Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:05):
Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle.
Speaker 2 (00:07):
I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always by Mike Mayer.
We are talking all things fantasy baseball. On this segment,
we were talking to by Lows and Sell Highs. We're
also going to do our waivers central heading into next week,
we will start what we always do with the bye
Low's and mayor you can go ahead and kick us
off here.
Speaker 3 (00:25):
Sure, So I went with Roman Anthony as my BILO
who I considered, can you really buy low on Roman
Anthony right now? Just because the sample size is so small?
And I based on you know, my DMS and some
of the comments we got on last week's episode where
you know, we kind of talked about Roman Anthony and
(00:46):
Pete Armstrong and Dynasty and I said it was absurd
to move PCA ahead of Roman Anthony, and you disagreed,
and some people in the comments we're all, we're also
already ready to just move PCA up above Roman Anthety
and I just think slower role here a little bit.
This is still the best prospect in baseball.
Speaker 4 (01:02):
We are.
Speaker 3 (01:03):
I just I wrote him up in this week's Players
to Trade Now by Low Sell High article on Fantasy
pros and I made the argument that one of the
main things about it is when I watch him, he
looks like a professional hitter. He's you know, he's having
some bad luck, he's babbab is still one thirty eight
right now, but he just looks like he takes professional
(01:23):
at bats, even against lefties. And the Red Sox are
showing that they agree because Alex Korra, who has been
asked all year about like, you know, why are you
not playing Marcela Meyer against lefties or what you know,
why are you trying kind of like protecting these kids
against left you know, these left handed hitters against lefties,
he's batting Roman Anthony high in the lineup, and you know,
even in lefties against lefties, he's batting him second in
(01:45):
the lineup. And despite some of the early you know, struggles,
at least numbers wise, the Red Sox are showing a
lot of faith in him, and I think they're justified
in doing so because I think he's going to get
hot soon. And despite you know, his what is his
batting average right now, It is one fourteen with the
two twenty seven expected batting average, but he's also walking
(02:06):
more than eighteen percent of the time. Strikeout rates twenty
five percent. It's not great, it's not terrible for a
young hitter. You know, we just talked about some young
hitters with a strike out rate over thirty percent, And
I just think we're going to see him get hot,
either leading into the All Star break or coming out of.
Speaker 4 (02:22):
The second half.
Speaker 3 (02:23):
We've again talked ad nauseum about these young hitters who
come up and struggle. I think I think we're seeing
the same thing, and I think it's going to click
for him soon and he's going to adjust to the
league and he's going to get hot.
Speaker 2 (02:35):
For the record, I don't think it's knocking Roman Anthony
to say that pekrar Strong has earned a spot higher
than him and Dinosaur rankings. It's not like there's a
huge age gap. PCA is like two years older than
him and he's already having a dominant season, whereas Roman
Anthony hasn't yet done it. Like I don't want to
put I put a lot of weight in general in
(02:55):
my fantasy analysis. I put a lot of stock into
pedigree and prospect frankings because I think they matter. It's
not the only thing that matters, but I think they matter.
But I don't want to overweight that when a guy
like Peek Armstrong is doing what he's doing right now.
Speaker 5 (03:10):
So that's my thought on those two in particular. But yeah,
I think this is a totally valid one.
Speaker 1 (03:15):
I don't know how acquireable he is.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
If somebody has been holding on to Roman Anthony, they
probably are having a similar optimistic view to what you have.
But I agree that if he is attainable, he's worth
buying low on. I mean, hadding one fourteen right, just
one home or one soule and base like he's not
doing anything yet, but I think you will.
Speaker 3 (03:35):
Yeah, And I think he is acquiable just because of
some of the like the comments I'm seeing like in
my DMS or like on the Fantas Spros discord where
they're just like give me anything to Roman Anthony, or
like I'm willing to cut roman Antic and I'm like,
hold on, Like it's way too early for that, Like
we've seen this story so many times, especially this year
and last year. It's way too early to panic like that,
Like you need to hold on and if you're going
(03:55):
to trade him, you you better get fair value because
if you trade to me, you know, I'm willing to,
then I won't ask you each name. But like the
the pictures I put out there that I would float
for Roman Anthony, it was Nick Poveda, Code Sanga, Chris Boobich,
Yusai Kakuchi who just had another good start. And then
the most interesting one is if you'd be willing, you know,
if probably the top name would be and Rabbit, you know,
(04:17):
if you're willing to kind of like ex sell high
on and Rabbit in order to builo on Roman Anthony.
Speaker 2 (04:22):
Okay, my bylow is George Kirby, and I put this
together before he pitched yesterday where he only allowed one
and run six innings, just three strikeouts. But maybe he's
kind of getting starting to shake off more of that
rust and get back to what we expect out of him.
