May 23, 2023 • 8 mins
Get ready for a rapid-fire rundown of our 5 fantasy baseball trade candidates, courtesy of Chris Welsh (@IsItTheWelsh)! Listen in to find out who you should consider acquiring or sending away to maximize your roster's potential. Who are we trading for this week? The Pros will tell you! Stay tuned for the bonus trade candidate at the end!
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hello friends, and welcome back to Fantasy Pros MLD. I'm
Chris Welsh, and today we're talking trades. Of course, we're
talking trades, but we're gonna do a little different. We're
gonna play a game. Would you like to play a game?
Nothing life threatening? Just trade four, trade away, don't worry
about it, make your guesses as we go, and at
the end we'll even have one that you can decide on.
(00:21):
But first I want to remind you that you always
have a chance to win a premium Fantasy Pros account
on us. All you've got to do is make a
comment below, get access to my playbook, get in the
Fantasy Pros discord, get access to all the features. Just
go in, get going and make a comment, and subscribe
to the channel and you might get yours. If you
(00:42):
don't want to wait and you want to get in now,
well go to Fantasypros dot com slash premium. You might
not want to chance it. All right, let's get to
the game. I'm gonna give you a name and you're
gonna have to decide pretty quick. Number one on the list.
Trade four Trade away, d back starting pitcher Zach Gallon.
Trade four Trade away what do you say, I say,
(01:03):
trade four? Probably no shocker there, well, one of the
best times to poke around great pitchers. It's like right
after a blow up. And Zach Gallins was epic eight runs,
five earned runs, and in fact he's got an over
four ERA in the month of May. Reminder though in
April he only had one start where he gave up
(01:25):
a run. It's not going to be cheap, but a
worried owner might be more willing to throw Gallon out
there now. But all that cy young talk is starting
to cool a little bit, so this is gonna go
on the trade four side. Number two Philadelphia Phillies DH
outfielder Kyle Schwarber, Trade four, trade away. We are trading
(01:48):
four Kyle Schwarber. SCHWARBZ is off to a rough start
when it comes to his batting average. He's hitting under
one eighty and he's hitting one twenty five in May.
Schwarber had a similar run last year, though, which makes
me feel better, where he hit under two hundred up
until June. Schwarber currently has the league's lowest babbit on
(02:10):
one eighty seven. Let's just call it under one ninety.
Pinning when you're listening to this, considering this is what
he does, and considering those babbit numbers will turn, and
considering his power numbers are sustaining, as he has eleven
on the year even with all these struggles, and in May,
those huge struggles, he's got five in May, Schwarber might
(02:32):
be a really strong buy now candidate. So we are
trading four, number three on the list Seattle Mariners starting
pitcher Bryce Miller. Trade four, trade away. We are trading
away Bryce Miller. I got you there a little bit.
I hate to do it, but he has the third
(02:52):
highest war among all pitchers in May. It's also got
an under two era. Why do I hate to do it?
Because I love Bryce Miller, But we are talking about
redraft here. We've got low strikeout rates, We've got an
ex fit that is actually sitting closer to over three
point fifty and a babbit of one seventy two against.
That's going to change, and probably not in the best direction,
(03:15):
as is the caveat that I feel is obvious but
clearly is not to many of you, which I see
out in the comments or in the Twitter verse. This
is not to say that Bryce Miller will be bad
or he's going to fail when this is all done,
you know, and he's going to be really great and
then it'll be like, ah, it's I got your moment. No,
it's not saying that. What I'm saying is this might
be a peak value. There's some underlying stuff that doesn't
(03:38):
work necessarily in his favor with those low strikeout numbers.
He does have an incredible fastball, but he's still learning
the secondaries. There might be a rough stretch coming and maybe,
just maybe that's something that you want to take advantage
of in trade. So that is why we are looking
at a trade away number four Los Angeles Dodgers starting
(03:58):
pitcher Julio Urias Trade four, trade away. We are trading away. Now, see,
just when you thought you had me figured out, we're
trading away Julio Arias. Now, why do I say that?
Because the stats don't exactly align in this great area,
which that sometimes tends to be, you know, good aces
(04:19):
we want to buy. But it's fair to say that
he hasn't been great four and a half era and
roughly about the same expected era. His walks are down,
homers are up. You could probably play this either way
if we're being honest, where things don't improve whatsoever, or
you know, his walks they stay down. The swinging strike
percentage continues to improve, but I'm going to get out.
(04:43):
His fastball's getting hit up, and he's getting hit harder
than any previous year. The doughters in general have been
kind of wishy washy, and Urias might be closer to
an SP three or SP four this year than he
is at SP two. His costs ended up coming at five.
Los Angeles Dodgers second baseman Miguel Vargas trade four, trade away.
