June 20, 2025 • 36 mins
Join Ryan Wormeli (@RyanWarmly) and Mike Maher (@mikeMaher) for Part Two of this week’s edition of The Cycle!
In this episode, Worm and Maher highlight their favorite buy low and sell high targets before going through the best pick-ups that you can make off the waiver wire this weekend!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Buy Lows - 0:00:22
Cam Smith - 0:00:26
Colton Cowser - 0:06:20
Sell Highs - 0:11:18
TJ Friedl - 0:11:20
Spencer Strider - 0:14:53
Kyzatrex - 0:20:27
Waiver Wire Central - 0:21:45
Brady House - 0:22:14
Cam Smith - 0:26:11
Chase Burns - 0:27:08
Emmet Sheehan - 0:30:54
Deep League Targets - 0:33:25
Outro - 0:35:26
Helpful Links:
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:05):
Hello everybody, Welcome into part two of the cycle. For
this week, I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always by
Mike Mayer. We are talking some buys, some cells, and
of course Waiver Central. We already did Round in the Bases,
so you can catch that on YouTube or wherever you
listen to your podcast if you haven't seen it already,
and of course coming up later in the weekend, we've
got our streaming pictures episode as well. Mayor let's start
(00:27):
with you on your buy low.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
So my by low is and I wrote him up
on this week's article on fantasy pros is Cam Smith,
and I think this is it's kind of a by low.
It's also kind of a pickup before someone else picks
them up situation, because he was a really hyped prospect
coming into the seas and got up to a really
slow start and he's quietly like been pretty good lately.
(00:50):
He if I pull up the splits here, he batted
over three hundred in May after a really rough start
to the season. So he batted in April two thirteen
with three home runs, so we had a little bit
of power, but patted two thirteen in May. He pretty
quietly bad at three h seven, And I only know
that because I roster him in a couple of leagues
(01:11):
and I've just resisted the urge to drop him because
I still believe in the talent. And I think this
is one of those situations where, you know, we've seen,
We've talked about it a bunch, where a young hitter
comes up, he struggles. It's just we've you know, we're
in this situation where the pitching at the major league
level is so much better than the pitching we're seeing
at the minor leagues that almost all of these hitters
(01:32):
needed adjustment period. A lot of them get sent down.
We just saw Christian Campbell Red Sox get sent down
today and Cramsmith didn't get sent down. He got he
kind of got sat down on the bench a few
times where they just like gave him a breather, And
I almost feel like this might be cam Smith two
point zero, even though he didn't get sent down like
a lot of these other guys like Jackson Holliday, it's
(01:52):
almost like he just kind of hung around and he's
just kind of working through it. And even in the
first two weeks of June, he's patting three twenty one
with two home runs heat He hit both those homewns
in a game the other day. But he's still not
very rostered and so you hopefully wouldn't even have to
trade something to get him. But we're probably a few
games to a week away more of this from him
(02:15):
being rostered in a ton more places, so you can
kind of it's it's not necessarily like a Bilow window
is closing, but it's like he's if this is like
the breakout, he's not gonna be available soon or for long.
Speaker 3 (02:28):
Where do you have him rest of the season.
Speaker 2 (02:30):
I was just moving him around before I've moved I've
moved him like a lot of players, I uh, I
like resist moving them too much, or like I'm just
kind of like slide them down throughout the season. I've
like moved him like up and down a bunch of
times this season. So he's also outfield and third base eligible.
So for third base, I have him at eighteen and
(02:51):
it's probably I moved him down recently. I'm going to
bump him up to like sixteen. Right now, I still
have vant it's pretty hig I'm going to drop the
in down. Who would you, I mean, what are your
thoughts on Campsmith before I ask you some of these rankings, I.
Speaker 3 (03:10):
Don't really have him anywhere.
Speaker 1 (03:12):
A few places I did. He is somebody I moved
on from earlier in the year.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
I think.
Speaker 1 (03:18):
I think the point that I would just like emphasize,
and it almost feels weird because I feel like we
say it all the time, is just a reminder of
like you can pretty much throw out the first month
ish of any prospect, even the best of the best prospects.
The transition to major league pitching has never been harder
than it is right now. It feels like and I've
(03:41):
lost track of the number of names we've talked about
in this context of like it's a slow start adjusting
to the big leagues or a guy coming up for
his second stint in the big leagues and him doing
so much better. I mean, again, we could we could
probably list twenty five names if we if we wanted to,
of guys who that's been the case for in the
(04:02):
last couple of years.
Speaker 3 (04:03):
So, whether it's a guy in.
Speaker 1 (04:05):
A second stint or a guy that's kind of seemingly
taking a big step after that early struggle, that tends
to be the type of player I'm very interested in
buying in on the way.
Speaker 3 (04:15):
We've seen this pattern go so many times recently.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
Yeah, and for him, he's still young. He's twenty two
years old. He never even played in the in triple A.
He just kind of flew through the minor leagues, you know,
in twenty twenty four, and yeah, I mean he didn't
play in triple A. He barely played in single and
double A. So he he was drafted in twenty twenty
(04:38):
four in the first round, and then in twenty twenty
four played fifteen games at low A, twelve games at
high A, five games in Double A. That's the only
time he spent in the minors. He made the team
at a spring training in twenty twenty five. His kid's
never been in the minor leagues basically, and so he's
learning on the job. It's kind of incredible that he's
doing as well as he is based on that and
(04:59):
what we know about Ajulie pitching.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
Yeah, would you give an answer on the rankings.
Speaker 2 (05:06):
I had him around so third base. I had him
around like eighteen. I'm going to bump him up a
little bit now that because I had dropped him down
when he was cold. I moved the ants down. Would
you rather have Estoc, Paratees or Campsmith.
Speaker 3 (05:19):
I'd rather have Parides.
Speaker 2 (05:20):
Okay, yeah, he's betting two fifty two of fifteen home runs.
I feel like the ceiling's higher for Campsmith. But like
the thing with the thing with like these rankings, and
you're trying to like project like not like the safest value,
but like the most likely value. And as much as
(05:40):
I want to rank for upside, like, there is as
much chance that cam Smith breaks out and is a
top ten, top six third baseman the rest of the
year as there is that you just drop him in
a week or two and it's just it's just over
for this year. I like to think that this is
the breakout coming and I want to rank him more aggressively,
but it would be hard, like especially if it's like
(06:03):
did you have to drop Bradies to pick up Campsmith?
I don't think I could pull the trigger on something
like that is kind of how I like, you know,
like when you're making the final call on rankings, that's
kind of like the tie breaker are you sometimes like
would I drop this player for this player if I
had to? And if the answer is not, that's kind
of where where the breaking point is for my rankings.
Speaker 3 (06:23):
Yeah, I think that's fair. I'll go to my bilow.
Speaker 1 (06:26):
This is Colton Kowser, and he did hit a home
run yesterday. It was so you know, if you're looking
just a day ago, not a bylow. But in general,
he has not had a very good season. He's batting
one to ninety. His ops is at seven twenty. It's
worth noting that he his season barely started before he
(06:46):
you know, messed up his his was it his thumb?
I think it was diving into first, which I hated
watching in the moment, and obviously hated not having him
playing outfield for the Orioles for several weeks. And he's
still kind of working his way back in kind of
shaking off that rust that early season kind of look,
you see a lot of hitters have, but he's hit
a couple of home runs. He's in home runs back
(07:08):
to back days. First of all, he's had three since
June seventh. His batting average has risen over twenty points since,
you know, in the last two weeks. And I think
even if you the problem with cold Cows is the strikeouts,
right Like, if you're in the league, that penalizes the strikeouts.
Speaker 3 (07:24):
It's going to hurt you.
Speaker 1 (07:25):
And I do think that'll get better, you know, as
we get further in the season and he shakes off
more of that rust. But it's not like he's been
a low strikeout guy in the past. Like right now,
it's thirty six point five percent strike out rate. I
think it'll get closer to thirty, but it's not going
to get too much lower than thirty in the best
case scenario. But this is a player with a lot
of power and he can really impact the ball. His
barrel rate is the highest of his career at seventeen
(07:46):
point one percent. He's not walking a lot. I think
that will go up as the strikeouts go down.
Speaker 3 (07:51):
Again.
Speaker 1 (07:51):
I think that's kind of that you know effectsimily of
an early season player shaking off the rust and the
expected badding is low. He's not got you have on
your team for batting average. Again, I think that'll go
up as he gets further and further, like more back
into the playing every day.
Speaker 3 (08:08):
But he's hitting the ball hard.
Speaker 1 (08:09):
His average active last season ninety two and a half
miles per hour. Again, the barrel rate's really high. The
Orioles need him to be good and I think he
will be. I almost was gonna say Jordan Westberg for
similar reason coming back off injury as a bye high,
but he's just been too good that I think you're
probably gonna have to overpay to get him. But Kowser's
struggled relatively speaking. I think the power will come. I
(08:31):
think he'll he'll be at like a twenty five home
run pace the rest of the season. If he's not
gonna hit that number because of the miss time, I
think the average will get up too, well above two hundred.
