March 6, 2025 • 48 mins
Robin and Adam proudly present Episode 309 of Scary(ish)! Adam goes over the recent discovery of an asteroid that could wipe a city off the map and the changes of it hitting our planet. Listen, Share, Subscribe, and Review!
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Speaker 1 (00:12):
Hey, they'res spooky friends and welcome to another episode of
the Scarish Podcast. Oh I'm Robin Grace's SADDEO. I almost
said that.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
I was you funny and then incorrect, and uh.
Speaker 1 (00:25):
We're a podcast that goes over weird true crime, like
paranormal you know, cryptid.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Type, anything that falls in the category of scary ish
ye we cover. So yeah, it was like true crime
and paranormal was our bread.
Speaker 1 (00:39):
Yeah. You know, some things are really scary, but we
like to make them scary ish. We'll make them palatiful.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
Realistically, the world could end tomorrow, we'd still do an
episode of the podcast and try and find ways to
laugh about it.
Speaker 1 (00:51):
So that's yeah, oh yeah. Before we get into the
meat of the episode, we want to give our shout
outs to Fay, Shandon and carl Ola. Thank you guys
for being big supporters of the show. Thank you everybody
who's on our Patreon who supports the show, because you
guys really don't understand how you guys help and support
us and get us through every single month.
Speaker 2 (01:13):
So seriously, there's costs associated with doing the show and
it is hard to do sometimes, but you guys definitely
help mitigate those. So thank you so much, and realistically,
thank you to everyone who listens to us, shares with friends
and family. It really doesn't mean the world to us.
But yeah, we are back again with another fun episode.
At least I hope it'll be fun. It hasn't been
too long since we last saw you, guys. This episode's
(01:34):
only going up a few days late, as you all know,
because I am sure you remember every detail we give
out on this podcast. Yeah, which is a joke. Obviously.
I have this job where as soon as the beginning
of the month hits, everything goes absolutely haywire. So sometimes
it's a little bit more difficult to get an episode
in the first week or the last week of the month.
But we're able to do it this month, so very
(01:57):
thankful for that. But yeah, not a lot. What's going
on with us, mate, No, we're.
Speaker 1 (02:01):
Pretty We're still trying to move in a lot of
I'm trying to get my craft stuff set up so
that I can start making things for our patrons again.
And so it's it's just a process of life, you know.
But we're gonna get things going here. We're just living.
Speaker 2 (02:20):
That's I think it's really You've done pretty well though
with the setup that we currently have. You got like
some new designs or some new merch that was made,
which is super cool.
Speaker 1 (02:27):
Yeah, I got a couple new sticker designs and magnets
and stuff made. I think I showed them on our Instagram.
If you guys ever want updates, I usually will update
the Instagram and stuff like that. So if you don't
follow us on Instagram, head out over and do that. Yeah.
But yeah, so other than.
Speaker 2 (02:44):
That, not a lot, just work on, just working. So
I'm actually kind of excited for this episode. I don't
know what I'm gonna name it yet. That happens a
lot with me, where.
Speaker 1 (02:53):
I don't have a topic name until you finish.
Speaker 2 (02:55):
Until I'm done editing, you know, and then I'm like,
i gotta name it something, So so not sure what
it's gonna be called. I think I told you what
I'm covering this week, do you remember?
Speaker 3 (03:04):
Nope?
Speaker 2 (03:04):
Cool, because it's gonna be fun. It's gonna be all
new to me, all right, So this week I had
to go back to the obvious scarish material that has
been in news recently, and I think this year, the
year of twenty twenty five, I'm really diving into like
current events more because one they interest me and two
we've had some really good material in twenty twenty five
that you know, frankly are scarish. This is a fucked
(03:26):
up year us. I know, it's been a long year
and fucking just got to March first. And uh, sometimes,
at least for me, like I'm struggling for a topic
and sometimes one just falls into your lap. I've covered
things in the past that you would call a real
possibility and then eventually they do happen, Like uh, just
(03:49):
talking about things like the plague you know, going through
like the Spanish flu or whatever, and doing that a
couple of years before COVID, and talking about like how
that would look if it happened again, and like things
that I thought would happen the likelihood of it happening.
And then COVID hit and everyone was like, Adam, you're
you're basically modern day no astra namas. I'm like, I know,
but all I'm saying is for this particular topic that
(04:09):
I'm going to cover, let's hope that's not the case.
But if it does, at least you'll be educated as
to what could go wrong. So, without further Ado let's
jump into this week's topic. And while I don't know
what I'm gonna name it, and the listener probably already
knows because they've seen the title of the episode, I
have at least temporarily called this topic twenty twenty four
(04:31):
yr four. So if you don't know what that is,
you might be wondering what the fuck does that mean? Well,
I'll get a catch your title. Don't worry, but twenty
twenty four y or four is the designation that has
been given to an asteroid that was recently discovered.
Speaker 1 (04:46):
Ah okay, yes, yes, yes.
Speaker 2 (04:48):
When I say recently, I mean December twenty seventh, twenty
twenty four, so like three months ago, like very Actually
it's two months ago, holy shit, like two months in,
like four days, very recently. It was discovered by the
Asteroid Terrestrial Impact Last Alert System in Rio Hurtado, Chili.
And if you're wondering, oof, that's mouthful. Its acronym is ATLICE,
(05:12):
which is pretty fucking dope. It is just an observatory
that searches the skies for anything, any celestial objects that
are moving around that might impact Earth.
Speaker 1 (05:21):
That gives the same vibe as shield shield.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
When I read it. I was like, holy really wanted.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
Was just like, it just sounds like somebody really wanted
us to be named Shield.
Speaker 2 (05:32):
Coulson doesn't say that. That's the first episode of the
Agents of Shield show. Colson's the one that has the
dope ass line where he keeps introducing them as the
full acronym but the full name, and then the end
of Iron Man, she makes fun of them. She's like,
how are things over at the Strategic Homeland? Da Dad,
He's like, just call a Shield because I remember being
in the movie theater in two thousand and eight. I
(05:53):
think that and when he said that, everyone was just.
Speaker 3 (05:55):
Like, oh.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
In Agents of Shield, he Coulson literally says, it just
sounds like.
Speaker 2 (06:01):
I feel like we have to check the clip. We
have to go back, yeah, because I'm pretty sure it's
that guy that we saw doing a Q and A
in Vegas at one of the comic cons that says
it instead of Coulson. But we'll check. And your sister
asked him a question. She has like two questions actually, anyways,
getting off topic, the point is twenty twenty four. Why
are four? Is an asteroid that was discovered two months
ago by this dope ass place called Alice. I wish
(06:23):
the asteroid had a better name, and I'm sure that
it'll get one in the near future. I might may
make a suggestion later spoiler alerts, but it's official name
so far as twenty twenty four. Why are four? If
you're wondering why they get named stupid stuff like that,
twenty twenty four is obviously because it's the year it
was discovered in why indicates that it was discovered in
the second half of the twelfth month, which seems weird,
(06:45):
but I mean that's just how they're doing it. And
the R four means it's the one hundred and seventeenth designation
to be given out in that half of the month.
So it's like very specific. So if you're into this,
like you could know immediately by seeing the name, like
the day it was discovered, or I should say, the
half of the month it was discovered and how many
objects have been discovered in that half of the month.
(07:07):
And yeah, the process to name it is super boring,
but sometimes naming shit is a lame process and it's
best so you don't get things mixed up. You can't
name everything fucking booger aids or eighths booger like and
Rick and Morty age just.
Speaker 1 (07:19):
Saying, Okay, all right, so this this this thing, this
program we have that discovers these objects.
Speaker 2 (07:27):
It's people with Oh, it's people telescopes and ship looking
at like sections of the night sky.
Speaker 1 (07:33):
Ah okay, okay.
Speaker 2 (07:34):
The way it's also in Chili, it's not ours, so okay.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
I for some reason, just the way you described it,
I thought it was like a system, like a like
an object, like a.
Speaker 2 (07:46):
Thing of armaged. Okay, It's a dude with a telescope
who sees a big rock in the sky. And that's
basically what it had. What's happening, except he's not as
much of a hillbilly, and he's not as mean to
his wife. Okay, and he's from Chile.
Speaker 1 (08:00):
Oh, oh my god. Okay, so rock and sky?
Speaker 2 (08:03):
Is there rock in sky? Yeah? The three words that
could have summed up the intro to this episode, There
is a rock in sky.
Speaker 1 (08:10):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
You may be thinking at this moment, just fucking gets
to the good part, and I'm getting there. Jesus, be patient. Obviously,
if I'm talking about this new asteroid, it must be
scary ish in some way, and it really is so
despite only being at most right now, based off our estimates,
three hundred feet across, or the size of a football field,
it does pose a significant threat to us should it
(08:34):
happen to collide with the planet. As I'm sure some
of you know, stuff, even if it's not massive moving fast,
if it hits you can cause a lot of problems
like a bullet.
Speaker 1 (08:45):
Well, I mean, okay, so even if it like glances
off our planet right just on the edge, just hits
it real quick whatever.
Speaker 2 (08:53):
It's not like skipping a rock over lake. That's not
how that would work. We have gravity and shit.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
Hy okay, true, true, true, okay, But I was just thinking,
if it hits our planet, can it throw us off
of our axis?
Speaker 2 (09:05):
You know, And it's not big enough to do that.
Three hundred feet is not quite like Earth moving size.
Despite only being three hundred feet though, like, there's still
some stuff that's important, Like there are definitely other massive
celestial objects. So like, I mean, if you're standing outside,
you're not gonna look up and see a football field
size rock falling and be like, yeah, I hope that
(09:27):
lands on me because it's only a football field. Huh,
fucking get wrecked. Lift, bro. Let's just say this, like
it's traveling right now at just under exceeds just over
thirty eight thousand miles per hour. That's fast, which is
very fast for those of you who aren't good with scaling,
because a lot of times numbers kind of throw people off.
W you're like, thirty eight thousand's not that much the fastest.
(09:50):
Let's just go with this. The speed of sound when
you get a sonic boom break when you're going faster
than sound travels, it's seven hundred and sixty seven miles
per hour. Okay, I didn't know this until just recently
researching this, But the temperature and the humidity and shit
like that can affect the speed of sound. So I
thought it was interesting. But like ideal speed of sound
makes sense most often tested conditions seven hundred and sixty
(10:12):
seven anything that has to.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
Do with speed, and and I don't know, fuck aerodynamics
like it all everything in the air affects it, right.
Speaker 2 (10:22):
Very much like lots of variables that can affect it.
And if you go seven hundred and sixty seven miles
per hour, there's a sonic boom, it's a very loud noise.
You're moving faster than the speed of sound, and you're
at mock one. Seven sixty seven is considered mock one.
If you've ever wondered what mock meant, like mock one,
it's not how many razors you're fucking shaving device has,
(10:42):
That's what it is.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
Okay, in top gun, the new top gun, what.
Speaker 2 (10:48):
Gets to mock ten? Okay, pushes it past that?
Speaker 1 (10:51):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (10:51):
I checked online and this was a very cursory check.
But the fastest man air flight, according to like Google's
AI answer that kicks out really fast, is registered. Fastest
recorded manned flight is mock six point seven to two,
which is around four thousand, five hundred and twenty miles
an hour, which is incredibly fast.
Speaker 1 (11:12):
And this thing's going at thirty six eight.
Speaker 2 (11:14):
Thirty eight thousand miles per hour, which is it's traveling
at roughly mock forty nine point five to two, so
five times faster than Tom Cruise went. Oh and top Maverick,
it's going very fast. Okay. Something that big, which you know,
relative in size a football field, moving at mock fifty,
(11:37):
if it hit the Earth, it would cause an explosion
on the low end, around five hundred times more powerful
than the bomb on Hiroshima.
Speaker 1 (11:44):
What the what?
Speaker 2 (11:45):
So that's an estimate of five mega tons Hiroshima. It's
like it's measured in kilotons. Our bombs have gotten significantly bigger.
So this is actually not like bigger than the biggest
weapon in any country's arsenal, but it's still enough to
essentially erase a fucking city. It's actually it's actually designated
with a status as city killer. There's a kind of
(12:06):
killer city killer, different things. This is a city killer.
