All Episodes

June 18, 2025 38 mins

Joe Pisapia (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@JoePisapia17⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠) and Chris Welsh (@IsItTheWelsh) recorded this episode of "Leading Off" LIVE on Twitch!

Join Joe Pisapia, Chris Welsh and the Peanuts & Cracker Jacks at 12 p.m. ET at ⁠⁠⁠⁠twitch.tv/fantasypros⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ every weekday for industry-leading fantasy baseball advice and to have your questions answered on the stream!

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Rafael Devers - 0:00:44

Shohei Ohtani - 0:02:35

The Yankees - 0:04:57

Andy Pages - 0:08:32

Seth Lugo - 0:10:58

Cal Raleigh - 0:12:56

Salvador Perez - 0:13:02

Javier Baez - 0:13:05

Jesus Luzardo - 0:13:13

Transactions - 0:16:30

Microsoft Challenger Segment - 0:16:43

Rookie Lookie - 0:18:23

Ben Brown - 0:21:28

3 Up, 3 Down - 0:22:53

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Slade Cecconi, and Bryan Woo - 0:22:55

Chad Patrick, Walker Buehler, and Jack Leiter - 0:23:08

Injury Updates - 0:24:13

MLB Best Bets - 0:31:17

HR Board and HR Calls - 0:35:18

Outro - 0:36:46

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:05):
Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
This is leading off live.

Speaker 1 (00:09):
It's the Joey p joe Piezap here with me, of
course is the Welsh, and it's all of you, the
Peanuts and the cracker Jacks here on our twitch Twitch
dot tv slash Fantasy Pros. That's the place to be
Monday through Friday, New Eastern. That's where you can watch
us live, and of course you can watch us on
demand on the YouTube channel Fantasy Pros MLB. Subscribe today,
drop your comments below and you might win yourself a
cescil field or jersey. That's right from Pristine Auction dot com.

(00:32):
We are in the eighteenth of June right now, so
we're past the halfway point. If you want to win
this thing, comment, subscribe to the channel and ring the
bell to let goes Dingc never missed a piece of
content here on Fantasy Pros MLB. Welsh, good to see
you as always. My friend Raphfield Devers was in a
cheery mood. I haven't seen him smile that much since
he got that big contract from the Red Sox. What

(00:56):
a wonderful press conference. I think we got to start
there with the raffie devers debut. I had a big
hit in a big spot there, and I'll play whatever.
I'm just happy to be here. I'm a team guy.

Speaker 2 (01:08):
Boy.

Speaker 1 (01:08):
Oh boy, what a difference I was gonna say southern
but Northern California can make on someone's attitude. It's really incredible.
Wile fast the environment changes a man.

Speaker 3 (01:19):
Really good digs too, just being like, oh, I'm here
for whatever the team wants. You're like, oh really. There
was also a report that came out that added to
this dig that he actually had never refuted to play
first base, and it has red Sox fans just in
a tussy about this entire situation because it's like, wait
a minute, we could have had him. Because the report

(01:40):
was that Devers was open to playing first base, but
the caveat was he wanted first base. He did not
want to give it up and now clearly the head
Tristan Cassus in the near future for next season, but
he wanted assurances that they weren't going to ask him
to move again, like going back to DH So like
if you hear that and you're like, all right, this
is not good. This feel so much more to that story,

(02:01):
but for them him to go to San Francisco. They
rolled out the red carpet. By the way, it looked
like a like a top high school getting recruited to
a college. Like. He walked down to the stadium. They
had fireworks and they had a line of people there.

Speaker 2 (02:12):
It was a big conference.

Speaker 3 (02:14):
Yeah it was. But you know, but him doing the like,
I'll play wherever the team wants me. That's the dig.
That's the type of petty dig that I'm here for.

Speaker 2 (02:22):
Yeah, here for that.

Speaker 1 (02:24):
Pretty spectacular. Uh and the smiles, Oh my god. I
was like, who is that?

Speaker 2 (02:29):
Who is that?

Speaker 1 (02:30):
I was like when Ebenezer screwed at the end of
Christmas Carol, you know, all of a sudden is into
Christmas again and he's just super excited. It was just craziness.

Speaker 2 (02:40):
Showy ol. Tani is gonna make his next.

Speaker 1 (02:42):
Start Saturday or Sunday, So keep an eye on that.

Speaker 2 (02:45):
That news to come.

Speaker 1 (02:45):
I don't know if you're ready to start him yet
in your fantasy league's probably not. My guess is if
we want one anything, we're pushing in a two, maybe three,
we'll get there.

Speaker 2 (02:53):
We'll see depending two.

Speaker 3 (02:55):
Maybe maybe two. He pushed twenty was it twenty six?
Twenty seven hitches in that first one. I'm still not
I think he has to have a super effective inning
for him to go to because I don't have.

Speaker 1 (03:06):
Forty four on fairness in the previous whatever.

Speaker 3 (03:09):
The rehab seculation, Yah, yeah, I just don't know if
that's where they are. They haven't really given a ton
of clarity in that process, Like is are we treating
this like this is a rehab assignment where it's like
that that that that you're building up, or are they
just kind of like maintaining until the All Star break?
We don't really know. But either way, he's still just

(03:30):
not in like fantasy to take up a spot again.
In daily you can do this, but in weekly I'm
not so sure. We hope to see some better results,
probably some bigger strikeouts stuff, you know, hitting the zone
a little bit more, but he's still not in startable range.

Speaker 1 (03:43):
All right, here's a question here from D's someone dropped Goodman.
Should I drop Augustain Ramirez or Kaglione for him rest
of season? Goodman's been terrific. I think you can drop
Ramiro's form. I think that's the way to go. I
want to give Ghaglion a little bit more time. Let's
be a little patient. I think we're in Nick Kurt's
territory again, where it's Kurts. A couple of weeks I
started hitting the Unfortunately the injury happened. I want to
give gagle On a little bit more time.