Not that that's you know, anything to brag about too, Yeah, exactly,
And but yeah, I think he'll be a power hitting
outfielder for you the rest of the way. And he's
pretty pretty attainable. I can't imagine anybody would would ask
(08:53):
for too much to create him away right now if
you offer them really anything of substance. So I like
Colton Kowser, even with the horrid strikeout to walk ratio.
Speaker 2 (09:03):
Yeah, it feels like the kind of chance, like you
can't take this chance in a points league because the
strikeouts are just going to kill you. It would have
to be like in a roto categories or head to
head categories kind of league. Yeah, it's an upside play.
I also would probably prefer if you could pull him,
like if you could pick him up and sit him
and like make sure this continues and just so it
(09:23):
doesn't kill you for a week. That's also an ideal
such a scenario. If you have to pick him up
start him right away, it's kind of hard to stomach,
even though he is heating up right now. Jordan Westbrook.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
I think it's the type of guy, the type of
guy in a trade that, like you get cows are
thrown in for the upside.
Speaker 2 (09:40):
Jordan Westburg is a player. I have to move back
up in my rankings now that you mentioned him, because
I had him buried. He was really really bad and
then you know, went to the IL. But now he's
back and looking like himself.
Speaker 3 (09:51):
How high look looks a lot more like for third base?
Speaker 2 (09:53):
How high would you put him or the season?
Speaker 3 (09:58):
I don't want to look at the rankings right now.
Speaker 2 (10:01):
I have him while you do that. I have him
like right in the same area of camp Smith. I
feel like he needs to be much higher than camp.
Speaker 3 (10:06):
Smith, that he should be higher than camp Smith.
Speaker 2 (10:08):
That's because I agreed him before. Now I have to
bring him back up.
Speaker 1 (10:11):
Right now, in consensus, he's fourteenth at third base. I
think that's too low. Like he's behind Josh Young, he
should be higher than him. He's behind Matt Chapman. I
think he should be higher than Josh twenty four. Yeah,
I don't know why Young is so high. I wonder
if somebody just has him ranked really weirdly high and
the average Michael Garcia I is okay. It kind of
(10:35):
depends what you're looking for out of that player. Parade
is gonna have more power, but I think Westburg better overall.
Hano Suarez obviously hitting a ton of home runs. Now,
I don't know what I think about that. In terms
of the rest of the season. Bregman is ahead of him.
You know, we'll see what you know this injury kind
of length and coming back from it. Junior Campanaro has
obviously being really hot. But yeah, I think he belongs
(10:56):
Westburg in I don't I want to sit here and
tell you every single name in order, because I would
want to spend more time than shooting from the hip
on that. But on a kind of initial glance, I
think Westbrook should be inside the top ten, like maybe
at ten I'm not saying.
Speaker 2 (11:11):
It's super high. I just moved him to ten.
Speaker 3 (11:14):
Yeah, I think that's I think I think ten is
the right spot.
Speaker 2 (11:16):
I moved him right after Chapman.
Speaker 1 (11:19):
Yeah, so I like him obviously. I like Kowser two
is a bilo. Let's go to your favorite cell high.
Speaker 2 (11:24):
My favorite cell high is t J. Friedel, and it's
a it's a player that I actually like in TJ. Friedl.
It's a player that like, I feel like this player.
I always have him, I like the wrong times, Like
when he was breaking out in twenty twenty three, I
didn't have him everywhere, and then I had him a
bunch of places last year because I was like, Wow,
if he was that good in twenty twenty three and
(11:46):
we didn't even get a full season, I would love
to get like twenty home runs and maybe thirty stolen
bases out of him with a decent batting Everton. Then
last year was a disaster, and then I kind of
stayed from him, say away from him a little bit
this year, especially because he was kind of paying up
into the season. I was like, nope, I've seen this
show before. Even though I like the player, I'm staying
away and now he's batting two eighty eight with Adam
(12:06):
runs and nine Stone bases and looking really good again. However,
when I do my research for these so highs, I
look for a lot like I try to find a
player where either there's a ton of hype right now
and I feel like the narrative has gotten ahead of it,
or I go purely numbers based and I just start
looking at like expected numbers, and if I can find
(12:27):
someone who's expected numbers across the board are worse than
their actual numbers, then that throws up the red flag
for me, and that player becomes a soll high. And
that's exactly what happened with t J. Friedel batting to
eighty eight. Expected batting average is two fifty, and when
you look at expected slugging aver average exon velocity, barrel percentage,
hard hit percentage, they're all tenth percentile or worse. And
(12:49):
he makes up for that with like some like elite
like Chase, and with numbers and like strikeout numbers in general.
But it's it's an odd profile that I think think
can kind of come unraveled depending on how things go.
And I think even if he stays healthy, it's gonna
lead to some regression, and so he is someone I'm
selling high for if I can flip him for a
(13:10):
picture that I need an eye list. We could do
the names next, but let's see what you think first.
Back to you, where.
Speaker 3 (13:18):
I don't have a ton to add.
Speaker 1 (13:20):
I think you he is also somebody that I have
not really ever had at the right time in the past.
I like the player, so this would really depend on
the return I'm getting. But I think the process is
very sound by you in terms of why he makes
sense to look into potentially selling him.
Speaker 2 (13:42):
Yeah, so some of the names I tried to I
use the Fantasy Pro's trade value chart to kind of
like match this up a little bit. And as I say,
every week, you know, I try to hit it for
a picture. But how about Chris Bubich.
Speaker 1 (13:57):
I would rather have Boobitch, which I think. What about
Nick Pavetta, I'd rather have Pavetta. Robbie Ray He's been
better this year than I expected.
Speaker 2 (14:12):
I think I go Ray Chota.
Speaker 1 (14:18):
I just don't want to. I don't like messing with
injury stuff. I think I go Freedle.
Speaker 2 (14:22):
And then Elite top ten picture himself. Christopher Sanchez.
Speaker 3 (14:32):
I will go.
Speaker 1 (14:34):
With Christopher Sanchez. No, do you agree disagree with any
of those picks by me?
Speaker 2 (14:41):
Those are all the names I put that I would
flip him for. So I am on the freedom side
of all of those, the pictures, on the picture side
of all selling. I'm selling all those.
Speaker 3 (14:53):
I was about to be very surprised.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
Okay, Well, I have a picture here in my favorite
cell high and it's Spencer Stryder obviously coming off of
a terrific start against the Rockies.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
That is his most recent start. Right, I'm not making
that up.
Speaker 2 (15:08):
I'm pitching. He's pitching today, so it must Okay.
Speaker 1 (15:12):
I was gonna say, because that that has been a
few days, I was now nervous if I was missing one. Yeah,
he is pitching later today against the Mets, so.
Speaker 3 (15:19):
We'll see how that goes.
Speaker 1 (15:20):
But as of Thursday when we're recording this, he's coming
off of at his best started the season, you know,
by a mile, obviously, six innings, three hits, one walk,
thirteen strikeouts. But of course this game at home against
the Rockies, who are terrible, And my thought here is twofold.
On the one hand, there's still an inherent injury risk here, right,
(15:43):
just giving what he's coming back from, and the fact
that it's he's had other injuries this year even besides
the arm, and.
Speaker 3 (15:51):
Also has not looked very good. Now, it's very easy
to paint the picture that he was.
Speaker 1 (15:55):
Just shaking off the rust and is now something closer
to being back. But also it's I think it's easy
to paint the picture of it was one really good
outing and it was against you know, the worst team
in baseball, So I want to see more before I'm
starting to think of him as an ace again. And
I think it's very worth looking at looking around the
(16:16):
league and reaching out if somebody needs pitching, or if
there's somebody in the league who is a really big,
aggressive trader and say, hey, he just struck out thirteen
guys and six innings.
Speaker 3 (16:27):
Strider's back.
Speaker 1 (16:28):
You make the case that he's shaken off the rust
now and see if you can get somebody really good
back for him, because I think that's possible. So for me,
it's less like, oh, I need to get out of
the Strider business forever, but and more like this is
such a good start if you just look at the
stat line and not the opponent and being the big
name that Strider is as a fantasy baseball ace. I
(16:49):
think it's worth kind of, you know, putting out some feelers,
seeing what kind of an interest you could get for him.
Speaker 2 (16:56):
I agree with the take in theory. However, he looked
to really good in that latest start. He looked like
Spencer Strider of old. And not just because it was
the Rockies and not just because he got twenty four
whiffs in that game, but his velocity was way back
up too. He touched ninety eight in that game. He
was hovering like ninety four ninety five before, And this
(17:17):
was the first time since he came back where it
really looks like he was comfortable being himself and he
was lighting up the radar gun again. Now, obviously that
comes with its own injury concern if he was kind
of overthrowing, and we've seen what high velocity can do
to arms. But it is hard for me to sell,
especially if I drafted him and stashed him, and like
you said, he dealt with another injury. I think he
(17:37):
was a hamstring injury, and then he kind of came
back and you were like, oh God, he doesn't look
like himself, Like I've waited all this time. What am
I gonna do now, and now he does look like himself.