So hopefully it's not too late to go after him.
But like I said, I did put him in here
(04:43):
when his ERA was still above six. But Kirby's just
always a picture that I really liked. His walk rate
is like double what it's been in his career, but
he didn't get a spring training really like obviously he's coming,
you know, with this injury that cost him the start
of the season. He's only what seven starts into this
twenty five year, he's one in four. He does have
(05:05):
a strikeout per inning, which is better than he's given
us the last two innings. That's largely driven by his
fourteen strikeout game that he had a few starts to go.
But this is a picture where the fastball velocity is
where it was last year. Like it looks like he's,
you know, reasonably healthy. I am just assuming that his
slow start is simply rust and he's only twenty seven
(05:27):
years old. Like I think he will be the George
Kirby of old very soon. And if you can acquire
him in a trade for somebody who doesn't I'm not
gonna say has lost patience, but maybe doesn't have the
ability to be patient because it's halfway through the season
and you know, maybe somebody just like they need somebody
who can contribute now because of where they are in
(05:47):
the standings. I would try to get George Kirby because again,
I think the second half he's gonna be that he's
gonna be that same guy right where he is the
era I think in the mid threes, Like he's not
gonna walk anybody. He's gonna have a low whip. I
like George Kirby a lot. The other thing worth noting,
just as some of his numbers, the home run to
fly ball rate is like sky high. His previous career
(06:10):
high is ten percent and it's currently at almost eighteen percent,
so that's that's obviously hurting him. His expected FIP is
three five seven, which is almost identical to what it
was a year ago. Its current FIP is four four nine,
So I think the numbers will come down and he's
(06:30):
going to look like his usual self going forward. So
a lot of times we look at like the underlying
numbers to make this case. This is more of just
like the track record some of the underlying numbers, like
that home run rate, and just trusting that he's going
to shake off the rust.
Speaker 3 (06:45):
Random was tach comparison. I just noticed while looking at
the stats while you're talking and kind of jumping between tabs,
is that I thought I was looking at George Kirby
when you were talking about his home run to fly
ball rate. I was actually looking at Peter Armstrong and
he also has an eighteen percent home run to fly already.
Speaker 5 (07:02):
Nice.
Speaker 4 (07:03):
I largely agree with you on Kirby.
Speaker 3 (07:05):
I was like a little not like down on him,
but like probably like slightly blow Conciens is coming into
season just because of what you said, You're not normally
going to get that strikeout erinning, which is kind of
what like a barometer of your that you're like looking for.
But I think I agree with you. I think he's
just off to a slow start. We've seen this with
pitches before, like a Blake Snell last year who got
off to a really slow start after not really having
(07:25):
a spring training. A lot of us expected numbers are better,
And I think I agree. I think this is rust
whether or not we see it before the All Star
break or maybe he just kind of needs to get
to the All Star break kind of catch his breath,
and then we see George Kirby in the second half.
Speaker 4 (07:39):
You see that a lot with players.
Speaker 3 (07:40):
It's like an unofficial like turnaround, you know, even though
that's not like the exact in the first half second
half of the year, like mid to year break.
Speaker 4 (07:49):
Sometimes you see players.
Speaker 3 (07:50):
Just like need to kind of like catch their breath reset,
and then we just see a different player on the
second half of Sometimes.
Speaker 4 (07:55):
It works the other way. A player that's really hot
Cools off in the second half.
Speaker 2 (07:58):
I mean, you can even just look in June, like
his first two starts came in May. If you take
those out and just look at his June stats since returning,
it is a three fifty four ERA, twenty eight strikeouts
and twenty eight innings and a one to eleven whip.
So like more walks than you're used to with him.
But besides like that basically is George Kirby, if not
maybe even a little better than last year with the
(08:19):
strike up per inning Again, that is heavily weighted by
the fourteen strikeout game he had against the Angels. The
rest of his outings he has not had the strike
out numbers that you usually want to see, but he
like basically already is kind of getting back to what
we expect, and the numbers it's still early enough that
they're dragged down by those early starts. So I would
I would try to get him before he goes on
(08:41):
a tear, which I think is coming.
Speaker 3 (08:43):
You want me to look at a couple names that
you would trade him for or no, sure, So he's
pretty high in the trade value chart, all right, let
me see, let me let me look for some comps here,
is his value was pretty high, so he's not really devaluable.
Speaker 2 (08:55):
Well, this is what this is one that I was
curious what your reaction was going to be in terms of, like, oh,
he's not actually a by Low, or he's like at
least too obvious of one that people won't be willing
to like he's not attainable. So I was kind of
curious what your thoughts were going to be on that
side of things.
Speaker 3 (09:11):
I think he's trending towards not being a by Low.
