Hour 2 - Strength of Schedules

Arnie Spanier and Chris Plank discuss some NFL team's strength of schedule and what to make of matchups.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Thanks for listening to The Jason Smith Show with Mike
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Speaker 2 (00:22):
Give If you're listening to Fox Sports Radio.

Speaker 3 (00:29):
Oh, here we go an hour or two live from
the tire rack dot Com studios. It's Arnie and Plank
talking some NFL preseason football in a moment both the Giants, well,
I can't say both one because we had a tie
again tonight. We've had two ties this weekend in the preseason.
Giants won twenty one nineteen. Good night for the Giant starters,
mah Mannight for the Panthers starters. But as always, we're

(00:53):
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tire buying should be Now, I mentioned Roman numeral four
and five.

Speaker 4 (01:52):
Yeah, I'm surprised you want Roman numeral number four, which
is my picks. I was six and seven coming in
and one zero for two tonight in my picks.

Speaker 3 (02:02):
Well, I guess I'm asking, are you gonna change your
philosophy at all here on the free season? Is there
anything that you've learned here that's gonna make you change
the way that you're picking games to try to turn
this thing around.

Speaker 5 (02:13):
Okay, obviously, how dare you ask that?

Speaker 6 (02:15):
You know?

Speaker 5 (02:15):
I'm glad your wife.

Speaker 4 (02:17):
Isn't listening tonight because you know, just because you reach
a rough patch in the marriage, you know it. But
you've been married twenty years and you've had a tough month.
You don't call it quits and say you're getting a divorced. No, no, no,
this is just a rough patch. I was three and one.
I've hit a rough patch. I'm gonna get back on
the straight and arrow.

Speaker 5 (02:36):
I feel good. I'm ready to roll on my.

Speaker 4 (02:38):
Next eight picks. So we'll see what happens, but I'll
get back on it. It's it's gonna go. I mean,
I just had the worst luck tonight. It's unbelievable.

Speaker 3 (02:47):
I mean, go figure gambling involves luck whenever it comes
to a preseason football game.

Speaker 5 (02:53):
I was up twenty one to three and a half. Time.

Speaker 4 (02:55):
Who who doesn't cover a game when you're up twenty
one to three at halftime?

Speaker 6 (02:59):
A team that rings in its third and fourth team.

Speaker 4 (03:01):
Guys, even if I was playing, you still should cover
something like that.

Speaker 6 (03:05):
They didn't.

Speaker 5 (03:09):
Spreads.

Speaker 4 (03:10):
There's a lot of big spreads in the NFL in
preseason week two, like seven, seven and a half, six
and a half, A lot of big numbers out there.

Speaker 3 (03:19):
Well, I can't wait to hear how you're going to
write the ship with eleven preseason games tomorrow. In fact,
we've got like an NFL schedule. Things start at noon
Central one Eastern. We've got games on the NFL network. Well,
that's the first game Jaguars lines. Tomorrow, You've got Dolphins
and Texans.

Speaker 5 (03:38):
I mean, I'm all over that. I that.

Speaker 3 (03:41):
I mean, with the way you're talking about how a
baut CJ. Stroud look, I mean, is that a I mean,
is that a legacy game for him?

Speaker 6 (03:47):
Tomorrow? Arnie is on the line.

Speaker 5 (03:50):
I took the Texans over the Dolphins tomorrow.

Speaker 6 (03:53):
Oh did you really?

Speaker 5 (03:54):
Yeah?

Speaker 4 (03:54):
Yeah, the Dolphins look so bad at that first preseason game.
I until they show me any serious desire to win
a game, I'm just gonna go opposite to them.

Speaker 5 (04:05):
I'm not thinking everybody, I'm I'm the smartest.

Speaker 6 (04:07):
Guy in the room, noodle.

Speaker 4 (04:09):
I'm using my brain now, my inside source called common
sense now is telling me which way to go.

Speaker 3 (04:15):
You know this is our last weekend without quote unquote
real football. You know, we got college football, and so
basically we are a week away from people complaining about
how bad the first weekend of college football schedule sucks.
When you've got Notre Dame and Navy and you've got
what San Jose State and USC or something like that,
I mean, I can't wait to get in next Sunday night,

(04:38):
and here you complain about how terrible that Week zero
slate is.

Speaker 4 (04:41):
I could play last night about how terrible Week zero.
It's not called week zero anymore's Week one.

Speaker 3 (04:46):
Well, then you have two teams that are playing Week
one games, So I mean, what does that does that
mean now that games that are being played that Thursday?
Are they still week one? Now? If you stop it
right now, I'm just asking a question. I want make
sure I get it right.

Speaker 6 (05:01):
I don't know.

Speaker 4 (05:01):
I know Week one ends like September fourth, from whatever
it is up to this, and then after that is
Week two.

Speaker 5 (05:08):
So games that are any more question.

Speaker 3 (05:10):
Games that are played on Saturday, August twenty sixth, the
team like Notre Dame, AM a team like USC, they're
considered a Week one game.

Speaker 5 (05:18):
Yeah, correct? It used to be Week zero, but they're
week one.

Speaker 6 (05:21):
Okay.

Speaker 3 (05:21):
Yeah. So then when USC turns around to places in
Nevada on September ninth, that's also a week one game.

Speaker 5 (05:27):
No, September ninth is now week two?

Speaker 6 (05:30):
Is?

Speaker 3 (05:30):
Did I say September ninth? I'm sorry, I'm sorry, I'm
in September second. Would that still be a week one
game too?

Speaker 5 (05:35):
Yes, that's a week one game.

Speaker 3 (05:36):
Yes, okay, So we're gonna have teams that played two
Week one games.

Speaker 5 (05:41):
I guess because you.

Speaker 6 (05:43):
Welcome to the weirdness that is college football.

Speaker 3 (05:45):
Notre Dame and Navy have a but I think a
lot of teams that are playing on that first Saturday
have buys that next week. But you watch, I'll tell
you what's gonna happen. Nerd moment before we get to
Roman numeral number. I believe it's five here that I
wanted to get to Arnie total Nerd Noe moment. You're
going to start seeing more coaches push their administrators and
athletic directors to play in that early week. You know why,

(06:07):
because you can start practices earlier, and the sooner you
can get those guys in the practice field, you get
a little extra time.