It's hard for me to sell now that I finally
got what I was hoping.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
For, I get it, But I'm not looking to sell
to sell. I'm looking to sell for a really good
player based on the name value here we just saw.
So I think if you're getting a really good player
that offers you a bit more safety and security moving forward,
that's still worth it. Even if you're sitting here thinking, Wow,
he's finally back.
Speaker 2 (18:12):
Do you have any thoughts of what you would want
and return off the top of your head or now?
Speaker 1 (18:17):
It's really hard to answer that because I think that's
going to be really dependent on the other managers in
your league. Like yeah, I think you could throw out
names that maybe sound like they're too good to make
a trade like this, And I think you could also
throw out names that are like, oh, that's way lower,
and depending on the league, that might be the direction
it goes. What about so he's sixteenth in our rest
(18:41):
of season rankings.
Speaker 2 (18:42):
By the way, A picture, A picture where do I
have him? He's another one I've like moved up. I
moved him way up and then like sin, whence he
came back. I was like, oh, maybe drop him back down.
I have him sixteenth.
Speaker 3 (18:55):
That's that's exactly where he is in our inconsensus.
Speaker 2 (18:58):
So that's where I have him. I might bump him
up a little bit based on that. So cell high
would you trade him for? I'm going to aim in
a little higher on the list here. How about Matt Olson?
You think that's in the area you could get.
Speaker 3 (19:21):
I think I think so well.
Speaker 1 (19:23):
I mean again, it depends on the managers in your league,
but I bet there are leagues out there where you
could do that.
Speaker 2 (19:28):
Or even better. And injured Bryce Harper, it seems like
he's working his way back, but he is currently injured.
You might be like, yeah, Bryce Harper.
Speaker 3 (19:35):
I think he was.
Speaker 1 (19:35):
I think he was throwing earlier today last I saw
or no, I'm sorry, Yeah, he throws and took dry swings.
Speaker 3 (19:42):
This was an update like fifteen minutes ago, so I
just saw it.
Speaker 2 (19:46):
How about Devs. What if one of the managers is
panicking about the Devert the Raphaeld Devs trade.
Speaker 3 (19:51):
I would trade Strider for Devors.
Speaker 2 (19:54):
Yeah. It's probably hard to have base though, to give
give up a third basement like that.
Speaker 3 (19:58):
Yeah, I don't think that's going to be an easy
to one, but I would do it.
Speaker 2 (20:01):
Some of these other names that are right around the
same value, I don't know that I would do it. Oh,
here's one from our first segment. What about say as
Suzuki you boyoo?
Speaker 3 (20:11):
I think I'd probably rather have Strider.
Speaker 1 (20:14):
That's a fun one. There are two spots apart from
each other in rest of season rankings.
Speaker 2 (20:19):
There you go.
Speaker 1 (20:21):
Yeah, so just you know, send out some feelers. Like
I said, see what is an option to you? Because
with the name, value might be more than you think
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com or call one eight three, three, nine four nine
five zero four zero. Okay, Waivers Central, I have.
Speaker 2 (21:51):
To do that read while you were gone the one time.
That was my first Kisa Trecks read.
Speaker 1 (21:56):
I probably could get through that read twice in the
speed it takes you to get through at once.
Speaker 3 (22:01):
That's my prediction.
Speaker 2 (22:02):
I don't have a good comeback for that.
Speaker 3 (22:06):
Oh well, do you think I'm right or wrong?
Speaker 2 (22:08):
You went fast? I went pretty fast? You said three.
Speaker 3 (22:11):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (22:12):
Yeah, It's not an easy read to be fast on.
So all right, Waiver Central. My favorite hitter. I've got
Brady House here. This is a prospect that I really
liked when he was first drafted. We talked about him
a bit in the first segment of this week's The
Cycle Show.
Speaker 3 (22:30):
Twenty two years old. Very available.
Speaker 1 (22:32):
He's seven percent roster on the I, four percent roster
on Espiano. Forgot to look up CBS. But it's going
to be higher than that. But you know, not crazy high.
I wouldn't think. Just a player that was a really
good prospect in high school, had a slow start to
his minor league career, but had become a good prospect
again and has gotten off to like a hot start.
It's very early, right, like eleven played appearances. I think
(22:54):
as of the time we were putting together the sheets.
So you know, I'm not saying that that's the hitter
he is, but batting over three fifty, you know, he's walking.
Speaker 3 (23:03):
I just think he's a good player. He's gonna get.
Speaker 1 (23:05):
I would assume as many of at bats as he
can handle, because the Nats aren't like competitive, so they'll
kind of let him learn to figure it out.
Speaker 3 (23:10):
And third base is not an easy position to fill,
so I would pick him up.
Speaker 1 (23:14):
You're probably not starting him right away, but I want
him on my roster in case he hits the ground running,
you know, maybe better than some of these other prospects
have in recent years.
Speaker 2 (23:22):
Depending on how you're doing at third base, you might
start him right away. I have. I'm starting Connor Norby
in a couple of leagues. I might start him over him.
Speaker 3 (23:28):
Okay, yes, I'd rather start Brady House than Connor Norby.
Speaker 2 (23:31):
Also very fun name, you know, he's his two names
are one half is the best sitcom from the seventies
and the other half is from the best sitcom in
like the eighties and nineties.
Speaker 3 (23:44):
I don't what's the best sitcom? Which is House full House?
Speaker 1 (23:49):
Oh?
Speaker 3 (23:50):
Oh, okay, I was thinking I get it now.
Speaker 1 (23:52):
I think you're saying, like, you know, no, I got
I got you now. I was thinking, like the full
because that's like, there's a show called House, and I
was like, well, that's not a sitcom, So what does
he talk about?
Speaker 3 (24:00):
I see you met half of it?
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Okay, Brady Bunch.
Speaker 1 (24:02):
Yeah, I never thought about that. Yeah, no, no, no, I
got it now that you explained it. Sorry, that's my
fault that that was a good joke by you. That's
that's not your fault.
Speaker 3 (24:09):
That's on me. Do you like Brady House as a pickup?
Speaker 2 (24:15):
I love him as a sitcom, but I do I
have him in a couple. He's a player. Actually, you
know the other picture picture, the other player you meant
you mentioned this week, is also a player that I like.
But they're both players that I targeted in Dynasty, and
so I do have a bunch of shares of both
of them, and obviously I did in most of those things.
(24:36):
I did draft House earlier because he came out a
couple of years ago. But I do like him. He's
he's got some swing and miss in his profile, so
that's going to be a thing you have to deal with.
But also he's kind of gotten better as he's gotten along,
and numbers in Triple A were like he's he's not
someone that they'd like just called up because they were like,
all right, let's you know, we're we stink, let's let's
call him up. He was batting three or four or
(24:56):
thirteen home runs sixty five games, like he earned it,
even though he struck out twenty six percent of the
time for six point five percent of the time. That's kind
of been his profile. That's kind of be you know,
I wouldn't be surprised if his strikeout rate goes over
thirty for you know, like while for these first few
weeks while he's struggling, but uh, right now seven point
seven percent through three games. But you know, pretty small
(25:18):
sample size. But yeah, he's he's like a big kid
with a power profile. I like a Brady House like
you said, I think. I mean, we keep it's like
a broken record, we keep saying it over and over
and over again that these young hitters they come up
and they struggle, and so you kind of have to
expect it at this point until we see differently. But
he is a prospect that I really like, really high.
(25:41):
We pedigree there that I've liked for a few years,
so I'm happy to see him finally debut. And third
basis of then, I agree with ating him everywhere we can.
Speaker 1 (25:49):
Speaking of young players, by the way, just while we're
recording this, the Royals rookie Jack. I actually think I
might have been mispronouncing his last name, but they're great prospect.
It's the last name, and I have I've been getting
like Caglion because there's the second N in there, so.
Speaker 3 (26:05):
I'm like, no, no, no, no, Yeah. Anyway, he has two
home runs today. Kuy's of stunt. He's going to figure
it out really fast. All right. Your favorite hitter we
already talked about Nick Kurtz.
Speaker 2 (26:18):
Is getting hot too. Speaking of young hitters, who did
I talk about? Oh, so we already talked about him
in a previous segment. I double dipped on Cam Smith.
So we don't have to spend a ton of time
on Cam Smith because I already just talked about him
as a.
Speaker 3 (26:30):
By loo or any time.
Speaker 2 (26:32):
Really, Yeah, my favorite hitter to pick up this week
is Cam Smith and it's for a lot of the
reasons we just talked about. Britty House. The third base is
really thin, Cam Smith has been quietly pretty good, and
like we already said, he may have already gone through
that rookie struggle that you know, that early struggle, and
we could be on the other side of it, and
(26:52):
so you have third base outfield eligibility. He's been hitting
over three hundred for about six weeks now, which is
a pretty long time we be batting over three hundred,
and yeah, I mentioned in Campsmith, we don't have to
spend ton of time there. We already talked about him
a bunch.
Speaker 1 (27:07):
Yeah, I'm sure you'll find a way to bring them
up as like our two star pitcher competitions somehow too.
