4/12/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson. Hey, we'mer really low.

Speaker 2 (00:10):
Welcome to Love in Las Vegas for the Baseball Be
Named Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the
Bes Family Podcasts. We've gotten excellent podcast for us. Join
me in segment number two the one and only Andrew Kaylee.
He does great workover at Covers. He's going to be
covering a little bit of everything for me as we
take a look at what we've gotten out of the
Al East as far this season. Is a man north

(00:31):
of the border out there in the country of Canada,
so I have to check in on the Blue Jays
what is slash is not working out well for them?
And we'll take a look at a few games for
Friday with him as well. In the final segment, Gonna
get you guys picks in analysis on every game on
the betting board for this Baseball Friday as we touch
them all. If you do have a question, come at
segment idea what have you for this podcast? You do
have one of tways to be out far though sent

(00:51):
first one is my Twitter slash x timeline at you
and at under scorty one keep in mind learns GM
namy does that matter, so, as per usual, please send
these into the timeline and the other He's find an
Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast five stars,
it is very much bretiate them from there. You're able
to fire in whatever you'd like to hear on this
podcast via that five star review really didn't get in
any Twitter slash next questions today. But we had a

(01:12):
great day of baseball on Thursday, unless if you're a
fan of the Boston Red Sox, let's take a look
back at it, trying to find the trends, try to
get to know all these teams a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:21):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 2 (01:25):
Alanta Braves continue to be the top over team in
all of baseball, and typically it's because they're doing a
great job of putting back to ball. But on this
day it was a New York Metropolitans that we're able
to do so sixteen to four, they absolutely walloped the
Alanta Braves. As for the New York mess, they had
an expected batting average according to Baseball Spot, about twenty
points higher than their actual batting average coming into this

(01:47):
one and Positivity's truck Tygerne Taylor. He goes up for
our grand Slam off a position player Luis Galome home
run number one season and DJ turning up Stewart. It
has been a miserable season from but he has got
home run number two of the campaign that comes off
of Allen Whynus sou and he was whining about this one.
Seven to runs, six of which were earned, given up
in five innings, including that home run. Dylan Lee gives

(02:09):
up three un runs from there, hurt by a pair
of varus out there in the field to other mansick
he's had a rough go of it, gives up two
runs in an ning and then Galreme gives up that
grand slam and his ending of work. And for the
Inlanta Braves, they go four of eleven with ben and
scoring position, but even though they had that, they weren't
able to really touch up Ose Kaitana for the Superheart
Ed's Kaitana gives up three runs over the course of

(02:30):
five and a third dings, but cut the contact relatively light.
One and two thirds nding scorer is from there, Andrew
Smith and Tyler j in his MLB debut. He gives
up one run over the course of two innings. Young
twenty nine year old, Yeah, twenty nine is typically pretty old.
We're making your debut. Nice to see him be able
to get out there. He had a relatively good go
of it. This has been great for the Oakland A's
eight and two on the run line in their last

(02:52):
ten games, have won four out their last five. They
take down the Texas Rangers one to zero. The Rangers
must have just won it in this one. Jp Sears
was tremendous six and a third ending scoreless Lucas hervisage,
Mason Miller scirreless settings. From there, Austin Adams pair boutside
of the bullpen, and Seth Brown was the lone form
of offense in this game. Goes zep off of John
Gray in the second inning for his first home run

(03:14):
season and for fifty five games of John Gray. This
was a fine start. He gives up that home run
nine straight cuts at five innings. That's not bad. Ose
Reina two squirrel settings Jordan lants two squirrels settings. But
for the Texas Rangers, absolutely nothing doing on offense as
far this season as they've actually played more unders than
overs eight hundreds to five overs as far this season

(03:34):
for the Texas Rangers. That's not the biggest underrat in baseball.
That actually belongs to the New York Yankees, who have
played nine hundreds, three overs and a push as far
this season. Though things have been quite overwhelming for the
Baltimore Orioles six overs, four hundreds and two pushes and
Ardikane were grt a pickup. The Orioles on the money
line looked to be in great pair early on they
get down to to zero in this one. They were

(03:56):
able to get a solo run early on in the game,
as you had Colton go deep for his first home
run season off of Garrett Woodlock, and that'd be Garrett
Woodlock's low mistake. He goes five innings, gives up that
Solomon run. From there you get two squirrels settings out
justin Slayton Julie Rodriguez. He gives up an under and
run in two thirds of editing. There was supposed to
be a double play turn and that was Cole so
as Greg Weiser comes into the game and then he

(04:18):
allows a home run to Anthony Santandre, his third home
run the campaign. From there, you would have Connor Wong
be able to be mister Wright. He was able to
go deep for home run number one of the campaign
that comes off of Danny Columb after Gras and Rodriguez
allowed two runs at the first inning, but that's all
you'd allow in five and two thirds innings. Take aim
Web from there, broughts out of the bullpen scoreless. Columb
gives up that solom run in his two thirds fediting

(04:40):
of work, but he near Cano gets it out of
the bullpen to the surprise of myself. Craig kimberl a
scrore of setting and Mike Bauman gives up an under
and run in the tenth inning. And this was the
second time in two days we saw a team lose
by five plus runs in extra ending, says Gunnor. Anderson
goes epof of Isaiah Campbell, and so does Kowser Causer
a second home run season. Anderson is third. As for Campbell,

(05:02):
things just went completely Ryan Extras. Prior to that, Yeah,
Kenley chance to get a pairabouts out of the bullpen, though,
thanks were Harry fram But for Campbell gives up six runs,
five of which we're earned, including two bombs in the
tenth innings, so bkn now we're right at pickets and
the Orioles say get the sweep in this one, as
they are now eight and four straight up in the
Philadelphia Phillies. Has been a little bit of rough season
for them at the point, but they're able to get

(05:23):
right against the Pittsburgh Prior to say get this win
by kind of five to one, they've played eight hundreds
of just five overs as far the season. As for Pittsburgh,
not a lot doing against Ranger Swarez gives up just
two is in six coirrel of settings from their unior
Marte of the Marte parte squirrel setting. Nickdelson goes for
two innings, he gives up a run and for the
Philadelphia Phillies three of home runs as Colin Olderman gives

(05:44):
one up to Bryson Sutt his first arm run season,
then mister Jones give up home run number four of
the season to Brandon Marsh and then Elec Bohm was
able to take him deep for his first arm round
the season as Jared Jones gives up those two runs.
Six and a third endings gives up three runs, all
which were earned and then for the Holderman gives up
that home run, two runs, one of which was earned,
given up in two thirds of winning of work, but

(06:05):
for one hundred strand and is able to come in
hold down the fourth for a squirrels setting, and then
he saw the Kansas City Royals just absolutely rup down offenses.
Astros team has been very much playing to the under
this far as the season. Eight hunderds, five overs and
a push, but they're just four and ten. Worst start
we've seen from the Asters since they were in tank
Bote thirteen to three. Royals absolutely royally just down the

(06:26):
Houston Asters front of Brown, two thirds of Enning. He
gives up nine runs off which were earned. You gotta
send him down to the miners. I mean, man, he
is in bad for him. He gives up a home
run in this one to Bobby with junr his third
home run the campaign. Then he would go deep off
of Brian and Brady for his fourth home run. The
campaign is bothen. From there did their best. Brady does
give up three runs in an ni and Rafael montto

(06:48):
He gives up a run in an ending as well,
but he had Taylor Scott come in for two squirrels
satings Seth Martinez two and a third ning scoreless, and
then he had Gray Kissinger, the backup third baseman, come
in for a score setting and said, Astros, you did
have home run number three of the season off the
bat of Yanni r Diaz. That goes up of Brady Singer,
who did have the Astros taking the blues. He gives

(07:09):
up just that solim run over the course of five innings.
Sick Anderson does a lot of two runs in two
thirds of nighting. But that's how I was able to
fill two ending scoreless. Jordan Lyles the squirrel Is setting,
and an Ell Zetipa he was able to give you
a Squirrels signing as well. So we had a pretty
wild day of baseball on Thursday, a very overwhelming day
of baseball. Three overs at two hundreds with one game
going very very much under the total line. If you're

(07:30):
looking over off for the season, ninety four overs at
eighty six unders, I believe we've had like nine or
ten pushes along the way, but overstarting at a fifty
two point two percent clip favorites on the money line
hitting at just fifty seven point three percent. It has
not been a great year. If you've been taking money
line favorites and for favorites on the run line, they
have covered just thirty seven point two percent of run
lines as far this season. And if you're looking at

(07:52):
home favorites on the run line, well they're forty two
and eighty eight. That has been in a less than
terrific to say the least. So that's what we're seeing
baseball right now. And that's what we all got on Thursday.
Now let's turn it forward to Friday, and let's take
a look at the American League East with our good
friend Andrew Kaylee of Covers. We'll do that next right
here on the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,
now a part of the Visa Family of.

Speaker 1 (08:11):
Vodcasts, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson, and we'll.

Speaker 2 (08:24):
Back your love you Las Vegas. But Baseball Betting Shoe
with myself Greg Peterson now part of the Visa Family
podcast and it is great to be joined by this
man as Andrew Cayley. He does absolutely tremendous work. O
Brat Covers say, going to look at this great game
of baseball that we all know and love. Top of that,
I know that he's doing a tremendous job ga except
for the upcoming college football season. Great time a year
for him, as I know that he is a big

(08:45):
golf guy as well as a master's a tradition unlike
any other. He is doing a tremendous job on that
front end. Or he's able to catch his bat flip
and pick of the day that is dedicated to the
Toronto Blue Jayson. You know he's posted that up on
his Twitter slash x feed over at covers underscore Kaylee.
That last name it's spelled C A L E Y
and Andrew. It's always pleasure, my friend, Thank.

Speaker 3 (09:06):
You, thank you for having me. I'm always excited talk
some baseball betting with you, buddy.

Speaker 2 (09:10):
Absolutely always glad to have you aboard. And first things first,
how about if we do start with your favorite team
of the Toronto Blue Jays. Says it has been a
little bit up and down for them, and I think
it's fair to say despite the fact that they've dealt
with some injuries in the bullpen, Jordan Romano currently being
out of the fold Eric Swans and being out of
the full pitching has not been bad other than both
in France, it's really regressing from last year. But that said,

(09:31):
it's been the offense that just has not been able
to get online. What have you made out of this?
Because I'm thinking over the last few years, maybe we
did over eight some of these guys in the Blue
Jays lineup, but even if we overrated them a little bit,
I still feel like they should be performing better than
what they have to this point.