Speaker 6 (06:14):
I think that college.

Speaker 3 (06:15):
I think the TV networks will want better matchups in
that opening weekend, right, And when I say opening weekend,
I mean.

Speaker 6 (06:21):
Week zero slash week one.

Speaker 3 (06:22):
Now, I think you're gonna start seeing more people want
to do that because you're able to start practices soon.

Speaker 6 (06:26):
Is it?

Speaker 4 (06:27):
But like you said, is it going to be cream
puff opponents or are they going to have, you know,
a decent game.

Speaker 5 (06:32):
Look at the lines on some of these games.

Speaker 4 (06:34):
Thirty on the USC game, twenty one on the Notre
Dame game. There's some big the thirty five on the
Michigan game, almost thirty or twenty eight on the Tennessee game.

Speaker 3 (06:44):
It's crazy. Yeah, no, you do not have good Week
zero matchups. We had to try to create a good
and I know week one now we try to create
one with Northwestern and Nebraska.

Speaker 5 (06:55):
Oh yeah, remember that?

Speaker 3 (06:56):
And who would have thought that that would be Nebraska's
in for Scott Frost essentially, and it would be the
last win for Pat Fitzgerald because Northwestern didn't win another
game that entire season. You know, a couple of years
ago we had Miami in Florida that was really fun
in the opening weekend. I don't know if coaches want
to crush themselves, aren't you. I think you're onto something there,

(07:16):
but I think you will see more people say yeah,
we'll take that first Friday or that first Saturday more
specifically and in the college football season. And okay, another sidebar,
another nerd note to this, how does the schedule change,
if at all, when we go to twelve in the
playoffs and we had extra games in the playoffs.

Speaker 4 (07:34):
Notre Dame does not don't play a second game in
that first week there you go, yeah.

Speaker 3 (07:39):
Wait, they don't have the buye. They're gonna play again
on the second Yeah, gosh, that sucks. Traveling back from Ireland.
Good luck.

Speaker 6 (07:47):
You got to turn around and play what Delaware State
or somebody?

Speaker 4 (07:51):
Tennessee state, Tennessee. You're close, You're very close on that.

Speaker 6 (07:54):
Way to go now, closest Tennessee in Delaware.

Speaker 5 (07:56):
A couple of we saved school. I think now I'm
gonna get in trouble for that.

Speaker 3 (08:00):
No, no, no, you're fine. I don't think the Scotty's
the diehard Tennessee.

Speaker 4 (08:04):
Our bosses I just met from the Alumnia Tennessee stadium.

Speaker 3 (08:07):
No, no, no, Scott Scotty oats on Twitter is our big
diehard Tennessee fan.

Speaker 6 (08:11):
He's going to be the guy that'll come after you
for that.

Speaker 3 (08:13):
You CLA Dodger Frank a couple of quick tweets or exes,
and then we'll get to Arnie's topic that has been
on the rundown for a couple of weeks.

Speaker 6 (08:21):
Now that does deserve a conversation.

Speaker 3 (08:23):
That's worse to first, but UCLA Dodger Frank Right, I
work at Sofi Stadium and a ragin pretty heavily during
the Georgia TCU National Championship game in January, rain sideways.

Speaker 6 (08:33):
And heavily all day.

Speaker 3 (08:34):
Okay, that's a little bit reassuring to see if it
can handle parcipitation. But Arnie, I think we're looking with
Hurricane Hillary. This seems to be a little bit more
historic than what we dealt with National Championship week in right.

Speaker 4 (08:48):
Question is this how bad does it affect the playing field?
You know, I've not been in so far, but as
you know, the SEGA told you they had a little
bit of a delay with.

Speaker 6 (08:58):
Lightning Theaters Chargers game last year.

Speaker 4 (09:02):
And you know, what, do you really want to risk
injury if the field is slippery? And I don't know
how slippery it could be. I have no idea, but
I'll put it in this way. If I'm a starter
in the NFL, I think I'll pass on that game.

Speaker 5 (09:14):
I think I'll go ahead and said that one out.

Speaker 7 (09:15):
Yea, it was an artificial turf field. Guys. They do
have the translucent roof covering just open on the sides.
Although it is noticeable day game, it is brighter in
the press box because the sun comes through the roof.
A night game, your notes are kind of obscured because
you noticeably have to find another source of light. It's
an odd stadium. I understand why they did that. They

(09:37):
also had to because the planes fly to lax over it.
They had to dig essentially like ten stories down to
make it a smaller footprint in the city of Englewood
so the planes could fly over. There are all these
things going into it. I still think the bottom line
is what we talked about last hour, of how is
it for the people who live and work there in

(10:00):
the surrounding area, getting in getting out the actual nuts
and bolts of an NFL event.

Speaker 3 (10:07):
Ingress egress Whenever you're dealing with what looks to be
a historic weather event.

Speaker 7 (10:12):
Yeah, and they thought the egress would be really bad
last weekend during the exhibition because there was a Drake
concert next door, and therefore nobody could park at the
Forum next door and Rams Parking is sold out for
the season, and so, oh my goodness, we're gonna have
two things maybe getting out at the same time. Good
luck with that. And it turns out the concert went longer,
so everything was fine.

Speaker 6 (10:32):
This will be.

Speaker 7 (10:33):
Completely different again. Scheduled for seven pm Eastern Sunday in Englewood.

Speaker 3 (10:37):
So you were able to make the Drake concert then
whenever you were done, that was your Thomas Steve No.

Speaker 7 (10:43):
But that was a constant item of comedy with people
in the press box that they were hoping the game
would move along so they can walk over next door.

Speaker 3 (10:52):
Hey, as we come to your life from the tyrock
dot Com studios. Not going well at Chavez Ravine update,
top of the fourth inning. Dodger's trailing them seven to one, Arnie.
If the Dodgers don't make it twelve straight tonight, do
you put Dave Roberts on the hot seat like Pelichick?