All Right, the favorite pitcher for me, it's Chase Burns,
And this is one I like to get out ahead
and I'm sure our listeners have noticed this that I
like to get out ahead of, like the top prospects
before they're actually called up. And Chase Burns very available.
He's fourteen percent roster and Yahoo four percent roster in ESPN.
(27:28):
Once again, I forgot to pull up CBS on this one.
Speaker 3 (27:30):
Twenty two years.
Speaker 1 (27:31):
Old, Drive Hadaway Forest, a really good pitcher who the
Reds have promoted pretty aggressively.
Speaker 3 (27:37):
Just eight weeks ago, promoted to Double A, you.
Speaker 1 (27:39):
Know, recently up to Triple A, and is just like
arguably the best pitching prospect of baseball, and I would
have I mean, the Reds have been dealing with injury
to Hunter Green obviously, you know, I think I think
their five starter is like Wade Miley or somebody. I mean,
it's like there's an opportunity here. They decided to give
(28:00):
him the chance. So I like Chase Burns the prospect
and pictures. I have less of a worry about coming
up and making that initial transition, so I want to
have him on my roster before there's a rush to
pick him up when he does get called up.
Speaker 2 (28:18):
Would you say that Chase Burns is excellent Simpsons reference?
Speaker 1 (28:25):
I knew it was a Simpsons reference, which obviously we've discussed.
Speaker 3 (28:29):
I have not seen. Yes, I guess.
Speaker 2 (28:35):
I love Chase Burns. He's one of my favorite prospects.
I drafted him in the dynasty league we're in together.
I drafted him in two other dynasty leagues this off season.
There was one where I couldn't believe he fell. To me,
I was like, what are you guys doing? Yeah, he's
he's the second overall pick last year, and he's already
flown through the minor leagues. You know, this year he's
(28:56):
knocking on the door. I was really enjoying looking at
his fan grafs page because they included some of his
college stats on there, which I haven't seen a ton
of that happening before. And in in twenty twenty four
in wake Forest, one hundred and ninety one strikeouts at
one hundred innings, which is pretty incredible, and he's kind
of done more of the same, like not quite at
that level, but you know, the high A twenty strikeouts
(29:17):
at eleven and two thirds innings, Double A fifty five
strikeouts and forty two innings. Now he's in Triple a's
already got fourteen strikeouts and twelve and a third innings,
all with very low eras as well. He's just like
got electric stuff. I'm a huge, huge fan of his,
and I think he is the kind of pitcher who
can come up and be successful right away, because I
think he could be that good.
Speaker 1 (29:37):
He's rostered sixty two percent of leagues in CBS, so
that's that's drastically higher than usually CBS is higher. That's
a lot higher, but that's also still means thirty eight
percent of league's he is still available to pick up
and stash, so I would look to do that, you know, Honestly.
Speaker 2 (29:54):
CBS is a little bit sharper of a platform and
also has a few more dynasty leagues, so that's not
it's always higher.
Speaker 1 (30:02):
Yeah, I'm in a keeper league that I'm looking at
right now to see if I want to because he's
available in this one, who I would want to drop
to get him?
Speaker 3 (30:09):
Unfortunately I have a lot of injured players.
Speaker 1 (30:11):
I don't have a ton of wiggle room with dropping
people that could drop Walker viewer, he's bad.
Speaker 2 (30:18):
By the way, I promoted this on Twitter before, but
you know, as the company man, I think I wrote
it on a show a couple of weeks ago to
One of my favorite features on Fantasy Pros is if
you sink your account, you can just type in a
player's name and go to his player page. You can
see all of your leagues and where he's available. So
I love do. I remember tweeting out about that when
Jack tag leone was coming up. It was like, Hey,
(30:38):
if you want to see where he's available, sink your
accounts and just type in his name, and then you
can just see like either if he's a free agent
or if he's not, who in your league has him
so you can you can trade for him.
Speaker 1 (30:48):
I'm surprised here that because you and I are in
two leagues together and he's only rostered by you and
one of them the other one you don't have him.
Speaker 3 (30:55):
So yeah, I was surprised by that. All right, who's
your picture here?
Speaker 2 (31:00):
My picture is if I can go back to she
emits shehn? Is it? Shehn? Sheen? She han?
Speaker 1 (31:07):
She Maybe? I don't know, it's probably right, But I've
really had like three or four dames on this episode
where I've been like, I'm not one hunder percent show
to pronounce it. I think it's the price of always
reading names instead of saying them exactly.
Speaker 2 (31:19):
This one, i've actually heard, you're you're right, Emmitt Shean.
I think I knew that was the correct way to
say it. I just couldn't say it. Just that H
was really getting me. She haned, she yeah, sheen, which
is ironic because I also have a silent H in
my name. So you think i'd be more uh.
Speaker 3 (31:39):
Sensitive if your last name was pronounced maher.
Speaker 2 (31:42):
Uh, you would think, But it's not. There's no wah.
Just pretend the H isn't there. We can go a
lengthy episode on how to pronounce my name and whether
or not my family's cracked. That's another another topic for
another day.
Speaker 1 (31:54):
My name gets mis pronounced all the time too. Yeah,
it looks like We'melli. People think I'm Italian.
Speaker 3 (31:59):
I am not.
Speaker 2 (31:59):
Maybe not a show. Maybe we just launched a whole
podcast about that.
Speaker 1 (32:03):
But I how to pronounce people's namds just ours, just
our names every episode.
Speaker 2 (32:07):
Yeah, so he is a Dodgers pitcher. He just came back.
He looked really good in his first appearance. He's coming
back from Tommy John surgery. We always think, we've talked
about this before too. We always think that the Dodgers
have too many pictures until they don't, and then they
just need all these other pictures and Lobaul. They have
a ton of good ones waiting in the wings. And
Emma Chien is another one who looks pretty good. I
(32:30):
remember when he before he needed Tommy John surgery. He
looked pretty good as well. And yeah, he he just
started the other day, four innings, six strikeouts. He's probably
gonna take them a little bit of time to get
fully ramped up. You're probably gonna see a few of those,
like four or five innings starts, because just good Dodgers
are gonna be careful. But he's someone that I've liked
(32:51):
for a while. He is not like the Chase Burns pedigree,
but he's someone who you know had He's like a
six round pick, so he's not like a first round
pick kind of a guy. But he's someone that the
Dodgers have liked for a while, who has had success
throughout the minor leagues, and that it's pretty clear that
they like. And I think even though they have some
pictures eventually coming back, you know, if if Blake Snell
(33:12):
ever returns, if he ever makes that Dodgers debut. But
he's someone you can get right now, who you can
get you know, he's not rostered at a ton of
leagues and you can get a lot of value out
of him, especially pitching for a really good team like
the Dodgers, And so you should pick him up.
Speaker 1 (33:27):
Yeah, I don't have a lot to have good case
him me with some deep league targets and we'll get
out of here.
Speaker 2 (33:32):
So deep league targets the one I was going to
mention it was Chase Burns, and then you stole him
as your favorite pitcher. I didn't even realize that, and so.
Speaker 1 (33:38):
I definitely had him in there first, so you stole
him as a deep league.
Speaker 2 (33:42):
I'm realizing now I went all pictures on deep league targets,
which is kind of fitting. I know, I'm in a
bunch of deep leagues where I need pitching all the time.
Hunter Dobbins has kind of been on a heater, which
may or may not have started because he has a
big rivalry at the Yankees and then had like ended
up having like multiple starts against them and had a
lot of success. And so the Red Sox need pitching.
(34:03):
He's pitching very well. It seems like he's here to
stay for now, and so if you need pitching in
a deeper league, he's available everywhere. Max Scherzer, we mentioned
on a previous previous segment he's throwing a bullpen. You
know that this is why this is not a regular
waiver wire pickup Max Cherser. It's twenty twenty five. He's
now a deep league pickup. Max Scherzer. But he also
(34:23):
if you're in a deeper league, he still has some
value as long as he can get that hand figured
out and he can just come back. And if in
a deeper league, if he's sixty percent of what Max
Schurzer used to be, you can still get a lot
of value out of Max Scherzer. Quinn Priester, former Red
Sox legend Quinn Priester, He's been pitching really well lately
and he gets the Rockies this week. So even if
(34:45):
it's just a one week streaming situation, I do like
Quinn priest here this week. And then Michael Soroka, who
has just kind of reinvented himself and is pitching really well.
He was he was this like pitch to contact sinker
ball pitcher for a while, had some devastating injuries and
missed a lot time. Then he came back as in
the bullpen and was pitching really well. And now we're
starting again and pitching very well again, and so it's
(35:07):
good to see his resurgence and he's available in a
lot of leagues as well.
Speaker 1 (35:11):
I will never think about him the Soroka without thinking
of the CBS guys that Adam Aser going. But Mike
Soroka and the My Sharona song, it's just like one
of those things that's etched into your brain whenever I think.
Speaker 3 (35:27):
About him, so shout outs to that show. I guess,
all right, good stuff there. We'll go ahead and wrap up.
