Britain's Conservative Party is bracing for a huge loss, with only a few hours to go till polling booths close.
Keir Starmer's Labour is expected to close a 14 year chapter of Tory rule.
Projections expect them to have up to 431 MPs out of 650, with the Tories plummet to 102 MPs.
UK Correspondent Vincent McAviney told Mike Hosking the Liberal Democrats are now fighting for third place.
He says it will be a dramatic night in politics.
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
I'm good.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
How are you doing very well on doing? Speaking of parties,
how big is it going to be at Labor HQ
tonight you Regon.
Speaker 1 (00:06):
I think it is going to be pretty big. As
we speak. There are forty six million eligible voters going
to the polls here. They have until ten pm, and
on the last bit of polling that was released last night,
Labor is on course for the largest single party majority
since eighteen thirty two, with sixteen members of the current
(00:28):
twenty six member cabinet the government here expected to lose
their seats. To put that into context, only eleven cabinet
members have lost their seats in elections since nineteen seventy.
It is expected to be a huge night for Labor,
with them going up to as many as four hundred
and thirty one MPs out of our six hundred and fifty,
(00:51):
the Conservatives falling all the way down to one hundred
and two MP's, basically losing about two thirds of their
party in part parliament, and the Liberal Democrats are sort
of fighting now a bit for the third place because
they're going to go all the way up to seventy
two MP's. Its thoughts, that is their highest ever turnout
(01:12):
so it is going to be a bit of a
dramatic night in UK politics if these polls are to
be believable.
Speaker 2 (01:18):
Well, it was my next question, do you believe the poles?
When first of all tupac question you get an exit
pole and the exit poles, broadly speaking accurate. Second part,
do you believe the polls? Is it going to be
that big or not?
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Yeah, all of the UK broadcasters work together on the
exit pole. It there's a mammoth exercise. It is normally
pretty accurate. So that'll drop right at ten o'clock our time,
and it's thought that the sort of will start to
get maybe an indication at about three am four am
of how accurate it is. I think tonight honestly is
going to either be the death of the British Conservative
(01:50):
Party or the death of the British polling industry, because
if they have got it so wrong, then I think
the whole mechanism that they use using landline phones and such.
They are trying to diversify it, but then the whole
mechanism is completely busted. The Conservatives are going to be
in a state of freefall of it's going to be
believed because the Prime minister even for the first time
(02:13):
ever Rishie Sunak, no Prime minister has lost his seat before.
He will likely lose his seat, it seems on these projections.
And then there is going to be a big fight
between the sort of more centrist wing of the party,
the Cameronites that took them back into power in twenty ten,
versus the sort of far right of the party, the
Sewella Bravaman's, the Kemi Badanox, the people that were the
(02:34):
sort of leave tribe when it came to the EU ferendum.
Whether or not they take control of the party, but
I think it's pretty safe to say, no matter what
happens tonight or whoever comes out on top by how much,
it is very likely that this is the final day
of fourteen years of Conservative government in Britain.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
That is true. What do we make of the Reform Party?
They at least look like the going to at last
get a few seats.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
I think we're going to see no more than four
to five seats for them. The problem with Reform, as
it was with UKIP, is it is the Nigel Show.
He doesn't like sharing the spotlight. This is Nigel Farage
their leader. He is likely to become an MP out
in Clacton. I don't think, having known Nigel for a
long time, he's gonna much enjoy being an MP, to
(03:18):
be honest, because it sort of diminishes his platform. If
they've only got four or five MPs, he's just one
of sort of six hundred and fifty. He won't be
afforded sort of you know that many questions at Prime
Minister's questions. He also will have to declare all his finances.
He won't be able to jest around as much. You'll
have to do things like constituency surgeries. But there is
this sneaking suspicion that he might make a bid to
(03:40):
swap to the Conservative Party and try and take over
the leadership of that party. But there have been done
quite a bit of damage because a lot of their
candidates weren't properly vetted. There's been accusations levels of racism
by some of them. But also I've spoken to some
candidates around the country, Conservative candidates who've become slightly less
worried about THET in particular those who have a lot
(04:02):
of military personnel or families with military personnel who might
have been reform curious they're really unhappy with what Nigel
Frage has been saying about Vladimir Putin and his sort
of thoughts that NATO and the West provoked the invasion
of Ukraine. So whilst I think they will split a
lot of toy vote in parts of the country, in
the North particularly, I don't think they're going to be,
(04:24):
you know, anywhere going more than sort of five MP's
at maximum because of the way our system works.
Speaker 2 (04:30):
What you read on the usumpage, given all the problems
they've hid and does the rid wives sweep up north?
Speaker 1 (04:35):
I think Labor are going and this has always been
the problem for Labor. They were so locked out of
power after having lost basically all of their seats in
Scotland back in twenty fifteen after that independence referendum, when
the SNP storms through Scotland taking I think all but
one seat at the time. I think the SNP are
going to hold on to some of their key seats,
(04:55):
but they are going to be much diminished in Westminster.
They have tried to make this north of the border
a you know, this is the sort of final stand
for trying to get independence. They've had, you know, they
only had a leader in position for about a week
before this election was called after the previous one stood down,
and of course the Nicholas Sturgeon the police investigations ongoing
(05:16):
about what's been going on with party finances. What will
be interesting is Nicholas Sturgeon is one of the main
contributors tonight on the ITV Overnight election program, so she'll
be in the studio having to react in real time
to the fate of her party that she led for
a long time successfully.
Speaker 2 (05:31):
Jus are going to be fascinating time, all right, Vincent
appreciated very much, might go well. Vincent mcavinie, who was
in Britain for more from News Talks.