Speaker 3 (04:05):
I don't know if I want to drop Ogustan, who's hitting.
He's in two forty got the tip.

Speaker 1 (04:10):
Last thirty days for him have not been good, though.
I'm just saying, like he said.

Speaker 3 (04:14):
Yeah, I mean he's hitting two thirteen this month. He
hit two forty five last month. I guess they're interchangeable,
but expect a batting average on Ramirez is still over
two seventy, and he has been showing off the big pop.
The likely answer here would be tags, but like I
kind of agree with you here, it's just still it's
a small sample size. His XBA like you nailed it,
like Kurtz, his XBA is over three hundred. Still, he's

(04:36):
got a fifty percent strike fifty percent hard hit rate,
and the strikeout rates pretty manageable. He's just not walking.
He's not having like great, big popping quality at bats.
But I think it's going to go soon. If you
if you want to. You can dump Ramirez here, but
I would I would probably try not to drop tags either.
Seems to like give him a hundred at bats. Give

(04:58):
them one hundred and fifty at bats before we like
start making that move.

Speaker 1 (05:01):
All right, let's talk about the Yankees because they are
struggle bus right now, and they are wasting some really
good performances as well, because Clark Schmidt was terrific two
days ago. Last night, Will Warren struck out a career
high eleven batters. But it doesn't matter because the Yankees
got shut out for a third straight game twice in
a row against the freaking Angels.

Speaker 2 (05:20):
Well, like it's baseball, it.

Speaker 1 (05:21):
Ebbs and flows hot and cold streaks. This happens all
the time. But what's happened here to the Yankees offense?
And is it an opportunity of fantasy to start buying
some pieces of it?

Speaker 3 (05:32):
I thought you were about to start singing Katy Perry
in there. You're like it's hot and it's cold. It's yes,
it's out. Apparently I know the song about it.

Speaker 2 (05:40):
Apparently.

Speaker 1 (05:42):
Yeah, I guess I was waiting for using firework instead.

Speaker 2 (05:45):
I don't know where you were going, No, califun.

Speaker 3 (05:47):
They still do have not gonna say any of those anymore.
We're done with Katy Perry. They saw the second highest
run run differential in baseball, like runs scored to runs
given up. But that division is so crazy. I'm looking
at it. The Tampa Bay Rays are two and a
half games back on the Yankees right now, the Blue

(06:08):
Jays are three games back, and the Red Sox are
still five and a half. That's why this division is
so freaking close. Teams go through it, you know. I
think they're just going through it right now. They just
got reinforcements in Stanton. They had got I think that's
what's most puzzling. Sands back, Jazz is back, You got
the whole band back together, and that offense isn't going.
And you know, I think it's interesting how you said it.

(06:29):
You're wasting these great performances like Will Warren. He had
a thirty percent with percentage on his top three pitches,
used ninety six percent of his pitches. He threw sweeper
sinker and his four team and his force team was crazy.
His sinker at a fifty five percent called strike CSW percentage,
Like that's great, but that's what kind of gives you,
I think a little bit more encouragement once those bats

(06:51):
start to just realign and fix themselves. If Clark Schmidt
and Will Warren can keep going, this is what keeps
this division up. But this is also the type of
thing that, you know, if the trade market's starting to go,
maybe the Yankees are going to look somewhere. I think
I think they've been tied to the Luis Roberts stuff.
You know, maybe they look for not that you know
that's going to be a spark player.

Speaker 2 (07:10):
I wouldn't say Roberts, probably not. I don't.

Speaker 1 (07:12):
I don't see that one. I kept saying the Ryan
McMahon one. You know, I had said that, while I
think that makes a ton of sense, because Chisholm, you
can kind of play all over you know, McMahon, you
can play it first or second or third. You can
kind of move him all over the dime. And I
think the Yankees like that kind of player. I think
it'd be good and yet ballpark as well. But it's
definitely been a very strange couple. You know, a couple

(07:34):
of days here for the New York Yankees.

Speaker 3 (07:35):
Only because Judge doesn't hit homers. You feel off because
you're not seeing Judge homers.

Speaker 1 (07:39):
But they're not seeing anybody hit like this, nobody. I mean,
gold Schmid's been sitting in the last couple of games
to our yesterday at least. But the other thing that's
happened in the American League Welsh is the complete disintegration
of the Central Division, just completely the grid over a
week where the Tigers are just pulled away from the pack.

Speaker 2 (07:54):
So nine and a half, nine and a half games.

Speaker 1 (07:58):
If you look here, we go, so the Tiger and
that's not like they're playing. We know they're six and
four of the last ten games.

Speaker 2 (08:03):
Check this out.

Speaker 1 (08:05):
The Guardians are three and seven in their last ten,
The Twins are two and eight, the Royals are two
and eight, they just got their first win yesterday in
ten games. And then the White Sox are three and
seven in the last ten. I mean, it's just disintegrade.
So if you're the Red Sox right now, you should
think that you've got a shot this you're a half
game out of the wild card. If you're any of
those teams in the East, the Rays, you think that

(08:26):
you've got a shot here, especially now that the Yankees
have come back down to the pack. I mean they're
two and a half games out. The Blue Jays are
three games out.

Speaker 2 (08:32):
It's gonna be really interesting here.

Speaker 1 (08:34):
This American League mediocrity as we go through, Andy pa
has is not mediocre, no mediocre here four for four,
two homers, three runs scored, three Ribby's. He has got
fifteen homers two ninety three, three thirty two five thirteen,
fifteen homers and forty nine RBI, six steals to welsh
is Pie is gonna be one of the best guys
picked up.