Speaker 1 (35:33):
If you missed our first section of the cycle this week,
Riding the Bases, go ahead and check that out. It
should be available already on YouTube and wherever you listen
to your podcast, and we're sure to keep an eye
out for part three, where we talk about streaming pictures
and some other fun stuff. For Mayor, I'm Ryan Warmly
thanks everybody for tuning in. We'll see you next time.
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
Speaker 3 (35:55):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
Speaker 1 (35:58):
Us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify, follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at
Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube
dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB
Hello everybody, Welcome into part two of the cycle. For
this week, I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always by
Mike Mayer. We are talking some buys, some cells, and
of course Waiver Central. We already did Round in the Bases,
so you can catch that on YouTube or wherever you
listen to your podcast if you haven't seen it already,
and of course coming up later in the weekend, we've
got our streaming pictures episode as well. Mayor let's start
(00:27):
with you on your buy low.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
So my by low is and I wrote him up
on this week's article on fantasy pros is Cam Smith,
and I think this is it's kind of a by low.
It's also kind of a pickup before someone else picks
them up situation, because he was a really hyped prospect
coming into the seas and got up to a really
slow start and he's quietly like been pretty good lately.
(00:50):
He if I pull up the splits here, he batted
over three hundred in May after a really rough start
to the season. So he batted in April two thirteen
with three home runs, so we had a little bit
of power, but patted two thirteen in May. He pretty
quietly bad at three h seven, And I only know
that because I roster him in a couple of leagues
(01:11):
and I've just resisted the urge to drop him because
I still believe in the talent. And I think this
is one of those situations where, you know, we've seen,
We've talked about it a bunch, where a young hitter
comes up, he struggles. It's just we've you know, we're
in this situation where the pitching at the major league
level is so much better than the pitching we're seeing
at the minor leagues that almost all of these hitters
(01:32):
needed adjustment period. A lot of them get sent down.
We just saw Christian Campbell Red Sox get sent down
today and Cramsmith didn't get sent down. He got he
kind of got sat down on the bench a few
times where they just like gave him a breather, And
I almost feel like this might be cam Smith two
point zero, even though he didn't get sent down like
a lot of these other guys like Jackson Holliday, it's
(01:52):
almost like he just kind of hung around and he's
just kind of working through it. And even in the
first two weeks of June, he's patting three twenty one
with two home runs heat He hit both those homewns
in a game the other day. But he's still not
very rostered and so you hopefully wouldn't even have to
trade something to get him. But we're probably a few
games to a week away more of this from him
(02:15):
being rostered in a ton more places, so you can
kind of it's it's not necessarily like a Bilow window
is closing, but it's like he's if this is like
the breakout, he's not gonna be available soon or for long.
Speaker 3 (02:28):
Where do you have him rest of the season.
Speaker 2 (02:30):
I was just moving him around before I've moved I've
moved him like a lot of players, I uh, I
like resist moving them too much, or like I'm just
kind of like slide them down throughout the season. I've
like moved him like up and down a bunch of
times this season. So he's also outfield and third base eligible.
So for third base, I have him at eighteen and
(02:51):
it's probably I moved him down recently. I'm going to
bump him up to like sixteen. Right now, I still
have vant it's pretty hig I'm going to drop the
in down. Who would you, I mean, what are your
thoughts on Campsmith before I ask you some of these rankings, I.
Speaker 3 (03:10):
Don't really have him anywhere.
Speaker 1 (03:12):
A few places I did. He is somebody I moved
on from earlier in the year.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
I think.
Speaker 1 (03:18):
I think the point that I would just like emphasize,
and it almost feels weird because I feel like we
say it all the time, is just a reminder of
like you can pretty much throw out the first month
ish of any prospect, even the best of the best prospects.
The transition to major league pitching has never been harder
than it is right now. It feels like and I've
(03:41):
lost track of the number of names we've talked about
in this context of like it's a slow start adjusting
to the big leagues or a guy coming up for
his second stint in the big leagues and him doing
so much better. I mean, again, we could we could
probably list twenty five names if we if we wanted to,
of guys who that's been the case for in the
(04:02):
last couple of years.
Speaker 3 (04:03):
So, whether it's a guy in.
Speaker 1 (04:05):
A second stint or a guy that's kind of seemingly
taking a big step after that early struggle, that tends
to be the type of player I'm very interested in
buying in on the way.
Speaker 3 (04:15):
We've seen this pattern go so many times recently.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
Yeah, and for him, he's still young. He's twenty two
years old. He never even played in the in triple A.
He just kind of flew through the minor leagues, you know,
in twenty twenty four, and yeah, I mean he didn't
play in triple A. He barely played in single and
double A. So he he was drafted in twenty twenty
(04:38):
four in the first round, and then in twenty twenty
four played fifteen games at low A, twelve games at
high A, five games in Double A. That's the only
time he spent in the minors. He made the team
at a spring training in twenty twenty five. His kid's
never been in the minor leagues basically, and so he's
learning on the job. It's kind of incredible that he's
doing as well as he is based on that and
(04:59):
what we know about Ajulie pitching.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
Yeah, would you give an answer on the rankings.
Speaker 2 (05:06):
I had him around so third base. I had him
around like eighteen. I'm going to bump him up a
little bit now that because I had dropped him down
when he was cold. I moved the ants down. Would
you rather have Estoc, Paratees or Campsmith.
Speaker 3 (05:19):
I'd rather have Parides.
Speaker 2 (05:20):
Okay, yeah, he's betting two fifty two of fifteen home runs.
I feel like the ceiling's higher for Campsmith. But like
the thing with the thing with like these rankings, and
you're trying to like project like not like the safest value,
but like the most likely value. And as much as
(05:40):
I want to rank for upside, like, there is as
much chance that cam Smith breaks out and is a
top ten, top six third baseman the rest of the
year as there is that you just drop him in
a week or two and it's just it's just over
for this year. I like to think that this is
the breakout coming and I want to rank him more aggressively,
but it would be hard, like especially if it's like
(06:03):
did you have to drop Bradies to pick up Campsmith?
I don't think I could pull the trigger on something
like that is kind of how I like, you know,
like when you're making the final call on rankings, that's
kind of like the tie breaker are you sometimes like
would I drop this player for this player if I
had to? And if the answer is not, that's kind
of where where the breaking point is for my rankings.
Speaker 3 (06:23):
Yeah, I think that's fair. I'll go to my bilow.
Speaker 1 (06:26):
This is Colton Kowser, and he did hit a home
run yesterday. It was so you know, if you're looking
just a day ago, not a bylow. But in general,
he has not had a very good season. He's batting
one to ninety. His ops is at seven twenty. It's
worth noting that he his season barely started before he
(06:46):
you know, messed up his his was it his thumb?
I think it was diving into first, which I hated
watching in the moment, and obviously hated not having him
playing outfield for the Orioles for several weeks. And he's
still kind of working his way back in kind of
shaking off that rust that early season kind of look,
you see a lot of hitters have, but he's hit
a couple of home runs. He's in home runs back
(07:08):
to back days. First of all, he's had three since
June seventh. His batting average has risen over twenty points since,
you know, in the last two weeks. And I think
even if you the problem with cold Cows is the strikeouts,
right Like, if you're in the league, that penalizes the strikeouts.
Speaker 3 (07:24):
It's going to hurt you.
Speaker 1 (07:25):
And I do think that'll get better, you know, as
we get further in the season and he shakes off
more of that rust. But it's not like he's been
a low strikeout guy in the past. Like right now,
it's thirty six point five percent strike out rate. I
think it'll get closer to thirty, but it's not going
to get too much lower than thirty in the best
case scenario. But this is a player with a lot
of power and he can really impact the ball. His
barrel rate is the highest of his career at seventeen
(07:46):
point one percent. He's not walking a lot. I think
that will go up as the strikeouts go down.
Speaker 3 (07:51):
Again.
Speaker 1 (07:51):
I think that's kind of that you know effectsimily of
an early season player shaking off the rust and the
expected badding is low. He's not got you have on
your team for batting average. Again, I think that'll go
up as he gets further and further, like more back
into the playing every day.
Speaker 3 (08:08):
But he's hitting the ball hard.
Speaker 1 (08:09):
His average active last season ninety two and a half
miles per hour. Again, the barrel rate's really high. The
Orioles need him to be good and I think he
will be. I almost was gonna say Jordan Westberg for
similar reason coming back off injury as a bye high,
but he's just been too good that I think you're
probably gonna have to overpay to get him. But Kowser's
struggled relatively speaking. I think the power will come. I
(08:31):
think he'll he'll be at like a twenty five home
run pace the rest of the season. If he's not
gonna hit that number because of the miss time, I
think the average will get up too, well above two hundred.
Not that that's you know, anything to brag about too, Yeah, exactly,
And but yeah, I think he'll be a power hitting
outfielder for you the rest of the way. And he's
pretty pretty attainable. I can't imagine anybody would would ask
(08:53):
for too much to create him away right now if
you offer them really anything of substance. So I like
Colton Kowser, even with the horrid strikeout to walk ratio.