Speaker 3 (09:46):
I think they are performing exactly how anyone who has
followed this team the last two plus three seasons has
expected ever since, more specifically in the last two seasons,
when they made the conscious decision to move away from
having power bats in the lineup, like and getting rid
of Lordus Gouriel and Gabriel Mourinho for defense in Tulton varshow,

(10:08):
which looks like just a horrendous trade at this point,
trading away Tioscar Hernandez for Eric Swantzon a move that
you maybe could have done something else, like maybe traded
Alejandro Kirk if you had a surplus and catchers, instead
of trading your top catching prospect for a reliever. At
that point, the Jays made a conscious decision to improve
their defense, and they're gonna say starting pitching and defense

(10:30):
is gonna win, but they have to score some runs.
And I'm sorry, but the lineup, once you get past
Justin Turner in the lineup, it's just you're hoping somebody
can produce for you. Is it gonna be Alejandro Kirk
He has one of the worst hard hit rates in
baseball right now. It's not gonna be like Kevin Kiermer,
guys like Bigio. He's gonna be streaky as always. You've

(10:51):
got these young guys David Schneider and Ernie Clement who
you don't know really what you're gonna get from them.
They have some chances for success, but then you see
their teams kind of figure out how to pitch them,
and then they can go cold for a while. There's
just a lot of what ifs with this team. Like
you said, the guys who we have maybe overrated a little,
the Vladdies, the George Springers. We won't say we've overrated

(11:12):
bo He's been quite good. Still, those top four guys
need to be on for them to be successful, and
they haven't been to this point of the season. I
just saw a shift here. Greg. The other day, I
personally was like, oh geez, the Blue Jays are still
like kind of favorites to make the playoffs, like you
will go to some markets either minus one twenty minus
one thirty is still make the playoffs. In the last

(11:33):
like twenty four hours after that loss to the Mariners
and extra innings, they are now minus one twenty to
not make the playoffs. And that's kind of what I'm
seeing right now. This is a team that's giving Isaiah
kinder for left with too many at bats, like they're
expecting a ton of at bats out of him, and
they're expecting a ton of at bats out of guys
like that. I love Danny Jansen, who just hit a

(11:55):
grand Slam for triple A Buffalo the other day, and
the Jason need Danny Jamsnson. But the fact that I
have to say that the Jays need Danny Jansen, like
that's a problem. That's roster construction, and that goes to
the front office. That front office is digging in its
heels and saying, hey, we've made the right decisions here,
when it clearly looks like for the last season and
a half it has been the wrong decision. So the

(12:16):
Jays two missed the playoffs at minus one twenty. I
think we kind of missed the boat at the plus money.
I might not bet it at minus one twenty now,
but I think that's the way they're trending.

Speaker 2 (12:25):
I do agree that the Blue jay z Danny Janson
because he went to high school in Appleton, Wisconsin, beer
miles away from where I went to high school, the
Appleton West Terriers, the alma mater of my mom. She
went to high school there. So yes, I do agree
that they need Danny Janson. But I'll did agree. Man,
while we're talking about Danny Janson, that's sort of a
light Yeah, that's a little bit rough, as showed me

(12:47):
on the show. We do have Andrew Kayley, who does
tremendous workover at covers. And just what do you make
out the division right now? Because much like last season,
in my opinion, one through five, it was the toughest
division in all baseball. Might not have had the best
team in all baseball, but just in terms of overall balance,
it was there. I feel like we might be talking
about that once again this year. Granted, the central divisions

(13:08):
about the NL and the AL are relatively balanced as well,
but I do think that the overall talent itself a
little bit higher in the Al eas Sid. I just
take a look one through five a team like the
Red six, so I think we'll finish shorts the bottom.
I feel like they'd be a real contender out there
in the AL Central, and I do think that that
might be a little bit of the undoing of the
Blue Jays as well.

Speaker 3 (13:26):
I think you're right here, Yankees currently the favorites about
close to even money now plus one oh five plus
one ros. It's way too far, Greg, one hundred percent.
I couldn't believe it when I was like, Okay, let's
do a little research before I pop on here, and
oh my goodness, Like I can't believe that line is
what it is now. Well, yeah, the Yankees are off
to a really good start ten and three. That pitching

(13:47):
needs to get way, way, way better at this point.
They need to hope that Carlos Rodon can kind of
find that magic he had a couple of years ago.
And obviously they need a healthy Garrett Cole. It's sounding
like that elbow injury isn't as serious as once feared,
but you never know in these situations like maybe he
starts ramping up again and it kind of like he

(14:08):
gets that weird feeling again. Without Garrett Cole. I don't
think this team can go far make a long postseason run,
but they're gonna win a lot of baseball games right
now because that lineup is really, really good. I think
the acquisition of Juan Soto was the best move in
all of baseball this offseason, and I think that's even
more so than the Dodgers acquiring show Heyo Tani for

(14:29):
this year specifically. Obviously, over the long term, I would
say that's probably Otani, but for this year, I think
Sodo to the Yankees is the most impactful move that
any team made for twenty twenty four season. It's really
really helped out that lineup. Obviously, he's already gunned out
a guy at home, but it's good to have him
hitting in front of Judge there. And they're just a

(14:51):
really dangerous lineup at this point. But like I said,
that pitching needs to get better. Right now. They're in
twenty sixth in expected FIP. Like it's bad. The bullpen
isn't great besides Clay Holmes basically, and they're just gonna
have to outscore teams at this point. But we were
talking about them being priced that high. That's I think
an overreaction, and early on I came on last time,

(15:12):
we're like, oh, the Orioles are overpriced. Well, now they're
down to plus two twenty five and I think they're underpriced.
Now they're just seven to four on the season, but
they already have a better run differential than the Yankees
do by about eight runs. They just called up Jackson Holiday.
That lineup just got better, the defense got better. It
looks like Grayson Rodriguez has made that next step in
his development that they were kind of hoping he could do,

(15:34):
and having him be like a solid number two behind
Corbyn Burns, which looks like another fantastic move. Like they
needed an ace, they got an ace. He looks outstanding
right now for the Orioles and he's gonna give that
team so much confidence going forward. Bullpen once again is
going to be really solid for the Orioles. Like now
that this line has shifted, I love the Orioles at
that price, So I think that's the best bet to

(15:56):
win the division right now. The Rays five to one,
six to one. I think that's probably the best value
bet at this point. I'm never going to count them
out until they consistently show us that they're not going
to play good baseball. But that just hasn't been the
case with Kevin Cash there and that scouting department and
that talent development department that they have there. They just
keep churning out dudes, so little value in the Rays.

(16:17):
But I think the bet right now is the Baltimore Orioles.

Speaker 2 (16:19):
Yep, I'm right there with you, and we shall see
how the Orioles do as we're doing this prior to
the game against Boston Red Sox on Thursday with old
Grayson Rodriguez taking them out. So we're going to be
checking in there and we are going to be seeing
all those ALA East teams be in action on Friday
as well as Andrew Kaylee does great work. All right,
Covers is joining me right here on the Baseball Bytty Show,

(16:40):
and we do have some interesting games that are going
to be going down as well, And just want to
start it off right here. How do you take a
look at this Blue Jay series against the Kyrad Rockies,
Because you've got Kevin Gosman on the mound. He is
a Mondo favorite, And I mean, if we see the
Blue Jays not be able to pull out most of
the games in this series, and is very very fair

(17:01):
to be pounding the alarm and having everything go off
in the back of our heads about this team. But
I think that this should be a little bit of
a get right spot for the Blue Jays after and
a lot of strange ex around in games in their
series against the Seattle Mariners.

Speaker 3 (17:14):
Yeah, it's a I think it is a get right
spot in the sense that they could win the baseball games,
but I don't think it's a get right spot in
the sense that this team will be trending in the
right direction in terms of being a contender for to
win a World Series. Gosman, he's still kind of, I guess,
on a bit of a pitch count right now. They
have to be very careful with him. This velocity has

(17:35):
been down a bit since he's returned from that spring
training injury, which isn't great because he likes to elevate
fastballs to go along with that awesome splitter of his,
and an elevated fastball with not the velocity that he
used to have on it is a batting practice pitch
and you need to hit pretty hard sometimes, so I
think it's interesting in the sense that, like, what are

(17:56):
we going to get out of Kevin Gosman. I'm not
going to be laying these more than two dollars price
tag with the Blue Jays in this one. I might
look at their team total. I'm obviously not a believer
in Ryan Feldner. Maybe the over in this one, over
eight would be something interesting, even though the Rockies tend
to not hit as well away from home. But I'm

(18:17):
a nervous as a Jays fan. It makes me nervous
to see how Kevin Gossman will actually perform when he
goes out there. So maybe over eight is the play here.

Speaker 2 (18:24):
Yep, I'm right there with you, because I do think
that even though I've been talking about the Blue Jays
struggling out the plate, they might be able to get
eight runs all by themselves. This Rocky team is terrible
with their pitching. Ryan Feldner is sadly not their worst ARB.
He is actually far not their worstar, and that should
be very concerned if you have any sort of hope
whatsoever in the colrade Rockies, and certainly I think we're

(18:46):
going to be seeing a few more, shall we say,
competitive games out there as well, and I do take
a look at this game and it is one that
captures my eye just a little bit as well, as
we are going to be having the Texas Rangers and
the Houston Astros doing battle, as the Astros are team
has really still coming out of the gates, so I
will say it feels like almost every year we just
expect the Astros to struggle a little bit. They are

(19:07):
minus one thirty favorite JP France on the Mountain, But
after seeing JP Fran saying well north of a four
or five VRA and home last season, I don't feel
good about laying this sort of a number with Houston Astros.

Speaker 3 (19:19):
While the Astros stumble a bit out of the gates,
this is a little more concerning because the pitching has
just been so bad and it's been everything besides maybe
I guess you could make the case for obviously Blanco
has been the standout with that no hitter and then
a great follow up performance as well. But overall, the
Astros heading into this game against the Rangers, they rank

(19:41):
dead last in the major leagues and expected fit. The
bullpen has been extremely bad and the Rangers are still
doing what the Rangers do. They rank third in baseball
and weighted runs created plus that lineup looks like it's
even might arguably be better than last year. And like
you said, Jp France, he's may two starts this year.

(20:01):
He's given up fourteen hits in just over eleven innings,
a bunch of walks in there, not a great strikeout rate,
and I just think he could be feeding the Mangers
some meat balls in this one. I know Dane Dunning
is kind of like kind of asbout as a met
pitcher as you can get. I expect him to go
six innings and give up about three runs, but I
think that'll be enough for this one. I kind of

(20:23):
like the Rangers and his underdogs here.

Speaker 2 (20:25):
Yep. I'm right there with you and Dane Dunning. He
was able to get her Dunning much more on the
road than he had in past years last year as well.
And want to just open it up to you. We
do have a few games are off the board because
of the rain out that we saw in the Brewers
versus Red We've got a few pitching changes out there,
We've got a few tvds just with all the pitching
injuries that we've been seeing in general. But that's that.

(20:45):
Anything else that you are taking a look at.

Speaker 3 (20:47):
For Friday, I think this matchup between Pablo Lopez and
Trig Scoople will be really really exciting. Got a low,
low total here of seven, and I think I might
go over it. Lopez has been solid, but he hasn't
been as dominant as kind of we'd expect. He's good
to give up a couple of runs. The Twins bullpen
no dran obviously, and that has hurt them quite a bit.

(21:10):
I think that number is just a little too low
for this matchup, considering the way the Tigers have been hitting. Obviously,
the Twins not doing much hitting right now, but I
think that number is just a little too low, so
I would lean over in the Twins and the Tigers.
Another matchup I would look at here is obviously the
Yankees and the Guardians. Carlos carrasco veteran guys still going there.

