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June 24, 2025 75 mins

World War III is canceled — at least for now. That’s where we are after one of the most dramatic weeks I can remember. The United States bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities. Israel followed up with its own strikes. Iran responded with missile attacks on CENTCOM in Qatar. And somehow, through all that, we’ve landed at a ceasefire. It felt like this was going to spiral — like this was going to be Qasem Soleimani times ten. Instead, it fizzled. Iran’s missile strikes were calibrated, coordinated with the Qataris, coordinated even with us. They hit the sand, not American soldiers. It was more about sending a message back home than actually escalating the conflict.

And that’s the strange brilliance of it all. Trump took the boldest action — destroying Iran’s nuclear program — and managed to walk away looking like the peacemaker. The people who warned that this would unleash chaos — Tucker Carlson predicting tens of thousands of dead Americans, Steve Bannon talking about gas at $30 a gallon — they look like they overshot. Gas prices are lower. No Americans killed. And Trump’s using this moment to reframe himself. He’s not just the guy who kept his promise to stop Iran’s nukes. He’s the guy who did it without dragging America into another endless war. That’s going to matter politically. It gives him an argument the MAGA base and the suburbs can both live with.

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Israel’s role here is important too. Make no mistake — this was their mission. They wanted Iran’s nuclear capacity gone. Trump signed off on a limited U.S. role, but Rising Lion was an Israeli operation at its core. Their goal was never just to set the program back a few years. It was to shake the regime. You can see it in the name — Rising Lion, the symbol of Iran before the Islamic Revolution. They’re trying to turn the clock back. And they knew this was their window. Iran’s economy is fragile, its proxies are weakened, and Trump was willing to greenlight the hits. The question now is whether this creates the cracks in the regime they’ve been waiting for — or just rallies Iranians around the flag.

The domestic political fallout has been fascinating. Never Trump Republicans who’ve trashed Trump for years — Bolton, Christie, Kinzinger, even Jeb Bush — lined up to praise him. And that’s made MAGA a little uneasy. They didn’t sign up for regime change wars. They signed up for America First. And now they’re watching Trump get applause from the same people who cheered on Iraq. Meanwhile, Democrats are trying to resurrect the war powers debate, framing this as executive overreach. It’s the rare moment where anti-war Republicans and Democrats are kind of saying the same thing. But for now, Trump’s riding high. He promised strength without entanglement — and for the moment, he’s delivered.

The NYC Mayoral Primary: Cuomo Stumbles, Mamdani Surges

Over in New York City, the Democratic mayoral primary has become the most interesting race in the country. Andrew Cuomo should have been cruising. He had the name recognition, the machine, the donor network. But his campaign has been a disaster. He looks old, angry, and out of step. His message is all negative — all about why Mamdani is dangerous, not why Cuomo is right for the job. And the voters can feel that. It’s a re-run of 2021 for Cuomo: defensive, brittle, uninspired. Meanwhile, Mamdani is doing what progressives often struggle to do. He’s selling a vision. He’s making people feel like the future could actually look different.

Mamdani’s campaign has been relentless. He turned a 14-mile walk from the bottom to the top of Manhattan into a social media juggernaut. TikToks. Instagram reels. Everywhere you look, there’s Mamdani, talking to voters, talking about his ideas, looking like he actually wants the job. His policy platform is ambiti

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