At this point, I would like to suggest the name
for the asteroid, which is pg L I E or Pigley.
I like it to be called Pigley. I think it
has a nice catchy ring to it, and it stands
for please God let it end, because I'm just let
this fucking thing get us. So it's not big enough
(12:28):
to solve all of our problems.
Speaker 1 (12:29):
You don't want to name it Jesus take the wheel.
Speaker 2 (12:31):
No, that's a weird acronym. I like Pigley and it's
way easier to say. And from now on I will
refer to the asteroid as Pigley.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
So you're made name for it.
Speaker 2 (12:40):
Oh God, I'm not joking. I submitted a name suggestion
to no, you did not fucking goddamn right, I did.
Speaker 3 (12:47):
Oh only two hundred and fifty characters, by the way,
and they carefully craft my message, So they didn't, you know,
call for a wellness check on.
Speaker 1 (13:00):
Okay, okay, so can so it's it's is it aimed
towards us?
Speaker 2 (13:03):
Okay, we're gonna get to it, Okay, all right, I
mean I'm talking about it, so clearly there's some concerns here.
So there's a bunch of asteroids out there. I mean,
there's a fuck ton and they're only really scary if
they're going to hit us, you know, and none are
on track. We talked about Apophus before, which had like
a percentage chance to hit us, and then it went away. Yeah,
it's like still, you know, minuscule. I'm going to talk
(13:23):
about that a little bit again, just so you have
an idea of like likelihoods and stuff like that. But like,
you should only be scared of these things if you
think they're going to come close. Well, first, let me
say this before we get into this. The odds have
come way down, So I'll spoiler alert at the end
of my topic here. The odds have come way down.
But the first calculations when we discovered this December twenty
excuse me, and December twenty seventh last year, was that
(13:47):
there's a one percent chance that this asteroids going to
hit her on December twenty second, twenty thirty two. Okay,
so in roughly seven eight years. Asteroids are given a
score based on off two things, their size and their
likelihood to hit Earth. So if they're huge and they're
not likely to hit Earth, it's a zero, and if
(14:08):
they're tiny and they're likely to hit Earth, it's like
a zero to one where you're not going to have
much of an impact at all. You know, this has
a score of three, which is the second highest score
ever assigned to a celestial object that's been discovered.
Speaker 1 (14:22):
Because it's huge and there is a minuscule.
Speaker 2 (14:25):
Chance it's big and there's a small chance exactly. And
the scale is literally like the one axis, the y
axis the up and down access is size, and the
other axis is likelihood to hit us. So the further
out you get, like the further up on the graph
you go into the right, the worst it is. Okay,
so ten is the highest, just so you know, this
is a three. A pofice was I think for a
(14:49):
brief moment of four, and it's because it is five
times bigger. But when they found a coffice, it originally
had a two point seven percent chance to hit Earth,
and that earned it a four. It was a four
and out of five, and everyone freaked out about a Popus.
But like immediately people are like, actually, it's not going
to hit us. You know, they lowered its score from
two point seven percent chance, which is really high, really
(15:13):
fucking high odds, to one in thirteen thousand.
Speaker 1 (15:17):
Is that not crazy? That at two percent chance is
really high.
Speaker 2 (15:20):
Percent two point seven percent chance means if you run
thirty three scenarios, you're gonna get hit in one of them.
That is super likely. They lowered the chance for a
Popfas to hit us. I think it's twenty thirty six
to one in thirteen thousand, which if you need a
percentage chance to feel better about those odds, it's zero
point zero zero zero zero seven percent, So still a
(15:44):
very low chance that it's going to hit us, So
not necessarily needing to worry about a popus, But Apopfus
is going to come so close to us, it's going
to go between the Earth and the Moon, and the
Moon's only like two hundred and forty thousand miles away
from Earth, so that's super close. So it can come
so close that Earth's gravity could change its trajectory for
(16:05):
its next pass, which is why a poppus itself is
so scary. And Apopus is named after I think it's
the Egyptian god of chaos, which is a horrifying name
to get a rock, So Pigley is not that scary,
just saying okay, so Apopus was a big deal. Pigley
obviously raised some major alarms at the end of last
year when they're like, this thing is a one percent
(16:25):
chance to hit Earth. That's really high. Let's do what
we did with Apophus. We need to check two major things.
One likelihood of impact right away, we need to see
whether or not it's going to hit. And two if
those numbers don't change, this is something they didn't do
for Apopus as much. Where would it hit? And the
first thing I'm going to say is that lots and
(16:46):
lots and lots of people started working on the math
all around the world that would determine the likelihood of
an impact and after thirty days, so like I think
January twenty eighth was actually when this came out. The
scientific community crunch the number. They all got together, they
talked a lot about it, and NASA announced the new
number of likelihood, the percentage likelihood that Pigley was going
(17:08):
to hit the world, and everyone was like, it's going
to come way down. They always do, and they upgraded
it and they upgraded it from one percent to two
point nine percent, oh wow, which was officially the most
likely an asteroid has ever been to collide with our
planet that we've discovered. And so when that happened, which
was less which was just over a month ago, everyone
really freaked out. That's when it really hit the news.
(17:30):
Before it was like object discovered might be likely to
hit the Earth, blah blah blah blah blah. When it
went to two point nine percent, that's when it started
hitting like worldwide news where they're like, that's when everyone
really started asking where's it going to hit? And a
lot of people are flippant, they're like two point nine
percent is nothing, you know. The scientific community is different though,
they're like that's huge, Like anything above a zero percent chance,
(17:51):
like if you get to the ones is a threat
to humanity, and it freaks them the fuck out, So
they kept crunching the numbers. On February eight, eighteenth, which
is less than two weeks ago, which is around the
time I started researching this topic, they changed it to
three point one percent.
Speaker 1 (18:08):
Oh my, go up.
Speaker 2 (18:10):
So when it keeps going up, people start getting really nervous.
And again, people that are like three point one percent. Whatever,
If you stepped out of your house and I was
just standing in front of you, and I looked you
and said you have a three point one percent chance
you're gonna die today, scary, you'd be scared. You'd be like,
I'm calling the fucking police because this dude's a creeper.
(18:30):
So all that said, the next question where might it hit?
If the three point one percent chance, which I already mentioned,
is gonna come down later, it's no freak out too much.
If the three point one percent chance wound up going through,
where is it going to hit? It was determined that
in the case of an impact pigley, which would approach
they figured out the angle would approach from it would
(18:51):
approach from Sagittarius. I don't know why they have to
relate it to constellations, but maybe, so you can blame
your Sagittarius friends. Sage's Emma right, good approach from that direction,
and the impact would be fairly close to the equator.
It's aiming dead center on us.
Speaker 1 (19:06):
Oh wow.
Speaker 2 (19:07):
So if you have a checker, Instagram or Facebook, I
am posting like nine pictures for this topic because I
have the impact path and stuff like that and some
other stuff will get to later and you can see it.
And it does go over some pretty large countries and cities.
Speaker 1 (19:23):
What side of the world.
Speaker 2 (19:25):
I mean the equator, I mean across our entire equator,
because we're spinning, so we're not sure which side it's
going to hit. But there's a full path laid out
across the entire map of art planet. Okay, depending on
around about time when it arrives. But it puts it
over Colombia and Venezuela, almost directly over Bogota, Columbia, which
is the capital of Colombia, which is a place by
(19:45):
the way that I might be visiting, so that puts
me in danger. It also goes across the Atlantic Ocean, obviously,
it cuts across the middle of Africa, threatening plenty of cities,
Lagos being one of them. In case you don't know
what Lagos is. Lagos is a major dropo and it
has twenty one million people in it, so that's a
lot for a city killer. Other notable cities are Mumbai
(20:07):
in India that has twelve point five million people and Dhaka,
which is the capital of Bangladesh, which has another twenty
one million people. So a lot of people in harm's way.
And that's a lot of incredibly populated cities that are
at risk. So it's just like, Okay, this is going
from bad to worse. When I went through this, it
also had me wonder like what would happened if it
hit in the ocean, And that was a really fun
(20:29):
rabbit hole to go down because depending on the impact
site and the type of impact, things would be very different.
Speaker 1 (20:37):
Lot of.
Speaker 2 (20:39):
Here's what we're gonna do. I'm glad you brought that up.
I'm gonna cover the scenarios in the case it does
collide with our planet. So the first scenario it impacts
on land, it strikes the earth earthquake with the aforementioned
five megatons. Unlike an atomic bomb in this specific case,
(21:00):
if it hits the Earth, it's not detonating in a
massive fireball. There's gonna be a lot of dust and
debris and rock that also gets turned up in it.
There likely would be some form of combustion based off
the sheer energy it's releasing.
Speaker 1 (21:15):
Well, because it's hitting the Earth, right, there's gonna be
reverberations through the ground.
Speaker 2 (21:20):
You're really locked in on this Earth. Yeah, there's not
a cause, like, hang on, I'm gonna get there. I'll
feed you, baby bird, don't you To Robin's point, the
impact that it would make on the planet.
Speaker 1 (21:39):
That's the most that's the creation.
Speaker 2 (21:44):
You're fucking asshole. That is not cringey. That was funny, Okay,
all right. The impact crater, it would would be between
one point two and one point five miles wide, so
it's very big. And as a side note, I took
an average from a bunch of different websites, huh, just
saying like impact scenarios what it could look like. And
then I found a really fun website called Neil n
(22:05):
El dot Fun and I selected Asteroid Launcher because it
has this like calculator innet that people use a lot. Okay,
and I just made this asteroid and I started smashing
it into our planet. Stop it, and I picked cities
that I know that I've lived in to get a
better scale of the damage. So I was like, rather
than just describe it with sheer numbers, all the images
(22:26):
I'm gonna post that will pair with this next section
I'm about to go through are specific to the wonderful
city of Las Vegas.
Speaker 1 (22:33):
Well, what a deep dive. Let's go.
Speaker 2 (22:35):
So, although we talked about five megatons, a lot of
websites listed as like eight or twelve. It varies differently
depending on a lot of variables, because that's what varying is.
One thing is composition. It's likely to be a rock,
and there's a lot of different types of asteroids it
could be. And I'll get to this in a little bit,
(22:55):
and that's going to be a little bit important here.
But if we have an impact, you change the angle
of the impact. That can also adjust, and I just
put it at forty five degrees because that seemed the
most likely based off what I could find on NASA's
website and all these documents I was going through and
the simulations I ran kept coming up with numbers around
twenty megatons, which I did see on some other websites.
(23:18):
So take this what it's worth. Obviously I'm doing this
on a website. NASA is probably gonna be a little
bit more reliable. But I did the simulation where ground
zero is the intersection of Las Vegas Boulevard and Fremont Street. Okay,
because I fucking hate Fremont Street. It's my least favorite
tourist trapped to go to. So I was like, let
this be where it lands. Obviously Vegas is not like
(23:39):
in the line of fire here, so I just thought, like,
I know this area really well and it'll help me
kind of visualize it. So if you're seeing these pictures online,
just know the epicenter is that intersection. It's Fremont Street.
It's right right where you see that fucking tunnel. Everyone
looks up and it's seeing the video board, and you
keep fucking running into them because they wont get out
of the godamn way when they stop to look up
because they're drunk.
Speaker 1 (23:58):
Tell us how you really feel.
Speaker 2 (23:59):
I hate it so much? So AnyWho, did you.
Speaker 1 (24:03):
Know there's the sorry off topic, there's a restaurant there,
the heart Attack Waiver Place, Yes, where they will feed
you for free if you're over a certain weight.
Speaker 2 (24:13):
Yeah, And then people like have heart attacks.
Speaker 1 (24:15):
There a lot What the what?
Speaker 2 (24:17):
Yeah? I used to see like articles always roll in
where it was just like another person like has an
ambulance call because there was a cardiac episode. At the
name of the place is like the cardiac oppers.
Speaker 1 (24:26):
It's called the heart attack Grill.
Speaker 2 (24:27):
There's a fucking scale outside of it. You can just
walk up and weigh yourself to see whether or not
they're going to feed you for free.