Speaker 2 (08:52):
Off the waiver wire in twenty twenty five.

Speaker 3 (08:54):
Yeah, it looks like it too. There's just there's so
much data that's supportive. He is a weird guy though,
Like if you are looking for, you know, the underlying
data for him to be a monster, he's not like
it's an okay barrel, it's an okay hard hit, but
he makes a ton of content. He gets in the ball.
He gets the ball in the air like at an
elite level twenty degrees last year, it's like sixteen and

(09:16):
a half this year. He does the Mookie Bets thing
where it's you the launch angle, sweet spot percentage of
something Mooki's always done really well. It's actually kind of mookyes,
because Mooki wouldn't have like big hard hit or barrel numbers.
He does it kind of the same, doesn't strike out
quality contact. He's actually underperforming against fastballs. Right now, he's
pulling the ball in the air. It is the Mooki

(09:36):
Bets school of hitting, and he's he's doing a killer
job at He's going to probably be like, because what
is he at right now, fifteen homers, six stolen bases,
two ninety three expected as two eighty five. Let's say
he levels out to even like two eighty you're probably
going to be minimally twenty five homers, ten to fifteen
stolen bases. He's going to be a top probably seventy five,

(09:58):
top one hundred. It's actually kind of reminiscent of Brian Reynolds.
Like he looks like he's gonna be a twenty five
to ten guy. Yeah, with high affron, that's a pretty
good player to have. Yeah, he's gonna be a top
one hundred guy. And I'll bet you he's like top
five to ten of the like most valuable pickups that
you probably had this season.

Speaker 1 (10:14):
Yeah, Chief is wondering where's all the Braves walk off
the Mets talk, Well, it wasn't a really fancy eleving game.
I wanted to put it in there, but other things
were just more important. And if you thought that the Braves,
you know, last time I saw the Mets and that incredible, crushing, devastating,
just horrible. Just spitting the bit, crapping the bed, whatever

(10:36):
metaphor you want to put, whatever Welsh is them, you
want to create the bit.

Speaker 2 (10:39):
Yeah, that's a real thing. It's a little horses too.

Speaker 3 (10:41):
I've never heard spitting the bit.

Speaker 2 (10:43):
Yes, spitting the bit.

Speaker 3 (10:45):
I never heard of that.

Speaker 2 (10:46):
Anyway.

Speaker 1 (10:46):
It's if you thought the Braves weren't going to take
it out on the Mets the first time they saw him.

Speaker 2 (10:51):
Of course they would. And still it took the extra
innings to beat the Mets, and so to hit a
home run.

Speaker 1 (10:55):
But I mean, well else you want to talk about
David Peterson, another brilliant star for him? Remember I said
he get started with It's anybody because you can you
also good yesterday Seth Lugo, Let's move on to him
season high nine strikeouts, six innings, one run.

Speaker 2 (11:08):
Baseball desperately needed.

Speaker 1 (11:10):
For the Royals to get back on track. So good
on Seth Lugo. He's been good since he's come back
from the injury.

Speaker 3 (11:14):
Wellsh yeah. But the rumor floating out there is that
the Royals are potentially looking at getting off as some
of those pieces. I mean, because if you go back
to the divisional stuff, I think they were third or fourth.

Speaker 1 (11:27):
Royals, or two and a half games out of the wildcard,
eleven and a half out of first in.

Speaker 3 (11:31):
The Central Man's That stupid wild card is just gonna
keep Well, that's the.

Speaker 1 (11:35):
Thing I don't think. I don't think they're getting off
anytime soon. I think you've got another couple of weeks here.
They're going to be crucial for all of these America
League races. Somebody's gonna blink and it's gonna be interesting
to see which team.

Speaker 3 (11:46):
Does yeah and what team just finally gives up on it,
because I think teams like you can look at teams
like the Diamondbacks and the Royals and you can easily
justify why they should be sellers. But in the same token,
they might be one or two pieces away in the
buying market to being able to pull out the pack here.
But the rumors were that the Royals were potentially going

(12:07):
to start looking at moving off to some pieces, and
Seth Lugo would seem to be a very likely piece,
and that's why I brought it up. It would be
interesting the environment that he goes to. There's some stuff.
He's got a three ERA, which is awesome, but he
has a four to nine to one expected ERA. Strikeouts
are down, walks are up, expected batting average is technically
at the highest number it's ever been, So you worry

(12:29):
about the contact rates. I guess what I'm getting at
is like, if you were to go to a team
like the Reds, you might worry, But if you were
to go to any like, you know, pitcher friendly environment,
even the Brewers at this point just be on the
lookout for it. Seth Lugo might be on the move
and it might not even be the best thing on
the plane.

Speaker 2 (12:43):
Yeah, the Brewers trade for a picture. That's just absurd.

Speaker 1 (12:45):
They need a bat, they need Suarez, they need somebody
else in that I mean, honesty, Swarz is the perfect
good for them, but I've already done that for everybody well,
but more perfect for them. They have a whole third base.
They need another bat in the middle of that. Order
they need more pop. I mean, it's just perfect. Cal
Rawley also might be perfect this year. Three for four,
another home earn from him. He got to hold the
tried and the dugout yesterday. Sal Perez also contributing to

(13:08):
that Lugo victory with a pair of home runs. Hobby
Baiez also had a pair of solo home runs yesterday,
so he had gotten a little stone cold. He's starting
to heat up a little bit too recently. But it's
time to talk about Hazous Lozardo, who had seemed to
course correct and yesterday was a bit of a weird
outing four runs and five innings for him.

Speaker 2 (13:23):
They didn't hit him that hard.

