Bet The Process

Bet The Process

Jeff Ma and Rufus Peabody talk sports betting

Episodes

February 25, 2026 62 mins
This week on Bet the Process, Jeff chats with Ted Knutson - Statsbomb founder, soccer (football) expert, and long time friend. Topics discussed include finding betting edges in football, Ted's current work in women's football team management, and the challenges of balancing fan expectations with long-term strategic improvements.
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This week on Bet the Process, Tom Peabody joins Jeff and Rufus to recap their Super Bowl experience. Also discussed - upcoming golf plans, this year's Sloan analytics conference, and Jeff's flag football coaching struggles.
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This week on Bet The Process, Jeff and Rufus share their thoughts on the Super Bowl, then bring in Matthew Davidow to discuss further. Topics include player performances, prop bets, and modeling approaches with adjustments for game situations.
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January 30, 2026 65 mins
This week on Bet the Process, Kris Abdelmessih joins to discuss the evolution of trading firms and their strategic choices in the late 1990s and early 2000s, the challenges of selling startups and maintaining trading cultures, and today’s market making and prediction markets.
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January 22, 2026 49 mins
This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus welcome Adam Levitan, co-founder of Establish The Run, to discuss his evolution from DFS-focused projections to broader sports betting and prediction markets, as well as some college football recap and NFL analysis and predictions.
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This week on Bet the Process, NFL data analyst Kevin Cole (Unexpected Points on Substack) returns to break down the playoffs, recapping wild card weekend and focusing on the remaining games.
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This week on Bet the Process, Judah Fortgang (Throwthedamball on Substack) is back to cover NFL playoff matchups, including offensive/defensive strategies, player performances, and weather impacts.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus bring on old friend Preston Johnson, the Sports Cheetah, and discuss Crawley Town FC, Preston's journey away from sports gambling, and some college football playoff predictions.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus answer questions from listeners, with topics including their first times meeting Tony Kornheiser, betting second halves, and reflections on happiness and fulfillment.
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This week on Bet the Process, creator and host of the Risk of Ruin podcast John Reeder joins and discusses his journey into advantage play, his analysis of Long-Term Capital Management's failure and the broader implications for modern Wall Street, and reflects on teaching probabilistic thinking to children.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus welcome one of the biggest bettors on Polymarket and recent 60 Minutes interviewee Domer, to share his journey from poker to prediction markets, as well as his strategies and the importance of self-education and taking a balanced approach.
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This week on Bet the Process, Tulane professor and sports consultant Gabe Feldman joins to discuss the current state of college sports law, including new regulations around athlete compensation, and the legal status and regulatory challenges around sports betting and prediction markets. Rufus also continues the college football heater and gives more picks.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus go guest-less and discuss prediction markets, NCAA rule changes, and more college football heater picks.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus discuss the recent MLB pitching scandal and Rufus' issues with mold. Then Rufus interviews Mark Pattinson aka sprotzbettor, about NBA prop betting, integrating quantitative with qualitative data, and if/when AI will destroy sports betting.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus welcome football data scientist Tej Seth to discuss his insights on prediction markets and political candidates, as well as NFL related topics such as roster construction, coaching decisions, and recent deadline trades.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff interviews Jay Croucher of NBC Sports about his journey from law school to sports betting analyst, the differences between Australian and American betting landscapes, and some NBA and NFL futures markets. Rufus also gives Jeff some college football picks at the very end.
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On this week's Bet The Process, Rufus and Jeff talk football - both college and pro, while also discussing the latest news on prediction markets.
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This week on Bet the Process, Mike, aka mr_peanutbettor on X, joins to share his career journey and his thoughts on college football, including transfer portals and evaluating coaches over time.
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This week on Bet the Process, John Shilling joins to share his journey from online poker to sports betting, as well as discuss market-making strategies and trading approaches. Rufus also gives more college football picks.
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This week on Bet the Process, Jeff and Rufus recap the Ryder Cup, then Sean Zerillo of The Action Network joins to chat baseball betting strategies and playoff picks.
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