4/14/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Hey Morener for Lavo. Welcome to the Ball to Las
Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,
now part of the Vison Family podcast. You've got a
great podcast for his Joining me in segment number two
is Rob Donalds and he does a great job with
the show Slash Podcast, Rob's Best bet Show, and he's
gonna beat you on to me taking a look at
all that we've got for Sunday and how he's been
playing home run props as far this season. He had

(00:31):
a nice Saturday on that front, so figured we'd poke
his brain about how he's playing those and so much more.
And then in the final segment, we're going to be
looking at picks and analysis for every single game on
the betting board for this Baseball Sunday as we touch
them all. If you do have a question, come a
segment idea what have you for this podcast? You have
one of two ways vow farthos In first one is
my Twitter slash x timeline at you and at under

(00:52):
forty one. Keep in mind Larsium Nami does on matters,
so as per usual, please to send these into the timeline.
O the way, he's vying an Apple podcast review. If
you read this podcast I starts, it's very much appreciated them.
From there, you're able to fire in whatever you'd like
to here on this podcast via that five star review
did not get in any old Twitter slash ex questions today.
But we did have a great day of baseball on
s Heaturday. Let's dive into it, try to find some

(01:13):
trends in, try to get to know these teams a
little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:16):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap and a.

Speaker 2 (01:21):
Pair of double headers on Saturday, and both of these
were sweeps as the New York Yankees took two from
the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins. They took two
from the Detroit Tigers. For the Twins, they win in
at twelve innings in the first game by kind of
eleven of five. This was absolutely brutal if you had
the underres this game was three to three going into

(01:41):
extra innings. Game goes to a twelfth in The Minnesota
Twins put up a seventh spot in the twelve innings
pair of home runs Ryan Jeffers third home run the
campaign that comes off of Shelby Miller and then had
home run number one of the campaign that comes off
of Zach McKinstry position player out coming to the game
after Alex Lang. He just was unable to get out
of the setting five undern runs as Zach McKinstry actually

(02:04):
made the fielding air that led to all those under
and runs. In the twelfth inning, Ken Tamada was a
long gone by that time. He delivered a relatively good start.
He gives up two runs, one of which was earned,
so he does his part from there. Tyler Holton five
outside of the bullpen squirrels. Shelby Miller gives up this
home run and one on third innings Jason fully under
and run is two innings of work and then things

(02:25):
go to mush from there as Carry carpenter for the
Detroit Tigers to go deep off of Joe Ryan second
home round the season that comes in the first setting
as Ryan from there would settle down. He does give
up three runs, only one of which was earned. He
was hurt by a pair of ars punched out twelve
and then Steven O Kirk Griffin, Jacks brock Stewart. I'll
give you a scroll of setting Oreo calla two innings,
he gives up an under run and Jay Jackson an

(02:45):
under and run. So that's how they were able to
take Game one, and then in Game two, more conventional
four to one, the Twins were able to get it
done as he had a really good start from Simone
Woods Richardson, who comes out gives up one runner of
the course of six innings, s Qued Thunderbergs pairfouts out
of the bullpen, scoreless, and then Cole Sands makes the
Taggers pound sayings with two and a third innings scoreless

(03:06):
and a pair of home runs. Willy Castro for some
run season off of Matt Manning had Edward Julian gets
home run number four. Manning he just had to sort
of eat it in this one six and two thirds
as he allows four runs and then Joey Wentz in
long relief he goes for two and a third innings scoreless.
In New York Yankees, we're able to do a nice job.
We'll be able to pile up the runs in game
number two. As Game number one, little bit of a

(03:26):
slog they get the win by count of three to two.
As for the Yankees, he had as well to Cabrera
be able to go deep for home run number three
of the campaign, and the Yankees have continued to be
your best under team on all of baseball. Ten hunders,
four overs with just one push as far this season.
For those, Cookie Carastco gives up five it's five auks
and four to two thirds inks, but only lows one run.
Nick an let alot that home run to Guebrera, two

(03:48):
runs given up in an inning for him, but then
Tim Aaron Peters says, a lucky Eli Morgan, they'll lend
a scoreless sunning. Problem for the Guardians is that theater
Bets could not get going oh of nine with men
in scoring position. Clark Schmidt goes just five innings but
gives up just two runs, one of which was earned.
He two walked five, gave up three hits, so lots
of men on the base pass You had Dieena Hamilton

(04:08):
from there go for two scorel settings. Gabb Ferguson Clay Holmes.
They both were able to supply a scroll of setting
and then game number two, things went ballistic for the Yankees,
eight to two, they were able to get the win.
As for the Yankees, he had one so too go
deep off Tristan McKenzie. A third home run season for McKenzie.
Not long for this game, six runs, five of which
were earned, giving up in four innings. Once Parsons two

(04:29):
score of settings, Kate Smith got Barlow both provided scroll setting,
and then Tayler Beattie. He gives up two runs at
an ending, but again not a lot doing for the Guardians.
On offense, the former New York Yankee in Sefon Farrelli.
He was able to get his first arm runs season
off of Cody Potik, and then Ron Menanakio he gives
one up to Josh Naylor. Fourth arm run season for Mayor.
Nacchio gives up a run in at Ning Poteit very

(04:50):
good start, gives up just one run over the course
of six innings, and then then at Santana he comes
in he supplies two score of settings of his own.
The Milwaukee bers they just continued to supply offense eleven
of five they take down the Baltimore Orioles. And for
the Milwaukee Berds, they have now scored at best seven
runs in six straight games and at least six runs
and seven out of their last eight. Not quite what

(05:13):
we were expecting out of the Milwaukee Bers coming into
the season, And for the brew crew, he had a
start from dl Hall that was not essay so great.
He gives up five runs over the course of three
and the third innings, including a trio of home runs.
Roy Mincastle second home round season, Jordan Westburg is third
and heavily Rushman his first, but Dean Kramer was far
worse eight runs, six of which were earned, giving up

(05:34):
in four innings by him, including a pair of homers.
Jake Bauer's first um round season, Reece Hoskins his third,
and then from there, Yeah, the bullpen do what they
could as Mike Bauman allows a run in one and
two thirds INDs you on Ramires. He gives up two
runs of one and two thirds thanks Ki Inanche and
five outside the bullpen scoreless, and for the Burs, the
bullpen was able to hold down the fort out of Vispigerto,

(05:54):
five outside the bullpen scoreless. Hoby Milner he gives one
and a third ends scoreless as J. B. Bucackis gives
you a payer outside of the bullpen, and then Ryan
Hudson Joe Piamps. They're both able to supply a scroll
of setting up their own for the New York Mets.
Then he just continue to give up runs to the
Kansaity Royals eleven to seven. The finalist for the Royals,
he had seven or parents get his fourth home run

(06:14):
season off of Sean Madea, who just did not have
it on this day. He gives up eight runs, six
of which were earned in three and two thirds sennings.
And then Cole Solzer gives up three runs while getting
five outs out of the bullpen or a Lopez pairaboutside
the bullpen. Jake Deekman scroll is setting, and then you
did have two scrolls settings out of Tyler j so
hip hop array for Jay and for the Mets, you

(06:35):
were able to get the power going pair of home
runs for Pete Alonso his fifth and sixth home runs
of the season off of Alec Marsha and don Al Zeeba.
And then you had a home run number two of
the season for Starling Marte. Marte as a Marte parte
off of Matt Swaru comes in, gives up two runs
and did not get a single out. For Zamba, he
gives up his home run and is ending Mark Nick Anderson,

(06:56):
James MacArthur, John Schreiber. They provide scroll of settings in
marsh gets a win wasn't necessary a sharp performance from him.
Four runs over the course of five innings surrendered by him.
But Mets certainly have been getting online with Thegards their offense,
and it's a royal team that now has played just
six overs to eight hunderds. I believe there's been a
push along the way, but their offense, it certainly has
been heating up quite a bit. The best offense in

(07:17):
all baseball in turns hitting you the over, that'd be
the Atlanta Braves, and they were unable to get it
done against the Miami Marlins on Saturday. As for the Marlins,
they're able to get a five to one win. As far.
Atlanta main form of offense, Marcel Zuna was able to
drive in around but that's about it. As Chris Sales
sold seven innings pitch but gives up five runs, including
a home run to Josh Bell's second home run of

(07:39):
the season. Max Meyer. He contains to me very solid
for a Marlinds team that has not had a lot
of bright spots as far this season. He gives up
one on over the course at six innings before Anthony Bender, Tayner,
Scott Kelvin Fotcher are all able and a squirrela sending
lending a bunch of overs as well the Cincinnati Reads,
but they had no help from the Chicago White Sox
on Saturday five to zero, able to get a very

(08:01):
convincing win. As for the Chicago White Sox, he just
had absolutely nothing going on whatsoever in this game. As
for Cincinnati, they had Nick Lodolo come back for his
first start in an eon, ten punch outs and five
and two thirds innings scoreless. From there, Fernando Cruz he
comes in for one and a third innings, punches out three,
Brent Soonter two scroreless settings and the Chicago White Sox

(08:22):
Harerick Croschet did not have it in this one either.
He punches out ten over the course of four and
two thirds innings. The problem was he gave up five
runs along the way. They bopen Dominique leone joy Leisure,
Michael kopec all end a squirrel of setting and then
you do have one n a third inning scrolls from
Davy Garcia, but damage by then it had already been done.
The Toronto Blue Jays have been a cold team as

(08:42):
far this season, but you know what, they were able
to get the job done in this circumstance on both
the money line and the run line against the corad Rockies.
This by account of five to three for the Rockies,
Brenton Doyle was able to go deep his third armer
on the campaign that comes off of the young guy
making his first career starting and Yariel Rodriguez. For Rodriguez,
he comes in, gives up and so On'm running three

(09:04):
and two thirds sendings, so not terrible there. And then
from there you did have Boten Francis give up two
runs in two and two third settings for Colorado. We're
unable to get the start that they were looking for
out Dakota Hudson as he allows a home run five
runs a total over course of six innings, going deep
for Toronto with Dalton farshow second home run season. Believe
that it's his second home run in the last seven days.
Victor Vodnick Jake Bird. From there, they're both able to

(09:27):
end a scrorel Is setting in for Toronto. They're both
penal with rock solid as well. Chad Green, My Garcia
tim Mesa, they're all able to lend to scroll is setting.
And for the Blue Jays, it has been rough going
for them on offense as far as the season, so
they've actually been one of your halfway decent teams to
the under this farthest season though. The Philadelphia Phillies they
have also been very solid to the under and they
played another one on Saturday four to three. They're able

(09:48):
to take down the Pittsburgh Prior says for the Buckos,
you had mona Co Gonzalz Lender relatively gets started here.
He gives up two runs over the course at six innings.
He does give up a home run along the way,
his own Yo Cruiz. He was able to get a
home run of his own off Spence returnabull his third
of the campaign turnbo Goo's four Paul settings gives up
three runs, including that homer, and for the Philadelphia Philly
is a man that was able to fly the power.