(21:31):
Ten and three Yankees versus the nine and three Guardians.
I do like the Yankees here in this spot. I
think I'm gonna look at the Yankees over their team total.
More specifically, the Guardians are nine to three this season.
Their schedule has included four games against the White Sox,
a series against the A's, a struggling Twins team, and
a struggling Mariners team. So I don't know how much

(21:51):
we can take away from the Guardians at this point.
So I think that the Yankees can kind of jump
over old mister Carlos Carrasco.

Speaker 2 (21:58):
Yeah, Carlos Carrasco is long the two. This is not
the guy that we saw like five to six years ago.
And class here with the New Yorkmetzi was one of
the worst pitchers in all of baseball. So I do
agree with you there, and I always love being able
to get you a board Andrew. You do such great
workover it covers, and it's a busy time of year
for you. You're doing a great job on the NBA
front game prepared for some football, take you a look

(22:20):
at golf and so much more so, let the good
people at home know what's all on tap for you
and how people can fall on on social media and
other platforms.

Speaker 3 (22:25):
We'll just follow me along at Twitter or x It's
covers underscore, Klee, that's c A L E. Y follow
me this weekend. I'll be posting Masters picks all weekend.
Obviously we're underway now, but I'll have some mid round
picks obviously throughout the weekend. Baseball bets every single day
as well. And Hey, the NFL Draft is coming up,
and NFL Draft betting is quick quietly becoming one of

(22:48):
my more favorite betting events of the year. Lots of
noise in NFL Draft betting, but if you can drown
it out, I think there's some value to be found
in betting the NFL Draft. So really looking forward to
that at the end of the month.

Speaker 2 (22:58):
Yeah, Ben, it's all about getting good information with the
NFL Draft. You don't have to have watched these guys
in college for like every single snap or anything like that.
But if you're following the tea leaves, if you're following
those beat reporters, you can make some good money if
you're able to get that information right. And one of
the best sports sources of information out there is our
good friend Andrew Kayley, who does such great workover Red Covers.
So big thanks m for joining me on the Baseball

(23:20):
Beating Show now part of the Vson Family podcasts, and
coming back to this that time of the podcast and
give you picks in analysis out every game on the
betting board for this Baseball Friday, as we have come.

Speaker 1 (23:29):
Off breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson, and we're banking.

Speaker 2 (23:42):
Let me Las Vegas for the Baseball betting Shoe with
myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Vson Family Podcast.
Always great to be joined by Andrew Kayley. He does
amazing workover at Covers taking a look at this great
game of baseball. He's very busy man preparing for the
upcoming NFL season, doing great work on golf. So much
more so, big thanks Andrew for joining to me in

(24:02):
the last segment. Now it is that time of the podcast.
They give you picks in analysis an every game on
the betting board for this Baseball Friday, as we touch
them all.

Speaker 3 (24:10):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and the total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (24:16):
Do you know that as per usual, any changes there
made to these plays will be listened up on my
Twitter slash x feed at gen and Underscore ety one,
And as per usual, we are going to be going
in lost excitation or this is where we go to
the Nation League games first, then the American League games,
any injured league games, those are going to be at
the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, neat, clean and easy. So,
without further ado, let's have been on this first game

(24:38):
of nine fifty one. I'm fifty two on the card.
It is the Pittsburgh Pirates y throw. They're facing up
against the Philadelphia Phillies. Billy Felter hopes to not live
up to his name for the Pirates, and Christopher Sanchez
is on the bump for the Phillies. Phillies between minus
one sixty two minus one sixty five favorite seeing straight
minus one fifty six out there as well, plus one
thirty six plus one fifty. That number on the Pirates

(24:59):
sign is over his minus one fifteen. The under is
minus one oh five. Won a lay up to a
minus one sixty four on this Phillies money line. If
you're looking to lay a run half, you're getting between
about plus one twenty. I'm seeing a straight plus one
thirty out there, and at plus one thirty is just
enough for me to pull the trigger on laying a
run half. It has been a pretty miserable start for
the season for the Philadelphia Phillies offense. Not going to lie.

(25:22):
They didting up five runs on the board yesterday, but
I do think that these guys are going to be
busting out if you take a look at more of
the advanced numbers. They've been a little bit unlucky at
the plate this far this season. Not going to go
as far as to say that they are like the
level of say the Miami Marlins, who have been batting
average of two oh four and I expected two forty
six batting average, but should expect things to be taking

(25:42):
up ward a little bit. Bryce Harper, he had that
three on run game, but past that, he's sitting right
around the Bede's lineup two unner Kyle Schwarber, He's not
known for moving the line, but you expect a little
bit more power out of him. It's been Brandon Marsho's
really been putting back to ball four home runs, sitting
above a three. He's been rock solid. But the bottom
of the fold. Even though you know that you're not
going to get anything out of you on Rojas with Mayfield,
you to expect the guys one, three, eight to be

(26:04):
a little bit better and for the Pirates, very hot
start to the season for them. You do have to
wonder if this young team is going to run out
of gas a little bit and if there's gonna be
some inconsistency. Michael A. Taylor has had a career year
thus far, giving you about a three seventy five on
base have to love what you've seen out of Honio Cruz,
Bryan Reynolds. These guys have been able to supply multiple
home runs. Reynolds has given you about a three fifty

(26:24):
on base played. Approach overall against both rights and lefties
has been solid. And I do take a look about
these bullpens and both have been a little bit up
and down to begin the season. For the Phillies, they
just always start out a little bit slow. I have
no idea why, but straight thing to bingiez Osel Varado
has been a little bit rough for them. But for
the Pirates, I'd like the world as Chapman David Bennar
in the back half of the bullpen. Ose Rnandez has

(26:45):
been rock solid as well. But with Bailey filter he
actually used to pitch for the Philadelphia Phillies, and I
think that is going to be to his disadvantage. When
you see guys that are pitching against their former team,
it either goes really really well or it goes really
really awful. There's a lot of in between. But with Falter,
even though he doesn't give out a bunch of walks,
last season, his walks per nine rate it was right

(27:06):
around about two point two. He's still had a five
thirty six are five to twenty five fielding impen because
he just gives up rockets they're out. S career has
given up about one point seven home runs per nine
and he's not too much of a swing and miss guy.
Flip side. You've got a Philadelphi Ahilies unit that I
do think that they are going to be able to
get a excelid start out of Christopher Sanchez, who last
year he gave you about a nap straight cuts to
two walks per nine and he's he's pretty much in

(27:28):
advanced form in my opinion of Bailey Falter, he has
given out four walks thus far the season. But I
do think that sant Chez going to be able to
go out there lend a relatively good start in with
the Pittsburgh prior Sandal with injuries to the likes of
Ryan Burrooki in company. I do think that the Phillies
find a way to be able to get the job
done by multiple runs. I did some my total at
an eight point seven. I do like the overall upside
of Christopher sant Chezz And it's a little bit cooler

(27:49):
out there in Philadelphia and the a Phillies have had
a little bit of a tough time inning, and I
do feel relatively said about this Pirates bullpen, so I
like the under end. The Phillies laying a run half
nine fifty three, nine fifty four were on the many board.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road facing up against
Miammy Marlins. Trevor Rodgers goes for Miami. Max Freed is
on the bull for Atlanta. Atlanta is between a minus
one seventy six minus one ninety five favorite between plus

(28:11):
one fifty four to a plus one sixty five year
number on Miami. AF is a total over and under
both at minus one ten. I'm gonna be taking a
look at the over. I did something total at an
eight point seven. And for the Braves, if you're looking
to lay a run and a half with them, you're
gonna be laying about minus one ten with that juice.
I am more than willing to do so. I was
willing to go up to a minus one twenty. Miami
is one of the more pitcher friendly ballparks out there
in baseball, but Trevor Rodgers just has not been able

(28:33):
to take advantage. He was very limited last season. He
was only able to get out there for about four
or five starts. Has come back this season, and it's
not like he's been great. First starty he goes out
there at home, he gives up four walks in five innings.
He did not look sharp. And you go back to
the entirety of his twenty twenty two campaign. He had
a four to ninety four ERA at home. He was
giving up north of a one point four home runs

(28:55):
per nine at any rate. He was able to get
some solid swings and misses, but all oh no, Trevor
Rodgers just seems to be missing vocation a lot. He
just has never been able to develop after he had
that nice twenty twenty one season, And for Max Free,
you have to have your concerns with him. He has
given up eleven runs and five innings as far this
season with none of them being earned. Not the sary

(29:15):
that you were looking for. He's never been like an
overpowering swing of this guy, but has always been able
to do a nice job but being able to hit
his spots, has relatively solid command, and thus far this
season it's been a little bit rough for him after
he was limited to just fourteen starts a season to
go as well. You have to wonder how much lingering
issues are taking old there, and you've got an Inlanda
Braves team that they're just simply ripping the cover off

(29:36):
the ball. Even yesterday they had a solid offensive performance.
They lose that game sixteen to four, though, because the
pitching was just not up to stough to say, he says,
you just take a look at this lineup. Each out
of your top seven hitters in terms of overall at
bats are all giving you at Lisa three thirty three
on base all but one of them, and Austin Riley
giving you at least a three point fifty three on

(29:56):
base percentage. You've got each of your top five hitters
in terms of overall at past have been able to
apply multiple home runs. Marcelo Zuna is up to five
at Olsen has been able to give you three bombs.
OSSI I'll be sitting above Threer and Bron Raccooney Jr.
He's only hitting at two thirty three, and as you
have to get his first home run this season, you
know that he is going to be able to get online.
Jared Kelnick has been rock solid and for the Miami Marlins.

(30:17):
I alluded to it just a minute ago. This Marlins
team overall for the season is hitting at two o four.
If you go to Baseball Savanta expected batting averages at
two forty six. We should see a little bit of
positivity for this lineup. I don't know if we're going
to see it for the pitching. But Jake Berger three
home runs, he's hitting about a two sixty. That's been
rocks out. Luis Rias is only hitting at two fifty.
You gotta expect that it's going to be going upward

(30:38):
a little bit. Josh Bell, jash Islam of Visio, Garcia,
a sus Sanchez all hitting below the Medo's line two hundred.
Not saying that these guys are going to be amazing,
but you should get a little bit more moving forward.
The issue that you've got for the Miami Marlins. Is
the bullpen you lose from last year? A guy like
a Steven Okurt, A J. Puck was very reliable in
the bullpen. He's now a starter. So you're looking at
Andrew Nardi, Uscarbaro Zoben trying to be some of your

(31:00):
top guys. I like George Shouriano on the length that
he's gonna be able to lend bud for Trevor Rodgers.
Can he give you those five to six solid endings
to be able to get there? I don't think so.
And I do think that the Atlanta Braves after the
guy completely shell act yesterday, they bounced back with a
nice convincing win. Here I did somebody total an eight
point seven, so Len had the over and the Braves
laying a run half on the run line nine fifty five,
nine to fifty six on the big board. The years

(31:21):
on the Diamondbacks players to the Saint Louis Cardinals. Steven
Matts goes for the Cardinals. Brandon Fott is on the
bump for Arizona. Arizona between a minus one fifteen to
a mice one twenty five favorite plus one oh five
plus one ten is your number on a Saint Louis
total Ons game is nine over his mines one fifteen.
The under his mines one to five here in a nine,
I'm gonna be looking at the over. Stephen Mattz has

(31:41):
actually been really really good since the All Star Break
in twenty twenty three. Pre All Star Break he had
a four to sixty one year a posts All Star Break,
he was able to lower that to a two seventy five,
and I think that he actually lends a relatively good
start here. The bigger reason why I'm going to be
fading the Saint Louis Cardinals here is that Bullpen. I
just cannot get over how inconsistent I think it's gonna

(32:03):
be this season. Ryan Helsley was relatively sawid with a
Hull Star appearance two seasons ago, was banged that much
of last season. But when you're trying to rely upon
guys like Andre Polante, Ryan Tepera, Giovanni Gegos, Ryan Fernandez,
that does not put you in a relatively get spot.
And I do think that for Steven Mats after he
has come out and as Lend died, two very good

(32:23):
starts as far this season ten and the third innings
Bluck seventy four era across them. I do think that
we're gonna see a little bit of regression here, not
necessarily the world's greatest. So you missed guy in for
brianon Fought. You could tell that he was a different
pitcher after the ulcer break last season. Prior to the
altar break, he was a big giant fate for Fought.
He had north of a seventy ra his first time
around when he got called up to the big league bubble.

