Geoffrey Miller: International Geopolitical Analyst on the Israel-Palestine ceasefire

Three hostages are returning home after a 15-month-long capture, as a ceasefire is bought to the Israel-Palestine conflict.

The hostage-prisoner exchange is the first phase of the ceasefire, which is expected to last six weeks.

Hope for a complete withdrawal rests in the success of the first phase, International Geopolitical Analyst Geoffrey Miller said. 

He joins the show to discuss whether the ceasefire will sustain. 

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Incredible scenes out of Tel Aviv, well out of Gaza City. Actually,
when it comes to the release of the hostages, three
hostages from Israel have now been released by Hummas. So
you've got these hooded Hummas terrorists with AK forty seven's
handing over three young Israeli women to the Red Cross,
who will then hand them over to the IDF. The

(00:20):
three hostages have been handed back. At the same time,
you've got hundreds of Palestinian prisoners being released from Israel.
And Jeffrey Miller is with us this morning for the
very latest. Jeffrey, good morning to you, international morning. Good
to have you on the show, an international geopolitical analyst.
Of course, this has been a sort of a touch
and go overnight, hasn't it.

Speaker 2 (00:42):
It has, And we all had our breath last night
when the seaspile was delayed for several hours and there
was a possibility perhaps that the whole thing would have
fallen over, But in the end it was just delayed
and it has come into fall them. That's good news
for all of Palestinians, for Israelis as well. Has just
been catastrophic's been devastating over the past fifteen months and

(01:06):
it's just such good news to see this ceasefire in
place and those first hostages returning to their families.

Speaker 1 (01:12):
And obviously everyone's hoping that it holds. Phase one is
thirty three hostages in exchange for about two thousand Palestinians.
Do you expect it to hold?

Speaker 2 (01:23):
Look, it's anyone's guess. Really, it's just so early, i
think in the piece to really make any great productions.
It's a very complex deal. It's a three phad deal,
and we won't get the details of the second phase
until the fortnight's time, So basically in a fortnight's time
they will begin talks on the specifics of the second

(01:44):
phase of the deal. So at the moment, Israel still
has some forces around Gaza, and then in the second
phase they meant to make a complete withdrawal. But it's
very much that it's very much dependent on the success
of the first phase. So you know, really, if you
want the Sea Star to be a success, the message
for both Israelis and Palestinians and for Hamas is ready

(02:07):
that they've got to make it work and they've got
to hold up their end of the bargain. And that's
just critical because we just cannot go back to what
we've had. Almost forty seven thousand Palestinians have been killed
in this war. It's been devastating, of course for Israel
as well. We shouldn't forget those twelve hundred Israelis who
were killed way back on October seven, twenty twenty three,

(02:28):
and they've been many Israeli soldiers killed in the wars
as well. So it's been an absolute catastrophic event for
the Middle East. It's transformed the Middle East, and we
can all hope that this is the beginning of a
new dawn and that things will get better from here
on in.

Speaker 1 (02:44):
Absolutely, Jeffrey, thank you for that. Jeffrey Miller, international geopolitical
analyst here on news Talk said, we've just gone thirteen
minutes after seven o'clock. It is fascinating watching these pictures
and people Palestinians now returning home, but their homes are
all just rubble, some of them saying, well, I'll pitch
a tent on top of the rubble because this is
what I used to call home, this is where I

(03:05):
used to live, and this is where I'll return to.
But I mean, what kind of life are you going
to start living there? And Who runs Gaza after all
of this is the next big question. For more from
the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks i'd
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