Speaker 7 (11:08):
Exactly. It's not just seven to one already, it's four
home runs off starting pitcher Tony Gonsolin in three plus innings.

Speaker 6 (11:16):
That's not good.

Speaker 7 (11:17):
None of them cheapies, all of them four hundred feet
or more.

Speaker 6 (11:22):
That's not good.

Speaker 3 (11:23):
Do I start panicking now about Gonsolin. I've been riding
the roller coaster of love with him. One moment, I'm
ready for him to go back to Oklahoma City and
try to fix things. The next moment, I'm giving him
the cy Young Award.

Speaker 4 (11:35):
How do you know it's between my Dodgers and the Braves.
Quit saying you're Dodger to get into the World Series.
So let's be honest. It's gonna come down between those
two teams.

Speaker 3 (11:44):
Your name is Shane, you can't say my Dodgers.

Speaker 7 (11:49):
If the Braves win, to the job as Atlanti's record
will be eighty and forty two this year. They have
just been ridiculously good.

Speaker 6 (11:56):
Did you see this coming with the Dodgers though?

Speaker 3 (11:59):
And I I don't have a lot of like baseball buddies.
I have a handful. And their point is, yeah, I
We'll look who they're playing. Well, Milwaukee's a team that's
battling for first place right now.

Speaker 7 (12:10):
And Miami could be in the playoffs. But you're right,
before it was say we're playing the Royals in Arizona slumping,
and that's right, Colorado and the A's exactly.

Speaker 4 (12:20):
But that's been the most disappointing the division ever the
last couple of years. Padres thinking up to join this year.
That's just so horrible. It's unbelievable.

Speaker 7 (12:28):
The Padres with that payroll fifty eight and sixty four.
You know, we talked last hour about the Angels being
seven games out in the wild card. Padres are five
games out in the National League wildcard chase.

Speaker 3 (12:40):
The Dodgers are in trouble right now. Their run differential
right now is plus one forty seven. And by the way,
that's not even the tops in the National League because
the Braves are ridiculous at two twelve. So you've got
those two teams on a collision course. Though the Dodgers
trail here tonight. All right, it's already even playing. Sitting
in for Adjason and Mike on a Fox, can I

(13:01):
say Football Friday, because we are counting down to the
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and save at Progressive dot com. Arnie, you've been wanting
to talk about it. I feel like you've chosen your team.

(13:22):
You have options. Every year somebody makes that jump from first,
are from worse to first. You've got options like the
Denver Broncos right when you look back at the twenty
twenty two season. But you did also end Russell Wilson's
career last week.

Speaker 5 (13:40):
Yeah, it's done, sofa.

Speaker 3 (13:43):
You've got the Cleveland Browns under de Shaun Watson full
year now of being in the mix, the Texans from
the AFC South, and everybody's favorite worst to first pick
so far, the New York Jets.

Speaker 6 (13:57):
In the NFC. You've got the Commander's Bears.

Speaker 3 (14:00):
Yeah, the Falcons and the Saints finish in a seven
and ten tie, and then the Arizona Cardinals. So if
you decided that you've got your team that's going from
worse to first in twenty twenty three.

Speaker 5 (14:11):
Well it's a very easy one. Absolutely a piece of cake.

Speaker 6 (14:15):
New Orleans.

Speaker 5 (14:16):
Now, are you want it right now?

Speaker 6 (14:18):
I mean I got nothing else planned for this second?

Speaker 5 (14:20):
Oh, yeah, well it was the Saints.

Speaker 4 (14:21):
You know, I'm picking up to go to the Super Bowl,
so of course I'm gonna go ahead pick for them
to win the division. Such a lousy division out there,
and really there's not gonna be much competition when you
go ahead and look around. I mean, they're gonna be
the class of the division, will probably run away with it,
maybe get a number one seed. They're really a better
I think cars just going to have a super year.

(14:42):
I think there's just gonna be uh, you know, it'll
play freely like probably wasn't able to play with the Raiders.
It's just gonna be five one year too early for
Peter King and that Saints pick. So I'm saying it's
the Saints that go from Warts the first. If I
was gonna go with another team, I'm starting to like
the Bears a lot. I'm thinking, you know, maybe in
that division of Minnesota falters a little bit, maybe the

(15:04):
Bears can go for Wars the first because their defense
looks a lot better.

Speaker 3 (15:08):
This is that moment too, where you know, I love you,
but I have to point out both of these pigs
are based on one half and even one drive of
a preseason No.

Speaker 4 (15:19):
I was gonna have the Dolphins and the Cowboys in
the Super Bowl, but I backed away from the Cowboys.
I'm like, what's wrong with you? Are the Cowboys really
gonna go Poward? Really gonna be a stud running back
after what happened to him? Do they really got enough offense?
Do you want to put all your marbles into somebody
like Dak Prescott. I'm like, no, no, no, and no,

(15:41):
I'm changing that pick. I'm done with that one.

Speaker 3 (15:43):
Okay, all right, listen, I'm not gonna doubt I believe
that you didn't watch that first drive with Derek Carr
and the Saints starters and say I.

Speaker 5 (15:52):
Saw that one.

Speaker 4 (15:53):
Hey, come on, you know what the NFL expert here,
So I'm not here because I'm not a pretty face.

Speaker 5 (15:57):
I go ahead, and I'm here for the football pick.

Speaker 4 (16:01):
So yeah, they did look pretty good the shows today
and they look real damn good.

Speaker 6 (16:04):
What's wrong with that?

Speaker 3 (16:05):
I would No, I'm not disagreeing yet, but it's just
to me, that is you putting too much on one drive. Now,
if you set back, like you said, and you started
looking at the Cowboys and you thought that is kind
of rough, Pollard's not one hundred percent. They didn't really upgrade.
Where did Dallas upgrade this offseason? I'm counting on them.