(10:08):
Kyle Schwarber in the first setting off of mister Marco
Gonzales house home run number three of the campaign for him.
From there, for the Phillies, the bopen was very rock solid.
Matt Stroum. He's able to end two scirrel as sendings
Greg Risoto, Jeff Hoffman, Ose Alvarado, they I'll give you
a squirrel a setting. In for Pittsburgh, you had ose
Ornandez not being able to hold on in this one.
He gives up a run in a third advent ending. Meanwhile,

(10:30):
Rolled as Cheman under run surrendered in his third of ending.
As for the Philadelphia Phillies, they walked this off with
mister Nick Cassianos being able to get an RBI single
to be able to get that one to the window,
also being able to get this one to the window.
How about the Boston Red Sox taking down the La
angelsis by account of seven to two. For the La Angels,
he had Taylor Ward be able to go deep off

(10:51):
with Corooper Chriswell fifth Holm run season for Kriswell. Spend
some time with the Tampa Bay Race first appearance with
the Boston Red Sox, and he supplies a relatively good start,
giving up to two runs over the course of four innings,
including that home run. Greg Wiser Josh Mkowski. They both
supply two score less settings apiece. And then you did
have Joli Rodriguez give up a run in an inning
for the Boston Red Sox. Driss and cassas main form

(11:12):
of offense. In this one, he's able to go deeper
home run number three of the season that comes off
of mister Griffin Canning. For Canning, he got canned, giving
up seven runs, six of which were earned over the
course of four innings. Garson Foemer in super long relief
he does walk three, but he was able to get
four scoreless settings of his own. So Ally Angels have
been a little bit up and down this far the season,
and so of the San Francisco Giants out there from

(11:33):
the great state of California. I'll love it to two.
San Francisco. They get it done against the Tampa Bay
Race as it was a hip parade for them. They
Ostrata goes zep twice for his second and third home
runs of the campaign, going deep off of Ryan Pepiote
and Christovinski. Pepio gives one up to Lamontway Junior's first
arm round season. Ben Roven, the backup catcher, gives one
up to match had in third home round season, and

(11:54):
Oures Hilaire goes zeep off a Vivinski as well. Third
on round the campaign for Davinski, not the appearance he
was looking four gives up a pair of home run
six runs a total over the course of two innings,
and Peppi oout he gives up four runs and five
innings incluing a pair of bombs and Ben road Fit
the backup catcher two innings. Pitch gave up just a
Solome run. He was the bitcher of note that did
the best for the Tampa Bay Rays on this day,
and that's not necessarily too terrific. Meanwhile, for San Francisco,

(12:17):
Logan Web had it going on, giving up just one
run and seven innings. From there you have Eric Miller,
London squirrel sending Nickaviola. He was able to come in
for an ending, allowed to run along the way, but
any nice win there for the San Francisco Giants and
very rocks aid win for the Arizona Diamonbacks as well.
Cardinals have actually been your rest team on the run
line thus far this season on able to cover this
run line, though, Arizona gets a win by account of

(12:39):
four to two. As for Kyle Gibson, he allows four
runs over the course of six innings, including Omer going
deep for Arizona Lordis Gurriel. He was able to get
home run number four of the campaign, while Ryan Nelson,
who has had his struggles at home the last few seasons,
he gives up just one run over the course of
six innings. From there, Kyle Nelson four outside of the
bullpen squirrels before Ryan Thompson does a run in two

(12:59):
thirds of ninning. Ginko he holds down the four being
able to get a squirrel setting in Andre Polante Ryan Fernandez.
They both supply a squirrel of setting for the St.
Louis Cardinals and then for the chicag Cubs. They go
on the road. They get the job done against the
Seattle manners this by account of four to one. For
the Cubs. He had a trio of home run see
Suzuki home run number three of the season, Matt Bush
home run number four of the campaign, and Miguel Amaya

(13:21):
was able to go deep for his first as Emmerson.
Ancock allowed the home run to Suzuki. For Hancock gives
up two runs over the course of six innings, relatively
solid performance there and then he had Tayson Miller give
up ace home run and his ending work awesome. Both
he gives up his home run in his two innings
as well. For Seattle, they leave Nineman on basin. They
just were unable to get anything going on offense. As

(13:42):
Shota Imanaga he comes in, gives up one under and
run in five and a third innings. Mark later Junior
for outside the bullpen scoreless, cianc al Monte and Ed
bar Alsley, they both supply a score of setting in
Ecterners he gets and out out of the bullpen scoreless
as well, also being able to get a relatively good
performance on this same How about the Houston Assers, who
have been scuffling recently entering into the day four and eleven,

(14:07):
but they take down the Texas Rangers by a kind
of nine to two. And for Andrewhiney, he was not
long for this game. Gives up four walks in three
and two thirds innings, only allowed two runs, but it
was Ose Reinya that Reinya all over the game. Five
runs surrendered in one and a third innings, and then
Austin Peru gives up two runs in one and two
thirds innings for the Astros, nine runs, none of which

(14:28):
came on. Homer says, you had Jordan Latz come in
for four outside the bullpen, scoreless. Meanwhile, for the Houston Astros,
it was just all about hitting with men and scoring position,
six to sixteen with men in scoring position. While Ronald
Blanco continues to be the stopper for the Houston Astros,
gives up two runs over the course of six innings,
Brian Obrayu, Rafael Moltto along Sean Dubin they're are a
line eight scuirrel of settings. So Houston they find a

(14:50):
way to be able to get the job done. The
Oakland A's are now zero to two on the run
line as a favorite thus far this season. They lose
to the Washington Nationals by count of three to one.
They had actually entered in having won five out of
their last six games out right. And for the Nationals,
they did not do the world's great job of hitting
with men in scoring position, going just two of twelve
with men in scoring position. But Mackenzie Gore was dealing

(15:11):
only five innings in this one for him, but eleven
punch outs Derek Law Jordan Weems combined for a score
of sending to have Robert Gartsia along the way give
up a run in his ending of work but honor
our VI Kyle Finigan. They both are able to supply
a squirrel of Senning and for Oakland Joe Boyle. Oh
Boyle ruled, but the problem was there was no run
support around him. Gives up just one run off the
course of five innings, but takes a loss. Kyle Mueller

(15:34):
three ings of long relief, gives up a run. TJ.
McFarlane gives up a run in two thirds of finn
Ning and Michael Kelly he was able to go for
an out out of the bullpen and after a really
good start to the over to begin the season, the
Oakland A's have been playing quite a few unders recently,
so that has been something to percolate and something to
take a look at. The ELI Dodgers. They have been
playing a lot of overs as far this season. But

(15:55):
of course we make the DK now we're great to
pick the over and the San Diego Padres are not
able to get to Gavin's five to two. The LA
Dodgers are able to get the win. As for Matt Waldron,
he gives up just one run over the course of
five innings that Gavin Stone had a no hitter through
five going before he doesn't get a touch up, giving
up two runs in six and two thirds innings. Michael
Grove from there and out of the bullpen, and then

(16:15):
Danny Hudson Evan Philips. They both supply a squirrel setting
for the La Dodgers. No runs in this one, you
had eight in the previous game. Go figure there. But
Tom Kylescorb does give up three runs in a third
of an ending before Audrey and Barrow hone. He comes
in one and two thirds innings, gives up an under
and run for Nanda Tatis Junior had an air out
there in the field, and Jeanni Brito was able to
supply a squirrel setting of his own. And in terms

(16:36):
of being able to supply to the under, I mean,
my goodness, he had a lot of them on Saturday,
eleven hunderds to just six overs overall. For the day,
you did see the favorites two relatively said job of
cleaning up. They go eleven and six straight up on
the money line. But for the season, if you've been
betting favorites, it's been a little bit rough for you.
One twenty five to ninety two on the money line.
That's about a fifty seven a percent clip. Considering the

(16:58):
juice he'd after lay, he'd be in a little bit
of hurt right now. While road teams are one twenty
and one hundred on the money line, hitting at the
north of a fifty four and a half percent clip
and overs, saw have a very slim lead on unders.
One on our need overs one or four hunders and
along the way, I believe we've gotten twelve pushes as well.
So that's where we're seeing major League Baseball right now,
and that's what we all got on Saturday. Coming next,

(17:19):
let's talk to Rob Donaldson of the show Slash podcast,
Rob's Best Bets Show about what we can expect for
Sunday time. He's been playing a lot of these player
proms and so much more. Right here on The Baseball
Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now apart to the Visa.

Speaker 1 (17:31):
Family of Nikes, breaking down every game every day in
Major League Baseball, this is the Baseball Betting Show. Here
is your host, Greg Peterson, the rector.

Speaker 2 (17:45):
They'll be Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Shoe with
myself Greg Peterson now part of the Visa Family of podcasts.
Always great to be joined by. This man is Rob Donaldson.
He does great work with the show Slash podcast, Rob's
Best best show that's over on YouTube dot com Slash
Rob Donaldson, Emil some great workover at Underdog Fantasy. He
does nice work on the college basketball front, the football front,
the baseball front, you name it, he does it and

(18:08):
you're able to fall on Twitter Slash checks at rob DFB.
Alltogether and Rob, great to have you board.

Speaker 3 (18:12):
Thank you, yeah, thank you for having me on.

Speaker 2 (18:14):
Greg.

Speaker 3 (18:14):
And as we just kind of talked about off at recording,
is you know we've had the Masters, we have you
have C three hundred, We've had baseball today. It's just
been an awesome Saturday and really just a great weekend
for sports in general.

Speaker 2 (18:25):
Yep, it has been a great week in sports, and
it's been great for you the last few days. Is
I know you had a ton of home run props
that we're able to it on Saturday. And when it
comes to taking a look at these home run props,
just how do you go about things and how do
you try to handicap some of these guys and take
a guess on them being able to homer.

Speaker 3 (18:43):
Absolutely, there's a lot of different factors that go into
it and home run props the past three years for
me have really just been honestly the ultimate money maker
for me. But when you're kind of looking at guys
who identify you're wanting to target the guys who have
hit hard balls over the last six or seven games,
just kind of using a short samples eyes in recent
sample sizes at that, and then also just kind of

(19:03):
looking at those hard hits and seeing, okay, have they
already been rewarded with with those hard hits for home runs.
If they haven't, they're probably going to be rewarded at
some point. And then it's just identifying the pitching mashups
and seeing, all right, are they going up against a
pitcher that can give up those home runs and are
the conditions right within the stadium to actually make that
a little bit more possible. Once you've kind of compiled

(19:24):
all those sorts of things, you can identify maybe five
seven guys on every given slate, and it's just about
picking the right ones.

Speaker 2 (19:30):
I do think that that's so important to do. And
when it comes to trying to break this down, how
much do you take a look at like historical trends,
like how guys in the past have performed against a
certain pitcher or just for lack of a better term,
fading perhaps a little bit of a younger pitcher. Because
I always take one of the most difficult things to
do in baseball is look at some of these guys
coming up from the minor league level, because it could
be very much all or nothing with them.

Speaker 3 (19:52):
Absolutely, those are the guys who are going to be
the highest variants, and you know, even targeting guys who
you know maybe are coming off of a rehab start
or are making their first outings of the season. You
look at Tristan McKenzie, for example, he's been getting shelled
the last two times out. I do think as the
season kind of goes on, he's going to be a
very good pitcher because he's so talented. But those guys
coming off those injuries are gonna have a little bit

(20:13):
of rust factor to him right out the gate, and
oftentimes they kind of pay for it just in terms
of bad location. Maybe the velocity is a little bit off,
and maybe just their overall sharpness isn't there, and that
can definitely yield to some extra bay sense.

Speaker 2 (20:25):
Yep, it certainly ken and it's always fun to be
able to dive in on those guys, as we have
seen a lot of young pitchers get opportunities with all
these pitching injuries, and just how you've you been taking
a look at totals as far this season, because I
mentioned it, you were able to a bunch of home
run props on Saturday, and typically when you've got a
bunch of home runs, you probably have a bunch of
overs as well. And I do feel like it's just

(20:46):
one of these seasons where the hitters are perhaps a
little bit in front of the pitchers because it just
feels like the pitching as a whole, whether it be
starting pitching, whether it be a relief pitching, it just
has had a little bit of a drop off this season. Absolutely.

Speaker 3 (20:57):
Part of it two has been, you know, just the
warmer weather that we've had in the early part of
the season, because you know, you kind of go back
historically through MLB and look at March and April, it's
not typically going to be in the sixties, seventies or
upper fifties. We're looking at maybe thirties and forties and
some wind and maybe some rain. And we've had a
fair number of those types of games, but a lot
of these have been fair weather temperatures or fair weather

(21:20):
conditions for the hitters. I think that's actually playing a
massive part, and I don't think that's something overlook And
also when you're just kind of looking at the teams
who play in those you know, shielded off domes, a
lot of those teams that have had a lot of
early home stretches as well, and those are also the
teams that typically smash the ball too. So I think
there's a lot of factors that are kind of rewarding
the offense early on here, and even just kind of

(21:42):
early pitching. Russ is another factor to consider. But yeah,
a lot of different things and a lot of different
overs that I can kind of see hitting here.

Speaker 2 (21:49):
Absolutely as you're wanted to be on the show. We
do have Rob Donaldson who does great work with the
show slash podcast Rob's Best Bets Show, And there's that
out about it. You don't want to be making overly
much of the first two two and a half weeks
of the season. This is the long season, and teams
that start out cool, they're gonna get hot. Teams that
start out off they're gonna get cold. But has there
been anything in general that has popped out to you,

(22:10):
whether it be a team, whether it be a player,
whether it be just a trend in general that you've
been taking a look at and you've been maybe naming
the change your tune on something from what you had
anticipated coming into the season.