Speaker 1 (13:24):
He did give up a home earn a bunch of singles,
but he had four walks in this game. So any
takeaways from yesterday's Hazus Lozardo start Welsh.

Speaker 3 (13:32):
Yeah, I don't know which direction this is gonna go
so far, for we're looking at the splits. April was
incredible one four to four, era, May five, five, six,
and now he's up to at eight point seven to
eight so far. Now they are weighted by a bad
start like the June had the eight earned runs, which
was really bad, but even looking back at May actually

(13:55):
really Oh no, it was the Milwaukee Brewers one. Yeah,
so it was a twelve earned runs he gave up
against the Brewers and then he had eight turned runs
against Toronto. Those piggybacked on both sides of the month,
which make the month splits look really weird. And the
reason I'm bringing it up is he's got a four
to four to one ERA, but a three and a
half expected era still barreling. The barrel rate that he's

(14:17):
giving up as a pitcher to hitters is lower than
it's been before. Strikeouts are still up. I guess I'm
I guess I want to still say this is kind
of a bye. He's actually underperformed with his sweeper. It's
the batting average versus the expected is lower. Same with
the change up, so there's still some room for growth
as far as his pitches go. And he's very like

(14:38):
he's actually kind of a sneaky one because if people
go and they're like, you want to acquire he's his
Lozardo and people go and look, they see all he's
the areas in the fours. What has he done per month?
Like we would do, Oh, look at these months, these
have been really bad. But those months, those aren't. Those
are fabricated. That's one start in each one of those
months that absolutely implodes that up.

Speaker 1 (14:57):
I remember, I give you the other stat last week too,
were right handed hitters were crushing him this year. And
to me, that was the troubling one of all the stats.
It wasn't the one bad start, you know, the two
bad in a row or any of that stuff, for
the fact that they came in different months. It was
more the ooh, right hander is hitting him in a
three hundred clip with an eight hundred plus ops like
that's a lot. That's that's not good for your long

(15:19):
term success as a starting pitcher, as a left handed
starting pitcher, because you're gonna face more righties just inevitably.

Speaker 3 (15:25):
Yeah, and one thing that you know can be a
semi positive. I'm gonna look here, what he did is okay, yeah,
so this, yeah, this is exactly it. So this is
his last start versus righties and lefties versus lefties. He
was it looks like eighty percent sweeper and fourteen percent fastball.
So that's how he approached left handed hitters. Right handed

(15:48):
hitters that went the number one usage is his change up,
And that's what I was about to say. If you're
gonna have problem with right handed hitters as as a lefty,
you're you're gonna want to throw more chain. And that
changeup is underperforming. It's got a two ninety batting average
against an expected two fifty. So like that pitch looks
like it's a bit better than it has been. He

(16:10):
goes for seen change up, sweeper and slider going up
against righty, So I think he's still trying to find
his rhythm. My main point here is like I think
he still has the stuff to write this ship. I
think he has the stuff to write the ship against
righty's as well. The strikeouts are there. I kind of
think he's a little bit of a buy right now
because the last month or so has been pretty pretty

(16:30):
poopy of Lizardo, and I think I might buy on
the cheap trade.

Speaker 2 (16:34):
Rumors are blowing around here.

Speaker 1 (16:36):
Mark Finesan said it might finally be time for the
Angels to trade Taylor ward. That'll be a power bat
that somebody could certainly want. Marcelo Zuna could be on
the block and Josh Naylor could be traded away as well,
which brings us to today's Microsoft Chasing a Challengers segment.
That's right, boys and girls, it's your favorite time of
the show. Just like the athletes, to push boundaries and

(16:56):
redefine what's possible. Business decision makers today are turning challenges
into opportunities, and Microsoft meets you where you are with
tools and guidance to help you make an impact with safe,
securey I solutions. So whatever challenges you're facing, Microsoft empowers
you with the expertise to say, bring it on.

Speaker 2 (17:11):
In this segment, we're in a spotlight the.

Speaker 1 (17:13):
Challenges faced by teams deciding if they're in or out
of it. With the expanded wildcard, that is getting tougher
and tougher every single year. Now we have expanded playoffs,
which is great. I'm all for it, but it is
difficult because how do you tell your fan base you're
not really in this thing when you're only a game,
two games, or even three games out of a wildcard
with so much baseball left to play. Now, it's clear

(17:33):
a team like the Diamondbacks I think should be sellers
because not only are they probably not in it in
a tough division this year with the San Francisco Giants,
making a huge power play for Devers with the Padres
and Dodgers still ahead of them. But they're not going
to have Corman Burns next year either. And with the
way of the rest of this rotation looks right now,
I don't think you could really be honest with yourself
that Josh Naylor is going to be a guy that

(17:54):
you're going to necessarily build on for the future. You
need more pitching and if you can flip Nailer for it,
that should be the first guy off the is one.
But it is going to be very tricky in the
weeks to come to see which teams really start to
struggle and will they be sellers or will they hang
on for that wildcard. And that, my friends, is today's
Chasing Challenger segment. Remember Microsoft AI solutions empower you to

(18:15):
take bold steps and new ideas to help drive your
business forward. With Microsoft as your trusted partner, you can
navigate your journey with confidence, finding innovative solutions, and reaching
new possibilities. Visit Microsoft dot com Slash Challengers to learn more.
I know I was asked in the chat, so we're
gonna get to it because there's a lot of rookie
lucky stuff to talk about today, including Cam Smith four

(18:36):
for five, two homers yesterday. He has got his slash
up to two sixty six three point thirty six four twelve.
He's got five homers, twenty six runs, twenty six RBI,
three stolen bases. So it feels like a little bit
of progress for cam Smith and Michael Tolia.

Speaker 2 (18:50):
I don't want to bury the lead. Welsh.

