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January 2, 2026 • 24 mins

Track everything happening ahead of SpaceX Starship Flight 12 in one place. This live Starship Tracker follows the real-world milestones from Starbase as they happen, including vehicle status, test campaign progress, schedule signals, and any official updates that move the launch closer.What you will see on this tracker:Current readiness status and major pre-flight milestonesStarbase activity updates and test operations timelineShip and Booster progress checkpoints (as reported by credible sources)Launch window signals, delays, and what they likely meanFlight 12 news recaps when meaningful updates breakSources referenced may include: SpaceX statements, FAA notices, public filings, on-site reporting, and reputable spaceflight outlets. This is an independent tracker and is not affiliated with SpaceX.If you want more Starship coverage, subscribe and turn on notifications so you do not miss key Flight 12 developments.#SpaceX #Starship #Starbase #Flight12 #SpaceNews

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Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:00):
The most visible upgrade on Booster 19 involves the complete
transition to Raptor 3 engines, all 33 units.
These engines deliver 280 metrictons of thrust at sea level,
representing a 21% increase overthe Raptor twos 230 tons.

(00:23):
This performance gain stems fromsubstantially higher combustion
chamber pressure, 350 bar versus300 bar for Raptor 2, and a
specific impulse of 350 seconds compared to 330 seconds for the
previous generation. Critically, Raptor 3 achieves

(00:44):
this performance while being lighter, approximately 1525
kilograms compared to Raptor twos 1630 kilograms, through a
simplified design that eliminates unnecessary external
plumbing sensors and the need for external heat shielding that

(01:05):
required Raptor 2 engines to carry.
Beyond raw engine performance, the Block 3 booster incorporates
A foundational architectural shift, the integration of the
hot staging ring directly into the booster's structure.
In Flight 11 Block 2, this ring was an externally bolted on

(01:26):
component. With Block 3, the vented
interstage ring is now an integral forward Dome structure
welded directly to the methane tank, eliminating bolted joints
and reducing failure points. This change combined with the
removal of the majority of engine shielding, now
unnecessary given Raptor 3's thermal efficiency, results in

(01:50):
measurable mass savings that translate directly into improved
acceleration and vehicle performance.
The boosters structural integrity has also received
systematic improvements. The liquid notation tanks,
internal stringers, have increased from 76 to 96, a 26%

(02:11):
increase in internal reinforcement that substantially
improves structural stiffness and mitigates resonant
vibrations that plagued earlier flights.
SpaceX has also implemented a larger downcomer tube connecting
the methane tank to the engines,increasing propellant flow

(02:32):
capacity and enabling faster boost back maneuvers while
maintaining stability during landing phases.
The aft section piping network has been redesigned with
additional fluid management infrastructure to support higher
flow rates and reduce pressure oscillations.
One of the most significant recent discoveries involves

(02:55):
Booster 19's external pressurization system.
Following Booster 18's catastrophic COPV composite over
wrap pressure vessel failure in November 2025, SpaceX redesigned
the COPV architecture. Booster 19 now features bright

(03:16):
red external COP VS mounted on the lower booster section, a
radical departure from prior internal placement.
These external units are subjected to 4 specialized
testing bays that verify pressure tolerance and detect
hidden damage before vehicles fly.

(03:39):
This represents A fundamental design philosophy shift.
Instead of burying pressurization systems
internally where failures are catastrophic, SpaceX is
externalizing them for inspection, accessibility, and
redundancy. The three grid fin configuration
represents another departure from Block 2's 4 fins.

(04:03):
The new grid fins are approximately 1.5 times larger
than their predecessors, positioned lower on the vehicle
and now integrated directly withcatch points for the Pad 2
Chopsticks tower system. This repositioning reduces
thermal stress during hot stage separation, a critical

(04:24):
vulnerability that had haunted earlier flights, while the
larger reposition design improves downrange gliding
capability, allowing the boosterto travel farther on return
trajectories while consuming less fuel for control authority
assembly efficiency has proven the Block 3 designs
manufacturability advantage. Booster 19 was fully stacked in

(04:48):
just 28 days, compared to 175 days for Booster 18.
This roughly 6 fold improvement underscores that Block 3
redesigns were specifically engineered for rapid production
and suggests Spacex's manufacturing learning curve is
accelerating dramatically as thedesign matures.

(05:10):
Chip 39 brings complementary upgrades focused on in orbit
propellant transfer, thermal performance, and rapid
reusability. The Block 3 upper stage features
a redesigned tile architecture with different ablative coating
formulations optimized for the thermal environment of repeated

(05:33):
flights without major refurbishment where earlier
ships shed tiles and required extensive restoration.
Block 3's thermal management strategy targets immediate refly
capability essential for supporting the daily launch
cadence Elon Musk has publicly stated is the ultimate goal.