Speaker 2 (09:03):
Yeah, it feels like the kind of chance, like you
can't take this chance in a points league because the
strikeouts are just going to kill you. It would have
to be like in a roto categories or head to
head categories kind of league. Yeah, it's an upside play.
I also would probably prefer if you could pull him,
like if you could pick him up and sit him
and like make sure this continues and just so it
(09:23):
doesn't kill you for a week. That's also an ideal
such a scenario. If you have to pick him up
start him right away, it's kind of hard to stomach,
even though he is heating up right now. Jordan Westbrook.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
I think it's the type of guy, the type of
guy in a trade that, like you get cows are
thrown in for the upside.
Speaker 2 (09:40):
Jordan Westburg is a player. I have to move back
up in my rankings now that you mentioned him, because
I had him buried. He was really really bad and
then you know, went to the IL. But now he's
back and looking like himself.
Speaker 3 (09:51):
How high look looks a lot more like for third base?
Speaker 2 (09:53):
How high would you put him or the season?
Speaker 3 (09:58):
I don't want to look at the rankings right now.
Speaker 2 (10:01):
I have him while you do that. I have him
like right in the same area of camp Smith. I
feel like he needs to be much higher than camp.
Speaker 3 (10:06):
Smith, that he should be higher than camp Smith.
Speaker 2 (10:08):
That's because I agreed him before. Now I have to
bring him back up.
Speaker 1 (10:11):
Right now, in consensus, he's fourteenth at third base. I
think that's too low. Like he's behind Josh Young, he
should be higher than him. He's behind Matt Chapman. I
think he should be higher than Josh twenty four. Yeah,
I don't know why Young is so high. I wonder
if somebody just has him ranked really weirdly high and
the average Michael Garcia I is okay. It kind of
(10:35):
depends what you're looking for out of that player. Parade
is gonna have more power, but I think Westburg better overall.
Hano Suarez obviously hitting a ton of home runs. Now,
I don't know what I think about that. In terms
of the rest of the season. Bregman is ahead of him.
You know, we'll see what you know this injury kind
of length and coming back from it. Junior Campanaro has
obviously being really hot. But yeah, I think he belongs
(10:56):
Westburg in I don't I want to sit here and
tell you every single name in order, because I would
want to spend more time than shooting from the hip
on that. But on a kind of initial glance, I
think Westbrook should be inside the top ten, like maybe
at ten I'm not saying.
Speaker 2 (11:11):
It's super high. I just moved him to ten.
Speaker 3 (11:14):
Yeah, I think that's I think I think ten is
the right spot.
Speaker 2 (11:16):
I moved him right after Chapman.
Speaker 1 (11:19):
Yeah, so I like him obviously. I like Kowser two
is a bilo. Let's go to your favorite cell high.
Speaker 2 (11:24):
My favorite cell high is t J. Friedel, and it's
a it's a player that I actually like in TJ. Friedl.
It's a player that like, I feel like this player.
I always have him, I like the wrong times, Like
when he was breaking out in twenty twenty three, I
didn't have him everywhere, and then I had him a
bunch of places last year because I was like, Wow,
if he was that good in twenty twenty three and
(11:46):
we didn't even get a full season, I would love
to get like twenty home runs and maybe thirty stolen
bases out of him with a decent batting Everton. Then
last year was a disaster, and then I kind of
stayed from him, say away from him a little bit
this year, especially because he was kind of paying up
into the season. I was like, nope, I've seen this
show before. Even though I like the player, I'm staying
away and now he's batting two eighty eight with Adam
(12:06):
runs and nine Stone bases and looking really good again. However,
when I do my research for these so highs, I
look for a lot like I try to find a
player where either there's a ton of hype right now
and I feel like the narrative has gotten ahead of it,
or I go purely numbers based and I just start
looking at like expected numbers, and if I can find
(12:27):
someone who's expected numbers across the board are worse than
their actual numbers, then that throws up the red flag
for me, and that player becomes a soll high. And
that's exactly what happened with t J. Friedel batting to
eighty eight. Expected batting average is two fifty, and when
you look at expected slugging aver average exon velocity, barrel percentage,
hard hit percentage, they're all tenth percentile or worse. And
(12:49):
he makes up for that with like some like elite
like Chase, and with numbers and like strikeout numbers in general.
But it's it's an odd profile that I think think
can kind of come unraveled depending on how things go.
And I think even if he stays healthy, it's gonna
lead to some regression, and so he is someone I'm
selling high for if I can flip him for a
(13:10):
picture that I need an eye list. We could do
the names next, but let's see what you think first.
Back to you, where.
Speaker 3 (13:18):
I don't have a ton to add.
Speaker 1 (13:20):
I think you he is also somebody that I have
not really ever had at the right time in the past.
I like the player, so this would really depend on
the return I'm getting. But I think the process is
very sound by you in terms of why he makes
sense to look into potentially selling him.
Speaker 2 (13:42):
Yeah, so some of the names I tried to I
use the Fantasy Pro's trade value chart to kind of
like match this up a little bit. And as I say,
every week, you know, I try to hit it for
a picture. But how about Chris Bubich.
Speaker 1 (13:57):
I would rather have Boobitch, which I think. What about
Nick Pavetta, I'd rather have Pavetta. Robbie Ray He's been
better this year than I expected.
Speaker 2 (14:12):
I think I go Ray Chota.
Speaker 1 (14:18):
I just don't want to. I don't like messing with
injury stuff. I think I go Freedle.
Speaker 2 (14:22):
And then Elite top ten picture himself. Christopher Sanchez.
Speaker 3 (14:32):
I will go.
Speaker 1 (14:34):
With Christopher Sanchez. No, do you agree disagree with any
of those picks by me?
Speaker 2 (14:41):
Those are all the names I put that I would
flip him for. So I am on the freedom side
of all of those, the pictures, on the picture side
of all selling. I'm selling all those.
Speaker 3 (14:53):
I was about to be very surprised.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
Okay, Well, I have a picture here in my favorite
cell high and it's Spencer Stryder obviously coming off of
a terrific start against the Rockies.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
That is his most recent start. Right, I'm not making
that up.
Speaker 2 (15:08):
I'm pitching. He's pitching today, so it must Okay.
Speaker 1 (15:12):
I was gonna say, because that that has been a
few days, I was now nervous if I was missing one. Yeah,
he is pitching later today against the Mets, so.
Speaker 3 (15:19):
We'll see how that goes.
Speaker 1 (15:20):
But as of Thursday when we're recording this, he's coming
off of at his best started the season, you know,
by a mile, obviously, six innings, three hits, one walk,
thirteen strikeouts. But of course this game at home against
the Rockies, who are terrible, And my thought here is twofold.
On the one hand, there's still an inherent injury risk here, right,
(15:43):
just giving what he's coming back from, and the fact
that it's he's had other injuries this year even besides
the arm, and.
Speaker 3 (15:51):
Also has not looked very good. Now, it's very easy
to paint the picture that he was.
Speaker 1 (15:55):
Just shaking off the rust and is now something closer
to being back. But also it's I think it's easy
to paint the picture of it was one really good
outing and it was against you know, the worst team
in baseball, So I want to see more before I'm
starting to think of him as an ace again. And
I think it's very worth looking at looking around the
(16:16):
league and reaching out if somebody needs pitching, or if
there's somebody in the league who is a really big,
aggressive trader and say, hey, he just struck out thirteen
guys and six innings.
Speaker 3 (16:27):
Strider's back.
Speaker 1 (16:28):
You make the case that he's shaken off the rust
now and see if you can get somebody really good
back for him, because I think that's possible. So for me,
it's less like, oh, I need to get out of
the Strider business forever, but and more like this is
such a good start if you just look at the
stat line and not the opponent and being the big
name that Strider is as a fantasy baseball ace. I
(16:49):
think it's worth kind of, you know, putting out some feelers,
seeing what kind of an interest you could get for him.
Speaker 2 (16:56):
I agree with the take in theory. However, he looked
to really good in that latest start. He looked like
Spencer Strider of old. And not just because it was
the Rockies and not just because he got twenty four
whiffs in that game, but his velocity was way back
up too. He touched ninety eight in that game. He
was hovering like ninety four ninety five before, And this
(17:17):
was the first time since he came back where it
really looks like he was comfortable being himself and he
was lighting up the radar gun again. Now, obviously that
comes with its own injury concern if he was kind
of overthrowing, and we've seen what high velocity can do
to arms. But it is hard for me to sell,
especially if I drafted him and stashed him, and like
you said, he dealt with another injury. I think he
(17:37):
was a hamstring injury, and then he kind of came
back and you were like, oh God, he doesn't look
like himself, Like I've waited all this time. What am
I gonna do now, and now he does look like himself.
It's hard for me to sell now that I finally
got what I was hoping.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
For, I get it, But I'm not looking to sell
to sell. I'm looking to sell for a really good
player based on the name value here we just saw.
So I think if you're getting a really good player
that offers you a bit more safety and security moving forward,
that's still worth it. Even if you're sitting here thinking, Wow,
he's finally back.
Speaker 2 (18:12):
Do you have any thoughts of what you would want
and return off the top of your head or now?