Speaker 3 (22:21):
There's a number of teams that I think could definitely,
you know, just rise this year in terms of not
only the games that they're winning, but also just from
a betting standpoint, could be raking in a lot of money.
In the Kansas City Royals, I think I came on
this show last week and kind of brought them up,
but I just can't be more impressed with that team.
They they're playing small ball, they can steal bags, they
can hit extra base hits, they're starting pitching has been fantastic,

(22:43):
And when you have a well rounded team like that,
don't wait and kind of see whether or not fits
for real, you know, jump on that train and ride
it until the wheels fall off. And that's just kind
of always been my perspective. Now baseball is the ultimate
de factor sport, So I do think there's a lot
of you know, different lineups safer like the ash for example,
and the Seattle Mariners, who you know, maybe haven't been

(23:03):
winning the games that they thought they would be winning
so far, but those things are gonna turn around. This
is a very very long season, and it's just about
you know, stay and even keel, but also take some
chances because you might get rewarded.

Speaker 2 (23:15):
Yep. Absolutely, and I do think that there is gonna
be some value moving forward on these underdogs. As favorites
for the season. Entering into Saturday, we're only ending at
about fifty six point eight percent on the money line,
and you're typically thinking, oh, fifty eight six point eight percent,
that's great. But when you've got minus two hundred favorites
most of your average favorites, I would say around like
minus one forty minus one fifty, that's not too great

(23:37):
to say least. So there has been some value on
some of these underdogs, and I do think that there
is gonna be a little bit of dog appeal when
it comes to Sunday as well. I do take a
look at the board and one game that really stuck
out to me was the fact that Nesser Cortes and
the Yankees are gonna be about a minus one twenty
five to a minus one thirty five favorite on the
road against the Cleveland Guardians with a total of eight
and a half. I'm not sure how you're looking at

(23:58):
this game, but I've picked up that the Guardians ever
really done a nice job of any lefties, which Nesser
Cortez is, and I look at Cortez the loayer that
he's performed on the road, and this just feels like
an unpalatable number.

Speaker 3 (24:09):
Yeah, and even when you kind of factor in and
we'll see how this game too, of the doubleheader plays out.
But the Cleveland Guardians as we are recording this, are
down six to nothing in the fourth inning, and so
if they do end up losing this ball game, while
you're looking at the potential sweep on Sunday, I do
think a team like the Guardians going up against the
biggest brand in all of baseball, are gonna take a
little bit of pride in coming out and swinging the bats.

(24:29):
I think that's gonna be a lot stacked against the
Yankees here, and kind of like you said, I do
think this is a lineup that can tag lefties and
you know, getting this nice little plus money even taking
a shot at maybe a plus one rounded number on
the run line. I definitely think the Guardians have a
little bit of value on Sunday.

Speaker 2 (24:45):
No doubt about it. And it's been interesting to take
a look at the Aserds who are currently dead last
in the ao Wes. Not something I thought I'd be saying,
but right now Christian Avi are about minus one twenty
to minus one twenty five against the Texas Rangers. How
do you take a look at this, Because for the Astros,
I don't think that they're going to be ending the
year behind the oakland A's out there in the al Wes.

(25:06):
And I actually like what I've seen our Christian Avia.
After he was awful in the second half of the
year last year, he's been looking much better this season.
But he's also growing up against guy Nathan evald who's
just an absolute gamer and to zacchive about cheap walks.

Speaker 3 (25:18):
Yeah, and I do think that the Astros are finally
finally paying for just kind of getting so lucky with
starting pitching talent over the years. And you know, Ronel
Blanco is a guy who's come out of the gates
absolutely on fire and pitching great baseball for them, obviously,
but at the same time, some injuries and even young
guys who haven't made that next step in the development.
You know, guys like Hunter Brown and JP Franz, who

(25:40):
last year I thought their underlying numbers were terrible, but
they really were getting away with it for months and
months at a time. Well now we're seeing those guys
get shelled, and I do think that they don't really
have answers within their organization at this time. So I
don't know how long this skid is going to last
for the Astros, but I do think it could be
prolonged until you know, there's some roster construction or guys

(26:02):
coming back from injury.

Speaker 2 (26:03):
Yep. But with the Astros, they need Justin verlanderback and
the baddest of ways. Right now, it has been a
little bit less than savory for them. But what is
savory is getting on this show one of our good friends,
Rob Donaldson right here on the Baseball Betting Show and
talking about a lesson savory start for this team. The
Toronto Blue Jays have not looked great, to say the least,
right at the ship on Saturday one and covered the

(26:24):
run line, and now they find themselves against the Kylrad
Rockies as a minus two to forty five favorite. The
total of eight and a half. It is Kyle Freeland
on the mound for the Rockies. So question to you
is which of these lesson savory options that you take
a look at, because the Blue Jays have been a
disappointment and the Colrad Rockies on the Road are well,
the col Raider Rocky's on the road.

Speaker 3 (26:44):
Yeah, And what's kind of interesting about the Coloradder Rockies
is they actually have a number of bats who are
projecting to do well if you're just kind of extrapulating
their hard hit numbers and just kind of what they're
actually doing productions to down production wise, but it hasn't
really accumulated to a whole lot of so far. So
I do think again, just kind of going back to
do factor when you have multiple guys, four or five,

(27:05):
six guys in your lineup who are tagging baseballs and
not getting rewarded for it. At some point, I do
think there's gonna be upside and kind of betting the
Rockies for a stretch and away from cores where they've
had a lot of cold outings in the recent early going.
So far, I do think, you know, playing in the
dome domed environment against the guy who's going to challenge
you could be rewarding for them. So looking at plus

(27:26):
one and a half, plus two at reasonable odds, even
taking a stab at the money line at plus two
hundred with Cal Freeland, who is the ultimate wild card
as a pitcher, I do think there's at least some
value on the color rocky rocky side. I mean even
maybe even team total is worth a sprinkle as well.

Speaker 2 (27:40):
And Jose Barrios has always pitched significantly better when he
has been at home rather than away from him, but
also with the Blue Jays, bullpen Wolves as well, currently
having out the full Jordan Romano a lot, Eric Swanson
and I think it's something to keep in mind as well.
Then something else to keep in mind is the fact
that we've got a few teams that are going to
be going at it on Sunday after a double hunder

(28:01):
on Saturday. We talked about the Yankees and the Guardians,
but also the Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers. They've
had to play a lot of baseball this weekend, and
it's gonna be Bailey over against Captain Jack flarerty relative game,
the Tigers slightest of slight favorites around like minus one
time minus one twelve. How do you take a look
at a matchup like this and a guy in Jack
Flaherty that one he's on, he's on, and one he's off,

(28:22):
poise he off, And I feel like we're able to
say the exact same thing for Bailey over.

Speaker 3 (28:26):
Yeah, absolutely, you nailed it. I think that there's could
be so many runs flying off the board in this game,
and so the over eight is intriguing to me a
little bit. But my only hesitation is also kind of
part of what you said with Jack Flaherty, because that guy,
game to game can give you seven innings of no
earned ball, or he could be out by the third
innings with the seven runs given up. And so when

(28:46):
you're kind of looking at that and also kind of
factoring in that the Twins have some of the highest
strikeout rates from the offensive standpoint in all of baseball
right now, I do think there's a little bit of
a leg up here to the Tigers and even potentially
to just their team total going over whatever it's sitting
at right now. So those would be two angles I
would definitely look at as just the Tigers on the
money line and even just the Tigers team total going over.

Speaker 2 (29:07):
Yep, it is an intriguing one, to say the least.
As for this the Tree Tigers team, the pitching has
been tremendous. It has been a little bit like lesser
in terms of the offense as far as well and Rob.
We do have ourselves a nice late on Sunday. We've
got all thirty teams that are going to be an action.
We don't have any double dips or anything like that.
Is there anything else that we have yet to touch
upon that you're gonna be taking a look at, whether

(29:29):
that be a side total, a player proper too, or
just anything that is catching your eye in general.

Speaker 3 (29:35):
Yeah, that last game going on to Sunday Night Baseball
with the Dodgers and Padres obviously a big time matchup,
and we'll see how that tonight's Saturday game plays out
in terms of the bullpen and just how the game flows.
But the Padres might be fighting off a potential sweep
on Sunday, and you know, going up against James past
and this is a guy obviously who's been around the
MLB for a long time, but last time out he

(29:57):
was getting shelled and getting tagged. And you know, if
the Padres all our face in a sweep here against
their ultimate rival, it could spell some danger for Paxton.
So when you're kind of looking at that over of
eight and a half or even just the potters on
the money line or a plus one, I think those
are the sides I'm definitely targeted in that Sunday night
baseball game.

Speaker 2 (30:13):
We're not doubt it if we see some tire bullpens
as well the game on Friday one eleven innings, And
we were doing this before we know the outcome of
what happened on Saturday. But that said, you had a
starting pitching matchup I've met Waldron going up against our
good friend Gavin Stone. That is not necessarily tremendous, to
say the least. But what is tremendous is getting you
on the show, my friend, Robbie. You do such a

(30:34):
great job. Take a look at this great game of baseball.
So I love to get people at home. No, it's
all on tap for you and how people are able
to follow on on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (30:42):
Yeah, and it is always Greg, thank you for having
me on. It's gonna be a fun summer all year long.
And you know, even this early few weeks that we've
had so far. Major League Baseball has been a ton
of fun as well. But for those who are one
to follow my bets and interact with me on a
daily basis, you can do so on Twitter, slash x
at Rob dfb and then also on my YouTube just
my name Rob Donaldson And as always Greg really appreciate

(31:03):
having me on.

Speaker 2 (31:03):
Always appreciate Rob. He does such a great job deciphering
this great game of baseball. Every single time he joins
the show, I feel like we gain some great wisdom,
much like today. So thank thanks for Rob for joining
me on The Baseball Betting Show now part of the
Vson Family podcasts and coming next. It is that time
of the podcast. They give you picks and analysis at
every game on the betting board for this Baseball Sunday
as we at.

Speaker 1 (31:24):
Them off, breaking down every game every day in Major
League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is
your host, Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (31:37):
Everbreger love me Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show
with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Vison Family
podcast It is always great to be joined by Rob Donaldson.
He does great work with his show Slash Podcast, Rob's
Best bet Show every single time he joins me learn
such good insights on this game that we all know
and love. Should be a very interesting season moving forward,

(31:57):
and we'll be sure to get on Rob quite a
bit as he does an amazing job deciphering this game
that we all know and love. So big thanks to
them for joining me. And last segment. Now it is
that time the podcast they give you picks in analysis
and every game on the betting board for this Baseball
Sunday as we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (32:12):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (32:18):
Do you know that, as per usual, any changes are
made to these plays will be listened up on my
Twitter slash x feed at unit under Squitey one. And
we are going to be going in Las Vegas rotation
order on this. We are going to be going with
the Nation League games first, then the American League games,
any inter league games, those are going to be at
the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, neat, clean and easy.
So without further ado, let's dive in on this first game.