Speaker 1 (24:31):
What the fuck?
Speaker 2 (24:33):
Yeah? Anyways, if this is that's the intersection too. It's
right on that intersection. So if this place gets hit,
it's around twenty seven mega tons from what the Internet
is telling me. So let's just talk about the damage here.
So it would create a crater that's one point five
miles wide, so I already kind of mentioned that. But
the crater would also be fourteen hundred feet deep, very deep.
(24:54):
The shock wave would be two hundred and thirty three decibels.
Speaker 1 (24:57):
Okay, describe to me what fourteen hundred feet deep is?
Speaker 2 (25:02):
Iight wink?
Speaker 1 (25:04):
No, I like, okay, what.
Speaker 2 (25:06):
Builds about the size of the Sears Tower.
Speaker 1 (25:08):
Okay, So all right, got it.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
Yeah, it's about how deep it is. The shockwave would
be two hundred and thirty three decibels. For reference, a
jet engine with unprotected ears is one hundred decibels.
Speaker 1 (25:21):
And this is how many does.
Speaker 2 (25:22):
Two thirty three incredibly loud. If you're wondering what kind
of a shockwave besides the sound, would do, I'm gonna
tell you. Anyone within three point six miles of the
impact site that restaurant would have severe lung damage from
the blast wave alone. Wow, your lungs, your your fucking
lungs would likely collapse just from the shockwave.
Speaker 1 (25:44):
And my ears would be bleeding.
Speaker 2 (25:46):
I'm gonna keep going. Anyone within four point seven miles
would have their ear drums rupture or you know, explode
within your head. Any buildings within eight point two miles
would collapse. Any homes within eleven miles would collapse. So
Fremont Street is the impact site, this area would encompass.
This impact site where all these things are going to
(26:06):
be affected, would en compass the entirety of Las Vegas,
basically Northern Vegas, Eastern Vegas, all the way up into
the mountains, Green Valley, Paradise, Spring Valley, Summerland, the northern
part of Henderson. The shockwave alone, the concussive blast from
the impact would kill around seventy six thousand people. Wow,
the wind that would be created and I had no
idea this is a thing. The wind that would be
created from the impact would also be completely devastating where
(26:30):
the asteroid struck, which you wouldn't really need to worry
about because you basically would be vaporized. You'd be like
a fucking fart in the wind. It would be around
five thousand mile prior winds just instantly blowing out from
like where this impact site hit.
Speaker 1 (26:42):
So what I'm imagining is that, you know when you
watch videos of them doing atomic testing and all the
everything gets blown back.
Speaker 2 (26:50):
Yeah, that's what.
Speaker 1 (26:50):
I'm imagining, without the face melting.
Speaker 2 (26:54):
I think true lies, remember true lies, how they actually
detonate the nuke on the island with no one on it,
and like Arnold and everyone's like, don't look at the flesh,
don't look The fla goes off and like they have
their eyes up and they can see the mushroom clod
in the distance, and then the wind hits them and
like blows their hair, like that really ominous scary wind.
They're fucking thousands of miles away from it, you know,
(27:14):
and they still get hit with the wind. At ground zero,
the wind would be exactly two hundred and seventy three
miles per hour two point four miles away. The wind
would be one thousand miles an hour four miles away
five hundred seven point one miles away two hundred which is,
by the way, in e f five the strongest, the
beginning of the strongest of the tornadoes. I think that's
actually like one fifty five. They downgraded it. Anyways, within
(27:36):
twelve miles of the epicenter, all trees would be flattened
in a direct line pointing away from the impact site.
The wind blast alone would, based off the population, be
estimated to kill around three hundred and ninety one thousand people.
Speaker 1 (27:50):
Damn.
Speaker 2 (27:50):
Yeah, the earthquake, the thing you've been waiting for.
Speaker 1 (27:54):
Let's go.
Speaker 2 (27:55):
The earthquake. It would trigger would be a five point
four of characters skin.
Speaker 1 (28:00):
I mean it could be worse.
Speaker 2 (28:02):
It would be felt up to fifteen miles away at
still a five point zero intensity. The outskirts of the
earthquake would still shake at that five pointzero magnitude, and
there's no telling how far it would ripple or if
it would trigger other events because super close to the
San Andrea's Fault.
Speaker 1 (28:17):
Earthquakes are a strange thing.
Speaker 2 (28:19):
Yeah, they're scary.
Speaker 1 (28:20):
They're scary, but like the other I know, the other day,
I was sitting there and I just felt it felt
like something pushed the house, you know, and Adam thought
it was something else, But I was like, that's fucking weird,
and so I asked him, you know, a couple of
days later, I'm like, did you feel that like earthquake
or whatever? The other day that we had, it felt like,
(28:41):
you know, the house moved and it was just like
one shove. It wasn't like shaking a whole bunch like
I was like doing.
Speaker 2 (28:47):
Something at the time and I thought I just lost
my balance.
Speaker 1 (28:49):
Yeah, it because I was sitting there. I just felt
like we got shoved. And so I think that's what
earthquakes are so weird, because there are some that you know,
shake and you're just sitting there, and one's just a jolt.
Speaker 2 (29:02):
Yeah, it's like when it starts to slide, it hasn't
gone yet.
Speaker 1 (29:05):
What So with this one, would it be a jolt
or would it be.
Speaker 2 (29:09):
Like it would be like a good rumbling as the
earth settled from the impact of a thirty eight thousand
mile per hour football field falling on all right, So
it wouldn't just be.
Speaker 1 (29:17):
It, But that's the sound it makes.
Speaker 2 (29:20):
Yeah, obviously this would be a devastating city killer style impact.
Las Vegas would essentially be gone. That's if it hits
the ground. If it's an air explosion like in the
Tunguska blast, which I covered in episode one oh two,
things would be different. That's where it enters our atmosphere
and before making contact with the ground, it blows the
fuck up.
Speaker 1 (29:41):
But it's a rock.
Speaker 2 (29:42):
I should mention that when ground impact happens the scenario
I just ran, they're more likely when it's like made
of metal. So I looked up. I had to. I
had to switch it up to make it an iron
asteroid to get it to have a ground impact. When
I set it to rock, which is what it's classification is,
it always gave me an air impact, which is what
they would expect to happen in most scenarios if this
(30:05):
thing does hit.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
Us, So how can they How do they know what
it's going to be made out of before it hits.
Speaker 2 (30:10):
They just zoom in really close and they're like that
looks like rock to me. They can't confirm it until
it gets closer to us, so we can take samples off.
Oh okay, okay, which we can do now arm again.
But now that you know Pigley is a stone type
most likely, so we should obviously fight it with water.
Speaker 1 (30:25):
Oh my god.
Speaker 2 (30:27):
But it doesn't mean It does mean that it would
be likely to blow up before it hits the ground.
Just for scale. The Tungusco blast, which is obviously something
that happened in like nineteen o eight nineteen oh seven,
is very legendary, and that was approximately between twenty and
thirty megatons. They're not quite sure. All they know is
the devastation that they've been able to decipher over the years. Afterwards,
(30:47):
the simulation puts Pigley's explosion at twenty six mega tons,
approximately seven hundred and thirty five feet above the ground. So,
like I mentioned earlier, the Sears Tower is like fourteen
just over fourteen hundred feet. If you're like going all
the up to the top of the antennacy, it's like
seventeen hundred feet. Seven hundred and thirty five feet off
the ground is halfway up the Sears Tower basically so
it's not very high for a twenty six mega ton
(31:09):
explosion to happen. So if we're still talking about Vegas,
the shockwave stats are still very similar. So I'm not
going to go over those again. The thing that you
really need to go over for an air blast is
the fireball. So I just heard Pitbulls fireball song kickoff.
I'm not gonna put that in there. The fireball itself
would be one point two miles wide, so about the
(31:30):
size of the crater that a ground impact would leave
would be the size of a giant ball of fire
in the sky. Suddenly. Okay, that alone would cause nine
hundred and ninety six, nine hundred and thirty seven people
to die.
Speaker 1 (31:43):
What the what?
Speaker 2 (31:44):
Because I mean, it's gonna burn with such an intensity
that like you can buy a bonfire where you're like
twenty feet from it someone like ports Gas and you're like,
oh good hot, all of a sudden, imagine a fireball
that's over a mile wide.
Speaker 1 (31:54):
I've never experienced that.
Speaker 2 (31:56):
Yeah, you wouldn't be talking to us if you did.
Speaker 1 (31:58):
And now I'm talking about the bonfire.
Speaker 2 (32:01):
Okay, well you're lame. Anyone within seventeen miles of this
fireball would have their clothes instantly catch on fire. You
would burst into flames, your clothes would just be like, oh,
that's it for me. And even if you survived, you
would be on fire. Anyone that would be suffering third
degree burns from the fireball would be well outside of
(32:22):
Vegas all the way into Boulder City. If you were
on a boat on any part of Lake Mead, you
would have third degree burned. The Hoover Dam, which is
kind of far away. That's far away you would have
third degree burns. It crosses over the border into Arizona,
and it goes even further for second degree burns. It's
about twice the size of the diameter of your clothes.
Catching fires around thirty five miles, which you know, basically
(32:42):
means all of Vegas is gone, like its entire population
except for some stragglers, would be dead. All trees within
thirty seven miles would burst into flames, if not, you know,
vaporized immediately because they're closer to the center. And I
think all trees within twelve miles would be knocked down,
so they would not only be on fire, but they
would be on the ground. So if you were a
survivor and you're trying to navigate within Las Vegas. They
(33:05):
would be burning trees, laying down everywhere, not that it
would matter, but the folks in the vaporize section will
get hit with wind. In this case that's twenty five,
six hundred and forty two miles an hour.
Speaker 1 (33:16):
So it would just blow their dust away.
Speaker 2 (33:20):
It's I never really like separated wind from shockwave, you know.
And this is a cool simulator of like how you
can die that does exactly that. And I found it
very fascinating going through and seeing like all the different things,
Like if I was like superheat resistant, you know, if
i'd like my ring of protection on from fire, like,
I'd still be dead because it's just there's so many
other things from an explosion that are gonna get you.
(33:42):
And when you know all the different ways that you're
going to die, now imagine walking out having that knowledge
and me telling you there's a three point one percent
chance it hits today. Three point one percent starts to
sound higher, higher and higher. The more you know about
how you can die. The death toll in Laws of
Vegas in this scenario is mitigated substantially by Las Vegas population,
(34:05):
which is just above one million people. So when I
say that like nine hundred ninety seven thousand people would die,
it's because that's what the website has is like Las
Vegas population.
Speaker 1 (34:14):
Basically, it just estimates where everyone would die.
Speaker 2 (34:17):
So it's kind of horrifying. If I kept everything the
same and went with the most likely scenario, a three
hundred foot asteroid made of rock having an air detonation,
and I switched it to one of the cities that
it is going to travel over, like Daka, which is
the capital Bangladesh, and I centered it on the soccer
field that's in the middle of the city because that's
(34:39):
roughly the same size as the asteroid itself. It does
change the nature of the strike. Twelve million, three hundred
and seventy thousand people would die from the fireball alone.
Another twelve million would have second to third degree burns.
The people who would be lucky enough to survive would
see this lush, green area, which you know, the closer're
(35:00):
into the city, it's not as green but outside it's
just beautiful, would basically be turned into a barren, fiery hellscape. Wow,
And it would not change for a substantial amount of
time from a death toll perspective alone, the most likely
scenario in one of the likely places would be the
biggest natural disaster in the history of humanity.
Speaker 1 (35:18):
And how quick does it happen?
Speaker 2 (35:20):
Instantly you'd see it come in and then boom, just
it's an explosion, you know, as fast as sound and
wind and fire and heat travel through the air. Yeah,
is how long it would take for this to happen? Wow,
it's crazy because like the most the highest death toll
for a natural disaster was a flood in nineteen thirty
(35:40):
one in China that killed just under four million people
and took place in the course of several days because
of the flooding that happened because of dam burst, which
is a lot of the times the case with natural
disasters in China. This would not take days. This would
be in an instant So it's horrifying to think about.
