Heather du Plessis-Allan: The latest on the US election

Let me get you up to speed on what is happening in the US election.

At this point, it is still really early.

There's a lot yet to happen, but it's feeling a hell of a lot like it could be Trump's night.

The New York Times has just started forecasting a Trump win.

They are running a needle on their site, and it basically swings one way or the other depending on how things are going at the moment.

It is leaning to Donald Trump and it's giving him a 69% chance of winning this election.

None of the seven swing states have been called just yet, but he is probably going to win - at least according to the New York Times - Georgia, he's got quite a lead there.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Okay, let me get you up to speed on what
is happening in the US election. Now at this point
it is still really early, and really have to stress
it is early. There's a lot yet to happen. But
I tell you what, it's feeling a hell of a
lot like it could be Trump's night. The New York
Times has just started forecasting a Trump win. They are
running a needle on their site and it basically swings
one way or the other depending on how things are going.

(00:22):
At the moment, it is leaning to Donald Trump and
it's giving him a sixty nine percent chance of winning
the selection. None of the seven swing states have been
called just yet, but he is probably going to win,
at least according to the New York Times. Georgia, he's
got quite a lead there, so I say probably right.
And North Carolina two swing states now potentially he will

(00:43):
win those, depending on how things are going, by a
lot more than the polls were predicting. Now a couple
of other things have also gone his way already. He's
won Florida. Florida, to be fair, historically a swing state,
but you know, since he's been in the running in
twenty sixteen's has pretty solidly been a Trump state. But
the interesting thing here is that the Democrats were talking
about the possibility that they could flip Florida over the

(01:05):
abortion issue. There that hasn't happened. He has won it
by a margin, and it is a huge margin. And
if that is a sign of the mood of the
country at the moment, he will be very happy. By
the end of tonight. He's also won Ohio again, a
Trump state, like Florida, used to be a swing state
but has been his since twenty sixteen. Again won it
by a big margin. Now, as I say, really early days, okay,

(01:28):
he is absolutely ahead in the electoral College vote, and
every single outlet that I've had to look at as
counting him like eighty votes higher than Karmala Harris, but
that is to be expected. There usually is what they
call a red mirage really early in the evening, where
they get a lot of votes coming in for the
Republicans and then the Democrats catch up later on. Nothing
surprising has happened at the moment. Neither side has actually

(01:49):
managed to flip a state against the other. But so
far two swing states and two signal states have gone
for Trump, and early on it feels like it's going
his way. We're going to keep you post throughout the
show for more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive. Listen live
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