks to conduct, and it's found that this building or
(20:52):
the annex on the building, only meets forty percent of
earthquake safety standards. Anything below sixty seven percent is what
we consider a risk. Staff based in that area will
have to continue to work elsewhere while some seismic strengthening
takes place. We've spoken with the mayor Field Major, who
says it is causing some significant disruption, but staff safety
is paramount. He says, look, we're not out of the
(21:13):
woods yet. Design will take a couple of months at least,
then repairs could take up to five He is stressing though,
that Nitahoo, which owns the building, identified these during a
routine inspection and council worked very quickly to ensure that
people were out and that they could take care of
the problem as soon as possible.
Speaker 2 (21:30):
Okay, I'm sure the world's ending that councils staff aren't
in their office working because we know how productive they
can be. How's your WEA, They're.
Speaker 10 (21:36):
Clear, frosty and foggy here once again, should clears are
mostly fine, light to wins and are high of ten.
Speaker 2 (21:43):
Thanks. Have a great day, Max with the good news
in Wellington. Haymax, good morning, Trust and council down. House
prices up?
Speaker 11 (21:52):
Yeah, just quickly on house prices. The region's median price
up one point three percent over the past year now
seven hundred and eighty five thousand, and that's via the
Real Estate Institute. Investors still generally staying away at the moment.
Good for first time by as much the same as
the rest of the country. But let's get to the
bad news, because that's what we love to hear. This
council survey not good. Unsurprising an annual survey eleven hundred
(22:16):
residents only about a quarter trust to actually trust the
Wellington City Council. Right now, spending seen as a big issue.
Cycle ways, the Golden Mile, the younger ones not too bad.
That trust is about fifty percent, but the numbers drop
as you slowly go up the age groups. Homelessness a big,
big issue, and safety safety around the CBD, which goes
(22:36):
along with that. I'm sure it's the police's fault. The
big one that stands out to me. Forty two percent
drop since twenty eighteen in those who think Wellington has
a positive look and a positive feel.
Speaker 2 (22:48):
Okay, interesting, how's you're with it today?
Speaker 11 (22:50):
X should be mainly fine with light winds twelve the
high central.
Speaker 2 (22:54):
Thank you and neighbors and Norkland. Hey, Neva, good morning.
Now this supermarket just down the road. I could smell
the smoke coming in this morning. Yes, be still slightly smoldering.
Speaker 12 (23:03):
Yeah, well there's large blaze. You're quite right at New
World Victoria Park yesterday sent smoke billowing over the central city.
Took about ten hours to extinguish. They've had a fire
crew there overnight just tending to any hotspots and the building.
Speaker 2 (23:18):
Though.
Speaker 12 (23:18):
The good news expected to be handed back today. So
food Stuff's North Island CEO. That's Chris Quinn. He says
that once they clarify the situation, they'll make a plan
with each and every employee. He's also saying that they'll
also decide what to do with the food because they
he'd safe access to the building. I mean, lots of
people saying.
Speaker 4 (23:36):
What are they going to do with the food?
Speaker 1 (23:37):
What are they going to do with the food?
Speaker 12 (23:38):
I thought, God, is that all you can think of?
Speaker 2 (23:40):
The food will be covered in smoke.
Speaker 12 (23:42):
Well, that's right. You don't want to sail, do you so?
Chris Quinn saying, look, there's a lot of water carcinogens
that have gone through the building. So they'd only get
food out to people if it was safe for goodness sake.
Speaker 2 (23:52):
Yeah, all the way. It's pretty m quickly all right, never,
thank you. Has the weather fine?
Speaker 12 (23:57):
We've got areas of morning fog. This morning light wins
fifteen the high.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Here, thank you very much. Eighteen away from sex News
Talk said b Luke has texta program just now, Luke,
good morning. We're talking men's ment. Well, we're talking mental
health before six because there's a new suicide plan out.
He says, why is TRT so hard to get in
this country? I'm assuming that's testosterone replacement therapy. He says.
(24:22):
Women get the HRT patches for menopause since ages ago,
and that's farmac funded, which is true. I've got a
few friends older men who take testosterone boosters because you
lose about one percent of your testosterone after the age
of I think it's about thirty or something, which is
why old men start to look a little bit late women,
(24:43):
you know, or they just lose. You can't build muscle,
can you after a certain day. It was very difficult
to build muscle. So look, I don't know what the
answer is, but it's an interesting question. Seventeen away from
six news talks, said be Gavin Gray in the UK.