And that's the impact and the air burst scenario over land.
(36:01):
So now we get to the water strike part because
you're asking, like, oh tsunamis technically speaking, a water strike
would be all the water strike scenarios hold the best
case scenarios.
Speaker 1 (36:14):
But if it hits the water, you have all of
the marine life in the water dying off.
Speaker 2 (36:20):
I think we can all look at each other. If
you have anyone around you, just look at them and
say fuck them.
Speaker 3 (36:25):
No, no, no, no, saying the ocean's a big place.
Speaker 1 (36:28):
I know, but it's like you all.
Speaker 2 (36:30):
Have a substantial ecological impact. Yes, for that area of
the ocean it hits. We will probably not see it
impact us.
Speaker 1 (36:39):
Our food source would be affected, maybe it might.
Speaker 2 (36:44):
The ocean, I need to remind you, is huge. It's
thousands upon thousands of miles wide, and this would affect
an area of roughly like forty miles in diameter. So
let's go over the different scenarios you can understand what
you should root for. The first scenario is it hitting
in the middle of the ocean with an air burst
where it doesn't actually hit the water, it blows up
(37:05):
in the sky. That is by far the best case scenario.
Any boats in the area would obviously not agree with me.
They'd be like, ah, I'm dead and that'll be it.
But it would basically have a human death toll of zero,
and there wouldn't.
Speaker 1 (37:18):
Be there were no cruise ships or anything, And.
Speaker 2 (37:20):
Obviously you'd probably want to steer clear if you knew
an asteroid was along this path, I wouldn't take a cruise.
It's like asteroid cruise like, cause then you're just asking
for it. But realistically, it's a thirty five to forty
ish diameter area that you need to avoid in the
middle of the fucking ocean. Imagine being stranded on an
island and then you get hit by a fucking asterid.
They'd be like, I get a God, you fucking hate me.
(37:42):
If it's an air explosion, which it would be likely
to be, there wouldn't be There wouldn't be a tsunami
wo basically blow up over the And the only thing
I think about is like, what is in the rock
that scatters down into the ocean? I thought about that
a lot too. With like an ocean impact, You're like,
what about the fish? And I'm like, what about the
ecological impact from some that might not be from this
planet suddenly being in our water. There'd be some problems
(38:04):
obviously associated with that, but not necessarily as many as
if it hit a fucking city that has like twenty
one million people in Yeah, So the wonder root for
ocean airburst middle of the ocean air burst. The next
would be middle of the ocean impact, which is what
I think happens in deep impact, but I've never watched
that because I'm more of an armageddon guy. So if
(38:24):
it does hit in the middle of the ocean, the
waves in that area and significantly further out would absolutely
be fucking massive. But because the ocean is so big,
they said, if it hits in the middle of the ocean,
none of the waves are going to get to the coastline. Okay,
they settle before they get there. When you have tsunamis,
it's because the ocean floor moves, so the water has
(38:45):
to be displaced all the way to the coast.
Speaker 1 (38:47):
If there's a land impact right on a coast, You're.
Speaker 2 (38:53):
Getting way ahead of me here, Okay, I have more scenarios. Okay, Okay,
So the middle of the ocean impact, it'll be okay
as long as you're not within probably several hundred miles
of the impact site, because you will see fucking waves
like you wouldn't believe. An air burst near a shoreline
would be a spectacle to behold. But as long as
(39:14):
it's at least forty to fifty ish miles out, the
risk would be blindness essentially for anyone watching. It's like
that picture, like Trump looking at the eclipse. He would
not want to do that for this, just saying this
is not something he doesn't want to fall directions on.
Speaker 1 (39:28):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (39:29):
The disturbance to the water wouldn't result in a catastrophic
tsunami because it's above the water. But it may result
in like some form of wave or tsunami that would
come in. But it wouldn't just keep keep going like
it does with a tsunami, where basically the ocean just
comes in. This would just be like a singular event
versus like the displacement of all of the fucking water
come in. Okay, so that one's not as bad. But
an impact off the coastline in the ocean would be
(39:53):
the worst water strike scenario because it would result in
a tsunami of catastrophic proportions for all the nearby coastlines. Yeah,
it wouldn't be like a tsunami where the ocean floor
changes where it runs all the way to every coast
because that's just how water works. It would be like
that mountain face that sheared off in Alaska and fell
into a lake that caused like a fifteen hundred foot
(40:16):
wave that like just devastated everything nearby. It's an isolated incident,
but it's still catastrophic, especially on the scale it would
be if you know, this thing were to hit. So
that's the worst water strike scenario. So everyone just root
for it to blow up in the sky in the
middle of the ocean, away from fucking everyone. That's what
you want to root for.
Speaker 1 (40:35):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (40:36):
That said, let's get back to the three point one percent.
So as of eleven days ago, that was the chance
that was going to hit in twenty thirty two December
twenty second, twenty thirty two. Three point one percent is
the highest chance for any object we've ever discovered, So
it makes sense that everyone would constantly be checking the
math on this and checking it again and checking it again.
(40:58):
As of February twenty four, seven days ago, which happened
after I already started researching this topic, that number was
reduced substantially. It is now zero point zero zero four percent. Okay,
so way smaller, still pretty fucking high. Still pretty high.
Speaker 1 (41:17):
Man, I mean zero point zero zero four.
Speaker 2 (41:19):
You said zero point zero zero four.
Speaker 1 (41:21):
That's not that bad.
Speaker 2 (41:22):
It's not that bad. It is. I think someone did
the math. I lost the article I couldn't find it.
It's still like one hundred and twenty thousand times more
likely than Apophus to hit us or something crazy, because
Apophus is like zero point zero zero zero zero seven
or something like that. And it's absolutely horrifying to think
that Apopfus was a one in thirteen thousand. I think
(41:43):
it actually might have been mixed up. I think it
might be Apopus is like one in one hundred thousand,
and this is one in thirteen thousand. I think that
actually checks out a little bit better. I have to
check the math on that. Zero point zero zero four
percent is obviously way more of a relief. That said,
it's not like that means it's not going to come
anywhere near us. I mean it's still gonna come within
five hundred thousand miles of us with current projections, and
(42:06):
there's a margin of air there that in twenty thirty
two it'll pass between us and the Moon. Also, so
that would mean we have two asteroids that come between
us and the Moon in four fucking years, and that's
horrifying because they can have their courses changed by our
gravity when they do that. And also there are a
fuck ton of satellites that are rotating around our planet
(42:28):
that it would come within range of and most likely
just fucking scattered to the winds as it hits it.
And the last thing I'll say is that I mentioned
this earlier. The Moon is only two hundred and forty
thousand miles away, which means how I said, like, there's
a range where they could be wrong, there's not a
margin of air. It means that Pigley's chance of hitting
the Moon, oh okay, is still one point seven percent.
Speaker 1 (42:51):
And if it hits the Moon, that's going to be
absolutely devastating.
Speaker 2 (42:56):
It shouldn't be devastating because of Pigley's size, unlike the
hides as if a bigger like Apophus, I'm pretty sure
would cause devastating impact on Earth even if it hit
the Moon. This one, we should just witness something absolutely
fucking crazy like a piece.
Speaker 1 (43:12):
Of the moon, just unless it's on the dark side.
Speaker 2 (43:14):
Unless it's on the dark side, which the Moon is
tidal locked, so we'll never see the dark side of
the Moon, which is kind of crazy to think about.
Like for the conspiracy theorists out there who want to
make up bullshit like the Earth is flat, is such
a terrible thing because like every object you can see
in space, the telescope shows it that things are just
round out there, so we would be too. But the
Moon only showing its one face. It's like it's a
fucking alien shit, bro, Like, don't fuck with me. I
(43:36):
get that, don't.
Speaker 1 (43:37):
We have things that go out into space that have
seen the dark side of the Moon.
Speaker 2 (43:41):
Yeah, but do you trust them? Do you trust them? Rather,
you can find other tidle locked satellites, other tidle locked
moons that only show one face to a planet. It's
just kind of the nature of like how that works.
Sometimes it's not all the time, though. It's just weird
to me that that happens. But yeah, if it hits
on the light side of the Moon, basically everyone who
(44:01):
can look up into the sky and see the moon
that night would see a celestial impact on the Moon
that probably hasn't happened on that scale in human history.
Speaker 1 (44:09):
Okay. See, my fear was that it would knock the
moon or something and then fuck up our tides. But
if it doesn't, then you know whatever, who knows, We
don't know. Take the moon.
Speaker 2 (44:19):
When they talk about the tsunami scenario and the moon scenario.
They do not have a lot on it. They're just like,
tsunami would be bad, Like off the coast would be
really bad. Tsunami would be really bad. And when it
comes to the Moon, they're like, yeah, that would be
bad for the Moon. We're not the moon, though, They
just move on because I think they're more concerned about
our planet. Here's what I will say is that we've
(44:41):
been sending satellites to land on asteroids and take samples
and bring them back for about ten years now, five
to ten years. And we've also had these missions that
NASA's run called dart missions, where they're literally just colliding
a satellite. Our cat has joined us. They're literally colliding
a satellite that functions as a missile into the side
of a celestial object to see if it can change
its pathway it's trajectory, and it does work. And this
(45:03):
is of the size where, depending on how big of
a rocket we shot at it, we could probably nudge
it off track. The one thing I will say that
should provide you with hope, even if you're like just
a really pessimistic person, it will pass by us in
twenty twenty eight without a risk of hitting US, so
when it gets close to us, we can observe it.
We can do a lot better math. We can figure
(45:23):
out its exact size. We can probably find out its
composition to see what it's made out of. So maybe
it's not rock, maybe it's fucking diamonds, and they'll want
to land on behind it. But most importantly, we'll really
know its trajectory and determine with a fairly accurate calculation
whether or it's going to hit us in twenty thirty two.
So once it comes by in twenty twenty eight, we'll
have a lot more information. So I guess stay tuned.
(45:45):
That's really only three and a half years. Is scary ish.
Until I do a recap episode on this.
Speaker 1 (45:52):
All I think of is that stupid song from Armageddon.
Speaker 2 (45:57):
I want to clues mind, I don't.
Speaker 1 (46:01):
Want to lie. It's so fucking Oh.
Speaker 2 (46:04):
My god, that song's theme goes directly in opposition to
what I'm naming this Pigley. Please God let it end
so that my spooky Friends is whatever I decided to
name this topic. I hope you enjoyed it. This just
interested me because I'm like, oh, this might be a
doomsday scenario. It's like nah, it's not well for one city.
It might be we'll figure out who eventually. So don't
(46:27):
make plans to be along the equator in December twenty
second of twenty twenty.
Speaker 1 (46:31):
Thirty two, give or take how many thousand miles.
Speaker 2 (46:35):
I don't know. Actually i'd I would say, just don't
be near the equator. How about that. Just take a
fucking trip somewhere that's north or south, it doesn't matter.
And don't be in the ocean along the equator for
goddamn sure. So all right, that's everything I got. I
hope you enjoyed it. If you have a story you'd
like to share with us, doesn't have to be about
how you landed on an asteroid and we're a deep
sea driller that was convinced to fly up there so
(46:56):
you could blow it up, and so that has would
split in half. I'm just talking about arm again. Still,
it can be anything that's supernatural, paranormal, true crime, extraterrestrial
perhaps or coincidental in nature that you thought was funny,
where you were scared thinking it was one of those
things that didn't turn out to be. Feel free to
reach out to us by emailing story Time at Scarigh
dot com or go to our website scarish dot com,
click on contact us fill out that form. Those do
(47:17):
come directly to us. You can also hit us up
on our social media's. Facebook is Facebook dot com slash
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at scarag podcast Robin. For folks wh would like to
donate to us, how can they do so?
Speaker 1 (47:28):
You can go to Patreon dot com slash scarash podcast
and those are monthly donations with here starting at a dollar.
Thank you to everyone who's been really patient on Patreon.
You guys are absolutely amazing.