(16:29):
They kinda held serve a little bit with with their roster,
and they they're all in now on on Dak Prescott.
I would completely And they even drafted a guy that
they probably could have gotten the second round in Mazy Smith,
though everyone's kind of losing their mind about him. I
would completely understand if you really took that look at

(16:49):
the Cowboys and thought they're not a Super Bowl contender.
I tend to believe you lost your marbles over one
good drive.

Speaker 5 (16:56):
You know you keep saying one good drive.

Speaker 4 (16:58):
Drive Chris, if I sent you on a date and
run a date for two hours and for an hour
and a half, the date went well, but for the
other thirty minutes, it was the worst thirty minutes of
your life. I'm gonna say, you're gonna let thirty minutes
of your life dictate whether you like this girl or not.
You're gonna say, yes, that's exactly what I am. I'm
never gonna date her again. That was the worst thirty
minutes of life. So that's the analogy I'm gonna give

(17:20):
you there, My friend.

Speaker 3 (17:21):
Well, okay, the facts thirty an hour and thirty, Arnie,
they had one good drive. That's not an hour thirty
of two hours? How many times minutes of one? One
drug there?

Speaker 5 (17:38):
And if you would have had two drives, who knows
how many?

Speaker 7 (17:41):
You know?

Speaker 6 (17:43):
I just can't.

Speaker 5 (17:45):
I don't understand. Can't you kind of watch and and
kind of see what's going on?

Speaker 4 (17:50):
Do you have to like see the whole game to
figure out who's good and who's bad? You know, when
you see somebody, you see a girl walking down the street,
do you I shouldn't have no. I just you have
to know where for a year before you decide yes,
pretty or not. You can't decide in like thirty seconds
or last what's wrong with you?

Speaker 3 (18:10):
Well, I mean you're comparing a reactionary take on looks
to a seventeen game analysis of how you think a
football team is going to do based on one drive.
I'm just saying I think it's a little bit deeper
than that.

Speaker 7 (18:25):
I have a reactionary start. Tony Gonsolin should not get
a start in the playoffs. He's just giving up his
fifth home run of the night and they finally pulled him.
I think the precincts are in and the Dodgers eleven
game winning streak is ending tonight. It's ten to one Miami.
In the top of the fourth, Gonsolin exits after ninety
seven pitches in three and a third.

Speaker 5 (18:47):
Wow, my Dodgers are coming back to win this game.

Speaker 6 (18:50):
Mercy rolling baseball at all? Can they mister something? Yeah?

Speaker 7 (18:55):
I would take it, because they have to play too tomorrow.
Remember there is no Sunday.

Speaker 6 (19:00):
That's why.

Speaker 3 (19:01):
Okay, that's why they were having him wear it for
so long. All right, that makes sense.

Speaker 7 (19:05):
Yeah, they're bringing up a triple A guy for one
of the games.

Speaker 5 (19:08):
Last week.

Speaker 4 (19:08):
They should have let Fernando pitch. You know what was
Fernando weekend, So should have let him gone out there.

Speaker 7 (19:14):
And last weekend, by the way, the reference to all
the rain when TCU was getting killed by Georgia at
the Rams Stadium, there were videos out I remember that
night of the flooding at the plaza like at the
south end of the stadium, because there's no wall at
that set at that end of the stadium, so good
luck walking through that. That's not the kind of thing
that would cancel a game, though, was the point the

(19:34):
game itself. Like we said, it's not like there's gonna
be a soggy field like nineteen seventies NFL films or something.

Speaker 3 (19:43):
You're not gonna be watching a game from the old
Chicago Bears Stadium where it's just a mass and no
one can move at all. All right, So the bad
Tony Goslin has shown up tonight. We'll go in depth
in his last few starts coming up in a bit,
but it's already brought up worse to first in eighteen.
In the last twenty season, at least one team went
from worst to first. Who you got this year, Arnie

(20:04):
Spanner says, the Saints and is taking them to the
Super Bowl. Yes, the Super Bowl. We'll continue to react
to that next on Fox Sports Radio.

Speaker 2 (20:13):
Be sure to catch live editions of The Jason Smith
Show with Mike Harmon weekdays at ten pm Eastern seven
pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the iHeartRadio app.

Speaker 6 (20:27):
Hey it's Arny Plank.

Speaker 3 (20:28):
We're bought to buy Discover at the end of your
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com slash match. I just heard from maybe the happiest
guy on the planet. Bobo came by the tire Rock
dot com studios. Oh our buddy eron Arnell.

Speaker 5 (20:50):
He heard.

Speaker 3 (20:50):
He was so excited he heard that you were no
longer picking his cowboys for the Super Bowl. He had
to just come down and check in because he knew
that meant the cowboys are on their way to see dude.

Speaker 8 (21:00):
I celebrated. I'm sorry, I celebrated. I had to come
on mylex out the way just to say I had
to quit, just so I already wouldn't pick the cowboys anymore.

Speaker 6 (21:09):
That was there we go, there you go.

Speaker 4 (21:11):
So happy times for you if I'm make congratulations on
you getting married.

Speaker 5 (21:15):
My friend miserable as the rest of us intation.

Speaker 6 (21:19):
You kept saying he was coming, but I didn't see you.

Speaker 5 (21:21):
What happened?

Speaker 4 (21:21):
No, you just sent me an invitation, so I can
send you a present, But it doesn't matter.

Speaker 5 (21:27):
I get one full year according to etiquette. So is
that the rule that you didn't know that I did not.
I didn't know that either, but my wife told me
you get.

Speaker 6 (21:35):
One full year. Okay, So one of my.

Speaker 4 (21:39):
I was actually gonna go buy your present last I'm
not kidding around. I was that you're gonna go buy
it last week because I got a present for Danny
g because he just had a kid.

Speaker 5 (21:48):
So I said it at the same time.

Speaker 6 (21:49):
So, well, congratulations, I'm miss you. I'm just saying there.
But I didn't quit. I still work for a couple.

Speaker 5 (21:56):
We fired you because you're a Cowboy fan.

Speaker 6 (21:58):
But now there's your gift.