(05:55):
The propellant transfer systems have undergone comprehensive
redesign for orbital refuelling operations.
Ship 39 incorporates redesigned quick disconnects optimized for
transferring large quantities ofcryogenic methane and liquid
oxygen between vehicles in microgravity.

(06:17):
These connections interface withdocking mechanisms derived from
Dragon's Flight proven design, enabling reliable depot
operations at the heart of Artemis Lunar architecture.
Test Tank S 39.1 underwent extensive crush testing to
validate the new aft section geometry, and these results

(06:39):
informed final design refinements now incorporated
into the flight vehicle. The six Raptor engines carried
by Ship 39, three sea level variants and three vacuum
optimized units represent the vanguard of lunar descent
capability. The vacuum Raptors are
specifically designed for long duration burns at lunar

(07:02):
distances where restart reliability becomes mission
critical. SpaceX has conducted vacuum cold
start testing on Raptor vacuum engines in extreme conditions,
demonstrating the ability to ignite reliably after multi hour
coast phases in deep space, a prerequisite for the loiter then

(07:24):
descent profile required for Artemis 3 lunar operations.
Flight 11 conducting its final suborbital splashdown in October
2025, served as the definitive validation of Block 2V2
architecture. Booster 15 flew its second
flight carrying 24 flight provenRaptor 2 engines alongside 9

(07:49):
fresh engines. Ship 38 performed Florida State
deploying Starlink mass simulators and executing an in
space Raptor relight routine objectives by flight 11.
The critical distinction was theboosters landing sequence,
engineered specifically to test Block 3's planned 5 engine

(08:12):
configuration followed by three engine hover.
Flight 11 essentially served as a dress rehearsal for Block 3
techniques on Block 2 hardware. Flight 12 eliminates this
testing phase and commits to thefull architecture.
All 33 engines are wrapped to 3 units, the hot staging ring is

(08:34):
integrated, COPVS are external and inspectable, structural
reinforcement has doubled down on stiffness, and the grid fin
layout supports tower catches where Flight 11's booster made a
water splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico.
To avoid infrastructure risk during experimental landing

(08:55):
profiles, Flight 12 will executethose same landing sequences but
on hardware engineered for rapidtower capture, a fundamental
validation that Block 3 designs can withstand the dynamic forces
of a mechanical catch. This progression matters
operationally because every successful validation of a Block

(09:16):
3 system derisks that technologyfor the entire flight sequence.
Thereafter, Raptor 3 engines, once proven across a full 33
engine hot fire profile in flight, becomes certified for
routine operation. The integrated hot stage ring,
once tested through multiple flights, becomes mission

(09:37):
standard. External COPVS, once validated
through several cycles, become production baseline.
Flight 12 is not simply the nexttest, it is the moment Block 3
transitions from theory to operational reality.
The engineering changes in Blockthree are specifically
architected to enable a dramaticleap in payload capacity from

(10:01):
Block twos, approximately 35 tons, to low Earth orbit to
Block 3's design target of 100 tons.
This threefold improvement does not derive from a single
innovation, but from systematic compound improvements across
mass thrust and efficiency. The Raptor Threes 23% thrust

(10:24):
increase over Raptor 2 provides the foundational performance
gain, but payload capacity is ultimately a ratio problem.
The harder the vehicle accelerates, the more cargo it
can carry. The integrated hot staging ring,
by eliminating bolted interstagejoints and reducing external

(10:46):
hardware, saves approximately 100 to 150 metric tons of
structural mass relative to Block 2 designs.
Removal of engine shielding, a consequence of Raptor 3's
inherent thermal efficiency, eliminates another 50 plus tons
of booster mass. Improved structural stringers

(11:08):
and downcomer design reduce vibration induced stress,
allowing higher engine throttle settings throughout ascent
without exceeding structural limits.
Ship propellant margins improve through tighter tolerances and
better tank geometry, while the Vacuum Raptor engines improved
performance translates to delta V efficiency gains during the

(11:30):
upper stage push to orbit. Collectively, these changes
compound slightly less vehicle mass requires slightly less
fuel, which frees slightly more capacity for cargo, which means
the ascent profile can be slightly more aggressive, which
allows even more payload throughput.