(32:40):
It is I'm fifty one, I'm fifty two on the card.
It is the Pittsburgh Pirates on the road facing up
against the Philadelphia Phillies. Zach Wheelin and Dyland Wheelers on
the bump for the Pills, and Mitch Keller goes for
the Pirates. See total on this game. It is eighty
over his mins, one fifteen under his mines one of five.
With the pills, they're going to be getting the many.
We're tween minus one somebody eight to minus one ninety
two in the neighborhood of plus one fifty five to

(33:01):
plus one sixty five. That number on the buck goes
right now. Initial run line that I'm seeing. If you
lay a run half of the Phillies, Y're able to
get a plus one fourteen. And I was willing to
go to a plus one o eight or higher. So
now that we're above a plus one oh eight, I'm
gonna be willing to take shot on that Phillies run line.
Zach Wheeler, throughout his career, has had a few struggles
in the month of April, but he has been a
very good form thus far this season. He's up to

(33:23):
era to get touched up a little bit in that
last start against the San Louis Cardinals, giving up three
runs in that one once in nessly helped out by
the fielding there and has already been tagged with two
undroned runs as far this season. But all know, I
like the stuff that he's working with. He's gotten twenty
strakecouts in nineteen innings, has the largest two walks. Seems
to be very dialed in. Meanwhile, for Mitch Keller, he
was the old the velocity dip towards the beginning part

(33:44):
of the season. Looked better in his last start against
it A Trey Tigers gave up two runs over the
course of six innings, but still have some concerns there.
He did fade towards back half of the season last year.
It's backed up by relatively saw a bullpen. Even with
Ryan Brooki out of the full Roaldi Shaman David Bennard,
these guys have been rock solid and I'd like what
Colin will is able to bring to the table as well.
He's been rough thus far this season, but last year
I was able to put up a sub three to

(34:05):
ninety ra for this team osay Rnandez in the same
neighborhood of that as well. For the Philadelphi Phillies, this
has been a Bopen that has been in a little
bit of tough form to begin the season, but it
does feel like Saranthe to being Jezoso Alvarado. They're starting
to figure it out and you've gotten some good production
out of Gregory Soto as well. For the Phillies lineup
certainly has been up and down. A lot of guys
have come out of the gates cold as you had

(34:26):
Bryce Harper have that three home run game and pass
Eddie has done nothing all season long. Kyle s Forber, though,
was able to bust out yesterday with a home run
and he had a three plus a game, So that
is something that you do like to see if you're
in the Philadelphi. Phillies has been to Cassianos along with
most of the guys at the bottom of the fold,
like a Garrett Stubbs who got the start yesterday, no
doubt about it, Joan Roa Whitmerfield, guys like this. They

(34:48):
just have not been able to move the line. And
Braleck Bolm he's been able to get on base, but
you haven't had a ton of power out of the
team thus far. I do think that that'll be coming
moving forward to Avando Sosa, has been a nice fine. Meanwhile,
for the Pirates, they've got a lot of young talent,
but you do have to question the consistency Brian Reynolds,
Cabrian as o'el Cruz. They have been a little bit
up and down throughout the season, Cruz going deep yesterday,
but the consistency with these guys not there. Jacks Woniskey

(35:11):
hitting blow them? Does I have two hundred long Henry Davis?
These guys have been a little bit disappointing as well,
So do just put you in an interesting spot. I
do think that the Pirates are going to be able
to get a few runs off of Zach Wheeler here,
but I really just don't like the form of Mitch Keller,
and with Ryan Barrooki being out of the fold for
that Pirate's bullpen that used a lot of guys yesterday,
I do think that you're gonna be able to get
a relatively I scoring game here. Somebody tell it at

(35:32):
eight point three, So I do like the over and
with the Phillies willing to take a plus one O
eight or higher on that run nine nine fifty three,
nine to fifty four on the Benning board, the Atlanta
Braves are on the road face we got against the
Miami Marlins. Aceus Lezardo's on the bump for the Fish,
Charlie Morton is on the bump for Atlanta. Atlanta is
between minus one forty five to one minus one fifty
five favorite plus one thirty plus one thirty five. That
number on Miami eight to eight and a half is

(35:53):
a total on the overs minus one fifteen. The under
is minus one of five on the eight and a
half unders mines one twenty over is even. I set
the Lanta Braves at a minus one forty three on
the money line. If you're looking to lay a run half,
you're gonna be getting right in the neighbor. But about
a plus one ten or so so does put me
in a little bit of a bind here. If we
can get down a few more sins, which I'm thinking

(36:14):
that one the Dame lines come out out here in
Las Vegas, I should be able to get right around
about a minus one forty two. So right now looking
at a chalk Ear Braves money line. But that is
a little bit of Wayne simo, because there've been a
lot of people wanting to fade the Miami marlind So
if we can get a plus one forty five, That'd
be something that I'd be looking at, because Aceves Zzarto
is really the top guy is Miami Marlin seem even
though he hasn't pitch like it this far the season,

(36:36):
coming off of a terrible start against the New York
Yankees in race loss Aizzarto just in general, he has
been a completely different pitcher when he has been in
Miami rather than on the road. Last season, he posts
it up a sub three ERA, was given up lesson
home run for nine, and then he's at home and
starts that were made away from him. Last season he
had more like a four forty ERA, so I do

(36:56):
think that that is something to be mindful of. He
still is able gets right outs about and punch use
for nine nnings since the beginning part of last season. Meanwhile,
for Charlie Morton, so bedy able to get swings and
missus even though he's at an advanced age of forty
years old, was still getting about ten strike I guess
for nine ennings last season. But Charlie Morton was quite
a bit lucky last season, and you do have to
wonder if things are going to be coming to a

(37:17):
head for him, like we've been seeing with a lot
of these pitchers for the Atlanta Braves early on during
the season, as Charlie Morton a season goes Yera was
a three sixty four fielding independent more than neighbored about
a three eighty seven as he was giving up about
four and a half walks for nine Nnings was very
much able to get those swings and Missus was able
to keep the ball in the yard, but was putting
a lot of guys very cheaply on base, and his

(37:39):
fly ball to home run ratio was just absolutely unreal.
Got an Atlanta Braves lineup that certainly is going to
be able to sply the boom in this one. You've
got Marcel's already at six home runs the start of
this season. Lda Coony Junior has been struggling a little bit.
He's been finding it a little bit more in this series,
but has his many home runs as myself. But Ozzie Albie's,
Austin rile Ley Meddles and Michael Harris is second, and

(38:00):
all these guys are in at least two to fifty
nine with at least a three thirty three on base
with multiple home runs I mean, this lineup is beastly.
Jared Kelnick is finding it in for the Miami Marlins.
Other than Jake Berger, you really don't have a lot
of power. You've got Berger give you a three home runs,
Jash Bell as a pair as well, but don't have
a lot of guys moving line. With Luisa Rise just
not where he was. He sees to go hitting about

(38:20):
a chop sixty, which I mean for a normal player
that isn't bad. You got Brian Dalacruz and Anderson both
hitting in the neighbor about a two seventy five. But
the outfield with Nick Gordon of v SiO Garcia, Asus
Sanchez all hitting below at two hundred Nick fortees not
giving you anything at the plate. That's rough. Now, if
you look at the advans numbers of Marlins are having
an expected banning average about thirty points higher than their

(38:41):
actual batting average. So we should see some positivity for
this lineup moving forward. But this is a very very
bad bullpen Tanner Scott has been okay over the last
few seasons and New Scarboard's open He's not terrible, but
six of Sanchez has been a mess. George Sriano's a
nice long guy, but they don't utilize him too much.
Bert Smith is someone that you don't want to have
a lot of faith in him. For the Inlanta Braves,

(39:02):
Pierce Johnson ever since see was pretty much dfa by
the Padres slash Rockies. He's been rock solid in this bullpen.
You've had Ti the Mansa kJ Minter get off to
a rough start, but I like the Jesse Chavez is
able to provide as well. So when he got a
little bit of line move but at a minus one
forty two or less, I'd be willing to ride with
Braves on the money line. And I did think that
you get runs of this game, so I might toet
it at eight point seven. So regardless of if you

(39:22):
have an eight or eight and a half nad, the
over to go along with most likely the Braves right
around about minus one forty two or so nine fifty
five nine fifty six on the bank board the Years
and the Diamondbacks of the Saint Louis Cardinals. Miles Michelis
goes for the cards and Zach Allen is on the
bump for Arizona. Arizona is between a minus one forty
five to minus one fifty five favorite between plus one
thirty and plus one thirty five. That number on Saint

(39:42):
those and half is a total vers between minus Pontenio
minus twenty unders between even and minus one ten. Set
the Diamondbacks out of minus one seventy two. On the
money line, you're able to lay a run and a
half for a plus one forty in Typically when it
comes to these sorts of spots, I'd rather lay a
chalk your money line, but I'm gonna be one to
lay this run line beca as Miles Michael. This is
a guy that I just have absolutely no faith in
whatsoever For Michaels. He does a nice job not issuing

(40:05):
a lot of walks or anything like that. He really
doesn't lose command, but he just gets banged around like
a pinatti. He's at an advanced age and he just
gives up a lot of contact in general. As far
as the season, it's given up just two on runs
at seventeen innings. But he's just not getting a lot
of swings and misses, not keeping guys off guard at all.
And I do think that this Arizona Diamondbacks lineup, which

(40:26):
has been very good to begin the season everything going
into yesterday darn near six runs per contest at home.
I think that they're gonna be able to get to
him as you've got Edie kingos Fores, Christian Walker, Key
tel Marte, Lord of Scurriel owning at least a two
seventy three all with at least two of them runs.
As far as the season plays, Alexander is saying above
three hundred. He's been able to go yard a few times.
As far as this season, Cort mc carroll has been

(40:48):
off to a little bit of a rough start to
the season. You know that he's not going to be
saying him down long. So that's gonna be big for
this bunch. They've been able to do a nice job
of having even guys like gabrielle Moreno find a way
to move line. Now, if you do have darkation with
the years in the Diamondbacks, for one, you have a
bullpen that's a little bit less than trustworthy. I'd like
Ryan Thompson along with Kyle Nelson in this bullpen, but
it said Luis free as Miguel Casteo, Joe bantuply honestly

(41:10):
the world's greatest and for Zach Gallen philosophy seems to
be coming back a little bit, but his velocity dipping
towards the back half last season and him throwing just
north of two hundred and forty innings in general, it
does have to leave you with a little bit of caution.
Did have those ten strikecuts in that start against the
Colrad Rockies in Corus Hell. Wasn't his fault. That team
really couldn't provide a lot of offense, and goes up
against the Cardinals line up that has had a tough

(41:32):
time generating offense when they've been away from home. At home,
it's been a little bit better for them, and I
do expect a lot of positivity moving forward on Friday.
That might have been the turn of a little bit
of something. But Paul Goldschmith, Nolan Aernaudo, these guys just
have not been able to go deep this far this season.
Have to wonder if they're getting a little bit long
in the tooth. But I still think that they've got
plenty left in the tank. But entering a ds A

(41:53):
Goldschmid being below the Mendoz line of two hundred, aeronaudtas
stuck on one home run, it's really been Nolan Gorman,
who's been able to supply be more boom, not necessarily
hitting for average, but three home runs. But I thinking
back Lars Newpark gonna be big for this team, could
use a little bit more out of a pair of
guys and Victor Scott Jordan Walker rating below the nose.
I have Torner, but Mason win has honestly been a
nice fine for this team as well. So puts you

(42:15):
in an interesting circumstance with the Cardinals just not having
a lot on the bullpen as well, because you've had
Ryan Elslie be an All Star reliever in the past,
and I'd like the pick up of Andrew Kittrich, but
you are the only two guys from a season ago
that had a sub three five yar A Jojo romaricund
be a little bit of roll the ice. Jevane Giagos
has had some success thround his career, but it's been
up and down for him. So circumstance where I do

(42:37):
think that you're gonna be able to get some runs
in this game. I sent my total that an eight
point six. Arizona seems to be playing very much of
it ors as far as the season, so we'll gonna
be over with the Diamondbacks. Wanted to take a plus
price on that run line. Any think of a plus
one eighteen or higher wonder roll with the Diamondbacks to
go along with this total over nine fifty seven nine
to fifty eight on the big board. The San Diego
Patres they throw their facing off against the LA Dodgers.

(42:57):
James Packson gooz for the Dodgers. You Darvish is on
the bump for the Potterys, and the Potters are a
size blonder dogs between plus one thirty six plus one
forty two and he between minus one fifty five minus
one sixty four. That number on the Dodgers eight and
a half is a total over is minus one twenty unders.
Even if you're looking at a lay a run half
with the Dodgers, you're gonna be able to get plus
one thirty on it. And for the Dodgers, I slip

(43:19):
them more run a minus one sixty three on the
money line, but I'm gonna be willing to take that
run line for the LA Dodgers. They have won all
but thirty five of their games since the beginning of
the twenty twenty two season. During the regular season, by
multiple runs, and if you take a look at it,
they've had two hundred and twenty one wins in that
time span. So they either win by multiple runs or
they lose out right. And I like what I've seen now.