Speaker 2 (47:37):
Yeah, we really appreciate it, and uh, I think it's
just about everything we got for episode three oh nine. Sir,
round for my voice dies. Go ahead and say
Speaker 1 (47:44):
Thanks, keep on creeping on and we'll talk to you
guys later about you
Hey, they'res spooky friends and welcome to another episode of
the Scarish Podcast. Oh I'm Robin Grace's SADDEO. I almost
said that.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
I was you funny and then incorrect, and uh.
Speaker 1 (00:25):
We're a podcast that goes over weird true crime, like
paranormal you know, cryptid.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Type, anything that falls in the category of scary ish
ye we cover. So yeah, it was like true crime
and paranormal was our bread.
Speaker 1 (00:39):
Yeah. You know, some things are really scary, but we
like to make them scary ish. We'll make them palatiful.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
Realistically, the world could end tomorrow, we'd still do an
episode of the podcast and try and find ways to
laugh about it.
Speaker 1 (00:51):
So that's yeah, oh yeah. Before we get into the
meat of the episode, we want to give our shout
outs to Fay, Shandon and carl Ola. Thank you guys
for being big supporters of the show. Thank you everybody
who's on our Patreon who supports the show, because you
guys really don't understand how you guys help and support
us and get us through every single month.
Speaker 2 (01:13):
So seriously, there's costs associated with doing the show and
it is hard to do sometimes, but you guys definitely
help mitigate those. So thank you so much, and realistically,
thank you to everyone who listens to us, shares with friends
and family. It really doesn't mean the world to us.
But yeah, we are back again with another fun episode.
At least I hope it'll be fun. It hasn't been
too long since we last saw you, guys. This episode's
(01:34):
only going up a few days late, as you all know,
because I am sure you remember every detail we give
out on this podcast. Yeah, which is a joke. Obviously.
I have this job where as soon as the beginning
of the month hits, everything goes absolutely haywire. So sometimes
it's a little bit more difficult to get an episode
in the first week or the last week of the month.
But we're able to do it this month, so very
(01:57):
thankful for that. But yeah, not a lot. What's going
on with us, mate, No, we're.
Speaker 1 (02:01):
Pretty We're still trying to move in a lot of
I'm trying to get my craft stuff set up so
that I can start making things for our patrons again.
And so it's it's just a process of life, you know.
But we're gonna get things going here. We're just living.
Speaker 2 (02:20):
That's I think it's really You've done pretty well though
with the setup that we currently have. You got like
some new designs or some new merch that was made,
which is super cool.
Speaker 1 (02:27):
Yeah, I got a couple new sticker designs and magnets
and stuff made. I think I showed them on our Instagram.
If you guys ever want updates, I usually will update
the Instagram and stuff like that. So if you don't
follow us on Instagram, head out over and do that. Yeah.
But yeah, so other than.
Speaker 2 (02:44):
That, not a lot, just work on, just working. So
I'm actually kind of excited for this episode. I don't
know what I'm gonna name it yet. That happens a
lot with me, where.
Speaker 1 (02:53):
I don't have a topic name until you finish.
Speaker 2 (02:55):
Until I'm done editing, you know, and then I'm like,
i gotta name it something, So so not sure what
it's gonna be called. I think I told you what
I'm covering this week, do you remember?
Speaker 3 (03:04):
Nope?
Speaker 2 (03:04):
Cool, because it's gonna be fun. It's gonna be all
new to me, all right, So this week I had
to go back to the obvious scarish material that has
been in news recently, and I think this year, the
year of twenty twenty five, I'm really diving into like
current events more because one they interest me and two
we've had some really good material in twenty twenty five
that you know, frankly are scarish. This is a fucked
(03:26):
up year us. I know, it's been a long year
and fucking just got to March first. And uh, sometimes,
at least for me, like I'm struggling for a topic
and sometimes one just falls into your lap. I've covered
things in the past that you would call a real
possibility and then eventually they do happen, Like uh, just
(03:49):
talking about things like the plague you know, going through
like the Spanish flu or whatever, and doing that a
couple of years before COVID, and talking about like how
that would look if it happened again, and like things
that I thought would happen the likelihood of it happening.
And then COVID hit and everyone was like, Adam, you're
you're basically modern day no astra namas. I'm like, I know,
but all I'm saying is for this particular topic that
(04:09):
I'm going to cover, let's hope that's not the case.
But if it does, at least you'll be educated as
to what could go wrong. So, without further Ado let's
jump into this week's topic. And while I don't know
what I'm gonna name it, and the listener probably already
knows because they've seen the title of the episode, I
have at least temporarily called this topic twenty twenty four
(04:31):
yr four. So if you don't know what that is,
you might be wondering what the fuck does that mean? Well,
I'll get a catch your title. Don't worry, but twenty
twenty four y or four is the designation that has
been given to an asteroid that was recently discovered.
Speaker 1 (04:46):
Ah okay, yes, yes, yes.
Speaker 2 (04:48):
When I say recently, I mean December twenty seventh, twenty
twenty four, so like three months ago, like very Actually
it's two months ago, holy shit, like two months in,
like four days, very recently. It was discovered by the
Asteroid Terrestrial Impact Last Alert System in Rio Hurtado, Chili.
And if you're wondering, oof, that's mouthful. Its acronym is ATLICE,
(05:12):
which is pretty fucking dope. It is just an observatory
that searches the skies for anything, any celestial objects that
are moving around that might impact Earth.
Speaker 1 (05:21):
That gives the same vibe as shield shield.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
When I read it. I was like, holy really wanted.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
Was just like, it just sounds like somebody really wanted
us to be named Shield.
Speaker 2 (05:32):
Coulson doesn't say that. That's the first episode of the
Agents of Shield show. Colson's the one that has the
dope ass line where he keeps introducing them as the
full acronym but the full name, and then the end
of Iron Man, she makes fun of them. She's like,
how are things over at the Strategic Homeland? Da Dad,
He's like, just call a Shield because I remember being
in the movie theater in two thousand and eight. I
(05:53):
think that and when he said that, everyone was just.
Speaker 3 (05:55):
Like, oh.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
In Agents of Shield, he Coulson literally says, it just
sounds like.
Speaker 2 (06:01):
I feel like we have to check the clip. We
have to go back, yeah, because I'm pretty sure it's
that guy that we saw doing a Q and A
in Vegas at one of the comic cons that says
it instead of Coulson. But we'll check. And your sister
asked him a question. She has like two questions actually, anyways,
getting off topic, the point is twenty twenty four. Why
are four? Is an asteroid that was discovered two months
ago by this dope ass place called Alice. I wish
(06:23):
the asteroid had a better name, and I'm sure that
it'll get one in the near future. I might may
make a suggestion later spoiler alerts, but it's official name
so far as twenty twenty four. Why are four? If
you're wondering why they get named stupid stuff like that,
twenty twenty four is obviously because it's the year it
was discovered in why indicates that it was discovered in
the second half of the twelfth month, which seems weird,
(06:45):
but I mean that's just how they're doing it. And
the R four means it's the one hundred and seventeenth designation
to be given out in that half of the month.
So it's like very specific. So if you're into this,
like you could know immediately by seeing the name, like
the day it was discovered, or I should say, the
half of the month it was discovered and how many
objects have been discovered in that half of the month.
(07:07):
And yeah, the process to name it is super boring,
but sometimes naming shit is a lame process and it's
best so you don't get things mixed up. You can't
name everything fucking booger aids or eighths booger like and
Rick and Morty age just.
Speaker 1 (07:19):
Saying, Okay, all right, so this this this thing, this
program we have that discovers these objects.
Speaker 2 (07:27):
It's people with Oh, it's people telescopes and ship looking
at like sections of the night sky.
Speaker 1 (07:33):
Ah okay, okay.
Speaker 2 (07:34):
The way it's also in Chili, it's not ours, so okay.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
I for some reason, just the way you described it,
I thought it was like a system, like a like
an object, like a.
Speaker 2 (07:46):
Thing of armaged. Okay, It's a dude with a telescope
who sees a big rock in the sky. And that's
basically what it had. What's happening, except he's not as
much of a hillbilly, and he's not as mean to
his wife. Okay, and he's from Chile.
Speaker 1 (08:00):
Oh, oh my god. Okay, so rock and sky?
Speaker 2 (08:03):
Is there rock in sky? Yeah? The three words that
could have summed up the intro to this episode, There
is a rock in sky.
Speaker 1 (08:10):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
You may be thinking at this moment, just fucking gets
to the good part, and I'm getting there. Jesus, be patient. Obviously,
if I'm talking about this new asteroid, it must be
scary ish in some way, and it really is so
despite only being at most right now, based off our estimates,
three hundred feet across, or the size of a football field,
it does pose a significant threat to us should it
(08:34):
happen to collide with the planet. As I'm sure some
of you know, stuff, even if it's not massive moving fast,
if it hits you can cause a lot of problems
like a bullet.
Speaker 1 (08:45):
Well, I mean, okay, so even if it like glances
off our planet right just on the edge, just hits
it real quick whatever.
Speaker 2 (08:53):
It's not like skipping a rock over lake. That's not
how that would work. We have gravity and shit.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
Hy okay, true, true, true, okay, But I was just thinking,
if it hits our planet, can it throw us off
of our axis?
Speaker 2 (09:05):
You know, And it's not big enough to do that.
Three hundred feet is not quite like Earth moving size.
Despite only being three hundred feet though, like, there's still
some stuff that's important, Like there are definitely other massive
celestial objects. So like, I mean, if you're standing outside,
you're not gonna look up and see a football field
size rock falling and be like, yeah, I hope that
(09:27):
lands on me because it's only a football field. Huh,
fucking get wrecked. Lift, bro. Let's just say this, like
it's traveling right now at just under exceeds just over
thirty eight thousand miles per hour. That's fast, which is
very fast for those of you who aren't good with scaling,
because a lot of times numbers kind of throw people off.
W you're like, thirty eight thousand's not that much the fastest.
(09:50):
Let's just go with this. The speed of sound when
you get a sonic boom break when you're going faster
than sound travels, it's seven hundred and sixty seven miles
per hour. Okay, I didn't know this until just recently
researching this, But the temperature and the humidity and shit
like that can affect the speed of sound. So I
thought it was interesting. But like ideal speed of sound
makes sense most often tested conditions seven hundred and sixty
(10:12):
seven anything that has to.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
Do with speed, and and I don't know, fuck aerodynamics
like it all everything in the air affects it, right.
Speaker 2 (10:22):
Very much like lots of variables that can affect it.
And if you go seven hundred and sixty seven miles
per hour, there's a sonic boom, it's a very loud noise.
You're moving faster than the speed of sound, and you're
at mock one. Seven sixty seven is considered mock one.
If you've ever wondered what mock meant, like mock one,
it's not how many razors you're fucking shaving device has,
(10:42):
That's what it is.
Speaker 1 (10:44):
Okay, in top gun, the new top gun, what.
Speaker 2 (10:48):
Gets to mock ten? Okay, pushes it past that?
Speaker 1 (10:51):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (10:51):
I checked online and this was a very cursory check.
But the fastest man air flight, according to like Google's
AI answer that kicks out really fast, is registered. Fastest
recorded manned flight is mock six point seven to two,
which is around four thousand, five hundred and twenty miles
an hour, which is incredibly fast.
Speaker 1 (11:12):
And this thing's going at thirty six eight.
Speaker 2 (11:14):
Thirty eight thousand miles per hour, which is it's traveling
at roughly mock forty nine point five to two, so
five times faster than Tom Cruise went. Oh and top Maverick,
it's going very fast. Okay. Something that big, which you know,
relative in size a football field, moving at mock fifty,
(11:37):
if it hit the Earth, it would cause an explosion
on the low end, around five hundred times more powerful
than the bomb on Hiroshima.
Speaker 1 (11:44):
What the what?
Speaker 2 (11:45):
So that's an estimate of five mega tons Hiroshima. It's
like it's measured in kilotons. Our bombs have gotten significantly bigger.
So this is actually not like bigger than the biggest
weapon in any country's arsenal, but it's still enough to
essentially erase a fucking city. It's actually it's actually designated
with a status as city killer. There's a kind of
(12:06):
killer city killer, different things. This is a city killer.
At this point, I would like to suggest the name
for the asteroid, which is pg L I E or Pigley.