(11:50):
The result is the 100 ton capability that Spacex's
official documentation now specifies for Block 3 vehicles.
Elon Musk publicly committed to this benchmark at the.
All in Summit in September 2025 stating unless we have some very
major setbacks, SpaceX will demonstrate full reusability

(12:11):
next year, catching both the booster and the ship and being
able to deliver over 100 tons toa useful orbit.
This statement encapsulates the three interdependent objectives.
Flight 12 begins to validate structural reliability,
demonstrating catch capability, reusability, proving vehicles

(12:32):
can fly again quickly, and performance confirming 100 ton
throughput is achievable. Flight 13, anticipated for June
2026, marks the inflection pointwhere Starship transitions from
suborbital demonstrations to theorbital operations underpinning

(12:55):
all future lunar and Mars missions.
Unlike Flight 12's suborbital arc, Flight 13 will represent
the first orbital refueling attempt between two Block 3
Starships, A tanker variant, anda target vehicle.

(13:15):
This mission will deploy 2 vehicles in low Earth orbit,
dock them, and transfer significant quantities of
cryogenic propellant, a capability that does not exist
on any spacecraft in operationalservice and remains the highest
risk item in Spacex's technical road map.

(13:37):
According to company president Quinn Shotwell, the tanker
Starship will be optimized for fuel transport with minimal
structural payload Bay modifications relative to
standard ships, but configured internally to hold and deliver
propellant efficiently. The target vehicle will serve as
a technology demonstrator for the Orbital Depot concept, a

(13:59):
spacecraft that will eventually station in low Earth orbit and
sequentially dock with multiple tankers accumulating propellant
to support a single lunar bound Starship HLS.
Why is Flight 13 critical for Artemis?
Because a single Starship ascending to low Earth orbit
contains sufficient propellant to reach the Moon and land, but

(14:22):
insufficient propellant to both reach the Moon and return to
Earth with meaningful cargo. The architecture solution is in
orbit refuelling. Multiple tanker launches
sequentially transfer fuel to a depot, which then refuels the
HLS once all vehicles are on station.
For Artemis 3's crude lunar surface mission, this means

(14:44):
launching perhaps 8 to 10 tankerflights plus the HLS itself,
achieving A synchronized refueling operation in space
before the HLS departs for lunarorbit.
A mission architecture with no heritage and therefore
extraordinary technical risk. Flight 12's validation of Block
3 hardware and propellant transfer system interfaces is

(15:07):
therefore mandatory precursor work.
Every COPV quick disconnect, pressurization line and sensor
on Flight 12 is instrumented to gather refueling relevant data.
How fluids slosh under microgravity conditions.
How thermal dynamics evolve during long duration coast.

(15:31):
How pressure oscillations propagate through transfer
lines. SpaceX and NASA engineers will
review this telemetry exhaustively before committing
to the 2 vehicle rendezvous and mechanical contact of Flight 13.
Flight 12 and Block 3's maturation represent the
technological prerequisite for Artemis 3, NASA's crude return

(15:54):
to the lunar surface targeted for mid 2027.
SpaceX has contractually obligated itself to deliver HLS
lunar Landers, beginning with Artemis 3, with expanding
capability for Artemis 4 and beyond.
The HLS program Manager, Lisa Watson Morgan has emphasized

(16:16):
that cryogenic propellant transfer in Earth orbit
represents one of the two most technically challenging
technologies on the Artemis path, alongside the heat shield
for atmospheric re entry. Make sure to hit the subscribe
and Like buttons for more up to date SpaceX Starship news and
updates. Block 3's 100 ton payload

(16:38):
capacity is specifically engineered to meet this
operational envelope. The Artemis 3 mission will see a
Starship HLS variant launched toEarth orbit, refueled by tanker
flights, climbed to lunar orbit,rendezvous with Orion carrying
four astronauts and two landing in the HLS, descend 2 crew to

(17:01):
the lunar surface and return them to Orion for the journey
home. The fuel margins required for
this sequence demand the performance improvement Block 3
provides. Block 2's 35 ton capacity would
require a prohibitively complex tanker logistics chain for the
same mission beyond Artemis 3, SpaceX has contractually

(17:24):
committed to developing an enhanced HLS variant for Artemis
Four 2028 target capable of supporting 4 crew members on the
lunar surface with extended duration operations.
The Artemis 4 variant will dock with NASA's Lunar Gateway
station in addition to Orion, further complicating the mission

(17:45):
architecture and increasing propellant demands.
Block 3's 100 ton baseline provides the foundation for
these expanded capabilities. Block 4, targeting 200 tons in
its expendable configuration will enable even more ambitious
lunar sorties and eventual Mars missions.