Like it's it's probably one of those situations where the
window's closing, and maybe it already closed in some leagues,
and maybe it's not closed yet another leagues.
Speaker 4 (09:21):
But I think.
Speaker 3 (09:22):
When you make a trade offer to someone and they
look down and they see George Kirby's RAS five point four,
I think there's still opportunity to buy there, even though
he's pitch better of late. But I will say our
trade value chart still hasn't pretty value valued pretty highly,
and like he's in the range of Christian Yelich. Which
would you rather have Yellich or Kirby rest this season?
Speaker 5 (09:43):
That probably just depends on what I need.
Speaker 3 (09:47):
Yeah, Alex Bregman, he just got hurt. But zach Netto like,
these are pretty good names, so that tells you kind
of where he's valued on the on the trade value.
Speaker 5 (09:56):
I think i'd rather have Bregman.
Speaker 2 (09:59):
I mean, I don't know what's really to expect the
injury stuff with him, but if he gets back healthy,
I'd rather have Bregmann. But I'd rather have Kurby than that.
Speaker 4 (10:05):
O your boy, Say a Suzuki is in that range.
Speaker 5 (10:09):
Say has crushing it man?
Speaker 4 (10:10):
Yeah? I love Sir Lawrence Butler.
Speaker 5 (10:14):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (10:15):
So he's pretty highly valued, I think is the ultimate
takeaway here, but maybe worth trying. But maybe he's not
a buyelove. And if he is not, then I apologize,
But you're right. The season long numbers for him so
far would suggest that he is. All right, let's go
to your cell high.
Speaker 3 (10:30):
My cell high is Clark Schmidt, who is someone who's
been on a heater and if I can scroll down
to my notes so I don't just fly blind here.
So Clark Schmid is a is a picture who's been
really hot lately. Through twelve starts and nearly three months
of the full season, he's got a two point far
eight four ERA one point zero six whip and a
four and three record to go with sixty five strikeouts
(10:51):
in sixty nine and two thirds inning, so almost a
strike up running. And after kind of a rough April,
we had some bad luck, he rebounded with a solid May,
and he was even better in June. And he's running
hot right now, making it the perfect time to sell
high on him. And he has a nearly identical era
to when he posted over eighty five innings in twenty
twenty four four versus two point a five, and so
(11:15):
it could just be, you know, kind of his expected
numbers are like slightly worse than that. It could just
be that he's a pitcher who just routinely will outperformance
expected numbers. I don't think we have a large enough
sample size for to know that that's true or to
think that that's true. So I do think that regression
is coming, negative regression, if I want me to clarify,
and so I lean towards the regression coming for him.
(11:36):
I don't think he's this good. I don't think he's bad,
but I don't think he's this good. And I think
it's like again, like when you when you present a
player like this in a trade and you look at
those stats, and you look at that he pictures for
a good team. I think you can get a decent
value for him. And one of the names I flipped
for him is a name we mentioned in our previous video.
She wanted to go back and see us to talk
about some rookies. I posed, can you flip him for
(11:59):
Jack Hackling right now? You know, maybe that maybe that's
selling too high, or maybe that's aiming too high, But
you know, that's kind of where I would start the conversation.
And maybe I can if that manager is frustrated and
it's already gotten a few weeks of just below two
hundred batting average to Jack Kygileione, he's only got those
two home runs, he could do some pitching. Maybe he's
willing to get out of the Jack kygli on business,
and I'm willing to get into the Jack kagli on business.
Speaker 4 (12:21):
And so that's kind of where I would start.
Speaker 3 (12:24):
And if not there, maybe I'd take a flyer on
a new look Maximnsey now that he's got glasses.
Speaker 4 (12:30):
TJ.
Speaker 3 (12:30):
Friedel, who was ironically sell high for me last week,
but I you know, I would sell high slash, you know,
on Clark to buy high on Friedel. Maybe his his
stackcast profile is kind of all over the places. But
lewis Arias he's got it really bizarre stack cast page,
but he kind of always does. Or someone like Tommy Edmond,
who is kind of you know, slowing down a little bit.
Speaker 4 (12:51):
He might be able to acquire him. For Clerksmith.
Speaker 5 (12:55):
That was a lot of turn Well he I think
you could get kagleon, do you think so? Well, maybe
I'm wrong.
Speaker 1 (13:04):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (13:05):
I mean, I get again, the young guys struggling is
like a really common thing now. So if somebody again
we're talking redraft, of course, but somebody says like I
don't have the ability to wait on him to figure
it out, and I need pitching help. I could see
managers saying, oh, this guy's pitching for the Yankee, so
he's gonna get win opportunities the ras under three, Like, yeah,
(13:27):
I'll take that for I think that's doable.