I like it to be called Pigley. I think it
has a nice catchy ring to it, and it stands
for please God let it end, because I'm just let
this fucking thing get us. So it's not big enough
(12:28):
to solve all of our problems.
Speaker 1 (12:29):
You don't want to name it Jesus take the wheel.
Speaker 2 (12:31):
No, that's a weird acronym. I like Pigley and it's
way easier to say. And from now on I will
refer to the asteroid as Pigley.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
So you're made name for it.
Speaker 2 (12:40):
Oh God, I'm not joking. I submitted a name suggestion
to no, you did not fucking goddamn right, I did.
Speaker 3 (12:47):
Oh only two hundred and fifty characters, by the way,
and they carefully craft my message, So they didn't, you know,
call for a wellness check on.
Speaker 1 (13:00):
Okay, okay, so can so it's it's is it aimed
towards us?
Speaker 2 (13:03):
Okay, we're gonna get to it, Okay, all right, I
mean I'm talking about it, so clearly there's some concerns here.
So there's a bunch of asteroids out there. I mean,
there's a fuck ton and they're only really scary if
they're going to hit us, you know, and none are
on track. We talked about Apophus before, which had like
a percentage chance to hit us, and then it went away. Yeah,
it's like still, you know, minuscule. I'm going to talk
(13:23):
about that a little bit again, just so you have
an idea of like likelihoods and stuff like that. But like,
you should only be scared of these things if you
think they're going to come close. Well, first, let me
say this before we get into this. The odds have
come way down, So I'll spoiler alert at the end
of my topic here. The odds have come way down.
But the first calculations when we discovered this December twenty
excuse me, and December twenty seventh last year, was that
(13:47):
there's a one percent chance that this asteroids going to
hit her on December twenty second, twenty thirty two. Okay,
so in roughly seven eight years. Asteroids are given a
score based on off two things, their size and their
likelihood to hit Earth. So if they're huge and they're
not likely to hit Earth, it's a zero, and if
(14:08):
they're tiny and they're likely to hit Earth, it's like
a zero to one where you're not going to have
much of an impact at all. You know, this has
a score of three, which is the second highest score
ever assigned to a celestial object that's been discovered.
Speaker 1 (14:22):
Because it's huge and there is a minuscule.
Speaker 2 (14:25):
Chance it's big and there's a small chance exactly. And
the scale is literally like the one axis, the y
axis the up and down access is size, and the
other axis is likelihood to hit us. So the further
out you get, like the further up on the graph
you go into the right, the worst it is. Okay,
so ten is the highest, just so you know, this
is a three. A pofice was I think for a
(14:49):
brief moment of four, and it's because it is five
times bigger. But when they found a coffice, it originally
had a two point seven percent chance to hit Earth,
and that earned it a four. It was a four
and out of five, and everyone freaked out about a Popus.
But like immediately people are like, actually, it's not going
to hit us. You know, they lowered its score from
two point seven percent chance, which is really high, really
(15:13):
fucking high odds, to one in thirteen thousand.
Speaker 1 (15:17):
Is that not crazy? That at two percent chance is
really high.
Speaker 2 (15:20):
Percent two point seven percent chance means if you run
thirty three scenarios, you're gonna get hit in one of them.
That is super likely. They lowered the chance for a
Popfas to hit us. I think it's twenty thirty six
to one in thirteen thousand, which if you need a
percentage chance to feel better about those odds, it's zero
point zero zero zero zero seven percent, So still a
(15:44):
very low chance that it's going to hit us, So
not necessarily needing to worry about a popus, But Apopfus
is going to come so close to us, it's going
to go between the Earth and the Moon, and the
Moon's only like two hundred and forty thousand miles away
from Earth, so that's super close. So it can come
so close that Earth's gravity could change its trajectory for
(16:05):
its next pass, which is why a poppus itself is
so scary. And Apopus is named after I think it's
the Egyptian god of chaos, which is a horrifying name
to get a rock, So Pigley is not that scary,
just saying okay, so Apopus was a big deal. Pigley
obviously raised some major alarms at the end of last
year when they're like, this thing is a one percent
(16:25):
chance to hit Earth. That's really high. Let's do what
we did with Apophus. We need to check two major things.
One likelihood of impact right away, we need to see
whether or not it's going to hit. And two if
those numbers don't change, this is something they didn't do
for Apopus as much. Where would it hit? And the
first thing I'm going to say is that lots and
(16:46):
lots and lots of people started working on the math
all around the world that would determine the likelihood of
an impact and after thirty days, so like I think
January twenty eighth was actually when this came out. The
scientific community crunch the number. They all got together, they
talked a lot about it, and NASA announced the new
number of likelihood, the percentage likelihood that Pigley was going
(17:08):
to hit the world, and everyone was like, it's going
to come way down. They always do, and they upgraded
it and they upgraded it from one percent to two
point nine percent, oh wow, which was officially the most
likely an asteroid has ever been to collide with our
planet that we've discovered. And so when that happened, which
was less which was just over a month ago, everyone
really freaked out. That's when it really hit the news.
(17:30):
Before it was like object discovered might be likely to
hit the Earth, blah blah blah blah blah. When it
went to two point nine percent, that's when it started
hitting like worldwide news where they're like, that's when everyone
really started asking where's it going to hit? And a
lot of people are flippant, they're like two point nine
percent is nothing, you know. The scientific community is different though,
they're like that's huge, Like anything above a zero percent chance,
(17:51):
like if you get to the ones is a threat
to humanity, and it freaks them the fuck out, So
they kept crunching the numbers. On February eight, eighteenth, which
is less than two weeks ago, which is around the
time I started researching this topic, they changed it to
three point one percent.
Speaker 1 (18:08):
Oh my, go up.
Speaker 2 (18:10):
So when it keeps going up, people start getting really nervous.
And again, people that are like three point one percent. Whatever,
If you stepped out of your house and I was
just standing in front of you, and I looked you
and said you have a three point one percent chance
you're gonna die today, scary, you'd be scared. You'd be like,
I'm calling the fucking police because this dude's a creeper.
(18:30):
So all that said, the next question where might it hit?
If the three point one percent chance, which I already mentioned,
is gonna come down later, it's no freak out too much.
If the three point one percent chance wound up going through,
where is it going to hit? It was determined that
in the case of an impact pigley, which would approach
they figured out the angle would approach from it would
(18:51):
approach from Sagittarius. I don't know why they have to
relate it to constellations, but maybe, so you can blame
your Sagittarius friends. Sage's Emma right, good approach from that direction,
and the impact would be fairly close to the equator.
It's aiming dead center on us.
Speaker 1 (19:06):
Oh wow.
Speaker 2 (19:07):
So if you have a checker, Instagram or Facebook, I
am posting like nine pictures for this topic because I
have the impact path and stuff like that and some
other stuff will get to later and you can see it.
And it does go over some pretty large countries and cities.
Speaker 1 (19:23):
What side of the world.
Speaker 2 (19:25):
I mean the equator, I mean across our entire equator,
because we're spinning, so we're not sure which side it's
going to hit. But there's a full path laid out
across the entire map of art planet. Okay, depending on
around about time when it arrives. But it puts it
over Colombia and Venezuela, almost directly over Bogota, Columbia, which
is the capital of Colombia, which is a place by
(19:45):
the way that I might be visiting, so that puts
me in danger. It also goes across the Atlantic Ocean, obviously,
it cuts across the middle of Africa, threatening plenty of cities,
Lagos being one of them. In case you don't know
what Lagos is. Lagos is a major dropo and it
has twenty one million people in it, so that's a
lot for a city killer. Other notable cities are Mumbai
(20:07):
in India that has twelve point five million people and Dhaka,
which is the capital of Bangladesh, which has another twenty
one million people. So a lot of people in harm's way.
And that's a lot of incredibly populated cities that are
at risk. So it's just like, Okay, this is going
from bad to worse. When I went through this, it
also had me wonder like what would happened if it
hit in the ocean, And that was a really fun
(20:29):
rabbit hole to go down because depending on the impact
site and the type of impact, things would be very different.
Speaker 1 (20:37):
Lot of.
Speaker 2 (20:39):
Here's what we're gonna do. I'm glad you brought that up.
I'm gonna cover the scenarios in the case it does
collide with our planet. So the first scenario it impacts
on land, it strikes the earth earthquake with the aforementioned
five megatons. Unlike an atomic bomb in this specific case,
(21:00):
if it hits the Earth, it's not detonating in a
massive fireball. There's gonna be a lot of dust and
debris and rock that also gets turned up in it.
There likely would be some form of combustion based off
the sheer energy it's releasing.
Speaker 1 (21:15):
Well, because it's hitting the Earth, right, there's gonna be
reverberations through the ground.
Speaker 2 (21:20):
You're really locked in on this Earth. Yeah, there's not
a cause, like, hang on, I'm gonna get there. I'll
feed you, baby bird, don't you To Robin's point, the
impact that it would make on the planet.
Speaker 1 (21:39):
That's the most that's the creation.
Speaker 2 (21:44):
You're fucking asshole. That is not cringey. That was funny, Okay,
all right. The impact crater, it would would be between
one point two and one point five miles wide, so
it's very big. And as a side note, I took
an average from a bunch of different websites, huh, just
saying like impact scenarios what it could look like. And
then I found a really fun website called Neil n
(22:05):
El dot Fun and I selected Asteroid Launcher because it
has this like calculator innet that people use a lot. Okay,
and I just made this asteroid and I started smashing
it into our planet. Stop it, and I picked cities
that I know that I've lived in to get a
better scale of the damage. So I was like, rather
than just describe it with sheer numbers, all the images
(22:26):
I'm gonna post that will pair with this next section
I'm about to go through are specific to the wonderful
city of Las Vegas.
Speaker 1 (22:33):
Well, what a deep dive. Let's go.
Speaker 2 (22:35):
So, although we talked about five megatons, a lot of
websites listed as like eight or twelve. It varies differently
depending on a lot of variables, because that's what varying is.
One thing is composition. It's likely to be a rock,
and there's a lot of different types of asteroids it
could be. And I'll get to this in a little bit,
(22:55):
and that's going to be a little bit important here.
But if we have an impact, you change the angle
of the impact. That can also adjust, and I just
put it at forty five degrees because that seemed the
most likely based off what I could find on NASA's
website and all these documents I was going through and
the simulations I ran kept coming up with numbers around
twenty megatons, which I did see on some other websites.
(23:18):
So take this what it's worth. Obviously I'm doing this
on a website. NASA is probably gonna be a little
bit more reliable. But I did the simulation where ground
zero is the intersection of Las Vegas Boulevard and Fremont Street. Okay,
because I fucking hate Fremont Street. It's my least favorite
tourist trapped to go to. So I was like, let
this be where it lands. Obviously Vegas is not like
(23:39):
in the line of fire here, so I just thought, like,
I know this area really well and it'll help me
kind of visualize it. So if you're seeing these pictures online,
just know the epicenter is that intersection. It's Fremont Street.
It's right right where you see that fucking tunnel. Everyone
looks up and it's seeing the video board, and you
keep fucking running into them because they wont get out
of the godamn way when they stop to look up
because they're drunk.
Speaker 1 (23:58):
Tell us how you really feel.
Speaker 2 (23:59):
I hate it so much? So AnyWho, did you.
Speaker 1 (24:03):
Know there's the sorry off topic, there's a restaurant there,
the heart Attack Waiver Place, Yes, where they will feed
you for free if you're over a certain weight.
Speaker 2 (24:13):
Yeah, And then people like have heart attacks.
Speaker 1 (24:15):
There a lot What the what?
Speaker 2 (24:17):
Yeah? I used to see like articles always roll in
where it was just like another person like has an
ambulance call because there was a cardiac episode. At the
name of the place is like the cardiac oppers.
Speaker 1 (24:26):
It's called the heart attack Grill.
Speaker 2 (24:27):
There's a fucking scale outside of it. You can just
walk up and weigh yourself to see whether or not
they're going to feed you for free.
Speaker 1 (24:31):
What the fuck?
