Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Gavin Gray, the UK correspondents with us right.
Speaker 2 (00:02):
Now, Hey, Kevin, Hi there, Heather Devin.
Speaker 1 (00:04):
So we are seriously talking now about the possibility that
Kiir Starmer, the most boring man I've seen in ages,
is going to outperform Tony Blair's landslide.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
It's looking that way. So the polls open here for
the general election in twenty three and a quarter hours.
So very exciting stuff. But the last most recent opinion
poll from a very very well respected Polster group that
the leader of the opposition is on for a massive landslide.
(00:40):
They are predicting that out of the six hundred and
fifty seats in Parliament, the Keir Starmer's Labor Party will
win four hundred and eighty four. Now that'll mean that
they then possibly have a massive, massive majority of over
three hundred. I mean normally, when Boris Johnson got elected
in he won with a majority of eighty people were
(01:02):
amazed at that. The idea is somebody's going to get
in with a majority of over three hundred is stunning
and deeply worrying for the Conservative Party, the party of power. Indeed,
according to this opinion poll, these latest figures anyway suggest
that the Conservative Party Rishie Sunac's party may be down
to just sixty four MPs. Now that'll mean some very
(01:24):
very big names just disappear off our political map and
it means that they are only just the second biggest party.
So the Liberal Democrats, normally who you know in the
past really really suffered, particularly following the coalition with David
Cameron's government, would get sixty one, so only a little below.
(01:45):
Of course, all these are just forecasts, they aren't accurate votes,
but they were done on thirty four and a half
thousand different interviews with people up and down the country.
And yeah, the big question is what will happen tomorrow. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (02:00):
Now, now, obviously there has been a little bit of
a problem with the polling in the UK and the past.
Do you think they've got on top of them in
these poles completely trustworthy?
Speaker 2 (02:09):
I think the thing is with British people is we
quite like to be a bit naughty and do you
know what, at the moment, I don't know anyone who
would really tell me that they're going to vote Conservative.
I think there's a little bit of an era of
embarrassment about it. Certainly I've never seen fewer Conservative posters
going up around, you know, outside people's housing and so forth.
I think it's the fact people are just embarrassed to
(02:31):
admit it. But many are saying there's such a bad
choice between the two main parties, they probably feel they
might be compelled to go for something less palatable.
Speaker 1 (02:40):
Yeah, I understand that. So, and speaking of elections over
in France, more than two hundreds of the left wing
candidates have been.
Speaker 2 (02:46):
Withdrawn, have they yees so? On Sundays the second raft
in the French election, and these of course the votes
for the parliament they have there. What's very interesting is
that as we approach the second round, it normally goes
down to three candidates in each constituency, and normally that
means you get a centrist for the left wing and
(03:09):
then the right wing Marine Le Pennz Party. Now the
far right parties we know did incredibly well in the
first round and it has now really put the scarem
tactics on the others. They the other parties are saying, right,
in a three way race, we want one of the
candidates of the left or the center to drop out
(03:30):
and throw their support behind the other left wing candidate
in order to keep out the far right. So we
believe that some two hundred and maybe more of these
three way races are becoming two way races instead, and
that I mean that it's going to be a very
very interesting, significant runoff vote on Sunday. To add for
(03:53):
that spice, the far right parties say unless they get
an overall majority, they are going to refuse to appoint
a prime minister. It looks like they might be slightly
faltering and waving on that actually in a recent radio
interview that that's the outright attention, which we leave French
politics in a complete hole and really a constitution on nightmare,
(04:14):
nobody quite knowing what's going on. So they are trying
to strengthen their support. The left wing are trying to
coalesce the different parties to strengthen their support either way.
Interesting time ahead. Keep a note in the diary for
Sunday and those exit polls.
Speaker 1 (04:29):
Yeah, I mean for political geeks, this is quite a week,
isn't it. Gavin, Thank you so much, appreciated, Good luck
with the election tomorrow. That's Kevin Gray, are UK correspondent.
Speaker 2 (04:36):
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