Speaker 1 (18:17):
It's really hard to answer that because I think that's
going to be really dependent on the other managers in
your league. Like yeah, I think you could throw out
names that maybe sound like they're too good to make
a trade like this, And I think you could also
throw out names that are like, oh, that's way lower,
and depending on the league, that might be the direction
it goes. What about so he's sixteenth in our rest
(18:41):
of season rankings.
Speaker 2 (18:42):
By the way, A picture, A picture where do I
have him? He's another one I've like moved up. I
moved him way up and then like sin, whence he
came back. I was like, oh, maybe drop him back down.
I have him sixteenth.
Speaker 3 (18:55):
That's that's exactly where he is in our inconsensus.
Speaker 2 (18:58):
So that's where I have him. I might bump him
up a little bit based on that. So cell high
would you trade him for? I'm going to aim in
a little higher on the list here. How about Matt Olson?
You think that's in the area you could get.
Speaker 3 (19:21):
I think I think so well.
Speaker 1 (19:23):
I mean again, it depends on the managers in your league,
but I bet there are leagues out there where you
could do that.
Speaker 2 (19:28):
Or even better. And injured Bryce Harper, it seems like
he's working his way back, but he is currently injured.
You might be like, yeah, Bryce Harper.
Speaker 3 (19:35):
I think he was.
Speaker 1 (19:35):
I think he was throwing earlier today last I saw
or no, I'm sorry, Yeah, he throws and took dry swings.
Speaker 3 (19:42):
This was an update like fifteen minutes ago, so I
just saw it.
Speaker 2 (19:46):
How about Devs. What if one of the managers is
panicking about the Devert the Raphaeld Devs trade.
Speaker 3 (19:51):
I would trade Strider for Devors.
Speaker 2 (19:54):
Yeah. It's probably hard to have base though, to give
give up a third basement like that.
Speaker 3 (19:58):
Yeah, I don't think that's going to be an easy
to one, but I would do it.
Speaker 2 (20:01):
Some of these other names that are right around the
same value, I don't know that I would do it. Oh,
here's one from our first segment. What about say as
Suzuki you boyoo?
Speaker 3 (20:11):
I think I'd probably rather have Strider.
Speaker 1 (20:14):
That's a fun one. There are two spots apart from
each other in rest of season rankings.
Speaker 2 (20:19):
There you go.
Speaker 1 (20:21):
Yeah, so just you know, send out some feelers. Like
I said, see what is an option to you? Because
with the name, value might be more than you think
depending on the league you're in. All right, you train hard,
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five zero four zero. Okay, Waivers Central, I have.
Speaker 2 (21:51):
To do that read while you were gone the one time.
That was my first Kisa Trecks read.
Speaker 1 (21:56):
I probably could get through that read twice in the
speed it takes you to get through at once.
Speaker 3 (22:01):
That's my prediction.
Speaker 2 (22:02):
I don't have a good comeback for that.
Speaker 3 (22:06):
Oh well, do you think I'm right or wrong?
Speaker 2 (22:08):
You went fast? I went pretty fast? You said three.
Speaker 3 (22:11):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (22:12):
Yeah, It's not an easy read to be fast on.
So all right, Waiver Central. My favorite hitter. I've got
Brady House here. This is a prospect that I really
liked when he was first drafted. We talked about him
a bit in the first segment of this week's The
Cycle Show.
Speaker 3 (22:30):
Twenty two years old. Very available.
Speaker 1 (22:32):
He's seven percent roster on the I, four percent roster
on Espiano. Forgot to look up CBS. But it's going
to be higher than that. But you know, not crazy high.
I wouldn't think. Just a player that was a really
good prospect in high school, had a slow start to
his minor league career, but had become a good prospect
again and has gotten off to like a hot start.
It's very early, right, like eleven played appearances. I think
(22:54):
as of the time we were putting together the sheets.
So you know, I'm not saying that that's the hitter
he is, but batting over three fifty, you know, he's walking.
Speaker 3 (23:03):
I just think he's a good player. He's gonna get.
Speaker 1 (23:05):
I would assume as many of at bats as he
can handle, because the Nats aren't like competitive, so they'll
kind of let him learn to figure it out.
Speaker 3 (23:10):
And third base is not an easy position to fill,
so I would pick him up.
Speaker 1 (23:14):
You're probably not starting him right away, but I want
him on my roster in case he hits the ground running,
you know, maybe better than some of these other prospects
have in recent years.
Speaker 2 (23:22):
Depending on how you're doing at third base, you might
start him right away. I have. I'm starting Connor Norby
in a couple of leagues. I might start him over him.
Speaker 3 (23:28):
Okay, yes, I'd rather start Brady House than Connor Norby.
Speaker 2 (23:31):
Also very fun name, you know, he's his two names
are one half is the best sitcom from the seventies
and the other half is from the best sitcom in
like the eighties and nineties.
Speaker 3 (23:44):
I don't what's the best sitcom? Which is House full House?
Speaker 1 (23:49):
Oh?
Speaker 3 (23:50):
Oh, okay, I was thinking I get it now.
Speaker 1 (23:52):
I think you're saying, like, you know, no, I got
I got you now. I was thinking, like the full
because that's like, there's a show called House, and I
was like, well, that's not a sitcom, So what does
he talk about?
Speaker 3 (24:00):
I see you met half of it?
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Okay, Brady Bunch.
Speaker 1 (24:02):
Yeah, I never thought about that. Yeah, no, no, no, I
got it now that you explained it. Sorry, that's my
fault that that was a good joke by you. That's
that's not your fault.
Speaker 3 (24:09):
That's on me. Do you like Brady House as a pickup?
Speaker 2 (24:15):
I love him as a sitcom, but I do I
have him in a couple. He's a player. Actually, you
know the other picture picture, the other player you meant
you mentioned this week, is also a player that I like.
But they're both players that I targeted in Dynasty, and
so I do have a bunch of shares of both
of them, and obviously I did in most of those things.
(24:36):
I did draft House earlier because he came out a
couple of years ago. But I do like him. He's
he's got some swing and miss in his profile, so
that's going to be a thing you have to deal with.
But also he's kind of gotten better as he's gotten along,
and numbers in Triple A were like he's he's not
someone that they'd like just called up because they were like,
all right, let's you know, we're we stink, let's let's
call him up. He was batting three or four or
(24:56):
thirteen home runs sixty five games, like he earned it,
even though he struck out twenty six percent of the
time for six point five percent of the time. That's kind
of been his profile. That's kind of be you know,
I wouldn't be surprised if his strikeout rate goes over
thirty for you know, like while for these first few
weeks while he's struggling, but uh, right now seven point
seven percent through three games. But you know, pretty small
(25:18):
sample size. But yeah, he's he's like a big kid
with a power profile. I like a Brady House like
you said, I think. I mean, we keep it's like
a broken record, we keep saying it over and over
and over again that these young hitters they come up
and they struggle, and so you kind of have to
expect it at this point until we see differently. But
he is a prospect that I really like, really high.
(25:41):
We pedigree there that I've liked for a few years,
so I'm happy to see him finally debut. And third
basis of then, I agree with ating him everywhere we can.
Speaker 1 (25:49):
Speaking of young players, by the way, just while we're
recording this, the Royals rookie Jack. I actually think I
might have been mispronouncing his last name, but they're great prospect.
It's the last name, and I have I've been getting
like Caglion because there's the second N in there, so.
Speaker 3 (26:05):
I'm like, no, no, no, no, Yeah. Anyway, he has two
home runs today. Kuy's of stunt. He's going to figure
it out really fast. All right. Your favorite hitter we
already talked about Nick Kurtz.
Speaker 2 (26:18):
Is getting hot too. Speaking of young hitters, who did
I talk about? Oh, so we already talked about him
in a previous segment. I double dipped on Cam Smith.
So we don't have to spend a ton of time
on Cam Smith because I already just talked about him
as a.
Speaker 3 (26:30):
By loo or any time.
Speaker 2 (26:32):
Really, Yeah, my favorite hitter to pick up this week
is Cam Smith and it's for a lot of the
reasons we just talked about. Britty House. The third base is
really thin, Cam Smith has been quietly pretty good, and
like we already said, he may have already gone through
that rookie struggle that you know, that early struggle, and
we could be on the other side of it, and
(26:52):
so you have third base outfield eligibility. He's been hitting
over three hundred for about six weeks now, which is
a pretty long time we be batting over three hundred,
and yeah, I mentioned in Campsmith, we don't have to
spend ton of time there. We already talked about him
a bunch.
Speaker 1 (27:07):
Yeah, I'm sure you'll find a way to bring them
up as like our two star pitcher competitions somehow too.
All Right, the favorite pitcher for me, it's Chase Burns,
And this is one I like to get out ahead
and I'm sure our listeners have noticed this that I
like to get out ahead of, like the top prospects
before they're actually called up. And Chase Burns very available.
He's fourteen percent roster and Yahoo four percent roster in ESPN.
(27:28):
Once again, I forgot to pull up CBS on this one.
Speaker 3 (27:30):
Twenty two years.