Speaker 1 (18:52):
You supported your boy and he rewarded you three for
five with two dingers against the Nats. They scored ten
runs yesterday.

Speaker 2 (18:57):
How about that? Totally? Ever turn unbelievable?

Speaker 3 (19:00):
How about that, Michael? Totally He is totally a back.
I don't know, but told you I'm still yeah, technically
that's what we back in the major? Is he back
to relevance, to being the guy?

Speaker 2 (19:16):
Before being back?

Speaker 3 (19:16):
Would have to He's never been the guy, you know, so,
but like he might be interesting because there's a lot
of power. I'm pretty intrigued with cam Smith by the way,
just in that like we saw this last year, we
saw some of the rookies start slow. There's still an
entire half of a season to go where you can
completely turn around the narrative of who you are if
Cam Smith finds that next level, I just think like

(19:38):
he could start making like it's going to be so
tough to make a run at Jacob Wilson right now,
just because of the even though he ruined that guy.
Did you see him ruin that guy's beat the streak?
Did you see that story?

Speaker 1 (19:48):
No?

Speaker 3 (19:49):
Incredible? Uh a guy? And you know the beat the
Street contest. Yeah, h which, by the way, I got
to like thirty games one time, I was number one
in the world for one day. For one day, like
six years ago, I was number one in the world.

Speaker 2 (20:01):
I had no idea that was some things it is.

Speaker 3 (20:04):
Some guy got up to fifty games and I guess
no one had ever gotten to fifty seven. You win
a million dollars or something, whatever it is, and he've
got to fifty games. And then MLB decided to tweet
he's at fifty games and tonight he's picked Jacob Wilson.
Jacob Wilson. In the last at bat, there's a blooper

(20:26):
over to right that lands, but then they scored it
like whatever. I'm forgetting what it was like, you know,
an indifferent thing error. I don't remember what it was.
But he went over four, and this guy lost his
million dollar chance because of the Jacob Wilson thing. All
of that to come back and say, Jacob Wilson is
going to be so hard to catch because what he's done.

(20:46):
But if the counting stats get quieter, doesn't hit quite
as great, and then all of a sudden you get
guys like Nick Kurtz hitting bombs. Maybe you know if
it's Roman Anthe, Christian Campbell, Cam Smith. There's so many
guys in the al but if somebody starts popping off,
I think you could make start to make the argument
and catch up, but it will be really tough, and
Cam is one of those guys.

Speaker 2 (21:04):
I think that could I just think again.

Speaker 1 (21:06):
I think Jacob Wilson is a nice player, but I
think that you know, socially in the power department, being
a little on the lighter side, you know, the batting
average are gonna come down eventually. Caglio and he was
actually on the list of guys to talk about in
this segment too.

Speaker 2 (21:17):
It look another rough night for him. Another overer.

Speaker 1 (21:19):
But to Welsh's point, you look at this von Page,
I'm buying I'm still buying you. So this is the
perfect time if you didn't get him because somebody out
bid you or somebody dropped him. This is the time
to go get him. Shower leagues ten team leagues now,
but twelve and above you do it.

Speaker 2 (21:32):
Fun fact time. Everybody loves fun facts. Ben Brown not
just fourth victory?

Speaker 1 (21:36):
Why because he pitched at nighttime yesterday? We gave you
the splits on Ben Brown Welsh. I almost bet on it,
just on principle because it was in the evening.

Speaker 2 (21:45):
I did not.

Speaker 1 (21:46):
I got busy with coaching football yesterday and other things.
But what'd you think yesterday?

Speaker 2 (21:51):
Just amazing? Right? That split is just money in the
bank right now.

Speaker 3 (21:55):
It's the weirdest thing weird. I just can't even I
can't even understand. I think opposing teams to just get
like those big like big lights sunlights and just like
shine it at him to make him think it's the
day to ruin it, because if it is real, it
is the most vampire like split I've ever seen in
my life, and he truly might be just a night walker.

Speaker 2 (22:16):
Rest of season. Kurts are CAGs.

Speaker 3 (22:21):
I think right now you'd have to say Kurts.

Speaker 2 (22:23):
Yeah.

Speaker 1 (22:23):
I think they asked us yesterday too, when we said
that I'm still saying the same thing.

Speaker 3 (22:27):
I don't remember today, but start.

Speaker 1 (22:30):
I start Ben Brown strictly based on the night game.
Now you see, Yes, just he's a night you start,
you put in the day time. I don't care how good.
I don't care if he's facing the White Sox. I
don't care saying the Marlins. I don't care staying the Rockies.
I ain't starting him. I'm just not until further notice.
Let him have one good start.

Speaker 3 (22:46):
What will you do if he does have a good
day start well that.

Speaker 2 (22:49):
He would probably need. He would probably have to do
it more than once.

Speaker 3 (22:51):
For me to be a believed Oh is this a
jack Lighter thing? He's gonna need six straight for him
to be good.

Speaker 2 (22:56):
Jack Lighter?

Speaker 1 (22:57):
Did he pitch yesterday? Let's get to the ups and downs.
Welsh Vlad Guerrero Junior three for four with a home run.
That's an up double three RBI. Slay Chacony surprisingly solid lately,
two runs, six strikeouts, five innings, Brian Who seven innings
of his own, shutout innings. There were a couple downs, though,
wel Chad Patrick unfortunately losing effort, four runs, six hits

(23:19):
over five innings. Walker Bueller might have pitched himself out
of the rotation now, I don't know. Eight runs, two
strikeouts in three and the third innings. Giolito has left
him in the dust. Walker Bueller. If you listen close
last night, you heard the sound of Walker Bueller being
dropped in leagues, just hitting the floor in every single
league that he was rostered.