Speaker 3 (22:00):
Hey, Bubba, there's your gift taking the Cowboys, which the
funniest part of all that, And you know this better
than anyone. As soon as the Cowboys win their first
three games or go four and one or something, they
quickly become my Cowboys and the curse is on, so
I don't have.

Speaker 6 (22:16):
To hear it.

Speaker 8 (22:16):
So the curse wouldn't be here because I'm working on
another show now.

Speaker 4 (22:21):
So yeah, I think VJA was looking at this schedule
of the Cowboys. I think it was their schedule, and
he said they could, Yeah, they could possibly start off
seven and zero or six and one. Look at their
first seven games, my Cowboys.

Speaker 5 (22:39):
Yeah, it's crazy.

Speaker 4 (22:41):
Can you imagine Cowboy fans coming in and with a
six and one record? The only tough guy. Game I
think is they have against San Francisco on the road
and they could win that.

Speaker 5 (22:50):
Think about that.

Speaker 4 (22:51):
Even if they don't, they can come in six and
one after their first seven.

Speaker 8 (22:54):
Let me ask you a question, Arnie, Yeah, what is
the Dolphins record going to be this year?

Speaker 6 (22:58):
Like? Because you ain't.

Speaker 8 (23:00):
Gotta worry about me teasing you every day every weekend?

Speaker 5 (23:03):
What what's your record?

Speaker 6 (23:05):
Is?

Speaker 5 (23:05):
They're gonna win twelve or thirteen games?

Speaker 4 (23:08):
Joe?

Speaker 6 (23:08):
What happens?

Speaker 5 (23:09):
Well?

Speaker 4 (23:10):
I look, I know it's gonna be tough to win
the division. I had him winning the first two games,
and then I got nervous becase they're getting injuries left
and right. But there's no doubt in my mind they'll
make the playoffs. They'll fight it out for the division,
but they'll make the playoffs.

Speaker 5 (23:23):
Okay, we'll see.

Speaker 6 (23:24):
Boy, this is becoming very very soft on his prediction.

Speaker 5 (23:28):
Wow, I can't say we're winning the division.

Speaker 4 (23:31):
We got the Bills and now that just pick up
Dalvin Cook and they got me scared now, so I'm
worried about that. Thank goodness Green Day won't trade them
back the Ari otherwise I'd be crying right now. Okay, yeah,
but Cowboys some six and one or seven and oh.
Can you imagine Cowboy fans coming in in seven and oh?

Speaker 5 (23:50):
In all your years have had the Cowboys? Have the Caboys.

Speaker 8 (23:54):
Let me ask you, is it not true that every
fan of a franchise the same thing when their record
is good.

Speaker 5 (24:02):
Yeah, but Cowboy fans are extra obnoxious. And you know that.

Speaker 4 (24:07):
I mean, it's it's one thing for any team to
come in six and one or seven to oh, and
then there's another thing for the Cowboy fans to come
in like that. It won't be nauseating, but you know what,
it could be fun at the same time, but you
know it's gonna be extra nauseating if it's the Cowboys.

Speaker 5 (24:21):
Yeah, I don't.

Speaker 3 (24:24):
I don't necessarily know that. I see six and oh.
Here for the Dallas cab We'll start the season. They
go to the Giants to open up the season. They
get the Jets at home. You go to Arizona, which, okay,
there's one, but then it's New England, San Francisco and
the Chargers and back to back to back weeks.

Speaker 4 (24:43):
New England's gonna be a last place team. And then
they have the Rams after the Charger game too.

Speaker 3 (24:49):
So I don't think that makes them an easy out.
New England only seems to play well.

Speaker 4 (24:56):
We always argue about this. I don't have the strength
of schedule doesn't matter.

Speaker 6 (25:00):
Strength the schedule doesn't matter. I don't think it's you.

Speaker 5 (25:04):
Mean to start the year.

Speaker 3 (25:05):
It's at the end of the exactly, yeah, that shit whatever,
because everyone is like, gosh, strength to schedule.

Speaker 6 (25:11):
Look how hard that schedule is.

Speaker 3 (25:12):
Well, nobody was truly freaking out if you were having
to play Oh, I don't know, maybe Philadelphia last year
and what they became.

Speaker 5 (25:19):
But just look at the eye test.

Speaker 4 (25:21):
I just the first thing I think of, Just forget
if it's the Cowboys, if it's anybody's schedule, the first
thing I see is, Wow, that's a real easy seven game.
At least that's what it says to me. Yeah, the
San Francisco game is gonna be tough. Everybody who won't
have a tough game with their first seven. I just
look at that schedule. Goal whoever has that's gonna have
an easy road.

Speaker 5 (25:41):
I disagree.

Speaker 3 (25:43):
I see Arizona as easy on there, Arnie, you've got
to go to New York to play your rival, the Giants,
you'll get the Jets and Aaron Rodgers, but I mean,
who knows what that's gonna be. I'll give you Arizona.
But the Chargers are good. They were a playoff team
last year. The Niners are really good. And you might

(26:03):
think the Patriots are a last place team, but they're
gonna give Dallas everything they can handle it. Oh, by
the wayeke Ezekiel Elliott revenge game, and then after their
bye week in Week seven, you get and we'll see
what the Rams are and then you gotta go to Philly.

Speaker 6 (26:17):
I don't know if I call that easy and cake, but.

Speaker 4 (26:21):
If I'm right, you're playing a team in the in
the Cardinals, that's the last place county. I agree with
Hatreds are last place caliber team.

Speaker 5 (26:28):
The Jets.

Speaker 4 (26:29):
If they're not last place, they could be a third place.
So there's two last places in a third place. The
Rams aren't anybody to be as scared of. So there's
another team that's four victories right there.

Speaker 6 (26:41):
So basically they should just be undefeateed.

Speaker 4 (26:45):
No, they'll be out of those seven games. They'll probably
be favored in five of the seventh.

Speaker 6 (26:50):
Well, the Dallas Cowboys are always favored.

Speaker 5 (26:52):
No, No, that's.

Speaker 6 (26:53):
Not are they not?

Speaker 3 (26:54):
Do they not always get the the benefit of the
doubt as far as who's favored and who is it?