Speaker 3 (13:30):
And on the trade value but well I would I
don't think you are way up because that's one of
the reasons I picked him is that on the trade
value chart they are within that same range, you know,
and sometimes it takes you know, rookies a little bit
longer to kind of a grocer fall, but you know
where they are right now on the trade value chart,
they're pretty pretty even, all right.
Speaker 2 (13:50):
My favorite sell high is Byron Buxton, who has been
like kind of like, is it fair to say he's
been sneaky awesome this year. I mean he's been on
a heater as of late, which is which is really helped.
But he's been insanely good. And it's a lot of
red on the stat cast that there's there's some blue
there too. There's not a lot of middle ground. It's
pretty much every category it's either very red or very blue.
(14:11):
You know, still has a pretty high wiff rate, strike
cut rates of twenty seven percent, but he's hitting the
ball really hard. His hard hit rate is over fifty
percent and he's got seventeen home runs and thirteen stolen bases.
Batting average is two seventy nine. Expected batting average is lower,
but it's still over two fifty. This is like, I
can kind of keep this really simple. It is strictly
(14:33):
a this guy's never healthy, and if he's on this
much of a heater, I would try and sell high
while you can and get somebody back that you're a
little more secure with, because you know, players don't tend
to get healthier as they get older, and he's into
his thirties now and obviously has a very long history
of not playing full seasons. In fact, since twenty seventeen,
(14:54):
he has played one hundred games in a season once.
It was last year, and he only played one hundred
and two games last season. He has not had four
hundred plate appearances in his season since twenty seventeen, So, like,
we know what the history is with this guy. He's
playing so well right now, basically leading off every game
with the homer that I think you should sell high
(15:15):
while you can.
Speaker 3 (15:16):
Yeah, exclamation point co sign. I don't have a ton
to add there, completely agree. I you know, he's kind
of one of those talents that we were just robbed
of because if he stays healthy for his entire career,
like we're talking about a Hall of Famer here, because
he's that good and can be that good when he
is healthy. He's just never healthy. And then we've also
(15:38):
seen him be kind of bad when he's healthy, but
he's also he's so he's been so injured and so
banged up throughout his career, Like it's impossible to know,
like when was he like banged up when he put
up those like poor numbers and just like leading into
an injury kind of a thing. But you're always going
to get that power speed.
Speaker 2 (15:56):
I will say, despite the fact that I'm saying you
should sell high, I think his rest of season right now,
King's really low. Like I'm very surprised by it. Overall,
one hundred and twenty seconds. I think he's he's thirty
fourth among outfielders in our consensus rest of season rankings.
Like when healthy, he's going to far outperform that, and
when not healthy, he's going to obviously be useless. So
(16:16):
like I would have him higher honestly than Like, right
right now in the overall rankings, he's one spot behind
Anthony Santander.
Speaker 5 (16:23):
Like that to me just feels like that is a mistake.
Speaker 3 (16:27):
All injury, it's all people worried about the injury.
Speaker 2 (16:30):
Yeah, but Santander is hurt and has been garbage this year,
So I like that. I mean, he's just the first
name that I saw.
Speaker 4 (16:37):
But what's this consensus outfield ranking.
Speaker 5 (16:40):
I think it's thirty four.
Speaker 4 (16:42):
Oh, I haven't below that.
Speaker 5 (16:43):
I was just looking at it.
Speaker 4 (16:44):
What's that I have him below that I haven't had
forty three.
Speaker 5 (16:47):
See, I think that's great.
Speaker 2 (16:49):
Dude is thirty combined home runs and steels halfway through
the season and is playing well.
Speaker 3 (16:57):
I don't have him above Santander, who I have at
fifty two.
Speaker 2 (17:01):
Yeah, that's that's more fair. Where do you You said
you have forty three?
Speaker 5 (17:06):
Yeah? I mean he's really good.
Speaker 3 (17:08):
He's behind Michael Christia, Randi, Rosarana, Riley Green, Jason de Mingez.
Maybe I should broke Jason ming Is down below him.
Speaker 5 (17:14):
Yeah, he should higher than Jason de Mingus in my opinion,
I'll move him right now.
Speaker 3 (17:17):
But it's all it's all like injury, because it's like, sure,
buying Buckson is better than him, but like, what if
he's not here in August?
Speaker 2 (17:26):
Would you rather have for the rest of this season
Mike Trout or Byron Bucks Mike Trout. I mean they're
equally likely to get hurt, right.
Speaker 4 (17:36):
Yeah, but I have a lot invested in Mike Trout,
so I need him to be better.
Speaker 5 (17:39):
So you're digging in your heels.
Speaker 4 (17:41):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (17:42):
I took a firm stance before the season, and gosh
darn it, I'm going to go down with the ship.
Speaker 2 (17:47):
I mean, Buckson has been like much better this year,
and both have injury concerns, so like I would rather
have Buckson than Trout.