Speaker 3 (23:37):
Red Sox and the pitchers, Hey, you gotta go trade for.

Speaker 1 (23:39):
Some Richard Fitz is working out again. He's throwing and
the third and final down it's a ranger starter from
me yesterday, Jack Lighter. That's it was six runs on
eight hits and five and two thirds. Does is qualify
is a good start? I just I think this was bad, right,
just bad.

Speaker 3 (23:57):
I'm not going to engage you on that. People are
getting annoyed the bit because it is annoying. But yes,
two bad starts, he ha said, definitely had two bad starts.
This one firs one bad start for him to be garbage,
and it takes six for him to be good.

Speaker 1 (24:09):
Absolutely well, certainly last one wasn't good.

Speaker 2 (24:13):
It was bad. This one was very bad. I would say, Yes,
let's get to the injuries.

Speaker 1 (24:18):
Tyler McGill not good goes to the IL with the
right elbow sprain. Now the Mets' depth is finally being tested.
Unfortunately he's being tested at the same time. So you
lose Sengo, you lose McGill. Some people are saying maybe
Nolan McClain. I say, it's not gonna happen. You're gonna
get Sean Manaya back, and they're gonna give Mantas another
start to get better because the last start, well the

(24:39):
last couple starts have not been good for him, so
he needs to find himself quickly. Otherwise, you know, they
might end up giving mclin or maybe even joanah Tong
to start, or maybe the Mets might force themselves into
a situation. But I want to talk about the long
term of this because my guess is this McGill injury.
Sengo comes back, it's fine, right whatever, you're gonna have
blackburn and rotation.

Speaker 3 (25:00):
Now with Cam he's gone for like five weeks, SOO,
like you said, he comes back is fine, but it
might be like a month and a half.

Speaker 1 (25:06):
Yes, But but with the All Star break in there,
it's it's the best time to do it. And again
I was all for giving him a break in the
midseason anyway, because he didn't pitch it all last year basically,
so Sega will eventually come back. You're gonna get him,
you know, by trade deadline? Could I send us in
your rotation? Uh? My guess is Tyler or McGill whenever

(25:26):
he returns, is bullpen bound period now? Like he is
only going to be a bullpen guy, small amount that
they're going to manage his endings the rest of the
season if he's healthy, period. This does open up an
opportunity where Sean Manya comes back. But then if Montas
isn't the guy, maybe the Mets aren't just looking for
Laura bullpen help, Maybe they are looking for a starting pitcher.
If so, who do you think that starting pitcher might

(25:47):
be that they would be kicking the tires for.

Speaker 3 (25:49):
I think Sandy would be the most obvious. I'm looking
here because I'm trying to determine, Like, are we sure
that Tyler would be thrown to the bullpen?

Speaker 1 (25:56):
Maybe it's my guest based on the injury that you
would only you would want to limit his ings the
rest of the year. You would want to control some
of the environments in which you know, Like again, if
he's healthy enough, you're not throwing him out there for
five inning starts anymore.

Speaker 3 (26:10):
Well, because it's Mania, Mantes, Senga, and Peterson. Those are
without questions. So now it's like what McGill versus Griffin Canning. Yeah,
those are the.

Speaker 2 (26:20):
And Canning's healthy and McGill is not.

Speaker 1 (26:22):
And I think if you're being honest with yourself, you
can improve on either of those guys in the fifth spot.

Speaker 3 (26:27):
Yes, I do think you can improve on either one
of those guys. I think the two likely players that
But we've talked about.

Speaker 1 (26:34):
This a lot.

Speaker 3 (26:35):
It's like number one is Sandy. You know Sandy is
his last start wasn't amazing, but like there's the possibility
that you know, he is starting to rattle up. I
think he's had like three decent starts, and if he
has like another one or two, I think that trade
value kind of really boosts up. And I would say,
like Mitch Keller is one that you and I have
talked a lot about. We talked about on the by
Cell video that you know Mitch Keller eleven quality starts

(26:57):
this year. He's had seven of his last eight starts
have been quality starts. He has one win on the season,
like he's kind of you know, trotten down the thing that,
like Mitch Keller, might not fit the mold though of
some of the Mets pitching, or maybe they can.

Speaker 1 (27:12):
Maybe or some of this Sandy I think does. And
Sandy has more control, and I think the Mets are
more willing to give up a prospect for a guy
like Sandy where there's another year of control. The hurdle
is that the fact that they play in the same division,
although it's the Marlins and they're the dumbest organization in
baseball probably, so I can't say the.

Speaker 3 (27:29):
Thing you have to pay up. You'd have to pay
up that indivision.

Speaker 2 (27:32):
But if you're the.

Speaker 1 (27:32):
Mets, and you're and you were looking at, as you said,
twenty twenty seven being the labor strike of some or
lockout right some kind of issue there, you've got a
two year window with this team. If you can get
Alcontra for the rest of this year and next year,
I think you do that.

Speaker 3 (27:45):
I think you overpitch it, don't I don't disagree, But
it's like, do the Marlins want to trade him to
a division that he will be here for another year?

Speaker 1 (27:53):
That's why I think, yeah, it's going to really probably
come back to haunt them as they try to compete
in twenty twenty six, spending.

Speaker 3 (27:59):
A lot of money touche. But I think that's where
that cost becomes something like, you know, something like a
Ronnie Mauricio, which you probably don't want to pay that
for Sandy right now. So I don't know it's why
is Sandy still not traded? I do think the Mets
look at it, But I also think the Mets might
see themselves in potentially in a situation where they go,
do we really want to be hyper aggressive for not

(28:21):
saying Sandy's mediocre but like mediocre ish pitching, because we
have we have depth, you know what, we have Mantus,
we have Manaya coming back, Senga's definitely coming back. They
look at either one way we got dudes or all
these dudes keep getting hurt. But I think one of
those could make them push away from China.