Speaker 6 (27:00):
Boys always did that when it comes.

Speaker 4 (27:01):
To Vegas and this is you know, that's more legit stuff,
and they it does change with which way the money
goes on. But no, that you'll see, they'll be. They'll
be favored in five of the steven. I'll be curious
to see. Well, wonder what that Giants Cowboys game is
in week one. I'd say close to a pick up.
I could be wrong off now that's three and a
half right now, oh Giants, No, it's three and a
half for Dallas.

Speaker 6 (27:22):
Wow.

Speaker 4 (27:23):
So yeah, then they'll be favored in every game other
than the forty niner game. But again that's I'm just
saying they have a better than fifty percent chance to
win every game other than one. If you're just doing
the math, that tells you it's a pretty easy schedule,
just simply mathematics.

Speaker 6 (27:41):
I'm gonna put that over your head.

Speaker 5 (27:44):
I don't know.

Speaker 3 (27:44):
I want to know what that math is that that did.
So when you say it's just math, what's the math?

Speaker 5 (27:49):
The math is?

Speaker 4 (27:50):
If you're favorite in every game but one. That means
you have a better than fifty percent chance of just
winning the game, forget about the spread. So you're gonna
have like a fifty two to fifty five percent of
winning every game other than one. Simply mathematics tell you
that you're going to be off to a good start.
If that's true, Am.

Speaker 5 (28:07):
I going over everybody's head?

Speaker 7 (28:08):
Now?

Speaker 5 (28:09):
Is everybody just going what I don't understand?

Speaker 6 (28:11):
I think a that your math is a little bit fuzzy.

Speaker 5 (28:15):
No, that's not fuzzy, and you use it better.

Speaker 3 (28:18):
You use a better explanation of that than you have
any of your picks in the history of ever.

Speaker 6 (28:25):
Hey, Arnie, why well, because.

Speaker 3 (28:26):
Of math, you gotta go fifty percent of your favorite
in this amount of games?

Speaker 6 (28:29):
Arnie, why'd you pick that team? I don't know. I
just had a gut feeling about him.

Speaker 3 (28:32):
You literally gave a better explanation as to why you
think the Cowboys have a soft early schedule than you
ever have any of your picks.

Speaker 6 (28:41):
I could tell you.

Speaker 4 (28:42):
Just thank you very much. I'm just you know, it's simple.
You know, I use that Arizona education and came up.
I'm very good at math. I don't know if you
know that.

Speaker 3 (28:49):
I don't think that's an easy stretch for the Cowboys,
mighty stretch of the imagination.

Speaker 5 (28:54):
You know how even go on a further thing.

Speaker 4 (28:55):
I bet so they'll be the only team that will
be favored in six of the first seven games.

Speaker 6 (28:59):
I'm sure they are.

Speaker 5 (29:00):
But again with somebody Kansas City, I think Dallas.

Speaker 6 (29:03):
Gets a little bit more of a benefit of the doubt.
Whenever it comes to.

Speaker 5 (29:07):
Going to pick Dallas to go to the super Bowl,
I may change my bike back.

Speaker 3 (29:10):
What you've done. Look what you've done? All right, Steve
is Sager. Sorry, we're running behind. Tony Goblin is terrible.
He's out of the game. So let's get caught up
on everything going on with a trending update with the
saga what's going on?

Speaker 6 (29:20):
Steen?

Speaker 5 (29:21):
Did you get that math to Sega? Did you understand
what I was saying?

Speaker 4 (29:23):
Or no, No, it's above your head. I figure you, Yeah,
you're smarter than all of that.

Speaker 6 (29:27):
I know you would. I figured an IVY League school.

Speaker 5 (29:30):
You get toward the line so I can explain it.

Speaker 7 (29:33):
I have to clarify. I was trying to do the
Dodger math with so many long balls here, I didn't
hear all of your math.

Speaker 6 (29:39):
What was it again? No, don't do that. Sorry, don't
do that too.

Speaker 7 (29:43):
By the way, it's not only Tony Gonsolin who's out
of the game once he gives up five home runs
and falls behind ten to one to the Marlins in
the fourth inning. Freddy Freeman has been pulled. Mookie Bets,
who's homwar? It has been pulled from the game. Starting
outfielder Jason.

Speaker 6 (29:56):
Heywom the game.

Speaker 7 (29:58):
It is a double headed tomorrow. Remember no game on Sunday.
The Dodgers eleven game winning streak will end tonight. Marlins
are leading eleven to two in LA. It's only top
of the fifth inning. The worst outing ever for Tony Gonsolin,
an All Star last summer, he gave up five home
runs in three and a third ninety seven pitches thrown.

(30:20):
David Vasse, the radio reporter for the Dodger, points out
the last time a Dodger pitcher gave up five home
runs in one game was fifty years ago, Don Sutton.
Just for the record, that needs to be by the way, David,
David Basse, that was back when starting pitchers used to
always stay in games. Also in progress, so You know,
we mentioned earlier that Shoheo Tani hit a grand Slam,

(30:43):
his forty third homer. They were going nuts in Anaheim,
but he can't pitch every day, and now they're losing.
Rays six ' five over the Angels in the bottom
of the seventh, and the Padres have one hit tonight
bottom of the seventh, Padres zero, Diamondbacks zero, Arizona one
game out of the final NL wildcard spot to start

(31:04):
the day. The Orioles are winning again, nine to four
at Oakland in the bottom of the six. Everything else
is final. Milwaukee held on for a nine to eight
victory at Texas, the Rangers with four runs in the
bottom of the ninth. Seattle a two nothing winner at Houston,
Julio Rodriguez with his third straight four hit game. He
went four for five. Houston as a team was four

(31:25):
for thirty victories for Colorado and the Mets Detroit split
a doubleheader at Cleveland. Minnesota got to win over Pittsburgh
five to one. The Braves won again. We mentioned last
hour how great Atlanta is. If they win tomorrow, their
record will be eighty and forty two. They've thrown three
straight shutouts, beat the Giants four to nothing and the
winning pitcher, Spencer Strider, seven innings, one hit aloud, ten strikeouts.