(05:07):
We are trading four Miguel Vargas. That first month got
pretty rough, but Vargas seems to found a stride. He's
hitting only two forty on the year with four homers,
but in May he's hit two seventy and has three
of those four homers. You can also see the aggressiveness
change as his walk percentage is dropped in favor of
attacking the baseball more. Yet, his k percentage has also
(05:30):
dropped at the same time. While he struggled to hit
at the start of the year, Vargas has a legit
shot to sit somewhere around eighty to ninety run and
RBI based just off of where He is currently in
the mid twenties on both of those, and that may
also go with around twenty homers. He may be one
of those guys at the end of the year where
we're surprised by how effective he was overall in fantasy
(05:54):
than he was in short spurts. There's no real buzz
on Vargas right now, so he may come at a
friendly cost. Now here's our extra Texas Rangers outfielder Adulus
Garcia trade four trade away you decide, comment below with
the answer. He leads the league in RBI and is
(06:14):
a top five in homers, yet he's hitting under two
sixty and has a bottom twenty five percent with rate
in the league. He's improved his strikeout rate, and the
big reason is pitchers have actually changed their approach to him,
throwing him seven percent more breaking pitches. Last year he
struggled with this, hitting only one ninety nine. That's why
they're throwing him more. Well, guess what, in twenty twenty three,
(06:37):
he's hitting like two seventy against breaking pitches. So there's
so many improvements that have been made that are telling
this incredible story. But for many it is very hard
to believe that this is sustainable even though he has
done it for three straight years. So is he the
ultimate sell high or is the best yet to come?
You decide in the comments below. Thanks for hanging with
(06:59):
me through some of the trades. Now. I know I
put some players on the trade away. It's going to
trigger some people, but let's put a reminder out there
again to signal a trade away on someone is also
not a statement that they are bad. Throughout this series,
there have been plenty of players that we've been talking
about trading away that have been fine, or some who've
(07:19):
actually been better and completely bucked anything that I said.
Sometimes it's just about capitalizing on value. Some people love
Wheeland dealon some are a little bit more methodical about it.
But it's just a reminder that when approaching all of this,
I can't and won't always be right about everything just
my best guesses, and I hope plenty of you will
remind me that I'm not right about all of these things.
(07:41):
I hope this helped, and make sure you subscribe to
the channel so you're notified anytime and everything that we've
got going on, whether it's like the trade video, the waivers,
or it's leading off Monday through Friday at twelve thirty
pm Eastern with Pisapa and myself. You can find me
on Twitter at is it the Welsh and I will
talk to you next time right here on Fantasy Pros MLB.
(08:02):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball Podcast. Follow
us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to
our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros
MLB
Hello friends, and welcome back to Fantasy Pros MLD. I'm
Chris Welsh, and today we're talking trades. Of course, we're
talking trades, but we're gonna do a little different. We're
gonna play a game. Would you like to play a game?
Nothing life threatening? Just trade four, trade away, don't worry
about it, make your guesses as we go, and at
the end we'll even have one that you can decide on.
(00:21):
But first I want to remind you that you always
have a chance to win a premium Fantasy Pros account
on us. All you've got to do is make a
comment below, get access to my playbook, get in the
Fantasy Pros discord, get access to all the features. Just
go in, get going and make a comment, and subscribe
to the channel and you might get yours. If you
(00:42):
don't want to wait and you want to get in now,
well go to Fantasypros dot com slash premium. You might
not want to chance it. All right, let's get to
the game. I'm gonna give you a name and you're
gonna have to decide pretty quick. Number one on the list.
Trade four Trade away, d back starting pitcher Zach Gallon.
Trade four Trade away what do you say, I say,
(01:03):
trade four? Probably no shocker there, well, one of the
best times to poke around great pitchers. It's like right
after a blow up. And Zach Gallins was epic eight runs,
five earned runs, and in fact he's got an over
four ERA in the month of May. Reminder though in
April he only had one start where he gave up
(01:25):
a run. It's not going to be cheap, but a
worried owner might be more willing to throw Gallon out
there now. But all that cy young talk is starting
to cool a little bit, so this is gonna go
on the trade four side. Number two Philadelphia Phillies DH
outfielder Kyle Schwarber, Trade four, trade away. We are trading
(01:48):
four Kyle Schwarber. SCHWARBZ is off to a rough start
when it comes to his batting average. He's hitting under
one eighty and he's hitting one twenty five in May.
Schwarber had a similar run last year, though, which makes
me feel better, where he hit under two hundred up
until June. Schwarber currently has the league's lowest babbit on
(02:10):
one eighty seven. Let's just call it under one ninety.
Pinning when you're listening to this, considering this is what
he does, and considering those babbit numbers will turn, and
considering his power numbers are sustaining, as he has eleven
on the year even with all these struggles, and in May,
those huge struggles, he's got five in May, Schwarber might
(02:32):
be a really strong buy now candidate. So we are
trading four, number three on the list Seattle Mariners starting
pitcher Bryce Miller. Trade four, trade away. We are trading
away Bryce Miller. I got you there a little bit.