Speaker 2 (24:33):
Yeah? Anyways, if this is that's the intersection too. It's
right on that intersection. So if this place gets hit,
it's around twenty seven mega tons from what the Internet
is telling me. So let's just talk about the damage here.
So it would create a crater that's one point five
miles wide, so I already kind of mentioned that. But
the crater would also be fourteen hundred feet deep, very deep.
(24:54):
The shock wave would be two hundred and thirty three decibels.
Speaker 1 (24:57):
Okay, describe to me what fourteen hundred feet deep is?
Speaker 2 (25:02):
Iight wink?
Speaker 1 (25:04):
No, I like, okay, what.
Speaker 2 (25:06):
Builds about the size of the Sears Tower.
Speaker 1 (25:08):
Okay, So all right, got it.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
Yeah, it's about how deep it is. The shockwave would
be two hundred and thirty three decibels. For reference, a
jet engine with unprotected ears is one hundred decibels.
Speaker 1 (25:21):
And this is how many does.
Speaker 2 (25:22):
Two thirty three incredibly loud. If you're wondering what kind
of a shockwave besides the sound, would do, I'm gonna
tell you. Anyone within three point six miles of the
impact site that restaurant would have severe lung damage from
the blast wave alone. Wow, your lungs, your your fucking
lungs would likely collapse just from the shockwave.
Speaker 1 (25:44):
And my ears would be bleeding.
Speaker 2 (25:46):
I'm gonna keep going. Anyone within four point seven miles
would have their ear drums rupture or you know, explode
within your head. Any buildings within eight point two miles
would collapse. Any homes within eleven miles would collapse. So
Fremont Street is the impact site, this area would encompass.
This impact site where all these things are going to
(26:06):
be affected, would en compass the entirety of Las Vegas,
basically Northern Vegas, Eastern Vegas, all the way up into
the mountains, Green Valley, Paradise, Spring Valley, Summerland, the northern
part of Henderson. The shockwave alone, the concussive blast from
the impact would kill around seventy six thousand people. Wow,
the wind that would be created and I had no
idea this is a thing. The wind that would be
created from the impact would also be completely devastating where
(26:30):
the asteroid struck, which you wouldn't really need to worry
about because you basically would be vaporized. You'd be like
a fucking fart in the wind. It would be around
five thousand mile prior winds just instantly blowing out from
like where this impact site hit.
Speaker 1 (26:42):
So what I'm imagining is that, you know when you
watch videos of them doing atomic testing and all the
everything gets blown back.
Speaker 2 (26:50):
Yeah, that's what.
Speaker 1 (26:50):
I'm imagining, without the face melting.
Speaker 2 (26:54):
I think true lies, remember true lies, how they actually
detonate the nuke on the island with no one on it,
and like Arnold and everyone's like, don't look at the flesh,
don't look The fla goes off and like they have
their eyes up and they can see the mushroom clod
in the distance, and then the wind hits them and
like blows their hair, like that really ominous scary wind.
They're fucking thousands of miles away from it, you know,
(27:14):
and they still get hit with the wind. At ground zero,
the wind would be exactly two hundred and seventy three
miles per hour two point four miles away. The wind
would be one thousand miles an hour four miles away
five hundred seven point one miles away two hundred which is,
by the way, in e f five the strongest, the
beginning of the strongest of the tornadoes. I think that's
actually like one fifty five. They downgraded it. Anyways, within
(27:36):
twelve miles of the epicenter, all trees would be flattened
in a direct line pointing away from the impact site.
The wind blast alone would, based off the population, be
estimated to kill around three hundred and ninety one thousand people.
Speaker 1 (27:50):
Damn.
Speaker 2 (27:50):
Yeah, the earthquake, the thing you've been waiting for.
Speaker 1 (27:54):
Let's go.
Speaker 2 (27:55):
The earthquake. It would trigger would be a five point
four of characters skin.
Speaker 1 (28:00):
I mean it could be worse.
Speaker 2 (28:02):
It would be felt up to fifteen miles away at
still a five point zero intensity. The outskirts of the
earthquake would still shake at that five pointzero magnitude, and
there's no telling how far it would ripple or if
it would trigger other events because super close to the
San Andrea's Fault.
Speaker 1 (28:17):
Earthquakes are a strange thing.
Speaker 2 (28:19):
Yeah, they're scary.
Speaker 1 (28:20):
They're scary, but like the other I know, the other day,
I was sitting there and I just felt it felt
like something pushed the house, you know, and Adam thought
it was something else, But I was like, that's fucking weird,
and so I asked him, you know, a couple of
days later, I'm like, did you feel that like earthquake
or whatever? The other day that we had, it felt like,
(28:41):
you know, the house moved and it was just like
one shove. It wasn't like shaking a whole bunch like
I was like doing.
Speaker 2 (28:47):
Something at the time and I thought I just lost
my balance.
Speaker 1 (28:49):
Yeah, it because I was sitting there. I just felt
like we got shoved. And so I think that's what
earthquakes are so weird, because there are some that you know,
shake and you're just sitting there, and one's just a jolt.
Speaker 2 (29:02):
Yeah, it's like when it starts to slide, it hasn't
gone yet.
Speaker 1 (29:05):
What So with this one, would it be a jolt
or would it be.
Speaker 2 (29:09):
Like it would be like a good rumbling as the
earth settled from the impact of a thirty eight thousand
mile per hour football field falling on all right, So
it wouldn't just be.
Speaker 1 (29:17):
It, But that's the sound it makes.
Speaker 2 (29:20):
Yeah, obviously this would be a devastating city killer style impact.
Las Vegas would essentially be gone. That's if it hits
the ground. If it's an air explosion like in the
Tunguska blast, which I covered in episode one oh two,
things would be different. That's where it enters our atmosphere
and before making contact with the ground, it blows the
fuck up.
Speaker 1 (29:41):
But it's a rock.
Speaker 2 (29:42):
I should mention that when ground impact happens the scenario
I just ran, they're more likely when it's like made
of metal. So I looked up. I had to. I
had to switch it up to make it an iron
asteroid to get it to have a ground impact. When
I set it to rock, which is what it's classification is,
it always gave me an air impact, which is what
they would expect to happen in most scenarios if this
(30:05):
thing does hit.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
Us, So how can they How do they know what
it's going to be made out of before it hits.
Speaker 2 (30:10):
They just zoom in really close and they're like that
looks like rock to me. They can't confirm it until
it gets closer to us, so we can take samples off.
Oh okay, okay, which we can do now arm again.
But now that you know Pigley is a stone type
most likely, so we should obviously fight it with water.
Speaker 1 (30:25):
Oh my god.
Speaker 2 (30:27):
But it doesn't mean It does mean that it would
be likely to blow up before it hits the ground.
Just for scale. The Tungusco blast, which is obviously something
that happened in like nineteen o eight nineteen oh seven,
is very legendary, and that was approximately between twenty and
thirty megatons. They're not quite sure. All they know is
the devastation that they've been able to decipher over the years. Afterwards,
(30:47):
the simulation puts Pigley's explosion at twenty six mega tons,
approximately seven hundred and thirty five feet above the ground. So,
like I mentioned earlier, the Sears Tower is like fourteen
just over fourteen hundred feet. If you're like going all
the up to the top of the antennacy, it's like
seventeen hundred feet. Seven hundred and thirty five feet off
the ground is halfway up the Sears Tower basically so
it's not very high for a twenty six mega ton
(31:09):
explosion to happen. So if we're still talking about Vegas,
the shockwave stats are still very similar. So I'm not
going to go over those again. The thing that you
really need to go over for an air blast is
the fireball. So I just heard Pitbulls fireball song kickoff.
I'm not gonna put that in there. The fireball itself
would be one point two miles wide, so about the
(31:30):
size of the crater that a ground impact would leave
would be the size of a giant ball of fire
in the sky. Suddenly. Okay, that alone would cause nine
hundred and ninety six, nine hundred and thirty seven people
to die.
Speaker 1 (31:43):
What the what?
Speaker 2 (31:44):
Because I mean, it's gonna burn with such an intensity
that like you can buy a bonfire where you're like
twenty feet from it someone like ports Gas and you're like,
oh good hot, all of a sudden, imagine a fireball
that's over a mile wide.
Speaker 1 (31:54):
I've never experienced that.
Speaker 2 (31:56):
Yeah, you wouldn't be talking to us if you did.
Speaker 1 (31:58):
And now I'm talking about the bonfire.
Speaker 2 (32:01):
Okay, well you're lame. Anyone within seventeen miles of this
fireball would have their clothes instantly catch on fire. You
would burst into flames, your clothes would just be like, oh,
that's it for me. And even if you survived, you
would be on fire. Anyone that would be suffering third
degree burns from the fireball would be well outside of
(32:22):
Vegas all the way into Boulder City. If you were
on a boat on any part of Lake Mead, you
would have third degree burned. The Hoover Dam, which is
kind of far away. That's far away you would have
third degree burns. It crosses over the border into Arizona,
and it goes even further for second degree burns. It's
about twice the size of the diameter of your clothes.
Catching fires around thirty five miles, which you know, basically
(32:42):
means all of Vegas is gone, like its entire population
except for some stragglers, would be dead. All trees within
thirty seven miles would burst into flames, if not, you know,
vaporized immediately because they're closer to the center. And I
think all trees within twelve miles would be knocked down,
so they would not only be on fire, but they
would be on the ground. So if you were a
survivor and you're trying to navigate within Las Vegas. They
(33:05):
would be burning trees, laying down everywhere, not that it
would matter, but the folks in the vaporize section will
get hit with wind. In this case that's twenty five,
six hundred and forty two miles an hour.
Speaker 1 (33:16):
So it would just blow their dust away.
Speaker 2 (33:20):
It's I never really like separated wind from shockwave, you know.
And this is a cool simulator of like how you
can die that does exactly that. And I found it
very fascinating going through and seeing like all the different things,
Like if I was like superheat resistant, you know, if
i'd like my ring of protection on from fire, like,
I'd still be dead because it's just there's so many
other things from an explosion that are gonna get you.
(33:42):
And when you know all the different ways that you're
going to die, now imagine walking out having that knowledge
and me telling you there's a three point one percent
chance it hits today. Three point one percent starts to
sound higher, higher and higher. The more you know about
how you can die. The death toll in Laws of
Vegas in this scenario is mitigated substantially by Las Vegas population,
(34:05):
which is just above one million people. So when I
say that like nine hundred ninety seven thousand people would die,
it's because that's what the website has is like Las
Vegas population.
Speaker 1 (34:14):
Basically, it just estimates where everyone would die.
Speaker 2 (34:17):
So it's kind of horrifying. If I kept everything the
same and went with the most likely scenario, a three
hundred foot asteroid made of rock having an air detonation,
and I switched it to one of the cities that
it is going to travel over, like Daka, which is
the capital Bangladesh, and I centered it on the soccer
field that's in the middle of the city because that's
(34:39):
roughly the same size as the asteroid itself. It does
change the nature of the strike. Twelve million, three hundred
and seventy thousand people would die from the fireball alone.
Another twelve million would have second to third degree burns.
The people who would be lucky enough to survive would
see this lush, green area, which you know, the closer're
(35:00):
into the city, it's not as green but outside it's
just beautiful, would basically be turned into a barren, fiery hellscape. Wow,
And it would not change for a substantial amount of
time from a death toll perspective alone, the most likely
scenario in one of the likely places would be the
biggest natural disaster in the history of humanity.
Speaker 1 (35:18):
And how quick does it happen?
Speaker 2 (35:20):
Instantly you'd see it come in and then boom, just
it's an explosion, you know, as fast as sound and
wind and fire and heat travel through the air. Yeah,
is how long it would take for this to happen? Wow,
it's crazy because like the most the highest death toll
for a natural disaster was a flood in nineteen thirty
(35:40):
one in China that killed just under four million people
and took place in the course of several days because
of the flooding that happened because of dam burst, which
is a lot of the times the case with natural
disasters in China. This would not take days. This would
be in an instant So it's horrifying to think about.
And that's the impact and the air burst scenario over land.
(36:01):
So now we get to the water strike part because
you're asking, like, oh tsunamis technically speaking, a water strike
would be all the water strike scenarios hold the best
case scenarios.