Speaker 1 (24:56):
Next international correspondence with ends and insurance peace of mind
for New Zealand business.
Speaker 2 (25:03):
You're on your talks. It is fultain away from sixth
Stammer and the UK expected to wat potent with some
more sanctions today. Gvin Gray is our UK europe correspondent. Gavin,
good morning either an.
Speaker 13 (25:14):
Yeah, we hoped, actually we were going to get the
details before our cross now, but we're still waiting. It's
not been helped by the fact that, of course Donald
Trump has flown back to America, so any likelihood that
America will join the move seems very very unlikely, but
it looks like allies of Ukraine, the UK leading the way,
along with the rest of the G five the other
(25:37):
five nations who are still there, are really hoping that
they're going to be out of nail down sub sanctions
to announce a while still in Canada, Downing Street here
saying the new sanctions package would aim to keep up
pressure quote on the Russian military industrial complex, to squeeze
Russia's energy reserves and reduce the funds they are able
to pour into this illegal war. What does all that mean.
(26:00):
I think it means really that they could reassess the
cap that they are willing to allow to be paid
on Russian crude oil. The G seven agreed a cap
in December twenty twenty two at sixty dollars a barrel,
but falling energy prices have made that pretty useless, frankly,
and much less effective. So the European Commission is suggesting
(26:20):
the cap is reduced to forty five dollars that's US dollars.
Ukraine wants it even lower down to thirty But either way,
I think we're going to see probably targeting of these
energy revenues, banks and military industry in Russia.
Speaker 2 (26:33):
Okay, interesting, What about the Oxford Street in London? The
Mire of London saying it wants to pedestrianize it. I've
thought it was can you drive any old car down there?
Speaker 13 (26:42):
At the moment No, and in certain times of day
it varies as well, but it's going to be close
to everything, including buses, and buses frankly are the main
transport network there, along with taxis. So what the mayor
wants to do, he has to get the permission of
the Deputy Minister, but she's already said she's supporting. The
(27:02):
initiative is to ban all vecors along a one point
one kilometer stretch for those that know it well, that's
between Oxford Circus. That's where it crosses Region Street and
Marble Arch down at the western end, and with further
potential changes as well further east across to Tottenham Court Road. Now,
(27:23):
the SOHO society that represents many businesses in that area
says key questions remain unanswered. First of all, all the
traffic that's being diverted, what's going to happen there? Sixteen
bus routes are now going to be squeezed into narrow,
congested one way streets and the SOHO Society says no
convincing plan has ever been presented and London is already
(27:45):
a very slow city and will only get worse.
Speaker 2 (27:48):
Interesting although Selfridges I was bringing us today is actually
on board with the whole thing. Weirdly enough, givin thank
you for that, Kevin Gray are UK you're a correspondent.
It is a living away from sex.
Speaker 6 (27:58):
Right and Bridge.
Speaker 2 (28:00):
I had a five year suicide prevention plan from the
Mental Health Minister yesterday to tackle our stubbornly high suicide rates,
six crisis cafes and new suicide prevention community funder coming
by the end of the year. Doctor Helen Buckland is
a clinical psychologist with me this morning. Good morning, Hi Ryan,
Hi you good good, thank you. But I'm quite cynical
(28:20):
and I can't help but feel like I've heard this
all before and crisis cafes are we kidding?
Speaker 5 (28:26):
You know?
Speaker 2 (28:26):
Is this actually going to make a difference.
Speaker 14 (28:29):
Well, I'm a cynic as well. I think there has
been you know, there's been a lot of thought and
I can see that there's a will to try and
improve with this plan, but in reality it is not
a suicide prevention plan. It is a suicide response plan.
It's for people who are already suicidal, and there's no
reference to tackling the causes that lead people to becoming
(28:52):
suicidal in the first place. And I think that that's
where the focus of a prevention plan should be.
Speaker 2 (28:59):
So this is the part where you talk about poverty
and you talk about cost of living and stuff like that.
Speaker 14 (29:04):
Right, yes, But also I think that we also need
to have a look at things like bullying in schools,
effective child protection services, and also so the impact of
social media on children. So I think that Minnesota, he
needs to go back to the drawing board and come
(29:25):
up with something a bit better than that.