Speaker 4 (17:53):
And Buckson is still running while Trout is not running much.
Speaker 2 (17:56):
So yeah, Buckson is when he hasn't been in the
last few years. But I mean this is his most
stolen bases he's had in a season since twenty nineteen,
and he's only one behind that number, So he's like
two stolen bases away from his second most in his career.
Speaker 4 (18:11):
Yeah, that's wilds down.
Speaker 5 (18:13):
Yeah all right.
Speaker 2 (18:15):
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(18:35):
do waivers Central. I have Dominic canzone. Who is We
often write down like where these guys are available? Sometimes
I think I tend to go for the guys are
who are much lower and it's like the kind of
the deeper league, like something where your guys tend to
be a little bit more rostered. This is an example
(18:56):
where rather than writing down the percentages he is available
everywhere there are I think it's like three percent rostered
on fan tracks, one percent on Yahoo, one percent is
like he is availab pretty much anywhere. I'm not saying
this is this guy's gonna be a league winner for
you the rest of the year or anything like that,
but he is on a hot streak. The stack cast
data is not he hasn't had enough at bats to
(19:19):
kind of qualify for stuff, but it's pretty red. Is
expected batting average to ninety two. Expected slugging it was
over five hundred. His average exitvelocity is ninety two miles
per hour. And what really stands out to me is
his max ex velocity, which does kind of like reflect
how well you're hitting pretty early on, it's one hundred
and fifteen point nine miles per hour. That's top three
(19:42):
percent in baseball, so impacting the ball like very hard.
His strikeout rate is twelve point eight percent. Last year
it was twenty eight point two percent. Again, these are
in somewhat smaller sample sizes. He only h had under
two hundred play appearances last year. He has under fifty
this year. Still, that's a pretty steep drop off. Walkerates
(20:02):
a little lower, but the striker being that low is
you know, kind of makes me raise my eyebrows. This
is one where I kind of just want to pick
him up and ride the hot streak and he becomes
a very droppable guy if he starts to fall off.
Speaker 5 (20:18):
But for the time.
Speaker 2 (20:19):
Being, if you need somebody who's on a bit of
a power hot streak that maybe he maintains it longer
than you expect, but if he doesn't, he becomes a
droppable piece. I like having that kind of player on
my team, honestly, So that's why he is my pick,
despite the fact that he is at HEA's twelve percent
roster on a fan tracks, so that's going up. But yeah,
(20:39):
what do you think of Canzone.
Speaker 3 (20:43):
I think he's probably more of a deeply target for me,
just because I don't know if there's a very high
ceiling there. But yeah, I was trying to look at
some of his like minor league stat members to see
like because of the strike out Nomber is so low
despite being higher last year, and he's kind of bounced
(21:05):
around so much, but whether it's like between teams or
between like levels, it's almost kind of hard to like
pinpoint what his two strikeout number is like supposed to
be because it's like it's like twenty five games here,
twenty one games here, forty four games here, thirty five
games here, and it's like it's twelve percent strikeout, seventeen
percent fourteen, twenty two, nineteen, twenty thirty three, So it's
kind of all over the place. It's we might just
not know what his strikeout rate is supposed to be
(21:27):
because a lot of times you can.
Speaker 2 (21:28):
We've had over he's had over twenty five at bats
since his last strikeout.
Speaker 4 (21:32):
That's pretty corazy.
Speaker 5 (21:33):
His last strikeout was June fourteenth.
Speaker 4 (21:35):
Yeah, and he usually walks more.
Speaker 3 (21:37):
According to some of these sample sizes, you know, in
like Triple you know, like in seventy one.
Speaker 4 (21:41):
Games in twenty twenty three Triple A, he.
Speaker 3 (21:42):
Walked him with thirteen percent of the time. His his
walker was toow point eight and his strike card was
third thirteen point two, so almost identical walk to strikeout rates.
He's got a little bit of power, like a little
bit of speed, but like not a ton of both.
So the ceiling probably isn't really high there, which is
what I kind of like consider with some of these things.
But so I think it's either like a deep league
target or like you said, a streamer of like if
(22:05):
you just need a warm body who's like, you know,
going to produce in the short term for you, but
not a long term answer.
Speaker 4 (22:11):
I would say no.
Speaker 5 (22:13):
And I'm not trying to paint the case that he is.
All Right, who's your favorite here?
Speaker 3 (22:17):
So mine is, uh, someone we've we've talked about a
lot on the show that we both really like is
Chandler Simpson, who got called up. And the reason I
included him here is because he was called up like
earlier this week and in a lot of leagues you
may like missed a window to pick him up because
it was like after like lineups locked. I know there
were a couple leagues where I was able to, like
if I was stashing him and I was able to
like sneak him in before you know, like.