(32:44):
That dropped to a sub three to seventy five that
second time around, and that's far the season. Has given
up six runs to ten and two thirds innings, but
five of those runs came against the Atlanta Breay is
very very understandable there and he's been able to do
a nice job getting thirteen strikeouts to just one walk.
The command has relatively said this swinging this stuff is
coming along for the ride as well. But he does
have to go up against the Saint Louis Cardinals. Seem

(33:04):
that I have a feeling that they're going to erupt
and has been a rough start to the season for them.
They're rinning at two nineteen as a collective A field,
look at more of the expected numbers for them, they're
expecting batting average. They are hovering more in that neighbored
of about a two thirty one, which I still recognize
it's not great, but at the same time they've been
a little bit unlucky at the plate. Nolan, Aernatto, Paul Golchmian,
they've had pretty miserable seasons as far. With both of

(33:26):
these guys. Give you a sub three hundred on base
and a combined one home run, you've got to feel
like that's going to be going northward. Brendan Donovan's on
a solid job being able to move the line, but
he does have some rather unsavory Holman roads plays, Evon
Aureira Wilson catres at the catcher spot. I have a
combined five home runs and these have really been your
top guys as far. A Nolan government has been able
to give you a little bit of boom as well.

(33:47):
But you're banking on some of these young guys like
Jordan Walker Victor Scott to be able to pick it up,
and I do think that they're going to be able
to do so. But at the same time you've got
an Arizona Diamondback scene as averaging more than six runs
per game at home. This offense looks very very good,
as Katel Marte l the Maarte Parte Long Florida Scariel
both give you about a three fifty five on base.
Both they're to be able to give you three home runs.

(34:07):
Christian Walker has been able to go out and has
had three home runs as far as this season. Corbyn
Carroll is off to a relatively bitestrian sert as well.
He's only been able to supply at one bomb three
thirty three on base, But you know that that's going
to pick up, and you know that he's gonna be
able to steal a bunch of bags when he does
get on base. And but the Diamondbacks, it's sound like
Dave necessarily got the world's greatest bullpen. Either Luis frees
Me got the castro. These guys are not so great.

(34:28):
I actually like Bryce Jurfiss, a little bit of a
long guy. Ryan Thompson does a solid job, and Scott
McGough was one of the more unlucky relievers in all baseball.
But I think that the Saint Lewis Cardinals, after it's
been a rough search of the season for them. They've
got so many veterans that are going to be able
picking up, and I do think that the air is
in the Diamondbacks. They continue to click with regards to
their offense. So here to nine, I'm going to be
taking a look at the over. But I also do

(34:49):
like the Diamondbacks in the spy. I just feel like
they're hitting is in a little bit of better form,
and I do think that this is going to be
a little bit more of an offensive game, So might
total nine point three. I like the over, and I
like the Diamondbacks on the Lenni line fifty seven nine
to fifty eight on the bank board, the Slam Diego
Pottery sit the throat to face off against the La Dodgers,
as it's the King Michael King going for the Potters
and Yeshchinobo Yammi Moto is on the bump for the Dodgers.

(35:12):
The Dodgers are between minus one eighty five minus one
ninety favorites. Meanwhile, plus on sixty four to plus one
seventy five is that number on San Diego. Eight is
a total over his minus one ten to minus one
twenty two unders any between even and minus one ten
and I'm going to be taking a look at this,
sobtle overright. It's a total and at eight point four.
Michael King has been nothing short of tremendous since getting

(35:33):
a starting opportunity in like August early September with the
New York Yankees. If you look at his last eight
true starts, so this takes out the bullpen appearance that
he had in Seoul, South Korea against the LA Dodgers.
That was a very unique circumstance. I feel like that
would be unfair to have that included here. But he's
got an era that is hovering right around about it
to too. Has done a nice job of not issuing

(35:54):
a lot of walks. His strikeout numbers are still so
pretty much like they were out of the bullpen, so
I like I'm seeing there And for Yummy Moto. Ever
since he had that rough start in South Korea, he's
going to combine ten innings in his last two starts
against the Cubs and the San Louis Cardinals give it
up five bits no runs. Now the question becomes, is
he more of that guy that we saw out in
Soul or the guy that we've seen in the last

(36:15):
two starts. I tend to lean somewhere in between. And
for the Ellie Dodgers, this is one of the better
bullpens that you're going to find in the big leagues.
They did lose a few guys like Victor Gonzalzen company
in the off season, but I like what Evan Phillips
is able to do in the closer spot. Ryan Brazier
has been really good since coming over from Boston. I
like Danny Outson as well. Now Joe Kelly is always
a role that ice. I don't feel necessarily the world's

(36:36):
greatest about Connor Brognan as well. But the Dodgers, they've
been able to do a nice job in terms of
rehabilitating careers on that bullpen. Meanwhile, for the San Diego Padres,
you want to be avoiding Johnny Brito for all possible,
but they pick up Janni Perolta and Jodebol Sanchez to
be able to pick it up with regards to that bullpen,
and I do like the way that the Padres are
approaching things at the plate right now. You've got a
pair of guys in Many Machado along with Fernando Tattis Junior.

(37:00):
Even though you've got one soda on the fold. This
is a fearsome deal with right now, Tatis really holding
up his end of the bargain much more than Machado.
Machad just a three to eight on base with two
home runs four bombs with about a three thirty three
on base for Tatiso, he's been making a few wears
out there in the field that's been negative to the team.
But you need to get a little bit more out
of Xander Bilguard's He's only about a two forty right now.

(37:20):
But Luis Capisano has been produced at the play rixon
Profar has been solid. I like Jackson Merrill is a
young guy, about a three eighty eight on base out
of him. It's a functional San Diego Potters lineup. And
for the LA Dodgers, as we know, this is a
death star. When it comes to being able to put
back to ball, you've got to Oscar and his Mookie Bess,
who both have been able to supply between four and
five home runs apiece. Shoyotani, after he was sealing with

(37:41):
the stuff off the field with his interpreter, felt like
he needed a few days to get over and boys,
he over it. Hitting above three hour and three home
runs he has been producing in this lineup. Freddie Freeman
as necessarily been providing a lot of just overall pop,
but he's finding a way to move the line. He
will Smith both give me north of a four arm base,
and Will Smith is right now leading the leg and
batting average of four to twelve. Certainly that'll be falling downward,

(38:02):
but you need to get a little bit more from
the bottom of the fold. Key Caronandez, James Outman, Gavin Lux,
Chris Taylor. These are guys all eating below the windows
time two hundred and these are two of the top
three teams from a season ago in terms of locks
strawn on a praa basis as well. So I do
think that the Batters I certainly going to be there.
I do think that Michael King actually gives a little
bit of a better start here than ya Momoto. I

(38:22):
do think that the Dodgers are over all the better team.
But getting this big of a plus price, I think
that we've gone a little bit too far. I was
willing to think a plus one sixty six are higher
with pottery. So I'm gonna be looking at the money
line of San Diego. I do think that both of
these bullpens might have a tough time with both of
these lethal offenses as well. So I did something told
at eight point four. I like the over, and I
do like the padres on the money line nine fifty nine,

(38:43):
nine to sixty. On the bank board, it's a Detroit
Tigers and the playoffs the Mineseta Twins. Pablo Lopez is
on the bump for the Twins and Drake Scoble is
on the bump for Detroit. And Detroit does find themselves
as in between minus one twenty two to minus one
thirty favorites, and here you've got between plus one oh
five plus one twelve. That number on Minnesota seven is
he totally. The under is minus one twenty and the

(39:04):
over is Even when this game was pulled off the board,
we were seeing a few six halfs out there. I
don't know if we're going to be so fortunate this
time around, but I'm still going to be taking a
look at the over regardless. Didn't really make too many
adjustments to my handicap. I'm still going to be riding
with the Detroit Tigers, much like I was doing when
this was the matchup we were supposed to get yesterday.
I did some my line at a minus one twenty

(39:27):
eight in this spot, so wouldn't want to go anything
more than minus one twenty seven. But I look at
Treik's scuba and what he's been able to do at
home throughout his career. He's got an ERA that's more
than a point lower at home rather than on the
road throughout and with you with Tyreek scuba and what
he's been able to do over the last we're going
to call it about twelve or so months since he
came out the injuryless. When he's been at home, he's
been absolutely dominant. He did have that rough start against

(39:48):
Oakland a few days ago, but Pas said, guy's been
an absolute wizard at home since returning off the injurreless.
His ERA is hovering right in the neighborhood of about two.
So he has been tremendous on that front. He's able
to give you about time strikeouts per nine innings. And
for Pabla Lopez, he's been one of the more unlucky
pitchers in all baseball over the last twelve plus months.
Ever since he joined the Minnesota Twins, he's been able

(40:08):
to do a nice job, but be able to really
ramp up those strikeouts. He's hovering right around about ten
punch outs per nine ennings. It's not like he gives
out a ton of locks or anything like that as well,
it's command it is relatively solid. He's been giving out
ever since joining the Minnesota Twins in that pocket about
two point one walks for nine and ennings. But he's
got a field independent of a three thirty two compared
to a three sixty one ARRAI ever since he has

(40:29):
come over to Minnesota. He's got a one on one
record right now, despite the fact that he's given up
just four earned runs over the course of twelve and
two thirds innings. And I do think that we should
see some positivity company for both of these lineups, for
the Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers, who look at
their Baseball Savant numbers and their expected batting average is
higher than their current batting average, especially that of the Tigers,
Yours is off by about twenty five or so points.

