Look, I don't want to be that guy that comes out and declares that Biden's re-election chances are stuffed. Just in case there’s a tiny chance I get proven wrong, But I think Biden's re-election chances are stuffed.
Not only because of the report that landed today, but then because of the press conference he called where he tried to defend himself and made it worse
Let me get you across this. The report landed about 7 hours ago and it’s written by a neutral official who was tasked with getting to the bottom of whether Biden did anything wrong by keeping those classified documents in his garage.
He found that Biden did do something wrong.
He "wilfully retained and disclosed classified materials"
But then decided against prosecuting Biden because no jury would find him guilty
Because they would feel sorry for a "well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory."
And the reason he thought that was because in his conversations with Biden
Biden couldn't’ even remember what years he was vice president under Obama
And couldn't’ remember when his son had died
That report alone was probably enough to kill off his re election chances given the level of worry among voters in the US over his senility ... about ¾ told an NBC poll this week that they're worried.
But then Biden calls a surprise press conference to defend himself.
And makes it worse.
By answering a question about the war in Gaza and then confusing the president of Egypt with the president of Mexico
There is completely separate report today about a fundraising dinner in New York on Wednesday at which he recounted talking about the 2020 election with the German chancellor Helmut Kohl but Kohl died in 2017.
Truth is these concerns about Biden's marbles aren’t new.. .and they were already significant enough to make it very hard for him to be re-elected anyway
But if you want to, in future, look back and find the moment that it became a certainty... i think this is it
This is the death knell
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