Speaker 4 (22:39):
That position locked.
Speaker 3 (22:41):
But he's still only thirty one percent roster around Yahoo,
and so he's still widely available everywhere. He's only eleven
percent ROSTERU on ESPN. And one of the reasons I
stashed him in in a couple of leagues is because
he's like a stolen base cheed code. He's the kind
of guy where if you're struggling, especially in like a
rot league, if you're struggling at stolen base, he's good
for like four or five spots in the standings just
(23:03):
by himself. Just he'll he'll just pull, you know, assuming
the Rays keep him up and he runs the way
he can. He's he's a category changer, and he will
almost carry that.
Speaker 4 (23:14):
Category on his own.
Speaker 3 (23:15):
And you know there are very few players who can
do that with one category. For you, He's not going
to offer much power, but he's showed he's gonna he
can have a really good average. He's going to score
some runs and steal some bases and uh, you know,
especially the stile bases alone.
Speaker 4 (23:31):
You know, he's a game changer for especially in ROTO.
Speaker 2 (23:35):
Like totally agree, I was stashing him everywhere I could
for the exact reasons you laid out. So if he's
available anywhere because of him getting dropped from the surprise
send down, like pick him up. I want to start
him in every categories league that I can, because he,
like you said, he'll single handedly get you to competitive
and steals if not winning steals for you.
Speaker 3 (23:54):
Yeah, the bonus I had there is Austin Hayes, who's
working his baby way back from an injury, has been
really productive this year and was dropped in a lot
of places because he's just been like, I don't off
the injured.
Speaker 4 (24:03):
List if I look at his roster, right.
Speaker 3 (24:05):
I looked it up before and I almost didn't include
him because I thought it's roster I was going to
be too high. Eighteen percent on Yahoo, so he's still
widely available, only twelve percent in ESPN. So if you
need an outfielder who's capable of producing for you, Austin
Hayes is available in a lot of places, so I
would pick him up for sure.
Speaker 2 (24:22):
Two pictures that I'm going to give you, I considered
both Orioles, guys who have been kind of pitching well,
as of late Trevor Rodgers, who ended up not being
my main choice. But I just wanted to shout him
out because he's made three starts since getting called back up,
and two of them he's been like really awesome. He
legitimately shoved and the velocity is up for him. I
(24:44):
didn't actually write down what it was, so I'm gonna
pull it up while i'm talking here, But the fastball
velocity was looking much better than it had been previously
in the last Yeah, it's up two miles per hour
over last year, and that just gets it to ninety
three point seven. But in the last game it was
(25:05):
like he was like sitting ninety five, like touching ninety six.
Speaker 5 (25:07):
So whatever the Oils did.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
At least three starts in appears to be working pretty well,
even with one bad start in that mix. He's got
a one sixty two ERA, thirteen strikeouts in sixteen and
two thirds innings, a zero point seven to eight whips,
So I.
Speaker 1 (25:22):
Don't know how it's gonna last. But this is somebody they.
Speaker 2 (25:24):
Went out and traded for last year, giving up two
like reasonable prospects and Kyle Stowers and Connor Norby.
Speaker 5 (25:30):
So and he's only twenty seven.
Speaker 2 (25:31):
He's had a good year in the past, even though
it was like four years ago, so I'd be interested
in him. But then the other the Orols picture that
I really with is Charlie Morton, who's thirty six percent
roster on Yah who thirteen percent ESPN forty seven percent
on CBS, And like, his season long stats are going
to look terrible because he was so bad, I thought
(25:52):
he should retire after April. Like he he could not
have been worse in the first month of the season.
In fact, the first six starts he made he got
the loss he gave up at least I think it
was four earned runs in each one of those.
Speaker 5 (26:05):
Like he was, he was horrific.
Speaker 2 (26:08):
They they kind of gave him a reset, put him
in the bullpen for a few games in mid May,
they brought him back to the starting rotation, and he's
been really good since then. What he didn't have in
April was the use of his curve ball, which is
his like, you know, his main best pitch, and it
was not working for him in April for whatever reason.
(26:29):
This guy's in his forties, Like sometimes you just lose it.
It's been working for him since coming back since May
twenty sixth. These are his outings six innings, two earned runs,
five strikeouts, seven and two thirds innings, no earned runs,
seven strikeouts, one bad start in there, two and a
third innings, four earned runs, five strikeouts, five innings, no
earned runs, ten strikeouts, six innings, one earned runs, seven strikeouts,
(26:54):
and then five innings, three earned runs, three strikeouts. So
even in the games that are now bad for him,
there are not disastrous, going to ruin your weak type
of bad. Like we saw against the Rangers. He wasn't
his best attic, but it was still three and run
in five innings. Like, if that's your your floor at picture,
with what he's given you as a ceiling last month,
I think that's pretty good. I'm not saying I'm gonna
(27:15):
hold on him the rest of the season, but I
want to be picking him up. I want to at
least have him rostered in case like this turnaround is
legitimate and he's something close to Charlie Morton of old
moving forward, because that's basically what he's been the last
you know, five six weeks.