Speaker 1 (27:31):
Old, Drive Hadaway Forest, a really good pitcher who the
Reds have promoted pretty aggressively.
Speaker 3 (27:37):
Just eight weeks ago, promoted to Double A, you.
Speaker 1 (27:39):
Know, recently up to Triple A, and is just like
arguably the best pitching prospect of baseball, and I would
have I mean, the Reds have been dealing with injury
to Hunter Green obviously, you know, I think I think
their five starter is like Wade Miley or somebody. I mean,
it's like there's an opportunity here. They decided to give
(28:00):
him the chance. So I like Chase Burns the prospect
and pictures. I have less of a worry about coming
up and making that initial transition, so I want to
have him on my roster before there's a rush to
pick him up when he does get called up.
Speaker 2 (28:18):
Would you say that Chase Burns is excellent Simpsons reference?
Speaker 1 (28:25):
I knew it was a Simpsons reference, which obviously we've discussed.
Speaker 3 (28:29):
I have not seen. Yes, I guess.
Speaker 2 (28:35):
I love Chase Burns. He's one of my favorite prospects.
I drafted him in the dynasty league we're in together.
I drafted him in two other dynasty leagues this off season.
There was one where I couldn't believe he fell. To me,
I was like, what are you guys doing? Yeah, he's
he's the second overall pick last year, and he's already
flown through the minor leagues. You know, this year he's
(28:56):
knocking on the door. I was really enjoying looking at
his fan grafs page because they included some of his
college stats on there, which I haven't seen a ton
of that happening before. And in in twenty twenty four
in wake Forest, one hundred and ninety one strikeouts at
one hundred innings, which is pretty incredible, and he's kind
of done more of the same, like not quite at
that level, but you know, the high A twenty strikeouts
(29:17):
at eleven and two thirds innings, Double A fifty five
strikeouts and forty two innings. Now he's in Triple a's
already got fourteen strikeouts and twelve and a third innings,
all with very low eras as well. He's just like
got electric stuff. I'm a huge, huge fan of his,
and I think he is the kind of pitcher who
can come up and be successful right away, because I
think he could be that good.
Speaker 1 (29:37):
He's rostered sixty two percent of leagues in CBS, so
that's that's drastically higher than usually CBS is higher. That's
a lot higher, but that's also still means thirty eight
percent of league's he is still available to pick up
and stash, so I would look to do that, you know, Honestly.
Speaker 2 (29:54):
CBS is a little bit sharper of a platform and
also has a few more dynasty leagues, so that's not
it's always higher.
Speaker 1 (30:02):
Yeah, I'm in a keeper league that I'm looking at
right now to see if I want to because he's
available in this one, who I would want to drop
to get him?
Speaker 3 (30:09):
Unfortunately I have a lot of injured players.
Speaker 1 (30:11):
I don't have a ton of wiggle room with dropping
people that could drop Walker viewer, he's bad.
Speaker 2 (30:18):
By the way, I promoted this on Twitter before, but
you know, as the company man, I think I wrote
it on a show a couple of weeks ago to
One of my favorite features on Fantasy Pros is if
you sink your account, you can just type in a
player's name and go to his player page. You can
see all of your leagues and where he's available. So
I love do. I remember tweeting out about that when
Jack tag leone was coming up. It was like, Hey,
(30:38):
if you want to see where he's available, sink your
accounts and just type in his name, and then you
can just see like either if he's a free agent
or if he's not, who in your league has him
so you can you can trade for him.
Speaker 1 (30:48):
I'm surprised here that because you and I are in
two leagues together and he's only rostered by you and
one of them the other one you don't have him.
Speaker 3 (30:55):
So yeah, I was surprised by that. All right, who's
your picture here?
Speaker 2 (31:00):
My picture is if I can go back to she
emits shehn? Is it? Shehn? Sheen? She han?
Speaker 1 (31:07):
She Maybe? I don't know, it's probably right, But I've
really had like three or four dames on this episode
where I've been like, I'm not one hunder percent show
to pronounce it. I think it's the price of always
reading names instead of saying them exactly.
Speaker 2 (31:19):
This one, i've actually heard, you're you're right, Emmitt Shean.
I think I knew that was the correct way to
say it. I just couldn't say it. Just that H
was really getting me. She haned, she yeah, sheen, which
is ironic because I also have a silent H in
my name. So you think i'd be more uh.
Speaker 3 (31:39):
Sensitive if your last name was pronounced maher.
Speaker 2 (31:42):
Uh, you would think, But it's not. There's no wah.
Just pretend the H isn't there. We can go a
lengthy episode on how to pronounce my name and whether
or not my family's cracked. That's another another topic for
another day.
Speaker 1 (31:54):
My name gets mis pronounced all the time too. Yeah,
it looks like We'melli. People think I'm Italian.
Speaker 3 (31:59):
I am not.
Speaker 2 (31:59):
Maybe not a show. Maybe we just launched a whole
podcast about that.
Speaker 1 (32:03):
But I how to pronounce people's namds just ours, just
our names every episode.
Speaker 2 (32:07):
Yeah, so he is a Dodgers pitcher. He just came back.
He looked really good in his first appearance. He's coming
back from Tommy John surgery. We always think, we've talked
about this before too. We always think that the Dodgers
have too many pictures until they don't, and then they
just need all these other pictures and Lobaul. They have
a ton of good ones waiting in the wings. And
Emma Chien is another one who looks pretty good. I
(32:30):
remember when he before he needed Tommy John surgery. He
looked pretty good as well. And yeah, he he just
started the other day, four innings, six strikeouts. He's probably
gonna take them a little bit of time to get
fully ramped up. You're probably gonna see a few of those,
like four or five innings starts, because just good Dodgers
are gonna be careful. But he's someone that I've liked
(32:51):
for a while. He is not like the Chase Burns pedigree,
but he's someone who you know had He's like a
six round pick, so he's not like a first round
pick kind of a guy. But he's someone that the
Dodgers have liked for a while, who has had success
throughout the minor leagues, and that it's pretty clear that
they like. And I think even though they have some
pictures eventually coming back, you know, if if Blake Snell
(33:12):
ever returns, if he ever makes that Dodgers debut. But
he's someone you can get right now, who you can
get you know, he's not rostered at a ton of
leagues and you can get a lot of value out
of him, especially pitching for a really good team like
the Dodgers, And so you should pick him up.
Speaker 1 (33:27):
Yeah, I don't have a lot to have good case
him me with some deep league targets and we'll get
out of here.
Speaker 2 (33:32):
So deep league targets the one I was going to
mention it was Chase Burns, and then you stole him
as your favorite pitcher. I didn't even realize that, and so.
Speaker 1 (33:38):
I definitely had him in there first, so you stole
him as a deep league.
Speaker 2 (33:42):
I'm realizing now I went all pictures on deep league targets,
which is kind of fitting. I know, I'm in a
bunch of deep leagues where I need pitching all the time.
Hunter Dobbins has kind of been on a heater, which
may or may not have started because he has a
big rivalry at the Yankees and then had like ended
up having like multiple starts against them and had a
lot of success. And so the Red Sox need pitching.
(34:03):
He's pitching very well. It seems like he's here to
stay for now, and so if you need pitching in
a deeper league, he's available everywhere. Max Scherzer, we mentioned
on a previous previous segment he's throwing a bullpen. You
know that this is why this is not a regular
waiver wire pickup Max Cherser. It's twenty twenty five. He's
now a deep league pickup. Max Scherzer. But he also
(34:23):
if you're in a deeper league, he still has some
value as long as he can get that hand figured
out and he can just come back. And if in
a deeper league, if he's sixty percent of what Max
Schurzer used to be, you can still get a lot
of value out of Max Scherzer. Quinn Priester, former Red
Sox legend Quinn Priester, He's been pitching really well lately
and he gets the Rockies this week. So even if
(34:45):
it's just a one week streaming situation, I do like
Quinn priest here this week. And then Michael Soroka, who
has just kind of reinvented himself and is pitching really well.
He was he was this like pitch to contact sinker
ball pitcher for a while, had some devastating injuries and
missed a lot time. Then he came back as in
the bullpen and was pitching really well. And now we're
starting again and pitching very well again, and so it's
(35:07):
good to see his resurgence and he's available in a
lot of leagues as well.
Speaker 1 (35:11):
I will never think about him the Soroka without thinking
of the CBS guys that Adam Aser going. But Mike
Soroka and the My Sharona song, it's just like one
of those things that's etched into your brain whenever I think.
Speaker 3 (35:27):
About him, so shout outs to that show. I guess,
all right, good stuff there. We'll go ahead and wrap up.
Speaker 1 (35:33):
If you missed our first section of the cycle this week,
Riding the Bases, go ahead and check that out. It
should be available already on YouTube and wherever you listen
to your podcast, and we're sure to keep an eye
out for part three, where we talk about streaming pictures
and some other fun stuff. For Mayor, I'm Ryan Warmly
thanks everybody for tuning in. We'll see you next time.
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
Speaker 3 (35:55):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
Speaker 1 (35:58):
Us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
or Spotify, follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at
Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube
dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB
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