(40:50):
Spencer Turklesen has had a relatively rough start to the season,
and right now, Riley Green has been one of your
best producers on offense. Sitting just a two o five
but has been able to give the seam three or runs.
As far as Markana, yes he canna give you a
pair of home runs. He has a three seventy two
on base but hitting just a two of six. And
you just take a look at this the Troy Tigers
team as of right now, and among guys that have
north of twenty six at bass right now, you've got

(41:14):
nobody that is sitting really above a two twenty two
other than Ji Orshell and Ji Roschell should be playing
every single day for this team. Meanwhile, for the Minnesota Twins,
Edward Julienne was able to bust out of his funk
a little bit last few days in the back half
of the series against the Dodgers, was able to provide
a trail of homers, and Carlos Carera looking much more
like the Carlos Carea hold. He and Alex Kurloff have

(41:34):
both been able to give you a home run a piece,
both of these guys hitting above a three hundred. The
problem with this is these are the only two guys
on the roster with more than three at bats are
ing above a two thirty seven yra bucks in about
a two ninety three on base has been a little
bit less than savory form. Ryan Jefferson's not being to
move the line, Carlos Santana, who I mentioned before in Julienne,
Willis Caster, with Matt Wallner, Max Coupler, they're all hitting

(41:56):
below the dove's line of a twinner. In for the Twins,
they are deal with you on They're very good closer
currently being out of the fold these bullpens, they get
a little bit of rest. I like Steven O'kurt brock, Stewart,
Orel call of these are good guys for the Minnesota Twins.
And even though the Detroit Tigers they don't necssarily have
that one super duper lockdown close or anything like that.
We had a lot of good arms in general. Shelby Miller,

(42:18):
who actually has three wins as far this season. That's
a strange onity, probably more wins than he would ever
get as a starter, because he has really done a
nice shot in the second act of his career. About
Jason Foley Andrew Chafin, will vest guys like this, they
do a rock solid job in the bullpen. I do
think that both of these offenses are going to struggle,
but would love to see this get back to the
six a half like we were seeing towards the time

(42:40):
that this game was pulled off the board yesterday, because
if you get a six and a half at that point,
you get both teams and put three runs up on
the board and you're guaranteed a win. Or so that
is something that I'm going to be taking a look
at to the over I did something I told at
some point three would be won, and think it something over.
But hopefully we can get that six and a half
like we were seeing before. And with that said, with
the Tigers willing to lay up to a minus one
twenty seven on this money line, nine sixty one, nine

(43:02):
sixty two on the banking board of New York Yankees,
they're on the road, their facing off against the Cleveland Guardians.
Carlos Cookie Carasco is on the bump for the Guardians,
Clark Schmidt is on the bump for the Yankees, and
the Yankees are between minus one forty two minus one
forty two favorites any between plus one thirty plus one
thirty two sets story plus one twenty that's your number
on Cleveland. Nine is a total under his minus one
twenty two mins one twenty five, the overs between even

(43:24):
and minus one of five. Seeing some eight and a
half's out there with the over and the under anywhere
between even money to minus one twenty and in eight
and a half, I would rather have that over rather
than a nine hunder. And this is just purely a
fate of Carlos Cookie Carrasco. Last season when he was
with the New York Metropolitans, his ERA was well north
of a six. He does not look to be a

(43:46):
starting caliber pitcher at this time in his career has
just completely fallen off. And his first two starts hasn't
been as bad. He has got nine strikes and eight innings,
but the command is just way down. He has given
up four walks in that timespan as well. In his
first two charts, we're against the Oakland A's and the
Minnesota Twins, and then that started against the Cee Twins. Yeah,
he gave up one run in three innings, but he

(44:06):
went three innings in that start as well. And then
for Clerk Schmid, he's just a city at a guy.
In his last twenty nine starts, he has allowed three
earned runs or fear and pretty much all but three
of them. And for Clerk Schmid, I mean, that's what
you can expect of him. He'll probably give you five
to six innings. He'll probably give up two to three runs.
He's nothing amazing, he's nothing terrible. He'll give up a
little bit north of two and a half walks for

(44:26):
nine and a nec gets about eight and a half
straight cuss Er nine and nings. If you're looking for
about as average of a pitcher as it gets, he
is that. And that's more than enough for the New
York Yankees. As the Yankees have been getting some lesson
quality starts out of the likes of Marcus Stroman and
nessor Cortez, So that's a little bit of an issue.
And I take a look at this spot and I
do think that for the New York Yankees, you are

(44:47):
going to be able to get some good offense going
against Carlos Skokie crass Go. Now, when it gets to
the bullpend of the Cleveland Guardians, you've got a lot
of lockdown guys in manual class A absolutely amazing. In
the closer spot, I like the fact that they pick
up Peters tres A lucky Scott par has been a
little bit rough for the team, and he might honestly
be the weak link in this bullpen. But Eli Morgan,
Hunter Gaddis and these guys been nice and for the
New York Yankees been a little bit of a rough

(45:08):
start to the season. For the bullpen as well, Clay
Holmes can be a bit of a role the ice
for you, and they did lose a few guys in
the off season. But as said, Ian Hamilton was absolutely
amazing this past season in twenty twenty three, Caleb Ferguson
at something I'd like in this bullpen as well. And
for the New York Yankees, they just fly out to
have more power in the offense. John Carlos sand Is
become an all or nothing guy, but four him runs

(45:29):
as far this season for him at they Volpe along
with Juan Soda are both giving you north of a
four hundred on base. Aaron Judges, strangely the guy that's
struggling for this bunch. He's right now hitting a buck
seventy eight with two home runs. He just expects so
much more out of him. But when you've had it
as well, de Carbrera out there, as he's been a
little bit in and out of the full deal with injury.
He has been rock solid as well. And then for
the Cleveland Guardians, the power is a little bit better

(45:51):
than it was last season. You got the Naylor brothers
and Josh and Bow Naylor. But this is still gonna
be a team that at the end of the year.
I anticipate them being in the bottom five regards to
home runs on a per game and a per appy basis.
But Stephen Kwan give you a well north of three
inn average. He's doing a nice job moving the line.
Andre Semenez. After a little bit of a down season
last year, he's found a way to be able to

(46:11):
get on base. You've also been able to have Brian
Roschiel do a nice job. I'll be able to rise up.
He's been able to give the team right around about
a two forty five average. He's been able to provide
a little bit of something in this offense as well.
So it's an interesting spot to be in. I do
think the clerk Schmid gonna do what he always does,
gives up right around about three runs at six innings,
and I think that that's going to be enough for
the Yankees to get the job done. So by total
at any point seven, willing to be over and with

(46:33):
the Yankees, want to wave till mice one forty two
on the money line. Wouldn't want to go any further,
but so well to ride with the Yankees and the
over nine sixty three, nine sixty four on the betting board.
It is the La Angels on the road facing up
against the Boston Red Sox. Right now the betting board
lists to be determined for the Red Sox starter, but
right now a lot of places are thinking it's going
to be Tanner Huk. Meanwhile, Reed Devers goes for the Angels,
saying SIRCA is the only book in Las Vegas with

(46:55):
a number up on this game. The total is eight
and a half. The over his mine one twenty y unders.
Even with Boston there My one twenty favorite plus one
or two is your number on Los Angeles, and if
we get that number with these two pitchers, I'd be
willing to lay it with the Red Sox at them
as a minus one thirty favorite. Now soul crushing losses
to end their series against the Baltimore Orioles. That was
very much less than savory. But I do think the

(47:15):
Tanner Olk gonna be able to have a little bit
more success this season than he did a season ago.
For Tanner out he has been just a in general
unlucky pitcher over the last few seasons. It's not like
he does anything amazing or anything like that. This is
not someone that's going to blow you away with strikeouts.
For his career, more around about eight to eight and
half straightcuts. Ernie and Ning's to command. It's not bad,

(47:36):
it's not great. Last season in terms of walks per nine,
he was right around about three and a half. He
does need to work on that a little bit. But
I said last year he had a five oh one
year a compart to a four to forty three fielding
independent and it was really a case where Fenway was
a little bit of a house of horrors for him
because he is going to give up a little bit
more hard contact and Boston can be very, very unforgiving
to pitchers. All like that. With DANNERLK five eight Homier

(48:00):
bear to a four eighteen era on the road, and
for Red Devers, he's done a nice job of being
able to make himself more of a swing in this sky.
Last season he was able to provide in that pocket
about temploy two strikeouts, Berni and Ennings said, if you
take a look at what he's been able to do
this season, he has been incredible. He has gotten in
his eleven innings as far, nineteen strikeouts. He's been doing
an okay job with the guards to command last year

(48:21):
at about three and a half blocks, Bernie and Nings,
he's right around that neighborhood that's far this season. So,
I mean he's gonna give up some blocks, but he's
going to trade that in for strikehouse. I just have
all sorts of questions with both of these bullpens. So
for the La Angels, I've got Man Moore Carlos to
service in the back half of that bullpen, but Adam
Zimber looks washed at this point. Under Strickland is definitely
washed at this point. Jose Soriato, who is being used

(48:41):
as a long guy, he has now had to become
a starter. And for the Boston Red Sox, they too
have a bullpen that's in relatively rough shape because last
two days I've had to use up of ton of relievers.
You've got Chris Martiners should be fresh in this game.
He had a some two fifty e eight season ago.
Though Andy used up Can Jansen yesterday, you saw a

(49:02):
pair of guys just completely poop the bed for this
team as Greg Wiser was not terrific. Guessterday a long
with Isaiah Campbell, but should be able to have Justin
Slaton Berry Apps hold down the forts by the fact
that he did have to pitch in the game yesterday
as well. Josh Lenkowski, he's relatively solid and for the
Red Sox, both the lineup itself, it's starting to gel.
It feels like a little bit. Jaron Duran has been

(49:23):
really good at being a line about a three seventy
five on basi. Tyler O'Neill has been amazing six home runs,
he's hitting above a thrown But you need Rafael Devers
to give you a little bit more. He's right now.
He think't just a bluck eighty five, and I know
that he is right now. Hell for a little bit
of an injury, so he might not even be able
to go win this game. But we got Trisankasas who
is starting to show flashes of what he had last
season where he had north of before arm base both

(49:44):
All Star Break. But the big question is these guys
like Sadine Rafaela, Emmanuel Veldez, Pablo Reyes when he gets opportunities.
Are these guys going to be able to hit these?
Our young guys are currently hitting both of the Mido's
line two hundred and for the La Angels, they're about
his top. Peavy as it gets, Logo to Hoppy has
been amazing. Log to Hoppy is right now, give you
about a three fifty three average. He's done a nice

(50:06):
job hitting and clutch spots, and prior to his injury
last year, it looked like he had a lot of upside.
And then Taylor Ward as a trio firm run so
three thirty three on base, Mike Trout six bombs sitting
north of a three hundred with a four hundred base
and then you've got Brandon Dury national to Anthony Rendon
and Aaron Nix. All these guys hitting out bucks seventy
five or Laura and Anthony Rendon has about a curve

(50:28):
biggest waste of money in all of baseball. So that's
not tremendous there. I do think the Tan are out
going to be able to go out there lender relatively
solid starting. I do think there for re Devers might
have a little bit of an issue with his Boston
Red Sox lineup at both of these bullpens. I have
zero faith and whatsoever, so did sell my total at
a nine point three at the eight and a half.
Looking at the overa with the Red Sox, weally aft
a minus one thirty seven on that money line nine

(50:49):
sixty five, nine sixty six on the big board. The
Houston Astros playoffs to the Walker Texas Rangers. Dat Dunning
looks at Getter Dunning and JP Rance is on the
boat for the Astros. Nine and a half is the
total unders minds one need to be overse even I'm
seeing straight minus one fifteen out there. Over is minus
one o five on the over with the underbeing minus
one fifteen and with Houston between minus one twenty five
to minus one thirty five favorites between plus one fourteen