(43:41):
Have James Paxson this far, He did have the five
walks in that first start against the San Francisco Giants,
but he is able to give you some nice swinging
mis stuff. Has dealt with injuries all throughout his career,
or else he would be very much more a prevalent pitcher.
But I do think that he's gonna be able to
keep the Potteries a little bit more off kilter. It's
a Pottery's lineup that has been able to nice job
away from home. They are between about five runs per

(44:01):
contest when they do step away from San Diego, as
Fernando Tatties Junior has already belt it up five home
runs as far this season. Then favorite guys in Jake
Cronobert Jrickson Profar having big seasons going into yesterday, both
with multiple homers, both at a north of a two
ninety five. Jackson Merrill at the top of the fold
has made about a three hundred as well now the
catcher spot with Wis Capisano has been tremendous. They did

(44:21):
have to give Kylo Goshioka start yesterday. That's not necessarily
where you want to be. But on all let's a
Pattery's lineup that's been able to do a solid job
move line and the Dodgers they're just the death start
Mookie best. Ask Hernandez entering dyesterday a combined eleven home
runs between the two of them, and each of your
top five hitters for the LA Dodgers entering d yesterday
had a batting average of about two ninety or great

(44:42):
or now bomb full, keyk Hernandez, Kevin Lux, James Alban
These guys need to pick it up a little bit.
But I mean it is a Dodgers lineup that is
one of the best at being able to draw a
walks and really both of these seams were in the
top three last season in terms of walkstrawn. On a
prapay basis is Dodgers bullpen. It's been a little bit
up and down to begin the sea. He's a Ryan
Brazier after he was so good last season, He's had

(45:02):
his issues along with Joe Kelly. But I said Alex Passio.
He's a relatively solid option along with Dany Hudson. The
Sodgers team has held with so many injuries and Blake
tryin injury has been absolutely killing them. JP fire Eyesen
is someone that they kicked the tires on as well.
I know that he's been just deal with injuries. In general,
was very good, but he was both the Tampa Bay
Rays a few seasons ago, so we'll see if he's

(45:22):
able to reacclimate himself. And for the San Diego Patters,
this team is in the bottom fifteen in the Big leagues.
With regards to their Bullpenny Ray as well, Johnny Brito
has been absolutely terrible for the seam. Yuki mat Sue,
Stephen Kolak might have a little bit of upside, and
I'd like Ronnie Peralta and Neil Danel Santos, but you
lose from the offseason Josh Hader as well, and I
do think that that's going to be hurting them, along

(45:42):
with the fact that you Darvish has just been a
little bit all over the place this season. His first
start against the Los Angeles Rodgers only gave up one
under and run, but he walked three that was in
that Soul series and his last two starts that combined
seven runs allowed over the course of ten innings. Hasn't
necessarily been taken deep, but command has that been there.
Feels like he's getting up there in years, about thirty

(46:03):
seven years old. Tho swinging miss stuff might be starting
to wear down just a little bit. Has had a
few struggles since going to San Diego when he's been
away from home. Is road era with the batteries is
about a point and a half higher than it is
at home, So I do think that the Dodgers is
going to be able to hit him up. I do
think that this is going to be a higher scoring
a fair I did so my total and at eight
point eight. I do like the overine with the Dodgers.
They have an act for being able to win games

(46:24):
by multiple runs. I'm willing to take a plus one
ten or higher with that run and half laying it
with the Dodgers and going to be taking a look
the over ten to fifty nine, nine to sixty on
the bank board. The La Angels sit the road face
off against the Boston Red Sox. Brian Dio goes for
the Sucks. Tyler Anderson is on the bump for the Angels.
Angels are a plus one ten to a plus one
twenty underdog any between minus one twenty five dollars minus

(46:44):
one thirty That number of Boston nine and a half
is the total unders between mins one ten to mis
twenty overs between even a minus one ten. I did
make the Boston Red Sox a favorite of minus one
fifty four. I am going to be willing to lay
it with Brian Bao. I've been so impressed by the
way that he's been able to utilize a change up
over the last few seasons. It feels like he's able
to induce a lot of weak contact and just keep

(47:04):
guys off balance in general with it for our bail
As far the season, it's been a little bit up
and down. He's been able to go out there and
has been able to do a nice job and be
able to work on the walks that were not a
bad issue last season, but hel early on in his
career he was given out a few too many of them.
Last year had about seven half strikecats to two and
a half walks for nine and he's hasn't gotten a
tone of swingings and misses as far this season and

(47:26):
has also been hurt by the fielding. He's given up
two hundred runs that's far this season, and some of
the earned runs I would argue that they were impacted
a little bit by the errors as well. But I
do think that he's going to be able to go
out there and sling a relatively good performances. He's actually
been able to perform quite well at Fenway throughout his career. Meanwhile,
you've got a guy Tyler al Anderson who he has
given up no runs in fourteen innings across his two stars,

(47:48):
has walked just three and he's been the beneficiary of
some very very soft contact And was he unlucky last year? Yes,
last season he posted up in the ra that was
well north of five with La Angels. Biggest thing for
him is that he was a picture contact guy that
was giving up darn near three and a halfter four
walks er nine and he's you just can't have that
a strikeout to walk ratio that is sub two. When

(48:10):
he was with the La Dodgers two seasons ago, his
walks for nine rate was sub two. And it feels
like the command is back has been a little bit
fortunate on balls and play, and now you have to
go into very much a hitters ballparking Fanway, which is
a little bit older the same year. But Tyler O'Neal,
he has been very kellyenta. He's got six home runs,
providing north of ay four on our base and trisicasis
after you was hot to end the season last year.

(48:32):
Three home rowns is a no solid job move the line,
but you need some of these young guys to pick
it up. Jaron Duran has been tremendous hitting above a
three hundred BN, the likes of Emmanuel Veldez, Sadine Rafaela,
Pablo Reyes. Hitting below two undred, that's an issue. As
his Raphael Devers. He's provided two home runs and about
a three twenty on base, but he's only get a
buck eighty four. Overall, this is a Red Sox bullpen

(48:53):
that you do have your trepidations with. But Chris Barton,
Kenley Jansen, they're relatively solid in their roles. So as
long as Kenley Jansen is on on a big like
primetime stage, typically gets a job done for you. Josh
Minkowski as someone that's able to fill multiple dings and
it's still very much on my question marks. In terms
of La Angels bullpen, they're looking to a lot of
reclamation projects like Hunter Strickland and simber Ose Cserno. I

(49:15):
actually do like a Carlos to sevens and Matt Moore
have been able to bride the seam. But Christ Foremer
that's another blast from the past that's not great. And
for the l Angels it's just a very top heavy
team in general. Mike Trout has been amazing. He's given
you six plus home runs. He's doing a great job
being able to move line to Taylor Ward has provided
five home runs as well. He's off to a really
nice start to the season. But you look outside of

(49:37):
those two guys other than Logano Hoppi, Logano Hopi does
not deserve any slander. Everyone else in the starting lineup yesterday,
excluding those three guys hitting a two to oh seven
or lower guys like Anthony Rendon, Miguel Sino, zach Netto
Aaron Nix. You just need more out of these guys.
And I do think that the overall balance of Buston
it is gonna rain through. And I do think that

(49:57):
Tyler Anderson is improved from what he was to go,
But I said, I do think that we're gonna see
a little bit of regression here. I did sell my
total that at eight point seven the conditions aren't necessarily
great out there in Boston. I do think that both
Mayo and Anderson going to be able to induce some
nice self contact here. So it is a circumstance where
I'm gonna be willing to take a look at this
total under and I'm gonna be willing to ride the
Red Sox on the money line. N sixty one nine

(50:19):
to sixty two is the DK Now we're right to pick.
The New York Yankees are on the road facing against
the Cleveland Guardians. Logan Allen goes for the Guardians. Mister
Nestor Cortes is on the bump for the Yankees, and
the Yankees are a favorite. Of Any between minus one
twenty eight to minus one thirty five plus one fourteen
to plus one twenty four is your number on the Guardians.
Eight and a half in is a total overs minus
one fifteen to minus one twenty the unders. Any between

(50:39):
minus one and five to minus one ten right up
here is on the Guardians. Right now, find them right
around plus one fifteen to plus one twenty following they
should have been minus one fifteen. I think that this
is a case of the wrong team being favored, so
by right up here is going to be on that
Guardian's money line. I have big time trepidations with Nester.
Cortes says he missed much of last season due to injury,
and him this season has been just nine and day

(51:02):
different when he's been at home rather than away from home,
coming off of a really nice start, a shutout start
last time out against the Miami Marlins. But if you
take a look at what he's done on the road
since the beginning of the twenty twenty three season, he
has been issuing three point seventy five walks and one
point five home runs per nine innings with a five
to seventy five ERA compared to a three seventy seventy
area with one point eight walks per nine innings when

(51:23):
he has been at home going against someone in Logan
Allenhu He's been solid ever since getting called up to
the Big League of level not great, not terrible in
his career about a three eighty ninety RA for some
t field independent gets about eight AF strakecouts one point
one home runs per nine in nings. If you're looking
for like your average sharter, there you go. But average
is gonna be good enough in my opinion, for the Guardians,
who entered into Game two of the Double Dip yesterday

(51:45):
with the best bullpen in the Big leagues with a
buck fifty three, ra now probably hiked up a little
bit after yet trist McKenzie not be a hole down
the fourth very long for the Cleveland Guardians. But on
top of that, when the Guardians had face off against
left handed pitching, they have been absolutely tremendous. Says that
was going into a Game two of the Double Dip,
but they were hitting three hundred against the left He's

(52:05):
going into that game two yesterday. You've got a lot
of guys that are just finding way on base. Josh Taylor,
Stephen Kwan, Andresa Menez, Jill Fry, these guys are all
hitting above with tre Guardians aren't gonna provide a lot
of power. They were last in the Big leagues in
terms of home runs last season. I think they're gonna
be a little bit better this year with Naylor square
Jose Ramirez being able to provide a little bit of power,
But this is very much a team that is going

(52:25):
to draw their singles. They're gonna just find a way
to be able to move the line going against the
Yankees lineup that has had a few guys have been
scuffling in Aaron Judge, Alex Verdugo, Labor Torres. Now you've
had a lot of hot bats as well, Anthony Vope,
Juan Soto, both of these guys in Arthur four arm
Base Sodo goes zep yesterday in game number two. Anthony
Rizzo looks like he's getting back to his old form

(52:45):
as well, and as Waldough, Cabrera's been tremendous for the
team as well. For the Yankees, they are a top
ten team as well in terms of bullpenny or a
like what you're able to get out of the likes
of Ian Hamilton Victor Gonzalez. It's a little bit of
a roll the dice when you do have Klay Holmes
in the closer rule. But when he's on, he's on.
But I do think that for Netser Cortest, his issues
on the road are going to be popping up. And
I do think that the Guardians, they continue to hit

(53:07):
lefties my DK howork right to pick that is going
to be on the Guardians on the money line. Well,
in the layfto minus one fifteen, I did seth my
total at an eight point seven. So here at the
eight and a half, I do like the over, am
I right up? That is going to be on the
Guardians nine sixty three, nine sixty four on the betting board.
The Minista Twins that the road their face up against
the Detroit Tigers. Captain Jack Claerty is on the bump
for the Tigers and Bailey ober is on the bump

(53:28):
for the Twins. And this is a relatipicome game with
the Detroit Tigers are between minus one of five dollars
minus went twelve, between minus one of five to minus
one ten is that number on Minnesota eight to eight
and a half is a total on the eighth overs
minus twenty eighteen. The under is minus one O two
on the eight and a half under is minus one
tendo a minus one twenty the overs any between even
m minus one ten, and I did set the Tigers

(53:48):
out of minus one thirty one. I'm gonna be looking
at them on the money line. I've got just so
much repidation right now with Bailey Ober. Ober does a
nice job not issuing a lot of walks, and his
swings and misses have not been two bad recently, he
has been able to get in that pocket about nine
strikecouts per nine and Ning's eating back to the beginning
of the twenty twenty three season, but his home runs

(54:08):
per nine rate really since the back half of last
season has been absolutely awful. If you take a look
between the twenty twenty three and the twenty twenty four campaign,
he is giving up well north at one point five
home runs per nine and Ennings his walks for nine
rate once again very rock solid, but he's got a
fielding independent that is well north of four ever since
the beginning part of last season as well. So to
have my struggles in being able to back him there.