Speaker 3 (27:30):
Yeah, it's kind of hard to get that floor out
of your mouth when you've seen like what he can be. Also,
what do you how many more stars do you think
he makes for the LS before he gets traded.
Speaker 2 (27:44):
I don't know if he does end up getting traded,
though he's likely going to a better team and more
opportunity for wins, so it's a reasonable question he in
the oh. I was looking at this the other day
and now I don't have it up in front of me.
I was looking at just kind of where he ranks
amongst all pitchers since mid May. I think I put
(28:05):
the number at like May eighteenth or something, and he
is like, he's been very, very good.
Speaker 5 (28:12):
Like it's not just that he's improved.
Speaker 2 (28:14):
From the point I'm trying to make is that it's
not just that he's improved from where he was in April.
He's been one of the better pitchers in fantasy baseball.
Not the best, but one of the better pictures in
fantasy baseball for over a month at this point.
Speaker 3 (28:26):
Yeah, for me, the only thing I would like would
be hard for me to forget is like, is you
know we've seen what like the bad bad can be
from Charlie Morton, and like when you pick him up
and you're starting him, like I would always be wondering, like,
please don't let this be the Niner and run start,
Please don't let this be the Niner and run stars.
Speaker 2 (28:45):
And then Rogers say I'd pick him up and like
auto start him, but like I would just want to
get him on the roster.
Speaker 3 (28:51):
Yeah, and then Trevor Rodgers first off, bad trade, Like
I didn't understand that trade at the time. I don't
get it now at least he's finally starting to pitch good.
I wrote a pitch well, sorry bad English, but I
remember being like liking Trevor Rodgers in Dynasty five years
ago and then just wondering kind of what happened, because
he came you know, twenty twenty one, one hundred and
(29:14):
fifty seven strikeouts and one hundred and thirty three innings
like mid twos CRA and you were like, all right,
like this guy might be something. And then he came
out the next year and he just dunk five point
four to seven ERA. And then even when he kind
of came back worked his way back from some injuries
and was back in twenty twenty four, it was almost
five YRA, and he wasn't like, you know, we saw
(29:34):
one hundred and fifty seven strikeouts and one hundred and thirty three innings.
Now he wasn't even striking out a bat or perinning.
It was ninety seven strikeouts and one hundred and twenty four innings.
So I hope for his sake he is really back
and is like turning into the you know, the pitcher
who you know, this guy's a former first round pick,
Like he's not just a crumb that they pulled out
of nowhere. You know, he does have some some pedigree
(29:55):
that people saw coming up, and so for his sake,
I hope he figured it out. It's a really small
sample size, though, it's kind of hard to know what
we're looking at here.
Speaker 5 (30:05):
All right, run me through your favorite pitture.
Speaker 3 (30:07):
So my favorite picture is Jacob Lopez, who just kind
of he kind of did come out of nowhere, maybe
not necessarily, but kind of kind of came out of nowhere.
And he's just been continued continuing to pitch really well.
Mid three is era fifty five strikeouts and forty three innings.
He's just been pitching even better of late. You know,
he just against the Tigers, you know, one of the
(30:28):
better surprisingly better teams in baseball.
Speaker 4 (30:30):
Seven shoutout in.
Speaker 3 (30:32):
Six strikeouts, and that was his third quality start in
a row with he had six strikeouts in that start
and then his previous stew he had nine strikeouts in
each of those quality starts and only wonder and run
over those last three starts. So he's on a heater
right now, pitching really well. And you know, I don't
love that he has to pitch in that home ballpark,
but overall, he's someone who's like streaking running hot right now.
(30:57):
And if you can, you know, get a pitcher who's
doing some good things, he is one of them.
Speaker 4 (31:03):
My bonus.
Speaker 5 (31:04):
The other guys my boness I wrote.
Speaker 3 (31:07):
That a few My bonus is Ema She and who
you talked about last week, and like you talked about
how you wrote up or you talked up Chase Burns
and then got called up. I talked up m and
she and it got sent down and it was no
fault of his own. They just like needed some bullpen help.
But it seems like he's gonna be coming back up soon.
They have some limitations and when they can pick him
(31:27):
back up just because of the rules unless there's an injury.
But the Dodgers need so much pitching. But I think
he's gonna be back up soon, and so I would
definitely pick him up and stash him for now because
I think he's gonna be back up soon and he
should be pitching pretty well for a really good Dodgers team.
And you can kind of get him for nothing now.