(51:11):
though plus one twenty is that number on Texas and
Texas need a little bit closer to about a plus
one twenty seven on the summer. We're seeing about minus
one twenty five out there, and now that we've dipped
down to about minus one twenty five, I'm gonna be
one to buy in on the Asters. For the Asters,
they got completely line based yesterday by the Kansas City Royals.
But because they got a completely line based that actually

(51:33):
saves more of your trustworthy bullpen pieces like Josh Shader
like also a Ryan Presley, and we have noticed the
Asters just get off to a lot of rough starts.
In general, I do think that they're going to be
able to pick it up a little bit more. Alex
Bregman having in Alex pragman like start with zero home
runs and a three oh five on base begin the season.
But that said, you're on Overrez, I'll say L two
by these guys have been very good at being a

(51:55):
move line fight away on base. For Al two a
north of a four hundred on base, he's my three
m runs. We are on over. He's up to four bombs.
Kyle Tucker has been a little bit up and down,
but he's up to a pair of home runs as well.
The big key for the team is the bottom of
the fold, Jake Myers, along with Oj Rayu getting below
the Bandol's lion turner. You haven't gotten a lot of
John Singleton either. And for Texas, they got shut out
yesterday by the Oakland A's and for that matter, they

(52:17):
really had a tough time with the Oakland A's. They
have now scored three runs are fewer in three out
the last five games. You know that these guys are
gonna be able to pick it up though they showed
it last season. And Adulascars he has a ratio in
four bombs. As far as this season, you've been able
to get a lot of other guys just be able
to move line for the team. You don't have anyone
else with multiple home runs other than Josh Young, who's
been a little bit in and out of the full.
But these guys like Jared Walls, Corey Seeger, Marcus Simeon,

(52:39):
they're hitting above a two eighty five. They're all providing
relatively good on basis. They've been able to do an
eight job drawing walks. Even though the power has been
there to begin the season. They're doing a solid job
on that front. Though you did notice ye last season
the Rangers' power it did dip quite significantly when they're
away from home. I do like the revamped bullpen of
this Rangers team as well. You're bringing Kirby Yates, You're
bringing David Robertson that helps out, especially when you got

(53:02):
to was able clerk, who's all about a little bit
of a role that ice in this bullpen. Brockberg is
something that I think is going to be pretty rock
solid as well. And I think the big key for
JP France is just per forming a little bit better
at home. As JP France last season had a sub
two fifty ERA on the road, it was north of
four at home, and he was one of the more
lucky pitchers out there in the big leagues. His fielding
independent was way more than a point higher than his ERA,

(53:24):
only got about success straightcus for nine innings from the
early returns. As far as this season for JP France,
he seems to have helped out with regards to his
swinging miss numbers just a little bit. Is command is
a little bit better in eleven and a third innings
as far the season, just three walks, So I do
like his overall approach. He was just a rookie last season,
so I do think that he's going to be better
this season. Meanwhile, for Dane Dunning, he's always had a

(53:46):
little bit of an issue pitching on the road. That's
aside from last season, but in his tenure with the
Texas Rangers, says Evity ra more than a point higher
when he's away from home rather than at home, and
right now he's just on great form. Seven walks give
it up in thirteen nings. He has given up three
home runs in his first two starts, including in his
first start against the Houston Asters, gave up three runs
in six to two thirds kings a home run. Three

(54:06):
walks did now look to be in great form, and
I do think that this is a nice bus out
spot for both of these offenses. I did sell my
total at a nine point one, so it is a
circumstance where seeing the nine and a halfs, I think
we've got a little bit too far, just because I
do think that while both of these offenses are going
to be able to get to Dunny and France, I
do think that the bullpen from there holds on the
four and I do think that the Euston Asters they've
got a little bit more in the bullpen to be

(54:27):
able to get it done. So did that the Asters
and minus one twenty seven. I'm going to be willing
to lay up to minus one twenty five on that
money line and takeing a look at the nine and
a half over. If this were to flip to nine,
By the way, I'd rather have a nine over rather
than a nine and a half under. But here at
the nine and a half, looking at the under nine
sixty seven nine to sixty eight. On the big board,
the Tampa Bay Rays playoffs San Francisco Giants can win
is on the bump for the Giants and is old

(54:49):
TV determined for the Tampa bay Rays. So this game
is off the board many places are I think it's
going to be Tyler Alexander who gets to start for
the race. It's just a question of do the race
or an opener for them or not. We've seen that
quite a bit for him, man, we even saw that
while he was with the Detroit Tigers as well. So
my handicap is not going to be changing too much
if we see some sort of like a bullpen piece
as an opener for Tyler Alexander. But if it is

(55:11):
indeed Alexander slish an opener against the Giants, I'm setting
the races a minus one eighteen favorite, but they total
of eight point two, so it us looking at the
over eight and a half or higher. The under end
under leaf Joe minus one seventeen on the race plus
one nineteen or higher, I'd be taking to look at
the San Francisco Giants. Keaton win is just a rock solid,
steady pitcher. He's given up in his MLB career less
than two and a half woks per nine nings. He's

(55:32):
getting about seven and half strikeouts for nine mennings. He's
nothing great, he's something terrible. Meanwhile, for mister Alexander, it's
gonna be interesting to see how he does moving forward
if they do decide to utilize an open or for him,
because if you look at Alexander throughout his career, he's
been utilized quite a bit as both a starter and
a reliever. Is Eri does drop by about zero point
seven points when he is coming out of the bullpen,

(55:52):
but his home runs per nine rate is actually a
little bit higher when he's coming out of the bullpen
as well, so that's something to be mindful of. Alexander
has always been a real good command pitcher in terms
of his walks for nine rate that's two for his career.
But that said, has never really been that guy that
with a put away pitch about seven Streakhouse Bernian and
he's going up against a Giants lineup, then they tried
to revamp it in the offseason. You're bringing Ora Hilario

(56:14):
had north of thirty home runs a season ago. That
Jaman who is a little bit better with the glove
rather than at the plate, but he was an upgrade
from a team that was thirtieth out of thirty teams
in terms of run creation in the second half of
the season last year. But you do retain a lot
of those guys like Theriostrada, mikey Stromski that are solid.
They move the line. They were able to give you

(56:35):
about fifteen to twenty home runs. And for the Giants,
it's not a bad bullpen, but it's not as an
amazing bullpen. They do lose quite a few pieces from
a season ago. But Closer and chamileon of all, along
with Rogers, Square Taylor and Tyler Rodgers, these guys are
relatively solid. They do like Ryan Walker out there as well.
But the Tampa Bay Race, there's just a factory for
really good bullpen pitching. You've got Compouchet, Pete Fairbanks, who

(56:55):
are some of your main guys, but they've turned Chris
Davinski into a relatively solid, really chasing Adam has been
tremendous for the team as well, and for the Tampa
Bay Rays just all about getting that offense back online.
Jerry Calabreo, where they picked up from Seattle in the
offseason's currently hitting a three fifty that's absolutely amazing. Not
too much of a power guy, but does a solid
job moving the line. In Eazac parades, he's becoming a
perennial twenty five plus home run hitter. He's already got

(57:18):
four bombs as far as the season. But the guys
that really need to pick it up Yandyds Randyo Rose Raina.
Both of these guys got a mace at a good
clip last season. Both of these guys are thoughts to
be able to give you twenty plus home runs and
any given season for a Rose Raina probably even more
than that, but they just simply have not produced at
the plate as far as the season. And for the
San Francisco Giants, I do think that they're gonna have
a little bit of a tough time getting to the

(57:39):
bullpen along with Alexander in the spot. I do think
that for the Tampa Bay Rays, they are going to
be able to find a way to be able to
get the job done in both of these offenses, just
not in the world's greatest form. So hitterre loss looking
at the over eight and a half, I are going
to be diving in on the under end with the
Rays bill and delay to a minus one seventeen with
them plus one eighteen, or I are going to be
taking a look at that plus number with the Giants
nine sixty nine, nine seventy on the banking board. The
Milwaukee Brigs at throw and face off against the Baltimore Ools.

(58:02):
It is Freddy Perolta on the bump for Milwaukee. Right
now the betting board reads to be determined for the
Baltimore Oils. It's looking it's like it's gonna be Tyler Wells,
who pitches Wells. So this is a game that's presently
off the board. But if you do get Wells versus Paralta,
I set the Rovers out of minus one or two
favorite despite being on the road, and I told the
way an eight or less. I'm looking at you over
eight and a half or ire the under. Keep in mind,

(58:24):
this is one of those Apple TV games, and typically
there's been rumors that these balls get a little bit
juice of the Apple TV Games. I so my question
marks are but with Freddy Perolta, he's just flat out
the better pitcher if you do get it. Indeed, this
matchup against Tyler Wells, who was one of the most
lucky pitchers in the Big leagues last season. For Tyler Wells,
I mean he had a three sixty four e RA

(58:45):
and his home runs per nin er it was about
one point eight. The command wasn't bad, but it wasn't amazing.
He got about two point seven two point eight walks.
Bernie and Ennings was able to get up to about
nine stricasts for nine Ennings. But Freddy Peralta, he's able
to give you a lot of swinging miss as far
as the season fifteens at eleven and two third settings.
He's had his struggles throughout his career in the month
of April, but that said, the command looks much better

(59:07):
this year than it has in the past. Just two
walks in his first two starts. And for the Brewers,
the young guys are right now hitting. I don't know
how sustainable it is, but Jackson, Cherio, sal Freelick, Bryce
Terrang are all hitting at least at two eighty two
with at least a three seventy on base for a
Freelik and terrang. You've been able to have Christian Yealich
look like MVP Christian Yellich five home runs, four hundred

(59:28):
on base. Willia Thamas has been struggling a little bit
at the plate, but he've been with William Catrez stepping
up that has been massive. And you've got a Baltimo
Oriials team that they've been coming up with timely hitting.
They say the least as far this season. Aitting just
a two thirty five is collective going into yesterday. But
you've got Anthony Santander who's been able to supply a
trio of homers along with Gunnar Henderson, Jordan Westburg, Seddrick Mullins.