(54:30):
And for Jack Flarity, this is the ultimate role that
ice for Jack flarerty. When this guy is on, he
is absolutely tremendous and he's one of the most lockdown
pitchers in the big leagues. I wish I could put
it any other way. It just feels like sometimes he
forgets out of pitch. I mean, he's got twelve strikeouts
in twelve innings as far the season and has only
walked one. But for Jack Flarity first start of the year,
he looked tremendous against the Chicago White Sox and then

(54:52):
got to lacked against the Oakland A's it's just what
you're gonna get out of Jacket Flaherty. But I do
think that the Tigers do back him up with a
very good bullpen, considering that they played to yesterday. I
do think that this bullpen is going to do a
very nice job of holding down the fortress because they've
got a little bit more depth. In general, you don't
have that one guy that's going to absolutely light it
up for you, but guys like Shelby Miller, Jason Foley,

(55:14):
Alex Lang, Andrew Chafin, Tyler Holton, these guys have also
played a sub to fifty era as far this season.
I like Wolvest as well, and you wanted on. The
main closer for the Minnesota Twins is currently out of
the fold so Cody Thunderberg, Correolcala, Griffin Jackson. Guys like
this need to hold down the fort and I did
like the pickup of Steven Okurt as well, So I
do think that both of these team's going to be

(55:34):
able to do a solid job on that front. For
the Twins, credit where credit as due. They were able
to erupt in the eleventh inning in that game yesterday
against the Detroit Tigers. But this has been a lineup
that has been very inconsistent in terms of getting on me.
It's Carlos Carea, Alex Kurloff, both of these guys hitting
above a three. Everybody if you look at the Game
two lineup that they tried it out there, other than
Kurloff who was giving a three hundred, nobody else had

(55:56):
sun at bat in that game inning above a two
thirty eight. Like that's a big giant issue at ward.
Juliana's four home runs as far as the season, but
you don't have guys moving the line, and I wish
I could put any of their way, But when Royce
Wolves isn't out there, they get zapped of their superpowers.
And for the Detroit Tigers, lots of slow starters for
this team as well. Spencer trikal Sin is hitting a
three hundred, He's provided no power whatsoever. Abby Paias is

(56:19):
right now a giant waste some money. He Jason Rodgers,
Carson Kelly, Keith, the second baseman will go down the
list of guys hitting a two twenty five or lower.
It's rough. Friley green As provides some power, but he's
honestly doing a great job. Would be able put back
to ball as well. So given though both of these
starters do have their issues, I did something total as
some twenty eight. I just don't think that these offenses

(56:40):
are going to generate a lot of offense, So we're
gonna at the under have a little bit more faith
in the Tigers bullpen, so riding with the Tigers on
the money line to go along with his under nine
sixty five nine sixty six on the binyboard. The Euston
Astros playoffs to the Texas Rangers. Nathan Evaldi is on
the bump for the Rangers, Goodish shin Avian is on
the bump for the Estros, and the Asterers are between
minus one fifteen to minus one twenty five favorites between

(57:00):
plus one oh five to plus one ten is that
number on Texas signed is a total underspinds on twenty
of the overs. Even been a rough start to the
year for the Houston Astros, but I did play him
as a favorite in the spot of minus one twenty six,
So minus one twenty five is a Maxim'm gonna be
one tola, but I'm gonna be willing to lay a
Christian Avier was miserable in the back half of the
season last year. It feels like he's got that electric

(57:22):
stuff once again this season. And I do think that
the Euston answers are gonna be able to get online
a little bit more against the pitcher of Nathan of
all of you, he can give up his art contact
from time to time with of all the year, you
know that you're gonna get a lot of command with
him nast year prior to him getting injured, and if
you separate out that month of September where he wasn't great,
he was only giving up about two walks per nine

(57:43):
ninnings As far the season, four walks in eighteen and
two thirds innings, getting nineteen strike cuts. He has ben
rock solid. But how about Christian Aavier thirteen strike cuts
at sixteen and third innings. The strike cut numbers are down,
but he's been able to do a nice job mitigating
heart contact. Now there are a few warning sides with Kristianavier.
He's always had a little bit of a tough time
with the Guards command, and he is giving up North
for four walks per nine and unnings as far, and

(58:03):
it has been a case where he has been a
little bit shaky with regards to the command in the
last two games, especially with eight walks in that time span.
But he's been one of the few guys for the
Houston Asters that I've been able to give you some
good endings. And if you can get to the back
half of the Asters bullpen, you've got Ryan Presley and
Josh Hader. They've been a little bit rough to begin
the season, but these two guys are able to lock
it down. You've had Ralphie Montedo, who did come into

(58:24):
the game yesterday, be very solid for this bullpen, as
well as Brian Torayu. And then for the Texas Rangers.
It's a fortified bullpen from a season ago. It's still
not amazing, but you're able to bring in a pair
of guys Kirby Yates, You're able to bring in as well,
David Robertson. They've been able to hold down the fort
so I do like but they're able to bring to
the table. End for the Texas Rangers offenses right now
in much better form than that of the Houston answers,

(58:45):
despite the fact that the Astors were able to get
the job done yesterday. But for Texas, you know that
guys are going to be able to get on basis.
At the top of the fold, you've got a Doulas Garcia,
Marcasimi and Corey Seeger, all guys sitting at least at
two seventy nine, and all these guys we're able to
supply twenty five plus home runs he sees to go.
It's Ben Garcia has been really your main home run
guy this season. White Langford has done a nice job

(59:06):
moving the line, and when he's not getting really really
bad calls from Angel Ornandez, he's able to reach base.
Has you have to be able to get that first
home run. But like what I've been seeing out of him,
Jared Walsh has been a little bit up and down,
but I'll know this is a Ranger team that's going
to be one of the best offenses in all baseball.
The top of the Houston Ashers lineup has been great.
You've got Kyle Tucker, who's been able to give you
about a three sixty five on base you need, he

(59:26):
has more around to three fifty five. But for Diaz,
he has been able to wallop the ball this far.
He's already been able to get three home runs os
Al two Vay Jordan Alvarez nout four arm bas three
plus home runs apiece. For those guys, it's about what
you're able to get out of the bottom. Mercy Dubon
is starting to pick it up a little bit, but
I've had Osebay you would be oh so miserable for
this bunch. Alex Bragman is having one of his just pended.

(59:47):
Alex Bragman slow starts, He's not doing a terrible job
of reaching base, but no power from him whatsoever. John
Singleton guys like this. They have been a little bit
up and down. So does lead to a little bit
of an interesting spot. I do think that both of
these pitchers are going to be able to supply a
relative we could start. For Javier, he needs to lock
it in a little bit with his command, and I
do think that he's gonna be able to do so.
So here at to nine looking at the under something

(01:00:07):
my total at eight point seven, but with the aswers,
I do think that the back half of the bullpen,
gonna be able to get it done here. I do
like the askers on the money line to go along
with this total under nine sixty seven nine to sixty eight.
On the biking board, the Baltimore Oriols are going to
be playing out the Milwaukee Burds. Colin Rays says Pip
paray to another start end. Gorban Burns is on the
bump for the Baltimore Orioles. Burns and the Orioles are
between minus one seventy five to minus one ninety favorites

(01:00:28):
between plus one fifty four to plus one sixty. That
number on the broker eight is a total over and
under any between minus one of five to minus one fifteen.
With the Orioles, I set them on the money line
out of minus one sixty nine. If you're looking to
lay a run and a half, you're gonna be getting
in that neighborhood of about plus one fifteen to a
plus one twenty. If we can get a plus one

(01:00:48):
twenty on that run line, that would be my by
point on Baltimore. I would need more like a plus
one seventy to be able to take a shout on Coylray.
Now I will say this, with Colin Ray, you did
have an ERA that was about half a point better
when he is away from home rather than when he
was at home last season, So he is in a
little bit more of his element. A lot of Brewers
pitchers in generals just have not performed well at Miller

(01:01:09):
Park in recent years. But now you've got a guy
in Corbyn Burns that spent a lot of time with
the Milwaukee Brewers, and this can go one of two ways.
Because of his familiarity with the Milwaukee Bers. He can
go out there completely dominate them, or he gets completely shelved.
Typically it's one or the other. It's very rare where
you find a player going against his former team like
this and it's like, oh, he went five innings and

(01:01:31):
gave up to you to three runs. Typically either they
get banged around like a pinata or they flat out dominate.
But I've loved what I've seen out of Corbyn Burns
in a Baltimore Orioles uniform. Twenty strikeouts to two walks
through his first two stars. Has given up a little
bit of the deep all But when you're giving up
a home run to Mike Trout, that's a little bit
different than giving up to Schlobby mcslob. Now for the
Milwaukee Burs, this offense is absolutely on fire. They have

(01:01:55):
scored at least seven runs in each other last five games.
They have scored six plus runs that I believe now
all but one of their last seven games, so that
has been tremendous. You've got William Domas who's been moving
the line much better than he did a season ago
as he William Terris, Reys Hoskins all have three home
runs this season. Christian Yellich is finding MVP for him
once again, hitting above a three hundred five home runs.

(01:02:17):
As far as the season and the Burs, they have
been just flat out dominating and they hit much better
against righty's and lefties or kryptonite is going up against lefties,
so that is something to keep in mind. Jackson Tarrio,
South Free Lake, Bryce Terrang all these guys have been
able to do a rock solid job of being able
to move with the line. Trio has been a little
bit up and down, but other two guys have been amazing. Meanwhile,
you do have an Orioles lineup that they've done a

(01:02:39):
nice job splying the boom themselves. Ryan Mountcastle has been
consistent at being able to get on base because of
their overall depth. They do a nice job tuning against
righty's and lefties, so they don't necessarily have one big
giant forte or one big giant weakness. You've got Gunner Anderson,
Anthony Santandero Long, Jordan Westbrook. We've all supplied three home
runs as far as the season. For Santander just say
two thirty on base. But you've had Ellie Rushman be

(01:03:01):
relatively said at being able to find a way on
You could use a little bit more out of Austin
the says kid Raman Yo. Yes, he's have been a
pair of guys who have been rough, but Colton Kauser
is on a nice stretch as far. And both of
these teams have good bullpens. Even with the Baltimore Orioles
losing Phoenix Patissa and unfortunately they have hired on Craig Kimbell,
that's not great. You still have the likes of Jacob Webb,

(01:03:22):
Danny columb you know your Cano, Dylan Tate. I like
these guys and for the burst, Ebner Uribe has such
good explosive stuff and then you're able to Combine that
with Hoby Milner along with Elvis Piero Joe Piams. This
trio was very good last season. Hobbie Milner had a
little bit of a rough COVID towards the middle part
of the season last year, but still had about a
like a buck eighty two ERA, like all three of

(01:03:43):
these guys had a sub three to three ERA eight
season ago. So I do think that this is going
to be a little bit of a better pictures rule
than what we've seen earlier on during the series. I
did somebody till at some point nine looking at the unders,
things are probably not going to be overly warm in Baltimore, though,
whether it's a little bit better than what it typically
is this same year. But I do think that the
Orioles go out there dominate this game. I am willing
to lay up to a minus one sixty eight on

(01:04:04):
the money line. Like I said, with regards to the
run line, I will be looking at a plus one
twenty or greater. And I'm seeing this as well with
the Milwaukee Birds. If you can get that run line
more round, about a minus one twenty or so, that
would be something that I'd be willing to dive in
on ends. If we can get like a minus one
fifteen minus one twenty, I'd be looking to take a
run half with Birds, as I do think that this

(01:04:25):
is going to be a game that is going to
be a little bit lower scoring, and as of right now,
that's what I would be looking at, that Birds out
of minus one twenty getting a run and a half
to go along with this total under on eight nine
to sixty nine nine seventy on the bank board. The
Toronto Blue Jays a plas like Colorado Rockies. Kyle Freeland
is on the bump for Colorado and Oj Bodyos is
on the bump for Toronto and Toronto pretty Mondo favorites. Here,

(01:04:46):
you're going to be getting them any between minus two
thirty five to minus two fifty. Between plus two oh
three to plus two ten is your number on Colorado
after the total under his minus one fifteen the over
his minus one on five, and you're looking to lay
a run a half of the Blue finding that mostly
around minus one twenty five, and I'd be willing to
go up to a minus one thirty laying a run
and a half with the Blue Jays. I will say