Speaker 1 (05:38):
It'd be listen live on air or online and keep
our shows with you wherever you go with our podcast
on iHeartRadio.
I'm good.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
How are you doing very well on doing? Speaking of parties,
how big is it going to be at Labor HQ
tonight you Regon.
Speaker 1 (00:06):
I think it is going to be pretty big. As
we speak. There are forty six million eligible voters going
to the polls here. They have until ten pm, and
on the last bit of polling that was released last night,
Labor is on course for the largest single party majority
since eighteen thirty two, with sixteen members of the current
(00:28):
twenty six member cabinet the government here expected to lose
their seats. To put that into context, only eleven cabinet
members have lost their seats in elections since nineteen seventy.
It is expected to be a huge night for Labor,
with them going up to as many as four hundred
and thirty one MPs out of our six hundred and fifty,
(00:51):
the Conservatives falling all the way down to one hundred
and two MP's, basically losing about two thirds of their
party in part parliament, and the Liberal Democrats are sort
of fighting now a bit for the third place because
they're going to go all the way up to seventy
two MP's. Its thoughts, that is their highest ever turnout
(01:12):
so it is going to be a bit of a
dramatic night in UK politics if these polls are to
be believable.
Speaker 2 (01:18):
Well, it was my next question, do you believe the poles?
When first of all tupac question you get an exit
pole and the exit poles, broadly speaking accurate. Second part,
do you believe the polls? Is it going to be
that big or not?
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Yeah, all of the UK broadcasters work together on the
exit pole. It there's a mammoth exercise. It is normally
pretty accurate. So that'll drop right at ten o'clock our time,
and it's thought that the sort of will start to
get maybe an indication at about three am four am
of how accurate it is. I think tonight honestly is
going to either be the death of the British Conservative
(01:50):
Party or the death of the British polling industry, because
if they have got it so wrong, then I think
the whole mechanism that they use using landline phones and such.
They are trying to diversify it, but then the whole
mechanism is completely busted. The Conservatives are going to be
in a state of freefall of it's going to be
believed because the Prime minister even for the first time
(02:13):
ever Rishie Sunak, no Prime minister has lost his seat before.
He will likely lose his seat, it seems on these projections.
And then there is going to be a big fight
between the sort of more centrist wing of the party,
the Cameronites that took them back into power in twenty ten,
versus the sort of far right of the party, the
Sewella Bravaman's, the Kemi Badanox, the people that were the
(02:34):
sort of leave tribe when it came to the EU ferendum.
Whether or not they take control of the party, but
I think it's pretty safe to say, no matter what
happens tonight or whoever comes out on top by how much,
it is very likely that this is the final day
of fourteen years of Conservative government in Britain.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
That is true. What do we make of the Reform Party?
They at least look like the going to at last
get a few seats.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
I think we're going to see no more than four
to five seats for them. The problem with Reform, as
it was with UKIP, is it is the Nigel Show.
He doesn't like sharing the spotlight. This is Nigel Farage
their leader. He is likely to become an MP out
in Clacton. I don't think, having known Nigel for a
long time, he's gonna much enjoy being an MP, to
(03:18):
be honest, because it sort of diminishes his platform. If
they've only got four or five MPs, he's just one
of sort of six hundred and fifty. He won't be
afforded sort of you know that many questions at Prime
Minister's questions. He also will have to declare all his finances.
He won't be able to jest around as much. You'll
have to do things like constituency surgeries. But there is
this sneaking suspicion that he might make a bid to
(03:40):
swap to the Conservative Party and try and take over
the leadership of that party. But there have been done
quite a bit of damage because a lot of their
candidates weren't properly vetted. There's been accusations levels of racism
by some of them. But also I've spoken to some
candidates around the country, Conservative candidates who've become slightly less
worried about THET in particular those who have a lot
(04:02):
of military personnel or families with military personnel who might
have been reform curious they're really unhappy with what Nigel
Frage has been saying about Vladimir Putin and his sort
of thoughts that NATO and the West provoked the invasion
of Ukraine. So whilst I think they will split a
lot of toy vote in parts of the country, in
the North particularly, I don't think they're going to be,
(04:24):
you know, anywhere going more than sort of five MP's
at maximum because of the way our system works.
Speaker 2 (04:30):
What you read on the usumpage, given all the problems
they've hid and does the rid wives sweep up north?
Speaker 1 (04:35):
I think Labor are going and this has always been
the problem for Labor. They were so locked out of
power after having lost basically all of their seats in
Scotland back in twenty fifteen after that independence referendum, when
the SNP storms through Scotland taking I think all but
one seat at the time. I think the SNP are
going to hold on to some of their key seats,
(04:55):
but they are going to be much diminished in Westminster.
They have tried to make this north of the border
a you know, this is the sort of final stand
for trying to get independence. They've had, you know, they
only had a leader in position for about a week
before this election was called after the previous one stood down,
and of course the Nicholas Sturgeon the police investigations ongoing
(05:16):
about what's been going on with party finances. What will
be interesting is Nicholas Sturgeon is one of the main
contributors tonight on the ITV Overnight election program, so she'll
be in the studio having to react in real time
to the fate of her party that she led for
a long time successfully.
Speaker 2 (05:31):
Jus are going to be fascinating time, all right, Vincent
appreciated very much, might go well. Vincent mcavinie, who was
in Britain for more from News Talks.
Speaker 1 (05:38):
It'd be listen live on air or online and keep
our shows with you wherever you go with our podcast
on iHeartRadio.
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