(59:48):
These are guys that need to pick it up a
little bit more in terms of the overall average, but
I do think that they're going to be able to
do so as well. You've got such a deep Oriols
team without calling Jackson Holiday up to the big league level,
that you're able to get good platoonings flits as well.
There are guys like Ryan O'Hearn, Colton Calzer and company
that they're just matchups, they are favorable and unfavorable for them.
And the big fear that you do have with the

(01:00:08):
Oriols is that they did have to use up quite
a few bullpen pieces. Yesterday they did not have a
game get called due to rain, unlike the Milwaukee Burgers,
so the Birds they do have a more fresh bullpen. Meanwhile,
you had to use up guys like Jacob Webb, Beginni
or Cano yesterday, Danny columb as well, who I like.
All three of those guys, You've been able to get
some relatively solid production as well. When it comes to
Mike Bauman out of the bullpen now, guy Kimberl is

(01:00:30):
always a roll of ice, but he's been used back
to back days, so that's something that the Oriols will
probably not be looking to. But for the Birds, this
is a minimum a top five bullpen at this point. Elvispiguero,
Joe Pioms, these are really good setup men. Vner year Rebay.
He's able to throw one hundred plus, he's got really
nasty self and I like what they've done with j. B.
Boucakis as well. I think that he's got a lot
of upside coming out of this bullpen. So is the

(01:00:50):
case where I set the Birds a a slim favorite.
I'm willing to lay pretty much minus one on one slash,
take them at even money or better at a plus
one oh two or greater sounderdog price. I'm looking at
the oriols and then itelus looking at the over eight
half I or the under nine seventy one nine to
seventy two on the banking board. The col Rider Rocky's
at the road face off against each Toronto Blue Chase.
Kevin Gosman is on the bump for the Jase. Ryan
Feldner goes for Colorado. Eight is a total over and

(01:01:13):
under both of minus one ten. With the Jays, they're
between minus two forty a minus two sixty, and he
wore between plus two dollars and plus two to sixteen
that number on Colorado to lay the run line of
the Jays. Most places have this between minus one ten
to a minus one fifteen, and I'm willing to go
up to a minus one twenty five. For Kevin Gozman,
the command has been relatively solid over the last few seasons,
but you can tell that his velocity after he was

(01:01:34):
dealing for a little bit of dead arm during spring
training it has been down just a touch. But the
good news is you get to go up against the
Colrider Rockies team that now they're in full Rockies mode.
They're going from elevation to elevation. That causes the pitches
to look differently home the road, and it causes them
to not be able to get their bearings underneath them. Now,
I will say for the Colrider Rockies, Ryan McMahon has

(01:01:55):
actually been really good for the same he's hitting a
three eighty three. He has been able to put in
that work, and Michael Togulia has been will give you
a trio of home runs. But I said, you got
a lot of guys that are scuffling for the seam
Brendan Rodgers, Chris Bryant, Elierius Monteto, you're able to throw
on their Nolan Jones, all these guys hitting a buck
seventy five or lower. And for the Rockies they just
always have much better home numbers and road numbers at

(01:02:17):
the plate. Last season they hit about forty points lower
when they were away from home rather than at home.
And once again the season they're dinna get two eighteen
away from home, two to seventy five when they're at
home elevation, I'll do that to you. And for the
Toronto Blue Jays, this is a little bit of an
overrated lineup for my money. But that said, I do
think that these guys are going to pick it up
a little bit. They're hitting at two twelve as a collective,

(01:02:37):
And again, do I think that maybe we've put this
team in a little bit too high of regard, Yes,
but I think that they're better than what they've shown
through as far this season. If you look at their
expected batting average, it's more around at two forty, which
again so frustrating, but not as bad as this. For
the Toronto Blue Jays, I've had Justin Turner down for
what be tremendous. He's given you North up a four
armies just one home run, but he's been able to

(01:02:59):
do a nice job on that front. But that said,
Isaiah Canair Falaffa, Kevan Miggio, these are the only other
two guys on the roster other than Turner with at
least thirty at pats as currently inning above a two
to oh five. You've gotten a little bit out of
Ernie Clement, but he's only got twenty nine at pats
to his credit as well. When David Scheider has been
out there, he's been relatively saw it as well. But
for Vliger Junior, three home runs but just a two

(01:03:21):
hundred average show for it. Aleander Kirk, dolt Var Show,
George Springer, they need to pick it up and this
is a perfect spot to be able to do so.
Ryan Feltner has actually looked half way decent in his
first two starts fourteen punchouts in eleven ning. He said,
just a great story in general after he got hit
by that line drive comebacker last season, and he's been
able to turn to the field. But he take a
look at Ryan Feldner for his career five eighty seventy

(01:03:41):
or A does not do the world's greatest job in
terms of command for throughout his career he's had nor
the four walks but dy and he's a relatively solid
swinging miss guy. But he's also backed up by a
bullpend that Victor Vadick might be their best setup man.
That's not a place where you want to be. Justin
Lawrence has been an issue. Tyler Kinley is honestly not
too bad in that bullpen as well, But you take
a look at the blue Jays, and even with them

(01:04:02):
having to deal with a pair of injuries, they currently
have the full George Romano along Derek Swanson, so I
have quite a few trusts worth the guys. May's had
a sub three ear a last season. It's a bit
of a roll that ice when you got genesis career
out there. But I like what Chad Green is showing
as well. So circumstance where I'm gonna be looking at
the run line of the Blue Jays willing to go
to a minus one twenty five and did semi total
and an eight point seven as I do think that

(01:04:23):
the Blue Jay is going to do some damage on
this rocky team. So I do like the run line
of the Js and the over nine seventy three, nine
seventy fours the DK new work right to pick. If
you got the Kansay Royals and their other facing up
against New York Metropolitans. Luis seventy o is on the
bump for the Mets and Michael Walker, who looks to
not be the dying pac Man voice of Michael Waka
Waka walka walka Walk, he is going to be going

(01:04:45):
for the Royals and total ens game. You're finding it
at an eight over and under any between minus one
of five to a minus one fifteen. Meanwhile, with the Royals,
you're gonna be getting them and as modest plus price
anywhere between plus one and five to plus one twelve.
Meanwhile between minus one fifteen, you know, one twenty five
is that number on the Mets.

Speaker 3 (01:05:02):
Now.

Speaker 2 (01:05:02):
I don't think that both of these teams are going
to duplicate what they did yesterday. The Royals put thirteen
runs up on the board in their game against the Astros,
a Mets sixteen against the headline of race. But I
think both of these teams are finding it. My right
up pick is going to be on the over. With
the Mets. Prior to the game yesterday, they had a
two sixteen actual banning averager. Expected banning average was more
round at two thirty nine. And I do think that

(01:05:22):
for the Mets, they are going to be able to
lock in a little bit more. You still have a
guy Pete Alnz who is one of the best overall
power bets they're going to find in all baseball. You
have to feel like Jeff McNeil and guys like this
have gotten off to a rough start to the season.
Francisco Lindor especially, they're gonna be able to pick it
up as even with the game that we saw yesterday.
You've got Lindor, You've got Jeff McNeil. You've also got
Pete Alonzo all inning a two twenty or lower. DJ

(01:05:44):
turn it up. Sewart has been an issue about Brida Eddie.
He's been able to give you about a three to
fifty on BA. Serli Marte has had himself a relatively
day season as well. Francisco over us doing a good
job of moving the line. And for the you can't
say Royals. This is a top ten team in the
league in terms of runs per game. And you've got
great just power on the seam. Bobby with Junior four
bombs with a four hundred plus on base. Mikael Garcia
has not necessarily hit for average, but he's hit for

(01:06:06):
powerful with a trio of bombs. You've been able to
get good production of MJ. Melendez three home runs north
of a four hundred base. The team is finding a
way to be able to move the line. Got a
veteran in Salvador Paris that's able to give you good power.
He's given you north of a three hundred average and
on base as well. And for the Royals, this is
a stinky bullpen. Matt Sowers right now one of your
better bullpen pieces. Will Smith, Chris fran and Nick Anderson

(01:06:28):
all on trustworthy on Alzadapa, not someone that you want
to be trusting in James and Carthurs offline. For the
New York Mets, you get back Edwin Diaz, but can
you get a ninth ending lead to be able to
utilize him as you need to go through the lea
likes of Brooks Raley, Drew Smith, Cole Solzer to be
able to get there. And I mean, honestly, Brooks Railey
is not too bad. But the Mets were twenty second
in the league terms of bullpenny, you're a season ago

(01:06:49):
the Royals were twenty ninth, and there's no way fans
are bouts about at mikel Waka better starter in the
spot since the beginning of the twenty twenty two season.
A twenty six and six record, you're a hovering right
aroundbout three twenty two but betning average on balls and
playing that time two fifty nine field the Independent about
zero point seven points higher than his era regression should
be coming in for Luis Severino. Since the beginning of

(01:07:09):
the twenty twenty three season, just a Fadal Rooney the
north of one point eight home runs surrendered Bernie and
Dings about a six sixty era field the Independent north
about five seven. He just is not in good form
right now. He's given you a few swings and misses,
but the command is just all over the place. I
do think that for Seve Reino he gets a lit up,
and I do think that Michael Walker starts to see

(01:07:30):
some regression. But even with that regression, I do think
that the Royals find a way to be able to
get the job done. I'm gonna be looking at the
plus price are as. I've set the Royals as a
favorite personally in my decant worker right to pick that
is going to be on the sodle over. Yeah, even
at an eight and a half, I'd be taking a
look at this total over nine seventy five, nine seventy
six on the banking board. The Chicago White Sox play
the ce Cincinnati Rits. Yes, we are on the Cincinnati
and they're under Andrew Evit getting to start for them.

(01:07:51):
Chris Flexen is on the bump for the White Sox.
Southsiders are an underdog off any between puls one forty
three to a plus one fifty two, anywhere between minus
one sixty five dollar minus one seventy five. Is that
number on Cincinnati and your turtle on scheam it is
nine the overs minus one twenty and the under is even.
And in terms of the run line in the spot,
you're going to be finding it anywhere. Tweeted about minus
one awight to minus one ten on the Cincinnati Reds

(01:08:13):
I personally am gonna be willing to take the Chicago
White Sox getting a run and a half as long
as I am getting this at a minus one o
eight or better. And right now I'm finding a few
places that are offering a minus one o eight. I
would need more like about a plus one fifty five
in this spot to be able to take a shot there.
As I do like what Andrew Abbott is able to
bring to the table overall as a picture. But he
did have his struggles on the road last season. He

(01:08:35):
added there that was sub three five when he was
at home. That was a little bit north of four
on the road, and he does still have his command issues.
He has given up about three point three bucks per
nine and any soup. I do think that it does
help the fact that the Reds did have that rain
out yesterday, so the bullpen it is going to be
a little bit more fresh, which means that you're going
to be able to get those good guys like Fernando
Cruz Alexis Ts already to go on this one in

(01:08:57):
for the Chicago White Sox. Well, it's that has been very,
very rough, just say the least, says right now you're
relying pod guys like Brian Shawn Company to be able
to hold down the fort I would like to see
a little bit more use in general of someone like
Dominique Leone, who I actually don't think he's absolutely terrible.
Dana Banks is a relatively good long guy as well,
but they might need to convert him into being a

(01:09:18):
starter in for Chris Flexen while he's been flexing on
his Vira recently. I do think that there might be
a little bit of upside down pitching in Chicago. And
I mean he was one of the biggest phase in
all baseball last season, mister Flexen was, but part of
that was the fact that he pitched in Colorado when
you pitch in Colorado, that's just gonna absolutely bump up
your er. And with Seattle last season he had a
seven to seventy one RA. But that said, if you

(01:09:40):
take a look at what he had done the previous
two seasons with the Seattle Manners, he was honestly a
halfway presentable pitcher, a pitch of contact guy that isn't
gonna give you much more than seven strike coots per
nine ennings. But when he's in a normal circumstance and
he's getting starts every five days, he's honestly not the
world's worst pitcher. I'm not saying he's great, but he's
not the world's worst pitcher. And with the Sinceni Reds,