(01:05:07):
for Kyle Freeland. It's actually been better throughout his career
when he's pitched away from him rather than when he
has been at home. But I just have zero faith
in Kyle Friedland whatsoever. Looked a bit better in his
last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, but still gave up
four runs, two of which we're earning five innings. And
thus far this season, this gentleman has been able to
get a grand total of thirty two outs and he's

(01:05:28):
allowed twenty one runs. That is not good, to say
the least. And it's not even because he's given up
a ton of homewards. He's given up three home runs
and three starts, but the command is out there. He's
given up five walks for nine ENnies. His velocity was
up during the spring training months, but I mean it
hasn't reflected into anything good for him, and he goes
Someone in Jose Barrio said throughout his career he's had

(01:05:48):
an era that's a full point better when he starts
at home rather than away from home. That goes all
the way back to his time with the Minnesota Twins
that he has been dealing this year. The swing of
miss stuff is honestly been as great as it has
been a past but he's only giving up about two
and a half balks Berni and Ings. He's done a
good job with his picks Mitch in general, and when
it comes to Blue Jays, the big question that you
do have with his team is the hitting because with

(01:06:11):
the Blue Jays, Favliger or Junior give you three home runs,
but he's sitting below them in Dee's ligne of two
hundred and you just look up and down the boulevard.
For this unit, Justin Turner has been amazing. He's hitting
at three fifty and we've noticed Isaiah Canarfalofa and Cavan
Bigio do a solid job, will be able to reach base.
But other than David Schneider, everyone else on the roster
hitting at two thirty three or worse. I think that

(01:06:31):
Daniel Vogelback has a good on base, but he's like
the only guy on the rest of the roster as
north of a three times on base you haven't answer.
He gotten a ton of power out of these guys.
I do think that guys like Pabla Sedding Company are
going to be able to pick it up, but it's
been a bad state of affairs for them. Perhaps what
it will be able to get them online is facing
up against a Rockies bupend. That was said last of
the big leagues last season. In terms of Vra, You've

(01:06:52):
got guys in and three Molina justin Lawrence with North,
but ten e Ra right now, Victor Vodnik is your
best reliever. Jake Byrd is nothing to right home about him.
For the Blue Jays, they are dealing with a pair
of ailments and their bullpen as well, Jor Ermano, Eric
Swanson being out. That's but Jack Green is looking relatively solid.
Tim Mason was one of the better relievers out there
in baseball a season going for the Corad Rockies. They

(01:07:12):
just do it the same way when they're away from
home rather than when they're at home. At home last season,
the Rockies were ardging about five point three five runs
per game, more like three point six five away from home,
and the banning average for the Rockies typically varies by
forty points between their home numbers and their road numbers.
And he just seeds some of these guys like Michael Taglia,
Nolan Jones, Chris Bryant to be able to pick it up.
Brandon Rodgers hitting at two twenty two or lower now

(01:07:35):
Ezekiel Tovar along with Ryan McMahon, Charlie Blackman, these guys
at the top have been relatively slid. But other than McMahon,
not Nes Saly a ton of power for this team.
You've been able to get a little bit out of
Brenton Doyle as well. But I do think that videos
is going to be able to put this offense on lockdown.
I did something till it at eight point four of
the Blue Jays have been fine with their pitching. Offense
is left a little bit of something to be desired. Now,
you do think the Freeland blendz a little bit of

(01:07:56):
a better search here. So he got legitimately a ten
unlucky begin the season. So I'm gonna be looking at
the run line of the Blue Jays and the under
nine seventy one nine seventy two on the betting board.
It is he can't say Royals on the road basically
up against the New York Mets ose butto is on
the bump for the Mets and Cole Reagans goes for
the Royals, and Royals are between minus one eighteen to
minus one twenty six favorites plus one oh five to

(01:08:18):
plus one sixteen. That number on the bets so all
on scheme is eight over his minus one fifteen to
minus one ten the unders between minus one ten two
a minus one oh five at a plus one ten
or higher. I'm all in the back, but too in
company for cole Reagans. He has been absolutely awesome since
coming over to the Kansas City Royals. His pitch miss
is absolutely tremendous. He's done a nice show but be
able to induce a whole bunch of swings and misses.

(01:08:39):
And for Ragans, he's a dark horse candidate for Cy Young.
I think that that may be a little bit too much,
a little bit too soon, but data back too when
he became his starter for the Royals Tours back half
of last season. Eleven strikeouts per nine ennings, he's got
two fifty one fielding independent to a two sixty three
ra has been great at home, has been great on
the road. There's no question about it. He is coming
into his home. But oz Buto in the small amount

(01:09:02):
of opportunities that he's gotten since the back after the
twenty twenty three season, he hasn't been mad. First start
of the season, gives up one run over the course
of six innings three P thirty eighty r a three
eighty six field in dependant does need to work on
the walks he has been giving up since he started
on the twenty twenty threes. He's in right round about
four point eight four point nine walks ber nine innings,
but induces soft contact gets about nine right gus for

(01:09:23):
nine nineings. I actually really like his upside, and I
still do have a few question marks and turns of
this Kancity Royals lineup. One that has been when the
better ones of being able to pump the tower of
the ball. Thus far this season, you've been able to
have Salvador Perez being able to supply three plus home runs.
He's done a very nice job. I'll be able to
move line hitting well above a three hundred, and then
you've got past that. Nelson Alaskis, who I am very
high on. He's been able to supply three plus home runs.

(01:09:46):
He's done a nice job being able to get on base.
But the bottom of the full freddie for me Hunter
Renfro along with Garrett Hampson, guys like this has a
little bit of an issue. Mi cal Garcia has been
able to give you some bombs, but he's not recessarily
hitting for average. While Bobby with Junior, certainly in the
middle of the fold, has been great. And he saw
that guy by the name of Pete A. Lonzo for
the Mets who's up to six home runs this season.
He has been tremendous and for the Mets, they've been

(01:10:07):
one the more unlucky teams at the play thus far
this season. Francisco Lindor gotta feel like he's gonna bust
out a little bit more. He's sitting up bucko three,
like his expected batting averages around to two fifty. That's
going to be taking upward. Brandon Nimo, Jeff McNeil, these
guys hitting below two thirty five, I think that they're
going to be able to see some positivity as well.
In with the Royals, I do think that we're going
to find themselves in a spot where they're going to

(01:10:29):
be blowing a lot of Cole Wagan's leads, laying games
because this is one of the lesser bullpen's out there
in the big leagues. Will Smith, Chris Rain, if you
guys that come over from the Texas Rangers. I have
no faith in either of them. Now you've got Jordan
Lyles coming out of the bullpen, James McArthur, this is
not a great bullpen. And for the Mets, you still
have Edwin Diaz at your disposal. Now, getting the ball
to Edwin Diaz can be a little bit of an adventure.

(01:10:49):
But that said Adam Navino, Brooks Raley, they're not terrible
set up men. Jake Diekman had a nice second lease
on life last season with the Dampa Bay Rays, So
I do think that Buto being able to get plus
money on him at home, that's a relatively good value there.
I do think that both of these pitchers are going
to be able to deliver a relatively good start. So
in a a circumstance where I did somebody told some
point six year at the eight, I'm going to be

(01:11:10):
looking at the under It's a very pitcher friendly ballpark
out there in New York and getting plus one ten
or higher going to be looking at the Mets on
the money line nine seventy three, nine seventy four on
the benning board, it is the San Francisco Giants are
on the road, facing up against the Tampa Bay Rays,
but Blake Snell is going to be going for the Giants.
It was looking before like we were going to get
Tyler Alexander on the bump for the Tampa bay Rays.
Right now, that is what ESPN is projecting, But as

(01:11:33):
of right now, this is a game that's presently off
the board. The few books a little bit earlier on
posted up the Giants says a minus one twenty five
to a minus one thirty favorite plus one ten to
plus one fifteen. The number on the race total is
eight under his minus one fifteen, the overs minus one
to five. And we're projecting a little bit because with
the Tampa bay Rays it's a dicey situation. Tyler Alexander,
he was on the bereavement list, so it is unclear

(01:11:55):
whether or not he is going to be back in
time to be able to make this start in. There's
a good possibility as well that Alexander is the pitcher
of note in this one for the race, but they
utilize an opener from so do keep that in mind.
But that said, if we do get Snow versus Alexander,
I would need at least a plus one eighteen to
take a shot on the race. Wouldn't be want to
lay anything more than a minus one sixteen. With the
San Francisco Giants for the race, It's been a relatively

(01:12:19):
up and down season in terms of the offense. Eastoch
Parades has been able to supply some good offense, but
Randia rosearign A Yandy Diaz at the top, both of
these guys providing a sub two seventy five on place.
Richie Palasios has honestly been relatively good in the middle
of the fold, and Hildermiers is sitting you two to
seventy eight is on base percentage also a two seventy eight. Meanwhile,
for the San Francisco Giants, the offense has been very

(01:12:41):
much all over the place. Matt Chapman was able to
go deep yesterday long Race a LA. Both of these
guys have supplied power with three home runs. Both of
these guys have been very inconsistent in terms of getting
on base. So if you had Lamontway Junior be very
rocks out at the four to seventy eight on base,
he's got functional power for this team. Nickamin and Patrick Bailey,
these guys at the bottom fold have honestly been able
to do their part. Theio Strado mikey Stemsky have been

(01:13:02):
a roll of the ice. But San Francisco has always
been known for their platoonings. But I think that they're
gonna be able to do a solid job of that
moving forward. But the Giants have taken a little bit
of faff in terms of bullpen as well. You saw
Taylor and Tyler Rodgers. I'd like, but both of these
guys bringing to the table and a long guy and
Ryan Walker might need to be used because you could
tell that Blake Snell was not in great form in
his first start, doesn't make it four innings. He saw

(01:13:23):
has a good swing and miss stuff, but because he
got signed so late in the process, you could tell
that he's a little bit rusty coming out of the gates.
He allows three runs a three innings and a loss
against the Washington Nationals, So you have to have some
trepidation there and if you do, indeed get Alexander. He's
always been good at not giving up a lot of walks,
but doesn't get a lot of swings and misses. He
does give up quite a bit of the deep one.
He's unlikely to be going a full game as well.

(01:13:45):
He's most likely going to be giving you like four
so innings, and then from there you might give way
to someone like a Kevin Kelly is able to eat
multiple innings, and then if you're able to get into
those good bullpen pieces Jason Adam call him Pouchet Pete Fairbanks.
These guys have been excellent. Seawan Armstrong candidate to be
able to give you multiple innings. He's had a sub
three five YARI since coming over to the Rays as well.
So I do think that Tampa Bay should be able

(01:14:06):
to find a way to be able to persevere if
we can get a plus tent eighteen or higher. Once
this gets relisted, we'll be looking at the Rays on
the buddy line, which I would probably expect in this
sort of spot, and I did something totally two point two.
This has been a total I have been seeing at eight,
and if we do get that eight, we'll be looking
at the over nine seventy five, nine seventy six on
the bag. Both the Cincinnati Reds, Yes, we are in
a Cincinnati they're under the road basically against the Chicago
White Sox. Mike Soroka is on the bump for the Sucks.

(01:14:29):
Graham Ashcraft goes for Cincinnati, and Cincinnati is a favorite
of between minus one fifty five to minus one sixty
six aenty between plus one forty do plus one forty
eight is that number on the White Sox signed as
a total under is minus one fifteen to minus one
twenty two over centy between even and minus one oh five,
and for the White Sox needed at least a plus
one forty six to take a shot on them. I'm
right now seeing a plus one forty six. That's my

(01:14:51):
minimum by point, and I'm gonna be willing to ride
with it, even though it is a White Sox team
that is not in great form, to say least. I
know that I'm saying this, but I take a look
at Graham ash Draft very much a pitch of contact
guy that doesn't get a lot of strikeouts and has
had issues with his command throughout his career, and it
does cause me to have a little bit of pause

(01:15:12):
with him. Last season a force of six ERA with
a five oh six fielding independent has all looked bad
here in the first two starts of the season, but
and that' said. He's given up nine runs at eleven
and two thirds innings, only seven of them were earned.
He was hurt a little bit by his fielding here
in the first few games, but I mean it's not
like he's answer, you're doing the world's greatest job. And
then you've got Mike Soroka's the ultimate pitch of contact guy.