I hate to do it, but he has the third
(02:52):
highest war among all pitchers in May. It's also got
an under two era. Why do I hate to do it?
Because I love Bryce Miller, But we are talking about
redraft here. We've got low strikeout rates, We've got an
ex fit that is actually sitting closer to over three
point fifty and a babbit of one seventy two against.
That's going to change, and probably not in the best direction,
(03:15):
as is the caveat that I feel is obvious but
clearly is not to many of you, which I see
out in the comments or in the Twitter verse. This
is not to say that Bryce Miller will be bad
or he's going to fail when this is all done,
you know, and he's going to be really great and
then it'll be like, ah, it's I got your moment. No,
it's not saying that. What I'm saying is this might
be a peak value. There's some underlying stuff that doesn't
(03:38):
work necessarily in his favor with those low strikeout numbers.
He does have an incredible fastball, but he's still learning
the secondaries. There might be a rough stretch coming and maybe,
just maybe that's something that you want to take advantage
of in trade. So that is why we are looking
at a trade away number four Los Angeles Dodgers starting
(03:58):
pitcher Julio Urias Trade four, trade away. We are trading away. Now, see,
just when you thought you had me figured out, we're
trading away Julio Arias. Now, why do I say that?
Because the stats don't exactly align in this great area,
which that sometimes tends to be, you know, good aces
(04:19):
we want to buy. But it's fair to say that
he hasn't been great four and a half era and
roughly about the same expected era. His walks are down,
homers are up. You could probably play this either way
if we're being honest, where things don't improve whatsoever, or
you know, his walks they stay down. The swinging strike
percentage continues to improve, but I'm going to get out.
(04:43):
His fastball's getting hit up, and he's getting hit harder
than any previous year. The doughters in general have been
kind of wishy washy, and Urias might be closer to
an SP three or SP four this year than he
is at SP two. His costs ended up coming at five.
Los Angeles Dodgers second baseman Miguel Vargas trade four, trade away.
(05:07):
We are trading four Miguel Vargas. That first month got
pretty rough, but Vargas seems to found a stride. He's
hitting only two forty on the year with four homers,
but in May he's hit two seventy and has three
of those four homers. You can also see the aggressiveness
change as his walk percentage is dropped in favor of
attacking the baseball more. Yet, his k percentage has also
(05:30):
dropped at the same time. While he struggled to hit
at the start of the year, Vargas has a legit
shot to sit somewhere around eighty to ninety run and
RBI based just off of where He is currently in
the mid twenties on both of those, and that may
also go with around twenty homers. He may be one
of those guys at the end of the year where
we're surprised by how effective he was overall in fantasy
(05:54):
than he was in short spurts. There's no real buzz
on Vargas right now, so he may come at a
friendly cost. Now here's our extra Texas Rangers outfielder Adulus
Garcia trade four trade away you decide, comment below with
the answer. He leads the league in RBI and is
(06:14):
a top five in homers, yet he's hitting under two
sixty and has a bottom twenty five percent with rate
in the league. He's improved his strikeout rate, and the
big reason is pitchers have actually changed their approach to him,
throwing him seven percent more breaking pitches. Last year he
struggled with this, hitting only one ninety nine. That's why
they're throwing him more. Well, guess what, in twenty twenty three,
(06:37):
he's hitting like two seventy against breaking pitches. So there's
so many improvements that have been made that are telling
this incredible story. But for many it is very hard
to believe that this is sustainable even though he has
done it for three straight years. So is he the
ultimate sell high or is the best yet to come?
You decide in the comments below. Thanks for hanging with
(06:59):
me through some of the trades. Now. I know I
put some players on the trade away. It's going to
trigger some people, but let's put a reminder out there
again to signal a trade away on someone is also
not a statement that they are bad. Throughout this series,
there have been plenty of players that we've been talking
about trading away that have been fine, or some who've
(07:19):
actually been better and completely bucked anything that I said.
Sometimes it's just about capitalizing on value. Some people love
Wheeland dealon some are a little bit more methodical about it.
But it's just a reminder that when approaching all of this,
I can't and won't always be right about everything just
my best guesses, and I hope plenty of you will
remind me that I'm not right about all of these things.
(07:41):
I hope this helped, and make sure you subscribe to
the channel so you're notified anytime and everything that we've
got going on, whether it's like the trade video, the waivers,
or it's leading off Monday through Friday at twelve thirty
pm Eastern with Pisapa and myself. You can find me
on Twitter at is it the Welsh and I will
talk to you next time right here on Fantasy Pros MLB.
(08:02):
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball Podcast. Follow
us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to
our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros
MLB
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