(01:10:01):
you do have a few guys are struggling at the top.
Christian and Carnassio and Strand, Jamiyir Kendlario, Will Benson. All
these guys areting a two fifteen or Lauren all are
providing a sub to eighty on base. Johnson India honestly
the world's greatest average bout the three to ninety two hobbase.
It's been Spencer's here, Elae daylor Cruz, both giving you
three on runs pas both thinking above three. That has
been absolutely carrying this offense. Meanwhile, for the Chicago White Sucks,

(01:10:23):
now they're dealing with an injury to Luis Warbert. They've
had Eloyamenez be in and out of the full, but
you've had a few nighte surprises for the seam yol Mankatta,
he's finding a way to move the line at about
a two eighty in terms of his average, about a
three sixty four on base, Gavin chets as be able
to provide a pair of bombs hitting North with three.
I don't know how sustainable it is, and they're gonna
need him to be sustainable because likes of Nicky Lopez,

(01:10:43):
Ton Fletcher, Paul de Young, these are guys that are
providing nothing. M our team Aldonado about his useful as
a poopy flavored lollipop up there at the dish. But
I do think you feel like we've went a little
bit too far on the SINCEAI Red team, they have
been very hitter miss to say the least, and their
pitching just has not been tremendous. They have it up
six plus runs in far the last five games. Now
the Chicago White Sox has been very fraudulent with the

(01:11:05):
guards that they're pitching as well. But I do think
that they're gonna be able to do a relatively okay job.
And I do think that Chris Flex said it's going
to be able to give you an okay start. I'm
not saying it's amazing, and it's probably gonna be blown
by the shlubs out there in the bullpen. But if
you're able to get a run and a half and
a minus one oh eight or better with the White Sox,
I'm going to be one to nabble there. And it's
a I tell at nine point three, you've got absolutely
no faith whatsoever in this White Sox bullpen. So I

(01:11:25):
do like the nine over, and I do like getting
a run and a half with the White Sox at
a minus one oh eight or better nine seventy seven,
nine seventy eight. On the manning board, the Chicagubs eight
are the facing off against thee Seattle Manners. Bryce Miller
goes for a Seattle. Jordan Wikes is on the bump
for the Cubs. Cubs are a slight underdog between plus
one oh five plus one twelve. Meanwhile between minus one
eighteen to minus one twenty five. That number on Seattle

(01:11:46):
eight is a total under is between minus one twenty
five to minus one oh five. The over is any
between minus one fifteen to a plus one oh five,
with the Mariners set them out a minus one twenty six,
so here up to minus one twenty five. I'm going
to be one to lay with Bryce Miller. He was
just much more comfort when he was at home rather
than away from home last season, is he are He
was a full point that better when he was in
Seattle rather than away from one, which does make sense

(01:12:07):
because for Seattle, this is one of the more pitture
friendly ballparks that you're gonna find in all baseball. Ryce
Miller throughout his career has only given up about two
walks Berni and Ennings, but he can get barreled up
quite a bit north of one point three zero runs
surrendered Bernie and Nnings, and for young Jordan Wicks. His
small sample size at the Big League Buffle thus far
has been relatively solid. Two starts as far this season,
four earned runs given up an eight and two thirds kings.

(01:12:28):
He gave up seven runs in total, but the schlubs
out there in the field did him. Absolutely no favors
whatsoever to share out this season, so I'm not going
to put that on him. He's been getting a lot
more swings and misses this season rather than a year
ago when he got called up for seven starts last
season was getting to six point two strikecaffs for nine
and Nning Seas everying thirteen half punch outs Berni and
Enns as far this season, and he's looking a little
bit more like he did at the minor league level

(01:12:50):
last You're at the miners ten punch outs to three
walks for nine and Ennings will give up a little
bit of hard contact, but all in all was relatively
solid and he's back to by a bullpen. Then it's
neither great nor terrible. I feel like this bullpen is
a little bit better than what it's shown to be
as far this season. They've been deal a few ailments,
so they've had to look to someone like a Luke
Little to be able to give them some good endings.
Julia Merriweather. It's something that I do like in the bullpen,

(01:13:11):
and he's currently on the fold for the team, so
they have to look a little bit more to Yancy Almonte,
But at Barrell's light ectorans. These guys are pretty good
and for the Seattle manager, they've been deal with an
injury to Matt Brash themselves. But oh no, this is
a team that just does a nice job of being
able to produce bullpen pieces like a factory. They're almost
like a West Coast version of the Tampa Bay Race.
Guys like Gabe Spier, Taylor Soakado, Trent Thorn, and our

(01:13:32):
guys that they've plucked out of mediocrity and made into
good relievers. They pick up Brian Stanek in the outseason,
and I do think that the Seattle team is going
to be able to get a little bit more online
has been a miserable start at the play for them
this far as the season two a seve betting averages
an a two seventy eight collective on base. Mitch Andger
is like the only guy that is consistently moving the
line for the team about a three fifty on base.
He is the only guy other than Ty France that

(01:13:54):
has at least a three fifty on base. I should
actually say not just a three fifty on BA, only
guy with at least a three to zero three on
base with North of twenty five at bats. That's not great,
to say the least. Ohio Rodriguez has been a disappointment
to begin the season, or a Palmonco's right now yielding
absolutely no value whatsoever, the catcher's Mitch Garver cow Rally
both tating below the nose line with not a lot

(01:14:15):
of power. And then for the Chicago Cups, this offense
has been relatively solid this year, not great, not terrible,
but not to love what Cody Bellinger brings to the table.
He had that hot just middle part of the season
last year, but it's currently hitting at buck ninety one.
He's been able to provide a pair of home runs.
And you have five different guys that have multiple home
runs for the seam Bellinger, dains Wy Swanson, Michael Bush
to a Suzuki, Christopher Morell, and everyone not named Bellainger

(01:14:37):
hitting at least at two sixty eight and everyone not
named Mallager at least a three forty on base e
and App has not gone yard this season, but he's
been able to move the line give you about a
four to twenty on base So the Cubs lineup it
is a little bit ahead of that of the Seattlemanders.
But I do think that this is a nice spot
to be able to st out and I do have
my question marks with regards to consistency and length with
Jordan Wicks as well, and that leads into a bullpen
that has been up and down to say the least

(01:14:58):
for the Cubs as far this season. So to be
taking a look at the Mariners on the money line,
especially with the Cups having a head out west, and
with regards to total, I did something total an eight
point three, so I also do like the overend. We're
wrappings up of nine seventy nine to nine eighty on
the banking board. The Washington Nationals set the road face
off against the Oakland A's Bob Blackburn walks the plank
for the A's n Jake Irvin is on the bump
for Washington. Washington is an underdog. You're gonna be getting

(01:15:19):
them any between plus one ten to a plus one
sixteen and between minus one twenty five minus one thirty
five is the number on Oakland. Eight is the total
unders between minus one dead to a mix one. What
are the overs between even and minus one ten? And
if you're looking to lay a run half with the
Oakland A's, you're getting a plus one sixty five. NBA's
are eight and two on the run line in their
last ten games. I'm gonna play a conservative. I'm just

(01:15:41):
gonna stick with the money line, and I set the
East out of minus one thirty four on the money line,
like as now range just as it sounds, they are
playing much better baseball right now than the Washington Nationals
and all the Nationals to pick up a few pieces
in the offseason. They now got Joey Gallo, who is
able to give them a little bit of power. You
pick up someone like a Eddie Vers. It has been

(01:16:01):
a rough sco of it in general for this offense.
A lot of the guys that returned from a season ago,
they just haven't been what they were. Like Lane Thomas
gave me twenty plus home runs. He did a nice
job to be able to move the line. Joey Manesis
was able for a relatively get average last season. Both
of these guys, after all, starts in love with cj
Ambram says, providing terms of the three hundred average, He's
been able to wipe quite a few bags as he

(01:16:21):
and Lane Thomas a combined nine zle Basis, and that's
one thing that the Nationals have done very well. Twenty
five sole in bases already thus far as the season.
But I said, they're winning two twenty six as a
collective with a grand total of eleven home runs. Joey
gelacj abrams three home runs a piece. But for the
Oakland A's, the team is just really executing in terms
of the pitching side of things, and they play in
one of the most pitcher friendly ballparks in baseball, especially

(01:16:43):
during the nighttime where the Marine layers up. This is
a friend of Paul Blackburn, and for Paul Blackburn, he
was legitimately a little bit unlucky last season. He had
a fielding independent that was honestly quite a bit better
than his overall eer. And for Paul Blackburn, he's went
out there and two starts as far as the season,
thirteen total mings grinded. It was against the Guardians and
the Detroit Tigers, and he has delivered thirteen score is.

(01:17:05):
As far the strikecoun numbers is not necessarily there like
they were season Goo nice year, Bundy punched uts for
nine and he's only seven strikeouts in thirteen nineties as
far the season, but the command is great and the
Oaklands are right now a top six team in the
Big leagues with regards to Bullpenny. Right Danny Menis is
looking like a relatively good back end of the bullpen guy.
Lucas ersag after he flamed out as a position player
with the Brewers, he's had a second lease on life

(01:17:26):
as a nice relief piece, even though I think that
he should be a starter. You've gotten really good production
on Mason Miller Layton games as well. And then for
the Washington Nationals, Hunter Arvey is someone that could be
relatively solid for the team. But I don't trust in
Kyle Finigan whatsoever. Joon Weems, Sarah law these guys are okay.
They're not great, They're not terrible. And for the oakland As,
it's just about finding enough offense for this team. Because

(01:17:47):
the Jay Lego Layers have that three home run game
against the Texas Rangers. But that said, this is a
bunch that's currently ending at two to eleven as a collective.
Other than Leangol Layers, somebody else has multiple home runs.
Da D. Davis had a two home run game a
little bit earlier on in the season, but he's been
cooling down a little bit as well. Why they have
a stereo Ruiz right now at the minor league bubble,
I have absolutely no ideas there's nobody on the roster

(01:18:07):
other than the Ruiz who's currently ending above a two
fifty five, and nobody else as north of a three
forty four on base that has provided at least ten
at Pats, So that's a little bit of an issue,
and I do think that this is going to be
a low scoring slog, but they do get to go
up against someone in Jake Irvan. Then I frankly don't
have a lot of faith in last year at a
four seventy era with a field independent of about a
five thirty, and it's been rough for him in his

(01:18:28):
MiB career one point four on runs, three point nine
walks a lot per nine endings the last two seasons
has been rough at home, has been rough on the road.
So I do like the openings to get it done
and what I think is going to be a lower
scoring game, much like we saw in that series against
the Rangers. On my line on the minus one thirty four,
i'd like the A's on the money line and looking
at this little understand I tell at some point four
and now wrap things up for the Friday edition of
The Baseball Betting Show, now part of the VS Family

(01:18:49):
and podcasts. A big thanks to Andrew Cayley of Covers
for joining me in the last segment. If you do
like Hearing from the Side podcast The Baseball Betting Show,
you're to subscribe whatever year podcast, Apple Podcasts, Google Play, Spotify, Cittern,
tune in. If you have a question comment segment idea
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(01:19:11):
into the timeline on the ways signing an Apple podcast review.
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