Speaker 1 (36:14):
But if it hits the water, you have all of
the marine life in the water dying off.
Speaker 2 (36:20):
I think we can all look at each other. If
you have anyone around you, just look at them and
say fuck them.
Speaker 3 (36:25):
No, no, no, no, saying the ocean's a big place.
Speaker 1 (36:28):
I know, but it's like you all.
Speaker 2 (36:30):
Have a substantial ecological impact. Yes, for that area of
the ocean it hits. We will probably not see it
impact us.
Speaker 1 (36:39):
Our food source would be affected, maybe it might.
Speaker 2 (36:44):
The ocean, I need to remind you, is huge. It's
thousands upon thousands of miles wide, and this would affect
an area of roughly like forty miles in diameter. So
let's go over the different scenarios you can understand what
you should root for. The first scenario is it hitting
in the middle of the ocean with an air burst
where it doesn't actually hit the water, it blows up
(37:05):
in the sky. That is by far the best case scenario.
Any boats in the area would obviously not agree with me.
They'd be like, ah, I'm dead and that'll be it.
But it would basically have a human death toll of zero,
and there wouldn't.
Speaker 1 (37:18):
Be there were no cruise ships or anything, And.
Speaker 2 (37:20):
Obviously you'd probably want to steer clear if you knew
an asteroid was along this path, I wouldn't take a cruise.
It's like asteroid cruise like, cause then you're just asking
for it. But realistically, it's a thirty five to forty
ish diameter area that you need to avoid in the
middle of the fucking ocean. Imagine being stranded on an
island and then you get hit by a fucking asterid.
They'd be like, I get a God, you fucking hate me.
(37:42):
If it's an air explosion, which it would be likely
to be, there wouldn't be There wouldn't be a tsunami
wo basically blow up over the And the only thing
I think about is like, what is in the rock
that scatters down into the ocean? I thought about that
a lot too. With like an ocean impact, You're like,
what about the fish? And I'm like, what about the
ecological impact from some that might not be from this
planet suddenly being in our water. There'd be some problems
(38:04):
obviously associated with that, but not necessarily as many as
if it hit a fucking city that has like twenty
one million people in Yeah, So the wonder root for
ocean airburst middle of the ocean air burst. The next
would be middle of the ocean impact, which is what
I think happens in deep impact, but I've never watched
that because I'm more of an armageddon guy. So if
(38:24):
it does hit in the middle of the ocean, the
waves in that area and significantly further out would absolutely
be fucking massive. But because the ocean is so big,
they said, if it hits in the middle of the ocean,
none of the waves are going to get to the coastline. Okay,
they settle before they get there. When you have tsunamis,
it's because the ocean floor moves, so the water has
(38:45):
to be displaced all the way to the coast.
Speaker 1 (38:47):
If there's a land impact right on a coast, You're.
Speaker 2 (38:53):
Getting way ahead of me here, Okay, I have more scenarios. Okay, Okay,
So the middle of the ocean impact, it'll be okay
as long as you're not within probably several hundred miles
of the impact site, because you will see fucking waves
like you wouldn't believe. An air burst near a shoreline
would be a spectacle to behold. But as long as
(39:14):
it's at least forty to fifty ish miles out, the
risk would be blindness essentially for anyone watching. It's like
that picture, like Trump looking at the eclipse. He would
not want to do that for this, just saying this
is not something he doesn't want to fall directions on.
Speaker 1 (39:28):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (39:29):
The disturbance to the water wouldn't result in a catastrophic
tsunami because it's above the water. But it may result
in like some form of wave or tsunami that would
come in. But it wouldn't just keep keep going like
it does with a tsunami, where basically the ocean just
comes in. This would just be like a singular event
versus like the displacement of all of the fucking water
come in. Okay, so that one's not as bad. But
an impact off the coastline in the ocean would be
(39:53):
the worst water strike scenario because it would result in
a tsunami of catastrophic proportions for all the nearby coastlines. Yeah,
it wouldn't be like a tsunami where the ocean floor
changes where it runs all the way to every coast
because that's just how water works. It would be like
that mountain face that sheared off in Alaska and fell
into a lake that caused like a fifteen hundred foot
(40:16):
wave that like just devastated everything nearby. It's an isolated incident,
but it's still catastrophic, especially on the scale it would
be if you know, this thing were to hit. So
that's the worst water strike scenario. So everyone just root
for it to blow up in the sky in the
middle of the ocean, away from fucking everyone. That's what
you want to root for.
Speaker 1 (40:35):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (40:36):
That said, let's get back to the three point one percent.
So as of eleven days ago, that was the chance
that was going to hit in twenty thirty two December
twenty second, twenty thirty two. Three point one percent is
the highest chance for any object we've ever discovered, So
it makes sense that everyone would constantly be checking the
math on this and checking it again and checking it again.
(40:58):
As of February twenty four, seven days ago, which happened
after I already started researching this topic, that number was
reduced substantially. It is now zero point zero zero four percent. Okay,
so way smaller, still pretty fucking high. Still pretty high.
Speaker 1 (41:17):
Man, I mean zero point zero zero four.
Speaker 2 (41:19):
You said zero point zero zero four.
Speaker 1 (41:21):
That's not that bad.
Speaker 2 (41:22):
It's not that bad. It is. I think someone did
the math. I lost the article I couldn't find it.
It's still like one hundred and twenty thousand times more
likely than Apophus to hit us or something crazy, because
Apophus is like zero point zero zero zero zero seven
or something like that. And it's absolutely horrifying to think
that Apopfus was a one in thirteen thousand. I think
(41:43):
it actually might have been mixed up. I think it
might be Apopus is like one in one hundred thousand,
and this is one in thirteen thousand. I think that
actually checks out a little bit better. I have to
check the math on that. Zero point zero zero four
percent is obviously way more of a relief. That said,
it's not like that means it's not going to come
anywhere near us. I mean it's still gonna come within
five hundred thousand miles of us with current projections, and
(42:06):
there's a margin of air there that in twenty thirty
two it'll pass between us and the Moon. Also, so
that would mean we have two asteroids that come between
us and the Moon in four fucking years, and that's
horrifying because they can have their courses changed by our
gravity when they do that. And also there are a
fuck ton of satellites that are rotating around our planet
(42:28):
that it would come within range of and most likely
just fucking scattered to the winds as it hits it.
And the last thing I'll say is that I mentioned
this earlier. The Moon is only two hundred and forty
thousand miles away, which means how I said, like, there's
a range where they could be wrong, there's not a
margin of air. It means that Pigley's chance of hitting
the Moon, oh okay, is still one point seven percent.
Speaker 1 (42:51):
And if it hits the Moon, that's going to be
absolutely devastating.
Speaker 2 (42:56):
It shouldn't be devastating because of Pigley's size, unlike the
hides as if a bigger like Apophus, I'm pretty sure
would cause devastating impact on Earth even if it hit
the Moon. This one, we should just witness something absolutely
fucking crazy like a piece.
Speaker 1 (43:12):
Of the moon, just unless it's on the dark side.
Speaker 2 (43:14):
Unless it's on the dark side, which the Moon is
tidal locked, so we'll never see the dark side of
the Moon, which is kind of crazy to think about.
Like for the conspiracy theorists out there who want to
make up bullshit like the Earth is flat, is such
a terrible thing because like every object you can see
in space, the telescope shows it that things are just
round out there, so we would be too. But the
Moon only showing its one face. It's like it's a
fucking alien shit, bro, Like, don't fuck with me. I
(43:36):
get that, don't.
Speaker 1 (43:37):
We have things that go out into space that have
seen the dark side of the Moon.
Speaker 2 (43:41):
Yeah, but do you trust them? Do you trust them? Rather,
you can find other tidle locked satellites, other tidle locked
moons that only show one face to a planet. It's
just kind of the nature of like how that works.
Sometimes it's not all the time, though. It's just weird
to me that that happens. But yeah, if it hits
on the light side of the Moon, basically everyone who
(44:01):
can look up into the sky and see the moon
that night would see a celestial impact on the Moon
that probably hasn't happened on that scale in human history.
Speaker 1 (44:09):
Okay. See, my fear was that it would knock the
moon or something and then fuck up our tides. But
if it doesn't, then you know whatever, who knows, We
don't know. Take the moon.
Speaker 2 (44:19):
When they talk about the tsunami scenario and the moon scenario.
They do not have a lot on it. They're just like,
tsunami would be bad, Like off the coast would be
really bad. Tsunami would be really bad. And when it
comes to the Moon, they're like, yeah, that would be
bad for the Moon. We're not the moon, though, They
just move on because I think they're more concerned about
our planet. Here's what I will say is that we've
(44:41):
been sending satellites to land on asteroids and take samples
and bring them back for about ten years now, five
to ten years. And we've also had these missions that
NASA's run called dart missions, where they're literally just colliding
a satellite. Our cat has joined us. They're literally colliding
a satellite that functions as a missile into the side
of a celestial object to see if it can change
its pathway it's trajectory, and it does work. And this
(45:03):
is of the size where, depending on how big of
a rocket we shot at it, we could probably nudge
it off track. The one thing I will say that
should provide you with hope, even if you're like just
a really pessimistic person, it will pass by us in
twenty twenty eight without a risk of hitting US, so
when it gets close to us, we can observe it.
We can do a lot better math. We can figure
(45:23):
out its exact size. We can probably find out its
composition to see what it's made out of. So maybe
it's not rock, maybe it's fucking diamonds, and they'll want
to land on behind it. But most importantly, we'll really
know its trajectory and determine with a fairly accurate calculation
whether or it's going to hit us in twenty thirty two.
So once it comes by in twenty twenty eight, we'll
have a lot more information. So I guess stay tuned.
(45:45):
That's really only three and a half years. Is scary ish.
Until I do a recap episode on this.
Speaker 1 (45:52):
All I think of is that stupid song from Armageddon.
Speaker 2 (45:57):
I want to clues mind, I don't.
Speaker 1 (46:01):
Want to lie. It's so fucking Oh.
Speaker 2 (46:04):
My god, that song's theme goes directly in opposition to
what I'm naming this Pigley. Please God let it end
so that my spooky Friends is whatever I decided to
name this topic. I hope you enjoyed it. This just
interested me because I'm like, oh, this might be a
doomsday scenario. It's like nah, it's not well for one city.
It might be we'll figure out who eventually. So don't
(46:27):
make plans to be along the equator in December twenty
second of twenty twenty.
Speaker 1 (46:31):
Thirty two, give or take how many thousand miles.
Speaker 2 (46:35):
I don't know. Actually i'd I would say, just don't
be near the equator. How about that. Just take a
fucking trip somewhere that's north or south, it doesn't matter.
And don't be in the ocean along the equator for
goddamn sure. So all right, that's everything I got. I
hope you enjoyed it. If you have a story you'd
like to share with us, doesn't have to be about
how you landed on an asteroid and we're a deep
sea driller that was convinced to fly up there so
(46:56):
you could blow it up, and so that has would
split in half. I'm just talking about arm again. Still,
it can be anything that's supernatural, paranormal, true crime, extraterrestrial
perhaps or coincidental in nature that you thought was funny,
where you were scared thinking it was one of those
things that didn't turn out to be. Feel free to
reach out to us by emailing story Time at Scarigh
dot com or go to our website scarish dot com,
click on contact us fill out that form. Those do
(47:17):
come directly to us. You can also hit us up
on our social media's. Facebook is Facebook dot com slash
scarish podcast, Twitter is at scarig pod, and Instagram is
at scarag podcast Robin. For folks wh would like to
donate to us, how can they do so?
Speaker 1 (47:28):
You can go to Patreon dot com slash scarash podcast
and those are monthly donations with here starting at a dollar.
Thank you to everyone who's been really patient on Patreon.
You guys are absolutely amazing.
Speaker 2 (47:37):
Yeah, we really appreciate it, and uh, I think it's
just about everything we got for episode three oh nine. Sir,
round for my voice dies. Go ahead and say
Speaker 1 (47:44):
Thanks, keep on creeping on and we'll talk to you
guys later about you
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