And then, first and foremost, because of the timing last week,
like we talked about Chandler Simpson, Chase Burns was also
(31:47):
kind of called up at an interesting time. And so
there are leagues like like I'm in tgfbis is n
f NFBC league. You couldn't pick up Chase Burns before
we made an appearance, And so he's available in NF
NFBC leagues this weekend, and he's going to go for
massive fab bids like four hundred dollars fat bids of
a thousand dollar budget like forty.
Speaker 4 (32:08):
And so.
Speaker 3 (32:09):
And you know, in our ESPN Fantasy League for work,
I picked up Chase Burns today because it's a daily
roster league and it's like really small rosters. I know
when to picked him up yet, and I had just
not considered, Like I'm you know, every whenever I think
about like a player like that, I'm like, oh, he's
already rostered in my leagues. And I was like, let
me check that ESPN league. I bet he's not rostered.
I already wasn't, So I picked him up. I ended
(32:30):
up dropping Kevin Gosman for him. What do you think
about that move.
Speaker 2 (32:34):
Bad Kevin Gosman shoved today, that's all right, eight shutout innings.
Speaker 4 (32:40):
Nice. I think I actually got at it for that start.
Speaker 5 (32:44):
Oh, because of when he picked him up. Then that's helpful. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (32:46):
Now I am in this league, yes, I like that.
I don't know how I feel in other leagues, but
in this league, yes, I like that move.
Speaker 4 (32:56):
Yeah, And I'm kind of in that league.
Speaker 3 (32:57):
For context, we we end the season this week and
already start like a long playoffs and then we have
like multiple leagues where you have to win your league
and then go to playoff against someone else. And I'm
already trying to like I'm in first place or no,
I'm in second place, but I'm like tied with the
first place person, and we're head to head this week
for first overall in that league. And so I'm already
trying to like line up my playoff roster because you
(33:20):
because of like the different rules and stuff, you're limited
who you can pick up. So I want to burn
some my roster.
Speaker 2 (33:24):
Now I'm facing our pal fits to try and make
the playoffs in that league.
Speaker 3 (33:30):
Concerns for me in that league because you know it's
over in July.
Speaker 5 (33:35):
Exactly, all right, very quickly run through your deep league targets.
Speaker 3 (33:39):
All right, So deep league targets pitchers who should be
pictures and hitters who should be available in most places.
They can help you either like short term or yeah,
mostly short term. I would say a couple of them
are more longer term, but more mostly short term. Ryan Nelson,
a pitcher for the Diamondbacks, has been picturing pretty well.
Edward Cabrera is surprisingly not rostered everywhere, and we'll talk
about him a little bit on the next video, and
(34:00):
we talk about streaming pitchers, but he has an upcoming
two start week and is pretty available. And you know,
someone that we've liked in the past, Colton Gordon, the
pitcher for the Astros, is pitching pretty well. Tyler Anderson.
I feel like I've mentioned him just kind of throughout
the year. He continues to be under rostered and continues
to be very valuable in deep leagues, continues to pitch well.
(34:22):
He's just a savvy veteran. He doesn't have like sexy stuff,
but he's just really good at limiting hard contact and
continuing to put up, you know, solid numbers in deeper leagues,
not necessarily in like your standard league, he's not going
to do a whole lot for you, but like in
those fifteen team leagues, absolutely you need to roster Tyler Anderson.
He's been doing really well. Connor Norby is someone I've
been surviving on third base in some deeper leagues just
(34:46):
you know, like a little bit power, a little bit
of speed, a.
Speaker 4 (34:47):
Little bit of production.
Speaker 3 (34:50):
They didn't really have a whole lot else going there,
and so you know, in a deeper league, Connor Norby
is available and can help you out at a week
third base position. Gary Sanchez your boy now that Adley
Rutchman is hurt in two catcher.
Speaker 5 (35:01):
League, not my boy.
Speaker 3 (35:02):
In two catcher league, Gary Sanchez is available. It's been
doing some things. You know, it's kind of gross to
think about in twenty twenty five Gary Sanchez, but in
two catcher league he's he can help you. And then
when Seale Prez is the last one who's been hitting
pretty well and is still available in a lot of leaks.
Speaker 2 (35:20):
All right, we'll go ahead and wrap up this segment. There,
be sure to check out Round on the Bases.
Speaker 5 (35:24):
If you miss it should already be posted on YouTube
or wherever you listen.
Speaker 2 (35:27):
To your podcast, and keep an eye out for our
Pitching Streamers segment coming up later this weekend.
Speaker 5 (35:32):
For Mayor, I'm Ryan Warmlan. Thanks for tuning in. We'll
see you next time.
Speaker 2 (35:36):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
Speaker 1 (35:39):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support us.
Speaker 2 (35:42):
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