(31:49):
Strider is fourteen and four. How about this Dad? In
Major League history most strikeouts in your first forty five
starts in the majors Dwight Gooden three hundred and ninety
two and now Spencer Streider three ninety two in his
first forty five Major league starts. Wow Boston sent the

(32:09):
Yankees to a sixth straight loss eight three, and Cincinnati
homard in the bottom of the ninth to edge Toronto
one to nothing. There was a tie NFL game tonight
no overtime in preseason Atlanta kicked a late field goal
and thirteen thirteen as the final Falcons versus Bengals. Giants
were up twenty one to three at the half and
held on twenty one to nineteen over Carolina. The Ravens

(32:31):
signed edge rusher Jadevian Clowney. USA basketball won its exhibition
against Greece today one eight eighty six, tuning up for
the Feeble World Cup, and once again the three Southern
California ball clubs each had their games for this Sunday
rescheduled due to an approaching hurricane, they'll each play doubleheaders
on Saturday instead. In fact, the latest is that Las

(32:52):
Vegas is under floodwatch from tomorrow through Monday, and of
course the southern California deserts. It seems certain there will
be flowed there. As of now, the NFL exhibition with
Chargers and Saint Sunday Night is still on, but we
do know Sunday's two Major League Soccer games in LA
have been postponed.

Speaker 3 (33:10):
Back to you, what do you know, Steve, You talk
like somebody that knows this thing has already been canceled.

Speaker 7 (33:16):
No, I do not know that.

Speaker 6 (33:18):
You got its sores are He's not He's going to
take the night off.

Speaker 7 (33:25):
I would like to, and I have already asked the
boss what happens if.

Speaker 5 (33:29):
You didn't ask me anything.

Speaker 7 (33:32):
I asked the real boss, not the one who says
he I've.

Speaker 6 (33:37):
Had to read.

Speaker 3 (33:38):
I literally feel like filing a complaint with HR because
what's would Scott Shannon or Don Martin or someone remind
Arnie that he's not our boss.

Speaker 6 (33:48):
The way.

Speaker 5 (33:54):
You don't even know our boss's.

Speaker 6 (33:55):
Name, Spaniard, with the way that you talk.

Speaker 4 (33:59):
Oh my goodnesh know our buses day by now?

Speaker 5 (34:02):
You've been with the company twelve years. We've been here.

Speaker 6 (34:05):
I don't know if it's been twelve years, has it?

Speaker 3 (34:07):
You keep adding extra years to it, just like this
new and exciting show that's coming up on Sunday night.

Speaker 5 (34:13):
Yeah, I think at least ten years, maybe eleven.

Speaker 6 (34:17):
Hey, thanks Steve.

Speaker 3 (34:18):
Football fans, the return of our popular Saturday and Sunday
pregame shows, Countdown a Kickoff, presented by bet MGM, return
this weekend. Be sure to tune into Fox Sports Radio
every Saturday and Sunday morning three hours before a kickoff.
From now all the way through Super Bowl Sunday. On Saturdays,
Brian no, former PennState All American, Rich Ornberger and betting

(34:38):
analyst Jared Smith will walk you up to the college
football kickoffs, and on NFL Sundays you get Jeff Schwartz
and Bill Krackenberger. They'll lead you right up to the
early NFL kickoffs. You can listen to Countdown to Kickoff
weekday morning starting this Saturday, right here on Fox Sports
Radio and the iHeartRadio app. This is usually where you say,

(35:00):
why am I not on that show? Because of my
incredible picks?

Speaker 5 (35:03):
I know it is kind of mind boggling.

Speaker 4 (35:05):
Why I'm not sponsored by like every casino in the world.

Speaker 5 (35:09):
I'm shocked about that.

Speaker 4 (35:11):
You know, I want to get in one of those
contests this year, you know, like the super book contest
or the you know, the football betting contest. I think
I want to if I wish I didn't have to
get one of those proxies, but I.

Speaker 6 (35:21):
Want to do that this year. What's holding you back?

Speaker 4 (35:24):
I gotta get a proxy, you know, you gotta get
It's a whole deal to do that.

Speaker 6 (35:29):
Can I chill my ignorance? What is a proxy?

Speaker 5 (35:33):
You like?

Speaker 4 (35:34):
If I want to send in my picks, I can't
do it myself. I have to give it to somebody
else who then and puts it into the computer, and
then I got to give him a percentage of what
I win.

Speaker 6 (35:44):
Dang Man, this seems like some Godfather stuff.

Speaker 3 (35:47):
You gotta get in a different car to hand in
your ballot to have it actually entered into this contest.

Speaker 5 (35:53):
Heah, yeah, I going up. And if they enter it
rung or something like that, what happens then you know.

Speaker 3 (35:58):
Oh, you would be looking to blame somebody, that's for sure.
I still just I'm gonna let this go. But I
can't fathom that you would look at that Cowboys start
and think that's oh, that's soft.

Speaker 6 (36:10):
That's it.

Speaker 5 (36:11):
It has nothing to do with the Cowboys.

Speaker 4 (36:12):
If it was anybody, it was like the Texans start,
I go, Wow, they got a pretty easy schedule. They
could you know, I wouldn't say they go seven and zero,
but I go, they'd have a pretty good start out
of it. I think it's a pretty easy go out
it to begin with.

Speaker 3 (36:24):
There's one bad team in that mix. And I know
you're down on New England, but.

Speaker 4 (36:29):
Say that about every schedule when you start looking at
the first seven no.

Speaker 6 (36:32):
No, no, no, no no.

Speaker 3 (36:33):
I will tell you there's a few teams where you
look at their schedule and you're like, Okay, they're gonna roll.
Like Denver. Look at Denver's early schedule. Denver has a
soft early schedule. They get to open up with the Raiders,
bless their hearts. They get Washington, you go to Miami,
that's your tough game, and then you get Chicago. You've
got three games that you should win, and then you

(36:55):
get the Jets and the Chiefs and it gets tough.