(01:15:34):
The command hasn't been terrible with Mike Soroka, but he's
went fourteen and two thirds sinning. He said, he's given
up six walks in he's gotten six strikeouts. So you
have to have your caution there with Soroka when he
was with the Atlanta Braves prior to the injury issues,
and he was looking like he was going to be
a tremendous starter moving forward, but it just is up
in the case, and now he does have to face
off against a Cincinnati Red's lineup that is solid. They're

(01:15:56):
not amazing quite yet. You've got a lot of young
guys that are gonna have in consider series. But you've
had a pair of guys in Spencer's here a lot
Ellie Da La Cruz who have both been able to
supply three plus hom runs. Both of these guys heading
well north of a three ten to a fairchild that's
done a good job moving the line, but you do
need it from more of the guys in the middle,
guys like Jamior Kendelario, Luke Meleay, Santiago Spene. You're able

(01:16:18):
to throw on their Christian and Carnaci owned strand. These
are guys that are currently leading below the nose line
of runner. Jonathan India is not dating for a lot
of average, but he's actually given you a four hundred
on basin for the Chicago White Sox. If you looked
at the lineup yesterday, one guy that saw on at
bat yesterday's right now eating at Bobba two to fourteen.
That w'd be Gavin Cheets. This is a White Sox
team that they need to embrace trying to be able

(01:16:38):
to draw some walks because they were in the bottom
of the fold last season in all baseball in terms
of walks drawn on a prayer bat basis. They bring
in someoney Kevin Pillar that might be able to help
out with that a little bit. And Gavin Cheets has
been halfway decent as well. But man, this is rough
with Luis Robert Timanderson out of the fold. You just
I wish I could mention someone where it's like, oh,
you might have a little bit of upside here, perhaps

(01:16:59):
Paul the Young, but that's not great, to say the least.
For the Chicago White size in the bullpen it has
been rough as well. You've been able to get some
relatively okay and he's moving forward out of someone like
a Jordan Leisure has been a nice upside guy for
the scene. But Tamil Davey Garcia is your guys that
are not great. And if you do get Jared Schuster
in a long roll, he honestly has not been too bad.
And that's sort of a circumstance. It came over with

(01:17:21):
Mike Soroka from the Atlanta Braves and but he says
it's a very league average ballpen. Alexis Dias is a
very good closer, and then you've got guys that just
hold on the four buck Farmer Fernando Cruz Lucas sims
he's your guys that are able to do a solid
job on that front. But I do think that the
number has gone up a little bit too high. Graham
Ashcraft has not been in great form. Also, you've had
a guy in Mike Soroka not being great for him

(01:17:42):
as well. If you're at the nine I'm gonna be
looking at the unnerve with the Chicago White Sox. This
is a very very sad lineup, and I do think
that Mike Soroka eventually is gonna find it, which is
why I'm going to take a plus one forty six
or higher with the White Sox to go along with
his under nine seventy seven nine seventy eight on the
big board. The Oakland A's are going to be playing
us to the Washington Nationals for Williams goes for the
Nats and alex Wood is on the bump for the

(01:18:03):
A's between minus one twenty to minus one thirty set
number on Oakland and between plus one oh five plus
twenty teen your number on Washington eight and a half
is a total over and under both at minus one
ten and with the A's, I'm willing to go up
to minus one thirty two on this money line, which
rever Williams. He actually lent a really nice start last
time out against the San Francisco Giants, but do so
have a little bit of pause interrepidation with him, and

(01:18:24):
you do have someone in Alex Wood that had just
struggles the last few seasons with the San Francisco Giants.
But I've noticed a lot of these guys that came
over from San Francisco to the Oakland A's, they doesn't
have been able to have a nice little form in general.
For Alex Wood, he needs to find that once again.
He's been getting tattooed. His first few starts of the season.
He's legitimately been the worst pitcher for the Oakland A's

(01:18:44):
as far. Got banged around at his first start against
the Cleveland Guardians, but last he starts against the Rangers
and the Red Sox, five runs are undered in nine innings.
I'm not gonna call it amazing, but it's also not
terrible considering the circumstances. Female For Trevor Williams, very much
a pitch of contact guy that last season posted up
in era that was well north of four. He did
not give you a whole lot of swing and miss,
and he puts it up overall a field independent north

(01:19:06):
of five. But as far this season has done a
nice job to be able to keep the ball in
the yard to this point, I do have my question
marks with him being able to do it moving forward.
It's not like his stuff has gotten a whole flop
better or anything like that. Just feels like he's been
a tad lucky on balls and play and has given
up five walks in ten and the third endings to
begin the season. Not backed up by a great bullpen,
which the Oakland A's have a really done a nice
job with the Guards. Their bullpen pitching. Danny Amennez has

(01:19:28):
been rock so oud. Mason Millers should be a starter
for the seam but he's really nice in the ninth
enning Lucas Hert Saize. These guys been incredible for an
Oakland a team that is a top ten team with
the Guards are opening right. Meanwhile, the Blakes of Jordan Weiens,
Derek Bob and saw it in this bullpen. Tanneriney so
the know with head injury, it feels like he has
not gone back to full for Mkyle Finnegan as someone
that flat out do not trust. And for the Washington Nationals,

(01:19:49):
they bring in quite a few power bats to be
able to help them out in the off season, but
it's a little bit intermissed as to what you're gonna
be able to get out of line up this season.
Eddie Rosario just has not necessarily been performing too well.
When he's been out there, he's been deal with a
little bit of ailment you've had. Joey gall will be
able to supply a trio of home runs and c J.
Abrams has been very good to begin the season as well.
For Abrams, he's been able to go deep three times.

(01:20:10):
He's one of the better base sealers that you're going
to find in all baseball. But the returning pieces from
the season goal you need a little bit more of them.
Joey Manessa so along with Keiber, Luiz, Laane, Thomas Caesar,
guys sitting below the midos line of a tourner, though
Jesse Winker has been rock solid for this unit. Meanwhile,
on the Oakland A side, Brent Rookers had a little
bit of regression from what we saw a season going.

(01:20:31):
Why they often as Terry Ruiz down to the minor
league level is something that I just do not understand whatsoever.
But I do think that you're going to be able
to get some nice offense moving forward out of a
few of these pieces. Shay Langelaira is notkingit for average,
but for home runs as far the season. JJ Blayday
is a young guy along Zach Goloff that are going
to be big time keys for the team. Always do

(01:20:52):
note that Oakland is signed at the same at home
rather than away from home, just because with this Oakland
A's bunch shit as a team that plays a very
picture friendly ballpark, but it's much more picture friendly during
the night time when you've got the Marine layer out.
This is gonna be an afternoon game and during the afternoon.
I'm not gonna say that it's great fraighters, but it's
not awful for hitters. And I do think that both
of these veteran pitchers can they get banged around a

(01:21:13):
little bit more, and I do think that the A's
bullpen is gonna allow them to get the job done.
Set the A's out of minus one thirty two. I'd
like them on the way line, and it's a I
told at eight point eight at the eight and a half,
I do like the over, and we wrapp things up
with nine seventy nine nine eighty on the betting board.
The Seattle a managers playoffs the Chicago Cubs. A Vieta
assad is on the bump for the Cubs, and Luis
test you it's on the bump for Seattle. Seattle is
a favorite of any between minus one thirty to minus

(01:21:34):
one forty two plus one twenty to plus one twenty five.
That number on the Cubs eight is a total under
his minus one fifteen. The overs minus one of five
also set the Amriners out of minus one forty two.
So say you about minus one thirty minus one thirty
five in a lot of spots, I'm gonna be willing
to take Seattle in this or deal. For Luis Cassio,
it's been a miserable start to the season from four
plus rouns render in all three starts against the Guardians

(01:21:55):
see Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox and
his stuff in terms of swings and is there ten
strikeouts per nine and ennis it looks like the overall
Velossit is not bad. He's just been missing location. And
I've got the opposite with Avier assad Aavira sad. Last
season when he was a starter, he was getting less
than six strikeouts per nina and nings, but did a
good job inducing week contact. First two starts of the season.

(01:22:15):
Is strikeout numbers are up twelve strikeouts over the course
of eleven nings A for assad he was being utilized
as a little bit more of a long bullpen piece
last season towards the beginning part of the season. So
he's made the transition, and he's made it quite well,
backed up by a lineup that doesn't necessarily have that
one dust star guy, with Cody Bellinger currently struggling going
into yesterday thinking just a buck eighty. But you've had
a lot of guys that in general are giving you

(01:22:37):
a good approach at the plate. Michael Bush, Christopher morel
I and half Ce Suzuki Alwing at least a two
seventy five other than a half, all these guys have
been able to give you multiple homers. Nico Horner needs
to do a better job with his average, but still
give you about a three seventy three on base, so
he's finding a way on as is Michael Takman. Meanwhile,
for the Seattle Manners, it's a case where this offense
has just not been great to begin the season, but

(01:22:57):
Tom Canzone has been able to give you some good power.
He's mails applied three plus some runs as far the season.
JP Crawford, Julio Rodriguez, Dylan Moore, Mitch Garver. These are
guys hanging below a two hundred or a Polanco, but
Guy Franz Mitchanger in the middle of the lineup, They've
been able to do a solid job. And for Seattle,
I do think that there's going to be some positivity
moving forward in terms of lineup. If you take a

(01:23:17):
look at the Baseball Savanna numbers in terms of their
expected batting average versus their actual batting average actual batting
average two of seven saying same, it's not like an
expected batting average of two thirty two is lighting the
world on fire. But at the same time, I do
expect things to be able to improve for them a
little bit moving forward. In I do like the Seattle
Manners bullpen. They just have a nice way. I'll be
able to pluck guys out of mediocrity and be able

(01:23:39):
to turn them into good relievers. Gamespyer, Taylor Soacado, Trent
Thornton have all been good. You've got a nice closer
and Andre's Munoz. So even though Matt brashes out of
the fold, they stall have plenty of bullpen pitching in
for the Cubs has been rough for them for the bullpen,
Julia Mary. While they're being out of the fold, does
not help things out. I like their pickup of Victor
in Arras says he and Edbar also late lating games
are able to do a solid job. Nancy Almontes is

(01:23:59):
never a guy that really trusted, and Mark Lighter Junior
does feel like he's a little bit hit or missed
as well. I think that we're going to find a
better form of Luis Cassio in the spot. So I
did set the Seattle Manners out of minus one forty two.
I'm willing to ride with the money line, and I
do think that the Cups could be able to do
a solid job putting back to ball. And for Avier Asad,
even though he's got a sub to era thus far
this season, if you look at his numbers as a
starter's fielding independent more than a point higher than his era,

(01:24:21):
I think he's doing for some regressions. So I said
my tell it at eight point one. I like the over,
and I do like the Mariners on the money line.
And wrap things up for the Sunday edition of the
Baseball Betting Shown now part of the Bason Family podcasts.
If you do like hearing from this time podcast Baseball
Betting Show, you're able to subscribe whatever your podcasts Apple Podcasts,
Google Play, Spotify, Cittery and tune. And if you have
a question combat segment idea, what I have you for
this podcast? Do have one or two ways veel for

(01:24:42):
those in first one is my Twitter slash tax Simli
and iduna and unders forty one. Keep in mind learns
m they mean does on matters, so as per usual,
please and send these into the timeline and the other
way finding an Apple podcast review. If you rate this
podcast by starts, it is very much appreciated. From there,
you're able to fire and whatever you'd like here on
this podcast via that five star view And a big
thanks to Rob Donaldson for joining me in the segment
coming edds you guys every single days throughout baseball season,

(01:25:02):
Memories of covenand w get about. Thank you so much
for ginning wh

All Episodes

Episode Transcript

Popular Podcasts

Dateline NBC

The Nikki Glaser Podcast

Stuff You Should Know

.css-15opob5{left:0;position:absolute;top:0.8rem;} All Episodes

.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}4/14/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript

Popular Podcasts

.css-r6mb8g{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:1;overflow:hidden;}Dateline NBC

The Nikki Glaser Podcast

Stuff You Should Know

All Episodes

4/14/24-Baseball Betting Show

Dateline NBC