Speaker 1 (28:38):
Buy you mentioned Lugo earlier. If the Royals decided to
move on from Lugo, he's the next Met I could
see that's reuniting with him.

Speaker 3 (28:44):
You know what, when the report came out that like
they might start looking to sell some veterans. I saw
somebody That's literally what it was. Was my God, bring
Lugo back to Yeah.

Speaker 2 (28:53):
Yeah, he was a good net too.

Speaker 1 (28:54):
He was very well liked by the fan base. Mouten
Francis goes to the I l with the shoulder impingement.
Masatake Osheita the answer to d H for the Red Sox.
He's getting fast tracked all the way back and while
you're a Breo also is beginning a rehab assignment. Jorkson
Profar has been playing games in Triple A starting on Tuesday,
so he is back July second.

Speaker 2 (29:14):
But remember he can't play in the postseason for.

Speaker 1 (29:15):
The Bravos Tyler Glass Now Cheater because he's a cheater.
The tyler Glass Now faced live hitters on Tuesday for
a two winning sim game. AJ Puck is bitching to
visit doctor Neil Ela Trosh on Thursday, which means he's
gonna get Tommy John probably the next day.

Speaker 3 (29:29):
Oh one percent. Yeah, a great moment. I just wanted
to throw this out glass. Now throw those two simulated games.
Did you know that some people probably saw this? Jerry
Harston Junior is now I think he's commenting for the
It has to be the Dodgers. But the he got
in the box, he went down to the field. Jerry
Harriston Junior, former good player, Where the hell he played everywhere?

(29:50):
Because I remember Scott Harriston was a diamondback. But Jerry
Harriston Jr. Goes down and he takes in it bat
versus glass now in that simulated and he got a
He got an opposite field single, which was a clear hit.
I thought it was awesome, awesome. I love the sixteen.

Speaker 1 (30:06):
Years Orioles, Cubs, Rangers, Reds, Yankees, Padres, Nationals, Brewers, and Dodgers.
I told you he played everywhere.

Speaker 3 (30:13):
Yeah, he's working with the Dodgers now. And he took
it back. The videos online, you guys can go see.

Speaker 1 (30:19):
I thought it was good for him. That's what you
bragged your kids about. And your kids are like, I
don't care, Luke.

Speaker 3 (30:25):
I could still play. And they're like yo, yoah, sure, sure,
all right, let me get in the boxer's of tile
the classes.

Speaker 2 (30:29):
You know, whatever's hurt, big deal.

Speaker 1 (30:31):
There were people that enjoyed my teenager conversation yesterday and
impressions apparently in the chats as I saw it too
close to her well you know, when you live with it,
you start to learn it. Luke Weaver faced live hitters Tuesday,
so he's working his way back. As I mentioned Richard
Fitz five shoutout innings. If he got dropped, you might
want to pick him up. Struck out three in the
five innings. Jordan Alvarez day to day, he says he

(30:54):
feels a lot better. Still no timetable, and Shane mcclan
ann had a quote very good meeting with a nerve
specialist on Tuesday end quote no timetable for his return,
but it was a good meeting.

Speaker 3 (31:07):
Well you should throw the other day after all the negativity.
There's a video of him playing catch or having a catch,
which was.

Speaker 1 (31:13):
A solid hey ed, yeah, sure we'll see all right. Well,
I think we're back on track, although I do miss
my whiteboard yesterday.

Speaker 2 (31:22):
It is time for the best Bets of the Day with.

Speaker 1 (31:25):
Joey p and the Welsh. I kind of like the
whiteboard better. I don't know if Kelly saw the whiteboard yesterday.
It was pretty spectacular and Welsh's reveals of the oh yeah,
how amuch? So we should do that on a Friday
because Fridays are typically lighter shows. Do you want to
do that next Friday? I want to pencil that in
for everybody could.

Speaker 3 (31:43):
Yeah, it was like it would do this and then
I don't have anything written on this, so it doesn't It.

Speaker 2 (31:47):
Would just eventually focus in there.

Speaker 1 (31:48):
But we're gonna we're gonna do our All Star voting
that way for the Oh gotcha?

Speaker 2 (31:54):
Right?

Speaker 3 (31:54):
Well that was your idea, I'm giving you you Well, yeah, no,
but you want to do the fading?

Speaker 1 (31:59):
Yeah, well no, not to like what we both reveal
at the same time, and yours will fade more dramatically because.

Speaker 3 (32:05):
No, mine will be very dramatic. So when are we
doing this show?

Speaker 1 (32:08):
Oh, we could do with this Friday or next Friday?

Speaker 2 (32:09):
What do you want to do? Probably should do it?

Speaker 3 (32:12):
Well, not next Friday because I won't be here, so
it had to be this Friday or Friday.

Speaker 1 (32:16):
App let's do it this Friday. We've had enough baseball
to vote for the All Star Game.

Speaker 2 (32:20):
I think. All right, So here you go.

Speaker 1 (32:22):
It's run line day today. Let's start with the Phillies
and Johanio Suarez against the Marlins.

Speaker 2 (32:27):
They're in Miami.

Speaker 1 (32:27):
I don't care minus one eleven at minus one and
a half on the run line.

Speaker 2 (32:30):
For the Phillies.

Speaker 1 (32:31):
Go Phillies, go, just I just expect them to just
pound the Miami Marlins into submission in this game. Detroit
pulling away from everybody schoogle against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Yes, please, mother,
I'd like to have some more one and a half again,
minus one and a half on the run line, minus
one twenty five.

Speaker 2 (32:48):
It's a little bit of juice.