(18:06):
NASA's strategy for Beyond Artemis 4 missions further
emphasizes Block 3's centrality.Large cargo Landers based on
modified HLS designs are now under contract to deliver 12 to
15 metric tons of science instruments and habitat modules

(18:27):
to the lunar surface, supportingthe sustained presence NASA
envisions at the lunar South Pole.
These cargo variants require thesame orbital refuelling
architecture and 100 ton throughput that Flight 12 begins
to operationalize. Despite the engineering maturity
evident in Block 3's design, Flight 12 remains fundamentally

(18:51):
a validation mission. Where novel systems are exposed
to operational environments for the first time, several
technological risk areas will receive intense scrutiny.
The redesigned external COPD system on Booster 19 represents
a novel approach to pressurization for large
rockets. While testing bays have verified

(19:15):
mechanical integrity, the flightenvironment introduces dynamic
loads, vibration, and thermal cycling that ground facilities
cannot fully replicate. Should a COPV fail during Flight
12, it would indicate A fundamental architectural flaw
requiring redesign before subsequent flights wrapped to

(19:37):
three integration at full thrust.
While Raptor 3 engines have beenextensively hot fire tested
individually and in small clusters, Flight 12 will be the
first full integration of 33 engines across a single booster.
Combustion interactions, pressure oscillations, and heat

(20:00):
distribution across the engine cluster may reveal unexpected
failure modes that single engineor small cluster testing does
not expose. Integrated hot staging ring
under load. The hot staging event subjects
the booster to extreme dynamic stresses.
High pressure exhaust from six igniting Raptor engines on the

(20:21):
upper stage must vent through the interstage while structural
forces exceed 3000 metric tons. The integrated design eliminates
bolted joints, but the thermal transient and structural loading
may reveal vibration characteristics or thermal
asymmetries not fully captured in ground testing.
Structural resonance with increased stringers.

(20:45):
The 96 Stringer methane tank represents A substantially
stiffer structure than Block 2's76 Stringer design.
This stiffness prevents resonance at some frequencies
but potentially excites resonance at others.
The flight environment will reveal whether the new Stringer
configuration truly eliminates problematic vibration modes or

(21:09):
inadvertently introduces new ones.
Should Flight 12 complete successfully achieving
propellant loading, hot staging,boost, back burn, landing burn,
and safe splashdown, it will provide NASA and SpaceX with the
confidence to proceed toward Flight 13's orbital refuelling

(21:29):
attempt and the subsequent hardware certification chain
leading to Artemis 3 crude landing operations.
The 28 day assembly cycle for Booster 19 carries profound
implications for Starship's operational cadence.
Prior boosters required 150 to 175 days from initial production

(21:53):
to flight ready status. Booster 19's completion in less
than a month suggests manufacturing processes have
matured substantially and that subsequent Block 3 boosters may
achieve similar turnarounds. SpaceX has publicly stated that
sustained rapid reusability requires returning boosters to

(22:16):
flight within days to weeks of landing, not months.
Booster 19's assembly timeline suggests this objective is
transitioning from aspiration toengineering reality.
The operational vision Elon Muskhas articulated, catching both
booster and ship on every flight, returning them to the

(22:38):
launch mount within 24 to 48 hours, and flying the same
vehicles dozens of times before major refurbishment, depends
critically on the assembly time compression Flight 12 validates.
If Booster 19 demonstrates that Block 3 hardware can be produced
on a 28 day cycle, then SpaceX can theoretically maintain

(23:01):
multiple booster and ship pairs in simultaneous flight test
campaigns, dramatically accelerating development
velocity and de risking failuresthrough rapid iteration.
Elon Musk's public statements about Block 3 capability focus.
Persistently on 2 metrics, full reusability, catching both
booster and ship, and 100 ton payload capacity.

(23:25):
At the All in Summit in September 2025, he stated the
company would demonstrate full reusability next year, catching
both the booster and the ship and being able to deliver over
100 tons to a useful orbit. Flight 12 serves as the
foundational validation for bothobjectives.
While Flight 12 itself will not attempt booster capture, it will

(23:48):
splash down to avoid infrastructure risk during first
block three flights. It will validate the structural
integrity, control authority anddescent dynamics necessary the
subsequent tower catch attempts.Musk has also emphasized
Starship's cost advantage relative to alternatives.
SpaceX will lean in big on the Moon, suggesting aggressive

(24:11):
pursuit of both NASA's Artemis HLS contract and commercial
lunar logistic missions. Block 3's 100 ton capability
directly enables this vision. Sufficient payload for
profitable lunar sorties. Sufficient Delta V for Mars
missions. Sufficient reusability to

(24:31):
achieve the two to $5,000,000 per flight cost Musk has cited
as targets for full operational status.
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