Speaker 6 (29:26):
Personally, Well, they.
Speaker 2 (29:27):
Are looking at banning social media for kids. That's got
one thing, I suppose. But what about with poverty, because
this is always something that people and psychologists and people
in the field say, poverty is the problem, Right, What
is it? Why do so many more men than women
in their life if it's poverty.
Speaker 14 (29:49):
I think some of the reasons around that are because
of the expectation that men are providers for their families,
and so some of these traditional gender roles that we
have around what men are meant to do and be
and when in the face of actually being really difficult
to find jobs that are going to be covering the
cost of living and there are enough to take care
(30:12):
of your family, that is just devastating if one of
your primary ways of thinking about yourself is taking care
of your family. So we know that that's one of
the issues. And I think the other thing, especially for
young men who are leaving school, and if school wasn't
their favorite place and they're a little bit more hands
(30:32):
on and want to do practical things, what are their
job prospects when they leave? What kind of money are
they going to be earning when they leave so that
they can go ahead, leave school, get out into the
world and have jobs that are actually going to give
them enough so that they can feel confident about moving
forward in their lives with enough money in their back
(30:54):
pocket to have a night out with their friends and
look to buying home and having a family.
Speaker 2 (31:02):
Helen, I had a look at the numbers this morning
from OECD. There are plenty of countries out there with
high poverty rates, higher poverty rates than us, but lower
suicide rates. How do we explain that?
Speaker 14 (31:15):
Well, I think one of the things that it comes
back to is about what children experience in New Zealand
in terms of abuse. We have some of the worst
rates for family harm and exposure for children to abuse
in the home. And so I do think that we
need to go back to when people are young and
(31:36):
address those issues and alongside issues like poverty as well.
Speaker 2 (31:41):
All right, really appreciate your time this morning, Helen. Thank
you very much for that, doctor Helen. Interesting doctor Helen Buckland,
clinical psychologist on the government's plan to reduce suicides siven
away from sex Mic.
Speaker 1 (31:52):
Next, the news you need this morning and the in
depth analysis earlier this year with Ryan Bridge and expol
keeping Kiwi, homes Warm and Dray this winter news talk said.
Speaker 2 (32:04):
Be five to sex on news Talks here be could
smell the probably something still burning it in the New
World this morning as I drove past, could smell the smoke.
Mike has hed it. Next and in the studio with
me now high Mike, good.
Speaker 15 (32:17):
Morning, Ryan, how are we I'm extremely you.
Speaker 2 (32:19):
Know, can I just say you've also probably stronger than
the smell of the smoke. Is your the small fumes?
Speaker 15 (32:26):
You know, it's interesting you should say that it is
called ood stallion and it's by it's by the House
of Cravelli, and I discovered it on a trip to
christ Church, and I bought myself a small bottle at
the time, in this particular shoping cross. I thought, that's
not bad.
Speaker 2 (32:42):
Did you then buy a bigger bottle and bathe in it?
Speaker 15 (32:44):
Very good question. So what happened after I had the
small bottle? I took the small bottle to the country.
You regret asking this now, but I'll tell you anyway,
I took the small bottle to the country. I thought,
I'll have that in the country for the weekend so
I can smell that way at the weekend. Then I
missed it in the city. And so just the other
day I purchased myself a larger bottle, and that'd arrived
via the courier, and I just thought, given it's a
(33:06):
larger bottle, why not indulge.
Speaker 2 (33:08):
Well, I think you need to just dis temper with
the quantities because you're obviously spraying the larger one like
it's the smaller one, and you're coming in here. No,
I can't smell the larger one like it's the lighter.
Speaker 15 (33:19):
Like it's the large one. If you're going to smell good,
you might as well overwhelm everyone as my as my
thinking on it.
Speaker 6 (33:24):
Right?
Speaker 15 (33:25):
Do you like the Stallion?
Speaker 2 (33:27):
The name is really off poddling. I liked it before
you said that. Let's put it that way. Mike Is,
with the next on News Talk said, bebe Thanks for
listening everyone, I will see you tomorrow. Short week, have
a good one.
Speaker 1 (33:58):
For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live
to News Talks it Be from five am weekdays, or
follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.
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