Speaker 1 (32:49):
It should be a lot more juice for this one,
because to me, you got the best pitcher in baseball,
arguably on the mound against one of the worst teams
in baseball.

Speaker 2 (32:56):
Lock it up.

Speaker 1 (32:57):
And then the next one is Houston on the run
line minus and a half at minus one oh four,
another unsung, un heralded great starter, Forever Valdez on the
mound facing Luis Everarino, who's been a dumpster fire this
year for the Athletics. So give me run line Central
all minus money, but none of the jews is too
much for me to stay away. Welsh, where are you
going for your bets today? On a Wednesday?

Speaker 3 (33:18):
All right, I am gonna go down to Boston. I've
got some money, lines, run lines, no props. I guess
we're a no prop show too Tropolis. Today we are propolists.
I am gonna go with the Red Sox minus one
twenty today, looking back up at the matchup, because I
did not write it down after I did all of
my work. Garrett Crochet against Luis Castillo, Red Sox. This division,

(33:42):
it's obtainable. Garrett Crochet, their guy on the mound. Young
guys get to Luis Castillo. Louis Castillo, by the way,
we found out there were trade rumors in the off
season and he didn't get traded because he wanted he
wanted more money because of taxes in Boston. So if
everyone was wondering why he never became a Red Sox,
we found that out apparently today and he's going to

(34:02):
get taxed in this game. So Boston is going to
win on the money line minus one twenty with Garrett
Crochet Phillies on the run line. I'm going with you.
I found better number Ranger Swarrez going up against Adam Maser,
not Adam Aser Matt Adam Maser with the Marlins, so
I'm going back. I'm going to back the Phillies against
the Marlins pretty much every single time I can, so

(34:24):
I'll take the run line almost even money there and
then give me Kansas City, Texas nerfe We haven't nerfeed
it here in just a little bit. But Chris Boobach
versus Patrick Corbyn, both of these offenses kind of Patrick
Corbin has voodoo magic. Chris Bubich has been fantastic this
year minus one twenty five both of those offenses to
be stunted in the first inning. Nurfy run line, money line,

(34:47):
a little bit of all the lines for you. Those
are my bets of the day.

Speaker 1 (34:49):
Take all those lines and go make some money at
fantasybros dot com. Slash leading off on FanDuel. Right there,
you can be a new customer by five bucks to
get two fifty and bonus bets when you win. And
don't forget to download the Betting pros app today. You
get a free trial of the premium tools seven days
when you use the promo code leading off. It's free,
by the way, everybody, the app is free. Just download
and check it out. It is honestly a game changer.

(35:10):
I love the Betting pros app. It is so much
good information to make him make better bets. Just tremendous
and football seams around the corner and I've already put
some football bets in there, so go ahead and check
it out. We have no home run board today, so
we're just gonna go to home run calls. I'm going
to tell Martea plus one seventy two. That's where I'm going.
It's funny we can't. You know, one day you can

(35:32):
get a home run board, you can't get a betting board.
The next day you get a betting board, you can't get.

Speaker 2 (35:36):
Home run board. I don't know what kind of operation
we're running here. Oh, what are we doing? What are
we doing here?

Speaker 1 (35:42):
Pretty good operation, that's all right, just saying it's like
people are getting lazy here in mid June. There's a
guy that maybe maybe we have to have a meeting,
a closed door meeting.

Speaker 3 (35:51):
Yeah, the team, well one hamster wasn't searching his wheel
enough so we can get the home run board out.
It's okay, And now you know what, I don't want
to see it. I want to see that stupid boord.
I haven't had a home run my home run drought.
I mean, I guess I did get Pete a Lonzo
a couple of.

Speaker 2 (36:06):
Week ago, A weekend ago. Yeah, get two weeks Ago
again as.

Speaker 3 (36:10):
Been had a homer since. So I'm going to go
in the same game. But I'm gonna go Vladdie. I'm
gonna go against the Diamondbacks. I salty just again watching
at Wardo Rodriguez. He's just a home run machine. Like
he throws an eighty seven eighty eight mile an hour fastball.
If his change up is off at all, Uh, he's
gonna just get banged around. And I think I think

(36:31):
we're getting two from Vladdie today against at Wardo. I
just don't buy it. So Vladimir Guerrero Junior from my
home run call. I also thought about Kutel. I kind
of like that matchup. Maybe maybe you know what, maybe
at the end of the day, it's just runs in
this game, which you should betting. Maybe there's an over.
What is the over in that game?

Speaker 1 (36:45):
It is?

Speaker 3 (36:46):
I think it's like eight and a half, nine and
a half lower Rodriguez. But give me Vlattie.

Speaker 1 (36:50):
Okay, there you have it. Everybody remember going to the discord.
We're giving away the Sami Sosa jersey there. And I
saw a question here from CC four o'clock the show.
Of course we are it's Wednesday, of course so Wednesday,
four pm Eastern, Every single Wednesday, four pm Eastern.

Speaker 2 (37:06):
It's all about you. There's baseball on too.

Speaker 1 (37:08):
We got afternoon games, so we'll be watching the games,
taking your questions, a good time, hang out with us.
Try to remember what games will be on. I looked
earlier in the schedule.

Speaker 3 (37:17):
Schore right now, it's only gonna be the Red Sox
and Mariner.

Speaker 2 (37:19):
Yes, but that's good. It's Garrett Crochet. That's fun. So
there you go. It's starting at four to ten. We're
starting at four.

Speaker 1 (37:24):
Come join us, get your questions answered, hang out, have
a laugh, and subscribe to the channel and drop your
comments below. That'll do it for us, but the story
of the game goes on for the Welsh.

Speaker 2 (37:33):
I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

Speaker 1 (37:36):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify, Follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at
Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube
dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB
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