Speaker 4 (36:58):
That's that to me, is that is I agree with
you too, that's a very sophto one. Also, then the
Packers after that, and then the Chiefs again, so other
than the two Chiefs games and the Dolphins are right,
that's that's about as soft as they come.

Speaker 5 (37:12):
Also, I agree with.

Speaker 6 (37:13):
You there, what would you now?

Speaker 3 (37:15):
You know, I push back against strength of schedule, But
do you know what's considered to be the most difficult
strength of schedule? In twenty twenty three? Do you know
what's considered the number one most difficult strength of schedule?

Speaker 5 (37:30):
I mean who has it?

Speaker 3 (37:31):
Or yes, who has the Which NFL team has the
hardest schedule? According to Sharp Football Analysis.

Speaker 4 (37:37):
It's supposed to be the Kansas City Chiefs or anybody
that won their division.

Speaker 6 (37:42):
Kansas City Chiefs are number five on this list.

Speaker 5 (37:45):
Well it's Philadelphia.

Speaker 3 (37:49):
Philadelphia is not in the top five. The most difficult schedule.

Speaker 6 (37:57):
Is the New England Patriots.

Speaker 5 (37:59):
How's that?

Speaker 6 (38:00):
Don't know?

Speaker 5 (38:01):
Patriots division are so tough?

Speaker 3 (38:03):
Maybe Patriots followed by Raiders, Dolphins, Bills in Chiefs. There's
three teams from the AFC East in there, and the Dolphins, Bills,
and Patriots.

Speaker 5 (38:12):
So that's because maybe the division is so tough for
us to do something.

Speaker 3 (38:15):
With that, maybe so, but I don't know. I mean,
Warren Sharp's a really smart dude. Pro Football Network has
their own calculation of it, and they have the they
have the Giants is the easiest skeed are the hardest
schedule in the NFL, so go figure. But as it
stands right now, the New Orleans Saints are estimated to
have one of the easiest schedules in twenty twenty three.

(38:37):
All right, we got a break. When we come back,
let's get you caught up on the Major League Baseball.
Got a couple of games in progress. Looks like the
Dodgers are tapping out tonight. Their run's gonna come to
an end. And read that promo got me fired up
for some college football? How quickly will the playoff change?
We'll debate it next. From the Tirack dot Com studios,
It's Arni and Plank.

Speaker 2 (38:56):
Be sure to catch live editions of The Jason Smith
Show with Mike harmon weekdays at ten pm Eastern seven
pm Pacific.

Speaker 5 (39:03):
Hey, it's me Rob Parker.

Speaker 9 (39:06):
Check out my weekly MLB podcast, Inside the Parker for
twenty two minutes of piping hot baseball talk featuring the
biggest names of newsmakers in the sport, whether you believe
in analytics or the I Test, We've got all the
bases covered. New episodes drop every Thursday, so do yourself
a favor and listen to Inside the Parker with Rob

(39:29):
Parker on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcast.

Speaker 3 (39:34):
All Right, Attorney and Playing brought to you in part
by Discover. At the end of your first year, Discover
credit cards automatically double all the cash back you've earned.
That's right, everything you've earned doubled. Seriously, sy terms and
check it out for yourself at discover dot com. Slash
match Jason and Mike in earlier today, I was in
for Doug. So if you miss them, you can find

(39:55):
it on the podcast page. Go to Fox Sports Radio
dot com. In the meantime, you want to you want
to a few of these tweets in the Final Cup.

Speaker 5 (40:02):
Yeah, we got a lot of them. So, yeah, go
through a couple of them.

Speaker 6 (40:04):
We got a little bit off the clock there with.

Speaker 5 (40:06):
My uh yeah's shame on you.

Speaker 6 (40:07):
Yeah, I'm terrible at this.

Speaker 5 (40:09):
I thought maybe you forgot that we had to take
a break. I wasn't going to say anything.

Speaker 3 (40:12):
Sure you weren't gonna say anything, uh truck or Joe writes,
as far as early season schedule, there's only two places
where it matters early in the season. That's mile high
standing because of altitude, and anywhere down south in the heat. Well,
the heat's pretty much there all year at places like
Jacksonville and Tampa. Right, But I could hear what he's saying, like,

(40:33):
what about the cowls in the.

Speaker 5 (40:34):
Northeast though in the uh you know, in the cold month,
what about.

Speaker 3 (40:37):
That matters, absolutely matters. You're one hundred percent right, But
I I'll buy the altitude. I'll buy the altitude a
little bit.

Speaker 6 (40:46):
But I don't know.

Speaker 3 (40:48):
I just I think strength of schedule is something that
you start to figure out as you get a little
bit later in the season.

Speaker 4 (40:54):
Right. By the way, I'd rather rather play in the
altitude ten out of ten times before I play the
freezing cold negative ten. You know, where a tackle just
stuns the hell out of you type game.

Speaker 5 (41:06):
I wouldn't want that, that's for sure.

Speaker 3 (41:08):
Have you with your hoops prowess, Arnie, when you were
playing all over the world, did you ever play in altitude?
Did it affect too much as a prime athlete.

Speaker 5 (41:16):
No, no, no, not at all. That doesn't bother me
at all.

Speaker 3 (41:19):
Right, justin in Cincinnati, writes Arnie. Guarantee the Marlins win
this game so we can witness history.

Speaker 4 (41:26):
Please, Yeah, the Dodgers already pulled everybody out. Otherwise I
thought maybe they'd come back.

Speaker 6 (41:30):
And win it.

Speaker 3 (41:31):
Well, he already tried to pick the Dodgers to come
back and win and legit. As soon as he did,
they took Freddie Freeman and moved the bats out of
the games like uugh, well, now with Chris Taylor out
there and left field and Enrique Hernandez over at first,
kind of feel like there's a chance. And Dodgers have
gone ahead and tapped out of this one. They trail
it eleven to three to the Marlins. Looks like the

(41:54):
winning streak is coming to an end. Hey, Steve the
Sager's got everything going on in the world of sports.
Plus Todd Furman will join us next hour and more
of your tweets with Arnie and Plank and for Jason
and Mike